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Dr_Gingerballs

@Dr_Gingerballs

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Engineer. Researcher. Stonk Enjoyer. Shit poster. I collect data on options and stuff and post it on X.

Joined March 2022
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
19 days
Interesting update since $1.5T of options delta fell off on Friday. $SPX $NVDA $QQQ $SPY dropped off more than the rest. $AAPL flat. $META $TSLA and $SPXW ($SPX weekly contracts) up, along with the rest of the options market. Shows speculation concentration on this OPEX. 🧵
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@Dr_Gingerballs
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@Dr_Gingerballs
23 days
Some options market info I found interesting this week.🧵 For equities, $SPX monthly contracts take the bulk of values, but what is surprising is $NVDA is about 11% of the entire equity options market. It's larger than $SPX weekly contracts, $SPY, $QQQ, and $IWM combined.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
The semiconductor industry is screaming at us that AI is all hype. Yes, lots of orders for H100 GPUs, but even an AI datacenter still needs CPUs, memory, and HDs. Then you have AI implementation, such as in computer vision and controls, robotics, etc, which require specialized
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1 month
@ylecun @elonmusk Yann, you associate with meta, whose platforms inflame and misinform as a business model to push engagement, and your AI efforts have done nothing but flooded these platforms with spam at unprecedented scales. I agree with you about Elon, but you might not be the right messenger
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1 month
@ylecun @elonmusk Do you even use Facebook? Let's do a real world test to see what goes on there. I opened up my Facebook feed, and categorized the first 50 posts that I saw as either real content posted by my friends I follow, suggested content, advertisements, and attempts to get me to
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@Dr_Gingerballs
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8 months
Some useful options market info for people interested in market mechanics. 🧵
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6 months
now that $BTC is plummeting, this is a great time to review exactly how much wall street has F***ed the Bitcoin diamond handers. Just look at the ETF $XRT, which is routinely 2-10x short the float. How can something be short 10x without counterfeiting? The mechanics of the
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5 months
You all need to do yourself a favor and listen to an $NVDA earnings call. Jensen is literally just stringing random words together. Cranking soft goods. All compute will become AI compute. 40% of AI is now inference. When asked, he couldn’t explain how they estimated it but
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6 months
I'm going to try to make this really simple so people can understand the appeal of the trade from the perspective of wall street. $BTC Most people trade and store their crypto on exchange. I know there are wallet folks who are adamant about getting off exchange, but it is what
@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
This got a lot of traction. This picture is from ishares BTC trust prospectus. All trades are done off chain between etf and coinbase. They can borrow coins off chain from coinbase to short. All transactions at DTCC are settled in cash. Perfect for naked shorting. $BTC
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@Dr_Gingerballs
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@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
More on my thoughts on inflation, bonds, and stocks going into 2024. I think I have found a way to summarize my thoughts in one busy chart. There's a lot going on so let me break it down. Here is the percent change YoY for CPI, M2, wages, debt, and nominal GDP. There are a
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2 months
Let's talk about the "melt up" that has generated quite the buzz on X. The idea is that there is so much money in money market funds, or "on the sidelines," that when rates are cut, it will come flooding into equities. 🧵
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7 months
The end of 2023 options market wrap up. Original post explaining a lot of the concepts here linked. Bonus my drunk predictions for 2024. Happy New Year! 🧵
@Dr_Gingerballs
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@Dr_Gingerballs
8 months
Some useful options market info for people interested in market mechanics. 🧵
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24 days
I think it’s very strange that the Wall Street elite are so offended by Keith Gill openly meme-ing $GME stock to the tune of a few billion. Meanwhile, Jensen Huang of $NVDA blatantly deceives investors, rambling about sovereign AI, AI factories, and token economies, while
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7 months
This is an excellent case study in options flows for a variety of reasons. Watch it first and come back here. 1. The cboe rep makes the claim that puts at the 4765 strike were roughly -61000 sold and 62000 bought, so therefore they cancel each other out and don’t have much
@CNBCFastMoney
CNBC's Fast Money
@CNBCFastMoney
7 months
Were 0DTE options really to blame for yesterday's sell-off? @CBOE 's Mandy Xu digs into the data.
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7 months
Okay, lots of various takes on breadth in the market right now. As someone who has spent a lot of time with spectroscopy and solid state physics, I thought I would provide a different way to evaluate it. The most popular one is the percent of the top 7 tech stocks in $SPX.🧵
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4 months
A bunch of JPM morons read on Wikipedia what goes into a server rack, listened to a Jensen Huang fever dream, and just started picking every stock that is tangentially related to it. What none of them are doing? Actually trying to understand what AI is, what the limitations
@RadnorCapital
Radnor Capital
@RadnorCapital
4 months
I listened to a call with several JPM analysts on the AI / data center trend. At the risk of continuing to state the obvious, this will be the most important growth investing trend of the next decade. The focus was really on how to play the AI trend beyond obvious names like
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6 months
Anyone want to take a stab at explaining why Fed Funds Futures show an increase in probability for a March cut today after a hot CPI print?
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@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
Okay I was going to let this go, but this CNBC pundit and shameless fund shill has decided to openly accuse me of stealing his ideas. So let’s set the record straight. @jam_croissant
@jam_croissant
Cem Karsan 🥐
@jam_croissant
7 months
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7 months
@Agent0088156721 The fed hasn't pivoted. You have a lot of competing effects going on right now but here are a few of my guesses at what is going on. 1. Yellen sparked all of this off with announcing much less duration issued. This actually rugged the bond shorts by pulling their exit
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5 months
“We aren’t in a bubble yet because there are no IPOs.” I don’t know, guys. We have: 1. Papa John’s discussing AI in earnings calls. 2. A chicken wing franchise $WING trading like $Doge 3. A GPU company $NVDA that makes gaming cards, selling “sovereign AI soft good factories”
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5 months
Uhhh...can we talk about $ARM earnings? 9 months ended Dec net earnings dropped 86% YoY but it's up 20% in AH? Is this a price to innovation ratio kinda deal?
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5 months
I've been saying it all year. Stocks and bonds are both going to go down in flames. Cash is king. Money Market and Chill.
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6 months
Okay, not perfect but it gets the basic points across. People think that $BTC ETFs are inherently more resistant to Wall Street shenanigans because of the blockchain. This diagram shows how the blockchain is made irrelevant by the entire exchange model. 🧵
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5 months
This is how an options fueled frenzy always ends. A complete and total rugging. For people just moving stops around trying to catch the knife, they will gap your stops when the music ends. $SPX.
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5 months
Okay just for fun because I’m testing some new calcs and I’m not going to say what they are but top on $SMCI is $1100.
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7 months
Everyone who is still bullish equities from here, what sort of multiple expansion are you expecting to be reasonable in 2024? S&P500 is already pushing 20x 12 month forward P/E. I'm seriously asking. I get that markets can go up because there's simply no where else to put all
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5 months
Another financial speculator that understands nothing about AI yet is writing essays pumping it. AGI is not close. All we have learned from LLM development over the past two years is that scale will not create emergent intelligence in these models. The current models are
@goodalexander
goodalexander
@goodalexander
5 months
Worldcoin (Sam Altman's crypto project and my preferred AI coin long) is starting to skyrocket again - now clearing the previous highs. Its fully diluted market cap is $50b This extreme valuation is contra to much of the market (such as companies like Accenture) pricing in the
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Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
2 months
Biggest grifter of the 21st century. No other fraud has come close to incinerating this much money.
@tsarnick
Tsarathustra
@tsarnick
2 months
Sam Altman: I don't care if we burn $50 billion a year, we're building AGI and it's going to be worth it
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1 month
Oh, I forgot to mention $GME. @TheRoaringKitty 's calls at $20 are so large that the market maker needs the stock to stay under $30 into OPEX, under $25 in the short term, and ideally under $20 ASAP. If $GME stays in the $25 range it could push to $30 into OPEX, which could
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7 months
You can be bullish. You can be bearish. You can think that data prints matter. But unless you can unpin vol we are going to grind against this big, fat, stupid yellow line until the end of time. $SPX
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5 months
All the talk of a melt up on $SPX is a dangerous game. I've even seen some people say there is negative gamma above us that can initiate a squeeze. Not true. If anything, it's more likely that there is no net negative gamma position anywhere, given all of the sold puts.
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4 months
And 170 kW to cool based on keynote metrics of 25 C in and 45 C out at 2 L/s. To do this realistically while reusing water (closed loop), would require a ridiculous amount of cooling infrastructure. You would of course want to use an industrial chiller to get the fluid back to
@Tobias_Writes
Tobias Mann
@Tobias_Writes
4 months
This one rack is 120kW of compute. Let that sink in.
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5 months
It reins the fiscal spending in, or else it gets hot prints again.
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7 months
Since the end of October, M2 is up $270B and bank credit up $100B. This is consistent with normal historical growth in economy. Meanwhile UE numbers today still show we are at full employment. How could this be with a tightening Fed? US deficit increased $560B this year,
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4 months
Guys, we are going to have fun tonight with $NVDA Jensen presentation. But for starters, the new chip will dissipate 180 kW per rack, almost 5x more than air cooling can provide. Liquid cooling at the chip level is required. It’s such a massive undertaking no one is ready for.
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4 months
Mid-week update before March Opex. Things are pretty precarious. I don't want to sound like an options nerd, but these next few days are some where vanna and charm are huge and matter. My guess is continue to have steady buying, with violent sell offs as people try to get out
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6 months
Two year high in put OI leverage in the options market. 13.92x. This is fine. Calls continue to lever down. You've heard of bear rallies and bull steepeners, but have you met the "short vol f***ener?"
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6 months
$BTC is such a great store of value that it loses value when inflation rises and gains value when it drops. At best BTC negatively correlated with inflation. At worst uncorrelated. Almost like it's just speculators' making s**t up for the glory of the ponzi.
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4 months
And just like that, everyone sold/shorted $NVDA at the top.
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1 month
@BrennanWoodruff @filippie509 Wait all of these bullet points are just spam.
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6 months
Again, the semi industry is screaming at us that AI is not going to save it. A lot of people criticized me for excluding $ASML from my AI tirade. True they had excellent 2023 increases in rev and earnings. But they recently guided for zero revenue growth in 2024. They make
@trendforce
TrendForce
@trendforce
6 months
TSMC delays 3nm Arizona fab by a year, cites lack of U.S. subsidies and waning demand. 📰 News Source:
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1 month
What other technology can consume over $100B and produce no economic productivity gains? Has there ever been a tech that was a bigger destruction of capital than generative AI?
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6 months
Compare 2020 to 2023. Use Phillips curve if you like. Supply is the same. Inflation is the same. Inflation expectations are the same. UE is the same. Real demand is largely the same (people don’t drastically change their lifestyle in a few years). The only thing left is
@paulkrugman
Paul Krugman
@paulkrugman
6 months
OK, since the debate is mostly happening here, a thread on why I don't buy the argument that Fed rate hikes explain disinflation, and unwinding of transitory shocks does; Mike Konczal says most of it, but here's my version 1/
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5 months
I know everyone thinks that options are overpriced on $NVDA, but this thing is either going to $1030 or $325. 💀 Maybe not today but definitely in the next few months.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
1 month
The narrative is shifting.
@TidefallCapital
Trevor Scott
@TidefallCapital
1 month
Toni Sacconaghi wiped out $10bn of market cap from $DELL with this question on AI profitability.
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6 months
@Mementium I actually think meta has the most straightforward use case. Generate ads for ad buyers and charge them a fraction of a design firm. But zuck has been selling way too many shares lately to make me think the math is generous for them.
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6 months
This is an excellent case study in bias confirmation. The strength of a theory is in how well it holds up to scrutiny. Here Paul theorizes that supply shocks caused our inflation path, and then supports it with a model where he only changes supply, and voila! Bias confirmed.
@paulkrugman
Paul Krugman
@paulkrugman
6 months
So, I keep seeing media assertions that the miracle of 2023 — rapid disinflation with solid growth — was something economists considered impossible. Ahem. Here's a figure from Krugman and Wells 7th edition, forthcoming 1/
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8 months
Even if this imbalance doesn't unwind violently, there's not much upside beyond $4600 at the moment. Odds are we head down from here. We'll see!
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4 months
Only $NVDA gets to make money selling AI infrastructure. So much demand no one can make a profit on it. AI is where money goes to die. $DELL
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27 days
Current price to sales for the S&P500 is about 2.8. It was about 2 at the height of the dot com bubble and it was 3 at height of 2021. It was stable around 1.5 between 2000 and 2008. 3x: $5820 2x: $3900 1.5x: $2900 If $2900 is historically reasonable, what is $5430?
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1 month
I’m confused. $AAPL charging nothing for new AI tools. $META charges nothing. $MSFT giving free access to a lot of copilot tools. Nobody asked for or wants this garbage. So costs a ton to make, forced on us for free. I see baseline price increases coming. AI is inflationary.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
This is nonsense. It’s just one measure of the amount of money that exists. If one person takes money out of the MMF to buy an equity, the seller takes the money and puts it…in an MMF! You cannot store money in a stock, an employee, a house, a commodity, or a bond. Money
@carlquintanilla
Carl Quintanilla
@carlquintanilla
6 months
APOLLO: “.. The record-high $6trn in money market accounts is likely a tailwind to equities, credit, and rates, and ultimately the economy, in particular hiring, housing, and inflation.” [Slok]
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6 months
Let’s be very clear what we are talking about here. I think you are mixing machine learning driven process optimization with generative AI. The former has been around for a very long time and has clear value add to businesses. Optimization is obviously good. That has nothing
@thedealdirector
The Deal Director
@thedealdirector
6 months
This is an entertaining bear case for GenAI which has a lot of data but completely misses the point. This is a bit of a long response but worth the read, sales anon. The rough outline is - we are not seeing growth in semiconductors so there is no growth in GenAI related hardware
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6 months
When the market moves against your sold puts, just double down with record breaking leverage and get ready to beg JPOW for a bailout. $SPX
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6 months
This got a lot of traction. This picture is from ishares BTC trust prospectus. All trades are done off chain between etf and coinbase. They can borrow coins off chain from coinbase to short. All transactions at DTCC are settled in cash. Perfect for naked shorting. $BTC
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
now that $BTC is plummeting, this is a great time to review exactly how much wall street has F***ed the Bitcoin diamond handers. Just look at the ETF $XRT, which is routinely 2-10x short the float. How can something be short 10x without counterfeiting? The mechanics of the
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7 months
Dear Jerome Powell, Make stupidity painful again. Sincerely, A cat.
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5 months
“It reins the fiscal spending in, or else it gets hot prints again.” ~Buffalo Burns
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4 months
lol Jensen is trying to take up the mantle of Moores law. Moores law was about fitting more transistors in the same volume. This mfer went from a graphics card to a rack sized “gpu” and called it the future of Moore’s law. What an actual fraud. $NVDA.
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7 months
I’m gonna say it because Sahm has been throwing a lot of shade on X lately… The Sahm Rule is just MACD for people doing technical analysis on unemployment data. 🤫🤫🤫
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@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
I love you, Turdfurg.
@Taylor72350938
Turdfurg23
@Taylor72350938
6 months
@traderpodcaste @jam_croissant @Dr_Gingerballs @mike_parasconda @dampedspring
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6 months
Oh boy another financial speculator larping as an AI expert. Why is it that only speculators are hyped about it? I talk to students, they are over it. Reports all over that copilot is cool but meh. Many are frustrated by the errors they spit out. We are already in the
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4 months
Looks to me like the fed is giving up on returning inflation to 2%.
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7 months
Okay here’s my theory. And I think @jam_croissant has alluded to this possibility. Everyone and their grandmother is expecting markets to pump through Jan Opex. But no one wants to be holding the bag when it drops, so they will plan to sell earlier. Crank this beauty contest
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6 months
You aren’t crazy. Don’t let economists gaslight you. You are poorer.
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6 months
Okay a little deeper dive into why I think the data matches the rhetoric of workers saying they are behind. A lot of people are looking at wage rates in various ways to come to wildly different conclusions and I think this is the right way to look at it. 🧵
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3 months
As I have suggested before, many people assume AI is going to drive productivity. I contend it’s way more likely, given that it requires massive resources and produces almost no value, it will drive inflation.
@Schuldensuehner
Holger Zschaepitz
@Schuldensuehner
3 months
The AI boom is set to drive a rally in what's traditionally the most boring corner of the stock market: utilities. Utilities to see booming demand as more data centers go online. Power consumption will increase massively. Goldman's Power Up basket has soared 28% and the Data
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@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
Hear me out, Fintwit. You are all laughing at price to innovation, as you should. But you’re also all trading on price to previous price. That’s all TA is. Ignore all valuations, fundamentals, etc, and trade a price relative to previous price action. How is that better?
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
3 months
I don't know who is listening to JPOW speaking right now, but it's a circus listening to him provide a tortuous theory for how the Fed is relevant. The govt dropped a bag of money on the economy in 2021. Now it's dropping a smaller bag on the economy every year. The end.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
First, no one actually knows what his ideas are. The few interviews I have seen are so vague it is impossible to tease out exactly what his theories are or what data supports them. I looked through his Twitter and could not find a single example of him actually discussing data.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
7 months
The victory laps done by team supply side transitory are so puzzling because they ignore perhaps one of the most basic equilibria in economics. If the supply chain was restored and everything still costs 30% more, it cannot possibly be supply. I understand that wages and thus
@paulkrugman
Paul Krugman
@paulkrugman
7 months
OK, since a lot of this debate is happening here, gonna temporarily return to Muskland. Arin is completely right: Team Transitory predicted a positive supply shock as conditions normalized, and that happened — much later than predicted, but then very fast 1/
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
This created a lot of controversy so let me spell it out for you. Leverage is way up. Leverage requires collateral. Bonds are often used as collateral. Bond rates are mooning. Connect the dots.
@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
How to turn $11B into $290B in just a few simple steps. The entire world is YOLOing OTM 0dte calls.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
1 month
This is starting to get a little frightening, TBH. 30.81% market cap for Meme 7. $SPX
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
3 months
If we open significantly below $SPX 4950 the sold put position is so buried. They didn't derisk at all. In fact they doubled down the entire drop. May god have mercy on their souls.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
5 months
@profplum99 AI is a bit different though, and comparing it to the internet is survivorship bias. With the internet, the concept was well defined. Run wires, send your signal down the wires, relay, filter, receive, view. To grow the internet you needed more wires, better amplifiers, better
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
8 months
Contracts are also traded in very large numbers, especially on $SPX index options. Comparing all of the volume for the stocks in the S&P 500 to the delta traded on stock shows that 79% of daily volume can be attributed to delta hedging.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
1 month
Working on limited data tonight filling in gaps, but looks like $GME is going to run. I would not like to be short that stock right now.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
Keep an eye on this. This type of volume to SO ratio, if maintained, is a big indication that the fund may be being abused. Obviously it just opened but watch this in the coming weeks. $BTC
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
5 months
A lot of people comparing this to the dot com bubble to argue that the bubble still has plenty of time to grow further. But the last bubble built the internet. Back then the average person had to wait for their archaic news ecosphere to bring the information about it over
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
4 months
Serious question. If LLMs are flatlining around GPT-4 in terms of outputs, and we now have a handful of GPT-4 equivalent bots, AND none of them still are accurate or complex enough to make any money, what is the use case for the new $NVDA Blackwell architecture?
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
How to turn $11B into $290B in just a few simple steps. The entire world is YOLOing OTM 0dte calls.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
Today was pretty extraordinary. Leverage on calls rocketed to new two year high on traded volume. Double the money spent on calls vs. puts. Leverage clearly reaching a point where it is difficult to contain volatility as IV pricing in sub 0.70% moves.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
5 months
How is it that only $NVDA is making money off of AI? 🧐🧐🧐 $SNOW Q4 ‘24 earnings
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
The worst part is that we both ostensibly have similar goals: to empower retail with information that is not readily available to them. I think the things I develop should be common market knowledge. It says a lot that genuine data sharing makes him feel threatened.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
5 months
Make it simple. Why buy treasuries of any duration while deficits are growing 7% YoY and nominal GDP > 5% and rates are sub 5%? If fiscal changes nothing why would anyone want duration for less than 6-7%?
@StealthQE4
QE Infinity
@StealthQE4
5 months
Credit traders are starting to bail on treasuries again and are betting the 10 year yield gets over 4.5% The combination of the last CPI and poor demand at recent treasury auctions have people a bit spooked The market dropped 10% in Oct the last time we saw a spike in yields
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
7 months
Why do all of the permabulls become bullies when the market is going up? I thought making money made people happy? 🧐🧐🧐
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
Revenue down, expenses up, that's the way we like our stock. Up 5%. $VZ
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
@AndreasSteno Spoiler alert, it’s just us currency + bank deposits at the fed. Saved you a subscription.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
The US deficit has grown $145,402,960,225.05 since the beginning of the year. Well on track to exceed $1.8T new debt this year. US GDP grew $1.5T in 2023, on the back of $2.6T in deficit spending. just under $1T of deficit was interest payments. So $1.5T growth and $1.5T
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
4 months
First they started removing items from the inflation basket when they didn’t like it. Now they are removing times of the year. “3-month inflation minus food, housing, healthcare, energy, and WINTER looks good.”
@paulkrugman
Paul Krugman
@paulkrugman
4 months
Are we still doing this? January effect. Underlying inflation surely <3. A lot closer to transitory than “we need 2 years of 7.5 percent unemployment “.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
3 months
$QQQ now doing worse than cash YTD.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
5 months
This is a bold claim given that gpt and sora are simply very complex regressions to large datasets. Learning requires interaction with, and feedback from, your environment. Form hypotheses and test them over and over to create a durable worldview. Simply put, being human is
@DrJimFan
Jim Fan
@DrJimFan
5 months
I see some vocal objections: "Sora is not learning physics, it's just manipulating pixels in 2D". I respectfully disagree with this reductionist view. It's similar to saying "GPT-4 doesn't learn coding, it's just sampling strings". Well, what transformers do is just manipulating
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
Because I have nothing to sell and no reputation to maintain, I lay everything out on the table and make arguments hoping they stand on their merits and not on my pedigree. If people with funds to sell and egos to stroke feel threatened by that, good.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
4 months
Team Mike. Please beat the shit out of my generation for the sake of humanity.
@MikeTyson
Mike Tyson
@MikeTyson
4 months
You still wanna f*** with me? #PaulTyson
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
7 months
The $SPX had a wild year. As we end the year, there are renewed discussions that breadth is improving given the performance of the Russell 2000. Where do things stand statistically?🧵
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
4 months
@RJRCapital It’s not true. The AI requires human generated code to plagiarize. If humans stop writing code, there’s nothing to plagiarize. It would make itself obsolete. Jensen Huang is full of shit.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
7 months
Weekly market options update 🧵 Original post explaining scope of data here:
@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
8 months
Some useful options market info for people interested in market mechanics. 🧵
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
3 months
We FINALLY hit new ATH concentration of the Meme 7 in the $SPX. 28.6%. WHOOOOO!!!
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
1 month
Now 31.18%.
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
1 month
This is starting to get a little frightening, TBH. 30.81% market cap for Meme 7. $SPX
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
8 months
How large is the options market and how important is it? The options contracts open today are worth aggregate roughly $400B. The stock market is $45.5T. This makes the options market worth about 1% of the total US stock market. Seems unimportant, right?
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
5 months
This guy deserves more follows. Very good documentation of all the weird behavior around the financialization of GPUs.
@kakashiii111
Kakashii
@kakashiii111
5 months
Nvidia H100 GPUs Saga: American Cannabis Company's Billion-Dollar Mirage American Cannabis Company, an OTC ($AMMJ) company that provides advisory and consulting services to the cannabis industry, announced on September 5, 2023, its merger with a newly incorporated datacenter
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
1 month
@rpg_haven @ylecun @elonmusk
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
3 months
As I reflect on genAI ad nauseum to the point that people unfollow me, it has pushed me to really dig into what art is. I think I am convinced that it is a celebration of people. My daughter and I have been watching the Eras Tour and at least half of Swift’s allure is her. She
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
Weekly Options update 01/05/2024 🧵. Original post explaining scope linked.
@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
8 months
Some useful options market info for people interested in market mechanics. 🧵
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@Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs
@Dr_Gingerballs
6 months
I’m a retail investor with a mathematical engineering background who has been studying options for a few years. I have documented it in various places but have generally come to the conclusion that options drive the market and currently it’s sold options.
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