JD Ross Profile Banner
JD Ross Profile
JD Ross

@justindross

29,153
Followers
766
Following
406
Media
15,679
Statuses

I take the side of people who build. Building a new insurance business. previously co-founder of @Opendoor , @join_royal

Joined August 2007
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
WhatsApp had 35 engineers for 450 million users, and grew to a team of 50 for 900 million users. Twitter cutting to 2,000 employees from 7,500 is not a "skeleton staff"
880
3K
45K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 months
Paternity testing is illegal in France to "preserve family peace" this is the most French thing I've ever heard
109
1K
22K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
Google’s greatest evil is grooming brilliant 22 year olds into becoming complacent careerists instead of ambitious founders who might one day compete with them
230
1K
16K
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
5 years ago today, the greatest headline ever written as Jack took over from Dick C at Twitter
Tweet media one
79
2K
11K
@justindross
JD Ross
1 year
The person in charge of quantum computer aesthetics deserves a raise
Tweet media one
209
415
11K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
Americans on Twitter: As we all know, America is broken and democracy is crumbling. In these troubled times… Our landscaping guy, an immigrant:
Tweet media one
189
680
10K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
Twitter is so badly run that they bought Vine and then shut it down and then TikTok became bigger than Twitter, Facebook and YouTube
117
542
8K
@justindross
JD Ross
4 months
Olive Garden serves as a living reminder of how bad all American food was in the 90s until millennial hipsters upgraded everything to above European standards
538
285
7K
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
Twitter stock is down because they ensured that every country outside the US is going to severely regulate or replace them. Imagine the UK allowing an ideological San Francisco company to control the BBC. Will India be ok with Twitter having authority to de-platform Modi?
225
1K
6K
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
Jeff Bezos’s letters are better than any MBA He’ll teach everything you need to know about developing high standards, and it doesn’t even take him two pages
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
36
1K
5K
@justindross
JD Ross
4 months
Apple using Apple Silicon in its own data centers (not nVidia chips) to power Apple Intelligence Very interesting, and getting little attention so far
93
301
5K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
Some of our engineers just told me they’d estimate 40% of the lines of code they produce are now written by the Github CoPilot AI
155
341
5K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
Startup formula: Take something rich people love and make it accessible to everyone using technology
138
555
5K
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
Amazing how quickly tech twitter went from “cities are the engines of human progress” to “I’m leaving SF/NY to live the pastoral life on a farm in Wyoming. See you on Zoom”
65
309
3K
@justindross
JD Ross
5 years
I will pay more in property tax this year as a new owner than my next door neighbor has paid in TOTAL since they moved there in 1965. That's California's Prop 13. It's a massive wealth transfer from the young to the old, many of whom rent their homes and keep the profits
105
390
3K
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
San Francisco has: - Terrible property crime - Thousands of street homeless - Terrible public schools - 2nd highest rents in US - Highest tax rate in US And spends over 3x per citizen of median US city—second only to DC! Enough is enough. Defund the whole city and start over
126
223
2K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
I’m starting a new company with @3LAU , my best friend since college We’re making it possible for artists to share ownership in their music directly with fans and earn royalties alongside each other, sidestepping traditional middlemen It’s called Royal —
120
132
2K
@justindross
JD Ross
11 months
Also I don't care if he was involved or not but Adam D'Angelo has sucked forever He was Seed investor in Opendoor and his first act as investor was to try to counter-sell our 2nd engineer to join Quora instead: "I mean, I invested and I don't think it's going to work" F him.
58
88
2K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
Everyone who thinks $54.20 a share is too little for Twitter: you can buy as much as you want, right now, for only $45 a share! Huge personal profit opportunity!
37
79
2K
@justindross
JD Ross
5 years
RenTech is a tiny group of mathematicians that produces around $6 billion in cash flow per year on $10 billion in investments. Goldman Sachs has 36,000 employees and produces around 11 billion, for context
@HayekAndKeynes
The Long View
5 years
Renaissance technologies returns.... ~40% net after 5/44 fees.
Tweet media one
68
341
2K
47
304
2K
@justindross
JD Ross
1 year
Just got some quotes: 2 x 20'x10,000' sections of Stainless steel mesh netting: $1,600,000 360 x 20' metal struts: $50,000 Support brackets: $50,000 100 gallons of orange paint: $5,000 Labor: $398,000,000
@nearcyan
near
1 year
cost disease kills
Tweet media one
709
3K
76K
79
104
2K
@justindross
JD Ross
5 years
In two weeks, telemedicine regulations have accelerated by a decade: - Doctors can perform across state lines - Doctors can email and video chat with patients in compliance with HIPAA - Medicare and insurance co's quickly approving new reimbursement categories What else?
38
360
2K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
Moderation at companies like Facebook is largely outsourced to firms like TaskUs and seems to work better than Twitter's We will learn quickly just how efficiently these companies can be operated.
58
53
2K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
I swear AWS is more reliable than 99% of blockchains
106
43
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
5 years
We're living in a world where presidential candidates are allowed to just say bullshit and nobody cares - JP Morgan Chase didn’t want/need bailout money - Sec. Treasury made them take it & rescue Bear Stearns - $25B, not $416B - Paid back profitably - Prevented huge depression
@BernieSanders
Bernie Sanders
5 years
That's funny. Jamie Dimon seemed fine with corporate socialism when his bank got a $416 billion bailout from American taxpayers.
4K
30K
153K
42
201
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
"wHaT aBoUt SaLEs?" Twitter has $650k in revenue per employee vs $1,600k in revenue per employee for Google (which is also notoriously overstaffed)
26
54
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
I don’t believe in a/b testing in startups It’s a crutch for product teams, it excuses incomplete & poor thinking, and it takes all pressure off developing good judgment and customer intuition. Fine if you have millions of users, not when you need to put zeros on the dashboard.
77
88
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
The next 6-8 weeks is going to be a bloodbath. I'm hearing rumors about a ton of companies preparing to lay off 20-40% of their team
@zebulgar
delian
2 years
sign of the times i now hear about layoffs more often than new rounds
33
42
666
58
152
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
Being famous seems the worst kind of success imaginable
30
79
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
NFTs have 3 “explainable to normal people” use cases I’ve seen so far - Club memberships that are transferable & re-sellable without permission of the club - Certificates of authenticity / receipts - Distributed global IP ownership & licensing source of truth What else?
151
104
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
I tried to switch to Bing and it was terrible is everyone high
63
60
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
Opendoor Q1 🤯 - $5.2B revenue, up 590% YoY - $535M gross profit - $176M adj. EBITDA, $99M adj. net income - $28M GAAP net income All while maintaining NPS of 80. Congrats to the team on the first GAAP profitable quarter! $OPEN
34
54
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
Why did Twitter shut Vine down? Vine cost relatively more money to run the service and finance prioritized about efficiency at the time, they didn’t know how to monetize Vine, and they were building Twitter native video which seemed competitive. Hilariously bad product instincts
15
44
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
Insane how little American journalism is done on Chinese progress. The average American doesn't realize how uncompetitive or at parity we are, and still thinks China just creates things with cheaper labor. Failure of NYT, etc.
44
122
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
Less than 0.2% of artists on Spotify make $50,000 a year from it
142
90
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
Did any successful startups start at a pitch competition? i’ve never heard of it
218
76
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
Endorsing my enemies for Powerpoint on LinkedIn
18
56
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
hot take- SF is good for dating It’s easier to see who’s hot in a room full of (mostly) smart people than to suss out who’s smart in a room of hot people
85
26
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
6 years
I pictured the Manhattan Project as a small secret startup during the war A group of wily scientists smashing uranium together in the desert Turns out it was 130,000 people and cost 2% of GDP
49
187
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
2 months
What are the worst instances of regulatory capture? Car dealerships, The "3-tier" alcohol sale system, title insurance, Pharmacy Benefit Networks (PBMs) & Health insurers, Elsevier journals & grant money... what else?
175
74
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
6 months
TSMC forecasting a 1000x improvement in GPU performance per watt over the next 15 years. Coupled with major algorithmic improvements we're quickly seeing every week, it isn't crazy to expect 100,000 to 1,000,000x increase in AI performance per dollar in the next decade and a half
Tweet media one
43
196
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
If SpaceX didn’t exist the US and world would have long and completely ceded space access to China and Russia. Crazy to think about implications of this
42
91
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
11 months
The world’s 3rd best SEO spammer, a former Tesla sr product manager, Joseph Gordon-Levitts wife and a DC policy flak walk into a bar and say “you know what, I bet we could totally run OpenAI”
20
69
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
6 months
If we had continued to build nuclear reactors at the Nixon era pace, the US would have energy almost too cheap to meter. And China might have adopted our evolved nuclear tech further down a cost curve than we ever achieved, so the global would be warming far less.
@pronounced_kyle
Christian Keil
6 months
Wrong. We can and do un-discover technologies. It has been: ▸ 20 years since a commercial plane flew supersonic ▸ 30 years since America brought >1 nuclear reactor online in a year ▸ 50 years since astronauts have gone beyond Low Earth Orbit
477
720
9K
23
77
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
1 month
Under what legal theory could France arrest the telegram founder but not Mark Z or Elon?
240
33
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 months
@jordnb this is possibly the single least leveraged and most difficult way to make his ASI bet
8
3
1K
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
the best feature of AirPods is the tiny jet pack deep inside the case that triggers when you drop them
28
36
988
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
Steve Jobs died so young, he would have only been 65 were he still alive today. It’s strange knowing that the world would be noticeably different if he hadn’t died, but having no idea how
22
53
986
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
Wow, I just started using the coinbase wallet and it is like jumping 5 years into the future vs metamask. Shows assets across all chains without configuration, including NFTs. It's fast. Bridging USDC between ETH and Polygon is ~free. Just a massive step up in UX
107
71
921
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
It’s possible the COVID-19 pandemic saves humanity by preparing the world for a far more deadly future virus This test case killed less than 1% of the infected & led to the infrastructure to rapidly develop and deploy mRNA vaccines worldwide
34
62
920
@justindross
JD Ross
2 years
You have to imagine Larry & Sergei are realizing that, in this Act, Google is playing Bell Labs and Microsoft is still playing Microsoft
28
47
867
@justindross
JD Ross
5 years
Do you use your phone in your dreams? I just realized I never do. Pretty weird
53
62
856
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
The future of work as I see it: - Management teams working together in offices in tier 1 cities - Sales teams colocated in pods in tier 2/3 cities - Engineering, product, support, accounting, legal, finance all remote distributed teams
35
90
862
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
I can't find a single positive news article on the Instagram acquisition at the time it was announced. Every single one talked about how $1B for a 13 person company with no revenue was proof of a new internet bubble
24
36
834
@justindross
JD Ross
5 years
Stanford researchers concluded you can disinfect N95 masks and make them reusable by: - placing above boiling water in vapor for 10 minutes, or - heating a used mask at 158 Fahrenheit for 30 mins in an oven Amazing how quickly we learn and adapt
34
224
806
@justindross
JD Ross
5 years
Young people are anti-capitalist because we have made it impossible for them to accumulate capital. Paying off college loans today is the equivalent of paying off your college loans, putting a down payment on your house and then paying off the whole mortgage in the 70’s
28
116
813
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
Visiting Miami right now and I think I’ve seen more people from SF here than I saw in SF last year 😂
27
35
795
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
idea: all government spending should be presented as $-per-taxpayer 10 billion dollars in infra = $70 per taxpayer owed in future taxes our 30 trillion dollar debt? $230,000 per taxpayer that eventually comes due
40
71
794
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
I want to tell a quick personal story about @rabois , mentorship and making bets. There are hundreds of people who can tell a similar story, but indulge me.
6
25
803
@justindross
JD Ross
4 months
@smuglydismissed 1) I have no idea if this is true and I don’t think you do either 2) they were way worse, especially than the amazing independent cafes and restaurants across the country today
42
1
788
@justindross
JD Ross
5 years
“It’s a marathon not a sprint” Have you seen a marathon winner? They sprint the whole time! That’s what you’re competing against
23
75
791
@justindross
JD Ross
6 years
- We gutted a generation’s savings by issuing dumb credit for overpriced homes until ‘08 - Then we loaded up their kids with student debt for valueless degrees to pay for university bureaucrats - Now nobody has money and it is going to slowly crush our economy
@NPR
NPR
6 years
Spending habits of millennials, who are about 21 to 37, are often blamed for killing industries. But a new study by the Fed backs up the idea that it's less about how they're spending — and more about them not having money to spend.
937
6K
14K
16
170
743
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
Startup tech stack I used to automate most admin starting Royal: - Bank: @BankMercury - CC & Bill Pay: @tryramp - HR/Benefits/IT: @Rippling PEO - Stock: @cartainc - Payments: @stripe plus Google suite, Slack, Notion, Linear eng: Github, AWS, Alchemy, Render, Sentry, Datadog,etc
30
70
771
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
I don’t care about these stocks, but I care an enormous amount that my brokerage is a neutral platform that can execute any trade I want it to, when I want. #deleteRobinhood
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
Wow, Robinhood has blocked searches for AMC, GME, BB, NOK and NAKD.
18
27
396
22
74
758
@justindross
JD Ross
3 months
This is terrible for my SEO
33
16
769
@justindross
JD Ross
6 years
San Francisco is an ongoing experiment to test the limits of a talent network effect against a regime that hates business
@adamnash
Adam Nash
6 years
Wow. Unbelievable. San Francisco proposes to ban workplace cafeterias. 😳
44
38
162
30
123
750
@justindross
JD Ross
5 months
Couldn't help but notice the grade scale in this Math Class: A = 80-100 B = 60-79 C = 40-59 D = 20-39 F = 0-19 Where I went to high school, a 65% was an F
Tweet media one
194
35
757
@justindross
JD Ross
11 months
Israel is losing the information war so badly because it's easy to frame strength as evil and weakness as good. We've lost our fundamental ethical reasoning. Wars aren't about sustaining equal suffering, they're about winning. Israel is done letting Hamas terrorize their
@yurisasusaku
M ❀ ◓
11 months
I’m begging you guys to please PLEASE check snap maps. Look at the difference between the living conditions just a few miles away. The people of Gaza are posting these publicly for us to see and share. Please listen to them. These are all from today. You can check yourselves
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
21
114
251
67
48
735
@justindross
JD Ross
7 months
My roommate for 2 months in Mountain View graduated in 2013 at went to work for Nvidia which seemed cool in a retro way at the time… I wonder which yacht he lives on now
@deedydas
Deedy
7 months
If you graduated in 2013 and took a job at Nvidia with $400K equity over 4yrs, just that equity (no refreshers) would now be worth... $100 million! This is not a joke. The stock ~250x'd in 11yrs.
Tweet media one
251
797
12K
16
16
746
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
Apple did $111.44 billion revenue in 3 months. That's nearly California's annual budget. It's 2% of the entire US GDP.
13
53
742
@justindross
JD Ross
11 months
I wish Israel didn’t need to take military action in Palestine. I wish that every Palestinian could live a life free of fear for themselves and their families. Where in the Israeli charter does it talk about the removal of Palestinians from the earth? because it’s in the
63
69
725
@justindross
JD Ross
11 months
The younger generation thinking they’re deprogrammed while being *extremely programmed* by discourse over reality is the scariest thing I’ve witnessed through all of this
29
63
724
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
I hope I’m wrong but in order of likeliness I think the next 10-15 yrs is: 1. US war with China, China ascends. 2. No hard war but US fades into second place globally, like EU today. 3. US turns corner. We build skyscrapers in 14 days, a green grid, etc. How do we invert this?
189
56
706
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
The whole point of technology is that value isn't tied to effort or time
24
84
713
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
Public unions should be illegal. They’re unaccountable to voters and citizen who pay them, and only exist to serve themselves against the public interest
18
53
687
@justindross
JD Ross
11 months
I'm marrying into a farming family, and this is true. Try succeeding in this business: - High CapEx to start - 5% target return on equity and 1/3 of the time you lose a lot of money. If you lose 2 years in a row, your business dies - Wages increase every year, but your prices
41
46
685
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
San Francisco's safe places to live are high on the steepest hills, just like other medieval cities
20
26
669
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
As the founder of a company that relies on crypto to enable its mission, I find most of the crypto project scene extremely corny and directionless It has the optimism of 2010’s tech, but little of the honesty in mission — it really feels like it’s all about the money
38
40
666
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
A good early stage PM should be an editor of other teammates’ work and ideas Steve Jobs wasn’t a designer, nor Elon a car/rocket engineer For a long time, Square called PMs “Product Editors” and I think that’s a better title. I wish it stuck
15
49
674
@justindross
JD Ross
19 days
I'm into so many things that 20-30yr old me thought were horrible or banal like suburbs, racket sports, dinner parties, gardening, pets Now I'm confident I will eventually want the things 40 and 50 year olds love that I don't care about right now. Useful for orienting life
34
12
662
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
This is not a normative judgement on the actions Twitter or other companies took against Trump's account and others, it's just the second order consequences of those decisions
23
72
618
@justindross
JD Ross
3 months
OK, he gets my vote
12
11
653
@justindross
JD Ross
5 years
Facebook: <never sells personal info, just targets ads to you> Populist: BURN IT DOWN, JAIL THE CEO! Gov’t/DMV: <literally sells your personal info to marketing agencies without permission for $50m/yr in CA alone> Populist: Give us bigger government!
16
74
630
@justindross
JD Ross
5 years
The future is built, not discovered
18
117
599
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
Stripe would have never had these issues if they had just lowered Patrick’s salary to $70,000 and made it the company minimum wage
17
13
599
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
It’s actually hard to be as consistently wrong as Scott Galloway is. An untalented person is a coin flip, but he’s wrong 99% of the time!
@profgalloway
Scott Galloway
4 years
#Calm is one of those companies that when the funding & cheap capital runs out, it's not going to be so calm
42
7
154
27
8
588
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
This is an incredibly tragedy for America. We just shut down skilled immigration into the US, and prevent existing skilled workers from changing jobs. Many of the most talented people I know are here on H1-B and J visas
@nprpolitics
NPR Politics
4 years
JUST IN: President Trump plans to sign an executive order extending to January a pause on issuing “green cards” to new immigrants -- and will also halt temporary work visas for skilled workers, managers and au pairs in the H-1B, H-4, H-2B, L-1 and J categories.
398
2K
1K
17
102
588
@justindross
JD Ross
5 years
The Google APM program literally rejected Instagram founder & CEO Kevin Systrom, arguably the best product creator of his generation
Tweet media one
12
54
588
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
Enough is enough, it’s time to import a few hundred thousand goats and take care of this California dry fuel fire problem once and for all
40
38
584
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
New car production is limited, so the price of used cars has skyrocketed. In case anyone in housing policy roles follows me, this is precisely what has been happening with housing for decades. Affordability requires unhindered construction
15
75
576
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
That $6.4 trillion we spent on war post 9/11 is about $85,000 per American family
23
42
570
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
Young people shouldn’t want to invest as a career. It’s like eating candy. The first piece is delicious and the tenth piece is disgusting and your teeth are rotten. Touch the metal. Change the world
10
39
561
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
Everyone talks about all these newfangled web technologies, buuuuut the last $100B dollar company was built on PHP, and the last $75B company was built on Rails
21
44
547
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
SF Supervisor: The Tenderloin is one of the most dangerous places to walk... Citizens: Yes, finally! Criminals and the violent mentally ill are everywhere, and drugs are sold and done openly. Clean it u... SF Supervisor: ...because cars there turn right on red!! Citizens: 🥲
@MattHaneySF
Matt Haney
4 years
We've made progress, but the Tenderloin is still one of the most dangerous places to walk, w every street on high injury corridor. We must slow traffic and better separate people crossing from cars turning. There should be no right turn on red & 20 mph speed limits in the TL.
47
6
201
12
13
515
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
I never made $100k salary in my career until year 5 at Opendoor (No I didn’t have a family to support, and yes my friends all made fun of how cheap I was)
@auren
Auren Hoffman
4 years
after making 140+ angel investments, the only criteria that seems to be correlated with success is the founders’ cash compensation. the lower the cash comp over the first four years, the higher the likelihood of success. I’m not sure why.
232
383
3K
17
18
508
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
The existence of Nest’s scheduling system is all the proof I need that Steve Jobs was right to keep Tony Fadell as far away from software as possible
5
17
510
@justindross
JD Ross
5 months
I wasn't aware you could hire the cofounder of Instagram, but here we are
16
11
509
@justindross
JD Ross
3 years
Remember in 2011 when Peter Thiel said college wasn't worth it for most Americans, even at the top schools, and everyone hated him for that? .
22
48
484
@justindross
JD Ross
4 years
“Being in Silicon Valley is like living in Florence during the renaissance” proclaimed Steve Jobs frequently, but it was stolen from the back of the menu at Il Fornaio in Palo Alto! - shared by Mike Slade on Clubhouse: Steve Jobs Stories
5
42
483