Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7) Profile Banner
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7) Profile
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)

@cojobrien

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Following
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Research @InnovateEconomy . Fellow @rootsofprogress . Thinking about: progress studies, immigration reform, industrial policy, the NY Mets. Definite optimist.

Washington, DC
Joined October 2011
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
Anytime my tweets get 10 likes
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
Yes, they do in fact use 9/11 to get to this figure.
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@ALPAPilots
Air Line Pilots Association
1 year
Since current standards for pilot training and qualifications were established in 2010, air fatalities have been reduced by 99.8%. Despite this, Washington leaders are considering weakening these standards. Let’s be clear — passenger safety is at stake. Learn more.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
It's. pretty insane we did this
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
If you’re a reporter with a death wish, you should look into the legitimacy of these offsets.
@swifferupdates
Taylor Swift Updates 🩶
1 year
✈️ | @BusinessInsider reports on @taylorswift13 's efforts to reduce her carbon footprint during The Eras Tour. "Before the tour kicked off in March of 2023, Taylor purchased MORE THAN DOUBLE the carbon credits needed to offset all tour travel."
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
Learning economics has its upsides but it absolutely ruins the experience of getting a tax refund.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
For the love of god please end this show already
@TheSimpsons
The Simpsons
2 years
Professor @RBReich gives The Simpsons a lesson in economics this Sunday — and we *will* be taking attendance.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
The Intercept names Moderna and BioNTech executives on its list of the year’s worst Americans. Speechless.
@theintercept
The Intercept
3 years
The pandemic has turned nine pharma executives and investors into billionaires. This has only been possible thanks to a massive government intervention in the market via monopoly patent protection — for vaccines largely developed via government funding.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
“You’re acting 5’8” right now.” -my girlfriend Absolutely devastating.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Second-tier state schools seem to be the gems of the American higher ed system (via @DKThomp )
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
New county-level population data is out today. Wide swaths of the country are shrinking.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
A man used to be able to support his family on one income.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 month
RIP to the dude marrying an Olympic athlete. Not sure he’ll recover from this L.
@9mm_smg
9mmSMG
1 month
If your girl proposes to you, especially during the Olympics, you're cooked. There is nothing more emasculating than a woman proposing.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
A sign that you may have a clunky immigration system
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
My reading list for 2023:
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Truly remarkable turnaround in DC housing production over the last 30 years. In the 1990s, the District lagged behind every single state in housing permits per capita (infamously issuing zero in 1996). In 2020, DC issued one permit for every 100 people, more than any state.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
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@_BarringtonII
BDMII
2 years
Do me a favor. Go look at your last pay check stub. Then look at the taxes that were taken out. Then realize that the Ukraine probably got 20-40% of that money. Ask yourselves... what could you do with that money? Better yet... what could you do with all of the taxes that were
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
I'm starting to get a bit suspicious that this group does not, in fact, represent the views of U.S. tech workers.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
@christianbrits those demands are pretty radical
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
Quite the opposite. The 99% of human history where we all were on the brink of starvation, dominated by some cruel, moronic lord, and dead at 40 was dystopian.
@KateAronoff
Kate Aronoff
3 years
People really underestimate how dystopian the United States is
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
New Census population estimates shed light on the extent of prime-age population decline across the country, with some interesting wrinkles. First, nearly three-quarters of U.S. counties saw declines in their prime-age populations between 2012-2022: 1/n
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
6 months
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@DeItaone
*Walter Bloomberg
6 months
❖ BIDEN TO PROPOSE $5,000 CREDIT FOR FIRST-TIME HOME BUYERS: WAPO ❖ BIDEN TO PROPOSE CREDIT FOR FAMILIES SELLING STARTER HOMES:WAPO
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 months
Not pictured: visible hand
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
15 days
Fake survey by company offering financial services finds shocking results: you should buy their services.
@spectatorindex
The Spectator Index
15 days
UNITED STATES: CNBC reports that 25% of Gen Z taxpayers say they will 'need a therapist to help deal with the stress of tax-filing season', based on a survey by Cash App Taxes.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
That life is substantially improving for most of the world (and that this is a very good thing!) is practically a contrarian take at this point.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
5 months
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@mark_lynas
Mark Lynas
5 months
Disastrous news from the Philippines- the Court of Appeals has sided with Greenpeace and the antis in blocking vit-A enhanced Golden Rice, which is now in widespread cultivation in the country. All planting must now stop, harming the interests of millions.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
The return of 1970s population bomb doomer-ism among highly-educated elites is worrying and incredibly sad.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
9 months
On violent crime overall, the picture is even more grim. D.C. has seen the largest increase of any major city in America and it isn't even very close. 6/
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 months
This goes straight into the Canon.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
4 months
Japan doubling its intake of skilled workers to 160,000/year. That's a country a little more than one-third our size. Note the H-1B is still 85,000.
@gsiskind
Greg Siskind
4 months
Japan to double cap on skilled foreign workers from fiscal 2024 via @NikkeiAsia
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
5 months
Don't shut down TikTok. Simply require every post to undergo an environmental impact assessment before going live.
@ryxcommar
Senior PowerPoint Engineer
5 months
The US government should nationalize TikTok.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
Change in the under-5 population at the state level since the start of the pandemic. New York, Chicago, Illinois, Hawaii...
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
10 months
Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-ND): "It is time to do the right thing by making it easier for highly skilled immigrants to live, raise their families, and work in our country, allowing them to contribute in meaningful ways to states like North Dakota."
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
@JosephPolitano He still won’t give up on the online bank idea 20 years later lmao
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
What a signal this sends to the next pandemic’s Pfizer or Moderna.
@JStein_WaPo
Jeff Stein
2 years
. @SenSanders today introduced a plan to impose a 95% tax on the “windfall profits” of all corporations earning more than $500M in revenue. “Windfall” would be determined by each company’s average profits during the 5 years before the pandemic
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
7 months
I would simply read the bill, personally.
@DavidSacks
David Sacks
7 months
The Inflation Reduction Act was actually a trillion dollar spending bill. The border security bill is actually a mass amnesty. Just assume bills do the opposite of what they say.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Biden's collapse with young voters is kind of mysterious. I've heard a lot of theories, but I find disappointment over his failure to end the SALT deduction most convincing.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
I don't think you need an associate's degree to look after a toddler.
@kathrynw5
Kathryn Watson
2 years
"Putting two kids into a child-care center in D.C. costs 41% more than the local average mortgage payment and nearly twice the cost of tuition at a public university." Requiring an associate's degree will make it even more expensive for families.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
28 days
The worst part of Twitter is not the viciousness, shallowness, or scapegoating. It’s finding out how many smart and important people have terrible epistemic standards. Demoralizing to see people you admire share obvious slop that doesn’t pass the smell test.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
98% talk, 2% inflation
@byHeatherLong
Heather Long
2 years
“Monetary policy is 98% talk.” - Ben Bernanke, former Fed Chair
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
The Hulk does not have our best interests at heart
@MarkRuffalo
Mark Ruffalo
4 years
This is a BIG deal - the first of Indian Point's nuclear reactors is shutting down this month & New York State is moving toward a 100% #RenewableEnergy future! Be sure to check out @Beyond_IP and their incredible campaign! #BeyondIndianPoint
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 months
There is a housing policy angle to our engagement. This was on top of The Cairo, the building which led to DC’s first building height restrictions. I would have proposed on an even higher rooftop, if one were legal.
@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 months
7.20.24
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
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@DSA_SF
DSA San Francisco
3 years
Many of these YIMBRos have never held public power, and their dreamy capitalist idealism of supply-demand curves show that they don’t understand that the root cause of housing scarcity is commodification.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
it's sad how nobody wants to work anymore
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Setting aside all the other stuff about the Boudin recall, it is actually wild that a major US city elected a former Hugo Chavez staffer to be District Attorney.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
29 days
Underrated is the extent to which hedge funds/high finance make it harder for the US to do advanced manufacturing (and not just through the capital inflows/trade balance channel).
@Noahpinion
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
30 days
I just don't believe this cultural story. TSMC gets the best, most motivated people in Taiwan. In America those people can make 5x as much doing software. Notably, Japanese-owned U.S. auto factories are as productive as factories in Japan.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
17 days
Job estimates conspiracy theories are the cleanest identifier I’ve ever seen for people whose views on the economy add zero value. They’re helpfully identifying themselves so we can clear our feeds of stupidity.
@tomselliott
Tom Elliott
17 days
CNN: Biden Admin admits cooking the books, claiming 818,000 jobs between March 2023 & March 2024 that didn’t actually exist
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
5 months
A must-read in @TheEconomist : America is uniquely ill-suited to handle a falling population. Thread:
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
This is grim.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 months
Buried in this episode: We almost lost Dwarkesh to stupid per-country green card caps. After 13 years in the US (the son of a doctor!), he was mere months away from aging out of his H-1B dependent status and having to leave the country or become a Big Tech "code monkey."
@dwarkesh_sp
Dwarkesh Patel
3 months
. @leopoldasch on: - the trillion dollar cluster - unhobblings + scaling = 2027 AGI - CCP espionage at AI labs - leaving OpenAI and starting an AGI investment firm - dangers of outsourcing clusters to the Middle East - The Project Full episode (including the last 32 minutes cut
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 months
The new right-wing government in New Zealand is going to war with NIMBYs. So too is Pierre Poilievre, the next Conservative PM in Canada. Starmer won a giant Labour majority last night in the UK promising big planning reforms... Fascinating.
@davidmwessel
David Wessel
2 months
New Zealand govt vows to 'flood' cities with housing in new planning rules
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
What if I told you there was a revenue source that doubled as a climate program?
@JStein_WaPo
Jeff Stein
3 years
NEWS: WH aides planning how to make grueling cuts to Biden agenda to accommodate centrists Manchin's $1.5T "topline" = ~**60%** cut to Biden's plans Wrenching choices of what gets left out: Homelessness or climate? Seniors or poor? Hungry or sick?
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
Folks,
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@CNBCnow
CNBC Now
3 years
BREAKING: Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer to retire, @NBCNews has learned
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
8 days
This is one of those ideas where folks will say "sure it's probably a bad idea, but it polls well and helps you get elected." The problem is when you say that for long enough, policymakers simply start to think it's actually a good idea in the first place.
@EricLevitz
Eric Levitz
8 days
Kamala wants to ban corporate landlords from owning lots of single-family homes. But this policy may actually be regressive: It effectively shrinks the supply of housing available to renters, while reinforcing class segregation
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 months
Heartbreaking: The worst country you know embraces abundance before your own
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 months
Low-wage workers' wages have boomed twice in the last 40 years. They happen to be the two times we actually approached full employment. No radical changes in trade or labor policy, just good old-fashioned aggregate demand.
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@JedKolko
Jed Kolko
2 months
Fascinating new way to look at how lower-wage workers have fared, by @ernietedeschi Introducing the Low-Wage Index: A Compositionally-Adjusted Look at Low-Wage Workers Since 1979
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 month
Tim Walz signed a full ban on noncompete agreements in Minnesota last year. MN is the fourth state thus far with a full ban.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 months
New: Demographic collapse has arrived in major American cities. Between 2020 and 2023, large urban counties' under five population fell 8%. In NYC, it fell 18%. Los Angeles, 14%. Cook County, IL, 15%. 1/x
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
This is not even remotely true.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
15 days
Mortgage interest and SALT deduction hatred rapidly evaporating…
@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
15 days
We are officially D.C. homeowners!!
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
Here's how our map shakes out when we look at absolute changes in prime-age population over the last decade. Sun Belt: it's your economy, if you can keep it. 3/n
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Wait I thought we wanted to hurt Russia?
@SamRamani2
Samuel Ramani
2 years
BREAKING: The U.S. will join Britain in banning the provision of management consulting services to Russia
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
The ship is unstuck. Neoliberalism is back on.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
The kicker is the UK has *already* eradicated the scourge of economic growth.
@degrowthlondon
Degrowth London
1 year
Hello! We are excited to announce the arrival and imminent launch of 'Degrowth London'🧵1/4
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Standing outside the van Gogh exhibit
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 months
In contrast to what you may hear about the gig-ification of work in America: -The average worker is working fewer hours -Rates of 2+ jobs are down -Typical job tenure is up -People are changing jobs less frequently Via @BenGlasner @LettieriDC @ModeledBehavior 's new project.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 month
This stuff from EJ is crude clickbait at best. Here's the share of native-born, prime age Americans who are employed. As you can see, it's the highest it's been in two decades. Nobody is being "swapped out." The labor market for native workers is historically tight.
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@RealEJAntoni
E.J. Antoni, Ph.D.
1 month
Over the last year, native-born Americans have LOST 1.2 million jobs while foreign-born employment has increased 1.3 million; we're just swapping out American workers at this point, not growing the pie for everyone...
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
Ok maybe Jerome Powell went a little too far this time
@SixBrownChicks
SixBrownChicks
3 years
San Diego: Armored truck dumps cash on freeway. Freeway shuts down while people collect $100 bills
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
7 months
TIL: Lee Kuan Yew couldn’t get India or Egypt to help train Singapore’s brand-new military. He took the controversial step of inviting Israelis to do it, and just told people they were Mexicans.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
@mattyglesias It is strange for the author of this story to frame apartheid South Africa as a bastion of unfettered speech while also including this passage:
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
15 days
We are officially D.C. homeowners!!
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
9 months
For all of DC's recent troubles, it permitted more than 7,700 new housing units last year alone, the highest total since 1965.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 months
7.20.24
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
Biggest winners: Mountain West, Southern metros Biggest losers: Rural counties, Rust Belt counties of all stripes 2/n
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
@RichardHanania dude give it a rest and go outside
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
5 months
New: Foreign-born workers make up an outsized share of the workforce in industries critical to economic and national security. You simply cannot separate industrial policy success from skilled immigration reform. Let’s dive into the numbers.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Fed raises interest rates as Powell vows to go “sicko mode” against inflation
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
Probably one of the most important storylines for understanding the 21st century: The Great Stagnation may be self-perpetuating, locking in zero-sum views that in turn slow growth.
@jburnmurdoch
John Burn-Murdoch
1 year
NEW: a recent study found a fascinating pattern People are becoming more zero-sum in their thinking, and weaker economic growth may explain why Older generations grew up with high growth and formed aspirational attitudes; younger ones have faced low growth and are more zero-sum
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
Build The Cube
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
9 months
D.C. really is experiencing a very large spike in crime. Homicide is up by one-third, robbery two-thirds, and carjackings have nearly doubled. 4/
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Top-tier bill acronym
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Oh my god an Odd Lots episode on a Land Value Tax
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
I see we've reached the "let's just make inflation illegal" stage of the business cycle.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
9 months
The median salary for an H-1B visa holder last year was $118,000. For all the rhetoric around H-1B as some kind of low-wage program, the typical person on this visa makes literally twice the average American's annual salary.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
9 months
NEW: How is Washington D.C. actually doing? As we near the end of 2023, I take a look at key measures of the city's health, including demographics, crime, transit, schools, and housing. 1/
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
The EU is a very good idea, so it hurts that I can’t really name a major crisis/problem in my lifetime that it hasn’t completely fumbled.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
Utah does not like zero-sum thinking!
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
1 year
A new paper on correlates of zero-sum thinking just came out and it has everything: race, sex, politics, class, mobility, and even deep roots! Here are my favorite graphs from the paper. But first: how was zero-sum thinking measured? The answer is as a set of four questions on
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Robert Reich is the Charlie Kirk of progressive Twitter
@besttrousers
Matt Darling 🌐🏗️
2 years
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
A spectre is haunting America — the spectre of like 2% of GDP/year in additional federal spending.
@marcorubio
Marco Rubio
3 years
The $3.5 trillion Biden plan isn’t socialism, it’s marxism
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
6 months
Dune is a great story about supply chain chokepoints and what happens without friendshoring. Take heed, friends.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
Shockingly few green cards (likely many fewer than you think) actually go to employer-sponsored or self-sponsored skilled workers.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
4 months
In Nevada, 18-year-olds can vote or join the army. But they can't be trusted to become licensed magicians.
@senatorshoshana
Shoshana Weissmann, Sloth Committee Chair 🦥
4 months
Someone asked me I can't believe this exists OCCUPATIONAL LICENSING FOR MAGICIANS
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
4 months
Now would be a good time to drop the petty feuds against South Korean washing machines and Canadian wood.
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@mattyglesias
Matthew Yglesias
4 months
The economic case against tariffs is sound. The national securities case against letting China poach all of American manufacturing is also sound. The synthesis is we need free trade with the free world.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Outrageous: With his $44 billion, Elon Musk could have established a student loan debt forgiveness program for Pell Grant recipients who start a business that operates for three years in disadvantaged communities.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
3 years
“You smell like updog” “I am updog”
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
Good morning from Georgetown. I’m here with 75 of my closest friends about to walk 62 miles to Harper Ferry, West Virginia. Wish me luck.
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@cojobrien
Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
2 years
Signed up to do a reckless and painful physical feat. Will let the TL know how it works out.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
8 months
Being upset by this is the normal reaction.
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@tweetelissa
Elissa Silverman
8 months
I knew this guy was insufferable on national politics but he is just clueless and uninformed on local affairs, which is a shame because he lives here and other people listen to him. He is the part of the MAGA group in DC local politics, voting against his own good gov interest.
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Connor O’Brien (in SF 9/4-9/7)
1 year
@atrembath 10% of the tour proceeds go to Greenpeace, doubling its emissions footprint
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