Andy Lawton @ABLPoli Twitter profile

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@PsychRabble

Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

The 2024 General Election has 4,519 candidates from 98 parties. The candidates are approximately 69% male. Every seat has between 5 (89 seats) and 13 (Richmond and Northallerton) candidates. An average of 7.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

7 months

SNP: We want a ceasefire. Speaker: Let's give a wider array of options to try and get an agreement SNP: We must remove the Speaker.

Kate Ferguson

@kateferguson4

7 months

🚨🚨🚨 Hearing the SNP are seeking urgent discussions with Tories about getting rid of Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle after todays Gaza amendment row

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 years

So today's Opinium poll is"explosive stuff" Total guess: CON: 40% (-7) LAB: 40% (+5) LDEM: 8% (+2) SNP: 5% (-) Other thoughts? (I don't expect an actual Lab lead yet, but with it being 'explosive' could it be a tie?)

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

5 years

@Peston @theresa_may Are you saying while there may be a date set for her to leave, It may become necessary for her to have to get an extension?

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

Additional bit on names: There are 2 Sebastians There are 6 Paynes There are 0 Seb Paynes (Sorry)

Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

There are 79 Davids 68 Johns 67 Pauls 62 Marks 62 James 61 Chrises 54 Andrews 51 Richards 43 Michaels 39 Sarahs There are all 11 Niko Omilanas

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

Conservatives wiped out in Sheffield.

Roland Sebestyén

@rolandsebest

4 months

Stocksbridge & Upper Don Susan Davidson Liberal Democrats 397 Matthew Dixon The Conservative Party 1341 Mark Whittaker Labour Party 2399 David Willington Green Party 607 Claire Wraith Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition 95 LAB GAIN

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

@Donschibler @UKinUSA @jaketapper The joys of reading this and having absolutely no idea if "we" is Britain or America.... It could easily be both.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

There are 79 Davids 68 Johns 67 Pauls 62 Marks 62 James 61 Chrises 54 Andrews 51 Richards 43 Michaels 39 Sarahs There are all 11 Niko Omilanas

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

How dare a member of the house of lords get involved in politics. And to do so on an issue polling suggests the majority of the public supports his view. But no these Archbishops shouldn't virtue-signal. Despite that literally being their job.

Tom Hunt

@tomhunt1988

2 years

The leaders of the Church of England should be wary about clumsily intervening into complex political issues at the best of times. To do so on Easter Sunday feels very wrong. Archbishop of York views particularly wrong headed. Claims he’s in tune with majority of the public 🙄

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

Using the PA Expected Declaration times (Thanks @MattSingh_ ) and the average of the MRPs so far here's the expected seat count throughout election night. Labour look set to hit 325 seats at around 4am.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

I hadn't seen this analysis yet. ALL of England and Wales voted last Thursday. They voted for either PCCs or mayors with PCC powers, the result of the 12millions votes cast in those ballots: Lab: 40.9% Con: 31.8% Lib Dem: 13.1% Ind/Other: 7.0% Green: 4.8% Ref: 1.6% Plaid: 0.8%

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

1 year

@ElectionMapsUK Not a bad improvement from negative 48 seats.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

The Green Party of England and Wales have now have candidates in all 575 seats in E&W on @democlub Due to the convention of not contesting the speakers seat, which the Greens don't follow, they are likely the only party who will contest every seat in E&W.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

@LukeTryl The choices are clear. Do you want change? or do you want wet? Being Britain... could go either way.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

@TheCentreLefty You will be able to get a "Voter Card" from your local council. Expected to be available from January 2023. I believe a snap general election now would not require voter ID as the government would be in breach of their law otherwise.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

@FiniteMonkey @AdamBienkov Labour forced the vote. But up tellers for both sides. It's done solely to show the conservatives refuse to engage.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

@p_surridge With regard to women having won it, Starmer did call for a bank holiday at the time though.

Starmer calls for a bank holiday if England win Women’s Euro 2022 final

Government says extra day off if Lionesses achieve football glory against Germany this Sunday would come with costs

www.theguardian.com

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

If one of your biggest political argument has been about your opponent being too old, it's generally not good news to become the oldest candidate.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

7 months

@ElectionMapsUK Ahhh. So *that's* why the Conservative strategy is as it is. They thought the swing capped at 20% and was going to just flip to a Conservative majority when the needle went beyond the chart.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

If you want some reason Verian's polling may well underestimate Labour? Leave vote. Here's the weighting adjustment, still going back to 52% leave even with current population... To @Beyond_Topline 's point this is likely weighting up current voters to cover people who are dead

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

@Samfr "She can't be prejudiced because she married someone called Marmaduke" may be the best (worst) defence of someone I've ever heard.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

@stevieinselby @BritainElects Genuine. It's founded by Sandi Toksvig, Catherine Mayer. Members of the party have been mixed on their responses to trans identity, but mostly pro, opposition to trans is not part of their core policy or anything like that.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

Next up: Labour 631 Candidates Approx: 52% male 14 Alexs 13 Sarahs 13 Chrises

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

11 months

I do not think the British media reflects how likely a conservative defeat is. This is before people really decide how to vote tactically too. Conservatives really could end up on <100 seats, I don't know what odds I'd give but it is realistic.

Michael Savage

@michaelsavage

11 months

🚨Brace for a new constituency-by-constituency by @Survation for @38degrees . A 11k+ poll, then modelled using MRP. Polling done 11-25 Sept: Average seat projection: LAB: 420 CON: 149 LD: 23 Labour majority: 190 Obviously a long way to go, but some details to follow... 🧵

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

5 months

Wow this really would be extreme vote suppression. Anyone can vote, but the polling booth is on one plane to Poland. The photo ID makes sense though, needed for the international travel.

Pippa Crerar

@PippaCrerar

5 months

Rishi Sunak refuses to rule out July election on plane to Poland. When asked explicitly to do so, PM says: “All I’m going to say is the same thing I say every time, as I said in the first week of January, my working assumption is an election in the second half of the year”.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

@PippaCrerar Labour's motion back in November last year did specifically mention the ICC's jurisdiction, this was before South Africa even brought the case. So it's certainly not a new position from Labour.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

This is absolutely false. There has been absolutely no talk of moving to an insurance based system. She should apologise and correct the public on Labour's policy.

Diane Abbott

@HackneyAbbott

2 years

Inch by inch Wes is trying to push for a privatised/insurance based NHS all in the name of “reform”

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

It'll narrow in the campaign.

Redfield & Wilton Strategies

@RedfieldWilton

3 months

Labour leads by 26%. Tied-lowest ever Conservative %. Joint-highest ever Reform UK %. 🇬🇧 Westminster VI (7/6-10/6): Labour 45% (+3) Conservative 19% (–) Reform UK 17% (–) Lib Dem 10% (-2) Green 5% (-1) SNP 3% (–) Other 1% (-1) Changes +/- 5/6-6/6

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 years

"The problem with the rules is my refusal to follow them"???

Quentin Letts

@thequentinletts

4 years

Told off three times in first half @LondonPalladium for not wearing mask correctly. As Andrew Lloyd Webber said at the start, theatre and Hancock's ghaatly social distance rules don't work.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

11 months

Given Labour have apparently lost 1.5 million Muslim voters, you'd think it'd be more noticeable in actual scientific polling?

Techne UK

@techneUK

11 months

NEW POLL: Labour lead by 21 points: Lab 46% (+ 1) Con 25% (-1) Lib Dem 11% (nc) Reform 7% (+1) Green 5% (-1) SNP 3% (nc) Others 3% 👥 1,630 questioned. +/- 25-26 Oct Data #Labour #Conservatives #LiberalDemocrats #ReformUK #GreenParty #SNP

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

Harris: Will likely start very similar in the polling to Biden, but she has a higher ceiling *and* lower floor than Biden did. Though immediate polling is probably completely meaningless too, people need time to think about Harris/alternatives.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

Ah damnit, I forgot the BoE had a huge slew of fiscal measures that'd be perfect for this situation, but they can only be activated by repeated office visits....

BBC News (UK)

@BBCNews

2 years

Wednesday's Mail: "So that’s why the Bank of England is helpless!" #BBCPapers #TomorrowsPapersToday

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

5 months

This is the Guardian by @elenicourea seems rather wrong. There was no run off in 2020. 29% backed Long-Bailey which I'm not sure really counts as nearly half. Also Starmer won 56% not 54%... Am I going mad?

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

Standing in the most seats we start with The Conservative Party standing in 635 seats This is the same as 2019, standing 1 more candidate in Northern Ireland but missing Rotherham. Approx 67% male 16 Jameses 13 Davids 13 Andrews

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 years

@OwenJones84 Rishi Sunak is one of the Lizard people. The folder is an extension of his body. The Lizard has Chameleon DNA. He chose to try and camouflage the folder by changing colour. The *only* explanation.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

@Craig_Verity0 @YouGov @highpeaklabour @theSNP Unless the SNP are planning to stand outside of Scotland I'm not sure they'll be providing the PM. But SNP voters can still have a preference of the PM between the 2 likely PMs following a GE.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

Lots of people.

Lord Ashcroft

@LordAshcroft

3 months

Does anybody not know whose dad was a toolmaker..

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

No. We should improve journalists understanding of polling, uncertainty and their basic statistical numeracy though.

Matt Chorley

@MattChorley

3 months

Should we ban polls during an election campaign?

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

1 year

April Westminster Polling update. Labours lead is down just over a point from March. This is mostly a slight Conservative uptick with Labour unchanged. Despite the chaotic nature of some individual polls, the overall picture is stability with uncertainty

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

What?!?

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

Richmond and Northallerton Conservative 39% (-24) Labour 28% (+12) Reform 18% (new) Not a huge fan of the write up. It's not he'll hang on despite Savanta's MRP. Best look of the constituency suggests Sunak is favourite, but it's not a certainty, Constituency polling is hard.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

Lib Dems 630 Candidates Missing just Manchester Rusholme in Great Britain Approx 71% male 28 Davids 17 Johns 14 Chrises

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

5 years

So Count Binface is the old Lord Buckethead. A new Lord Buckethead is now a Monster Raving Loony Party Candidate. Elmo is standing as is an Interplanetary Time Lord. Also Boris Johnson as the token joke candidate. Ahh politics in 2019...

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

There are not less than 24 hours for nominations to go in for the General Election. @democlub currently has 3,714 candidates who have been announced and added. Labour 631 - 97% (All bar NI and Speakers seat) Green 608 - 94% Lib Dem 561 - 86% Conservative 560 - 86%

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

@EmmaKennedy It is. Trackable here:

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

1 year

My god how the hell was 2017 an enormous victory?!? 2.2 points, 750m votes, 55 seats behind the conservatives. Later tried to change it to the largest swing to Labour? The swing in 2017 was 2%. in 1997 it was 10%. How are we still having to clarify results from 2 GEs ago?

Times Radio

@TimesRadio

1 year

Noam Chomsky claims Jeremy Corbyn won an “enormous victory” in the 2017 election. @MattChorley challenges him on the facts of Corbyn’s leadership Tune to from 10am 📻

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

The combined Green Parties of England & Wales, Northern Ireland, and Scotland. 629 Candidates. Approx 55% male 10 Davids 9 Chrises 2 Nick Coxs

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

5 years

@carolinep0 @Peston @theresa_may I accept no responsibility for any injuries that may be sustained from reading my tweets!

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

@ZoeParamour Wow, I mean I know they said turnout was low.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

9 months

@Samfr Be interesting what she thinks was libellous. Maybe she has evidence that her earlier work was also dangerous and it was damaging to say that didn't used to be true.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

1 year

Last 10 Polls. Labour: 44-50% Conservatives: 20-35% Lib Dem: 6-11% SNP: 3-4% Green: 2-13% Reform: 3-9% Labour, being the closest to 50% should have the largest variation....

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

With Guardian reporting YouGov having Labour win North Yorkshire I think that means polling has Labour win *every* mayoralty, or Labour expected to win easily where there has been no polling. West Midlands the only one with *a* poll having a Conservative win, but 2 with a Labour

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

@wesstreeting @edballs Under the next Labour Government Ed Balls Day should be made into a public holiday to help restore our true British traditions.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

The Government discussing a case like this based on "technicalities" rather than it's merits isn't exactly ideal...

Jess Phillips

@jessphillips

4 months

Even if ICC doesn't apply, are the UK government not concerned that they are ally to a partner accused of war crimes.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

Pretty spot on to the "actual" poll. God it feels weird saying a twitter poll is the actual one. Of course, the twitter poll isn't just American adults and no reason they should match. Just interesting that they were similar.

YouGov America

@YouGovAmerica

2 years

YouGov poll today of 2,356 U.S. adults: Should Elon Musk step down as head of Twitter? 42% yes, 33% no Among people with an opinion: 56% yes, 44% no

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

All the votes are now in. @VerianGroup were the most accurate pollster based on final call RMSE. @NorstatUKPolls and @Moreincommon_ come in 2nd and 3rd. Every pollster overestimated Labour and underestimated the Conservatives.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

5 years

@kacperbb @hilarybennmp Of course we won't extend forever. They plan to do something more decisive no later than 2077.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

@Samfr Did the crown release it, knowing they needed to show he's somewhat in touch with the regular people... By not wanting PM Truss.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 years

I've seen surprisingly little blame being given to Mike Hill on the Election defeat. Just people saying how he managed to win twice under Corbyn. He shouldn't have been given the whip back and shouldn't have been the candidate in 2019. Labour were scandal hit this election...

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 years

@petefrasermusic Soon: "Meghan and Archie photographed with Archie eyeing his mother clearly out of hatred"

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 years

@ElectionMapsUK Well, you complained about the Labour/SNP/Lib Dem surge jokes... They've ended now... Enter the UKIP jokes...

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

@redhistorian @TSEofPB @Samfr The Noes list is 11 MPs short of what was announced in the commons.. So there may be some amending to that list to be done. But maybe Truss will removed the whip from herself.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

Well, they are certainly a set of numbers. I would say just throw them in the average, but with my own average PeoplePolling has a weight of zero... So not even that.

Matt Goodwin

@GoodwinMJ

3 months

💥NEW💥BOMBSHELL poll Labour 35% Reform 24% Conservatives 15% Liberal Democrats 12% Greens 8% SNP 3% PeoplePolling/GBN Jun 18th Sample: 1,228 British adults Details, tables & commentary 👇👇👇

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 years

The only positive I'll say about the latest SCG statement. only 18/33 Labour MPs who are members of the SCG signed it. Which probably tells you all you need to know about it.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 years

@ElectionMapsUK Count Binface to beat Laurence Fox, Piers Corbyn and Brian Rose. Does that could as 'wild' enough?

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

@Beyond_Topline @EdwardJDavey Though we're in a weird situation where part of that vote share is likely due to tactical voting in the first place. Which confuses things a bit.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

@Beyond_Topline Was good to read in the writeup of Survation's MRP today, while they use 2019 past vote weighting, they were adjusted for mortality.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

Be hilarious if the Conservative Wipeout is so bad they only return a handful of MPs and every one is found to have bet on the election with insider information and ends up facing a recall petition.

Harry Yorke

@HarryYorke1

3 months

Exclusive 🚨: Nick Mason, the chief data officer of the Conservative Party, is being investigated by the Gambling Commission over allegations he placed dozens of bets in the run up to the election being announced Read the full story in tomorrow’s Sunday Times

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

ElectCalculus updates their MRP with FindOutNow as well as working with Savanta. Conservatives down to just 60 seats. God it's brutal out here

Marwan🇲🇦🇬🇧

@MarwanData

2 months

🚨GENERAL ELECTION 2024: SECOND MRP POLL🚨 @electcalculus and @findoutnowUK asked over 19k people who they intended to vote for in the general election. Seats tally CON: 60 (-6) LAB: 450 (-26) LD: 71 (+12) Reform: 18 (+18) Green: 4 (+2) 14-24th June/changes with first MRP

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

@Gillgall23 @AngelaRayner Full list here. They either voted against or abstained. No conservatives voted for.

Queen's Speech debate (Opposition amendment v) - Commons' votes in Parliament - UK Parliament

Queen's Speech debate (Opposition amendment v)

votes.parliament.uk

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

Ashcroft's Polling also has Reform falling back. But remaining comparatively high at 17%. Lab 40% (-3) Con 19% (+1) Ref 17% (-1) Lib 10% (+1) Green 9% (+2)

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

When PMQs returns next week. I have no idea what Starmer leads on. There's just so many incredibly important issues to go on...

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

6 months

After voting against the Labour whip on a confidence vote. Hardly surprising.

Richard Price

@journoontheedge

6 months

BREAKING Former Crewe and Nantwich MP Laura Smith says she has been suspended by the Labour Party. Her statement below.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

10 months

Given a lot of this month, certain parts of the press has gone with "crisis for Labour" It's been one of their best polling months in a while... Lib Dems staying at 11pts too, making it a significant Conservative wipeout more likely.

Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

10 months

November Westminster polling update. Labours lead has increased >3pts following conference season and is now back to 20pts. Certainly no signs yet of any tightening in the polls as an election draws nearer, limited time now for the Conservatives to recover.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

5 years

@dannyjhmcgill @joswinson Very useful informative debate there. well done.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

@Samfr As long as the Tories didn't put up a candidate. I think yes. But my guess is they'd have stood in spite and Labour would have won easily.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

Guess I should do a new state of Westminster polling as we enter 2023. Labours lead back up to 20 points. It's been quite the year, Conservatives haven't lead a poll in all of 2022 and right now, doesn't look likely in 2023.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

Think this is the worst chart on an election leaflet I've seen yet. Previous General Election Result (4th) then a massive swing based on "doorstep conversation" The MRPs all have Labour in 2nd place.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

1 year

Depending which poll you look at, Green and Reform combined are on between 5% and 17%. One hell of a range...

Survation.

@Survation

1 year

NEW Pre-Budget Westminster Voting Intention. LAB 48% (+3) CON 32% (+3) LD 8% (-2) GRE 2% (-1) SNP 3% (nc) REF 3% (-1) Others 5% (-1) F/w 13-15 March. Changes vs. 2-3 March. Details:

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

I do find it ridiculous that @theipaper doesn't mention that @SebastianEPayne has been running for selection by the Conservative Party... Doesn't mean he can't write for them, but it should be mentioned. @paulwaugh 's articles mention his attempted selection.

The i paper

@theipaper

4 months

Opinion I Sadiq Khan’s attacks on Susan Hall smack of desperation and fear 🖋️ @SebastianEPayne

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

6 years

@HMF90976073 @bbclaurak You can't really deselect someone after they quit. A by election isn't the same as deselection.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

@NewhamIndParty @wesstreeting You don't "challenge" by hanging up on someone asking you to explain your comments. Also, of course, there was no smear, he was just being asked to explain something he said and was recorded saying, in an interview he chose to give.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

Kwarteng's plan U-turning nicely into Heathrow.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

7 months

The polling isn't as bad as it looks, we're only 5pts behind in South Holland and The Deepings.

Sam Freedman

@Samfr

7 months

What I love about these article is how they are increasingly relying on MPs just not understanding maths.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

The next MRP will likely be *brutal*.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

Going to be shocked when that General Election isn't ~30% turnout with people voting local issues.

Sky News

@SkyNews

4 months

🗳 Labour is on course to be the largest party in parliament following the local elections - but the party falls short of a Commons majority by 32 seats, according to a Sky News projection. Find out more 👉

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 years

@ElectionMapsUK To be fair, I'm guessing more of your followers live in Great Britain than live in Swansea... Which will explain interaction a fair chunk. (But yeah, can see how that'd suck!)

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

@Samfr Yet another cost saving measure that'll likely result in overall increased public spending to deal with its impact.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

11 months

Good on Clarke to say this. Hope there will be cross party work on handling AI Fakes/misinformation, especially where related to democracy.

Simon Clarke

@Simon_ClarkeUK

11 months

There is a deep fake audio circulating this morning of Keir Starmer - ignore it. It’s a reminder why the upcoming AI summit organised by the Prime Minister is so important. From the Slovakian elections a few days ago to today’s incident, this is a new threat to democracy.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

Labour 40% with Opinium again, 20pt lead. Conservatives still on 20%, This really could be so so Brutal for the Conservatives. All while Labour may not even beat the 41% they got in 2017.

TSE

@TSEofPB

2 months

New @OpiniumResearch Labour is on 40% (unchanged compared with a week ago), while the Conservatives are on 20% (also unchanged). Reform UK is up 1 point on 17%, the Liberal Democrats up 1 point on 13% and the Greens down 3 points on 6%.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 years

David Amess becomes the 9th MP assassinated in British history. An incredibly dark day, thought are with his family, friends and staff.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

1 year

July Westminster Polling Update. Labour's lead increases to 20pts up 4pts in the month. The highest since mid March. Lib Dems remained steady at their 11pt level. Will this increase lead stabilise across July, fall back to the 15pt level or can Labour somehow build on it?

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

I strongly expect Sunak will win, but sometimes polling is taken a little too much as gospel. Especially based on MRPs and single constituency polls. There's a lot of uncertainty there.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

Think this should be the final poll of GE2024? LAB 41 (+8) CON 23 (-22) RFM 13 (+11) LDM 11 (-1) GRN 7 (+5) SNP2 (-2) PC 1 (=) OTH 2 (+1) @NCPoliticsUK Changes w/ GE2019, said we could report some nice swings with this one.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

I hope the actual deputy speakers will look at this as what not to do. Speaker should immediatly have intervened and named if they continued.

Farrukh

@implausibleblog

2 months

Surreal and reprehensible First Kemi Badenoch tries to interrupt Steve Reed Then what looks like Victoria Atkins (apologies if its someone else) stands and argues are the despatch box while Steve Reed is speaking Utterly disgraceful behaviour

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 years

@ElectionMapsUK Completed. It's approximately correct. Unless there's any huge events in the short term

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

3 months

Labour had to be prepared for an election called at any time, so they were. Conservatives knew the timing was in their control, so didn't need to be. That's how they caught themselves off guard.

lee harpin

@lmharpin

3 months

Think one of most sensible things Labour did early this year was seriously prepare for the election to be called in May.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

2 months

"What are you looking forward to?" Wes Streeting: "The end of this General Election" Think that'll be a pretty popular answer.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

4 months

@Psythor But it's to be renamed "The Susan Hall Charging Zone" to acknowledge her campaigning on the issue.

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Andy Lawton

@ABLPoli

7 months

SNP furious that Parliament is allowed to make amendments thinking it makes opposition days worthless... But they set the subject of debate. That debate will now happen. The final motion will be based on what Parliament decides.

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