L/S equities, fmr Tech Leader & Enterprise Tech VC. Twits are 100% NOT advice. Page is my personal pad of perspective & opinion, you are welcome into my mind
@GRDecter
Its a comedy, or is this criminal? CEO beseeching customers to not panic while cashing out 4-5M of stock in 45 days leading to SVB’s demise & taking trillions of mkt cap with it
@leadlagreport
Highest short interest on record ✔️
Violently oversold mkt ✔️
A path to potential executive bailout ✔️
A path to Fed pause or pivot cause let’s be clear systemic fissures are cleanly arising ✔️
Conditions
@ProblemSniper
Terrible call by executive mgmt… better to cut 10% of your workforce than have 100% of your workforce absolutely miserable and looking for alternative employment
@leadlagreport
Bravo Michael, bravo.. Right or wrong, I very much appreciate your insightful commentary and often minority perspective.. less than many understand this
Without further ado, Episode2
Omg… I wanted it to be shorter & what does it do, goes longer
smh but solid content here for you XFam
If this helps, pls share with your community so they can likewise be empowered
T$’s pod series episode 3 hot of the presses
These take effort please show me they are valuable to you by liking, commenting and pls reshare to help amplify my voice
Enjoy
Ciao ciao
Breadth oh myyyy. 28% of SPX & 25% of Qstrading above
Troubling for SPX - while it trades above its 200MA, just 46% of its stocks are above.. On the plus side, if 200MA breadth breaches 37-38%, there really wont be much debate about what needs to happen
@yuriymatso
Mkt showed great bullish determination today. SPX yet to close above bear mkt channel, but 3 straight closings rt there & today’s close rt on it. Mkt forming counter bull channel within the Big Bear. The two can’t coexist for more then 10-12 more trading days. This revolves soon!
OKAY
FFS!
I AM GOING TO HAVE TO DROP AN AUDIO POD ON DA GAME BETTER KNOWN AS RTH TRADING
BUYING CALLS AT OPEN.. FFS!!
Sunday, I decided my mkt analysis more useful.. & um it delivered a 50 handle sell eh...
but I now have 2 pods i my mind..
3 likes,Y do I bother
sum total of my work,then fk off
Mkt has da foundations 4 everything rally
Im positioned for dis but nevr from high ie NOT from current range
WouldB divergence from all PA ‘24 YTD
+enuf chance of failure
Net net mkt at decision pt
Just as NVDA comes 2 bat
bearish setup I discusssed now cleared
either buy leverage dat liquidity 2 reverse or sell extend
neutral board now. my day done
AMAZING
folks laugh when I post danger 4 buy
& yet here we are
IM OVER X
bunch of fkn nobodys speak like they know something
how you looking now betch
Like folks edu on X=da textbook definitions
Who takes da care to explain intricacies like T$
Who else has provided posture that has been so bang on for as long as I can literally remember
It’s a joke
25 likes or I’m obviously talking to myself which I can do elsewhere
next 100+ pt=tactical,take as it comes
On multi-wk basis-any strong technician knows mkt incontrovertibly bullish, no technical room 4 any other POV
mkt can break technicals but we NEVR expect such outcomes
If/when Structure chg we there
BUT-dis moment-those screaming trap=blind
@eliant_capital
Sitttt. Wait damn it. Don’t move. Take balls. Take borderline strikes. Take strikes you don’t see coming. Take walks. But when that cheese ball comes down the plate, you swing, and you swing with size
I would also say - cut losers early. Holddddd winners (while scaling ofc)
called 2 sells in last wks
Nailed both-2 of fkn 2
have any semblance of how ridic this is?
Yes… intraday is a 1to4 of 100 make it game
But calling sells smack on 2x on trot-dis approaching mission impossible
Just look at beloved furus firing blanks ovr&ovr
Where is my love
ES uptrend waves
4150-4400
4400-4600
4600-4825 incl 55pt k roll upshift
4825-4935
Declining strength+divergences+breadth degradation
SPX coiled-60pt prior wk range
exhaustive 5th wave or pullback soon?
Not seeing fingerprints of MAJOR TOP but of healthy buyable pullback-can chg
general view
I believe worst over, buy made a stand on Mon at max fear+effort
But I stressed likely need basing&buy swatted hard at Mon high
If Mon XS holds or capitulative sweep w/power up,can B enuf
But ATM-given rejects-cant discount +1 exhaustive leg down
Thus nevr chase high
I deleted post since no engagement.. but if you have notis on, you know what acceptance of pre-mkt + opening strength will look like...
must keep guard up.. we fundamentally dislike big manipulator ON shifts in a ranged mkt
1600 follows
we grow Xfam,we grow
+just warming up,I havent hit my peak, still work at dis 24x7x365,still C relentless improvements-ofc at my lvl its at da margins
U have my commitment to remain in dis capacity on X thru EOY25 min-ofc w/sporadic T$ pouting breaks
@hekyoda
TY bruh
That was easy trading fyi… if you were fading this move into Fri singles, you need to move to paper trading or size down till you lvl up
As I mentioned, all views withdrawn now… I speak microterm & in volatile envir, thing can chg
BUT…
2 DA FKN. 👁️➕⚽️
Any love for T$…
First night sleeping in the new digs ☺️
Lots of work remains & not much is setup excepttttt
1. My Bed
2. Kingsley’s Bed
3. The War Room
#necessities
✅✅✅
Took 60% off at 5740
82 handles
given aggression of decline.. options have gone balistic
I dont cry wolf
I dont throw darts blindfolded
& yes, I NAIL FKN SELLS PITCH PERFECT OVER & OVER JUST LIKE BUYS
Find my equal!
Why am I not beloved given all da respect/love?
T$ sad
Received multiple DMs that folks learned a lot 2day or appreciated my posts (I also lost 5ish followers, we can’t appease everyone it appears:)
obv takes a day of volatility for me 2 get fired up so we don’t get this rapid fire often
Buttt I digress…
thanks Xfam, heart you
In every instance Qs close beyond weekly Bollinger, price close following week on opposite side of where it began the week (ie retreating toward Bollinger) & in all but 1 instance, closes within the previous weeks body. History doesnt always repeat but overbought condition clear
Was just speaking to a few buds about dis
@RetirementRight
@hekyoda
When mkt in range for extended time period, da fkery is at max
Can be nonsensical
Just kno the overarching structure remains ranged
Really simplifies stuff
I’m doing my annual pro bono startup advisory for next two wks.. may get some trading in but may just step away, recharge da batteries
Still post mkt thoughts to my pad whenever I can but will be different
Back mid-Jun full time
Stay with mee, our journey just beginning
Did I help this epic wk?
care to give Taruney love b4 weekend?
AND YES, GET BACK TO WORK
I want to have 0 follows in 1yr as you have supreme confidence in youself & dont want to hear what this pricky narcissitic sommabetch-nor anyone else-has to say
metophor, dont unfollow me:)
People will say ohhh ASML earnings did this to da mkt
Sure it did… sure
We don’t say over wknd sell is coming… then say right at open we are looking lower because of ASML earnings
I IGNORE IT ALL
And yet…. MY FKN MKT
Today 1way traffic
World expecting rug pull but we knew, sell bait
BUT buy hasnt broken range
Perhaps we awaken & its a non concern
But range holds till proven otherwise
I show Grammy chart ask her where to mañana-she points up w/both hands & feet
Dat simple?
Chess not checkers
Bear mkt every 7-8yrs on Avg
+ ZERO historical precedence of
bear->bull->bear in 3 consecutive years
Take that together, fucking internalize it, understand the weight of probabilities
Anything can happen, it’s equities
But base case + 2 standard deviations->no bear in ‘24
Making a grown man tear
U C Me Xfam
At my lvl,trading=solitary endeavor
Only reason I’m here is sense of community,2 help others going thru this perilous journey,& yes my vanity owning dat conniving betch SPX
U give me love=my fuel 2 serve u
TYVM ☺️☺️🙏🏼🙏🏼
Heart you
In prep for Pod episode 2, pls digest the following (if you don’t get it, no need to ask now, wait for pod)
Episode 2 coming today or tomorrow
(TYVM brother
@jaredhstocks
for da data behind a key point im incessantly preaching to Xfam)
That’s how it’s done folks
Like a machine
Called every step of dat PA, do dis all da time, every movement I better know da intent
We don’t give a flying fkn abt direction, we just care about getting da handles
Rest on you
T$ signing off
Love meeeee
🫡🫡🫡
Remember dis chart.. cant make dis stuff up...
mkt in 4 day balance (including 2day)
I am no longer short.. have to step out for a bit
but unless sell break thru lows.. balance remains
regardless.. we never sell low, we never buy high.. so tis fine...
3 days on trot declining volume as mktrallies-you know how I feel abt tht
Price up vol up
Options flow not following mkt aggressively up here
Bollingers across all longTFs bowed outward
Divergences+breadth unchanged from weekend post
Powder keg shaken further by Mon’s breakout
2 items
-I’m here Xfam but in a grinding summer, we limit at bats+less posting
We haven’t been wrong on a trade together in some time… let’s aim to keep selective & a top hit rate
-Xfam that engages w/Taruney, shows me you care… I follow U back & engage on your page
🥂🤝
Seen sub selling furus last days claim globex better trading envir than rth
🫣🫡😂😂😂
If u devote life 2 basketball & your ultimate goal is compete in da NITs, sure buddy, globex>rth
Globex easier, yes agree
But if you wanna be a killa,u only break bread w/da best of da best
mkt breaks out,up 150bps pre-mkt
what it do rth?
a lot of hocus pocus
ES open 5778.25
ES close 5778
a friend said 2 me 'only longs 2day'
T$ said-meh.. Im trading long+short
Y?
DO YOU GET IT YET?
rth is a game, mkt moves net 0 over largest timeframes rth
play da game
Xfam, apparently T$ failure at typing-u kno,my main priority in life,serving Xfam w/impeccable typing
Can someone teach me & I offer 1on1 trading in return
@TommyThornton
This my friend is euphoria… pure nonsensical upside as investors race to increase positioning, valuation insensitive. when/if a significant catalyst arrives, valuation then matters. Higher we go, sharper the snap back risk. let’s see
@e3772014
@NoProb_XXX
Have no idea about the trade by my man NP but gosh I love this entitled garbage... "Anyone wo followed this trade missed out"
I laugh. You are an empowered individual, do your research, make your own investment and trading decisions. Stop crying & blaming others
In bear mkts every rally bulls say this time break out; eventually after false start after false start, it hits
In bull mkts every decline bears say recession; eventually after false start after false start, it hits
Taruney says bears+bulls playing w/1 arm tied behind back
You think dis fear?
Dis nothing
Mkt unnatural straight line too long
Dis a cleanse
burn stonkeymcmewn
pros time it,ride down->let real fear permeate & then thank fear for da discount shopping
keep your head & dont get cute thinking you want to catch dis breakaway gap/knife
TO DA FKN EYEBALL
I wasnt going 2 post,dont like 2 speak abt closing PA but noticed all bullish talk on X into close
thought 2self let me be there 4 Xfam,let em kno what T$ eyeing
feel free 2call me alphaman from now on-If I ever open a stage name,dis B it
I AM HIM & HIM IS HIGH
@eliant_capital
When I started, watched a few vids. dude takes an hour to explain a one para concept, he wants to talk about his drive, his drama, haters. I have too much ADD & my mind works too fast for that effing drama time drain. would rather hit my head into cement. no h8 just not for me
@TriggerTrades
This is why predictions simply do not make sense. Those that predict revise continuously - actually is a 3-wave, actually 5-wave, actually reverse zigzag… actually wrong, no longer 3k now 5k… what’s the point legend, what is the point
I post top realtime-5 likes”
I deliver analysis folks needs to kno,hrs of work,lifetime expertise - 3 likes til I say something
Same story every single day
I’m just not happy
@pow_face
@StonkPapi
@Don7Spy
@escartel_kp
It’s time gents!invite pls
+keep tradertrader away from me
8 green days on da trot for SPX typically delivers a heat check b4 continuation
Ofc no situation is typical
& 4 sure history is a guide & sanity check, but we always trade da board
Mañana I take as it comes
Signing off, will formulate more of a view post ON gamefilm
DM
sure,no new ATH
BUT who gives flying fk
We bought 5100s lol
I said many times balance can break either way+we may not get ATH rt now
ALSO CALLED POINT OF FAILURE IN REALTIME 'dat manipulation sweep not strength & is a big deal'
dis ultimate winning yet u crying? GET OFF ME
This a defended mkt but also not same mkt of ‘23 to early ‘24
Mkt priced 2 perfection, companies+macro have to deliver on dat (which we can) & da reward is grind higher
IMO-short of swans-stock mkt decides economic fate
at some point, buy will be unable to defend sell onslaught &
hard 2 call sell against dat strength last nite
But Y I suspicious posting 2x dis could reject?
Mkt in 5d range
If buy cant breakout 5 tries RTH Y manipulators get 2 on 1st try?
at least cause 4 pause
BUT
Buy held close abv range
Await full ON film
Tis touch & go
price finds support->mkt rally,said not ovr
sell reload->make lower low
said its not over
buy reload push thru prior swing high
Ive literally traded e/of these turns
Im not sure I can help folks, my audio post, my posts 2day
for half, in 1 ear out the other
reason 99% 4 reason
What I say rt at mkt close
‘Ball in sell court 2 take it low+Where sell drive price is MGI’
Well futes down 25ish…
liking tactical Taruney,a rebel w/o a cause,a soldier of fortune just unclothing dat conniving betch SPX at every opp
I want my 25❤️ on last post,dont make me leave
☺️☺️
I want nothing from X mate
Only reason I’m here is a sense of community & 2 be of service to my XFam
Your words=my fuel
I love ya brother… great Xfriend
posted dis wknd if there 2B down PA,dis da spot
very benign,buy step in hold SPX gap
if sell have spine vs dis simply serving buy better price, current push will B sold 2 retest low then C wats wat
if not,welp..
dont have much 2 say in volatile gamesy mkt
I speak wen alpha at max
C my no demand post?
Mkt nose dive rt after
I said day so precise,shying away from posting my actions+support has been firm so have to move to half positions quick
but just lookey at da PA.. nailed
oh myyyy
day done hold runs in case support breaks
it holds, violent squeeze
🫡🫡
cant believe Im doing this but we do what must be done
too much deceit lies fake predators in dis disease of an ecosystem
had more than enuf
from now on I only engage w/folks comments,DMs etc if I kno your 1st name, even your nickname suffices
NO MAS
my DM is open.. share Xfam
famous furus tell you rt now about technicals on whts happening
I tell you days ago+reemphasize in real-time+in greater depth
+I long open->flip to short bias..announce it to all
They have 500x the follows I do
perhaps a blessing, dont give me to masses
TOO MUCH ALPHA AND EDU
Lets C if sell keep up pressure, limit buy upside discovery all nite
If so,perhaps 2way PA manana
Also Xfam that’s been around T$ 4 awhile, knows full well I love a good sell,when all positioned long
Not there yet,TBD
Signing off+unplugging, 5am PT back on saddle w/pre-mkt prep
@algoflows
Maaate… hit a sell… then got stopped out a few times, then got dat topppp that was always coming..
you know me, shoot I can get stopped out 10times (all sub1pt typically 2 ticks) and 1 mediocre trade and profitable… but we did far better than that today… so intense
I deemphasize trading on X
I then feel obligated 2 manage live
too much
But I give everything from my guts,blood,talent 2 Xfam
Gave mkt low
Last Mon swing low
Last Fr 2way PA high+low
Today high
Obv more,top of mind
WE WIlLL B WRONG but dis been best run of my career
LOVEEE MEE
I NEVER post other folks stuff
And I’m not for fear mongering nor drinking the moonaid
But this historical reference is something that I can’t close my eyes to, we stay vigilant
TYVM
@mark_ungewitter
@_IWillBeKnown_
- mate this certainly supports your view
Me. I am H20
If Im not going to get any love when Im giving you the cheat code ie me..
If Im giving you basically my blood & love & ask for nothing in return except love.. yet I dont even get love
WHAT THE FUCK AM I DOING HERE
I mean.. show me my equal...
anyone have words for Taruney..
Well traded the morning as if the mkt is playing on Taruney's fiddle.. taking a break.. back later
If there is one setup that never leaves the mkt, replays in perpetuity & has printed 15-20-25 times during uptrend... see chart
I need to step out so cant show examples but a variation - consolidation is breached, upon confirmed retake-same outcome+often violent
no chit... mid 80s holds 2 close
honestly strong demand.. sell setting dat up all PM, bends doesnt break
mini range breaks to down but demand holds Mon XS directly below keeps price 4D ranged vs something deeper
Key being 'ATM'
now lets C what manipulators do over globex
I lost 15 followers last 2 days.. good riddance
For the folks that are present..
my aim & wish is that I’ve imparted just a bit of me, my motivations, my mentality… on you
+provided a bit of entertainment
Taruney out
TO DA FKN EYEBALL
One of my most satisfying trades.. GAWD I had posting as I have to justify myself
But matters not.. we living bayybeee
What I do isnt real.. It breaks all da rules
I WANT ALL DA LOVE
ALL OF IT
ROARRRRRRRRRR
Sooo
Qs stick save just abv bear mkt
SPX just abv 10% correct
perf bounce sport back 2 bull PA
Buy defends on ultra-hugh effort,price exhibiting uptrend feel
Can get retest low or not
There r outlier risks circling but whats new
But dis a bull mkt
Lower Qs close-> OK lets ride
About healthiest internals one will see during a multi-day decline
No fear
Mkt want 2 rally
I want 2 C sell flip dis script & waterfall into close
A little fear is healthy, current conditions T$ not entirely comfortable
@tomthetrader1
You effing nailed it legend. SPX sitting rt at balance lows w/another liquidation profile which augers tht selling isnt finished. Abt 4100, 4050 liquidity we shall see. but it matters not. I was disrespectful while you had it nalied. apologies arent enough justice but I apologize
Wkly setup for SPX
SPX continues to breakout of ranges to buy+print ATHs w/strong internals
whats bearish?
BUT breakouts losing steam w/Fri lowest ES effort since Jan3+lowest effort breakout I can remember
Sell efforts repeatedly reversed+increasingly less convincing since Jul
AND WERE HOME!
Goodness me
type of analysis paired w/execution that's well..singular
dis1 esp pleasing,No1 had it but T$
Next lvl
I dont know Y but feel super underappreciated, taking break rth
But can we have any complaints? perf masterpiece gifted Xfam as temporary swan song
ultra high volume gravestone eclipsing sell climactic effort-same story on all SPX likeness
Buy says’throw it all at us,u shant pass’
Bull mkt, buy narrative til proven wrong
in bear,we fkn flip dis,but dat aint now
Just dont forget all da beloved ‘bull trap’ furus w/mkt vertical
Taruney nailed swing low+gave it to xfam, even to my trolls
how often do we nail turns pitch perfect? Not 5-10pts later like every other beloved 'Xpert' but perf
Board wins-thats facts. BY DEFINITION what I do is impossible
Im a handful but im here cause I care. I just want love
So what broke Sunday/Monday?
It was a scare
but a 65 VIX? Ummm go fish
Felt more like 35 vix
da wasn’t run for hills,liquidate tht we feel as VIX passes 40…
certainly manipulators don’t get best buy w/bottom put in ON on 40+ VIX
Didn’t even feel like worst 4-5 days of ‘22
I get 15 ?s/wk abt PA
Y PA do xyz?
we bounced off abc lvl which is an LVN, am I missing anything?
YES! MISSING EVERYTHING!
A lvl just a lvl, only has meaning post zoom out, command what mkt trying to accomplish
Ill do audio post so folks grasp how 2 approach mkt
Mañana!
If you saw my post 2say (not enuf engagement 4 my liking given amount of analysis I put in dis wknd 2 distill down 2 250 characters - so delete)
But dis precisely initial response we expected globex
If this rejects below & confirms sub27, dis is new MGI
Fkn easy
Dis aint fear,dis nothin
MORE pls-mkt sleepwalkin awhile
-fear fuel 4 next up
4sure man I can be wrong yet my conviction remains pillar-'24 high hasnt printed, can go signif lower->EOY rally or not-path isnt crystal
but dis PA healthy+fear will get louder
BRING IT-WE PLAY CHESS
dis guy gets it🙏🦾
Y I have so much 2 say Wed,very little 2 say Thu?
A nutless monkey C mkt up 150bps at open
BUT Weds.. 2 call da sell then say at close 'what cha so bearish about'
DIS IS WHAT FKN LEGENDS DO
empower yourself....begin my listening to da pods eh
TY mate..TY
Days like today w/nonexistent volume ie nonexistent effort, cannot expect countertrend continuation
could it happen? sure, anything can happen but probabilistically, you're just paying the house
@RetirementRight
I pay higher taxes than I would in every Scandinavian country. Our great city upon a hill - a country of socialist tax rates without socialist services where EVERY politician panders to special interests and will never cut spend. Sigh
that rejection right at prior day high is a warning shot but ofc sell havent been able to get thru IBL....
dis PA isnt great if you are looking for trend, keep it light... take profits quickly...
BTC about to fkn explode 67.6k entry…
No I don’t trade BTC & will never be an active crypto trader… literally my 1st ever trade, if dis fails I will never trade it again stop 67.2
I prefer net sideway,close yr 5600-5700SPX
prefer not pull fwd too much of next yr potential growth
mkt give 2 chit what T$ want
Even more
-T$ trader+investor hats give even less chit
We make probabilistic bets across TFs on where mkt going w/o prejudice
skillset💯
emotion/bias0️⃣