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@Citrini7

53,279
Followers
1,951
Following
4,916
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36,094
Statuses

Thematic Cross-Asset Investor.

Connecticut, USA
Joined February 2021
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 years
Never really got to explain my reasoning for my $SIVB short - but suffice it to say now if you marked their holdings to market their book value would be negative
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@Citrini7
Citrini
3 months
when I saw this tweet I said “wow that might be the best tweet I’ve ever seen” and then the first leg of the parlay hit and now I’m certain it is
@buccocapital
BuccoCapital Bloke
3 months
“six way parlay. i want Biden step down on Sunday. i want Kamala at the convention. I want trump pennsylvania and arizona, kamala electoral, kamala popular. read it back to me”
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@Citrini7
Citrini
3 months
We didn’t make money, but at least we lost money.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
@tolstoybb ok but let’s lay this out right, im a paramedic and I get a call: “you have to go to the scene of an airplane crash, a pilot ejected from the plane” there’s a big difference between showing up to the scene prepared for this guy (who seems like he probably just needed transport)
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@Citrini7
Citrini
4 months
BREAKING: NVDA CEO SHIFTS FOCUS TO MOTHERBOARDS
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@Citrini7
Citrini
9 months
This is actually pretty sad. A manager who’s been around for 3 decades, made a series of bad calls and went on tilt for a month and is now out. “I have lost all confidence as a trader”…. This is what we all live in constant fear of. It only takes one bad month. One wrongly
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@Citrini7
Citrini
10 months
I watched this again and I’m 80% sure it’s going to be in a documentary ten years from now about a massive financial crisis
@OHWallStreet
Overheard on Wall Street
10 months
Blackstone’s 2023 Holiday Video
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
Was Jesus a low interest rate phenomenon?
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@Citrini7
Citrini
11 months
@Alfred_Lin imagine if it was someone’s job in the process of investing in a company to determine whether or not the company was deliberately misleading and lying to their investors what would you even call something like that lol
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@Citrini7
Citrini
4 months
Been going through it recently - my mom (who raised me by herself) had some health issues. Finally found a doctor that was exceptionally competent who went through everything and got excellent news that she doesn’t have cancer. Pretty good day.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
I have had serious ups and downs in trading. Just to name a few of the downs: -Took relatively consistent hits to performance as volatility didn’t perform to my expectations during Q1 22 -Have had more inappropriately sized short dated option plays expire worthless on me than I
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@Citrini7
Citrini
10 months
Can we just appreciate the possibility that someone got absolutely crushed on their shorts yesterday then showed up to take the train to work from jersey and their train was delayed because there is literally a bull running loose on the tracks?
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@Citrini7
Citrini
21 days
everyone talking about powell getting bullied by the market seems to have forgotten the time the 16th largest bank in america failed and he still hiked 25bps a week later if he cuts 50 it’s because he thinks it’s a good idea not because you losers convinced him with STIR futures
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 years
@alex_gurevich @FatTailCapital @Apple Sorry your small business relies on insanely invasive measures to be profitable. Maybe provide a service that doesn’t have to gain access to our browsing habits across applications to turn a profit.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
6 months
there are basically two people you meet who are really successful traders ime: 1) near-sociopathic lack of emotion, completely detached 2) preexisting bipolar disorder or other unhingedness and therefore accustomed to and unaffected by PnL variance driven mood swings
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 years
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
Me after touring 4 ridiculously priced NYC apartments;
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
This is a pretty based chart from @fundstrat I am pretty sure it should be clear that Tom isn’t using this analog to suggest NVDA takes the same course as CSCO but rather that if you want to start comparing NVDA to CSCO in the dot com bubble…you better cover your fcking short.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
10 months
This is the first shitcoin I’ve ever bought and honestly this might be a crypto twitter account now
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@Citrini7
Citrini
19 days
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@Citrini7
Citrini
9 months
We have entered a regime change:
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@Citrini7
Citrini
5 months
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
look at him that’s my quant my quantitative notice anything different about him?
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@Citrini7
Citrini
5 months
“added less jobs than expected this month, less people are making more money too” *champagne corks pop* *creed’s “higher” plays* *traders hug and cry tears of happiness* …does anyone actually wonder why normal people hate us or are we all pretty concrete on the reasoning?
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@Citrini7
Citrini
29 days
making a lot of money. far more than you need to live your ideal life. i see people with far more money than i have, more than I will ever probably make, still all-consumed by the relentless pursuit of more. romanticize “having enough and doing what makes you happy with it”
@duzany1care
Farina Malik ⁱᴾⁱᵃⁿ
30 days
What’s something people romanticize but it’s actually horrible?
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@Citrini7
Citrini
11 months
Remember what Soros said; a bubble gives you 3 great opportunities to make money: 1) buy in the beginning 2) short at the top 3) buy at the trough of disillusionment If you think something in the market is a bubble, you should be trying to take advantage of all three.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
・ *゚   ・ ゚* ・。 *・。 *.。 。・ °*. ゚ bubbles last longer than you think they will. 。。 ・ 。 ・゚ 。°*. 。*・。
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
sometimes you get reminded of why you come back to this site
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
I have a much better chart that refutes this point entirely
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@porterstansb
Porter Stansberry
2 months
From today’s WSJ. If you don’t understand this chart, don’t have money in stocks. If you do understand this chart, why do you have money in stocks?
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@Citrini7
Citrini
9 months
I literally check every flight I take to make sure it’s not on a 737-MAX. I’ve canceled flights for this reason before and seeing this makes me feel less like a paranoid idiot.
@chipgoines
Catless Cat Lady
9 months
. @Boeing , tell us again that the 737-MAX is safe.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
20 days
It was a bold call in July to say the Fed would cut 50 but it played out, so while I’ve got that going for me I’m gonna make another bold call… That’s the last 50bps cut for the next year.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
11 months
Many of you suffer from “imposter syndrome”. This will help, I hope. I know how easy it is to think you don’t belong, or that everyone else knows what’s going on and you don’t. Let me tell you right now, if you are in finance, doing well & struggling with these imposter
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
the masculine urge to say fuck it and put it all in off the run 29 year treasuries at 5% then leave forever
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@Citrini7
Citrini
11 months
guy selling Palestinian & Israeli flags near grand central is doing capitalism in its purest form imo
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@Citrini7
Citrini
4 months
What an absolute idiot. Holding that position through the livestream was 100% pure ego.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
If we are being perfectly frank, it’s a lonely position to take to defend the idea that a long will continue to outperform the market once it has already done so in a significant manner for an extended period of time. It’s much more sexy and fun to be controversial and
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
Schrodinger’s soft landing
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Citrini
2 months
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@Citrini7
Citrini
15 days
“if 500bn is not enough, then we can do another 500bn” that’s called direct action. don’t midcurve it.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
3 months
The best outcome for us right now is for investor opinion to rapidly oscillate between “certain recession” and “economic reacceleration” every other week for the next 3-6 months. That’s what the soft landing looks like, imo.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
Okay yeah I might short apple actually
@TripInChina
Sharing Travel
1 year
Huawei mobile phone stores and Apple mobile phone stores these days.😅😅😅 #mate
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
Feels like if we don’t bounce here it’s really over tbh
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
@SamanthaLaDuc @JerrBearr @thatgirltrader @GraphFinancials There is just a severe lack of understanding about the incentives here from most who wish to peddle this narrative. Those who are accusing Jensen of fraud should at least take the time to understand the business model. How would you like it if someone accused you of fraud without
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@Citrini7
Citrini
10 months
hearing rumors that a private credit pod was trying to arbitrage the treasury basis with a ladder attack in the forex repo market and is now blowing up after hitting the 0dte option maturity wall? anyone have color on this?
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@Citrini7
Citrini
9 months
I’m getting into long HSI/short NKY. I said my nice thing about the guy who blew up. Now I’m gonna finish the job he started.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
4 months
when I was a paramedic I’d get weekly, sometimes daily, reminders that we are all just bags of meat and blood who eventually die. this was extraordinarily helpful in learning to not take things too seriously. memento mori everyone.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 month
we will never solve the mystery of which companies these are and we just have to be ok with that. simply no way to ever know.
@VladTheInflator
Darth Powell
1 month
Let me guess, Nvidia owns the companies
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
>2019 >try biscoff cookie >cookie tastes good >buy cookie stock >don’t sell cookie stock, cookies still taste good >outperform SPX by 180% guys are we maybe over complicating this whole investing thing??
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@Citrini7
Citrini
23 days
this is your brain on global macro
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
Shorts have finite upside that can only be increased by, more or less, a martingale approach. Shorts get smaller as they work and become less important to your overall PnL. Longs will become more of your portfolio naturally as the position succeeds. The upside is theoretically
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
“we’re gonna have a recession” is not a call. it’s a literal statement of fact. more or less it is how economies work. eventually we will have a recession. why? because we’ve had a recovery. I only point this out because, as someone who has been in the “we are not gonna have a
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@Citrini7
Citrini
7 months
Here are some specialists to follow if you’re a generalist investor in multiple asset classes/markets. i know I’ve said this before but if you want to be a generalist you’re gonna have a really bad time without the humility & self-awareness necessary to recognize sectors /
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@Citrini7
Citrini
6 months
Unlike everyone else on twitter I did not anticipate this move.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
Today’s 10 year anniversary of the most exhausting days of work in my life. 27 hour long shift: two gunshot wounds, an overdose victim who became violent and attacked me after we pushed Narcan & a pregnant woman in respiratory arrest we ended up intubating. Yesterday, I made
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@Citrini7
Citrini
3 months
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
zero use cases. as far as the eye can see, just no use cases anywhere
@TheTranscript_
The Transcript
2 months
Walmart CEO on using AI: "We've used multiple LLMs to accurately create or improve over 850,000,000 pieces of data in the catalog. Without the use of generative AI, this work would have required nearly 100X the current headcount to complete in the same amount of time" $WMT
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
Randomly pitched SMCI by someone who I haven’t spoken to in 2 years. It might be over bros.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
12 days
@quantian1 from my time in med school I could have sworn one of the requirements was a propensity towards drug addiction
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
The first step to being wrong less often is to say “actually, I don’t know” when you, in fact, don’t fucking know.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
9 months
think about how lucky we are to be very passionate about something that just so happens to be one of the most effective ways to make a ton of money
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
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@BillAckman
Bill Ackman
1 year
I tweeted that @RobertKennedyJr raised some important questions about vaccine safety and now I am being labeled a Qanon conspiracist by some and a member of the alt-right by others. I have long believed that incentives drive all human behavior. This gives me reason to be open
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@Citrini7
Citrini
7 months
>cpi hotter than consensus, sell >but wait actually consensus was that cpi would be hotter than consensus so that’s a buy >but actually wait that cpi number is still kinda hot so maybe sell what are we doing here people, honestly…
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
Video of SPX hitting ATH as Marine One lands with POTUS in NYC & the Statue of Liberty is in the background.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
11 months
I have some anecdata, was in Tribeca last night at the Greenwich hotel. I’m up at 2:30AM because duh. My windows directly looking at the Citi HQ and there’s one light on in the whole building, conference room: There’s 4 guys in it visibly having a breakdown (yelling, pacing etc).
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
Guy on Bloomberg this AM: “It’s so hard for us to beat the SPX that our biggest overweight position is long SPX” Become the tail you wish to see in the world.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
20 days
“oh boy i can’t wait to find out the decision on how much money costs” listen to yourselves. go touch grass.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
9 months
I have a very simple playbook for 2024 that is actually more subtly complex than it appears: 1) As long as SPX is below ATH, keep net exposure near zero or negative. 2) As long as SPX is above ATH, keep net exposure very positive. Simpol.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
bro, man, I get it. we’re having a good time being long NVDA. but that’s no reason to wear this war crime of an outfit.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
20 days
Think people are going to be very surprised how effective that cut is at stopping any negative momentum in unemployment and jolting biz optimism. The lag of monetary policy will not be as long and variable on the downside as it was on the upside.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
3 years
@StonkyStonknKen @ScorpionFund This the stock market, not a charity.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 years
On this twitter account I have publicly predicted the insolvency of SVB 6 months in advance & the BoJ’s adjustment of Yield Curve Control before it happened in December, yet my most liked tweet is a meme about bill ackman.
@Citrini7
Citrini
2 years
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@Citrini7
Citrini
9 months
A bit of advice that’s actually NFA this Friday: When good things happen to people, my first reaction has only ever been to be stoked for them. I’ve met people that seem to take good things happening to people who aren’t them as some sort of personal affront, and their first
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@Citrini7
Citrini
10 months
All the sick fucks on this website rooting for a stock market crash should take a look at this idk
@unusual_whales
unusual_whales
10 months
People's portfolio losses in 2009, from 60 Minutes:
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@Citrini7
Citrini
5 months
I have held between 9-13% of my book in ~20 Chinese names since late October. At numerous points since then, Chinese equities reached the point where I’d say to myself “well…it can’t go down any more than that” and then typically what would happen is a quick bounce followed by
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@Citrini7
Citrini
16 days
spx 6k by thanksgiving what say you
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@Citrini7
Citrini
4 months
all fcking year: “NVDA is the only thing holding up the S&P500 😭😭” NVDA off 16%, SPX down 92bps nice
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
“Wall Street has ruined me, and Wall Street will pay.” Jim Fisk’s confederate bond short is one of the greats, with much more pizzazz than Rothschild’s informational edge on the gilt market after the outcome of Waterloo, but not many are aware of the story.
@TheStalwart
Joe Weisenthal
1 year
Found the burial site of stockbroker and robber baron Diamond Jim Fisk, business partner of Jay Gould, who’s tomb and monument features sculptures of women holding railroad bonds
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
You, 2 years ago: man if I could get 4.5% risk free for 30 years I’d just stick all my money in there and go to the beach You, now: I think it probably goes up another 20 or 22bps so I’m gonna wait
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
Everyone sees this and doesn’t notice the nearly 5M drawdown a month in that would make most normies soil themselves and quit. Whoever this guy is, he isn’t lucky. He’s got balls of steel and bets more. Lessons there.
@finkmoney_
🧠 David | Fink Money
8 months
Guy on Wallstreetbets has done +$18m (1000%) YTD. Might lose it all, but you cannot discount the actual thesis. Just some trade and risk management is probably needed. Really hope he just quits when he’s content with his winnings! 😫
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
I keep saying it… If you’re a trader you’re gonna make the vast majority of your money during crises that cause volatility. That’s gonna mean: Credit Suisse “absolutely not” at 3AM Lebanese rockets at 4AM Etc. Don’t sleep when shit is hitting the fan.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
I think whatever Powell says will be bullish. I think we just climbed one of the great walls of worry of this whole rally. But I have a weird urge to fade things here. Someone talk me out of it.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
Seems like this should be the default stance of all government run pension funds. Really, why is it not?
@JimChuong
The Lazy Canadian Investor 🇨🇦🇺🇸
2 months
Nevada state pension fund invests only in passive index funds and is managed by 1 person. It beats almost everyone. The manager's only decision is whether to have BLT or tuna sandwich for lunch 🤣
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@Citrini7
Citrini
4 months
Every time a rate cut gets priced out is another future equity rally dependent on rate cuts getting priced in that we have to look forward to.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
Macro strategists in absolute shambles, this dude has a full time job being a star athlete and pretty much just gave the same analysis at least a few of you are!
@HighyieldHarry
High Yield Harry
8 months
They asked Chiefs players about rate cut expectations and Justin Watson actually cooked
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@Citrini7
Citrini
9 months
Over the past decade investing has become easier but investment managers have failed (or been unwilling) to adapt to this and, in doing so, perceived it as more difficult. Here’s a rare objective truth in investing: alpha eventually becomes beta. What’s alpha in technology
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
China; down Hong Kong; down Germany: down France: down UK: down Saudi Arabia: down Japan: down and United States of America: ashamed you even have to ask you goddamn commie…obviously massively up.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
This is my happy place
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
you did not take the million paper cuts trying to hedge your AI exposure by shorting USDJPY until it worked you do not get to act like you called the correlation, captain hindsight you especially do not get to pretend that Japan is the reason things are going down. it’s all
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@Citrini7
Citrini
6 months
if anyone is wondering the psychological approach I’ll be taking to trading this week, this summarizes it pretty well
@witte_sergei
Big Serge ☦️🇺🇸🇷🇺
6 months
Shoutout to this Kuwait airlines plane opting to drive straight home directly through the Iranian air strike. I love this pilot. Ice in his veins.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
8 months
Imagine how angry everyone would be if breadth just got better but at the same time the mega caps kept going up
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@Citrini7
Citrini
7 months
the dog has a hat. does the S&P 500 have a hat? the ten year treasury? dollar yen? yeah, that’s what I thought. looks like we know what we should be trading then.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
2 months
@TheStalwart Honestly imagine being Eisenhower and having some intelligence asset report this absolute scene to you We used to be a country
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@Citrini7
Citrini
9 months
In real terms the SPX is still down about 9% from its all time highs. Someone had to say it, sorry.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
4 months
god I love how angry people are because the uno reverse card meme + position poasting just made roaringkitty like $450 million in (unrealized) PnL
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@Citrini7
Citrini
9 months
I love all of you. That's it, that's the tweet. I think fintwit is actually great. Happy new year mfers.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
1 year
broke: omg these people are so dumb woke: that’s what makes a market bespoke: i pray for the dumbest possible counterparties & i encourage any media that makes them dumber
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@Citrini7
Citrini
11 months
I guarantee you that 95% of you who try managing your own money will underperform the index. And I guarantee you that 98% of you who outperform the index will do so with a worse sharpe. And we’re still here, trying, because we are idiots and/or because we love it.
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@Citrini7
Citrini
5 months
lmaooooo
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