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Daniel Byman Profile
Daniel Byman

@dbyman

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Professor @GeorgetownSFS and senior fellow @CSIS . Foreign Policy editor @lawfareblog . Despondent Hoyas basketball fan. RT ≠ etc

Washington, DC
Joined May 2011
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
My book shipment arrived today. Excited to see it in print. I owe many thanks to many people -- in the days to come, I'll be thanking folks for their help.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Canada labels the Three Percenters a terrorist entity
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
My latest thoughts on whether Afghanistan will again become a base for international terrorism
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
Frustrating NYT obit on Zawahiri. There is this persistent attempt to make him the mastermind of 9/11 (and several earlier attacks) despite little evidence he played a leading role--the 9/11 Commission, among others, made this clear.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
1 year
Whatever Happened to Al Qaeda? - The once-powerful organization’s disappearance from headlines and the broader foreign-policy conversation is remarkable.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
@asfandyarmir & I got tired of simplistic debates about whether Al Qaeda is strong or weak. Although we disagree--rather, BECAUSE we disagree--we decided to write a piece together. Assessing al-Qaeda: A Debate
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
If the conflict escalates beyond Ukraine, one worry is Russian support for extremist groups in Europe and even some activity in the United States--something Shelby Butt and I wrote about in Survival:
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
5 months
Proud to be in the next @IntSecHarvard with such great fellow authors
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
“Kyiv is everything. This war is about Kyiv,” he said. “If they don’t take Kyiv, they lose. For the Ukrainians, not losing is winning.” The war in Ukraine isn’t working out the way Russia intended
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
My friend and Georgetown colleague @hoffman_bruce read parts of my draft manuscript and has otherwise helped this project -- Bruce is among the world's very top terrorism and extremism scholars (and an amazing teacher). Getting his take made the book far stronger.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
My thoughts on the terrorism threat 20 years after 9/11 and why U.S. counterterrorism is more effective: via @ForeignAffairs
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
Shocked, shocked: Leaked Audio From 80 Internal TikTok Meetings Shows That US User Data Has Been Repeatedly Accessed From China via @ebakerwhite
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
My book examines the rise of white supremacist and right-wing extremism in Europe as well as the United States. The thoughts of @jeanYvesCamus1 were invaluable for understanding the situation in Europe and France in particular
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Yes, despite the price Ukraine is inflicting on Russia, it unfortunately still seems a question of "when" rather than "if" with regard to the ultimate Russian victory.
@drfarls
Robert Farley
3 years
I'm seeing way too much optimism about Ukraine right now. Which I feel too, but it's very early and Russia has a very large army.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
My thoughts on how counterterrorism has improved: For 20 years since 9/11, the U.S. has staved off any comparable attack on its homeland. Will its counterterrorism measures hold for the future, too? via @WSJ
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
My last book blurb was provided by @benjaminwittes , a close friend and someone whose insights on national security have long shaped my own thinking -- Ben never fails to force me to think harder and more critically, even about subjects I know well.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
My thoughts drawing on my longer @Journal_IS article: The Failure of Counterterrorism After the Civil War
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
As promised, I am acknowledging some of the many people who helped with my book. Before I name specific individuals, let me thank the students in my classes over the years. At @georgetownsfs & @GeorgetownCSS , I'm teaching the brightest of minds, and I learn from them every day.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Excellent @EliotACohen analysis. I thought Ukraine would lose when the war began; I later became impressed with its resistance but still pessimistic. I am now guardedly optimistic--happy to have my initial doubts on Ukraine's staying power proven wrong.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
In this article I argue that there is value examining the Reconstruction period using concepts borrowed from counterterrorism and counterinsurgency (h/t @MorganLKaplan ) White Supremacy, Terrorism, and the Failure of Reconstruction in the United States
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
1 year
My thoughts with @SethGJones on why Israel's ground invasion of Gaza will prove exceptionally difficult.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
2 big risks with US withdrawal: humanitarian and terrorism-related. Humanitarian cost painfully clear and will remain so for anyone watching. I'm more skeptical that Afghanistan will become a base for Al Qaeda as it was before 9/11. My thoughts on that:
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Thoughtful piece: The Historian’s Approach to Understanding Terrorism
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Excellent & nuanced @JJSchroden analysis: The Challenges of Mapping Taliban Control in Afghanistan
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
1 year
A second piece @CSIS Alexander Palmer and I wrote on the future challenges Israel will face in dealing with Hamas (Hint: Ugly choices).
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
"The C.I.A. for years has been pessimistic about the training of the Afghan security forces. But the Defense Intelligence Agency and other intelligence shops within the Pentagon delivered more optimistic assessments about the Afghans’ preparedness"
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Excellent thread.
@DavidPriess
David Priess
3 years
THREAD: 20 years ago today, the best known daily intelligence item in history—the article "Bin Laden is Determined to Strike"—appeared in George W. Bush’s President’s Daily Brief. Here’s the story of its creation, based on my interviews with its author and intel leaders: 1/12
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Great @ConvSix discussion on #Afghanistan with @hoffman_bruce -- we discuss the ISIS-K attack, Pakistan, and other issues.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
My thoughts on today's most pressing terrorism problem (with many thanks to @hoffman_bruce for his insights) Counterterrorism and Modern White Supremacy
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
You know, I can give a bunch of analytic explanations for this, but sometimes you just want to shout about how much people suck
@chron
Chron
2 years
Praise for the Uvalde shooter and conspiracy theories are spreading online.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Afghanistan war produced important (I'd say vital) counterterrorism gains, especially in its earliest years. My thoughts with @benjaminwittes
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
10 months
My effort to make sense of Israel's competing goals and the tradeoffs Israel needs to make: Israel’s Muddled Strategy in Gaza via @ForeignAffairs
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
As we mourn those lost in the #BuffaloMassacre , it's tempting to overstate the coherence of the white supremacist movement and the skills of its adherents. I'd recommend this @BrookingsInst report I did with @egavactip of the @ADL for some nuance:
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
The Far-Right Idealized the Russian Military. Ukraine Exposes All the Ways They’re Wrong.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Also, for someone who was probably THE leader in his field, he had a remarkable humility -- a model for the rest of us lesser minds.
@jaylyall_red5
Jason Lyall
3 years
A true one-of-a-kind, honest-to-goodness giant in the field. What a legacy, not only in his scholarship but in all the students he inspired over the decades and those he will continue to inspire as new generations encounter his work for the first time.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Everyone who studies extremism knows the work of @intelwire -- JM's research is always fresh, clear, and deeply informed. My thanks to him for his help with my book.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
Hey, @georgetownsfs is looking to hire a tenure-track professor who is an expert on security and China. Check out the position description
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Foreign fighters can be incredibly dangerous. They make conflicts more intense, and they are behind many of the world's most lethal jihadist attacks.
@PSQuarterly
PSQ
3 years
Access article from the Fall 2021 issue by @dbyman at . @georgetownsfs
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
My thoughts on a tough definitional question: thinking about terrorist movements (vs. groups): What Is a Terrorist Movement?
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
As I researched and wrote my book, @tcwittes was an ever-present source of support and inspiration. She helped me as I struggled to form my initial ideas, as I crafted the manuscript, and then as I polished my findings. I can't thank her enough.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
As someone who has done investigations, let me say how great this thread is. Wish I had read it years ago!
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Let's remember that other parts of the world are seeing horrible suffering and violence too
@thetimes
The Times and The Sunday Times
3 years
A suicide bomber stormed into a Shia mosque and blew himself up during Friday prayers in Pakistan, killing at least 56 worshippers and wounding 194 others
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
My thoughts on foreign fighters going to Ukraine. BLUF: it's largely a bad idea, though parallels with jihadists who went to fight in Syria and other conflicts are inexact at best .
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Excellent @colebunzel analysis: Al Qaeda Versus ISIS via @ForeignAffairs
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Let me start my specific thanks with my blurbers, whose kind words at the back mean so much to me. @heidibeirich is one of the world's leading researchers--I've learned a tremendous amount from her, and I am grateful for all she does to educate us on extremism and help fight it
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
This is a fantastic choice. @tcwittes is a leading authority on the Middle East, and she'll be a great public servant.
@PowerUSAID
Samantha Power
3 years
Thrilled to see @POTUS nominate @tcwittes as @USAID Assistant Administrator for the Middle East. Tammy is a leading voice on the region who has shaped policy from in & out of government. She's also a founder of @lc_wins which does so much to advocate for women in foreign affairs.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
To understand the power of local mayors and other democratic leaders in these circumstances, I recommend Steinbeck's WWII novel "The Moon is Down" (set in a fictional version of occupied Norway).
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
Thoughtful @azelin work: Why Is It So Difficult to Get Off a Terrorist List?
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
My thoughts in Lawfare on the future of Al Qaeda: Al Qaeda after al-Zawahiri
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Proud to have known and been an occasional colleague of Daniel Benjamin, now heading the American Academy in Berlin. He is a leading policymaker and thinker on counterterrorism, and his insights made my research much stronger.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
2021 is an odd year for political violence in the US so far. A lot of mixing of violent rhetoric, insurrection (1/6), etc. But no jihadist attacks on US soil, and no white supremacist mass terrorist attacks
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
The German white supremacist world is complex, both from a terrorism and from a counterterrorism point of view. Daniel Koehler @GIRD_S superb guided me through its twists and turns -- many thanks to him for all his time and help.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Excellent @kiernanchrist article: Why Right-Wing Extremists Love the Unabomber
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Excellent @HilaryMatfess article: Despite Cease-Fire in Tigray, No End in Sight for Conflict
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Everyone who follows extremism knows the great work of @SeamusHughes . He is also one of the most generous people in the field, and I am grateful for the help he provided me with my book.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Fighting white supremacists requires tackling their online presence--a challenge fraught with technological, legal and ethical difficulties. @ErinSaltman proved a fantastic guide, offering many insights on the challenges but also on ways companies and civil society can do better.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
My thoughts on Jyette Klausen's fresh and instructive "Western Jihadism"
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Excellent @ColinPClarke & @Jacob_A_Ware piece on far-right target selection with important implications for how to respond to the threat
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Life is good
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Exactly -- 20 years after 9/11, we still cannot think about risk properly
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
I learned a tremendous amount from @Jason_Blazakis about how the U.S. government thinks about and categorizes terrorism -- he is always generous with his time and tremendous expertise.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
1 year
Thrilled to be part of the great @CSIS team
@handrewschwartz
H. Andrew Schwartz
1 year
Welcoming our new colleague @dbyman to CSIS
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
The white supremacist world today is incredibly complex. Fortunately, we have experts like @cassiepmiller of the @splcenter . She is incredibly knowledgable, and I am grateful for the many insights she shared with me.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Last first-year ProSeminar today ... gonna miss my great class!
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
A lot here:
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Great to talk with @NaureenCFink for @ConvSix on the international dimensions of far-right terrorism. She always has amazing insights.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Excellent @hoffman_bruce & @Jacob_A_Ware piece: January 6, the Afghanistan Withdrawal and the Future of U.S. Counterterrorism
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
Valuable @SeamusHughes & Bennett Clifford piece: The History of Countering Violent Extremism Tends to Repeat. It Shouldn’t.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
This is a great piece. It has profound implications not only for counterterrorism but also for the broader power governments have over society
@Hegghammer
Thomas Hegghammer
3 years
Intermittent terrorist attacks have blinded us to a deeper trend: the steady increase in the coercive power of the technocratic state. Technology has made organized rebellion virtually impossible in rich states, I argue in @ForeignAffairs
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
Geography Lessons From the 9/11 Terrorist Network
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Very interesting @DonRassler & Muhammad al-'Ubaydi piece: Anticipating Future Directions of Tech-Enabled Terror
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Exactly -- in civil wars, defection and desertion are huge variables, and success of the other side in one area can make this much more likely in others
@jaylyall_red5
Jason Lyall
3 years
Momentum in war is a real thing. Weakness of Afghan forces leads to quick Taliban gains, leads to side deals and surrenders, creates a perception of further weakness, leads to more T gains + side deals. Afghan government needs a stop soon, and is running out of places to do it.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
Okay, this puts the stack of papers I need to grade in perspective
@ngumenyuk
Nataliya Gumenyuk
2 years
A professor from Uzhgorod university gives an online lecture to his students having a moment
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
3 years
Great to share the @ConvSix stage with @ColinPClarke to discuss his new @WarOnTheRocks article on the Taliban and ISK
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
This book will be a vital guide for many students. Can't wait until it's out.
@JimGoldgeier
Jim Goldgeier
2 years
And we have a cover for the ⁦ @Georgetown_UP ⁩ book by me and ⁦ @tcwittes ⁩ that will be out later this year! We hope this book will help PhDs who want to work in foreign policy.
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
10 months
My thoughts on what might be/is going wrong for Israel in its war in Gaza
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
My thoughts with @chrismeserole & @vssubrah : The internet will soon be awash in AI-generated fakery indiscernible from fact. For democracies that value open dialogue, there’s no simple solution. via @WSJ
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
2 years
Excellent @BarakMendelsohn & @ColinPClarke piece: Zawahiri’s Legacy and the Prospects for an al-Qaeda Revival
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@dbyman
Daniel Byman
1 year
Missing from this otherwise excellent piece is the responsibility of the Pakistan government for the Taliban's success in Afghanistan -- a victory that is now devastating Pakistan itself.
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