Jason @3PeaksTrading Twitter profile

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Jason

3 months

If the Schwab/TD transition is making you want to switch brokers.. and you focus on optionstrading then definitely give @Tastytrade a try.. been using them for 4 years now and as much as I love TOS.. the same guys created Tasty You can use my referral link below to open an

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 years

'This selloff is worst than 2008' -Alex (born in 2003, funded first Robinhood acct in 2020)

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 years

My mailman just told me about the resistance at the 200 day moving average. $SPX

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

Druckenmiller's top holdings would make for quite the 2024 so far.. he really is the GOAT of investors. Still holding half a billion $ of $NVDA with cost basis near $184

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

1 year

$SPX 0 DTE 4580 calls went from $0.50 to $10 in minutes at the end of day.. thats gamma

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

6 months

Portnoy getting back into trading with QQQ near 420 could be the ultimate sell signal..

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 years

Some wisdom from @elonmusk 👍

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 months

$NVDA into the selloff seeing large unusual buys now for over 14,000 June $1100 calls at $8.00 to $10 in size lots Things that make you go hmmmm

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

10 months

I'm calling it, this is the bottom for bonds. Yields peaked at 5.0% on Oct 19th, the anniversary of the 1987 crash. If I am wrong I will just delete this post

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

1 month

my mailman just told me about how high the RSI is on the Nasdaq

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

9 months

10 minutes of pure gold here from @jam_croissant and why option flows run the show.. great insights on the recent rally and why it likely continues

Schwab Network

@SchwabNetwork

9 months

"Knowledge is p̶o̶w̶e̶r̶ vol dampening" 🥐 After nailing the $SPX low to the day and the price, @jam_croissant is back with @OJRenick to share his outlook for volatility and options flows into year end:

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

21 days

Had best profit day ever and a bit surreal. Unreal July so far. Several big higher conviction trades lately but clearly $IWM small caps are my biggest position and patience paid off today. If I get a dog I may just name him Russell

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 years

$SPX 4800 by New Years Eve. Timestamp it

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

$VIX call volume spiked Friday to over 1.8 million contracts. Thats the highest since Feb 2018 and about 400% of average daily volume (465K). Often like to use the 1.5M call volume threshold as a short panic low signal as has only happened 4 times in last 5 years. But clearly

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 years

Bartender just told me about the high put/call ratio

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 years

$SPY down channel in place. So oversold I can see a rally start after CPI report this week potentially with path to upper end of channel before eventual late summer weakness into midterm election lows. Just one scenario, probably wrong who knows. Project, monitor, adjust.

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 years

$SPY still green on the day while traders panic lol. If we ever do go down 5% this year.. gonna be alot of dead bodies around

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 months

Treasury $TLT into the close a large trade buys over 28,000 September $85 puts at $1.95, large lots.. oh boy

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 years

$SPX options for tomorrow's expy pricing in 75 points of movement into FOMC day. Buckle up

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

Not sure if anyone ran the stats but I've been watching markets for years and can't remember a day with $AAPL down -4% and the S&P and Nasdaq green

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

$SPX options for this week pricing in 86 points of expected move, one the higher implied moves so far this year. Buckle up! Last week surpassed the expected move and just barely closed back above it near 5200 on Friday as dealers defended. If CPI surprises hotter this week then

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

5 months

Looking at the past 3 years of $SPX price action and I laid out some thoughts on how important 4200 was as a key level during 2022-23 and after breached higher was the large support I was expected in Fall 2023 to be the best buying opp of the year. That worked. Now the 4800

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 months

Everyone chasing chip stocks, and meanwhile $AMZN just chillin, setting up a hell of a breakout towards 200 coming soon. Like how it tested its monthly POC today at 180 and bounced nicely to close at highs. Prime Day in 6 weeks.. better scoop it up now while you can

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

7 months

S&P 500 hasn’t declined during a re-election year since 1952 and has averaged a 12% gain in those years. 2024 could continue that trend $SPX

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

5 months

NAAIM Exposure index this week hit 104.75, the highest since November 3, 2021. My favorite sentiment metric to use since its actually measuring fund managers' allocations and not a survey of what they 'feel'. I decided to look at the full data set I have going back to 2006 and

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

$SPX hasn't seen a -2% down day in 274 days now. Think about how many newer traders have not seen real market two sided action and normal volatility.. going to be scary for them when it comes back..

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

7 months

This is the kind of rally I would have tried to sell and short into 5-7 years ago but I got smart eventually lol. Pain increases wisdom in this game no doubt

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

5 months

Someone just whacked the bid on the close lol $SPY went from 509.7 to 508 in seconds

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 months

$SPX rallied 89 points off the lows. EIGHTY NINE. Never fight market breadth and the VIX as implied vol's and internals always know whats coming. The past two days showed a very big bullish divergence, too many were sucked into the bear trap. Really would not be surprised if

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

7 months

Someone bought a ton of $CVNA Jan 2025 $90 calls today.. with the stock at 53.. I'm sure its nothing..

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

7 months

Feels like CPI Thursday could be a potential sell the rip if markets gap higher above 4800 recent highs.. breadth has been lackluster besides yesterday. Fed speakers probably try to talk down markets before the end of month meeting. A TON of Leap options expire next week. 10 yr

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

9 months

All charts look bearish at near bottoms. Same thing was the case in March and last Oct when every chartist was calling for a crash. Rarely happens if the market is well hedged already and everyone calling for it. Just too many short term focused on this platform

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

'This selloff is the worst ever seen' -Jimmy (born in 2007, funded first Robinhood acct in November 2023)

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 years

Something really important happened this week in the volatility markets. The SKEW dropped significantly and now back to 135, part of reason why VIX showed no strength most of the week while stocks dipped. I wouldn't be surprised if we rally into Mid October OPEX from here

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

6 months

Pretty wild that $SMCI options for January 2025 have an expected move of over 700 points. Literally the options market saying it can be either 1700 or back down under 300 by year end.

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

10 months

JPM collar strike at 4210 got near a 20 delta into the close yday. The long put strike of the quarterly collar, so dealers are short that strike, thus the closer we get it could force dealers to hedge by selling more futures as the puts gro teeth (aka gamma risk) as the delta on

Jason

@3PeaksTrading

11 months

The long put strike for the JPM collar that expires next week for Sept 29th is at the $4210 strike, got closer today but still just a 6 delta option. If this expands to over 20 delta- it can start to become a magnet into end of quarter $SPX

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 months

Russell $IWM buyer for 3500 Dec. 2025 $255 calls at $6.15 in a single block.. The long term returns the next 12 months in small caps are going to surprise many investors

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

6 months

With February OPEX tomorrow its a good reminder that alot of this weeks move is being supported by expiration hedging flows and unwinding of positions. While it can continue if holds above 5000, the #seasonality shown here turns more negative after this week and really near the

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 months

if this is your first 5-10% correction in the markets, its going to be ok. Avoid new positions until more stability or try the fetal position as an option

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 years

What a time to be alive!

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

7 months

$SPX still has a window of strength potential to use up into mid January with jan 17th being a key VIX expiration and then Jan 19th OPEX a turning point likely. So if its going to rally to new highs the next two weeks is the time of seasonal gun powder that is available. The 3

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 months

This is still the playbook I’m using for May.. should see one more flush down come to make new lows. Always best when few are expecting it too. Then likely washes out sentiment for summer rally potential that extends to highs before election. Hat tip @AlmanacTrader

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

9 months

The biggest issue I see with newer traders on fintwit is that they focus too short term and bail on good positions at the slightest sign of a trade going red or not working right away. Might be also why day trading is a waste of time, the real money is made in overnight multi day

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 months

ok plot twist... what if forgotten names like $AAPL and $TSLA take the baton from $NVDA and Semi's for the summer which just rotates the Mega cap tech names and keeps the $QQQ grinding sideways with shallow pullbacks. Thats what options flows are suggesting is possible and sure

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

9 months

Block/mute button coming in handy today. I guess I asked for it recently when wanted more followers.. i just give out so much for free here its wild I dont have 25k plus but would rather have a smaller group of good peeps!

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 months

Treasury $TLT with a massive late day buyer of 75,000 December $102 calls at $1.05, over $7.8M 👀

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

Last week it was CPI, now its war tensions.. or maybe it was just time for a correction into seasonal weakness after $SPX went up 1200 points in 6 months. Thats why

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 months

$NVDA September $150 call open interest rose from 23k up to 48,600.. +112% increase $QQQ June 28th $480 call open interest increased from 36k to 51,000 contracts.. +41% $ADBE Sept $600 calls OI jumped from 1100 to 4200.. +276%

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

17 days

Getting near that 20k follower mark! Thanks all. Still odd I dont have double that lol.. weird algorithm. Meanwhile schmucks on here who have been bearish all year have 200k

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 years

I think @elonmusk and @Twitter should fix the imposter problem instead of an Edit button. Too many fake imposters on here copying profiles

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 years

Wrote up some detailed thoughts on trading and things to focus on with this year end post. Hope it helps! NEW POST: 10 Tips for Improving Your Trading in 2022 @OptionsHawk

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

Crazy how much free insight I share on here and newer traders seem to get dogmatic about one outcome coming.. always clear which replies have no trading plan or understanding of options. Might need a twit break lol exhuasting some days

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

1 year

Had some time to knock out this post on Market Breadth and how I use it. Enjoy How to Stay Two Steps Ahead of the Masses By Tracking Cumulative Market Breadth @OptionsHawk $SPY $QQQ

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

21 days

Biggest thing that I have improved on the past 5 years when trading multi week swing trades (my sweet spot usually) is understanding that patience and risk acceptance is huge. The $IWM trade I would have bailed on early in my trading journey back in 2010-2015 I was too quick to

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

10 months

The stock market bottomed one year ago today on Oct 13th at SPX 3491. Since then it’s up 23% and was up as much as 31.7% at the July highs. Let’s say it goes up just 10% from here into next year (a solid return most years) then would see 4800 roughly back to the all time highs.

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

9 months

Just one of those days.. actually might be a best day ever PnL wise. Congrats to the bulls who held strong the past few weeks

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

NYMO oscillator is now extreme oversold hitting -100 it rarely pays to be short in the hole. Really liking this potential next few weeks.. risking 50 points lower to maybe see a 150 point bounce in SPX

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

10 months

$VIX on Friday saw nearly 1.4M calls traded into that fear. ABout 300% of average daily volume and highest volume since the March 10th bottom. Often see major bottoms form when get VIX calls above a million in one day.. most will disagree which makes this signal even more notable

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

1 year

Ok guys Im done trading for the month I think, or the summer. This is getting silly 😂

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 years

$SPX up 8.5% since media confirmed it was a bear market LOL

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

10 months

Covered all shorts at the open and added long calls in $SPY, $AMZN and some $TSLA all from this great view at the Baltic Sea in north Poland!

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

11 months

Had a great time chatting about markets with Anthony! Check it out if you have some time. He runs a great podcast and it was a pleasure to be invited

Anthony Crudele

@AnthonyCrudele

11 months

Unleash the power of market breadth for killer trading strategies.💪📈 @3PeaksTrading shares expert techniques on tracking market internals, combining them with seasonality & options flow. Plus, insights on the August pullback & what's next.📊 Watch Here👇

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 months

$IWM weekly chart squeeze setting up that move to 225-235.. going to be fast when it confirms. Smart money is all over this and will be huge wins in 3-4 months imo

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

9 months

The market just wiped out 4 weeks of downside in 4 trading days. This is why timing a precise buy point does not matter when it’s extremely likely to happen and turn soon. Scaling into multi week and multi month positions the past two weeks paid off big time. And any options put

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 months

Looking forward to selling into the pop tomorrow if it survives the overnight lol.. just sucked in alot of new fresh bulls which was needed in order to auction lower later in May. But have been saying 5000 SPX likely holds into month end.

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

6 months

Everyone all bullish stocks now at highs and DXY Dollar index getting strong here breaking that bull flag and now above the 200 day MA. What could possibly go wrong?

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

1 year

Who is ready for the bearish exhaustion candle on $NVDA tomorrow? 😀 who knows but be open to anything. This smells euphoric and blowoff like..

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

7 months

This melt up into new highs is setting up quite the bull trap for these chasers.. yikes. Seen it happen for years now 👀

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

1 year

$NYMO McClellan oscillator now at -72 the most oversold since last March. Usually like to see this at least -75 to -100 for a tradable rebound coming $SPY $QQQ

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

10 months

Really nailed this September correction into 420 $SPY lows perfectly and got long just as seasonality and sentiment said to. Nearing 13k followers on here so thanks to all new follows but pretty amazed still under 20k lol some clowns on here have twice that. Twitter is weird

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

5 months

Good rule of thumb on these triple witching quarterly OPEX weeks is to not fall for the typical weakness on Thursday because tends to see Friday rallies transpire, seasonally Nasdaq has been lower the past 20 years on the Thursday into OPEX and then Friday expiration day has been

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

5 months

Was curious at what happens after NAAIM gets this high so crunched some numbers and looked deeper. Like some others have shown already its generally a bullish condition going out 6 and 12 months into the future which I had a feeling would be the case. But the interesting thing

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

10 months

had to block about a dozen perma bears this week. Smells like a bottom :)

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

6 months

When they finally cut rates (likely May) that is going to be the sell signal. Markets look forward into the future. The same reason we bottomed 15 months ago at 3500 SPX

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

7 months

Crazy to me how some people dont do any options analysis of whats happening in a trillion dollar derivatives market. Options drive everything. They drove yesterdays pullback (also based on VIX expiration) and they will drive the next leg higher into early Jan due to systematic

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 months

A month ago that hot PPI number would have sold the market off 50+ points.. clearly a different market tape right now with dips getting bought and IV crushing

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

SPX holding that 5000 massive strike which holds a ton of gamma here, VIX really not saying it breaks so watch out above if starts to squeeze higher, also seeing dealer hedging flows not that bearish here Friendly reminder we play a probability game not a certainty game

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

9 months

This is probably the most bullish type of action today after a 5 day record sprint and just a quiet inside day pausing. Must be torture for anyone short to not get any pullback today.. just burn that premium.. gotta love it

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

1 year

No other little dude I would rather spend my 36th birthday with today. Amazes me how much my 3 year old nephew understands already. Age is just a number

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

9 months

Interesting to look back and compare the past month's action to that of $SPX in late 1982 when inflation peaked and the stock market rocketed higher into 1983. It erased two years of downside in just 3 short months as the SPX went from 105 to 145 into yearend and began a multi

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

25 days

someone woke up today and decided to buy over 3400 $TSLA March $420 calls at $12, near $4M purchase

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

10 months

This is a peak in yields. Time stamp it 😂

CNBC's Fast Money

@CNBCFastMoney

10 months

Could 10-year Treasury rates hit 13%? @RickSantelli charts the path to much, much higher yields, and warns that the Fed is running out of tricks

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

5 months

NYSE New Highs continue to outpace New Lows. My favorite simple way to track market strength. Just have been plugging in these stats into a spreadsheeet for years and always effective. Yeah breadth can be better but as long as the $NYHL 10 day MA (blue line in chart) of New

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 years

Equity Put/Call ratio 10-week MA hitting 0.75 and the highest level of this bear market. The past two times it got this high was the bottom in March 2020 and Dec 2018. Even if you're bearish here you really don't have an edge. Should be fun to look back at this in a few months

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

Stocks that printed an 'inside quarter' candle for Q1. Meaning the whole price range of Q1 was inside its Q4 candle range. Can often be setting up big moves the next quarter. All liquid names above $5B market cap: AAPL, CSCO, INTC, NEE, UPS, BA, SBUX, ADI, SO, USB, NTES, OXY,

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 months

Think I found the formula for big gains.. double down on a trade idea when the replies on fintwit call you crazy and that trade is surely to be a homerun with enough patience. Just seems the majority of traders are really uncomfortable buying into a downmove but understanding

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

9 months

I'm convinced most traders pile into trends just at the worst possible time when they are crowded and nearing inflection or turning points becauses it feels 'comfortable and certain' If you wanna be comfortable, buy a hammock. Making money in markets is about doing the

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

1 year

Insane amount of options flows today, tends to happen at end of moves often as gamma squeezes conclude. Would not be surprised to see the past two days completely reversed in next week

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

6 months

Feels like we could see $SMCI with a day soon where its down 150 pts.. I mean it went up 85 today.. happens the same way on downside but more violently. Pretty wild call IV skew in Feb options expiring next week with the $860 calls 200 points higher at near $5 while the $460

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

The time to be cautious and bearish was at 5300 last month when people were buying meme stocks and IPO's.. now that 5000 $SPX huge gamm support in play for a potential risk/reward to upside but clearly alot of headline risk out there. 4 days down in a row, rarely see 5

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

4 months

Market today reminds me of a frightened spider trying to crawl out of a toilet, cant quite decide but ultimately knows the flush is coming

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

1 year

Don't. Short. Dull. Markets. Don't drink the water in Mexico. Don't go to Vegas with your heart broke. Don't pick up the cherry bomb thinking its a dud. Dont ask me how I know, I just know

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

9 months

everyone hates $IWM right now.. so its likely the next index to play catch up the next 3 months as rotations likely setting up into new year

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

3 months

Another positive sign developing this week is VIX term structure near 1.00 level which often is where markets bottom in bull trends. One of my favorite signals to track. VIX/VXV ratio chart below shows that front month fear elevated that rarely lasts

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

10 months

One of those days you dream about in finance school when you're learning about stonks lol.. for reference about $200k account total so a solid 5% day. But leaned bullish into Fridays decline and ignored the bears. Continue to think the market climbs the wall of worry from here

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 years

Not big on put/call ratio's but when smoothed out using a 50 day MA its useful for longer term inflection points. Currently at 0.95 is the highest since June 2020. If can get to 1.0 it would be just the 5th time since 2017. All 4 prior times has seen $SPX higher in 6 months

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 years

Wrote a quick post about VIX volatility backwardation and the current state of the markets. Hope it helps! NEW POST: What an Inverted $VIX Curve Means and Why it Matters @OptionsHawk $SPY $QQQ

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

13 days

S&P $SPY saw late day buyers of over 18,000 July 29th $554 calls at $2.19 to $2.21 in large lots, potential nice play for a snapback rally after OPEX

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

10 months

Really should just wait to make my biggest trades when NYMO nad NAAIM index both oversold enough to create these wild rebounds off key support. Happens only maybe 3 times a year but the odds of big gains so high

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

2 years

$SPX percent of stocks above the 200 day MA is at 56.2% now. The highest since late March. Definitely a stronger market rally than July/August and something to keep in mind as more stocks participate. Dips are getting bought

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Jason

@3PeaksTrading

10 months

If you're trading in and out all day just chasing price action, thats a tough way to be consistent long term. Most pros focus on getting positioned for those 2-3 fat pitch trading setups each month. Everything else is noise and good for selling premium waiting for the next fat

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