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Ketian Vivian Zhang Profile
Ketian Vivian Zhang

@VivianChang36

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Assistant Professor of International Security @ScharSchool . Author of China's Gambit (Cambridge University Press, 2024). RTs ≠ endorsements.

Washington, DC
Joined May 2011
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
10 months
My book on China's coercion is officially out with @CUP_PoliSci in digital and hardcopy formats. It argues that China uses coercion to "kill the chicken to scare the monkey" but is also constrained by economic and geo costs. Econ interdependence constrains & enables China.
@CUP_PoliSci
Cambridge University Press - Politics
10 months
China's Gambit by Ketian Zhang Theorizes China's coercion decisions with rich empirical evidence, connecting concepts in international political economy and security. 📚
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
1 year
My first book, China's Gambit, is available for pre-order at Cambridge University Press.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
That’s how you know it’s finals week @GeorgeMasonU
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
I am excited to be joining the @ScharSchool at @GeorgeMasonU as an Assistant Professor of International Security next fall. Thank you, everyone, for the support along the way, esp. @fravel @NarangVipin @dicksamuelsMIT and SVE!
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
I am delighted to share my piece in the summer 2019 issue of @Journal_IS , which focuses on explaining Chinese coercion decisions in the South China Sea. Online access: . @StanfordSAPARC @MIT_SSP @ScharSchool
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Official, at long last!! @fravel @NarangVipin
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
Ridiculous that at the start of EVERY single semester, I have to do the extra to prove that I am a scholar qualified to teach and actually know stuff, simply because I am a female POC.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
I'm happy to share my new article in the Journal of Contemporary China on Sino-Indian border disputes, which is part of a special issue on Sino-Indian relations.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Happy to share a podcast that @Journal_IS @suea_thornton and Admiral Swift did with my IS article on Chinese coercion in the South China Sea. Thanks @MorganLKaplan and Rex for putting together these wonderful episodes. @ScharSchool @CSPS_GMU @MIT_SSP
@IntSecHarvard
International Security
5 years
***New episode*** of International Security's Off the Page podcast is now online! " #Chinese Coercion in the #SouthChinaSea " features Ketian Zhang ( @VivianChang36 ), Admiral Scott Swift, and Susan Thornton ( @suea_thornton ). Listen, subscribe, & learn:
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
Come work with me! @GeorgeMasonU 's @ScharSchool is hiring a tenure-track assistant prof in int'l and law. Those working at the intersection of IR, IS, law, and global governance, please apply! I'm on the committee and @MichaelHunzeker chairs. Link below and happy to chat!
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
Interested in QUAD/deterrence in the Indo-Pacific? Happy to share an @NBRnews virtual event on Nov 17, which was based on the #AsiaPolicy roundtable featuring @arzandc @BrendanKTaylor @osmastro @tanvi_madan @EvanLaksmana @DEricSayers @K__2010 and me.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
Happy to share my piece, "Chinese non-military coercion—Tactics and rationale," published with @BrookingsFP , along with @RushDoshi @DaveShullman @JosephTorigian @baggottcarter @zhubochubo @abigailcgrace Audrey Wong, and George Yin. Thanks @ChhabraT and @ryanl_hass !
@ChhabraT
Tarun Chhabra
6 years
THREAD-Great to launch w/ @ryanl_hass a new @BrookingsFP series on China’s foreign policy Smart new voices— @RushDoshi @DaveShullman @JosephTorigian @baggottcarter @zhubochubo @VivianChang36 @abigailcgrace A Wong & G Yin—tell us how & how much Xi matters
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
8 months
I will be giving three book talks (on China's Gambits) in the next two weeks, all in person, but some of which will be streamed live or via Zoom. Links in comments. 1. Norte Dame (Feb 20, 4:30pm) 2. U Maryland (Feb 22, 12pm) 3. CATO (Mar 1, 12pm)
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
Happy to share my first article postpartum (!) at the Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs on China's grand strategy. @Journal_INDOPAC @ScharSchool @CSPS_GMU
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
Happy to share my new article in the Journal of Strategic Studies ( @jststs ) on China's land reclamation decisions in the South China Sea. @ScharSchool
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
👇 this coming Tuesday
@mvhaydencenter
Hayden Center
3 years
Is Cold War w/ #China inevitable? Shooting match? Proxy wars? Hear from our experts: @GrahamTAllison @HalBrands @VivianChang36 @MichaelJMorell US-CHINA: AT THE BRINK? Tue, 11/23, 7pE Register Zoom: @ScharSchool @GeorgeMasonU @GenMhayden
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Here's a synopsis of my @Journal_IS article on the South China Sea, as well as some policy suggestions, via @ambassadorbrief .
@ambassadorbrief
The Ambassador's Brief
5 years
. @VivianChang36 argues that in the South China Sea, China is a cautious bully – using coercion only when it feels a high need to demonstrate its resolve, & when the economic & geopolitical costs are low.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
1 year
It examines when, why, and how China coerces states over perceived threats to its national security. This book offers a new cost-balancing theory to explain coercion decisions while focusing the empirical cases on China's coercion over maritime disputes, Taiwan, and Tibet.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
If you are currently a grad student in Polisci/History (esp. security/foreign policy/grand strategy), I'd strongly recommend you to apply to the NEW workshop. It bridges the gap between policy and academia. I benefited immensely when I was in grad school!
@BtGProjectDC
Bridging the Gap
5 years
Applications for BtG's New Era Workshop are now open! This three day institute is designed to help PhD students approach policy engagement and shape dissertation projects, academic papers, and op-eds. Please share widely in your network! #NEW2020
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
Two photos I took during my fieldwork in Shanghai. Recruitment posters in Tongji University. "World is so large; I want to join the mil." "All your dreams will come true here."
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Currently very conflicted about this, especially since I am 19 weeks pregnant, but at the same time feel that I have a moral obligation to go as discussants/chair on multiple panels.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
Fall ⁦ @GeorgeMasonU
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
4 years
Excited for the launch of the @StimsonCenter @stratlearning online course "Deterrence in Southern Asia" on Tuesday! Enroll for free at to learn about the strategic chain of competition between India, Pakistan, China, and the US from me and other experts!
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
1. A family friend is a chief surgeon in Beijing and said they are beyond their capacity and working 24/7; 2. another family friend's father passed away due to COVID but the morgue doesn't report it as such.
@vshih2
Victor Shih
2 years
Here is an ICU doctor in China asking for more accurate mortality data because it would help w preparing for treatment
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
This is ridiculous. I grew up in Xining. My grandpa was Hui so we went to the Dongguan district a lot.
@alecash
Alec Ash
2 years
God this screengrab – from the excellent China Diction newsletter – made me angry. Xining was the first city in China I knew well, back in 2007. I used to love going to the Dongguan mosque square for a slice of something different. Now it's Han-style pavilions and a red star flag
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
4 years
Interested in rising powers and the intl security of East Asia? See the roundtable👇 @ScharSchool @CSPS_GMU
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Really helpful! @JosephTorigian has done wonderful tips for doing archival work in China and Russia, too.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
9 months
Please feel free to tune in for a discussion of my new book!
@CatoFP
Cato Foreign Policy
9 months
UPCOMING EVENT Join @CatoEvents on March 1st for a discussion of "China’s Gambit: The Calculus of Coercion." This event will feature the book's author, @VivianChang36 , @CSISFreeman 's Jude Blanchette, and #CatoFP 's @EricGomezAsia . Register below:
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
My interview in today's @BBCNewshour about the Asia-Pacific summit and the ASEAN-China meeting: . @ScharSchool
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Given that many organizations have canceled/postponed their meetings (Facebook, Google, etc.), I wonder if @isanet should consider the same. Withdrawal makes sense, but it places a greater moral obligation on those who are chair/discussants.
@isanet
ISA
5 years
March 4: Please see the latest update regarding travel to #ISA2020 .
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
8 months
I'll be giving a talk on my book on China's coercion at Penn's CSCC on Feb 9. The event is accessible via Zoom as well:
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
Xi Jinping convened a Politburo study on the development of a great maritime state on July 30. "决不能放弃正当权益,更不能牺牲国家核心利益"
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
New piece by Evan Medeiros at China Leadership Monitor. Interesting discussion re: period of strategic vs. historical opportunity. Note that both the latest govt work report and Xi's speech stick to "strategic opporunity" (战略机遇期):
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
I will be giving a talk on Chinese coercion in the South China Sea at @StanfordSAPARC on April 16. More info here:
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Great advice! I'd add my two cents: practice your talk in front of family/non-academic friends/friends in different academic disciplines (I tried with my amazing engineer friends:P)
@TheDapperChef
Dr. Sherry Zaks: minces garlic, not words. 🏳️‍🌈
6 years
PSA & 💩 I wish I knew for folks going on the #academic job market: 1/N. Take care of yourself. Eat well, exercise, take breaks, and for god's sake get a therapist. Nothing emotionally prepares you for the months/years of waiting. #AcademicTwitter #Academia #phdlife #phdchat
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
Interesting article re: the politics of the Chinese "toilet revolution" and how bureaucracies advance their interests.
@MacroPoloChina
MacroPolo
6 years
How do government officials "get things done" in Xi Jinping's China? China's Toilet Revolution, far from being a trivial matter, shows how enterprising cadres can turn their parochial initiatives into national priorities. @neilthomas123 sheds light here.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
A must-read book if you are interested in the PRC's mil strategy AND party-mil relations!
@fravel
M. Taylor Fravel
6 years
The @PrincetonUPress page for my new book on China’s military strategy is now live!
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
China releases the latest national defense white paper. 中国政府发表《新时代的中国国防》白皮书:
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
For those interested in U.S.-China relations @ScharSchool :
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
I have a new piece out in the @theasanforum on changes, oscillations, and continuities regarding U.S. policies in Southeast Asia. I did not choose the title, so hopefully, it will not offend anyone. @StanfordSAPARC
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
@sbmitche Unfortunately, yes, Sara. It’s usually just one or two (fortunately). Some of the questions are like interrogations as if I should know every single study in IR/IS/IPE and the way the questions posed can be quite condescending. Then there’s literally comments with made up facts.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Also, the article is currently ungated at:
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Really interesting interview of @kaciemiura and her research! Please read more about Kacie and her work in this interview:
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
@JeffDColgan @mchorowitz @dmedelstein I also think that it doesn't have to be either/or? Chinese/Japanese grand strategy has both econ and mil components. US needs to step up the coordination btw mil and econ statecraft, it seems?
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
7 years
Yes. My sources say that both the CCG and JCG spend more effort trying to contain their own fishermen precisely because of the dispute.
@fravel
M. Taylor Fravel
7 years
Smooth Sailing for East China Sea Fishing | Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
4 years
Important primary source re: Chinese security matters translated into English
@fravel
M. Taylor Fravel
4 years
Big news — the good folks from ⁦ @CASI_Research ⁩ have posted a complete and downloadable translation of an important Chinese military text, the 2013 edition of the Science of Military Strategy (战略学). h/t ⁦ @CollinSLKoh ⁩ 1/
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
The Korean War was not just about high international politics, it also impacted the life of generations of Chinese, willingly or unwillingly. My grandfather's boss in the army joined the war and got killed, which almost forced my grandpa to commit suicide later during the CR.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
Brookings new edited volume on CFP, in which I contributed a chapter on China's econ sanctions. Tune in tmr below👇 @ScharSchool
@BrookingsFP
Brookings Foreign Policy
3 years
WEBINAR: #GlobalChina : Assessing China’s growing role in the world, with @RepGregoryMeeks @ryanl_hass @tanvi_madan Pavneet Singh & @ProfTalmadge , Tuesday June 22 at 10am EDT. Register:
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
Really useful resource regarding China studies👇
@YanHeCUL
Dr Yan He
3 years
To celebrate #DayofDH2021 , our team ( @viz_librarian @sophie_muro and Kahang Ngau) would like to introduce our Dashboard () and Search App () for navigating digital sources on Chinese Studies in the US and Canada. #MultilingualDH
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Video in the link is worth watching, too. Part of it says Philippine govt is fining fishermen who allow media to accompany them to the shoal.
@duandang
Duan Dang
5 years
USS Wasp "aircraft carrier" spotted off Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
@kylelascurettes @rohan_mukh ’s new book ascending order
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
How North Korea’s Leader Gets His Luxury Cars
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
Infuriating. This is like going back to the Cultural Revolution period when teachers were not respected.
@yinhew1
Yinan He
6 years
Chill and fear in Chinese classrooms as students are recruited to report teachers with ‘radical’ opinions | South China Morning Post
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
By a law professor at PKU: 防治病毒,中国需要宪政民主
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
@fravel Thanks, Taylor, Vipin ( @NarangVipin ) and Dick ( @dicksamuelsMIT ) for being such a great committee!
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
@ProfTalmadge thanks for the solidarity!! My OB also strongly suggests that I do not travel. So there’s that!
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Really interesting article connecting IPE and IS, and has immediate policy relevance for debates on ZTE, 5g, and recent US announcement re: Iranian oil export.
@ChhabraT
Tarun Chhabra
5 years
Great discussion at @BrookingsFP with @henryfarrell & @ANewman_forward on their forthcoming @Journal_IS article “Weaponized Interdependence,” which shows how asymmetries in global financial & info networks are exploited for coercive purposes (1/x)
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
1 year
"巴方重申坚定奉行一个中国原则" in the 2023 Sino-Brazilian joint statement, and apparently, this has been the case for a long time (2004 jt statement). Anyone knows whether other countries are like Brazil (upholding the one-China principle, not the usual one-China policy )?
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Fascinating research by @alvincamba on Chinese FDI in SEA, especially the Philippines. Please stay tuned for more articles and Alvin's dissertation!
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
China’s Long March to Technological Supremacy via @ForeignAffairs
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
I contrast China's military coercion in Sino-Indian border disputes with its non-military coercion in the South China Sea and argue that this divergence is due to the low geopolitical backlash cost for China to use military coercion against India.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
@splalwani @ZacharyKeck @SheenaGreitens @JosephTorigian @Fiona_Cunning Aka party diplomacy, public diplomacy, and “civilian” diplomacy (? Or people to people I guess).
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
Trump administration will impose tariffs on about $200 billion in Chinese goods, raising tensions between the world’s two largest economies via @WSJ
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Dangerous Confidence? Chinese Views on Nuclear Escalation
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Some possible policy suggestions for the United States: making FONOPs more frequent and routine, drawing more clear redlines, and strengthening economic statecraft in Southeast Asia.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
Interesting new piece by a former student
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
Absolutely agree!
@pu_xiaoyu
Xiaoyu Pu
6 years
Scholars of China’s IR and China's domestic politics are largely two separate groups. But it is impossible to make sense of China’s IR/FP without understanding its domestic politics, and vice versa. Hopefully there will be more fruitful interactions in the future.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
@rwpallas @Aubie_13 @JayMcvann @JohnF_Sullivan @JosephTorigian has written extensively on both Chinese and Soviet elite politics. He’s featured in the economist podcast the Prince, too.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
@IntSecHarvard
International Security
5 years
Check out @VivianChang36 's new International Security *Policy Brief* " #Chinese Coercion in the #SouthChinaSea : Resolve and Costs" #AcademicTwitter = #PolicyTwitter
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
Does an "armed attack" also include those by the CCG?
@fravel
M. Taylor Fravel
6 years
Pompeo promises intervention if Philippines is attacked in South China Sea amid rising Chinese militarization
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
One of those events will be on the @GeorgeMasonU Fairfax campus.
@NCUSCR
National Committee on U.S.-China Relations
5 years
On Nov. 18, CHINA Town Hall is coming to 80+ venues across the U.S., featuring an interactive webcast with @GStephanopoulos @sorlins @Melanie_Hart @YashengHuang @elyratner and community discussions at each location. Find a #CTH19 event in a city near you:
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
@mchorowitz @shifrinson @dmedelstein @dandrezner although I do think that prior works by Tom Christensen (e.g., posting problems w/o catching up) and Avery Goldstein (re: escalation) actually do tackle the latter. I also think that scaling down/accepting certain loss of interests might not help, and may embolden China more?
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
@MorganLKaplan Absolutely agree! I have benefited so much from the more critical/rejection but constructive reviews!
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
@sbmitche And I was literally cut off mid sentences. When I ask the person to repeat pts that were not made clear, they refused, instead stating that I was confrontational.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
4 years
Thanks, @audryewong , for the informative review!
@JoshRovner1
Josh Rovner
4 years
New in @HDiplo ISSF, @audryewong reviews @VivianChang36 , "Cautious Bully: Reputation, Resolve, and Beijing’s Use of Coercion in the South China Sea" ( @Journal_IS 2019)
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
Wonder, though, how effective this technological "ganchao" will be. As @Mauro_Gilli and @aa_gilli argue in their @Journal_IS article, it is difficult to engage in mil reverse engineering, including China.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
2 years
I lived a block from it when doing fieldwork..,
@DSORennie
David Rennie
2 years
A reminder that the Party picks its battles. This entrance to Asia’s largest housing estate, Tiantongyuan in Beijing, saw residents tear down a blue steel lockdown fence. Today, it’s open. Extra 大白around but calm and residents said free vegetables were distributed last night.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
6 years
Gov't work report delivered by Li Keqiang on Mar 5. Re: Taiwan, "one country two system" was not mentioned:
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
China rarely picks fights with states which have economic leverage over it and prefers to use non-military coercion when the geopolitical cost is high.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
1 year
@defence_studies Yes! I think the form can be filled out here: . The book will be out late this fall.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
3 years
@splalwani @ZacharyKeck @SheenaGreitens @JosephTorigian @Fiona_Cunning Forgot to add that it might be the translation of triple positioning is a bit off? What Song said really is just “three aspects” combined/fused together.
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@VivianChang36
Ketian Vivian Zhang
5 years
@dmedelstein Yes, this, and the perceived "shame" of an academic career outside of the US or a non-TT academic career.
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