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Forecaster Connor Keely Profile
Forecaster Connor Keely

@Keely1Connor

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Chief Forecaster for Connor’s Weather Forecast | Severe Weather Expert for @HighlandWX | Skywarn Spotter for @NWSTampaBay | part time storm chaser

Tampa, FL
Joined November 2022
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
5 months
Epic self cloud rolling over Saint Petersburg tonight. #flwx
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
10 months
Epic self cloud rolls through Clearwater Beach Florida. #flwx
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Morning update on our potential tropical cyclone to form this weekend and then move into the Caribbean and head north.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
I need a meteorologist point of view for this. What’s y’all thoughts for tomorrow? Is it worth driving 10-12 hours from Tampa or should I drive out to Texas for next weeks set up?
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
9 months
@itslexismithh Happy birthday
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
I firmly believe that the SPC will introduce a enhanced risk for tornadoes in this region overnight if models continue to trend the way they are.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Today is my birthday 🥳. Can’t wait to see what the day holds in store for me. It’ll be interesting.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
That’s pretty good. That shear is pushing 80+kts across Dixie Alley. If we could get all the other ingredients this could be big
@WXmarcus
Marcus🍂
11 months
Keeping an eye on a potential severe weather setup on the 10th. That trough looking nasty
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
For those who doubted me here’s the NHC newest update from the 8pm outlook.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
Here is my latest thought's and my prediction based off of the 00z HRRR. THIS IS NOT A FORECAST.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
#HurricaneIdalia is going through it’s first major eye recyclement.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
TORNADO EMERGENCY 🚨 FOR SHARON TENNESSEE
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
First Rain band to move through the #TampaBay region from #HurricaneIdalia
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
@tropicalupdate If that’s true Florida and the Bahamas is fucked
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
GFS sounding for Tampa Bay tomorrow night.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Here is my latest outlook for this morning. Confidence is growing by the day. Could have a potential landfall between Tampa Bay & Big Bend region of Florida.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
I’d like to thank y’all for helping me surpass my first mile stone of 100 followers I really appreciate it. Let’s try to hit 200 by the beginning of summer! I’d like to say thank you especially to @BradArnoldWX for giving me some tips along the way as well
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Latest 06z hurricane models this morning. NHC said to monitor these closely so I am. All 4 print out a hurricane for #TampaBay for #Idalia . We have the most reliable ones HWRF, HAFS-A & B, then the Euro.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
@tropicalupdate Yeah it shows Tampa Bay receiving Category 3 winds over 100kt winds with a 959 mb
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
This violent tornado is about to head through Allensville Kentucky
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
Here is the 18z GFS for next weekend’s setup across Dixie Alley. Should monitor this closely for further development.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Pretty good sounding from Oklahoma for tonight from 12z HRRR.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
Here is an update for the storm system. The arrow going into Tampa Bay is the Euro model track. The arrow going into the panhandle region is the GFS model
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
Future cast radar for the rest of the night. The threat is just now ramping up.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Here is a sneak peak of my video but here’s the link to see the full video . @AdelineSpears15 thanks for inspiring me to do weather videoed and share them with the public.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Here is an update on what could be #Florida next #tropics distburance.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
This is bad and it’s not even here yet
@TampaStorm
Tampa Bay Storm Chaser
1 year
Abnormally high tide flooding streets
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Do y’all think that Major #HuracanLee is worth the long 26+ hour drive up north from Florida?
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Latest 18z models for the HWRF & HAFS A & B. 06z model for Euro.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
@Lydia_fishing African pompano
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
When will we have our next true 20+ confirmed tornado event
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Latest from the NHC with #TropicalStormIdalia . This is the the 5pm update. #TampaBay could be In for the big one this year if eastward trends continue.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Violent tornado otg headed towards Lyons Nebraska
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
10 months
@TampaStorm I’m proud of ya. You gotta stick with your passion. Don’t let anyone get in the way of your dreams. It may hurt right now but if you felt it was right then do you. But regardless I’m hear for ya
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
@NHC_Atlantic Does anyone else think this storm will be like Irma? Does anyone have anything other than graphic archive for this storm?
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
We’re definitely going to have a Major Hurricane at some point tonight. Look Center of circulation is a little off to the right again. Could this be a sign of our eastward turn? Definitely need to watch it
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Here is the latest from 00z run on are long track MDR system defently need to watch this.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
What a cool video. Missed the action last night by like 20 miles. Hoping Apollo Beach will get in on the action today
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
Ok we need to watch this here west central Florida
@ReedTimmerUSA
Reed Timmer, PhD
11 months
A supercell has formed over the eastern Gulf of Mexico on the nose of a mid-level dry slot, and is heading in the general direction of Tampa along the southern gradient of a massive rain shield. Keep an eye on this in a few hours! This storm could pose a #tornado threat
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
Sounding for this weekend across central Oklahoma. It looks like Oklahoma is waking up.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
This is not a forecast this is my prediction on what I think could happen tomorrow.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
@Lydia_fishing Sheepshead
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
@octoberk13 Pink is better
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
10 months
What’s up with the multi vortex tornadoes in Florida?
@SoFloWxAlerts
Adam B
10 months
@NWSMelbourne @WPBF_BROOKE @ChasinSpin @CraigSetzer @theScantman @ZachCoveyTV I95 and Becker Road. Video taken by my best friend. He reports it went over a car while crossing I95. #flwx @ReedTimmerAccu
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
New update on on potential florida storm in the coming next 10 days.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
This morning shows the Caribbean storm still developing and then all eyes need to be turned onto the west coast of Florida.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
9 months
Please like and share. The line is set to move through between 8am-12pm tomorrow depending on where your location is #flwx
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
11 pm Advisory on #hurricanelee . Looks like it has a clear eye. but it is weakening though.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
This is exactly why this thing is going to turn last minute towards Tampa
@SimonStormRider
Simon Brewer
1 year
Tropical Update: Tropical Storm #Idalia continues to intensify. Shear & dry air entrainment from Upper Low likely to limit landfall intensity of Idalia over Florida, but still uncertain by how much. Appears it might be a CAT 1 to 3 cyclone at landfall. #FLwx
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
So here is my Advisory #1 for #HurricaneLee I have my cone in the red. The pink circled area is my prediction to where a landfall is possible.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Tampa Bay region now has a 70-80% chance of Seeing a Tropical Storm.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
This is nuts for August. That sounding is just south of St Louis.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Tampa Bay region now has anywhere from a 60-80% chance of seeing a tropical storm
@JoshHasAProblem
me 𐚁
1 year
12z vs 00z. I'll leave this here
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
@FloridaTropics1 We could very well have a tropical storm by tonight and a hurricane by tomorrow
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
Nice storm clouds moving through the Tampa Bay Area with this squall line.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
@invertv_dcape It’s becoming less linear and more cellar. The 15z, 16z HRRR has showed that. A high risk could be warranted at the 2000z update.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
Rocking the Reed Timmer Merchandise thanks brother
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
10 months
This storm needs to be monitored very closely as it approaches the Panama City Beach region of Florida
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
@NWSSPC @NWSSPC y‘all need to find a place out of the mod risk to introduce a high risk. being that y’all did say 4 different times that violent tornadoes are likely today.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
@NickKrasz_Wx It has to be an EF4+ you had two new built homes swept from their foundation
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
9 months
A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CST FOR SOUTHWESTERN HASKELL COUNTY...
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
Just a few soundings for a typical Oklahoma spring for next week
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
@Lydia_fishing Mutton Snapper
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
Could this be trying to rotate maybe?
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
@Lydia_fishing African Pompano
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
New update on this thomasville Georgia tornado warning ⚠️ we may have ongoing tornado
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
#HurricaneIdalia is rapidly intensifying as it moved northward & soon northeastward in the Gulf of Mexico. As you can see around the core there it’s exploding.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
I only need 20 more followers to hit my first major milestone. Let’s see if we can get to 500 before new years
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
Tomorrow is looking very interesting of Iowa Tomorrow. Wouldn’t be surprised if the tornado threat got bumped up overnight. This is the 12z HRRR
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Well Lady’s & Gentleman we’re open for business until November 30th. So feel free to put in many orders as you’d like. FYI: Tampa F.L is due for a major hurricane. Last direct impact was in 1921.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
Tonight looks pretty intense
@NbergWX
Noah Bergren
11 months
TORNADO & SEVERE POTENTIAL: This remains one of the tricker forecasts for tornadoes I have had in a while. I can not stress though the importance of having your phone on and audible, and/or weather radio on all night so you can be alerted and woken up. All of central Florida and
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
@JimCantore Will Tampa get an Enhanced risk @JimCantore ?
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Wouldn’t be surprised at all if we have a hurricane at 11am update. Have to plans in route right now to investigate #TropicalStormIdalia
@AndyHazelton
Andy Hazelton
1 year
Getting ready to head into #Idalia on NOAA43! Looks like another attempt at eyewall formation is happening right now. Curious what this storm looks like when we're out there. Be safe and prepared everyone!
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
If y’all could help me out by subscribing and sharing and telling other people to subscribe I’d greatly appreciate it. This is how much more hours & subscribers I need to start getting paid.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
I think this might be trying to be the storm of the event
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
10 months
Tornado Warning for... South central Pasco County in west central Florida... Northwestern Pinellas County in west central Florida... Northwestern Hillsborough County in west central Florida... * Until 400 PM EST.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
10 months
Thank you so much @accuweather for sharing. I like this very much.
@accuweather
AccuWeather
10 months
This ominous-looking shelf cloud was spotted looming over Clearwater Beach, Florida, yesterday as thunderstorms rumbled in the state.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
We have a small QLCS confirmed tornado to the south of Puckett Mississippi.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
12z Euro model shows a direct hit on Northeastern states with landfall in Rhode Island next Sunday.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Well the NHC finally added an outlook for a disturbance in the gulf that could form
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
10 months
Nice rain shaft over Tampa bay to end the year. I gotta say I love these type of cloud and weather pics. #flwx
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
Yay 😀 we did it. I would like to thank everyone who helped me reach my first big milestone. Let’s keep it up guys and I’ll keep doing more weather analysis
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
Here is my prediction to what I think could happen on Saturday with this incoming Gulf system. The arrow on the right is the Euro model going into Cedar Key & the arrow on the left is the GFS model going into Apalachicola.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
10 months
Tornado Warning for... Seminole County in east central Florida... Northwestern Brevard County in east central Florida... Southeastern Orange County in east central Florida... Southeastern Volusia County in east central Florida... * Until 645 PM EST.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
11 months
@BrianAllenWX Please no more big stuff tonight. Some of us here are already suffering mentally from the two tornadoes in Tennessee and the one in Kentucky today
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
What a fun afternoon at the @NWSTampaBay with @blamarre . Thanks for letting me come hangout this afternoon.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
#NeverForget 9/11/2001 as you know it’s 9/11 today so may I ask y’all to take a moment of silence to remember those who put there lives on the line to help to try to help those in need who were trapped. My thoughts and prayers go out to everyone who lost their loved ones today.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
10 months
At 533 AM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Panama City, moving northeast at 55 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Awesome sunset self cloud over #tampabay tonight. #twitterwx
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
Morning update on potential gulf low to form next weekend and impact the United States within the next 10 days.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
2 years
@ReedTimmerAccu @ReedTimmerAccu Iowa looks decent. Waiting for the 12z to come out for the HRRR but go check out Iowa. If you see this could you please follow me back it would mean a lot
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
1 year
This cell in Gorum Louisiana is really starting to tighten up. Wouldn’t be surprised if we see a tornado or at least a funnel cloud out of this cell.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
10 months
That is one of the most strongest line of storms I've seen move into this area. I can't wait to see what type of shelf cloud comes associated with it as it rolls in over Tampa Bay.
@tropicalupdate
Mike's Weather Page
10 months
Estimated radar through Wednesday AM. Timestamp upper right.
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@Keely1Connor
Forecaster Connor Keely
10 months
These parameters are pretty high.
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