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Pancake Patrol

@patrol_pancake

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Following
373
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663
Statuses

Same old monkey. Less stressed.

🇺🇸
Joined October 2023
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@WifeyAlpha 4419.99 4480.01 4515.00 4583.4 4677.1312 if those go, SPX 5500
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
I vouch for everything except I will state unequivocally I am not a part of the morning bangs
@OffTheRunTrades
Double Chin Capital
11 months
Ive been in a small chat with @WifeyAlpha since he was taking his tea from a sippy cup. years of bouncing thoughts off of the lad ...he gets it right as much as anyone...was banging me at 6AM my time with 4410 sells go check out if you already havent...
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant @OffTheRunTrades get ready to hear all about seasonality buyback window closing CTAs "Where is the recession?!?!" war is actually good for stocks Santa rally until you just can't take it anymore and then
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Cheers to #3 ,401 as I was locking at 3,400 on the dot 🍻 Why 3400?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant @OffTheRunTrades ..it pays to remember.. when that gap is HIGH & everyone's hedging the same *known* unknowns -next move is higher were you buying puts on the close Friday.. shorting a 61.8% retrace of post SVB rally... because of Hamas, Tim Apple, or the bank of japan? tsk tsk tsk
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
LARGEST OPTIONS EXPIRATION IN THE HISTORY OF THIS YEAR ON DECK ATH highs then puke into the weekend?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant The easiest money has been made. I think we have a downshift and grinding rally now to get checked between 4400-25, and some consolidation ahead of CPI, then if I had to guess- it’s a little reversal around opex before a rally into mid 4500s to low 4600s near Dec opex
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
..looking for that perfect Christmas present for your loved ones? How about a framed motivational print this year?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Mission Accomplished “We flattened the curve”
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Imagine There is one thing Which makes all the nonsense of the past 15 years make sense We are close. Hang in there…
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
You are close to the next level of understanding
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@OffTheRunTrades two words: there will be blood.
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
🫡 . . .honored 🙏 Thought we were gonna do the “underpromise/overdeliver” thing tho 🤷‍♂️
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
11 months
Wifey for systematic and @patrol_pancake for discretionary Double trouble team are back 🔥🔥
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@WifeyAlpha This is a joke. Kind of 👀 4400-4425 should slow us down as a lot of recent upside specs will be well up on their entries and likely cashing in get closer to 4500 and we likely begin to see new short entries from all the HFs currently covering (and squeezing junk today)
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
2 months
I've been summoned. know your levels. CME ES Circuit Breakers in force: ref 5480 ESU4 close... -7% 5098.75 -13% 4772.00 -20% 4390.75 I've been waiting. . .
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
How are things looking for the "too many catalysts right now" crowd? First up— War headlines. . ? -check.
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant @OffTheRunTrades war/geopolitical conflict is already rolling down the list Like Russia/Ukraine- it doesn't take long before everyone is numb to "WW3" headlines which left: BoJ YCC (big worry now in rearview) QRA / details (less likely to be a *now* problem) Fed (joke) AAPL 👻🤷‍♂️
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
All Time Highs- confirmed. Puke?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
...not gonna lie. IDK what to do here ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant @OffTheRunTrades held my nose last Friday to buy the close w/ SPX Nov calls from 4300 to 4400, expecting a meaningful bounce to give us some spot up vol up behavior, paying off the smaller delta calls relatively better than the ~15ds if I had to rank concerns...
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
it's been real
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
catch!
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
11 months
@patrol_pancake I would like CQ’s crystal ball 🔮 back please. And when I say please I mean right fucking now. Well done $SPX ✅
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Monkey systems still bullish
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@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
11 months
@patrol_pancake tomorrow we sell …
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@WifeyAlpha 4515 is the short call from the Jeffrey Epstein put spread collar fund On quarterly rolls they are not the only game in town. Lot of inventory consolidates around these same levels (80/100/105% of prior qtly spot settlement) We break through and almost surely see spot up vol up
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant @OffTheRunTrades VIX vs realized (esp closing) was getting a lot of attention, given how wide it was getting but it SHOULD be wide, when players aren't paying the levels to hedge what *just happened* they are deer in headlights, needing to get through this spooky list of "what-ifs"
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant @OffTheRunTrades held my nose last Friday to buy the close w/ SPX Nov calls from 4300 to 4400, expecting a meaningful bounce to give us some spot up vol up behavior, paying off the smaller delta calls relatively better than the ~15ds if I had to rank concerns...
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
6 months
April CPI Mark your calendars
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
Don't forget to play both sides
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
10 months
Can we spot up vol up yet?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Before you get cute calling the top, ask yourself if you've ever heard anyone talk about the "thanksgiving rally"
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
1 💥 2 💥 3 💥😬💥 4 🙈
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@WifeyAlpha 4419.99 4480.01 4515.00 4583.4 4677.1312 if those go, SPX 5500
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@OffTheRunTrades @WifeyAlpha does realwifey know you were letting him bang you this morning?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
Unch'ed, it is. Hope you sold when I told you to play both sides at least
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
Bid is strong enough to respect here imo... 4755 here we come?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
to be fair- I'm more neutral/flattish here with an expectation of 4360-4450 as the likely range through nov expiry If we have a dip below that, "I'd" expect it to happen between nov opex and end of month and then CQ gonna be a sleigh chaser 🎅🚀💦
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
11 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
@watchitburn_LFG @ChiefQuant I love CQ, and it’s all in good fun. I’m a manual trader, not a computer surgeon. I’m short for tomorrow. But not with 0DTEs, because there is too much gamma sold daily to tolerate the bleed. If you go short with options, use calendars. Only a 👇blocks.
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Market Making 101 …the world is one giant position, waiting to f-$ck you …the rules change when the system’s under duress (not in your favor) accept this, and you can write that thread in full seriousness complete peace …and sincere optimism
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
bulls this week
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Good afternoon
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
...we turn now to our WEEK OF WORRY'S "final boss" 👀 . . . TIM APPLE 👨‍🦳 🎵🎶. . . do you hear what I hear? 🎶🛷🎅
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
health care costs, definitely trending down
@rccalhoun
bob c
11 months
@patrol_pancake @OffTheRunTrades .2 change in health insurance expense nets .2 miss in CPI and soft or no landing is assured and rates are headed way down forever. how the F do i make sense of this?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
hope you monkeys enjoyed your naps
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
BEARS YOU ARE RUNNING OUT OF OPTIONS pray
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant Maybe Hamas will invade the North Pole bears will get chance to scratch out of the puts they bought Friday
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
10 months
fear gauge. . .fearless. equities today. . .
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
2 months
Aug 5th Limit Down Levels (Circuit Breakers) -7% / -13% / -20% 5001.75 / 4681 / 4306.75 Remember who warned, and who dismissed.
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant @OffTheRunTrades war/geopolitical conflict is already rolling down the list Like Russia/Ukraine- it doesn't take long before everyone is numb to "WW3" headlines which left: BoJ YCC (big worry now in rearview) QRA / details (less likely to be a *now* problem) Fed (joke) AAPL 👻🤷‍♂️
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
7 months
gm gm. yes, I'm ready to get hurt again
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
bears if you are having nightmares of slinkies going "up" the stairs.. ... ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ that's the universe asking you how much "edge" you have fighting rules & fools
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant @OffTheRunTrades puke? my best models still see asymmetry to upside / bear trap here just updated the code
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
9 months
Models, Regimes and Trend Following Part 2 is now available to the public. 🔥 To read free online go to or you can download the PDF for free. If you have not read Part 1 it is on my website for you to read at your own leisure.
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
11 months
@patrol_pancake wen fire posts my liege, WEN ? Fam is hungry af for pancakes 🥞
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Not to mention the seasonal support of steady +$5b daily demand (est.) out of corporate buybacks (Nov and Dec = most wonderful time of year here) CTAs are still pretty heavy short though less so after today Expect a downshift next week but bears still riding a beach ball here
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
You are close to the next level of understanding
@disclosetv
Disclose.tv
11 months
NEW - Sam Altman’s ouster at OpenAI was precipitated by AI discovery that "could threaten humanity" — Reuters
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
@ChiefQuant @watchitburn_LFG One of us was short all second half of the day, pressing the close with 0DTEs. One of us was drunk on Canadian O’Douls tweeting about a ten point bounce.
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
heeeeeeeere fishy fishy
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@WifeyAlpha es ok... turn that frown upside down just identify as a bull if your clearing firm rings, remind them that math is racist and this call is being recorded
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
2 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
11 months
@patrol_pancake Pancake is back for the second half of the bear market. Buckle up kids. Oooof … this is going to be epic
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Hard yes but massive cumulative short flows from 4500 range would certainly find their moment to cover eventually And what better time than now? All the biggest out performers come straight from low quality junk/donut tech/regional banks/ anything “most short”
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
11 months
This is a really hard day from what I am seeing. The perma bulls will laugh cause they are blind to risk and “number go up.” They will say classic squeeze but how much of squeeze really? Yes, in shitcos but show it to me in stocks that move the market. Doesn’t feel right. In
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant If we break above 4500-4550 first half of Dec, I’m looking for a spot up vol up topping process and a big red last two weeks like last year But- too soon to tell. After the 6% it’s no longer a fat pitch and a corked bat
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
10 months
@WifeyAlpha No. I shorted days ago and implied everyone not lifting 4600 at the time was testicularly challenged 🤝
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@WifeyAlpha here I think it's almost time to sit tight and reflect on whether +1,000% over 5 days with (let's be honest.. zero risk) is acceptable for you as a man.
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
What is this @‘ing the wrong pancake from an account I can’t even R/T?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
8 months
@MacroBlow
Tobias Victorious
8 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
I’ve been up all night trying to figure out what all these pols and feds around western world must be trying to hide But nothing about the last 3.5 years stands out. 🤷‍♂️🙄
@disclosetv
Disclose.tv
11 months
NEW - Laptops with more than 700,000 emails, including those from the office manager of the German Chancellor, have "disappeared."
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
Someone tell futures to go up only please
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
ES crashing yet?
@disclosetv
Disclose.tv
11 months
NOW - Skyline over northern Gaza.
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
LIVE LOOK AT PANCAKE RETRAINING THE ALGOS had the level 20 points too high.
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant The easiest money has been made. I think we have a downshift and grinding rally now to get checked between 4400-25, and some consolidation ahead of CPI, then if I had to guess- it’s a little reversal around opex before a rally into mid 4500s to low 4600s near Dec opex
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
7 months
Hope you bears are done licking your wounds
@VolSignals
VolSignals
7 months
via JPM this week: "With crowding in the Momentum factor in the 99.8%ile... such crowding episodes tend to be followed by an eventual and often sharp correction."
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
we break 4421 here we almost certainly tag 4422.33754563
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
futures just took out 4419.99... 👀 @WifeyAlpha @OffTheRunTrades
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
10 months
is it a good sign that we got rejected at the 7/31 level?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
Speaking of trauma. Waiting on some big fish to abandon hedges here before believing in the real deal thrust to sustainable highs. Natural time to watch is next week through end of month because hedging pressure abates as contracts roll or expire.
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
10 months
Must be election season
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
Someone tell futures to go up only please
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
bears right now
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
bulls this week
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant Probably next week for the appetizer; but be ready to hop back on the sleigh… and Geronimo mid Jan
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
6 months
Reminder there are people who read this and believe it
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
11 months
You have been waiting for rate cuts but do you even know what happens to the markets when the Fed starts to cut? It ain’t pretty.
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Will delete if wrong
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
too soon?
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
Imagine thinking Epstein is dead
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
@ChiefQuant ..been busy trading around some short 4600s
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Gut says 4480 deserves a retrace
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Happy Thanksgiving to everyone who survived with mind, body and spirit intact 🍻
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
coal in your stocking if you sold 4410 this morning
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
11 months
@patrol_pancake who’s model is this? 👀
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
*APPLE 4Q GREATER CHINA REV. $15.08B, EST. $17.01B
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
10 months
World is not ready
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
10 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
5 months
How do I not buy today’s 5270 Puts here?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@WifeyAlpha wen sell
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@WifeyAlpha @optionsnetnet My gut says sideways but ultimately higher grind / 4450 attempt then the index does a little dip between opex and end of month
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
wow. BIG slip in the TSY auction this afternoon.
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Time for a breather?
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Monkey systems still bullish
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
It appears the beatings will continue until morale improves
@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
Normie test- Epstein & handlers spent decades and billions blackmailing and extorting heads of state, science, banking, media, regulatory agencies, celebrities, and then weaponized this network by doing what?
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
“How I became a USD maxi”
@WifeyAlpha
Wifey
11 months
The biggest rug pull known to man is coming for bitcoin and everyone is daydreaming a new bull market.
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@OffTheRunTrades
Double Chin Capital
11 months
@patrol_pancake @ChiefQuant You forgot "cash on the sidelines" and money market account balances
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
5 months
close is coming
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
9 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
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@patrol_pancake
Pancake Patrol
11 months
@ChiefQuant The easiest money has been made. I think we have a downshift and grinding rally now to get checked between 4400-25, and some consolidation ahead of CPI, then if I had to guess- it’s a little reversal around opex before a rally into mid 4500s to low 4600s near Dec opex
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