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The Idea Farm

@TheIdeaFarm

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Curating the top investment research 📩 Newsletter: 🎙️ Podcast 📺 YouTube: …

Joined August 2012
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
Phenomenal visualization from @ckaiwu showing a great company isn't always a great investment "...in periods of euphoria, the market has a tendency not only to price in potential growth but also to greatly over-extrapolate it."
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
🔥 10 quotes from Charlie Munger today with @BeckyQuick @ $DJCO
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
5 months
“I think over my career, the market…has gotten less, not more, efficient.” - @CliffordAsness
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
Jim Grant 👉 "To suppose a stock's value is determined purely by a corporation's earnings discounted by the relevant interest rate is to forget that people have burned witches, gone to war on a whim, defended Stalin & believed Orson Welles when he told them Martians had landed."
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
9 months
Is blocking trade with Russia and China a big mistake? Listen to @gave_vincent & @hKuppy on The Meb Faber Show podcast. Be sure to check out this episode tomorrow! #mebfaber #mebfabershow #investing #stocks #stockmarket #geopolitics
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
19 days
10 Stats from Research by Michael Mauboussin ( @mjmauboussin )
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
“Half of the 15,000 mutual funds in the US are run by portfolio managers who do not invest a single dollar of their own money in their products”
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
5 months
🚨 Tomorrow on The @MebFaber Show 🚨 Steve Edmundson makes his podcast debut
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
. @CliffordAsness 👉 “If I ever get an economic law named after me I want it to be ‘There is no investment product so good gross, that there isn’t a fee that could make it bad net'.”
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
🎙️ The top 20 investing podcasts of 2022 🎙️
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
🚨 PREVIEW 🚨 You don't want to miss Friday's episode with @MebFaber & @AlderLaneEggs on @SBF_FTX & @FTX_Official
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
What's your most memorable investment? Listen to @AlderLaneEggs share his 🎯🎯🎯
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
"By the time investors experience the second or third free-fall – and we’ve hardly experienced the first one yet – the psychology of investors is not “this is the bottom” – but rather, “there is no bottom.”
@hussmanjp
John P. Hussman, Ph.D.
2 years
New comment is out! 🐳
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
Do you fall into this group that focuses more on restaurants than their investments? @AlderLaneEggs
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
. @hkuppy explains the global economic effect of the US Federal Reserve raising rates
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
4 months
Berkshire Hathaway can decline 99.3% and still have outperformed the S&P 500 since 1965. @ChrisBloomstran shared this stat two years ago. Listen to @MebFaber discuss it here $BRK
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
9 months
Could the U.S. now be on the wrong side of the iron wall? Listen to @gave_vincent & @hkuppy on The @MebFaber Show podcast 🍎 Apple: 🍏 Spotify: 📺YouTube:
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
5 months
🚨 Tomorrow on The @MebFaber Show Podcast 🚨 @CliffordAsness
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
As many investors are underweight foreign stocks after 30 years of US outperformance, @AQRCapital & @CliffordAsness make the case that international diversification is still worth it based on both theory and long-run evidence. The main driver of the US outperformance versus the
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 months
Twenty One Lessons From Financial History For The Way We Live Now Russell Napier shares lessons from financial history and how they apply to his outlook for the world today. (05:34) Spend as much time analyzing supply as you spend analyzing demand. (09:37) There is no
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
👀 EM stocks are still cheap!
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
9 months
🚨 This week on The @MebFaber Show podcast
@gave_vincent
Louis-Vincent Gave
1 year
After polishing off three bottles of wine with @hkuppy last night, I thought we had solved all of the world’s problems. Woke up this morning and it seems that the problems are still there. Oh well. At least wine was good so no hang-over. Hope to see kuppy and his most charming
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
Marty Zweig's Investing Rules
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 month
Ian Cassel ( @iancassel ) of @MicroCapClub shares common characteristics of 10 bagger stocks.
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
This week on The @MebFaber Show @MohnishPabrai discusses cloning, compounding & more Subscribe so you don't miss it
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
Great look at some of the 10 baggers in the last 10 years [ @bespokeinvest ]
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
8 months
🎙️ Top 20 Investing Podcasts of 2023 🎙️
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
9 months
2024 Outlooks 📈📉📊 Here are the outlooks we've found so far. Reply/DM us any we're missing! @SamRo has a great post summarizing different price targets BlackRock: 2024 Global Outlook PIMCO: Prime Time for Bonds
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
5 months
Cliff Asness' Top 10 Pet Peeves 1. The idea that “volatility” is for misguided geeks. 2. Bubbles, bubbles, everywhere, but not all pop or sink. 3. Using three- to five-year evaluation periods. 4. The idea that we will — or should — find one culprit for the financial crisis.
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
5 months
🎙️ Top Investing Podcasts of the Week 🎙️ @JackFarley96 w/ @LizAnnSonders on markets & the economy @philbak1 w/ @profplum99 on broken markets @BillBrewsterTBB w/ @alphaarchitect on $BOXX, ETFs & more
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
6 months
Whitney Baker ( @TotemMacro ) shares the issue the Fed is facing.
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
May 2023 Asset Class Performance 💥 $QQQ outperformed $DVY by ~15% 💥8 of 11 sectors were red in May 💥Other than Brazil, India, and Japan, ex-US returns were mostly negative 💥 $USO & $UNG declined by over 10% [ @bespokeinvest ]
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
. @ManGroup showing the performance of major asset classes since 1900
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
Must listen 👇 “If your principles are more important than your life, you sacrifice your life. If your life is more important than your principles, you sacrifice your principles.”
@WilliamGreen72
William Green
2 years
In this episode of the #RicherWiserHappier podcast, Arnold Van Den Berg shares powerful insights on how he transformed his life by gaining control over his mind. This conversation has had a profound impact on me. I hope you find it equally helpful. Listen:
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
6 months
Friday Facts 🔹Apple paid $1 billion in credit card rewards last year 🔹In 2023, McDonald's bought 2 billion eggs from agribusiness giant Cargill 🔹Spotify is now the #2 provider of audio books behind Audible. 🔹As of February 1, 2024, Novo Nordisk is 70.6% of Denmark's stock
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
🔥 Big day tomorrow 🔥 Subscribers get to preview a paid version of @DoombergT 🐔🐔🐔 📩 Subscribe (for FREE) so you don't miss out
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
"With every investment we become richer or wiser, never both." - Bill Duhamel ht @MarkYusko
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
7 months
"What does the market know for sure that just ain't so?" @verdadcap says 3 things: 1. US is the best place to invest 2. Growth is better than value 3. Private is better than public
@verdadcap
Dan Rasmussen
9 months
Here's a link to my presentation at 2023 Sohn Hearts & Minds Conference
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
83% of the world's energy comes from fossil fuels (down only 3% from 20 years ago) Based on projected growth in developing countries, the world is projected to consume more fossil fuels in 2050 than today.
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
10 months
🎤 Top Podcasts of the Week! 🎤 @patrick_oshag w/ @AswathDamodaran to make sense of the market @RyanDetrick & @sonusvarghese w/ @CliffordAsness with investing lessons @JackFarley96 w/ @BobEUnlimited & @profplum99 on a 'hard landing' Links below👇
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
After the past 8 consumer sentiment troughs, the average subsequent 12-month S&P 500 returns have been 24.9%
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
6 months
Tomorrow on The @MebFaber Show Podcast @TotemMacro is back 👀
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
CEO's are discussing AI on earnings calls more and more cc @TheTranscript_ [ @GoldmanSachs ]
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 month
"Since 2010, small cap has been one of the big three underperforming portfolio strategies alongside large cap value vs growth and non-US stocks vs the US. All three out of favor strategies are at their cheapest levels in 20 years..." -- Michael Cembalest
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
Everything that FTX advertised for goes against all of the basic investing principles Listen to @MebFaber & @AlderLaneEggs
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
Remember the story of when someone bought a pizza with Bitcoin? The most expensive pizza of all time! @AlderLaneEggs
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
Forecasting is hard 👇👇👇
@jsblokland
jeroen blokland
2 years
Last year's end-of-year forecasts for the S&P 500 Index. 👀
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
22 days
🚨 Tomorrow on The @MebFaber Show 🚨 @mjmauboussin
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
🔥 8 quotes from Stanley Druckenmiller's recent interview with Nicolai Tangen
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
In last week's episode, @MebFaber mentioned this shocking stat highlighted by @ChrisBloomstran about $BRK 😱🤯😱🤯
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
Investing Amid Low Expected Returns by Antti Ilmanen A must read for all investors today Some takeaways 🧵👇
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
Where to put your money "the bedrock of any portfolio during this period should be Quality + Energy."
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 months
🎙️ Top Investing Podcasts of the Week 🎙️ @michaelbatnick & @Downtown w/ Prof. Jeremy Siegel & @JeremyDSchwartz Alex Shahidi w/ Rob Arnott on quant investing @menlobear w/ @hussmanjp on a stock correction
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
"With every investment we become richer or wiser, never both." - Bill Duhamel
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
9 months
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
4 months
🎙️Top Podcasts of the Week 🌟Investing Masterclass | @practicalquant & @JJCarbonneau w/ Rob Arnott 🎯The Age of Debt | @JackFarley96 w/ Russell Napier 📈Trend Following | @AttainCap2 w/ @GreenigDouglas
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
9 months
“An irrational drop in price makes a stock cheaper. A rational drop in price makes it more expensive.” - Gautam Baid
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
. @ljin18 👉 "The ownership economy not only offers a powerful new tool for builders to leverage mrkt incentives to jumpstart new networks—it also holds the potential to create positive social change thru the wider distribution of wealth-building assets."
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
"Making A Plan for Better Days" Their 10-factor checklist for a bottom (from May 5)
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
4 months
Kevin Kelly's 101 Pieces of Advice In honor of his birthday, @kevin2kelly shared 101 bits of advice he wished he had known earlier. Here are 10 of our favorites 1. Admitting that “I don’t know” at least once a day will make you a better person. 2. Read a lot of history so you
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 months
🎙️ Top Investing Podcasts of the Week 🎙️ Dean Curnutt w/ Harry Markopolos past & current frauds @Ritholtz with @jposhaughnessy on the impact of AI @ShaneAParrish with Dr. Jim Loehr on peak performance
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
📈 Chart of the Day 📉 Global Stock Market Valuation (Shiller-CAPE and PB): measured by market capitalization: • 10% of the world equity market trade below long-term historical valuation averages • 80% expensive • 10% inconsistent. via @NorbertKeimling
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
3 months
Intern & New Hire Finance Resources General Resources - Thorough internship curriculum from @verdadcap - @AQR ’s The Curious Investor podcast has 21 episodes on the most important ideas in finance - @UBS Global Investment Returns
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 month
“To achieve a multi-bagger, you have to hold a multi-bagger.” - Ian Cassel ( @iancassel )
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
6 months
🎙️ Investing Podcasts of the Week 🎙️ @DWeisburd w/ @msuster , @Samirkaji , & @Jason on the state of VC @GuyAdami , @RiskReversal & @DMoses34 w/ Mike Wilson on the markets @WilliamGreen72 w/ Bruce Berkowitz
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
Global CAPE Ratios EM & DM ex-US 👀👀 via @topdowncharts
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 months
“Google, Amazon, Meta and Tesla, the Magnificent 7 have a $16 trillion combined market value, 34% of the S&P 500 and LARGER than the ENTIRE S&P as recently as February 2016.”
@ChrisBloomstran
Christopher Bloomstran
2 months
Stunning. Nvidia passes Microsoft and Apple as largest market cap. Combined, the three are valued at $9.9 trillion, 21.5% of the entire market capitalization of the S&P 500. The three are today LARGER than the capitalization of the ENTIRE S&P in September 2011, not a market low.
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
“...I’m a deeply superstitious rational quant and believe the time to gloat in this business is after you’re retired or dead...So I will not be taking any victory laps. That doesn’t mean I’m not enjoying it.” - @CliffordAsness
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
"Money doesn't change men—it merely unmasks them. If a man is naturally selfish or arrogant or greedy, the money brings that out." - Henry Ford
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
What's the right way to think about implementing systematic strategies? 🗣️ @BobEUnlimited shares that & more!
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
Read the entire letter here:
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
Trend-following <> Crypto "The trend strategies have performed well over the (admittedly short) history available to us, and have mostly outperformed a constant investment in the coin itself" @camharvey
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
🚨 ICYMI: @AlderLaneEggs thought Sam Bankman-Fried was shady months ago 🎙️ Be sure to listen to this episode to hear why #SBF #FTX $SI 🔗 📺 🍎
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
9 months
Two great charts from @BlakeMillardCFA 's newsletter 1. The Mag7 now accounts for 29% of the entire market capitalization for the S&P 500. 2. Apollo’s Chief Economist Torsten Slok notes the S&P7 valuations are beginning to look similar to the Nifty Fifty & Tech Bubble of 2000.
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
4 months
Hendrik Bessembinder studied global stock market returns. Here are some eye-opening takeaways:
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
"Bear markets are like a hall of mirrors designed to confuse investors and take their money." - Mike Wilson Be sure to listen to The @MebFaber Show podcast tomorrow with Mike Wilson of @MorganStanley
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
🚨 Tomorrow on The @MebFaber Show 👇 @WallStCynic & @bethanymac12
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
Inflation chart from Jan 2000 through June 2022
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
15 years of US outperformance... [ @jpmorgan ]
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
6 months
"From 1965 through 2023, $100 invested in Berkshire grew to $4,255,516. The same $100 invested in the S&P 500 is only $30,811. That means Berkshire can lose 99.3% and only then just match the index over 59 years."
@ChrisBloomstran
Christopher Bloomstran
6 months
Happy sharing the Semper 2023 Annual Letter. Writing it every year gets me outside the box. Love the process and always thrilled to be done! We released the PDF last night. Somehow page 41 was out of order. Perhaps Adobe's hint that 40 pages is enough...
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
Must-read 1Q22 letter to LP's from @wolfejosh 🗣️ "Too much of a good thing leads to negative effects...It's a life out of balance - and it's a life that's now returning to equilibrium." 🗣️ "Survival is a necessary precondition for growth." More from the letter below 👇
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
4 months
🎙️Top Podcasts of the Week 🎙️ 🧠Netflix Culture | @tferriss w @reedhastings 📈Trend Following | @GuyAdami & @kaitlin_malin w @niederhoffer 🎯 Value Investing | @practicalquant & @JJCarbonneau w @Greenbackd
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 year
. @larryswedroe discusses why many investors tend to fall prey to recency bias, and explains why global diversification remains a prudent strategy (via @MichaelKitces ).
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
Why @JanvanEck3 thinks Blockchain is the way
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
4 months
Between 1990 and 2019, over 50% of stocks underperformed one-month U.S. Treasury bills (in terms of compound returns).
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
7 months
Does your portfolio have confidence diversification? "A well-diversified portfolio is made up of low and high demand assets reflecting a mix of falling confidence, rising confidence, euphoria, and hopelessness. What maximizes long-term returns isn’t the diversification of the
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
The End of the World is Only The Beginning by @PeterZeihan One of the must-read books in 2022 Takeaways 🛢️👇
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
"The reason that 'guru' is such a popular word is because 'charlatan' is so hard to spell." - William Bernstein
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
"A 100-year event doesn’t mean it happens every 100 years. It means there’s about a 1% chance of it occurring on any given year. That seems low. But when there are hundreds of different independent 100-year events, what are the odds that one of them will occur in a given year?"
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
1 month
"Over a third of a typical US-market-weighted portfolio is allocated to the current basket of champions, and in a world portfolio, this share ends up close to 20%—the highest in over 50 years." -- Bridgewater
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
📈 Chart of the Day 📉 Since 1975, the outperformance cycle for US vs. international stocks has lasted an average of 7.9 years. We’re currently 11.1 years into the current cycle of US outperformance via @onveston
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
4 months
🎙️ Top Investing Podcasts of the Week 🎙️ Betsy Gorton with Rob Lovelace on long-term investing @MikePhilbrick99 & @GestaltU with @JeffWeniger on pension wars Alex Shahidi with Jim Haskel on Bridgewater
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
11 months
Over the last 5 years, no other sector has managed to outperform the S&P 500 other than tech. [ @bespokeinvest ]
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
🚨 Newsletter Sampler: @3F_Research - Data-driven macro research firm - Combine qualitative macro/real asset knowledge with data science - Led by @WarrenPies & @fernavid Let's take a look at a recent report 👇🧵
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@TheIdeaFarm
The Idea Farm
2 years
📈 Chart of the Day 📉 YTD S&P 500 sector performance via @FT / @SPDJIndices
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