Nigar Göksel @nigargoksel Twitter profile

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

4 years ago I met a major international fund manager who said: “I make investment decisions based on a country’s momentum, which I judge by: 1. whether the best & brightest are staying in the country 2. the qualifications of those in key eco. decision making posts" 1/2

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

#erkekleryerinibilsin (men should know their place) is trending on Turkish twitter, with posts replacing “men” for “women” in popular misogynous sayings. A brilliant show of the ludicrous discrimination in daily language re. women’s duties, conduct, clothing, abilities, chastity

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

Massive post war Azerbaijani reconstruction in Fuzuli district for resettlement after 30 years.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

2/2 Assessing Turkey on these grounds, he said: "I'm pulling out. Not because of corruption, or democracy deficits, or any imminent economic crash. But because I see the country risks becoming mediocre."

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

Despite expectation of a close race, it has been a very peaceful, pleasant day of voting so far in Turkey. Strong turnout is marked. With just an hour left to vote, there is a visible sense of relief on the streets. The night of counting will be long and suspenseful.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

A Greek diplomat said, re. the Philia (Friendship) Forum hosted in Athens with participants from the Republic of Cyprus, Egypt, Greece, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, France and the UAE, “The most vocal voices against Turkey were the Arab countries, not us".

Turkey-Greece: From Maritime Brinkmanship to Dialogue | Crisis Group

In mid-2020, Turkey and Greece put their Mediterranean fleets on high alert, dramatically raising tensions in their long-running dispute over air, water, rock and now seabed gas deposits as well....

www.crisisgroup.org

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

Baku, windy as ever 🧿 Bringing fresh smells from the Caspian

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

6 years

Turkish foreign minister @MevlutCavusoglu says “Pastor Brunson was a CIA agent.” #DohaForum

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

IŞİD'e katılıp dönen Türkiye vatandaşları, aileleri, ve tanıdıkları ile konuşarak araştırmamıza bir yıl önce başladık. IŞİD’lilerle ilgili yetkisi, deneyimi veya fikri olan herkesle konuşmaya çalıştık. Raporumuz pazartesi, sunumu Perşembe günü.

Crisis Group

@CrisisGroup

4 years

ONLINE EVENT | How is Turkey dealing with its ISIS returnees? 🗓️ 2 July 🕒 15:00 Brussels CEST 🕒 16:00 Ankara TRT 🕒 09:00 Washington EDT Register here ⇉

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

1/5 Our new @crisisgroup report on Turkey’s Libya intervention provides a number of reality checks to all external actors involved in the conflict: THREAD ⬇️

Turkey Wades into Libya’s Troubled Waters | Crisis Group

Turkish intervention in Libya’s war stopped the besieged Tripoli government from collapsing. But fighting with Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar’s forces has since escalated, threatening a protracted...

www.crisisgroup.org

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

Three files that are priorities for the Turkish state hardline were left open from the 1990s, and are flaring simultaneously nowadays: Greece/Cyprus, PKK in n. Iraq, N. Karabakh. Ironically, AKP had tried to forge another path on all three fronts in its early years.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

Many people are comparing & contrasting: the June 2013 Gezi Park protests in Turkey versus the ongoing crisis on US streets. All I know is: leading American TV news stations are not showing penguin documentaries all day to avoid coverage of the protests. #selfcensorship

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

1/7 With East Med tensions flaring as Turkey and Greece exchange barbs and hold rival military drills, the risk of a misstep sparking a military incident is real.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

A must-read commentary by @dkhalifa & @GregoryPWaters on how much Turkey's Syria policy can/will change. Also outlines impact of Syria situation on Turkish economy, national security, and public opinion @CrisisGroup In 🧵below I share two take-aways

Türkiye’s Syria Policy after Erdoğan’s Win | Crisis Group

Since the Syrian uprising began in 2011, Ankara has been drawn ever deeper into the crisis. Its approach will likely hold steady for now. But the choices it makes next matter for the fate of millions...

www.crisisgroup.org

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

5 months

Azerbaijan is in the global spotlight more than ever, with a lot on its plate. During my recent visit to Baku for the international forum of @ADAUniversity and @aircenteraz I observed three interconnected agenda items: * Hosting COP29 (the UN Climate Change Conference), which

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

Contradictory narratives abound about the costs and benefits of Turkey’s recent military interventions. In this commentary, I assess the prospect of synergy between Turkey and its Western allies in conflict theatres where the Turkish military is engaged.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

The Çanakkale Strait Bridge, coming along, set to be the longest in the world. We’re doing very well bridging Asia & Europe with infrastructure, but not fairing as well with civilisational bridging.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

Two points I heard today in #Turkish public debate: “Those who rely on imperialist forces get left in frost” The US did much more (like deploying own forces) to protect YPG from Turkish incursion in Syria than it did for #Ukraine to keep out #Russia

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

Traveling in both Nairobi and Baku this past week, I have come across many friends and foes of President Erdoğan who have in common the conviction that Turkish foreign policy is the function of one man. 1/5

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

Erdoğan just now said West hasn't done anything meaningful to support #Ukraine , “just a blast of condemnations” (kınama cümbüşü) “NATO needs to take decisive steps”, “EU needs to have a decisive position” shouldn't become a shadow play/puppet show (i.e. Karagöz & Hacivat)

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

I believe neither the Turks nor the Armenians are trying to please Biden with this move via @bpolitics

Turkey Moves to Normalize Armenia Ties in Bid to Please Biden

Turkey will work to normalize ties with Armenia and start charter flights to its capital city of Yerevan, Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said Monday, according to state-run TRT TV.

www.bloomberg.com

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

Although we (Turkey watchers) are fixated on Monday’s Biden-Erdoğan mtg, the Putin-Biden mtg will also shed light on “what next” for Turkey.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

In 2021, Russia ranked #1 in tourists to #Turkey , and Ukraine was 3rd, with the two combined representing 27% of the total number of #tourists .

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

Heartbroken to hear the passing of Kemal Derviş. I and many of my closest friends and colleagues who had the honor to work with him in the early 2000s remain deeply influenced by his inclusive style and wisdom as he sought viable middle ground on thorny issues.

Sinan Ulgen

@sinanulgen1

1 year

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

Bugün Azerbaycan Cumhurbaşkanı İlham Aliyev’in ülkesinin savaş sonrası duruşuna dair sözlerini ilk elden dinleme fırsatı buldum. 3 saatlik süren toplantıdan çıkarımlarımı paylaşıyorum: 1/9

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

After the Russia announcement recognizing the independence of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, the Turkish MFA announced it rejects this recognition as it is “a clear violation” of Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. 1/7

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

8 years

I told the taxi we cant just drive the wrong way on the highway, he laughed and said "you still think there are laws? " #istanbul

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

. @CrisisGroup başkanı @Rob_Malley ile Türkiye’nin bölgesinde neden/nasıl davrandığını konuştuğum Podcast sohbeti...John Kerry’nin Moskova uçağında darbe girişimini duyduğu an ile ilgili ilginç bir anekdotla…

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

My cat,Yogi,seeking attention 😻

Gegham Vardanyan

@reporterarm

3 years

cat of @nigargoksel featuring during @azatutyunradio live interview today

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 months

Cyprus is in the spotlight these days. Tomorrow, July 20, marks 50 years since Turkish troops landed in north Cyprus in response to a coup orchestrated by the Greek military junta aimed to unify Cyprus with Greece, preceded by over a decade of intercommunal violence and

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

On Saturday night President Erdoğan talked to a group of journalists on the plane about relations with Armenia. Parts of his 3-paragraph statement have been circulating in the media. Here is the confirmed English version of the 1st paragraph 1/5

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

Alarming Aegean escalation nowadays. What is behind the dispute, and why is it escalating now? THREAD

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

Probably Egypt will now green light Turkey joining East Med Forum. Greek Cypriot interlocutors told me earlier this year that Egypt was main obstacle, not themselves. We’ll see. And Ankara will also want Turkish Cypriot community somehow represented. Smooth sailing doubtful

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

Cyprus getting submerged in great power competition: The US may have lifted arms embargo on Republic of Cyprus primarily to: -Remove Russian weaponry from Greek Cypriot arsenal -Reward Greek Cypriots for closing airspace and ports to Russian flights and vessels. But... 1/2

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 months

The parallel eruption of riots in refugee-dense neighborhoods in Turkey and in SNA-controlled territories in northwest Syria highlights the complex bind Ankara finds itself in. 1/4

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

Turkey-Russia is on the list not as a conflict but as a dynamic to watch closely because their respective forces are very close to multiple front lines, and the trajectory of their relations impacts regional conflicts, in particular Libya, Syria, N. Karabakh.

Crisis Group

@CrisisGroup

4 years

. @CrisisGroup ’s list of 10 conflicts to Watch in 2021: 1️⃣ - Afghanistan 2️⃣ - Ethiopia 3️⃣ - Sahel 4️⃣ - Yemen 5️⃣ - Venezuela 6️⃣ - Somalia 7️⃣ - Libya 8️⃣ - Iran-U.S. 9️⃣ - Russia-Turkey 🔟 - Climate

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

9 years

A new phrase i'm hearing on Turkish TV this evening: ilimli cihatcilar (moderate jihadists)

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

When I was in DC earlier this month, the Finland/Sweden question dominated Turkey-related discussions. Why/when will Ankara green-light their NATO membership? The degree to which this issue resonates across the board in Washington may not be sufficiently grasped in Ankara.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

6 months

All eyes are on Istanbul. I just cast my vote in the Tarabya neighborhood. The lines were still long, with less than 1.5 hours remaining. The person on duty at the ballot box said 1/4 on the voter list hadn't voted yet. It's more cumbersome than usual because there are four

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

7 months

Many problems in #Turkey stem from the fact that 70 percent of its #women do not work. #WomensDay #KadinlarGunu #Kad ınlarGünü

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

Do US & Europe draw Turkey closer only to contain & subjugate it? Has Ankara been using its western allies to beef up its capabilities, only to work at cross purposes? Pursue/withdraw patterns have always been inherent in their relations.

Turkey does its own thing

Hugh Pope and Nigar Goksel profile a country deemed too autocratic, too Muslim and too wayward to join the European club

www.chathamhouse.org

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

5 months

My Twitter (X) homepage is churning with posts by Turkish advocates of improved relations with the EU expressing disillusionment about the latest EU Council conclusions which effectively linked any progress on Turkey-EU relations to the progress of Cyprus talks on RoC terms.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

5 years

Turkish public is not convinced about utility of sending troops to Libya. Survey finds only 34 percent is in favor: @turkiye_raporu Detailed breakdown by political party in @cumhuriyetgzt today: only AK Party voters are above 50 percent, and not by much (56%).

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

Ah no wonder bilinguals like us sometimes feel upside down while speaking.

Soner Cagaptay

@SonerCagaptay

4 years

This chart you Turkish syntax of English than completely different is that demonstrates

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

“Winning by not losing” was central to Turkey’s intervention in Libya & escalation in East Med. Not so re. N Karabakh. And compared to Libya’s GNA or Syrian opposition rebels, Turkish public at large associates more w/ cause of Azerbaijan. These are 2 of many dissimilarities.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

7 months

1- The panel on the South Caucasus on Friday at #ADF2024 featured some revealing exchanges, on Azerbaijan-Armenia and Turkey-Armenia diplomatic processes. Here is my interpretation of what I heard: 1/13

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

I talked to @TIME about the spillover of the UAE-Turkey confrontation into the East Med, and Turkey’s thistly hard power versus diplomacy calibration:

What to Know About Greece and Turkey's Mediterranean Standoff

"Any small spark could lead to catastrophe"

time.com

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

Just now: Turkish FM faults French President for provoking Greece, claims he has been badmouthing Turkey with false allegations in East Med & Lebanon, says his “hysteria” against Ankara is rooted in feeling sidelined re. NE Syria, and having made wrong bet on Haftar in Libya.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

5 years

1/ New @CrisisGroup report calls on Western countries to repatriate as many of their citizens as possible from #AlHol camp in #Syria . These states should also work with #Turkey to repatriate their citizens detained by Turkey for ISIS links. THREAD

Women and Children First: Repatriating the Westerners Affiliated with ISIS | Crisis Group

Tens of thousands of foreign men, women and children affiliated with ISIS are detained in northeast Syria. The camps where they are held pose a formidable security and humanitarian challenge to the...

www.crisisgroup.org

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

5 years

Crisis Group on the job

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

6 years

President Erdogan was grateful for Putin's support during the July 2016 coup attempt in Turkey. Observers even believe Erdogan was tipped off (about the threat) by the Kremlin beforehand. This and other interesting angles in @CrisisGroup report:

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

6 months

With Turkish municipal elections one week away, public discussions are rife with speculation regarding Ankara's potential post-elex actions concerning the Kurdish issue and the fight against PKK. Options floated include the below: 1. Taking decisive military action against PKK

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

1/3 An important development in #Ankara - #Yerevan relations: the decision to appoint special representatives. A much needed direct dialogue track. In his statement @MevlutCavusoglu made it clear that coordination with #Baku will be tight.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

Those complaining until yesterday that #Ankara hadn’t closed the #Straits to warships, are today saying this is a useless move because it can’t apply to Russia’s Black Sea fleet headed there. But there may be more to it than meets the eye. One is ⬇️ 1/2

Sinan Ulgen

@sinanulgen1

3 years

I would nuance that assessment a bit. It may not matter for the Black Sea theater in the short run but it definitely complicates the planning of Russia re the balancing btw Black Sea and East Med.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

Crisis Group’s take on how countries in Asia, MENA, Africa, and Latin America look at the war in #Ukraine : Responses are conditioned by internal political debates and foreign policy priorities. Here are some points on #Turkey ⬇️ @crisisgroup 1/6

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

Around 25.000 Turkish nationals live in Ukraine, and are a lead source of info for Turkish TV stations, connecting from shelters, or in long lines at border w/ Hungary or Poland, from where they can transit without a visa or CPR test. A few said they'll stay to defend Ukraine.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

1/3 New @CrisisGroup statement ahead of 24-25 Sept European Council mtg calls for time & space for dialogue, instead of sanctions against Turkey. Further punitive measures will not move Ankara toward talks, and would empower hardliners in the country.

How to Defuse Tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean | Crisis Group

Greece and Turkey have stepped back from the brink of military confrontation over gas exploration in disputed waters in the Mediterranean Sea. But trouble still looms. European leaders should welcome...

www.crisisgroup.org

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

Indeed. And along related lines, Amb. Jeffrey highlighted that Turkey in effect counterbalanced Russia: “Look what [Erdogan] has just done in eight months in Idlib, Libya and Nagorno-Karabakh. Russia or Russian allies have been the loser in all three."

Outgoing Syria envoy reflects on Turkey, the Kurds and what everyone got wrong

In a long-ranging interview with Al-Monitor, James Jeffrey looks back on his efforts to incorporate fragments of Obama-era initiatives into a cohesive Middle East policy.

www.al-monitor.com

🇹🇷 Umut Acar

@AcarUmut

4 years

Crisis Groups names Turkey-Russia among “conflicts to watch” in 2021. This is happening in a world where some seriously believe that “Turkey is turning away from the West and getting closer to Russia”. Same folks also believe that “Turkey could share F35 secrets w/ Russians”

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

IŞİD’e katılmak için Irak ve Suriye’ye giden Türkiyeli kadınların sayısının 1000-2000 arasında olduğu tahmin ediliyor. Kadınlar homojen bir grup değil. IŞİD’e katılmak için sebepleri çok çeşitliydi. Örgüt içinde de farklı görevler alabildiler.

Crisis Group

@CrisisGroup

4 years

Turkey, like many countries, must figure out how to handle thousands of citizens coming home from jihadist battlefields abroad. Register here for a virtual panel featuring @nigargoksel , @BerkayMANDIRACI , @dbyman and @AdeCar ⇉

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

6 months

Turkey’s local election results came as a surprise.. Following the disappointment and disillusionment from the May 2023 elections, and the subsequent splintering of the opposition alliance, even supporters of Turkey's opposition didn't dare harbor such high hopes. 1/5

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

The start of Turkey-Greece exploratory talks next week is an opportunity to stop their bilateral disputes from bleeding into the agenda of Turkey-EU relations to the detriment of all sides. This will be the first such meeting since 60 rounds of talks in 2002-2016. THREAD 1/9

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

#Ankara and #Athens are accusing each other of committing unprecedented airspace violations. Dialogue has stalled.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

Post-election reckoning in Turkey is ongoing at full speed as the country is braced for 28 May presidential race run-off. Was the decisive factor identity politics or perceptions of competence, pollsters will know better (or will they?). 1/4

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

6 months

Nine years ago today (15 April 2015) was my first day of work at @CrisisGroup The turbulence of Turkey and its neighbourhood has been quite like a roller coaster.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

Istanbul Bosporus strait closed to ship traffic for over 4 hours this morning due to heavy fog.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

And moreover, the visions of S. Demirel, T. Özal, and İ. Cem from the 1990s have deep underlying presence still in today’s Turkey’s foreign policy In sum, besides personal styles, I would expect elements of both change and continuity, no matter who wins. #T ürkiye #elections 5/5

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

"We must stop using another nation's name for insulting people. In Armenia, to insult someone they call you a Turk ...I want to tell people who try to insult me (by calling me Turk), they are not insulting me at all, bc I do not accept/perceive it as an insult" Armenia PM, 12 Dec

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

Critical last stretch in Turkish elections, excruciating for anxious watchers. Figures from Istanbul coming in with particular delay.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

My take-aways from @crisisgroup statement on Nagorno Karabakh: Why? Frustration with diplomacy. Losing faith in diplomatic efforts, and seeing int'l community is distracted/indifferent, Baku may have chosen to move ahead to recover territory. 1/6

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

5 years

President Erdoğan announced yesterday that Turkish military deployment to Libya had begun. What’s behind the latest decision and what are the likely consequences? THREAD ⇩⇩⇩ 1/7

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

9 years

Anti-ISIS coalition

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

The Turkish people believe that without military muscle the country’s interests and concerns will not be taken into account. We discussed how this mindset has come about over the years.

Crisis Group

@CrisisGroup

4 years

🎧 “Turkey is surrounded by conflicts that Turkey didn’t start and upheavals it didn’t create.” @nigargoksel joins @Rob_Malley and @NazModirzadeh to discuss what this means for Turkey’s foreign policy on this week’s episode of Hold Your Fire! ⇊

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

Sticking my neck out with giraffes ⁦ @KWSNairobiPark ⁩

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

Here is the nuts & bolts of the Turkey-Greece maritime disputes.. The two sides' positions depicted in a nutshell. @CrisisGroup

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

Moscow is now perfectly poised to exploit the fallout. Russia has set its sights on north Cyprus, to play on the sovereignty dispute between Turkish Cypriots and Greek Cypriots, and deepen wedges between Türkiye-EU and Türkiye-US. 2/2

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

IŞİD’e katılmak için Irak veya Suriye’ye giden Türkiye vatandaşlarının sayısı tahminen 5000-9000 arasında. Dönenlerin bazıları cihatçı militan oluşumlara hala sıcak bakıyor. Yeni raporumuz Ankara’nın geri dönenlerle nasıl baş ettiğine ışık tutuyor.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

6 years

. @CrisisGroup report launch in Istanbul graciously hosted by the Swedish Consul General, in stunning premises and with lively engagement from civil society, media, international orgs, diplomatic corps...

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

7 years

Vegetable by vegetable Russia's 2 yr ban of Turkish goods being lifted. Today it was announced that next in line is pomegranate & eggplants

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

Taking stock of Turkey's elex re. what lies ahead: A strong reality of Turkish society & elite alike is the perception of threat of instrumentalisation by the West. How to reckon with this reality while seeking win-win collaboration in geographies where interests align? 1/4

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

Greatest calamity in the history of Turkey. Across 10 provinces over 12,100 buildings collapsed or severely damaged. Death-toll and anger rising sharply. Political polarisation may deepen on the one hand, but new senses of unity may also be constructed.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

Ankara-Athens escalation is worrisome. Their maritime disputes have been around for decades. And now both sides are in pre-election mode, trying to mobilise their publics with hawkishness towards the other. The war of words is therefore to be expected. 1/3

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

ICG expert @Simon_Schlegel_ : Russia will attempt to control entirety of Luhansk and Donetsk regions. #Ukraine will use heavy weaponry delivered by Western partners to rebuff the attack. If successful, Putin may encircle Ukrainian army in the east, and portray victory.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

Minister Soylu speaking now, points finger at US. He says Ankara has received the message, and is rejecting condolences of US. The perpetrator was allegedly planning escape to Greece. Strong response by Turkiye to follow. (Sounds like signaling incursion into Syria)

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 years

Bugün yayınlanan @crisisgroup raporu Türkiye’nin Trablus hükümetine askeri destek sağlama gerekçelerini ve şimdiye kadarki sonuçlarını analiz edip ortak zemin aranmasına yönelik adımlar öneriyor. Türkçe özeti:

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

Different sets of Aegean islands were subject to different demilitarisation regimes, so the complexity is hard to capture in a tweet. For outline of positions, check out this @crisisgroup report, particularly Appendix B detailing legal arguments.

Turkey-Greece: From Maritime Brinkmanship to Dialogue | Crisis Group

In mid-2020, Turkey and Greece put their Mediterranean fleets on high alert, dramatically raising tensions in their long-running dispute over air, water, rock and now seabed gas deposits as well....

www.crisisgroup.org

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

4 months

🎙 Excited to share that I feature in the latest episode of "Hold Your Fire!" with @atwoodr . We assess Turkey’s stance in neighborhood conflicts where it is variably engaged and sometimes eclipsed. We also speculate on a few broader topical questions, such as whether Turkey is

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

The reality is, Ankara’s foreign policy has actually taken many turns under the same leadership since 2002 too. Listen to our recent @crisisgroup podcast reviewing some of these significant shifts: 4/5

Drones and Diplomacy: Will Türkiye’s Elections Change its Middle-Power Activism?

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, in power for two decades, faces a stiff challenge in Türkiye’s forthcoming election, which will take place only a few months aft

podcasts.apple.com

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

In #Baku this morning at @ADAUniversity I asked abt divergent views regarding security & border checks of transport routes. Response from senior transport official: “until there is trust, checkpoints and customs will be needed. One day they won’t be.”

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

6 years

After a week of @crisisgroup meetings in Ankara with INGOs, state institutions, and diplomats on the risk of exploitation of refugee vulnerabilities, here we are leaving the Presidency, with @BerkayMANDIRACI

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

Two thoughts from @EdamOrg & @CER_EU panel on US-Turkey relations: Americans advocating to wait until Turkey’s 2023 elections to tackle ossified problems, don't realize every day that passes strengthens the hand of Turks who would rather see relations with US deteriorate 1/2

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

7 years

Its time to think more about Syrians sustaining their livelihood in Turkey in the long term. Invest in their education and skills. Also need more focus on strengthening Turkish public institutions, municipalities and local NGOs so that services are durable after donors leave.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

8 years

Dialogue restored between AKP, CHP & MHP on multiple fronts, creating positive climate in country. RTE apology yestday brought relief too.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

As expected, Russia apparently opened Syrian airspace to Turkish warplanes. This can certainly play into the popular narrative of: "The West only criticizes Turkey for pursuing its national security, while Moscow understands Ankara’s vital interests."

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

3 years

"Integrating Turkey into projects to extract and export the gas to Europe could help reduce the country’s use of hard power to press its neighbours for a share of the resources, analysts at the International Crisis Group said in a report released today."

A low bar is set for Greek-Turkish talks

Tensions flared on camera last time the two foreign ministers met

www.ft.com

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

2 years

Turkish ruling and opposition parties compete in fuzzy language to pledge returning Syrian refugees voluntarily & in accordance w/ international law. Understandable, but rather a long shot, requiring safety, decent governance, schools, hospitals, jobs, homes in Syria. 1/2

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

5 months

In Baku now: “It is realistic to reach an agreement with Armenia by COP29” (November), says President Aliyev.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

5 years

President Erdoğan delivers strong threat to Syrian regime: From today onwards if any more harm comes to Turkish soldiers there, our retaliation will not be contained within #Idlib or the boundaries of the Sochi agreement, we will strike back against regime forces everywhere.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

6 years

Tomorrow (20 July) marks three-year anniversary of collapsed ceasefire between Turkey and PKK. Using open source data, @CrisisGroup has been tracking the fatalities.

Berkay Mandıracı

@BerkayMANDIRACI

6 years

In 3 years (since July 2015) the PKK conflict in #Turkey has killed at least 3,971, incl. 455 civilians. As the conflict's human toll rises, no end to escalation is in sight in the short run. Check out @CrisisGroup 's unique infographic to find out more.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

6 months

@ZaurShiriyev @CrisisGroup Wherever you go, you'll take not only your professional competence and intellectual strength, but also your unwavering ethics, calm demeanor, and integrity, which have inspired me for nearly two decades.

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Nigar Göksel

@nigargoksel

1 year

Here is our new commentary pointing out that UN appointment of envoy for #Cyprus problem could be the only way for a mutually agreeable roadmap to be devised for return to formal settlement talks. 1/2

How to Reinvigorate the UN’s Mediation Efforts in Cyprus | Crisis Group

UN diplomacy aimed at reunifying Cyprus has been drifting since talks broke down in 2017. The Secretary-General should appoint an envoy to draft a roadmap with sufficient incentives to bring both...

www.crisisgroup.org

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