Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽ @CaptainRoyen Twitter profile

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Flight Simulator had a profound impact on my development as a pilot, especially during my early years. I still play it to this day. The graphics(Hello FS2020) have reached a jaw dropping level. Shockingly photo realistic.

Air Line Pilots Association

@ALPAPilots

1 year

“This sure beat the heck out of Microsoft Flight Simulator!” Read how 12-year-old @Delta_Pilots Jason Ward realized playing a flight sim was just the first step in achieving his dream of becoming an airline pilot. #MotivationMonday #Aviation #Pilot

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Travis Hunter's performance has to be one of the all time greatest in College Football history

Joe Pompliano

@JoePompliano

1 year

Colorado came in as a 20 point underdog but beat TCU 45-42. Shedeur Sanders set a school record with 510 passing yards and 4 TDS. Travis Hunter played 125+ snaps in 100-degree heat, finishing with an INT (as a DB) and 11 catches for 119 yards (as a WR). The Deion Effect 🤯

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

11 months

$BTU appears to be aggressive with buybacks. $103.6m AFCF after 3Q. At least $27mil spent in Oct and now possibly $114.55m spent yesterday for total of $141.55m since 3Q, or $37.95m over AFCF. May also be a case of prespending some of 4Q AFCF. #CoalTwitter

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

$BTU has bought back 9.3% of its shares YTD. $103m available to buy back another 3% and should return to larger buybacks after 4Q landing somewhere between 15-20% Shareholder return for 2023. Pretty fantastic considering depressed coal prices.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

$BTU “At September 30, 2023, $733.6 million remained available under its share repurchase program. From October 1, 2023 through October 27, 2023, the Company repurchased an additional 1.1 million shares for $27.3 million.” $24.82 avg buyback in Oct.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

Big News for $BTU. This is the type of catalyst that helped propel. $AMR to new heights. Peabody has also dialed up the Buyback Machine

TheTradingPhotographer

@Jenb_8675309

9 months

$BTU +5.4% to join S&P SmallCap 600

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

Looks like the rumors are true. He blocks anyone who has an opposing view to any of his thesis. Sad as I respected a lot of analysis on oil. $RIG #Charlatan

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

7 months

As $BTU continues to aggressively buyback shares, below $27 will become the new below $24, then below $30. In 2026 when the stock is well above $50, many will look back on these short term price predictions as an inefficient use of time.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

After 2Q earnings $BTU had $142m available for BBs. Management only used $35.7m to buyback 1.4m shares. That’s an avg of $25.5/sh. Did BBs cause the recent $26 spike? Quite possible that the retail float is running low and any further BB waves initiated will drive the price up

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

3 years

I'm hearing Rumors of a 20% sale in $FB tomorrow which would net the following: $663B EV $39:1B FCF Pre tax income: $46.73 D&A: $8.0B EBITDA: $54.7B EBIT: $46.7B EV/EBITDA: 12x EV/EBIT: 14x EV/FCF: 17x FCF GROWTH YOY: 65%

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

$BTU at $27...its been a while but well worth the journey for the patient. Still a LONG way to go with the Buyback Machine just getting started

The Coal Trader

@dyer440

9 months

Here's my Peabody forecast $BTU... get on the #coal train or be left behind (again):

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

$BTU earnings on Valentine's Day. Is that a coincidence? I think not #CoalTwitter

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

I love how $BTU Management is prioritizing share buybacks: $1B share repurchase plan Market Cap $3.64B EV $2.69B 14% of float short(what were the shorts thinking?) 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

I'm 99% sure any individual investor that's uses @NICKRADICAL4 , @8750Capital , @ShaiDardashti , @contrarian8888 , @Ultradeep3 and @mintzmyer as their "analyst team" and forms a concentrated portfolio of 10-15 stocks off their picks will become very wealthy over time. #FinTwit

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

3 years

Buy when there is blood in the streets and my goodness there are some deals out there. I don't see how a Tech/SAAS basket of $BABA $FB $THRY $DFIN $ZDGE doesn't Rip and create tremendous wealth over the next 10 years

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

(1/2) $BTU 2Q Quick notes: Taking out the $109m working cap again 2023 allocation for shareholder returns on pace to be at least $686m(21% of MC). Company is printing money and accelerating buybacks even in a depressed coal price environment

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

$BTU: Reports of my Death were greatly exaggerated 😂

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

People think I'm joking, but I kid you not, took me 30 mins to decide to invest in stocks like $BTU and $RIG. This isn't rocket science. Follow the cashflow #EFT #CoalTwitter #UltraDeep

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

11 months

After listening to the $STNG call, if you can’t get excited about Energy I don’t know what to tell ya. Unless you believe Management teams across the Energy space are collectively lying thru their teeth, Energy is headed to the Moon 🚀 #WinterIsComing

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

10 months

The names Blue Creek and Centurion will make folks alot of money in the next few years. $HCC $BTU #CoalTwitter

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Offshore Newbuild vs Reactivation Newbuild Economics Cost: $250M-$1B Timeframe: 3-5 years $RIG 7th Reactivation Economics Cost: $75-$125M Timeframe: 12-18 months 13 Coldstacked 6th and 7th Gen Drillships industry wide... 8 belong to $RIG

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

If you thought $AMR buybacks had juice, wait til you see the torque on $BTU and $HCC from growth capex with very high ROIC + aggressive buybacks #CoalTwitter

Kontrarian Korner

@BR_Kelleran

9 months

@TetonCapital1 @taobanker @doctorslernon @contrarian8888 Buybacks, buybacks, buybacks. $BTU has been in neutral for what feels like forever, but I'm not selling any of my shares until we get closer to fair value. I'm a little bit tempted to cut a couple losers and buy more 2026 calls, but it's just a matter of time.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

$RIG Charlatans... Be careful out there Large Position... No recommendation #Coldstacked #Reactivation #UltraDeep

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Deepwater Atlas's current $455k dayrate contract expires Aug '24. The dayrate on that renewal will be a significant signal for the Offshore Cycle. $RIG

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

3 years

@ValueStockGeek Speculative? Have you seen $BABA's Cash flow? Have you seen the growth of its Cloud Business? This isn't some clinical stage Biotech company.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

For all the Operations and "Empire Building" critique $BTU Management gets, they certainly knocked it out of the park in 3Q with solid operations and an accretive acquisition at low price

Aggressive Value

@aggresivevalue

1 year

$BTU had best operational performance in long time in q3. Production hit all targets and costs beat by a mile. If you are focusing on headline numbers you are missing the big picture.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

4 years

@ValueStockGeek I like the Michael Burry approach, low EV/EBITDA(or EBIT), positive free cash flow, and barebones technical analysis using the 20 day SMA to avoid falling knife

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Any sign of turnaround in containerships and $ZIM is a 5 bagger minimum. Solid Balance Sheet yet trades at .2 Book. My goodness.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

Took me 30 mins to analyze $BTU and find a wide margin of safety. Likewise with $RIG. Margin of safety on both wide enough to go Levered Long thru LEAPS

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

$HCC/ $BTU are the next $AMR #CoalTwitter

Jeff Davies, the Energy OG

@EnergyCredit1

9 months

New coal call 🚨 $HCC is crazy cheap, their Blue Creek spending is masking how f'ing cheap it is 52.1 million fd shares $687mm cash $153mm debt Sureties/environ no big deal At $67 call it $3b EV 1/

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

11 months

Some may be curious why Elliott is selling $BTU nearly everyday. The reason is because Elliott was rapidly approaching 20% ownership of $BTU which would change the way Elliott accounts for the share. Prior to selling Elliott ownership grew to ~16% due to buybacks #Coaltwitter

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

$RIG... Not a good look... No position... No Recommendation.... Oh wait.... 😂

LazCap

@Laz_Cap

1 year

$RIG announcing fixture for last of Cat-D HE semi at ~$455k day-rate. Not sure if rate is clean but would be quite the data point.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

$BTU "Bagholders"... patience is a virtue isn't it? Financial Markets lie, but Supply/Demand economics and Free Cashflow never do. This is just the beginning #CoalTwitter

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Just got off the short and sweet $BTU call. Loved Management’s response that they did quite a bit more than 65% in Q1 but will not detail any further other an at least 65% of yearly AFCF will be returned. Keep those buybacks coming!

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

$VNO switching from dividends to buybacks at current share price is great capital allocation

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

I can understand using "implied steel value" in the early days of the offshore bear market, but why some are still using it today is beyond me. Dayrates are inflecting higher, operational cashflows strengthing, but analysts are using a Cigar Butt style metric? $RIG $VAL $TDW

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

8 months

Epic $RIG negativity Rebuttal

Tommy Deepwater

@TommyDeepwater

8 months

Have seen some negative commentary on $RIG. Sharing some opinions... Dayrates were ~$200k from 2016-2021 and they survived, but now $RIG is allegedly insolvent at $450k after surviving all of those years at half the dayrate? Should be FCF positive or breakeven in ’24 with $400mm

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

$BTU trades at less than 2x EV/EBITDA. Rediculously wide Margin of Safety with Capital Returns catalyst right around the corner #CoalTwitter

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

8 months

$TDW $RIG $VAL #Offshore

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

10 months

Slight de-risking of the portfolio tomorrow. Up BIG on $AMR Jan 2025 calls but see better risk/reward elsewhere. Will sell and redeploy the proceeds evenly between $HCC shares and $BTU JAN 2026 LEAPS. $HCC includes Blue Creek for free and $BTU trades below Tang BV. #Coaltwitter

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Wallstreet continues to do unsuspecting Retail Investors dirty

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

$BTU Earning Call Thur Oct 26th. No pre release of results which is usually a good sign

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

8 months

Lots of $VAL vs $RIG debate going on. The best answer IMO is to spare yourself the brain damage and buy all. No need to argue which Infinity Stone is the best...collect them all then snap your fingers. Here's Thanos adding $VAL.WS to $RIG, $TDW, and $NE stones #offshore

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

11 months

$ZIM is very cheap at .4 P/B but the sector looks like it’s entering a prolonged Winter. If Management says they will need more than $3B in liquidity sounds like the low P/B may lead to a value trap. I’ll keep an eye on this one until the sector supply/demand improves

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

10 months

$517k dayrate on a multi-year contract for two Rigs if my math is correct #offshore

Marhelm

@MarhelmData

10 months

$SDRL announces contracts for 4Q2024 with $PBR in Brazil, adds $1.1Bn to back-log Keep your eyes peeled as off-shore rig companies start to book multi-year backlog at $500k+/ day👀 There is no cavalry in the shipyard coming to save the day (for oil majors) $RIG $VAL

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

8 months

$BTU, great quarter,and still a great outlook over the next several years. Management is executing the plan. Will continue to add.

MagicMuffinman

@MuffinmanMagic

8 months

$BTU

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

Aggressive Value

@aggresivevalue

9 months

$BTU close over 26 today lifts 2 million shares from Elliot. They sold calls expiring today with strikes at 24.50 and 26. Looks like a photo finish on million #2 .

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

@ICBarrett @NICKRADICAL4 @Josh_Young_1 @Ultradeep3 I have zero issues with the $RIG critique. I think it's very important for the bull and bear case to be voiced with any investment. The issue here is the unprovoked name calling, dropping a single chart as your thesis, then blocking folks who are debating respectfully.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

It's going to be absolutely wonderful to watch offshore play out of the next few years $RIG #EFT

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

10 months

#CoalTwitter

Kontrarian Korner

@BR_Kelleran

10 months

Here's the update on Peabody $BTU. I talk about Wards Well, continued buybacks, and why I think the stock could catch up to the rest of the sector.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

$SND just announced 2Q earnings. Keep in mind EV is $118m, trades at 30% of book, and nobody is paying attention. My favorite kind of stock

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

Spot on. If Buffet had the smaller pool of capital most folks on Fintwit have, he would not be buying $OXY. He would be buying cheaper small caps/microcaps. $EGY, $BTU, $SD, $SND, $PUMP, $CRK all trade at extremely cheap valuations.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

@hkuppy $RIG is insolvent if offshore supply isn't tight and rates stay below $500k/d long term. . What are the chances of that though? I'd say the same chances of Thanos wiping half the planet I'd admit a good argument is why bother with $RIG risk when you can buy $VAL.WS for torque

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

10 months

Quick shout out of Appreciation to the OG Value Investor Nick Radical for the $VNO call. When an investor buys quality assets FAR below book value, it's hard to go wrong. Stock up significantly off the lows, and still a long way to go IMO

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

$BTU Shareholder Returns

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

I didn't think it was possible, but the infamous "Charlatans" statement might age worse "Fortune Favors the Brave" $RIG #EFT

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

11 months

Energy is the new Tech. It’s a simple Supply and Demand play. Sectors like Coal will PRINT Cash over the next 10 years. $BTU #Coaltwitter

Coal Newswire

@CoalNewswire

11 months

India’s Union Power Minister Singh stated the country needs to add 80 GW of thermal #coal -based power-gen capacity to meet expected peak power demand of 335 GW by 2030, up from the current 241 GW.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Added a nice chunk of followers today. Didn't expect my post to gain so much attention and I appreciate all the love. As you can probably tell, my other passion besides flying is value investing but will add more aviation/flight sim-related content

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

A big reason why $BTU is my largest position is because of its high exposure to the economic upside in India. Big potential for Seaborne Thermal and Met

The Coal Trader

@dyer440

1 year

Latest is out in the Indian Infrastructure Boom and what it means for met markets... The term "Demand Shock" might be used in this write-up

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Hey fellow Charlatans.... we are going to need a bigger space as alot more people are joining the offshore party $RIG

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

$BTU Reuters: Analysis: India power binges on coal, outpaces Asia.

India power binges on coal, outpaces Asia

India's coal-fired power output has increased much faster than any other country in the Asia Pacific since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, underscoring the challenges the world's third-largest greenh...

www.reuters.com

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

@orrdavid @Ultradeep3 Short $RIG while day rates are exploding, and the supply of oil remains very tight right as China reopens. Seems like a brilliant way to get wiped out.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

$484k dayrate for a Semi. You love to see it. Wait til high spec ultra Deepwater Drillships contracts renew in the near future $RIG #Charlatans

Ultradeep

@Ultradeep3

1 year

$RIG Equinox follow-on contract

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

10 months

Excellent play here. If you aim to spread your bet without losing too much torque while reducing capital outlay, seems like $VAL.WS, $RIG Jan 2026 LEAPS and $TDW equity is a powerful combo. Full disclosure $VAL.WS is my largest offshore position. $RIG LEAPS a close 2nd.

GT

@FoamOnTheRunway

10 months

@cactus_cap I’m all in on $RIG, it’s nearly a third of my PA. I’m assuming $4 downside risk, $15-20 base case and $40 upside risk case. $VAL has its supporters, but I like management, asset quality and financial leverage here.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Me reading $RIG CEO Jeremy Thigpen's remarks on the 2Q earnings call I hope $VAL Management is taking notes #Supercycle

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

$BTU Big Picture: $2.8B EV Conservatively $1.5B EBITDA Conservatively $1B FCF At least 20% Shareholder Yield in ‘23 North Goonyella Growth Optionality Deep Value

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

$RIG > $VAL $VAL.WS = $RIG $RIG LEAPS = Torque Degen

Baron of Ivy Grottage

@ICBarrett

9 months

Gringo gets it $RIG > $VAL

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

The Legend is BACK

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

#CoalTwitter made it seem like $BTU was the only one prone to operational issues/missteps. Welcome to the party $AMR. . Although the Market overreacted as usual, I still think $HCC is the better Met play due to higher quality Met production + Blue Creek growth. I do own all three

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

Add $VNO to the list of investments that takes 30 mins of research before buying. Thesis is simple, market thinks work from home is here to stay and decided severely discount an owner of extremely prime NYC Real Estate 50% less than NAV. Buying, holding, and collecting divi's

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

11 months

I thought all the forecasts said a mild winter? $BTU

Colin McCarthy

@US_Stormwatch

11 months

Jets are literally frozen on the runway in Germany, as Munich has had its largest December snowstorm on record with up to 44 cm (17 in) of snow on the ground. Incredible scenes. 📸schoko131

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

👏🏿 👏🏿 👏🏿 The constant knocking of $BTU Management has always been strange to me.

Matt Warder

@mfwarder

9 months

Folks, $BTU was founded in ***1883***. It has been managed by managers since before any of us were born. “Skin in the game” is irrelevant. Find another narrative. #CoalTwitter

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

My goodness. What's the issue here if $BTU gets a reasonable price?!?

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

8 months

Savage. $STNG

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

Spent Monday evaluating $RIG and the offshore drilling industry. I see significant torque available with $RIG. Like $BTU it didn't take long to see the significant margin of safety. Welcomed $RIG to the portfolio yesterday and will continue to add. Welcome back to Twitter Nick!

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

@Wallstreet_Baby Agreed. It’s a beautiful set up for long term shareholders. Keep buying back shares while the market is asleep until nothing left but long term shareholders with conviction, then replace the buyback with increased dividends. Bet market will wake up with 20%+ dividend yield😂

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

11 months

@hkuppy @CorneliaLake I think it’s too early to tell who’s the best run. I’d say $VAL is being more conservative but time will tell if that equals best run. $RIG mgmt stated that customers were violently opposed to 500k dayrates and 2 wks later we have $513k on a Semi. UDW dayrate spike still to come

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

8 months

Me heading to the $RIG sale after the incredibly informative Earnings Call

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

PREAACCCCHHHHH. Hardly any of the $RIG talk is about the business. All about price action. Keep calm and buy more.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

$BTU management confirms talks with Surety Bondholders are ongoing and progressing well. Looking to remove restrictions in the next few months, opening up shareholder returns. Huge news

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

9 months

I didn’t wonder that. A quick glance at the financials show a balance sheet in outstanding position with significant margin of safety. “Buy assets, sell Earnings” came to mind. Another great idea from Nick that took less than 30 mins of research. I’m in. $OGI

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

WOOOO WEEEEE I know I'm kinda late but $HCC is very compelling. $1.3B EV $1B EBITDA HIGH Quality MET High Margins Growth Capex with proj 30% IRR #CoalTwitter

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

VERY nice synopsis. $BTU remains my largest position. With the emphasis on buybacks I remain mostly levered thru Jan 2025 Calls. Also holding positions in $HCC and $AMR

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

10 months

The back and forth over the Red Sea status, particularly $ZIM in general, has been very entertaining to watch. I looked at $ZIM again but decided Tankers have better risk/reward since the supply situation is tight regardless of the Red Sea situation. $STNG $TNP

Charles

@charlesbonnerjr

10 months

Folks were fast to say everything OK, couldn't be me

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

11 months

$RIG Charlatans Worldwide... Prepare for launch 🚀

GT

@FoamOnTheRunway

11 months

Transocean. I'm calling it. It's go time. $RIG

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Based on $BTU comments on M&A, Met Coal is the horse to bet on. What's your favorite Met play? IMO it's a toss up between $AMR(Monster Production/ Buybacks, Good Margins) and $HCC(Monster Quality Coal/Margins/Growth, Good Profuction. Both well under 2x EV/EBITDA. #CoalTwitter

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

@GoForGrubes2 I think management took advantage of the low price and working capital cashflow to accelerate buybacks. FCF will normalize in 3Q and 4 Q so 2H AFCF wont be as high as 1H. Also I believe $BTU has started off red because of day traders and Algos trading off earnings "miss"

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

3 years

@cloneinvestor Don't worry the $Spy won't come close to 10% over the next 10 years. 5% if it's lucky

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

10 months

Oil Bros should be used to this now. Every few months some new irrational thesis comes into play. Little bit of production boost in the US and the reaction is as if Shale 2.0 was discovered 😂

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

3 years

@NICKRADICAL4 @acosgrove003 $BTU and $ARCH have similar EVs but $BTU has far more earnings potential from a FCF and OCF perspective. Based off history $BTU has the potential to generate over $1B cash. $ARCH not even close

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

Results should be announced soon. 500k+ dayrate trend should be solidified here. $RIG

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

3 years

Anybody else miss the weekly @GrahamianV new issue alerts? Always excited to read those. Can't wait for it to return in the Fall!

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

8 months

Yup, someone forgot to tell Mr. Mohn that $RIG is insolvent.

GT

@FoamOnTheRunway

8 months

White space, they said. Insolvent. $RIG

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

(2/2) Trends suggest that excess Natgas stockpiles are quickly being burned thru with a normalization of Natgas prices imminent, therefore providing support for Seaborne Thermal market, where demand continues to be strong. The $BTU thesis is not only still intact, its stronger.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

@Oz_Macro @NICKRADICAL4 I don't get it. You call folks Charlatans, show a chart with no data on assumptions used for said chart, tell folks to DYODD, folks present their DD, then you block them 🤦🏿‍♀️

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

$BTU nice pre-print. The stock trades at an EV of 5.5x of its 2Q EBITDA alone. Now that's what you call cheap. #SomethingofValue

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

2 years

Just dumped $GTXAP, $PBR, and $AMR to add more $RIG JAN 24 2024 $5 calls. Going for the Jugular

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

3 years

Who was selling $BTU at - 10% this morning? 😂 😂 😂 😂

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

1 year

$RIG 52 week high... You love to see it. Still need to get to $14/15 just to reach book value.

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Marcus Neyor✈️👨🏿‍✈️🇱🇷💹🛢️🌊⚽

@CaptainRoyen

10 months

Great time to be long $HCC, which trades at a sub 4x multiple and you get an annual 4.8Mst of Premium High Vol A production in 2026 for free #Coaltwitter

Ola Ekern Rugsveen

@OlaRugsveen

10 months

$AMR $HCC $SMR $WHC Being long Warrior I shall not complain, but why, oh why, Anglo? Looks like a gift for everyone else. #CoalTwitter

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