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Yan Gao

@YanWGao

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124
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41
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1,187
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Swing; options and crypto trader. Retired Lawyer. Trying my best to undo the damage done by horrible advice given by most Fintwit influencers.

Sydney, New South Wales
Joined January 2024
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@wealthXfreedom @fundstrat Yes because he actually speaks his mind. Instead of other analysts that will say one thing on camera just to manipulate prices and screw over retail off camera. Tom lee doesn’t play those games and doesn’t have the malice other analysts do.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@pakpakchicken Stop looking at this attitude start looking at his overall thesis. His main points were 1) Tesla is overcrowded and the time for massive gains in the short term is over. This has proven to be correct 2) life changing gains in crypto next . This has proven to be correct 3)
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
For those worrying about the $MSTR short from Kerrisdale Capital. Don't be. Their thesis is based on purely fundamentals and although there is a dip today because of the FUD, they will ultimately fail in bringing down MSTR in any meaningful way. I sold 70 percent of my position
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@invest_answers they are trying to drive the price down for the weekend to accumulate because we all know what happens on a Monday.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@BritishHodl in case it wasn't obvious, last four times BTC pumped, it was on a sunday night over the weekend. Last time MSTR accumulated, it was over the weekend. When the larger funds accumulate is typically over the weekend. This is why you are seeing them trying to force the price before
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
$BITF, I’ve handled a few of these legal cases myself. They tend to settle once ego fades and everyone walks away with enough of a piece of the pie. The fired CEO is bluffing and is instructing his lawyers to go out bull mode atm to pressure a settlement. He will at some point
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@adamkhootrader I think this is example where narrative drives price action more so than company fundamentals. In short - decent companies in China. Terrible narrative of China in its death throes and economic collapse, narrative of imminent war with Taiwan. None of this is true in my view
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@JacksonsTravis @sciencebamf @krassenstein @SiriusDrakeCGBI That’s what we need to hear. Putin’s side. We’ve heard everyone else’s side put the person actually waging the war
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@Micro2Macr0 @mayijulylj Last few breakouts have been over the weekend so it’d be pretty stupid to hold shorts over the weekend. I’m sure Wall Street realises and we’ll bounce back later today when they close their shorts
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@jasonpizzino What do you mean “could this cycle be different” it is ALREADY very different and early. Let’s be real and objective here.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
@gnut00 @MarioNawfal “I can’t argue with facts so I’m just going blame it on China”
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@AvidCommentator We’re already in a per capital recession aren’t we ?
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
@gotrew @pakpakchicken @IAmDouglasKim lol how. Despite the way he talks he’s been spot on on btc and eth and general market pullbacks and rallies. I don’t know how anyone could have lost following his advice. It’s literally already spoonfed and you’re still losing money? He is literally spoon feeding you again to
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
@LatestandNatest @guideforlovers This is spot on. There’s a lack of being attracted to you. Figure out why and fix it. Most of the time it’s lack of masculinity, weak frame, physical attractiveness, lack of feeling of safety (providing and caring/money)
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@sunnydecree Shorts haven’t been liquidated for the past two months haha. Not sure what pointing that out will do
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@BTC_Archive I would not want to be short btc over the weekend
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
before you "buy the $TSLA dip" like every other person on fintwit is telling you to. JUST WAIT. WAIT! Let me explain. First, I love $TESLA and drive a model 3, I would love nothing more than this stock to do well, however please consider the following before rushing in: 1.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
@howard5169 @pakpakchicken Btc had tons to time to draw in tons of retail to get dumped on. Eth news came to quick and retail is not positioned in. Therefore Wall Street can’t dump on the non existent retail. And eth won’t dump as hard after the approval
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@blockchainedbb So no 52 k in the near term ?
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
$MSTR is currently 14 percent down on the day. Typically the maximum downside of a proxy is about 20-22 percent on a bad day. This would probably be a good entry point noting your downside is about 6-8 percent. If BTC pumps over the long weekend, most of these losses will be
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@HeidingOut You have a 1 out of 4 year opportunity to make the most of the btc bull run. Once btc hits 150k and above. It’s not really worth it anymore. From about 49 k to 72 k, about a 50 percent increase the miners have stayed flat. We have another 100 percent increase to the price of btc
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
@DrProfitCrypto well ya, this has been one of the longest periods of consolidation in a bull run ever, closing on four months. There's nothing exciting about prolonged accumulation Makes you wonder if we are really in a bull run.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@PizzinoMichael step back and understand none of this matters. Historically BTC has doubled within 18 days to 3 months of hitting an ATH. Zoom out and look at the bigger picture.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@Rex_Finance Hard to hold as stock when as soon as the btc and the miners reaches an interim peak, management dilutes.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
9 months
@pakpakchicken Too early during or after correction in spy maybe
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@sashayanshin whether the bottom is in depends next quarter's performance and the following quarter's performance. If you miss targets three quarters in a row, I daresay no amount of FSD hype or new product launch is going to save further decline past the recent bottom.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@CuriousPejjy @dannycheng2022 Tesla is not a stock you “invest in” it is a stock you trade when it has technological breakthroughs then get the f out at the highs. Think of it like a crypto asset with multiple cycles and you’ll do well with it. Tesla is currently heading into EV winter so you have plenty of
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@CuriousPejjy If this guy is still buying, don’t buy in the bottom is not in yet. When he turns negative on $TSLA is when roughly the bottom is in
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
@MartiniGuyYT Posts like this is how you know eth will dump after approval
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@adamkhootrader Do not underestimate the Taiwanese buddies moat ! 😂 I had a look at the ceo of SMCI he seems like a very good at sucking up type especially him smiling off everything ! That’s what you need for a downstream company in his position. I’d place my bets on him being able to long
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
@intocryptoverse Because btc is no longer a retail asset. Too expensive for most retail now so the only people driving price atm are institutions
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@SteveUrkelDude Literally the only thing down is miners today. I sense some strong price manipulation here
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@HolySmokas Yes it’ll reclaim in the short term before earnings imo. After earnings it might tank more
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
buying $CLSK tomorrow, even if $BTC hasn't fully bottomed yet, the suppressed prices thus far means that miners have a long way to go to be simply in parity with the performance of $BTC. decent risk reward even if $BTC falls further sub $60k
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
GME short squeeze is good for crypto and this could lead to more short covering over the few days/weeks. It’s amusing watching the GME from the sidelines, too late to get in now, however secretly cheering it on so it flows over to crypto stocks with large short interests.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@seancbuckley You have to factor in share dilution and it's present market cap now vs market cap when BTC was at 68k last cycle.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@adamkhootrader I don’t think so. If you look at the data in the past year when the market falls after a jobs report 5 days later it has regained all of its losses and 1 months later significantly up. And this is also just a negative reaction (geopolitics and Kashkari speech) to bad news and not
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@ausstockchick they are just taking a page from the US playbook. the fear of further rate hikes is more effective to bringing inflation control than the act of hiking itself sometimes. The minutes is just to cause fear in the public. They're doing their job. This is how it should be done. They
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@pakpakchicken For those wondering why 65K was the number, it's because typically BTC trades above its 21 day EMA during the entire bull run. If it loses the 21 day EMA significantly, chances are the bull run is over
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
@DeItaone If this happens this pretty much gives Putin the green light use more arms within Ukraine. This war then ends.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@esf97458703 @BritishHodl Short answer is it won’t. The price appreciation will be spectacular however all assets and companies growth rates slow after rapid expansion
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@Freedom_By_40 Or you could consider that wave two may last all the way until interest rates start cutting. And add on the fact that it’s no impossible we have a shortened cycle this bull run which finishes around December to April next year.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@ZenTrader882 core CPI at 0.3, so expectations are mid to high. seasonality for Jan and Feb over, there is a drop off in March. Only housing and auto insurance holding up core CPI, which lags. The longer we wait, the more the lag tapers off. A combination of these three reason. Hence much
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
as much as I want to, not shorting $TSLA here as I think CPI numbers on Wednesday are going to beat, and the whole market is going to rally. $TSLA may break trendline for a bit after Wednesday and will be looking to short a day or two after CPI on Thursday or Friday.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@DoctorJack16 If you understand how regulation works you’d know that 1 death or even a partial death by robot < 10000 deaths by human error. This is how you know fsd being approved for the roads is still about 4-5 years after they first claim to have solved it.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@Mr_Derivatives Much much higher. That’s why I’m shutting up and just accumulating
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@Stocks_bro_USA yup, I'm about 70 percent back in already.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@jasonpizzino I think you really have to admit now at this point that this time it’s really different. Btc has not run up like this before the halving
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@RJRCapital it'll crush earnings, still dip, then run up to ath in two weeks after the dip.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
I think we hover for a bit today and tomorrow uptick slightly on Thursday and break through ath again for $BTC over the long weekend. A double top would really be bad for $btc so I doubt the traders will let $BTC reject hard again at 73 without first punching through first then
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
Bought 9000 shares of CLSK and 85 shares of MSTR. Let's see where this takes me.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@WatcherGuru To translate this “go go go go institutional funds go buy more while I’m trying my best to create fud and hold off retail for as long as I can with scare tactics”
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@The_AI_Investor no. retail is being shaken out. It's a big "sell the news" because Wall street is using hitting $1,000 as the news as retails cheer on the stock before it reverses on them. This the exact same move time and time again. It surprises me people don't see the same patterns play out.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@FIREDUpWealth @Rawk_FI This is what they want you to believe. Working with rich parents and rich kids everyday of my life this couldn’t be farther from the truth. Kids born into rich families oftentimes are taught the language of finance and business at a very early age, especially with results driven
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@SteveUrkelDude You bet I’m celebrating. The correlation feels back!
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@TradingThomas3 That isn’t bullish for China . They buy their own domestic EVs.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@The_RockTrading Naw there’s always a second spike after the initial
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
So many influencers calling for a correction now... They ignore the fact that 4/5 trading days spy pulled back and then shot up close to end of day suggesting institutional buy in. They ignore the fact that we had Canada cut, ecb cut, two rounds of soft jobs number and soft
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@MarketMaestro1 worth paying attention to, waiting for the breakout, retest and hold.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@jasonpizzino the analysis is correct but the justification that "this time is not different" is factually not doing this cycle justice and gears people towards being more bearish, when they shouldn't atm because the train is about to leave the station. If you knew your downside was about
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
@raymo_g @NickJFuentes If you don’t want to be made feel guilty. It’s simple. Stop starting wars in other countries and justify it by saying they’re not a democracy and therefore can’t be good. Modern day colonialism at its finest coupled with gaslighting. Rolls my eyes at “whites are bullied” just
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@CryptoCapo_ No just no. For the past 10 years btc had soared 10 percent post lunar new year. This is honestly the easiest play possible. How could you f this up by being short when the data is this clear
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@dvent77 short term yes, mid term no if they execute. Willing to take a small bet on them noting how low prices currently are.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@Freedom_By_40 The real test is when spy corrects how btc will hold up. We’ll know shortly
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@amitisinvesting absolute worst mistake to buy atm. When all stocks drop during a broader market correction, who do you think leads the charge. Come on, the answer is very obvious.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
@StonkChris They won’t go anywhere until monetary conditions loosen or around q3 to q4 of this year. You’ll see a similar rally in altcoins. However the play should still be to hold spot btc or leveraged btc plays like MSTR or bitx then rotate later to the miners when rate cuts are
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@MarketMaestro1 @MortensenBach @StephStones1 I agree with @MarketMaestro1 . The miners aren’t directly correlated to the rate cuts but are highly correlated to btc especially post halving. For miners to run. Btc needs to run. And for btc to run, cuts need to happen. Btc is a risk on assest with high beta
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@SteveUrkelDude I’m dcaing here atm this point too. This is the second flush while btc moved in opposite directions. The second flush is usually the last. Unless btc massively corrects. But there is a rule where if we are close within 3-5 percent to a psychological target. It will likely hit
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@PeterSchiff We have been saved. The most contrarian indicator has spoken
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
9 months
@TheBTCTherapist The price will keep dropping until this prevailing sentiment is wiped out.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
Yes there’s a lot of fear. But I’m definitely buying this dip. Why? It’s earnings season. The chances of a correction happening now are slim because a few good earnings and we cancel out the downside. Traders know this and don’t lay it too heavy on the shorts because of the
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@ruth_capital haha he definitely was on his best performance.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@JonoNogs @amitisinvesting You’ll be holding it two more years… buy quality stocks. AMD, NVIDIA, BTC, MSFT, META and you’ll make back your losses.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@optionscjp if it's 25k and has more than 400 km of range, 100% yes
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
Sold out of all $BTC positions and proxies. The markets are making me nervous after this run up and this is a reversal from my optimism this morning. Main reasons why? 1. Upside limited in the short term as we may break ath again but I see this correcting following the break
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@WallStreetSilv Because they’re spending billions on stuff overseas that money could be put to work domestically
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
On days like this is when you realise $MSTR and $CLSK are still king of the hill in terms of $BTC proxies
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@SteveUrkelDude You bet. I hoping for 1300 but close enough
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@ruth_capital I still see retail calling for buying the dip on this one. That’s how you know there’s still a long way to go before this bottoms.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@StonkChris Btc makes it gains in 10-12 best days in a year. The other 350 days or so it does nothing. This is why it is impossible to trade btc and long term hold is the only viable strategy. You miss one of those days and your returns plummet
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@ruth_capital @Kross_Roads I just don’t see how PayPal is a better or safer alternative that any of the below Clsk, Mara, Smci, Amd, Shop, Meta, Amazon,Msft, Pltr, Asml, TSM, Nvidia. Both fundamental and technicals need to alight for price action. PayPal has. Arguably fundamentals… arguably
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@jasonpizzino Mate you’ve been way too conservative the entire way up. Why are still telling people to keep away because of the higher risks now… 😂😂🤦‍♂️
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
CPI may run hot tomorrow but I’m expecting Powell to be slightly dovish in his speech
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@Rex_Finance @ARKInvest People need to stop quoting Cathy wood she has a terrible track record. It generally makes me feel worse about a stock or company when she has a high price target on stocks. For example Tesla to 2k and it’s about 1/5 of her price target. I think the real price of her picks is
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@bitcoinfool Unless you’re a layer doctor hedge fund manager that invests in bitcoin 😉😉 in which case you stand no chance
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
Good thing this short was closed out pre market for a small $117 loss. Should have listened to gut instincts. Too early for the short. Wait till after cpi and ppi data
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
On second thought shorting $TSLA now for a quick scalp short however closing tomorrow before CPI on Wednesday.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@amitisinvesting I don’t think any of these will happen in the short term
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@Rex_Finance You’re half right. They are tied to rates and are up today because treasuries had a decent rally today. Qqq is down
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
All eyes on the PCE report tomorrow, if that prints lower than expected, I daresay the correction is over.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
4 months
@StonkChris this is pretty much 80% of my trading portfolio, plus $TMF and a little bit of $MSTR AND $CLSK and a tiny bit of $YINN
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
8 months
@nebhol89 @dannycheng2022 What I’ve learned from Danny is that institutional inflows and outflows are one of the most reliable predictors of price action.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
Closed out $TSLA for a small profit. No longs for now.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@cryptocantoncat Hi @cryptocantoncat watched your vid. IWM up today but miners are still trending down while the entire market trends up. If you look the performance of miners from btc bottom date. With the exception of clsk they have underperformed btc. After today clsk might be below btcs
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@saylor Berkshire does not buy non productive assets in people need to stop trying to tie the two together. Completely opposite philosophies of investing. BTC using Berkshire principles Widening moat - check however still disruptible Competent and trustworthy management - FAIL
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
here's a little tip, typically during election years, May ends up moderately positive and June very positive. I'd be looking to buy any dip in May.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
@SteveUrkelDude Kinda smart tbh so to not late traders tank the stock after hours
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
5 months
China equities is a space to watch. There is returning institutional interest to that area and if this picks up momentum the rally will be violent.
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
6 months
@blockchainedbb is this before or after a sell off to 59k? to upside first then downside?
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@CalebFranzen Historically it has always been a good idea to buy at ath despite every ounce of your trading instincts telling you you should take profits. This is not what the previous data shows
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@YanWGao
Yan Gao
7 months
@Micro2Macr0 @boomer_btc @MarathonDH @Hut8Corp The move to MSTR is a great move to follow.
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