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Dan Devine Profile
Dan Devine

@DanJDevine

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researching how people develop political attitudes & why that matters. Associate Prof @sotonpolitics , Associate Editor @poqjournal #ColU , music, pubs.

Joined April 2015
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
5 months
You won't believe what this is in response to
@GingerLiesl
Liesl
5 months
@JohnRentoul He is far sexier now than he was 30 years ago. Some men just get better looking as they age.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
My favourite paper I've written has now been accepted @ejprjournal (with @viktor888 ) and I want to share it. ❓We ask an old question: are political attitudes stable or volatile? 📊 We answer it with 6 panel studies in 5 countries (1965-2020).
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
11 months
Are you interested in political trust? And whether it matters? 🚨I've a paper accepted @PolBehavior which looks to summarise this work empirically.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 months
Today, I've been promoted to Associate Professor @sotonpolitics ! I feel lucky (almost) every day to do what we do, and glad to work somewhere that supports junior people as well.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
9 months
The paper is now online @PolBehavior , available (open access) here:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
11 months
Are you interested in political trust? And whether it matters? 🚨I've a paper accepted @PolBehavior which looks to summarise this work empirically.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
23 days
Does the empirical and conceptual distinction between trust, trustworthiness, and trust attitudes keep you awake at night? We've a paper accepted at @EJPRjournal that tries to address this question with cross-national choice experiments. Paper:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 month
Are you interested in political trust? Of course! And redistribution preferences? Naturally! Then do I have the paper for you, accepted @jepp_journal W/ 4 UK experiments & panel data from Switzerland I test whether political trust affects red. prefs:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
@SeasideChris Lots of people are laughing but this is actually a mystery that needs solving. Did he fake? Is the woman mad? Is it old footage? I prefer the idea he faked his death and then went to his local curry house.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
11 months
Interested in climate policy and/or political trust? Especially in Germany? Then I've a paper for you, accepted at @JPublicPolicy . Why do people support particular climate policies? The literature on (political) trust shows that trust increases support for costly policy.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 years
@winestainedlens @brianklaas @dandrezner Maybe not, but it just feels so right.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
As good a time as any to say: today was my last official day @hilda_beastoxf , and after a 2-day period of unemployment, I'll join @sotonpolitics as a Lecturer/Asst Prof on Monday. 🎉
@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
Fancy a 3-year research postdoc? Fancy doing it on the south coast, working at @sotonpolitics ?! Apply for 3-year @BritishAcademy_ postdoc, w/ expertise in democratic innovations, pol behavior, environment, global health, migration, & development:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
Did political trust matter during the COVID pandemic? I, with small army of colleagues, have a paper at @jepp_journal asking this question and answering it with a meta-analysis of 67 studies. The answer is, broadly, yes. Paper:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 months
🤷‍♂️
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
I have spent almost 9 hours today working on something, which has resulted in a 17-word footnote. Fantastic.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
8 months
New paper out at @journal_pa on how ministers learn. My first paper out using qualitative and - I shit you not - *interpretive* methods. What does the paper do? 👇
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@Boswell_JC
John Boswell
8 months
New paper out with @Jess_Smith1534 @DanJDevine & Jack Corbett presents A Typology of Ministerial Learning Styles. First academic pub from our time working with and at @instituteforgov on their fab Ministers Reflect archive. Open access here:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
Very happy that our workshop for the @ECPR joint sessions was accepted: on democracy, trust, and trustworthiness. Details below and here You can propose papers from tomorrow until 23rd November - a month today!
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
📢 Does trust in politics matter?⁉️ I have a (new) working paper online that tries to answer this question with a meta-analysis and systematic review of 58 papers (291 observations). The answer? Yes, mostly. A short thread. Link:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
Later today I'm presenting at @PoWiMZ (in person!!!) on political trust & redistribution preferences. It's the first time I've given the full paper an outing and I'm both excited and nervous about it. Huge thanks to @landwehr_c for the invite. Ich freue mich darauf! 🧵
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
@DrKaiJaeger @Ben_Guinaudeau There's also considerable excellent scientific evidence that people's perceptions of the quality of scientific evidence is conditioned by various biases. It's not a 'woke agenda' to recognise it. I don't think the author means we should disregard that.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
I'm not suggesting I have magic powers but literally every time I go to field this same survey, a new scandal comes out.
@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
Me waiting for things to calm down before fielding experiments on political trust
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
Interested in voting reform? Electronic voting? Any tangentially related topics? We ( @turnbulldugarte and I) have a paper out @ElectoralStdies where we conduct a systematic review and conjoint experiment on support for digitising voting. 👉
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 years
@TomiLahren The President should ask his wife why she emigrated if you'd like an answer to this.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 months
A nice research post here at Oxford offering up to £4.3m per year salary. For avoidance of doubt, this salary is unlikely at other institutions.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
Death, taxes, and Technical Issues with Your Manuscript: the three certainties in life.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
5 months
Not a small point either, though. In a recent experiment, we (w/ @turnbulldugarte ) found that even subtly signaling class (not saying 'class' in any way) enormously increases perceptions of interest representation, responsiveness, and trust.
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@p_surridge
Paula Surridge
5 months
Not a big point but I've found the subtle echoes of class in both Starmer's speech yesterday (having the phone cut off) and Reeves' today (bank statements line by line) interesting.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
6 years
I'm really happy to see this online now! My first paper and a great learning experience and, we hope, really important findings:
@BJPolS
British Jnl Poli Sci
6 years
#FirstView - Does Media Coverage Drive Public Support for #UKIP or Does Public Support for UKIP Drive Media Coverage? - Justin Murphy & Daniel Devine -
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
🙄
@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
Me waiting for things to calm down before fielding experiments on political trust
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
21 days
Interested in joining us for your postdoc @sotonpolitics ? Leverhulme Trust have Early Career Fellowships available with a deadline in February: Get in touch if you're interested. Join a great and growing group.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
Looking forward to the year ahead 👀
@sotonpolitics
Politics at Southampton
1 year
📢 'Some professional news' We've been hiring - and we want to share just some of the 💫stars joining us this year. In no particular order...
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
Now published and online 💫 open access 💫 @EJPRjournal :
@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
My favourite paper I've written has now been accepted @ejprjournal (with @viktor888 ) and I want to share it. ❓We ask an old question: are political attitudes stable or volatile? 📊 We answer it with 6 panel studies in 5 countries (1965-2020).
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
I'm on the long train to #EPSA2023 @europsa ! Presenting two papers over the conference, both on political trust; if this interests you: First at 🗓️ Thursday 10:50am, on this panel with @MadsDagnis , @MicaGrossmann , @svenhegewald , & Tarek Arjona:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
9 months
I'm looking for a short-term RA, to start ASAP, to help with scoping/literature review in the area of social class and/or class representation. Details below, and any questions, just email me! 👇👇
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
8 months
I missed it yesterday - due to having COVID for the millionth time - but yesterday was 4 years since I submitted my PhD on the 20/02/2020. One good thing about PhDs is you get two celebratory days: when you submit and when you pass.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 months
Have you heard of the radical new thing people aged 20 to 45 are into? Food.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
4 months
We're hiring a 1-year teaching fellow in international relations. A reasonable teaching load and good support to develop a research or teaching profile. 👇
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
Me waiting for things to calm down before fielding experiments on political trust
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
8 years
@engcricketfan75 @Samfr this was an astonishing thread to read
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 months
it's been a mixed start to the day
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
I have a new (open access = free) paper @PSRMJournal with @turnbulldugarte where we use (I think) cool research designs to test the effect of economic interventions on trust and democratic satisfaction. Thread here:
@turnbulldugarte
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
3 years
Interested in quasi-experimental research from 🇵🇹 and 🇪🇺 looking at the effects of economic constraints? 👉 @DanJDevine and I have new work out in @PSRMJournal using a multi-study test of the causal impact of economic constraints on political support /🧵
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 months
That's a wrap for the #ecprjs24 for us! Had a blast organising it with @LdeBlok and impressed with everyone's engagement for 3 whole days 👏
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
8 years
@johnredwood @philipjcowley Please inform @SF_England because I paid nothing whilst at Uni and now I pay a lot. They must have it wrong!
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 months
Looking at three (excellent) journal reviews on a paper of mine -- the time many colleagues are willing to put into other people's work is astounding.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
Nothing in my job blows or infuriates my mind more than hours spent reformatting niche aspects of a paper for a journal, that has no bearing on its presentation or quality, before even being considered
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
4 months
I have a short article in @ConversationUK with @ProfStoker about policy fatalism, where we argue that (1) people are very skeptical about govts ability to deliver but (2) they demand govt do more. This is a bind the next government will have to address.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
Tomorrow (!) I'll be flying across the Atlantic for the first time to attend @APSAtweets #apsa2022 . I'm presenting Sat 10:00-11:30am on a great panel on political support, w/ Atle Haugsgjerd, @JLBergen , @frfeitosa , Eric Belanger, @AFilindra , Beyza Buyuker, and Noah Kaplan:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 months
I went down a hashtag rabbit hole, watching videos from all over England. Almost all shared were untrue in some way. The vast majority were not from UK-based accounts, with obvious markers, like sharing videos from 'plymouth' when the accents were very obviously from NE England
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
Not been abroad - barely left the south coast - for three years, excited to visit @AarhusUni for a few weeks and have a few stops along the way 🚂
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
📢 Call for papers! ✍️ Interested in executive politics, elites, decision-making, text analysis? We're looking for papers for a workshop using over 120 interviews with former UK ministers👇 @Boswell_JC @Jess_Smith1534 @carolineleicht @hilda_beastoxf @instituteforgov
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
Very grateful to be able to attend #EPSA2022 and even more for having a free sunday in a warm Prague.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
I used to think the idea that Oxford is a bit outdated was a little exaggerated but that's because it was all forced online and remote. Now here I am, year AD2022, marking handwritten exams on paper at a writing bureau.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 years
My family don't really understand University so this is the cake they made for my Msc graduation
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
Lectureship in (British) political behaviour going @uniessexgovt . And that means you get to live in Colchester. And what's better than that?
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
After 4 days at a conference, on my final train home, I've ended up trapped next to two academics talking about publication strategy. Please just let it end.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
10 months
This paper is now out @JPublicPolicy - open access! 👉
@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
11 months
Interested in climate policy and/or political trust? Especially in Germany? Then I've a paper for you, accepted at @JPublicPolicy . Why do people support particular climate policies? The literature on (political) trust shows that trust increases support for costly policy.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
What this means: 1) The causes of trust likely lie in early-life socialisation rather than things like scandals. 2) The long-term trends in trust - like decline in the US and UK - are generational in nature and, therefore, reversing the trend is a long-term project.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 years
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
5 months
Reminiscent of UKIP's success, here's the opening paragraph of a paper in which we find that media's coverage of UKIP is also partly responsible for the 'growing support' of the party.
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@PolitlcsUK
Politics UK
5 months
🚨 NEW: The BBC has announced a new Question Time special featuring Reform UK on Friday 28 June at 8pm to reflect the “growing support” of the party Greens have been offered the same time
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
I know there are worse things going on in the world, but yesterday I didn't get notifications and subsequently lost my ~130 day @duolingo streak after finishing the lesson 2 minutes past midnight. It's been playing on my mind all day. Devastated.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
9 months
I often read stuff and find it good and interesting but don't say anything... that is probably bad practice. Anyway, this paper by @EMMacfarlane_ is a dead useful analysis of class and party identity that'll make its way into reading lists:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
📢🚨 Are you a researcher in the broad field of @psaepop ? We are aiming to provide a mentorship scheme for marginalised and under-represented scholars. If this interests you as mentor, mentee, or both, or for info, you can fill out a survey:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
Today my student, with absolutely no irony, looked at me and said: 'maybe that was the case for your generation'.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
4 months
A bonus benefit of #epsa2024 's timing and location. #euros2024
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
I'm delighted to be hosting an intern from a typically under-represented background this summer to work on a project (with @turnbulldugarte and I) on Brexit, election results, and military bases in the UK. More here: @politics_oxford @hilda_beastoxf
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
4 months
At #epsa2024 (my *fifth* EPSA in a row!) I'm presenting some new work on class on this great panel. We show how class background (as @Keir_Starmer has done all #GE2024 ) conditions feelings of symbolic representation: trust, feelings of representation, and values.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 months
It's the second day of our joint sessions on democracy, trust and trustworthiness in Lüneburg. Given all the excellent research, it's high praise to say the dinner has been the highlight so far 👇 #ecprjs24 @ECPR
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 months
A surprisingly short journey to #epop2024 (and, perhaps *even more* excitingly, a weekend in Morecambe). If you're about, do say hi. I look like an AI-generated 32 year old university lecturer.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
There's a job at @NewCollegeOx for a 3-year research fellowship in social sciences for those just finishing a PhD: . No teaching and a room in College included.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
4 months
If you didn't find any excitement in the football, here's a pick-me-up, a paper on trends in political trust now conditionally accepted at @BJPolS . An enormous effort that began in our PhDs over 6 years ago and led by @viktor888 :
@viktor888
Viktor Valgarðsson
4 months
Delighted that the paper I'm proudest of has just been accepted for publication at @BJPolS 🥳 In it, we investigate global trends in political trust, using data from 50 different survey projects! Check out the pre-print here: And some results below👇
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
9 months
We're hiring across all ranks (Postdoc to Prof). Deadline April. - Good teaching load - Collaborative teaching - Strong internal research support - Friendly colleagues across the faculty
@sotonpolitics
Politics at Southampton
9 months
🚨We're hiring. Lecturer 👉 Associate Prof. 👉 Professor 👉
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
I don't need to tell anyone that follows me how random/subjective the review process can be, but here're snippets from two reviewers on the same paper: 1. This paper [could be] amazing & definitely needs to be published. 2. I don't see the value in publishing such a thing. 🤷‍♂️
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 months
The wave of racism and queerphobia has been staggering. It is on anyone who can, to show kindness and support day-to-day to people who need it - obviously not only, but especially, now.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
6 months
A pleasure to chair this viva (my first!) and celebrate the success of excellent @carolineleicht
@carolineleicht
Dr Caroline Leicht
6 months
Thrilled to share that I passed my viva (with minor corrections) yesterday. Thank you to my fantastic supervisors @Jess_Smith1534 , @drjennings & @turnbulldugarte for all their support and to my brilliant examiners @ProfLizJEvans and @jennpiscopo for their engagement with my work!
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
I had three pretty tough rejections today but the worst by far was when I tried to stroke a cat and it yowled at me and walked off
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
I recently deleted Facebook, @duolingo destroyed itself, and now @Twitter is doing the same. I also got a new phone. My virtual world is transformed. I didn't think turning 30 would be this difficult
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 years
I've just posted a working paper on the effect of the Brexit referendum on hate crimes. I show using daily and monthly data that it caused a significant increase in reporting of hate crimes. All feedback (esp. methodological!) welcome:
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
Applications for *fully-funded* PhDs (inc. Masters if reqd) are open at @sotonpolitics . Behaviour, attitudes, specifically on trust, legitimacy, or class especially welcome. Join a growing Department with the resources and time to support you 👇
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 years
@CaeciliusEst @Andrew_Adonis Not my experience as an undergrad nor teaching undergrads.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
8 months
Your co-authors when you love #nullresults and #ggplot
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
I wrote for @LSEpoliticsblog about the consequences of political trust, based on an ongoing meta analysis:
@LSEpoliticsblog
LSE British Politics and Policy
3 years
Trust in politics has a reasonable correlation with a range of outcomes, including vote choice, turnout, and policy preferences
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
7 years
@BBCSport Cheerio. In AFC's shadow from here on out.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
4 months
Browsing the #epsa2024 programme (is there an app this year for planning? a lot of good panels)
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
It's the end of summer - after #apsa2022 I'm going to take a holiday and then it's a new term at @hilda_beastoxf . I wanted to share some of the main working papers I've been working on, in various stages of (in)completion. V happy for comments! Here's quite a long thread 👇
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
For the last few terms, I've set an assignment in which students pick an article/chapter/book to critique - like peer review. It's taught me that: 1) all of us are `reviewer 2' and it starts young; 2) every article is flawed, often critically, in some way.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
4 months
Me on the lead up to, and day of, @England games #EUROS2024
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 months
He is a racist who's used the guise of one of the most trusted and prestigious (elite?) occupations to appear neutral and used class queues to appear moral.
@shashj
Shashank Joshi
3 months
“The son of immigrants.” For these people, we’ll never really be British.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
Altogether, our conclusions are that trust (at least in established democracies) is characterised by long-term stability but short-term volatility in response to the political environment.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 years
A quiet New Year for me then 🎄 #Omicroned .
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
8 months
Now I'm over the hump of teaching this semester - teaching can get a bad rap in academia but it's a total win to get to teach stuff that you find interesting (& hopefully convince others!) I've enjoyed it this semester, including guest lectures at @UniofExeter and @EdinburghUni
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
9 months
Doing slides for teaching British politics next week and indulging the Millenial instinct to memeify everything
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
Also, they take particular delight in dismantling articles their tutor has written.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
Labour squeeze in after taking 3 seats and LD 1. The combination will worry Cons: Labour took the poorer areas of the city and just-out-of-centre suburbs whilst Lib Dems took the wealthy ward just by the University.
@dailyecho
Daily Echo
2 years
BREAKING: Labour have retaken control of Southampton City Council
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
A feature of British politics is how much more to the right of the public the current elites are, and how much public opinion is misrepresented.
@jburnmurdoch
John Burn-Murdoch
1 year
NEW: don’t let the ULEZ chatter mislead you. The British public is much more supportive and united on Net Zero policies than the public in peer countries, with Conservative voters frequently as green as the centre-left elsewhere
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
This summer in Britain
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 months
I don't typically like tweeting about this stuff, for various reasons, but: I am sad and angry about what's happening in the country now, both about the causes of it (and their failure to take responsibility) and the effect it's having on already vulnerable people.
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
3 months
You know how we know people like him are racist? What really works for the working-class is free, easily accessible public services; high quality housing; jobs that pay well. But these things are barely on his radar.
@jamesjohnson252
James Johnson
3 months
This comment by @GoodwinMJ seems to equate the attitudes of racist rioters with the attitudes of Britain’s working class. It suggests “millions of decent, hardworking, patriotic British people” share the views, if not the actions, of a racist mob. That their first reaction to
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
1 year
I have spent probably 6-7 hours now reading about (English) accents. This line summarises what I have found out. 'Speakers who were thought to be from Essex were consistently evaluated negatively, regardless of whether they were from Essex or not.'
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
2 years
Come and take my job @hilda_beastoxf ! I'm not on hiring panel and happy to answer any Qs 👇
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@DanJDevine
Dan Devine
4 months
I got to combine my spare and work time by speaking to @Peter_Henley @BBCPolitics about ⭐️football and politics⭐️ and what, if anything* the Euros means for the general election. Available from 25:30 here: * nothing @UoSMedia @sotonpolitics
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