Tony Duan @tonyduan_ Twitter profile

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

8 years

📌

Let’s talk about margins

We’re making a book. The margins are important. Do you know how important?

medium.com

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

26 days

Lots of hard work and many late nights went into the making of FSD 12.5, from across the team. Many ideas were simplified and re-worked from first principles. Hope everyone has a chance to try it out. It's a release we're proud of.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 months

Last Fall I wrote a blog post collecting my personal notes to understand diffusion models. To my surprise folks have told me they found it useful, so I'm sharing more widely. (Apologies in advance for any typos or errors).

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 years

We applied ML methods and found it can improve discrimination and calibration of personalized treatment effects for intensive blood pressure therapy. With Sanjay Basu, @pranavrajpurkar , @DillonLaird , @AndrewYNg .

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

4 years

Our work Randomized Smoothing of All Shapes and Sizes is at ICML this week. We show how to best choose randomized smoothing distns, esp for L1 adversarial robustness. Thanks to MSFT collaborators @TheGregYang @edwardjhu @hadisalmanX @ilyaraz2 @jerryzli .

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

4 years

Our work NGBoost is at ICML this week. We combine natural gradient with boosting approaches for parametric (in-distn) uncertainty estimates. Thanks to mentors and collaborators @anandavati @DaisyYDing Khanh Thai @SanjaybMDPhD @AndrewYNg @UnibusPluram .

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

Countdown Regression: probabilistic survival forecasting inspired by meteorology, applied to predict time to death from EHR data on 3 million patients! Work with @anandavati , @drnigam , @AndrewYNg .

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

9 years

This is a great way of thinking about how we choose to tackle problems. @michael_nielsen

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@hardmaru I've always found @NandoDF 's lectures to be the best introduction:

Machine learning - Introduction to Gaussian processes

Introduction to Gaussian process regression.Slides available at: http://www.cs.ubc.ca/~nando/540-2013/lectures.htmlCourse taught in 2013 at UBC by Nando de F...

www.youtube.com

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 years

Great paper comparing MLE vs CRPS for forecasting. Differences arise due to mis-specified data generating process (too light-tailed or heavy-tailed), and diagnosis can be done via calibration curves (W-shape or M-shape PIT).

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

4 years

@dennybritz This is excellent. I'm a big fan of this paragraph in particular.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 years

@Cmrn_DP Thanks for this library! I actually use it for almost all my research projects, which involve a lot of time to event analysis.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

3 months

@benjamin_bolte 🫡

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

4 years

@yaringal @arram wrote a blog post with some examples trying to few-shot learn such uncertainty.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

2 years

@Tim_Roughgarden Chow-Liu algorithm, super satisfying.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

8 months

@tim_zaman Congrats Tim, it's been a real honor!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 months

@RemiCadene It was fun working together, best of luck in Paris!!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 years

@andrey_kurenkov Totally in the same boat — I can never really understand a paper until printing it out!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 years

@AndrewYNg Thanks for tweeting our work!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@kapeli If possible, I’d prefer to have dark mode for the rest of the OS but light mode for Dash! Makes docs much easier to read.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

2 years

@devonzuegel Highly recommend reading this if you haven't yet, by @gcaw .

I Went to Disney World

As the coronavirus pandemic ravaged Florida, the Magic Kingdom welcomed back its most loyal subjects—and me.

www.theatlantic.com

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

9 months

@dpkingma @TimSalimans @poolio @hojonathanho Amazing, thanks for the swift reply!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 years

@hardmaru Dinh et al's NICE (cheating a bit though since it was a workshop paper)!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

3 years

@judyhshen Holy shit COMMUNIST wtf LOL

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 months

@eigenhector The trampoline built-in Clojure function comes to mind.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

2 years

@ramyarangan @RiboGuy @oartezey @ppham07734 @RDasLab 🥳🥳🥳

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

4 years

@raziehnabi ICML takes place awkwardly right in the middle of these 15 days, too!!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

9 months

@dpkingma @TimSalimans @poolio @hojonathanho Looks like some details in Appendix D of the VDM paper were removed in the update from v5 to v6 on arXiv. Was this intentional, and if so what was the reason? (Great paper by the way).

Variational Diffusion Models

Diffusion-based generative models have demonstrated a capacity for perceptually impressive synthesis, but can they also be great likelihood-based models? We answer this in the affirmative, and...

arxiv.org

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@hardmaru I need to do this for my Zotero library.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

8 years

Great to see @stephen_wolfram speak at UC Berkeley this evening!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

8 months

@DavidDuvenaud I interpret this type of communication as a beta distribution prior.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

2 years

@jackyliang42 @andrey_kurenkov @spaniel_bashir Congrats!!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@barakgila Rip wholeheartedly empathize with the insufferable boredom of Palo Alto.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 years

Absolutely love this short film: The Accidental Sea by @ransomriggs .

The Accidental Sea

A short film about my favorite post-apocalyptic hell-hole, the Salton Sea.Music composed by Michael Picton. Download the song on CD Baby:http://www.cdbaby.c...

www.youtube.com

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

8 years

Predictions from @RBReich , for “when robots take over”.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@CarlinLiao Odds ratios even worse for intuition.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

8 years

@andylouisqin Holy crap this is awesome -- so excited to see where Photon ends up!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

4 years

@reece_akana @hackerrank Holy shit W I Z A R D!!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 years

@daylenyang End of an era! 😅

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 years

@Srceh @tommy_da_cat @icmlconf @MVickySchneider @lawrennd @meeliskull @IRC_SPHERE Got it. I'm primarily interested in the heteroskedastic setting. Seems like the simplest option is to group predictions by [some discretization of ] (μ,σ) then calculate ECE / calibration plots over these groups.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

4 years

@megha_byte @edwardjhu Congrats!! 🎉

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 years

@zafarali @GoogleAI @le_roux_nicolas @Mo_Norouzi Congrats Zaf!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

9 years

@Davis_Wang i'm going home. because i'm tired.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@wastyk HAHAHA this is so niche holy shit

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 years

@andylouisqin @Headspace Sounds chill I’ll try it out!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 years

@kevinchen I totally remember living through this! LOL

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@wyndwarrior throwbackkkkkk

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@RichardSocher @wyndwarrior @dllps

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 months

@YunTaTsai1 Haven't tried but definitely want to!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

4 years

@vicfromdollops HAHAHAHAHA I’M DEAD

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

10 months

@benjamin_bolte @DrYangSong Wow, you've implemented the latest from the Improved Consistency Models paper already that was fast!!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 years

@byrook1e Love your music, keep it up!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

8 years

@andylouisqin Wow, such a great read!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 years

@chocolatapp After searching for years, I've *finally* found the app that's replaced Textmate as my go-to editor. Thank you.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 months

@YunTaTsai1 😍

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

1 month

@karpathy Congrats Andrej, looking forward to learning!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@andrey_kurenkov This is a great idea!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

1 year

@jackyliang42 @ieee_ras_icra @wenlong_huang @xf1280 @sippeyxp @hausman_k @brian_ichter @peteflorence @andyzengtweets Congrats!!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 years

@frejohk @chalmersuniv Congratulations! I've learned a lot from your work and presentations in causal inference.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

9 years

@casualeffects Great work on Markdeep — look forward to continuing to use it!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 years

@levie This is the most relatable content I've ever seen.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@barrenandbleak @austinshyu @ayyyhuang think you’d like this one

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 years

@barakgila 🤣

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@devonzuegel @HenrikMarklund Wow!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

2 years

@suhaasaz @PamR33 @kristyredhorse @MarsdenStanford Congrats Suhaas!! 🥳

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

5 years

@reece_akana Love how it came together, great work! 😍

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

4 years

@leeren Just wanted to say your OSC-52 vim copy/paste over SSH trick changed my life -- thanks!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

8 years

@shyupuff Holy crap congrats Austin! :)

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 years

@bradfordcross I could not agree more with this post.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

7 years

@Typora Can't believe I only discovered Typora today -- it's the best note-taking app I've ever used!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

8 years

@JackSchaedler "Seeing circles, sines, and signals" is so cool -- awesome work!

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

6 years

@andrey_kurenkov @gradientpub My take: a @distillpub "paper" is intended to be cited, whereas a "blog post" often accompanies a paper that's meant to be cited instead of the blog post.

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Tony Duan

@tonyduan_

1 year

@dpkingma Great paper! Will code be released?

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