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Derek Miller Profile
Derek Miller

@DerekInvests

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Dad, Husband, Surfer, Music Fanatic, Wrestler, Martial Arts, EQ Financial Expert, Long & Intermediate term, Long/Short, Everything IMHO

Los Angeles, CA
Joined April 2023
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
@JoeyMannarinoUS They are taken advantage of on a level that is unimaginable to me. @JoeyMannarinoUS Have you ever driven Uber or Lyft? Youā€™ll make less than minimum wage and that doesnā€™t account for gas, wear and tear, etc. Why is there an assumption that all drivers are not US citizens? Perhaps
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
@TaviCosta This is nothing like the 99ā€™ tech bubble where there were 10ā€™s of thousands of .com shell companies with nothing trading on the open market. Thereā€™s a very big difference. Iā€™m not telling you that the Nasdaq and the rest of the market have problems but the tech industry is a very
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
4 months
The Investment Process- Risk, Cash, & Investment management
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
2 months
This is a great post! Read it. I can tell you that trading against systems is so easy itā€™s unbelievable. These systems are primarily trend following and the systems are based on the simplest of indicators. However, any real forecaster or trader can see what might happen when
@VolSignals
VolSignals
2 months
well I was lucky I started market making before it was primarily automated and systematized away from trader discretion there are a TON of good floor traders on my feed (show yourself!) current or former that know what I mean ..lot of guys have become data entry tools : ( and
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
@volsignals is the king of memes and this one night take the cake!!
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@VolSignals
VolSignals
5 months
Not my base case (obviously) but think about how rising price makes you ignore all these concerns- while a hard sell suddenly makes you wonder
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 month
$TLT - The 20 year treasury and what itā€™s been telling us. #TLT
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
If you havenā€™t watched ā€œWhat We Do in the shadowsā€ on HULU - Youā€™re missing out!!
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
Technically a 5% move is absolutely in the cards. I have the first price šŸŽÆ at 4950 on the S&P500, which takes us back to Feb 21st 2024. #GoldmanSachs is genius! The timing corresponds directly with the inevitable slowing demand in retail as #taxday approaches
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@VolSignals
VolSignals
6 months
Goldman flags big moves ahead.. "Our model suggests a 25% probability of +5% move in SPX over next 1m (options price 6% chance) or 24% chance of -5% move (options pricing 10% chance)" Goldman's GS EQMOVE has beenšŸŽÆ for a while Macro & flows suggest volatility coming
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
@carolbello860 @JoeyMannarinoUS #fakenews they would have to work 12 hours a day, 7 days a week, and average $19.50 per hour. Nice try. Most of these guys average about $13.00 an hour and I KNOW.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
2 months
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
4 months
Hmmmā€¦ So bullish sentiment is rising except the strong hands that create market actionā€¦ They have short-term hedging in placeā€¦ Probably doesnā€™t mean anythingšŸ˜‰
@VolSignals
VolSignals
4 months
GS flagging the return to spot up / vol down as well... "Market turned bullish post CPI as we traded in a spot up / vol down regime." "..mostly cheap upside buyers or rolling of calls up & out as we approached new highs" "..dealers also hit on short-dated hedges"
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
Iā€™m not 100% sure, but this turtle was saying something about forgetting to hedge his positions for the last couple of weeksā€¦ Something about buying the dips because of a trend? IDK
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
@Stock_Pursuit @TaviCosta Iā€™m in agreement! $BTC, NFTā€™s, and Blockchain were the bubble. We may even be closer to 92ā€™ with the upcoming AI bubble. That point where we really donā€™t even know whatā€™s possible.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
Thereā€™s at least a 15% correction of the stock market on the horizon.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
4 months
Go where youā€™re celebrated. Kevin Gates is spot on!
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
My opinion on the market today and for the foreseeable future. Bears wonā€™t quit waiting for the market to drop so every time the market gaps up, they pile on. Conversely, the drivers of this market (quants & systematic traders) watch a gap fill and buy buy buy. Sending the
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
Great insight.
@brandonjcarl
Brandon Carl
1 year
The Senior Loan Officer Survey earlier this week gave more information than many recognized. If you make appropriate adjustments you see that the aggregate change in lending standards is high over the last 6 months.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
Yes!
@VolSignals
VolSignals
5 months
Next big week for micro + macro? April 22-26th GDP, PCE & 43% of S&P (rhyme-time!) All as gamma ā€œunclenchesā€
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
Risk increases so people are willing to borrow your money at a lower rate. How could this go wrong?
@VolSignals
VolSignals
1 year
Consensus is. . . if US defaults then US cost of borrowing (yields) goes... down? Do you see the structural problems with this market?
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 month
8-7-2024 Looking at the BIG picture - $NVDA $AMZN $META $CRWD $FSLR $NEE
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
Being free and weird! I love it! Do your thing folks. They look like theyā€™re having a good time!
@GhostWealth_
Reeves | GhostWriter
5 months
Describe whatā€™s going on here without sayingā€¦ Drugs Crazy Tribal Hippies Dancing White people Middle Class
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
@Bishkekskii1991 @741Tarot @VolSignals @OptionsDepth I always believe in playing the gap fill. Especially when we have 7 gaps behind you in the last month that have filled immediately.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
2 months
Hereā€™s my opinion.
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@vighnaraj2022
ConvexSwan
2 months
Nothing m9re needs to be said until further Vanna, gamma, delta and Vix studies. Will post more after 10 PM.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
Weā€™re all looking at the current banking crisis and discussing the Fed, deposits, 0% in interest leading investors to seek yield, but why are we pretending we couldnā€™t see this coming?
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
@ThatsRi32924808 @JoeyMannarinoUS For some itā€™s easy peasy. For others itā€™s their only option. Or one of the VERY FEW options they have. Tell me youā€™ve been privileged without telling me youā€™ve been privileged. Lol.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
$COCOA #chocolate This is the sheep following the sheep. If youā€™ve already learned from making this mistake, donā€™t fret. But, donā€™t repeat this!!!
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
4 months
@guideforlovers Sheā€™s missing something in the relationship that makes her feel safe and sexually attracted to him. Does she feel seen, heard, loved, etc. Women are very different from men and we are attracted to each other for very different reasonsā€¦ However, this guy will not put up with no
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
@ThatsRi32924808 @JoeyMannarinoUS Yes, they are. You Theory is equally interesting
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
How is money the equivalent to a crystal ball or the increased capacity to be correct? #stocks #stockmarket #investments #investing
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
I guess this is just normal in Nebraskaā€¦Talk about built different! They just keep driving like theyā€™re not driving into a tornado! Does anyone understand this logic?
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
This is my expectation. Itā€™s clearly a speculators market right now and we havenā€™t been behaving efficiently since the end of 2023.
@VolSignals
VolSignals
6 months
via JPM this week: "With crowding in the Momentum factor in the 99.8%ile... such crowding episodes tend to be followed by an eventual and often sharp correction."
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
9 months
@VolSignals Looks like buying should resume a little below 4400. Thoughts?
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
I use bars not candles but that bar/candle was very positive in the short- term. Big candle, finishing at the lows, on big volume, coming off a high. Institutional investors only do things like that to promote fear in retail.
@mega_ukulele
mega-ukulele
5 months
Can anyone else find a weekly candle as ugly as last week when SPX or NDX didnā€™t see more downside? Just wonderingā€¦
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
8 months
One of the great scenes from the Rocky franchise that taught us about life. RIP Carl Weathers. We are only here for a short time. Donā€™t wait until tomorrow. #Rocky #apollocreed #thereisnotomorrow
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
@musicandwork I love hearing different perspectives! There are ways to choose the positions that have the highest probability of success and minimize overall risk? Iā€™m not sure how you choose this position, but clearly the dividend isnā€™t making up for the falling price.. šŸ¤·šŸ»ā€ā™‚ļø
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
4 months
@VolSignals Thatā€™s awesome! What a beautiful story. He must of been so proud to show you. And, you must have been so proud that he received that award.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
Let me offer a different perspectiveā€¦. Bears wonā€™t quit waiting for the market to drop so every time the market gaps up, they pile on. Conversely, the drivers of this market (quants & systematic traders) watch a gap fill and buy buy buy. Sending the market higher, blowing out
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@endless_frank
Endless Capital
1 year
Who on planet fucking earth watches a 1% rally fail on good news, then go 0.5% red and thinks to themselves bargain of a lifetime let me get in there and chase the tape higher???? Who??? Somebody essplain this to me.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
Thank goodness Jamie Dimon is willing to take one for the team! šŸ˜‰šŸ˜‰
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
2 months
Target hit on $NEE !!! Way ahead of time! Apparently #NextEra didnā€™t need @JoeBiden šŸ˜šŸ˜
@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
3 months
$NEE definitely benefits more if @JoeBiden defeats @realDonaldTrump in the #PresidentialDebate and election
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
The only reason I donā€™t understand this is because we are at such high prices. Buying everything in sight when Ukraine was invaded made perfect sense, this does not. This is a very bearish signal to me.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
2 months
$XBI #biotech has been looking very strong the last 6 weeks, but a pullback is imminent. This is a 2 week forecast.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
Here we finish up the macro view of the #sp500 ($SPY) and the #nasdaq ($QQQ) What we discover is per shocking. The two indexes have a very different story. If you want to know what it is, youā€™ll have to watch. #stockmarket #tradingstrategy
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
2 months
THIS IS NOT 2008!! $QQQ $SPY #QQQ #SPY
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
LARGE ORDERS (INTERVENTION) are ALWAYS a concern regardless of the market you trade in. USDJPY dropped as low as 154.04 in the NY Tuesday morning session. Our eTrading desk confirms this was unlikely to be intervention, since previous instances saw much larger traded volumes
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
100% Agree and definitely overlooked.
@alma18499
Alma.Trk
7 months
WHAT'S HAPPENING NOW ON THE MARKET? Earlier I talked a lot about the dynamics of structural short squeezes and AI hype that have supported this #market rally. These, along with the gamma effect and #volatility suppression by dealers could create market uptrends, even in the face
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 month
How you can spot institutional money in #Crypto specifically $BTC #BTC
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 month
8-7-2024 Looking at the BIG picture - $NVDA $AMZN $META $CRWD $FSLR $NEE
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
JPM - OilšŸ›¢ļøšŸ›¢ļø As I discussed last week, oilā€™s demand is expected to drop and guess what? It is! šŸ“‰šŸ“‰ Our high-frequency demand indicators estimate that worldwide oil consumption so far in April averaged 101.0 mbd, 200 kbd below our published estimates. āž”ļøOn a year-over-year
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
@zerohedge I know. Who is still paying those outrageous prices for Starbucks? Their coffee sucks.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
@nicholnikk @JoeyMannarinoUS In the US we also have something called MINIMUM wage. That means itā€™s the minimum you can make in a given hour. @Uber and @lyft drivers often make far less than that.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
@Nick_Wellings @where_is_hardo Great. Thank you! Iā€™ll follow him now.šŸ™šŸ»
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
8 months
It really is easy. Becoming a professional trader/investor is very hard. Reading the market and economyā€¦ EASY! #Meme #MemeCut
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
Look outā€¦ The drop may be bigger than you thinkā€¦ #RiskManagement
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
Conversation about $AAPL and $UPS 4 days ago in a group on #FB ā€œUPS is ugly too. Falling stock price in a rising market. There's someone out there that's been attempting to gap up the price but fails every time... This thing will hit $120-$125 before you can assess it properly.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
@Dcpcooks This doesnā€™t seem off. This seems spot on!
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
@RayZ33388449 @Chewy11235 Distribution is another way of saying BIG money is selling, which leads to a precipitous price drop. This type of distribution shows up on a daily or weekly chart. You can have selling, before a standard market correction for example, that youā€™ll need to look at a 30 minute chart
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 year
@NoContextHumans I love the way this tastes.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
@donnelly_brent @Nick_Wellings Because the educational system is only focused on one type of intelligence.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
Iā€™d be into this!
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
6 months
I am going to give away one free client access to someone that likes, reposts and comments on this post. šŸ”„šŸ”„ You will be able to run the Wifey Index allocations for one quarter to see if you like it. No strings attached. No pressure.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
We love rescuing dogs in my family. Pitbulls and chihuahuas are the best! This is our new little girl Iris with her brother Pono. @MarleysMutts
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
4 months
Is the stock market, specifically AI, forming a ā€œbubble-likeā€ market drop?
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
@Nick_Wellings From my perspective the ā€œeventā€ used to justify why the market drops, is simply a scapegoat to the fact that institutions sold off enough supply at enough of a % gain that theyā€™re ready to buy back some positions at cheaper prices. ā€œEventsā€ are hedged long before weā€™re informed.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
@found_courage Nice. Good for you Mark
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
@VolSignals Weā€™d better discuss this in private šŸ˜‰
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
2 months
What if you sold calls and puts in $FCX two weeks ago??? (With a small spread obviously)
@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
3 months
Hereā€™s the potential for $FCX Long term is to the UPSIDE! For the complete evaluation youā€™ll have to watch my LIVE. June 30, 2024
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
7 months
Why did $PTON go from $28.55 to $4.32 as of today when 31 analysts said it was rated a BUY at $28.55? #tradingdesks #financialadvice #financialeducation
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
4 months
A man that knows what heā€™s talking about. Missing 3% in 6 months to avoid a 22% drop in market price is a good trade all day and twice on Sundays!
@Emmonspired
Dan Emmons ēŽ‹
4 months
People lose a fuck ton of money going long the final innings of a long in the tooth šŸ¦· rally. You donā€™t have to participate.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
4 months
@Windandcrazy Itā€™s not easy putting this much info out! šŸ˜
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
4 months
@HansCashFlow Nice analogy. It puts NVIDIA into perspective
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 month
$AAL from todayā€™s LIVE stream! Watch for details.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
Yes, thatā€™s correct. It means that the ā€œbig guysā€ are offloading their supply, therefore they gap the price up, in order to get a better fill, and then the little guys, waiting for the ā€œdipā€ buy the shares. Make sense? Exchange of strong hands to weak hands scenario. Very common
@Bishkekskii1991
Purist Thunderwrath
6 months
@DerekMi75263605 @741Tarot @VolSignals @OptionsDepth What does it mean?why they get filled ,what I understand is big guys offloading stocks while non mm buying those dips ?
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
@palantirbull1 Or, down 43% in two years, which includes that tiny rallyā€¦ However you want to look at it. šŸ˜‚
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
3 months
Nailed it. Price rose to a little over $108 and now itā€™s at $91.50. Donā€™t let someone offer you rising price estimates in a rising marketā€¦ Any idiot will be correct 80% of the time by merely guessing. Try guessing your way to this forecast for $SIG on Monday. The earnings
@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
3 months
$SIG earnings release on Thursday June 13th has prices set to rise only to create selling pressure for prices to ultimately fall. I should have been more clear in some of my earlier posts. You live and you learn.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
@palantirbull1 Ask @VolSignals Heā€™ll get it. šŸ˜‚
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker once said that the one mistake he had made in the late 1970s was not stopping the price of gold from rising as much it did in that period At 3pm New York time last Thursday there was a US$1.6bn sale of $Gold futures in about three minutes
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
2 months
Target hit ahead of schedule! šŸŽÆ!!! $SQM Pay attention to how many of my forecasts are accurate. šŸ’„šŸ’„šŸ’„ Notice that my forecasts are 50/50 when it comes to higher price targets and lower price targets. šŸ‘€šŸ‘€ This is how to identify a Master from charlatan. šŸ’ŖšŸ’Ŗ
@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
3 months
$SQM is looking good!
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
@Chewy11235 @RayZ33388449 These are great behavioral finance topics!!
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
23 days
@KamesxLane $NVDA is good, but it may have some downside pressure before another price run begins.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
$AAPL is telling a great story here. When gaps are filling as prices rise, thatā€™s one way to confirm the upward trend. The inverse is also true. As you can see, Appleā€™s trend has reversed. It was a market leader. Could this be an indicator of whatā€™s to come in the general market?
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
Yen, SP500, Gold, Cocoa, Oil, itā€™s all the same at the moment. Thereā€™s so much computer based trading that itā€™s like watching herds of buffalo running in one direction and switching direction at the same time. We call it Trend following in the biz. šŸ˜‚
@AaronRentfrew
Aaron Rentfrew šŸ”šŸœšŸŒ‹šŸ•
5 months
Here we go.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
Never go with your gut feeling when it comes to trading or investing
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
@willemijn_arjen Thatā€™s certainly possible. Thatā€™s something we can evaluate later. I try not to make assumptions and stick to the process, otherwise I may subconsciously create a narrative to prove my assumption correct.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
It looks like Copper may have a supply issue.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
8 months
This sounds good to me! The last thing I want right now is high activity levels. That would most likely be selling and this is status quo which will allow the market to drift higher and squeeze shorts! #tuesdaymotivations #StockMarket #Finance
@VolSignals
VolSignals
8 months
...GS on yesterday's session- "trading volumes tracking down -16% vs 20d avg" "Stocks POPPED on US Treasury Quarterly Financing Estimates to borrow 760b vs 816b estimate... ..less bond supply = lower yields." "-desk was a 4 on 1-10 scale in terms of overall activity levels"
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
UBS - US Equity Strategy Downgrading Big 6, Maintaining Overweight in Rest of TECH+ ā€œIā€™m sure tech will be fine if the BIG 6 start dropping in price. AHAHAHA!!! ā€œ - Mr. Burns Downgrading Big 6 on Earnings Momentum Reversal Investors attribute the run in mega cap stocks to
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
6 months
$ARM hereā€™s another company that has its average #volume blown out of the water after itā€™s up 100% in #price , itā€™s now up 300% but price hasnā€™t moved. $ARM will return to $60. Retail demand will drop as we head into #taxday and pension selling is coming.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
3 months
If youā€™ve ever been in a competition with another individual youā€™ll understand this... A great competitor brings the level of competition up to a higher standard, the inverse is also true.. If you know, you know.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
Large gaps in any direction (up or down) based on news or a company report are almost always a play on investor/trader emotions. The gap size also tells you what strong hands feel about the investors on the other side of the trade. The larger the gap, the more committed the
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
2 months
8-1-2024 Evaluating the current market correction. Is it over? $QQQ $SPY
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
RULE # 1 - Cash is a position in the stock market. This is not a casino. Sitting out of the market is sometimes the best course of action.
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
Expected fundamentals will give me timeframes to keep my eyes on while the technical flows of shares traded and big money positioning provides the ultimate ā€œtime to sellā€. However I scale in and out of every position. Nothing is just in and out at 100% or even 20%.
@HansCashFlow
OptionHans
5 months
How does everyone decide when to sell a stock that they're up money on? Technical spots on charts? ie measured moves, trendline Percentage increase? Fundamental changes, valuation... Or is it the never sell mindset, like Buffett?
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
1 month
8-7-2024 Looking at the BIG picture - $NVDA $AMZN $META $CRWD $FSLR $NEE
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
5 months
#China $FXI IndexesĀ areĀ rebalancedĀ everyĀ year.Ā What does that do to the historical data ofĀ theĀ stockĀ market.Ā The world calculations are CONSTANTLY being updated. I wonder why????
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@DerekInvests
Derek Miller
8 months
What is this post about? We are a few percent above where we were two years ago?
@endless_frank
Endless Capital
8 months
Iā€™m old enough to remember when they said pullbacks are healthy. What ever happened to that? This is insane. The same price action canā€™t happen every single day in a free market. This is all a complete fraud.
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