Gregory Cochran Profile
Gregory Cochran

@gcochran99

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Joined November 2013
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
11 months
Razib Kahn posts about on the new genetically-informed version of European prehistory - which, oddly enough, looks a lot like the version current around 1930.
@razibkhan
Razib 🥥 Khan 🧬 📘✍️📱
11 months
Facing Facts, even fraught ones: the quest for proto-Indo-Europeans in 2023 Today, over three billion humans distributed across every continent  claim Indo-European languages as their mother tongue. This status is the outcome of myriad documented
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
@JohnHMcWhorter @Biorealism There is a problem with the press systematically purveying a false picture of race and race relations. Systematically hiding massive data that does not fit their thesis, magnifying uncommon incidents into trends, etc. None more at fault in this than the NYTimes.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 years
Beto O'Rourke, running for Governor of Texas, has been hospitalized with a 'bacterial infection'. Normally, they'd announce what it was. There's nothing embarrassing about bacterial pneumonia or whooping cough. This infection, however, must be in some way embarrassing.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@clairlemon There are society-level factors influencing this and also individual-level factors. A guy in the middle of the Depression wasn't crazy for saying it was damn hard to get a job.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
11 months
Postwar archaeologists and prehistorians made up a prehistory they felt more comfortable with, one without Völkerwanderungs. False. This happens routinely in the social sciences.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
25 days
@polanskydj The Nazis multiplied the Dresden casualties tenfold, for propaganda purposes, and the Communists picked that up and continued it.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 month
Back in February, Biden's people said he would not take a cognitive test in his annual physical. This implies, with very high probability, that he had already taken one ( from someone other than the White House MD) and done poorly.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
#MyWhitePrivilege My Dad got 35 exciting flights over Germany in 1944 without paying a dime !
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
@cremieuxrecueil @Inductivist It might be interesting to see a list of social science claims that are substantially accurate.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
There's a paper out about a "previously unsuspected extended period of genetic adaptation lasting ~30,000 y, potentially in Arabia or surrounding regions,prior to a rapid dispersal across the rest of Eurasia as far as Australia." I think it was previously suspected.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
As Sakharov puts it, Oppenheimer was trying to apply the brakes to the American hydrogen bomb program in the expectation that the USSR would then refrain from developing thermonuclear superweapons of its own. Which means that Oppenheimer was a fool, like many of his colleagues.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@nntaleb @Steve_Sailer You can't select for a complex behavior like herding and protecting sheep. Border collies don't exist either.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@nntaleb @Steve_Sailer That's why you can't select for stuff like running speed. Thoroughbreds don't exist.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
Scott Alexander said "You Don't Want A Purely Biological, Apolitical Taxonomy Of Mental Disorders" In fact, that is exactly what you should want.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
8 months
I see that wiki leans towards syphilis being native to Europe. That is silly. Syphilis spreads like wildfire: it reached Japan by 1520. Coming from America could explain why it never spread over the Old World before 1494.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 months
It may not be impossible to make useful estimates of the IQ of past famous people such as Presidents, but the discussions of such I see on Twitter are almost magically stupid. I mean, Jesus, JFK at 150??
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 months
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
@Steve_Sailer @sharghzadeh Half Lithuanian, half Lipka Tatar. Synthetic Mexican.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@INotsayin @RilsRislan @mtracey @getongab Since, as far as I know, everything put out by Wikileaks has been accurate, nobody could mistake it for journalism.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
Was thinking about the variability of military merit and medals, and checked up on Lyndon Johnson's Silver Star. He won it for being a _passenger_ on a plane that the Japanese shot at.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 months
Some asshole uttered a claim that the largest ancestry fraction in the US is from Germany. That is a recurring false claim - anyone want to point out what mysterious thing happened in 1990 to generate it?
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
@kirstinetaylor @dpinsen There's good news tonight !
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
11 months
The linguists managed to - mostly - think straight about this. What's their secret?
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 months
Numbers. over, and over I hear some numerically impossible claim that many or most people calmly accept. "90,000 women die of anorexia each year !" me " nope." "1 million US children are kidnaped each year !" Me: " nope."
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
Doubling Down
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
@Steve_Sailer @espiers @Spottedcanine I once heard a Silicon Valley investor say that he had looked hard at around 400 successful startups: of those two or three had been founded by married couples, none by single women. Which made him wonder about Theranos ( before the shit hit the fan).
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@AndrewYang It does not. The Depression happened, mass idiocy did not follow
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@TheBabylonBee @Inductivist "Overall, there is a substantial sex difference in general knowledge, with men (M=69.75) scoring higher than women (M=59.26). Using Cohen's measure of effect size, the overall difference in general knowledge scores between men and women is approximately half a standard deviation"
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 years
@Steve_Sailer I wouldn't be too sure of that. What if the main force driving people away is the high prevalence of crimes less serious than murder? Murder is important and well-counted, but other crimes are enormously more common.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 years
@kitten_beloved Don't waste time on new nonsense: stick to classic nonsense: ectomorphs, mesomorphs, and endomorphs.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@leftyprincesss @KirkegaardEmil @Steve_Sailer China had high IQ scores before they were at all rich: once they abandoned Communism, they started growing rapidly. it is as if they were quite capable of success once they stopped hitting themselves in the head with the hammer and sickle.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
@JohnHMcWhorter @Biorealism No, it does not have a major cop problem.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@EstOdek According to the CDC, blacks rates of various STDs are substantially higher in the US. 7 times higher for chlamydia, 15 times higher for gonorrhea, 6 times higher for syphilis, about 8 for HIV. Probably there is a reason.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
" it is under no evolutionary pressure to evolve." Nonsense. You would have to be an idiot to think that. Not such a rare position, though: most biologists have no real understanding of natural selection. Or math. or history.. or..
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 months
Plagiarize! The current kerfluffle about plagiarism is an indirect way of pointing out that a lot of DEI types are fraudulent dummies. I would prefer pointing out that their 'research' is wrong and stupid, but the current academic position is "what is Truth?" .
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 years
@sbkaufman People with schizophrenia are considerably more likely than average to commit violent offenses. The rate among patients with schizophrenia and related disease was 6.6 times higher than matched individuals in the general population.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
@USCatholic @TiaPhD But he wasn't. So that's a lie. And lying, she knew, was a sin.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@CommsDirector There are plenty of Afghan immigrants in Europe, and they're expensive trouble, rivaled only by Somalis.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
Most scientists consider Oppenheimer the hero of this story and Teller the villain. if Oppenheimer's views had prevailed, rather than Teller's, the United States would have been well and truly fucked.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 months
@Steve_Sailer Ridiculous. Did someone hit you on the head?
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
Take my wife, please !
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 years
I looked to see how many generals the US lost over four years in WWII, in circumstances comparable to those in which Russia has lost 4 generals in the Ukraine. In front line combat: not counting accidents, friendly fire, plane crashes, Japanese prisoner camps. 7, by my count.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@nntaleb @Steve_Sailer No one could select for a breed of dog that was strong, intelligent, protective, trainable and obedient. Such a dog is unpossible!
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
Not the Flu
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
My own favorite scenario is that moderns and neanderthals mixed in the Middle East around 100 kya, then got stuck somewhere in a refugium for 50kya as the earth was cold, perhaps on the Arabian peninsula, then they expanded out during a warming period around 50kya.  Just a theory
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
I want audiobooks dictated by an auctioneer.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
Caste was, probably, a mistake. "there are more loss of function variants (pLoFs) in South Asians than in Europeans"
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
@boriquagato @LucreSnooker @BSCapital2 Even the New York Times has admitted that epidemiologists went nuts in recent decades, opposing travel controls and masks - for no reason, other than a vague feeling that they weren't PC. Of course, they were right: nothing that works is PC.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
@RichardHanania @clakklaa I'm thinking of a couple of women I know whose parents split up.. Somehow that meant that their father never talked to them for years. it hurt. it is possible to see that pain alone maybe doesn't do lasting damage to your capabilities... but, pain is pain.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 years
They say 'bacterial' to rule out monkeypox, but which bacterium? It could be something subject to misunderstanding by the hoi polloi: chlamydia pneumoniae can cause pneumonia, but is not a venereal disease. It just sounds like one.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@NoamJStein The whole idea was ridiculous. Not seen as ridiculous by sociologists, because they're crazy. The past is full of trauma: did everything that ever happened damage unborn babies for miles around? Did evolution maximize fetal vulnerability?
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
Jennifer Raff, 2018, in the Giardian: "The notion that the ancestors of Native Americans were not the first or only people on the continent has great popularity among white nationalists, who see it as a means of denying Native Americans an ancestral claim on their land."
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 years
@sbkaufman Schizophrenics account for 0.5 -1.0 % of the population, and something like 10% of murders.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 months
Kim Philby was a traitor and a Soviet agent, while his father had converted to Islam. Hard to see much of an ideological conection - but I think a connection existed.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
6 years
Live Not By Lies
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@MathiFryy @razibkhan Anyone that's not insane is in a better position.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@Steve_Sailer There are indeed other factors in success, but the biggest thing limiting the dominance of people with IQs > 160 is that there are very few of them. This is apparently impossible for most people to understand.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
10 months
@jollier_raptor Career State Department guys ( and other high-ups) have thought that support for Israel was often against United States Interests for a long, long time. George C.Marshall threatened to resign over Truman's recognition of Israel.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 years
@kitten_beloved @gigafelon Mostly, the US has a lower percentage of high scorers because we have a different ethnic mix than Finland or Japan. Diversity is our weakness.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 months
@mattyglesias There was a dramatic jump in murders in early 2020, entirely because your ideological allies pushed a false national narrative of police oppression.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
@Steve_Sailer I heard of a guy who was hospitalized for stomach pain: they found ~1,000 Barbie-doll heads in his stomach. Possible member of the overlap audience.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@terminalyonline @razibkhan Standardized test were, and are, good at finding the bright kids, whether they come from money or not. Getting rid of them eases the way for people with pull, which is why getting rid of them is happening.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@amy_harmon @PKoellinger @thessgac @DPosthu Because I don't think it's true. We've tried plenty: doesn't work. People have said very similar things about the social-experience drivers of within-population differences in IQ: behavioral genetics certainly indicates those ideas were completely incorrect.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@RealYeyoZa It's not easy to find a past civilization that is crazy as our leading edges currently are.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@beer_bro_ @MattWalshBlog Untrue. Did the Amerindians have trig? no. Axiomatic geometry? no. method of exhaustion? No. Number theory? No. Quadratic formula? no. Did they know the size of the Earth? Did they even know its a sphere? no.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@apdemetriou @ROBERTO_COLOM IQs were pretty high in China & Japan before they escaped, or began to escape, poverty. They stay low in places like Saudi even after they strike it rich. None of this is a secret. In absolute terms, _everybody_ was poor in 1700 or 1800, but some societies could do science.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
Gay genes
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
9 months
@dialectical_p I remember having to explain what a galaxy was to a liberal arts co-ed.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@amy_harmon @PKoellinger @thessgac @DPosthu Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. Got it? In 2010 we didn't have direct genetic evidence of alleles influencing individual differences in intelligence. That doesn't mean they weren't there: now we've found many.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 years
@Danisaplante @Uber_Kryptonian It is not the case that plenty of non-white people played roles in design, engineering, management, at the Manhattan project. Construction, sure.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@nytimes The election situation has developed not necessarily to your advantage.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
5 years
@UnknowsailorOne @KirkegaardEmil It's hard to pretend to be smarter than your are on a standardized test - but maybe they tried Kaplan !
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
@maryscriver @phl43 @hbdchick which is why crime is high in West Virginia, except that it isn't.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
@mexitribesman @polygenicity @nathancofnas @itsbirdemic There's a certain logic in denying everything from behavioral genetics to psychometrics. Reality is a seamless web: if even one hatefact exists, all facts are hatefacts.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
11 months
Thinking about various good books that I would like to read, if only someone had bothered to write them. For example, the book that intelligently compares and contrasts the origins and course of civilization in the Old and New Worlds.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 months
@RichardHanania Fortunately, nobody has to pay state or local taxes in the US. Because if they did, the total take of government (lcoal + state + federal) would be more like 36%.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@RCownie @ArchieN1966 @RhiannonDauster @EPoe187 I could produce a population with an IQ of 115 in one generation just by dropping high-IQ kids on an island. What you consider difficult or impossible is utterly trivial.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 months
@eigenrobot Trump is busy in court and doesn't have much campaign money: Biden doesn't have the energy and his people don't want him talking unscripted. Nothing that mysterious about it.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
10 months
Biden could, I think, materially improve his chances of re-election by choosing a new running mate. One so competent and charming that instead of worrying about Biden dropping dead during a second term..
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
@razibkhan In the same way, it is inappropriate to talk about copper or iron as elements in those times, since the ancients only believed in four elements - earth, air, fire, and water.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
@sgcarney @JayMan471 Selective breeding could lead to a population better at separating emotion from fact.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
How many std to the left of the median voter is sufficient to make someone safe from cancel culture?
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@AzorInfo @JayMan471 @TeaGeeGeePea @turrible_tao @olivertraldi @hbdchick @aaronsibarium If you looked at the highest levels of achievement, the geographical differences are even more striking. it is possible to find individual Europeans that have achieved more along those lines than the populations of whole civilizations over centuries.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 month
@mattyglesias You've said this before, and it was nonsense then, too. Hack.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
2 years
@sbkaufman Psychiatrists often say that most murders are not committed by schizophrenics, and most schizophrenics are not murderers. True, but this is intended to imply that schizophrenics do not have much higher murder rates than average. They do.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@dsonoiki @germanrlopez Don't forget being wrong.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
4 years
@skepticgoat @ScottMc20530614 @AlecMacGillis @esaagar Crime and violence were high among blacks in 1900: not much of a drug culture black then. Besides, ' drug culture' is something you do, not an environment factor like rain: plenty of places had weed and opiates available for thousands of years but seldom abused them.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
3 years
@sciencefandom @JayMan471 @Shaggyda4 @joelwatsonfish We know a lot about divergent evolution in humans: it is perfectly capable of happening in a _mere_ 50,000 years, or for that matter over time periods far shorter than that. Are Eskimos really just like Tibetans? No. Are East Asians really just like Europeans? Again, no.
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@gcochran99
Gregory Cochran
1 year
@razibkhan If this assertion were true - which it isn't - there would be examples of it happening here and there, now and then. Embracing a theory that is falsified by everything that ever happened is a sign that in some way your mind ain't right.
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