My favourite paper I've written has now been accepted
@ejprjournal
(with
@viktor888
) and I want to share it.
❓We ask an old question: are political attitudes stable or volatile?
📊 We answer it with 6 panel studies in 5 countries (1965-2020).
Today, I've been promoted to Associate Professor
@sotonpolitics
!
I feel lucky (almost) every day to do what we do, and glad to work somewhere that supports junior people as well.
Does the empirical and conceptual distinction between trust, trustworthiness, and trust attitudes keep you awake at night?
We've a paper accepted at
@EJPRjournal
that tries to address this question with cross-national choice experiments.
Paper:
Are you interested in political trust? Of course! And redistribution preferences? Naturally! Then do I have the paper for you, accepted
@jepp_journal
W/ 4 UK experiments & panel data from Switzerland I test whether political trust affects red. prefs:
@SeasideChris
Lots of people are laughing but this is actually a mystery that needs solving. Did he fake? Is the woman mad? Is it old footage?
I prefer the idea he faked his death and then went to his local curry house.
Interested in climate policy and/or political trust? Especially in Germany?
Then I've a paper for you, accepted at
@JPublicPolicy
.
Why do people support particular climate policies?
The literature on (political) trust shows that trust increases support for costly policy.
As good a time as any to say: today was my last official day
@hilda_beastoxf
, and after a 2-day period of unemployment, I'll join
@sotonpolitics
as a Lecturer/Asst Prof on Monday. 🎉
Fancy a 3-year research postdoc? Fancy doing it on the south coast, working at
@sotonpolitics
?!
Apply for 3-year
@BritishAcademy_
postdoc, w/ expertise in democratic innovations, pol behavior, environment, global health, migration, & development:
Did political trust matter during the COVID pandemic?
I, with small army of colleagues, have a paper at
@jepp_journal
asking this question and answering it with a meta-analysis of 67 studies.
The answer is, broadly, yes. Paper:
New paper out at
@journal_pa
on how ministers learn. My first paper out using qualitative and - I shit you not - *interpretive* methods.
What does the paper do? 👇
New paper out with
@Jess_Smith1534
@DanJDevine
& Jack Corbett presents A Typology of Ministerial Learning Styles. First academic pub from our time working with and at
@instituteforgov
on their fab Ministers Reflect archive. Open access here:
Very happy that our workshop for the
@ECPR
joint sessions was accepted: on democracy, trust, and trustworthiness.
Details below and here
You can propose papers from tomorrow until 23rd November - a month today!
📢 Does trust in politics matter?⁉️
I have a (new) working paper online that tries to answer this question with a meta-analysis and systematic review of 58 papers (291 observations).
The answer? Yes, mostly. A short thread.
Link:
Later today I'm presenting at
@PoWiMZ
(in person!!!) on political trust & redistribution preferences.
It's the first time I've given the full paper an outing and I'm both excited and nervous about it.
Huge thanks to
@landwehr_c
for the invite. Ich freue mich darauf!
🧵
@DrKaiJaeger
@Ben_Guinaudeau
There's also considerable excellent scientific evidence that people's perceptions of the quality of scientific evidence is conditioned by various biases. It's not a 'woke agenda' to recognise it. I don't think the author means we should disregard that.
Interested in voting reform? Electronic voting? Any tangentially related topics?
We (
@turnbulldugarte
and I) have a paper out
@ElectoralStdies
where we conduct a systematic review and conjoint experiment on support for digitising voting.
👉
⚠️📢 A public service announcement for
#EPOP2023
@sotonpolitics
in Southampton.
To help you with all your beverage needs, I've put together an entirely biased 🍻 pub, bar, club, and☕️ cafe map.
Enjoy:
Not a small point either, though.
In a recent experiment, we (w/
@turnbulldugarte
) found that even subtly signaling class (not saying 'class' in any way) enormously increases perceptions of interest representation, responsiveness, and trust.
Not a big point but I've found the subtle echoes of class in both Starmer's speech yesterday (having the phone cut off) and Reeves' today (bank statements line by line) interesting.
#FirstView
- Does Media Coverage Drive Public Support for
#UKIP
or Does Public Support for UKIP Drive Media Coverage? - Justin Murphy & Daniel Devine -
Interested in joining us for your postdoc
@sotonpolitics
?
Leverhulme Trust have Early Career Fellowships available with a deadline in February:
Get in touch if you're interested. Join a great and growing group.
My favourite paper I've written has now been accepted
@ejprjournal
(with
@viktor888
) and I want to share it.
❓We ask an old question: are political attitudes stable or volatile?
📊 We answer it with 6 panel studies in 5 countries (1965-2020).
I'm looking for a short-term RA, to start ASAP, to help with scoping/literature review in the area of social class and/or class representation.
Details below, and any questions, just email me!
👇👇
I missed it yesterday - due to having COVID for the millionth time - but yesterday was 4 years since I submitted my PhD on the 20/02/2020.
One good thing about PhDs is you get two celebratory days: when you submit and when you pass.
We're hiring a 1-year teaching fellow in international relations.
A reasonable teaching load and good support to develop a research or teaching profile. 👇
I have a new (open access = free) paper
@PSRMJournal
with
@turnbulldugarte
where we use (I think) cool research designs to test the effect of economic interventions on trust and democratic satisfaction. Thread here:
Interested in quasi-experimental research from 🇵🇹 and 🇪🇺 looking at the effects of economic constraints?
👉
@DanJDevine
and I have new work out in
@PSRMJournal
using a multi-study test of the causal impact of economic constraints on political support
/🧵
Nothing in my job blows or infuriates my mind more than hours spent reformatting niche aspects of a paper for a journal, that has no bearing on its presentation or quality, before even being considered
I have a short article in
@ConversationUK
with
@ProfStoker
about policy fatalism, where we argue that (1) people are very skeptical about govts ability to deliver but (2) they demand govt do more.
This is a bind the next government will have to address.
Tomorrow (!) I'll be flying across the Atlantic for the first time to attend
@APSAtweets
#apsa2022
.
I'm presenting Sat 10:00-11:30am on a great panel on political support, w/ Atle Haugsgjerd,
@JLBergen
,
@frfeitosa
, Eric Belanger,
@AFilindra
, Beyza Buyuker, and Noah Kaplan:
I went down a hashtag rabbit hole, watching videos from all over England.
Almost all shared were untrue in some way. The vast majority were not from UK-based accounts, with obvious markers, like sharing videos from 'plymouth' when the accents were very obviously from NE England
I used to think the idea that Oxford is a bit outdated was a little exaggerated but that's because it was all forced online and remote. Now here I am, year AD2022, marking handwritten exams on paper at a writing bureau.
After 4 days at a conference, on my final train home, I've ended up trapped next to two academics talking about publication strategy. Please just let it end.
Interested in climate policy and/or political trust? Especially in Germany?
Then I've a paper for you, accepted at
@JPublicPolicy
.
Why do people support particular climate policies?
The literature on (political) trust shows that trust increases support for costly policy.
What this means:
1) The causes of trust likely lie in early-life socialisation rather than things like scandals.
2) The long-term trends in trust - like decline in the US and UK - are generational in nature and, therefore, reversing the trend is a long-term project.
We're advertising for an Anniversary Fellow -- two years only research with additional funding, leading to a permanent academic job at the end. Happy to answer any Qs:
@europsa
@ECPR
@PSA_PolPsy
@psaepop
Reminiscent of UKIP's success, here's the opening paragraph of a paper in which we find that media's coverage of UKIP is also partly responsible for the 'growing support' of the party.
🚨 NEW: The BBC has announced a new Question Time special featuring Reform UK on Friday 28 June at 8pm to reflect the “growing support” of the party
Greens have been offered the same time
I know there are worse things going on in the world, but yesterday I didn't get notifications and subsequently lost my ~130 day
@duolingo
streak after finishing the lesson 2 minutes past midnight.
It's been playing on my mind all day. Devastated.
I often read stuff and find it good and interesting but don't say anything... that is probably bad practice.
Anyway, this paper by
@EMMacfarlane_
is a dead useful analysis of class and party identity that'll make its way into reading lists:
📢🚨 Are you a researcher in the broad field of
@psaepop
?
We are aiming to provide a mentorship scheme for marginalised and under-represented scholars.
If this interests you as mentor, mentee, or both, or for info, you can fill out a survey:
I'm delighted to be hosting an intern from a typically under-represented background this summer to work on a project (with
@turnbulldugarte
and I) on Brexit, election results, and military bases in the UK.
More here:
@politics_oxford
@hilda_beastoxf
At
#epsa2024
(my *fifth* EPSA in a row!) I'm presenting some new work on class on this great panel.
We show how class background (as
@Keir_Starmer
has done all
#GE2024
) conditions feelings of symbolic representation: trust, feelings of representation, and values.
It's the second day of our joint sessions on democracy, trust and trustworthiness in Lüneburg. Given all the excellent research, it's high praise to say the dinner has been the highlight so far 👇
#ecprjs24
@ECPR
A surprisingly short journey to
#epop2024
(and, perhaps *even more* excitingly, a weekend in Morecambe).
If you're about, do say hi. I look like an AI-generated 32 year old university lecturer.
There's a job at
@NewCollegeOx
for a 3-year research fellowship in social sciences for those just finishing a PhD: . No teaching and a room in College included.
If you didn't find any excitement in the football, here's a pick-me-up, a paper on trends in political trust now conditionally accepted at
@BJPolS
.
An enormous effort that began in our PhDs over 6 years ago and led by
@viktor888
:
Delighted that the paper I'm proudest of has just been accepted for publication at
@BJPolS
🥳
In it, we investigate global trends in political trust, using data from 50 different survey projects!
Check out the pre-print here:
And some results below👇
We're hiring across all ranks (Postdoc to Prof). Deadline April.
- Good teaching load
- Collaborative teaching
- Strong internal research support
- Friendly colleagues across the faculty
I don't need to tell anyone that follows me how random/subjective the review process can be, but here're snippets from two reviewers on the same paper:
1. This paper [could be] amazing & definitely needs to be published.
2. I don't see the value in publishing such a thing.
🤷♂️
The wave of racism and queerphobia has been staggering. It is on anyone who can, to show kindness and support day-to-day to people who need it - obviously not only, but especially, now.
I recently deleted Facebook,
@duolingo
destroyed itself, and now
@Twitter
is doing the same. I also got a new phone. My virtual world is transformed.
I didn't think turning 30 would be this difficult
I've just posted a working paper on the effect of the Brexit referendum on hate crimes. I show using daily and monthly data that it caused a significant increase in reporting of hate crimes.
All feedback (esp. methodological!) welcome:
Applications for *fully-funded* PhDs (inc. Masters if reqd) are open at
@sotonpolitics
.
Behaviour, attitudes, specifically on trust, legitimacy, or class especially welcome.
Join a growing Department with the resources and time to support you 👇
It's the end of summer - after
#apsa2022
I'm going to take a holiday and then it's a new term at
@hilda_beastoxf
.
I wanted to share some of the main working papers I've been working on, in various stages of (in)completion. V happy for comments!
Here's quite a long thread 👇
For the last few terms, I've set an assignment in which students pick an article/chapter/book to critique - like peer review.
It's taught me that: 1) all of us are `reviewer 2' and it starts young; 2) every article is flawed, often critically, in some way.
He is a racist who's used the guise of one of the most trusted and prestigious (elite?) occupations to appear neutral and used class queues to appear moral.
Altogether, our conclusions are that trust (at least in established democracies) is characterised by long-term stability but short-term volatility in response to the political environment.
Now I'm over the hump of teaching this semester - teaching can get a bad rap in academia but it's a total win to get to teach stuff that you find interesting (& hopefully convince others!)
I've enjoyed it this semester, including guest lectures at
@UniofExeter
and
@EdinburghUni
Labour squeeze in after taking 3 seats and LD 1. The combination will worry Cons: Labour took the poorer areas of the city and just-out-of-centre suburbs whilst Lib Dems took the wealthy ward just by the University.
NEW: don’t let the ULEZ chatter mislead you.
The British public is much more supportive and united on Net Zero policies than the public in peer countries, with Conservative voters frequently as green as the centre-left elsewhere
I don't typically like tweeting about this stuff, for various reasons, but: I am sad and angry about what's happening in the country now, both about the causes of it (and their failure to take responsibility) and the effect it's having on already vulnerable people.
You know how we know people like him are racist?
What really works for the working-class is free, easily accessible public services; high quality housing; jobs that pay well.
But these things are barely on his radar.
This comment by
@GoodwinMJ
seems to equate the attitudes of racist rioters with the attitudes of Britain’s working class.
It suggests “millions of decent, hardworking, patriotic British people” share the views, if not the actions, of a racist mob.
That their first reaction to
I have spent probably 6-7 hours now reading about (English) accents.
This line summarises what I have found out.
'Speakers who were thought to be from Essex were consistently evaluated negatively, regardless of whether they were from Essex or not.'
I got to combine my spare and work time by speaking to
@Peter_Henley
@BBCPolitics
about ⭐️football and politics⭐️ and what, if anything* the Euros means for the general election. Available from 25:30 here:
* nothing
@UoSMedia
@sotonpolitics