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Alpha Variant

@variant_alpha

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Alpha Variant provides analysis & commentary on markets, investment themes and tactical trade ideas. Go check the substack @

London, UK
Joined May 2023
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
As promised, here is a summary of my long-form Substack on $FTCH. You can find the link to the stack at the bottom of the thread. None of what follows should be construed as investment advice or recommendations. 1/n Thread 🧵👇
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
hey @SECGov @GaryGensler instead of chasing windmills in crypto can you actually protect investors from the fraud going on in your backyards? $FTCH @farfetch @NYSE Many investors hurt here it seems and @Farfetch_jose still running free despite debatable disclosures
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@DeItaone Maybe they should ask themselves if they're the problem?
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@PauloMacro hey Paulo if ever in doubt just know that you bring tremendous value to a lot of your readers! Screw the haters!
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
$FTCH now hitting rock bottom at 0.01$. Lol. What a sad sight to see. Hope @SECGov and @TheFCA can investigate the accounting reality and the misleading communications of Elliott Jordan and @farfetch @Farfetch_jose to shed light on the daylight robbery
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
$FTCH as I'm writing down my thoughts for my long-form post mortem on substack, something interesting struck me and I'm currently pondering it... Going back to the resignation from the Board of the $BABA President Michael Evans a few weeks ago... It could be that Michael did
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@DystopWorld Look at him, the grifter in chief. The pitchforks are coming for you
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
$FTCH the crooks are among us, remember them. They knew all along and misled investors. Make sure to run whenever you see their names mentioned in any ventures. Conveniently Farfetch has already taken down their pictures and profiles from their IR. 1/4
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
5 months
Looks like the fraud @Farfetch_jose & the rats from the C-suite are all leaving the sinking ship. Is that a coincidence with the lawsuit from Wilmington Trust? 2 months on and we still have no financial information on what's been going on $FTCHF $FTCH
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
8 months
@OffTheRunTrades and this is the reason why this time, this one time, we see limit down Friday
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
9 months
@leadlagreport so 1 hour ago there is a path to a ST rally, but now everything is fucked? hard to follow you sometimes : )
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
$FTCH @farfetch @Farfetch_jose we waited long enough, where is the market update? for the sake of your employees and shareholders
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
6 months
For those who missed it, here ifs the thread + substack article I've done to summarize lessons we can all learn from $FTCH to protect your capital next time you come around a similar situation... #farfetch #investing
@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
As promised, here is a summary of my long-form Substack on $FTCH. You can find the link to the stack at the bottom of the thread. None of what follows should be construed as investment advice or recommendations. 1/n Thread 🧵👇
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
absolute dogshit companies like $CVNA mooning everyday while companies with good underlying tech/platform like $FTCH are being robbed by foreign buyers $CPNG with fraudsters operating under US jurisdiction @Farfetch_jose Congrats @SECGov
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@Massimiliano_ZB @farfetch $FTCH @Farfetch_jose The Times is not a serious publication. Everything is up in the air right now. The reality is that Jose holds 70% of the votes and I currently do not have trust in him to put the interests of the shareholders first. What you can trust is that he is
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
Working on a 'lessons learnt' post on substack on $FTCH Will post today or tmrw. What a fucking mess honestly
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
5 months
@Citrini7 inverse $SMCI.. good luck shorting ...
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@NorthmanTrader No shame - don't trust the crooked octogenarians
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
9 months
@DeItaone LMAO put grandma to bed already
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@AdamKrasne Let's short squeeze those MFs $FTCH $GME $AMC
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@jbulltard1 I'm bagged in $FTCH
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@NorthmanTrader that's the Biden @POTUS bailout, courtesy of Janet 'printer go brrr, fk the poors' Yellen - the senile gang in full force for election year
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@eliant_capital give me a 5% mate will ya
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@dampedspring feels like every other bearish news for $AAPL it won't matter... until it does
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@RJRCapital to be honest after 1 year of this I would not trust those incompetents to do the right thing... they will run with it and hope for the best
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@SteadyCompound Honestly this is becoming ridiculous. Every time there is light at the end of the tunnel you get taken for a ride again. The timing is odd as China's economy is struggling rn, don't really make sense as they don't really need this bad publicity atm
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
8 months
@buccocapital yeah this is quite crazy actually. Regulator asleep at the wheel or paid off
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
8 months
@RJRCapital I am honestly dumbfounded. It does not make any sense lmao
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@eliant_capital I think it's more about political pressure and treasury debt refi than it is about hard landing...
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@INArteCarloDoss ahah that's the signal that the bottom in yields is in...
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@blakestonks Broooo $ENPH going ham
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
8 months
@blakestonks lmao I like how you keep names and collect the dawg tagz later big fade
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
1 year
$VIX a strategic dam was just blown up but keep suppressing it. Will love it when someone blows up, it will be entirely deserved
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
9 months
@biancoresearch CZ is using every trick for exit liquidity
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
5 months
@MFHoz this means bears are capitulating and turning into late frustrated bulls. Their existence is threatened by the doom scenario
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
$FTCH @Farfetch_jose the chickens will come home to roost, since you likely lied on your filings...
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
1 year
@RJRCapital bro my puts on Micron are as negative as their GM
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@blakestonks Hey Blake what do you make of $ENPH here? Looks like the 200 dMA/ next gap fill good zone to start scaling and adding puts? Could see fast reversal if yields start to rise again.
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
1 year
@CryptoDonAlt @jack why so butthurt
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
Where is the buy price? $FTCH $CPNG
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
6 months
@Mike_Hunt_Sr $NVDA and $AMD brushing this like nothing... honestly all intel points towards us being part of the matrix at this point...
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@leadlagreport ded is an understatement after this year
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@eliant_capital @Harvard I am glad I have not spent the money to go to this cesspool of university. My father was an alumni and he is ashamed of what it has become
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
1 year
@WatcherGuru good luck with that lmao
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@RJRCapital share that feeling
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@Mike_Hunt_Sr bro they sent Yellen out again...
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
8 months
lmao $FTCH ER results leaked? WTF
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
Nice day of advanced fuckery $SPY $QQQ
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
What's more, a back of the envelope analysis shows that at those prices, $FTCH is deeply undervalued compared to other consumer marketplace businesses (granted in more mature lifecycle stage and different industries) (4/x)
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
9 months
@Liathetrader Point of control depends on the timeframe... this seems a bit biased don't u think? turns out that the POC post-early 2022 breakout is roughly at the same level, but the way u're using POC is wrong imo
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@TreydingStocks @TikTokInvestors that's just the SBF playbook
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
8 months
@Mike_Hunt_Sr perma-bid. RSI trending to infinity
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
1 year
@KobeissiLetter That makes sense since a dam was just obliterated in a warzone
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
8 months
@financialjuice that explains the short selling ban @FinanceLancelot
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
Elliot - Stephanie - Dana - David - Diane - Gillian - Stephanie - Victor - 4/4
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
$FTCH hopefully we don't break this
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
19/n I’ve seen folks talk about making a telegram community to ensure we stay up to date with those processes. I am not familiar myself with Telegram but I’m happy to join any community that gets created for that purpose.
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
$FTCH do we get a deal announcement today?
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
Christmas update: - On Tuesday I will release my $FTCH lessons learnt on substack - Currently working on 2 other posts summarizing main banks / managers outlooks for 2024 and my own expectations for the year ahead. Expect release in next 2 weeks $SPY $QQQ $IWM $DJIA $TLT
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
3/n My thoughts have been documented at length on Twitter regarding the events as they evolved. The bottom line is that a lot of elements could corroborate the theory of accounting fraud and a management team that wilfully misled investors.
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
1 year
@marketplunger1 Oil 101 from Downey
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@StevenACohen2 do you have any views on what's to come for $FTCH?
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
9 months
@michaellebowitz why would she tell the truth, she soon ad patres anyway...
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
8 months
@TheTranscript_ Jose Neves better make us whole with a juicy take-private otherwise yday pump and dump was a clear fraud and needs to be investigated $FTCH $CFR $BABA
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@PythiaR the decent thing to say isn't to take a victory lap, it's painful enough! Have some class
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
5 months
@unusual_whales Leaving octogenaries at the top of positions of power has been going great for us. Perhaps the people should wake up and take to the street
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
LT: CEO Jose Neves @Farfetch_jose CFO Elliot Jordan Chair Stephanie Phair (the new CFO and the rest of the LT likely did not have full oversight so giving them the benefit of the doubt on this) 2/4
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
6/n Given the misalignment of incentives Jose preferred to put his best interest first. The Board clearly failed at their fiduciary duty.
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@POTUS Banana Republic things
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@jbulltard1 should see 160s very soon. Lots of energy built up
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@KobeissiLetter @elonmusk Good. Bob Iger deserves to be Marcellus Wallaced' Nice one @elonmusk
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
8 months
@OffTheRunTrades Live view of CTAs now
@eliant_capital
Eliant Capital
8 months
“I don’t care what price you execute, just get me the fuck in”
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
5 months
Glad to see healthy market functioning in $ARM @MakerWaddles
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
1 year
@pennycheck rest in peace
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
8 months
@PonziMarkets @leadlagreport Apple is priced as a growth stock. Tim totally gives it away that there is nothing innovative going under a guy so far out of his depth as him. An embarrassment for what Steve Jobs has built. No amount of saying how exciting things are or AI this AI that will change it $AAPL
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
5 months
@blakestonks too bad I got shaken out of my calls on the look below few days ago.
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
8 months
@Mike_Hunt_Sr They will make every bear capitulate before the rug pull can be done. I have given up
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@eliant_capital its not the 200dMA... that one is at 225
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@VascoBlanc @SECGov @GaryGensler @farfetch @NYSE @Farfetch_jose The Board are a bunch of spineless cowards who failed at their job
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
1 year
@endless_frank If you drive at 200 kms on the highway what do you do? you close your damn eyes and you max bid stonks. Everything will be fine @stonksycollins
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
13/n On to a recap of universal 'lessons learnt': 1. Avoid dual-class stock listings where the founder benefits from asymmetric voting power and limited skin in the game 2. Disingenuous communication from management should make you run
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
11 months
@stonksycollins Just came across Vinfast, $VFS - makes $TSLA and $NVDA value plays
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
9 months
@leadlagreport what are all those scams glitches on $NVDA and $TSLA? Intraday wicks not matching daily. Do you have the same?
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@AndreasSteno Agreed - we're witnessing the Biden bailout. @federalreserve is far from being independent and you can hear in Powell's voice that they know they're making a mistake Shocking how he fumbled the question about price levels not coming down. He knows the middle class is fucked but
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
12/n On to the mistakes that can be attributed to my ego when it came to my personal circumstances with $FTCH: · No risk management · An overweighted focus on returns over risk . Hubris that ‘the market was missing something’ · Position sizing beyond risk limits
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@jbulltard1 even if that led to lockdowns covid repeat type scenario, I think the market instantly discounts infinite QE and we see $AMZN $11'146.57
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
6 months
@jbulltard1 good old Jordan Belford framing techniques how can you say there is a clear path to profitability when the clear trend is in the opposite direction? lol
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
6 months
@ProblemSniper puts going to print
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
@eliant_capital if those fucking sellers could fuck right off it would be good, so that my degen $GDX calls could print me some dough
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
11/n 7. A CFO leaving the company a few months after laying out a new financial plan at the recent CMD event 8. New CFO came from outside the industry with no apparent transferable experience or expertise
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
1 year
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
5 months
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
7 months
Board: Dana Evan David Rosenblatt Diane Irvine Gillian Tans Stephanie Horton Victor Luís 3/4
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@variant_alpha
Alpha Variant
1 year
@jimcramer Your place is in jail dude
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