Rorry Daniels @rorrydaniels Twitter profile | Pikagi

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Rorry Daniels

@rorrydaniels

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Managing Director @AsiaPolicy and Asia security specialist. Opinions my own. She/her. Crossposting @

Princeton, NJ

Joined April 2009

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

1 day

🚨NEW: What does Asia want from the U.S. & how will the 2024 election shape policy? @asiapolicy 's digital volume has👇 ✔️11 essays co-written by ASPI & Asian experts ✔️2 interviews w/former Asian officials ✔️Covers 21st c challenges in econ, security, sustainability 1/2

@AsiaPolicy

Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

1 day

As the U.S. gears up for the 2024 #elections , what does it mean for #Asia ? 🤔Explore key insights in @asiapolicy ’s new compendium, "Red or Blue: What’s at Stake for Asia in the 2024 U.S. Election." #ASPIBallotBox 👇 Get expert analysis from ASPI and Asia:

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

An existential struggle—by definition—means that one side must disappear for the other side to survive. This committee is not just “sketching the threat” to U.S interests, they are using American tax dollars to build the case for war with China.

@JChengWSJ

Jonathan Cheng

2 years

A new U.S. House committee on China held its first hearing, sketching out the threat it says Beijing poses to U.S. interests and calling for a concerted response. "This is not a polite tennis match. This is an existential struggle.” @charleshutzler

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Rorry Daniels

3 years

It also begs an alternate analysis to the ‘China got played’ argument: it’s possible that an autocracy’s poor information environment compounds exponentially when coordinating with other autocracies.

@barros_bryce

Bryce C. Barros 白若詩

3 years

This is a very telling data point, confirms confusion amongst 🇨🇳PRC leadership on the broader implications of the 🇷🇺Russian invasion of 🇺🇦Ukraine and expectations of the war.

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

The postponement of Blinken's trip to China over the balloon incident is disappointing but not surprising in the current state of US-China relations and domestic politics 🧵👇

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

I’m delighted to start today as Managing Director of @AsiaPolicy , a terrific global team with a track record of high quality work and a lot of exciting projects on the horizon.

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

Seeing tweets expressing surprise that Gen. Milley felt it necessary to reassure the Chinese last fall—but anyone who talked to the Chinese about security issues at that time could corroborate these concerns. 1/5

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

4 months

The PLA has started large military drills in and around the Taiwan Strait—what’s happening? A thread 1/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

If no one would tell Putin he is miscalculating, and no one would tell Xi that Putin is miscalculating, then no surprise that China miscalculated. In other words, rather than China getting played by Russia, both leaders were played by their own sycophantic systems…

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

5 years

Seems like we're careening toward a choice between an unknown risk (the global spread/fatality rate of COVID-19) and a known risk (the economic effects of pandemic responses like quarantines). Who gets to decide what to prioritize?

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

11 months

Re Xi-Biden meeting, I think both sides got what they wanted…for now. Mtg very focused on benefits of coordination/cooperation rather than areas of competition/conflict. Short 🧵👇

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

But we should all be concerned that an essential tool of crisis management-diplomacy-is held hostage to the political mood in DC and hamstrung by predictable types of events. This is not a sustainable way to responsibly manage the most important relationship in the world. END

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

Delighted to have hosted this *all-star* *all women* panel of Asia policy experts breaking down the events of the past week - Watch or listen to the conversation with me + @suea_thornton + @wendyscutler + @jessicacweiss 👇

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Expert panel on US - China relations after Balloon-gate

Recently U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken postponed his visit to China in response to a Chinese balloon spotted flying over the U.S., ratcheting up ten...

www.youtube.com

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

1 year

Qin Gang out as China’s Foreign Minister and Wang Yi back in. Short 🧵on what we know, what we still don’t know, and what to look for.

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

Where stories about a weakened US carried more bureaucratic weight than downside risk calculations.

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

The US-China relationship is currently not able to withstand or cushion the blips that will inevitably continue to occur as China reaches peer competitor status. Our fractious domestic politics leaves little appetite for risk or room for error in dealing with China. 4/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

A piece I take no pleasure in writing: We are facing a very delicate period for peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. Pelosi's trip was symptomatic of larger security dilemma dynamics. 1/4

@9DashLine

9DASHLINE

2 years

"The path to conflict is not inevitable, but it is paved with poor communication, misperceptions, and disregard for the lives it holds in the balance" | by @rorrydaniels

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

6 months

Should the U.S. change its Taiwan policy? I argue strategic ambiguity is durable and successful bc: 1) it allows the sovereignty issue to be delayed indefinitely 2) it keeps Taiwan as a political question, not a military struggle Read more + reactions: (cc: @AsiaPolicy )

@BrookingsFP

Brookings Foreign Policy

6 months

Ivan Kanapathy, Thomas Hanson, @MichaelEOHanlon , @rorrydaniels , @ryanl_hass & @patricia_m_kim offer a rigorous examination of the choices and trade-offs that confront the United States in its competition with China.

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

As someone who both sees this as a serious issue AND organizes conferences regularly, I have some thoughts on this to share—both the problem and how to help. 1/

@EBKania

Elsa B. Kania

3 years

Whenever I see an agenda for or find myself attending a conference (or several) in which the vast majority of the presenters (e.g., all but one) are men, I am saddened and frustrated by how ‘normal’ and unremarkable that is still for so many of my professional colleagues.

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

1 year

Just spent several days in HK meeting with officials, academics, civil society, and politicians (wide range), thanks to @MansfieldFDN . Some key takeaways as a record of what we heard (not my opinions)🧵👇 (1C2S = one country, two systems)

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

5 months

Really delighted to present this interview with Asia Society’s new President and CEO, Dr. Kyung-wha Kang, who speaks about her amazing career and how it’s shaped her ideas on leadership and global governance! Listen at the link👇or your fav pod platform

@AsiaPolicy

Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

5 months

In her first interview for ASPI's "Asia Inside Out" podcast, @AsiaSocietyCEO Dr. Kyung-wha Kang speaks with @rorrydaniels about the diversity of Asia and @AsiaSociety 's big mission.

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

4 months

Tomorrow morning 11am Eastern, please tune in! We have a lot to discuss on Taiwan, the South China Sea and where the diplomatic relationship is headed in the run up to the US election.

@ftlive

Financial Times Live

4 months

Join @rorrydaniels of Asia Society, @kenmoriyasu of Nikkei Asia, @Dimi and @JKynge from the Financial Times tomorrow. Our panel will answer your questions on the overall state of US-China relations. Webinar free registration: #FTLive

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

From our NCAFP report on cross-Taiwan Strait relations on discussions in Oct 2020: “Mainland participants expressed serious anxieties that the Trump administration might provoke a conflict in East Asia to shore up President Trump’s re-election prospects. 2/5

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

If you think China's intentions are more manageable-perhaps not fully benign, but not inevitably catastrophic- then you may be less worried about the balloon as an *act* and more worried about the balloon as a *symbol* for how fragile US-China relations have become. 3/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

5 years

There's a good case to make for companies diversifying away from China to maintain resilience against CCP pressure campaigns, but orders to do so only raise the political risk of doing business with and in the US. Another example of how we can't compete with China by becoming it.

@realDonaldTrump

Donald J. Trump

@realDonaldTrump

5 years

....better off without them. The vast amounts of money made and stolen by China from the United States, year after year, for decades, will and must STOP. Our great American companies are hereby ordered to immediately start looking for an alternative to China, including bringing..

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

“and US military activities in the South China Sea were picking up. Whether or not these actions were intended to send a signal, they were being received by some in China as a precursor to military conflict.” 4/5

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

Today is my last day at @NATLCOMMITTEE after 10+ years of working with the best and brightest in Asia security Track IIs. Pls indulge me in thanking some ppl in a very long appreciation 🧵! 1/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

Direct communication is an excellent source of intelligence. We release these reports regularly and free of charge—you can sign up for our mailing list on our website (). 5/5

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The National Committee on American Foreign Policy

The National Committee on American Foreign Policy (NCAFP) was founded in 1974 by Professor Hans J. Morgenthau and others. It is a nonprofit policy organization dedicated to the resolution of confli...

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

“Communication between the US and Chinese governments had been halted, senior US officials were giving speeches attacking the legitimacy of the Chinese Communist Party, the US Ambassador in Beijing has announced his resignation,… 3/5

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

5 years

Change my mind: The US-China trade war is a political, not an economic problem. No deal is going to solve the underlying dynamics, not even a deal on so-called 'structural reform.'

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

11 months

It’s not a major breakthrough but a considerable amount of progress nonetheless. Plenty will say it all means nothing, that China uses dialogue to buy time, but evidence suggests otherwise—China tends to fill commitments at roughly same rate as US, a little more than half. 4/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

1 year

Please stay tuned as we relaunch Asia Inside Out after the long weekend! We have a fantastic slate of guests lined up and I’m excited to hear your feedback.

@AsiaPolicy

Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

1 year

Coming next week, the relaunch of ASPI's podcast, Asia Inside Out, hosted by our Managing Director @rorrydaniels ! 🗣️🌏 Tune into our preview, where you'll learn about what's to come, and our first guest:

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

4 months

Key questions I’m asking myself: 1) How will drills impact the planned meeting at the Shangrila Dialogue (two weeks away) between US Sec Def Austin and Chinese Adm. Dong Jun? Perhaps China still views mil diplomacy as a seatbelt, not a guardrail, and is now pressing the gas 7/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

1 year

With Biden’s Australia trip cancelled, what’s next for the Quad? Join us *tonight* at 8:30 ET with @dannyrrussel @MohanCRaja @takakohikotani @Dom_Fraser and Senior Fellow Richard Maude, for reactions from the four countries

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The 2023 Quad Leaders' Summit: What to Expect

PUBLIC What to expect from the forthcoming Quad Leaders’ Summit in Sydney?

asiasociety.org

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

4 years

Next Monday, 2/2, please come hear about what our emerging leaders group recommends in US-ROK-Japan relations! Proud to have an *all-female panel* outlining opportunities and challenges in trilateral relations: @JessLee_DC @ayumi_teraoka with Dr. Bo Ram Kim and Ms. Saeme Kim

@NATLCOMMITTEE

NCAFP

4 years

EVENT: Join us on 2/1 for the launch of an upcoming report: "Reinvesting in U.S.-Japan-Republic of Korea Strategic Relations: A Practical Trilateral Agenda", with policy recommendations made by our Emerging Leaders Working Group! #DiplomacyInAction

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

The problem with the pivot to Asia isn’t that the US military is overstretched elsewhere—it’s that pivot is only measured in military terms, with no clear economic strategy for the region. That’s what makes security crises elsewhere so seemingly consequential for the pivot.

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

5 months

This week, I shared some thoughts with @WarOnTheRocks on the state of US-China relations after Sec. Blinken's trip to Beijing - have a read here👇

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In Brief: The U.S.-Chinese Relationship - War on the Rocks

A lot happens every day. Alliances shift, leaders change, and conflicts erupt. With In Brief, we’ll help you make sense of it all. Each week, experts will

warontherocks.com

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

Appreciate the opportunity to offer some thoughts to this excellent analysis in the NYT: Balloon Incident Highlights Fragile State of U.S.-China Relationship

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Balloon Incident Highlights Fragile State of U.S.-China Relationship (Published 2023)

Recent efforts by Beijing to mend ties with Washington were showing progress, but the balloon’s appearance over the United States illustrates lingering mistrust and growing tensions.

www.nytimes.com

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

We don't have the robust set of relationships between officials at all levels on both sides to do the work of testing assumptions about China's intentions. Postponing the trip until this work occurs is understandable--the best choice in a menu of bad options. 5/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

5 years

Who’s got two thumbs and a fantastic new boss??

@NATLCOMMITTEE

NCAFP

5 years

Susan A. Thornton ( @suea_thornton ) will join the NCAFP as Project Director of its Forum on Asia-Pacific Security, effective January 1, 2020:

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

My exclusive for SCMP on the summit: Xi and Biden are at least willing to work on the US-China relationship via @scmpnews

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Opinion | Xi and Biden are at least willing to work on the US-China relationship

The US-China talks in Bali gave both leaders a chance to voice their concerns without overshadowing the need for cooperation. The real work of turning this goodwill into meaningful action now falls...

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

1 year

How are the three Cs—COVID, conflict and coercion—changing the geopolitical landscape in the U.S. and Asia? What can we do to manage change and uncertainty at home and abroad? @USAmbJapan highlights US-Japan momentum on #AsiaInsideOut

@AsiaPolicy

Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

1 year

We're back! 🗣️🎙️ In the relaunch of ASPI's podcast, our @rorrydaniels chats with Rahm Emanuel, @USAmbJapan , on Japan's role in the Asia-Pacific region, and why America’s brand in Asia is strong. 🇺🇸🤝🇯🇵 Listen now:

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

@ZacharyKeck This is a useful but imperfect analogy. Existential *threat* is a threat to one’s existence. Existential *struggle* suggests a winner emerges at the expense of the existence of the loser. Existential crisis is just a side effect of too much Twitter I think 🤪

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

11 months

And I shouldn’t forget the considerable attn to people to people exchange, incl Xi’s commitment in his dinner speech to bringing pandas back to the US (tho seems Cali is more deserving than DC). Flights, visas, students all essential to building on positive momentum. END

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

Once I sat in the audience, jaw droppingly awed as I watched Amb Pickering give a 50 minute tour de force lecture on US-Russia relations with zero notes, not even one ‘um’ or ‘uh’—and now I get to ask the questions :) Pinch me, y’all, I love my job 💕

@AsiaPolicy

Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

2 years

Next week in New York, we're hosting an important conversation on China’s growing involvement in international conflicts around the world. 🌎🌍🌏 Featuring: @dannyrrussel @rorrydaniels @Martin_Indyk and Thomas Pickering Register here 👇

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

4 months

Taiwan is in an impossible position and the PRC is escalating those tensions with these drills. I still believe use of force is BJ’s least preferred option for Taiwan. But as other options dwindle the likelihood of a crisis conflict in and around Taiwan Strait rises. 9/9

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

4 months

First, these exercises are both tactical (a response to Taiwan President Lai Ching-te’s speech) and strategic (advancing training that Beijing feels would enhance their ability to successfully use force against Taiwan) 2/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

Thanks, @KaiserKuo , for having us! In my sleep-deprived state (I had a baby a couple weeks before we recorded), I forgot to thank our research team—Tiffany Barron, @kaciemiura , @ckafura , @mphulme —and my esteemed colleagues, @juliet_ylee , Sampson Oppedisano [1/2]

@KaiserKuo

Kaiser Kuo

3 years

Engagement with China failed? Think again — and look at the evidence. This week on Sinica, a conversation with @suea_thornton , @rorrydaniels , and @danjasper about their audit of the S&ED, and the benefits side of the engagement ledger. Transcript here!

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

Beautiful Sakura Tokyo!

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

I’m 8 weeks into a generous, 12 week mat leave and still not able to push a stroller, carry a laundry basket up the stairs, or sleep more than 3 consecutive hours. My husband’s flexibility as a full-time student is the only thing keeping us all together.

@laicie

Laicie Heeley

3 years

Trying to find the words to convey just how disappointed I am in the decision to, once again, deny parents the ability to take even a few short weeks away from work to recover from childbirth. And since I’m currently recovering from childbirth, well, a few thoughts. 🧵 1/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

1 year

I recently put my thoughts together for @9DashLine comparing the aftermath of the Tsai-McCarthy meeting with that of the Pelosi’s visit to TW. Short🧵

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9DASHLINE — A new cut of the cloth: Exploring Beijing’s tailored response to the Tsai-McCarthy...

Written by Rorry Daniels. Beijing long signalled that it would respond to a Tsai-McCarthy meeting, but its actions did not break precedent and in many ways showed restraint.

www.9dashline.com

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

7 months

Had the extreme pleasure of moderating a discussion on differing views of China's rise last night with the incomparable @mahbubani_k & @AsiaSociety 's own @orvilleschell Watch and follow @AsiaPolicy for more opps to hear directly from key Asian experts:

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The United States, China, and the Future of the Global Order

NEW YORK, March 21, 2024 — Asia Society Policy Institute, in partnership with Perry World House at the University of Pennsylvania, hosts a discussion on the ...

www.youtube.com

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

6 months

Thanks @politico for featuring my thoughts on how China is viewing the upcoming U.S. election - in short, a mixed bag with no clear preference.

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China’s 2024 election play

www.politico.com

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

Where you stand on the balloon itself depends on where you sit on the "China threat" spectrum. If you think China is out to get us, then the balloon is the tip of the iceberg of Chinese surveillance and intentions to subjugate the US. 2/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

4 years

Please RT/share!$3k honorarium for each participant. We are serious about elevating the voices of emerging leaders in US-Japan-ROK relations AND in paying them for their work. So, if talking alliance relations is your jam, we want to indulge you alongside your peers. DMs open.

@NATLCOMMITTEE

NCAFP

4 years

The NCAFP is taking applications from emerging leaders for a PAID working group on US-ROK-Japan relations. Looking for policy-minded professionals with 5-10 yrs of relevant exp. - ABDs, think tankers, asst/assoc profs from US, Japan, ROK, all welcome 1/2

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Rorry Daniels

4 months

The speech may be reflective of Lai’s sense that his audience was not in Beijing, where frankly, he was unlikely to give satisfaction no matter what he said, and more for his own positioning in domestic and international politics. 6/

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Rorry Daniels

5 years

This is incredible—let’s be clear that ‘reciprocity’ in this case means more government inference in the US private sector and civil society. I expect this of China, but do not see how it complies with US values and norms. We cannot compete with China by becoming China.

@KennedyCSIS

Scott Kennedy

5 years

Wow! Requiring Chinese officials to report to US fed govt their meetings w/ Americans could have a huge chilling effect on interactions & reduce Chinese understanding of American realities & vice versa.

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

. @AsiaPolicy is launching a new Center for China Analysis, under @MrKRudd @batesgill1 and the Twitterless Jing Qian. The CCA has already put out a fantastic tool for understanding the CPC’s 20th Party Congress (this is worth switching to desktop rn)

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

8 months

Some exciting news for Asia Society today! The whole @AsiaPolicy team welcomes Dr. Kang and we can’t wait to support her at @AsiaSociety

@AsiaSociety

Asia Society

8 months

Asia Society is excited to announce our next President and CEO: former South Korea Foreign Minister Dr. Kyung-wha Kang. Read the full announcement and her bio below, and follow her at @AsiaSocietyCEO .

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Rorry Daniels

3 months

Our latest episode of #AsiaInsideOut on the Russia-DPRK summit is up! Featuring a conversation between yours truly, @dannyrrussel , Allison Hooker, @nktpnd *Listen here: *Watch here:

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The Russia-DPRK Summit: Outcomes and Implications

June 21, 2024 — An expert panel discusses the recently concluded summit meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un....

www.youtube.com

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Rorry Daniels

4 months

2) How will drills affect the international business communities sense of Taiwan risk? If tensions keep up, Lai’s domestic agenda may be more difficult or costly to achieve as business invests in places with perceived lower risk. 8/

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Rorry Daniels

11 months

China got the U.S. One China policy reaffirmed (without mention of the TRA/6 assurances), opened dialogues rather than specific commitments, positioned China as a responsible actor on the global stage. 1/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

Really hope you will join us next week for the launch of our S&ED audit report—our amazing team (incl @ckafura , Kacie Miura and Patrick Holmes) followed 6 years of S&ED outcomes + interviewed former officials to explore process and progress /1

@NATLCOMMITTEE

NCAFP

3 years

9/13 EVENT Join @NATLCOMMITTEE and @NCUSCR for a discussion on the progress and lessons learned from the US-China Strategic & Economic Dialogues with experts Tiffany Barron @PUPolitics , @rorrydaniels , @DJasper_ @afsc_org , and @suea_thornton . REGISTER➞

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Rorry Daniels

4 months

. @AsiaPolicy has a fantastic resource to give you a deeper dive on elections in Asia - find all you need to know about the results in Taiwan, Indonesia, Korea, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan + upcoming content on Solomon Islands and India here! 👇

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The Ballot Box: Why Elections Matter for Asia

Check back here for analysis on all the elections impacting the Asia-Pacific in 2024.

asiasociety.org

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Rorry Daniels

7 months

NYC friends! Come see me moderate a discussion on US-China competition between two of the greats on the topic—Orville Schell and Kishore Mahbubani. Next Thursday night the 21st at Asia Society, register at the link!

@AsiaSocietyNY

Asia Society NY

7 months

Is the U.S.-China relationship irrevocably locked in conflict? March 21, join us for a lively discussion with @NUSingapore Distinguished Fellow @mahbubani_k & @USChinaCenter Director @orvilleschell , moderated by @AsiaPolicy Managing Director @rorrydaniels .

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Rorry Daniels

4 months

For more on the dynamics of the speech, watch our webinar from Tuesday with @LyleJMorris + @GranoSimona

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Rapid Reactions to the Taiwan Presidential Inauguration

May 21, 2024 — An expert panel analyzes the potential implications of the inaugural address of Taiwan’s President-elect Lai Ching-te for Taiwan, China, and t...

www.youtube.com

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Rorry Daniels

4 months

The speech was a strong on Lai’s vision of Taiwan, but that vision positions Taiwan as a key node in a global coalition of democracies that Beijing feels is intent on containing and punishing China. Lai also used the word ‘independent’ to describe Taiwan… 3/

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

3 years

My husband (computer science BA) has to write a paper to finish a course so our house is getting a deep clean and I am feeling seen.

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

Set a reminder for this discussion next Thursday night with a thoughtful group of China experts on what the hell happened this week and where we go from here 👇⏰🎈

@NeysunM

Neysun Mahboubi

2 years

As part of an ongoing series with @uscnpm , I had a great group lined up to postgame Secretary Blinken’s visit to China, but we are not deflated! Join me, @paulhaenle , @rorrydaniels , @yawei_liu1960 , @annatashton , & @iandenisjohnson here next Thursday:

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Rorry Daniels

4 years

Love this so much. Let's stop typifying systems with a narrow lens and pay attention to how power is being consolidated/used in practice at any given time + the pros and cons of those strategies. We miss a lot by conflating our normative systems preference with behavior.

@yuenyuenang

Yuen Yuen Ang

4 years

B4 Trump, US was a democracy, and B4 Xi, China was an autocracy with democratic characteristics. If Trump is reelected, the 21st century, great-power competition between US and China will be between an illiberal democracy and a regular autocracy.

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Rorry Daniels

11 months

US got its priorities—fentanyl, mil to mil, AI—at the forefront of continued diplomacy, also projected a balance between strength and stability. Did not give at all on trade restrictions, incl high tech. 2/

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Rorry Daniels

1 year

Today, while China published new regulations for generative AI, like ChatGPT, @AsiaPolicy published @johannamcostig1 's paper on China's AI regulations--w/background on how 'core socialist values' co-exist alongside important technical rules 1/2

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Picking the Rose, Leaving the Thorn: Why China’s AI Regulations Are Worth Careful Examination

Johanna Costigan writes about how China’s AI regulations reflect Xi Jinping’s attempt at authoritarian and patriarchal social control and offers meaningful protections against the technology.

asiasociety.org

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Rorry Daniels

4 months

To Beijing, a separate Taiwan identity is not only a down payment on permanent separation but a marker on the path to declaring formal independence. Lai’s words were interpreted as empowering the pro-independence wing of his party. 5/

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Rorry Daniels

2 years

It doesn't have to be this way. But as long as the leadership on all sides spend their resources defending their positions rather than managing their differences, we are headed down a dark and dangerous path. 4/4

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Rorry Daniels

4 years

We're teeing up a fantastic event w/ Amb. Davies @GlynTDavies , Susan Thornton @suea_thornton , Dr. Hoo Chiew-ping @HooCP , Dr. Shafiah Muhibat of @CSISIndonesia , & Dr. Ken Jimbo @kenj0126 - join us over morning coffee (US) or late night drinks (Asia)!

@NATLCOMMITTEE

NCAFP

4 years

EVENT 9/24: Join us next week as our expert panelists from the US, #Japan and #ASEAN member states discuss and identify the challenges and opportunities in regional strategic competition, especially amid #US - #China tensions. Register Here:

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Rorry Daniels

4 months

Going live in five!

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Rorry Daniels

4 months

Tomorrow morning 11am Eastern, please tune in! We have a lot to discuss on Taiwan, the South China Sea and where the diplomatic relationship is headed in the run up to the US election.

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Rorry Daniels

3 years

Looking forward to sharing some thoughts on US-China dialogue next week with @LokmanKaradag1 Wednesday, Jan 26, 8:30am Eastern, have your breakfast or late night drink while I’m live on YouTube!

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US-China Dialogue in an Era of Strategic Competition

US-China Dialogue in an Era of Strategic CompetitionGuests: Rorry DanielsHost: Lokman KaradagTopics discussed in this program;📌US-China Dialogue in an Era o...

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Rorry Daniels

8 months

Our latest private roundtable brought experts from India, Indonesia, Singapore and Japan into the DC discussion on peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. Read the report here 👇1/2

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Taiwan's 2024 Elections and Regional Security Dynamics

On the sidelines of the Asia Spotlight: 2024 conference, the Asia Society Policy Institute convened a private roundtable of experts from Asia and the United States to discuss cross–Taiwan Strait...

asiasociety.org

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Rorry Daniels

2 years

So proud of my colleagues at @asiapolicy for their efforts to accelerate cancer cures through harmonized clinical trials! The results show these efforts are saving lives. Hear from patients and learn how the US and China actually *can* collaborate on global public goods 👇

@AsiaPolicy

Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

2 years

Just launched today: @cure4C ! 🩺❤️ Learn more about this international movement aimed at raising public awareness, accelerating the development of cancer cures:

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Rorry Daniels

4 years

@ourobororoboruo I think there’s a difference is btw memorizing the language, and learning the etymology. You can speak Chinese and have no curiosity about the deeper context but if you study the evolution of the language/characters you’ll recognize cultural depth/nuance everywhere you look.

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Rorry Daniels

1 year

Video at the link 👇

@AsiaPolicy

Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

1 year

Right now, our ASPI experts @rorrydaniels , @batesgill1 , Christopher K. Johnson, and @neilthomas123 weigh in on this week's ouster of Qin Gang as China's Foreign Minister. 👋🇨🇳 Join us on our YouTube channel:

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Rorry Daniels

1 year

We at @AsiaPolicy are delighted to host @JapanEmbDC Ambassador Tomita for a wide-ranging discussion on US-Japan relations to a full house in NYC this morning!

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Rorry Daniels

5 months

Join us right now! 👇

@CNASdc

CNAS

5 months

We are LIVE with an expert panel ft. @rorrydaniels , @amanda_hsiao , & Jude Blanchette to discuss @jacobstokes ’s new report, Beyond China's Black Box: Trends Shaping China’s Foreign and Security Policy Decision-Making under Xi Jinping. Tune in! #CNAS2024

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Rorry Daniels

10 months

Check out the latest episode of Asia Inside Out with @ShombiSharp and @faamer 🎙️👇 Shombi’s role as UN resident coordinator in India is a fascinating backdrop for discussing multilateralism and development—the G20, UNGA, COP and South-South cooperation

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Shombi Sharp on India's Leadership in Development, Climate, and Equity

In this month's edition of Asia Inside Out, a conversation on India's perspective on G20 leadership, innovative development strategies, climate action, and inclusive policies.

asiasociety.org

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Rorry Daniels

5 months

Looking forward to visiting the UMN China Center this week to talk all things Taiwan!

@BrookingsChina

Brookings China

@BrookingsChina

6 months

On April 25th, Brookings & UMN China Center will cohost the event: "Should the United States change its policies around Taiwan?" with a panel of experts moderated by @rashreport & featuring @rorrydaniels , Thomas Hanson, Ivan Kanapathy, & @MichaelEOHanlon .

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Rorry Daniels

3 years

Fellowship alert! Looking for early to mid-career academics/analysts for a PAID opportunity to develop a portfolio of policy work under a training program that includes a senior-level mentor and feedback from your peer group. Not sure if you should apply? DM me!

@NATLCOMMITTEE

NCAFP

3 years

🚨APPLY🚨 We are excited to announce that the application to join our 2022 Next Generation Korea Peninsula Specialists emerging leaders program is officially LIVE! Deadline to apply is April 18. Info & application available here:

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Rorry Daniels

3 years

If you want to smarten up that Spotify wrapped, try @NATLCOMMITTEE 's new podcast series of emerging leaders discussing recent work on Korean peninsula issues. Been a pleasure working with and learning from these talented researchers over the last year!

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Rorry Daniels

11 months

A confluence of events set the stage for this meeting to be candid/constructive as both sides have serious problems to address and might need each other to do so—Middle East conflict, China’s economic slowdown. 3/

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Rorry Daniels

1 year

Catch up on the latest developments in Pakistan with @AsiaPolicy expert @faamer

@AsiaPolicy

Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

1 year

The arrest of a former prime minister. Internet and social media shutdowns in response to widespread protests. ASPI’s @faamer breaks down what’s happening in Pakistan right now. 🗣️🇵🇰

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Rorry Daniels

2 years

Each side feels their legitimate rights and interests are under threat by the actions taken by the other side. The way out of this downward spiral is increased communication and mutual self-reflection. The odds of this policy path are sinking. 2/4

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Rorry Daniels

1 year

I talked through the ongoing aftermath of Hamas’ terror attack w/Distinguished Fellow, Jeffrey Feltman, who has spent decades on the Israel/Palestine issue. - What surprised him most? - How has Asia reacted? - How to help civilians in Gaza? - Is a durable peace possible?

@AsiaPolicy

Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

1 year

ASPI's Jeffrey Feltman's perspective on the crisis in #Israel and #Gaza , and the challenge of providing humanitarian aid. 🇮🇱🇵🇸 Watch the entire conversation with our @rorrydaniels :

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Rorry Daniels

4 years

I have a joke about writing under deadline but I gotta clean my house first.

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Rorry Daniels

1 year

ASPI hosted Wang Yi for a public speech last year ahead of the 20th PC. Watch here for his thinking then on the major challenges and opportunities facing China and US-China relations. END

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Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi

China's top diplomat delivers an address at an event hosted by Asia Society and the Asia Society Policy Institute during the 77th session of the United Nations General Assembly in New York City.

asiasociety.org

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Rorry Daniels

1 year

Timely panel yesterday at @AsiaSociety @AsiaPolicy on China's international mediation efforts - some key takeaways from your friendly moderator in the thread below🧵👇

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China’s International Mediation Efforts: the Where, Why, and How

NEW YORK, April 4, 2023 — A panel of experts discusses regional perspectives on Beijing's involvement in international mediation, the geopolitical factors th...

www.youtube.com

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

2 years

Shedding buckets of tears to leave my longest work relationship ever, with @juliet_ylee 😥 Ppl have said we punch above our weight—that is certainly because of Juliet’s superb support and organization. Juliet is the quiet tower of strength on which we all depend 8/

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Rorry Daniels

3 years

Super excited to launch the next NCAFP emerging leaders program, focused on building networks and policy pieces among young academics! Please share widely, ask questions, apply—you will produce portfolio pieces and be paired 1-on-1 with a senior policy expert mentor! DMs open.

@NATLCOMMITTEE

NCAFP

3 years

*NOW ACCEPTING APPLICANTS* Are you a rising academic on Korea and the Indo-Pacific region looking for mentorship and networking opportunities? Then apply to the NCAFP's Emerging Leaders program! Application & info available on our website:

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Rorry Daniels

3 years

Today’s Xi-Biden meeting may be saddled with low expectations, but the process itself has a positive value and the preview statements point toward important outcomes. 1/

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Rorry Daniels

2 years

My main takeaway after sitting with the Blinken China speech for the weekend is that the admin's 'invest, align, compete' framework only applies to managing *the China challenge* and doesn't tell us how the admin will manage *the bilateral relationship.* 1/2

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Rorry Daniels

1 year

A long overdue development. China is going to need to balance this against its relationship with Russia and I’m curious to see how that balance develops as Xi forges ties with Zelenskyy and Ukraine. The reasons for this diplomacy are clear, the implications less so.

@ZelenskyyUa

Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський

1 year

I had a long and meaningful phone call with 🇨🇳 President Xi Jinping. I believe that this call, as well as the appointment of Ukraine's ambassador to China, will give a powerful impetus to the development of our bilateral relations.

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Rorry Daniels

4 years

Honored as always to compile our cross-Taiwan Strait trilateral Track II discussions into a summary report. Please read and share. With Tsai's inauguration, the WHA and Liang Hui all in the same week, lots of opportunity in late May for the Taiwan issue to be front/center.

@NATLCOMMITTEE

NCAFP

4 years

The NCAFP continued its Track II videoconferences in April by convening prominent scholars and former officials from the US, the PRC and Taiwan to assess the opportunities and challenges in cross-Strait relations over the coming months. Full report here:

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@rorrydaniels

Rorry Daniels

4 months

and spoke at length about Taiwan identity as a driving force for realizing his vision for Taiwan. Beijing sees growing Taiwan identity as a threat to reunification and a snub of their One China principle. 4/

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Rorry Daniels

4 years

Love this piece by @Ali_Wyne , especially this thought: "A durable cohabitation between the United States and China will require each to accept the reality of the other’s resilience."

@Ali_Wyne

Ali Wyne

4 years

I argue in a piece for @WPReview that while China is a formidable competitor, it isn't so overwhelming that it should dictate U.S. foreign policy. Washington should instead embed policy towards Beijing within an affirmative, three-part framework.

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