R. Daniel Kelemen @rdanielkelemen Twitter profile | Pikagi

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

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McCourt Chair at @McCourtSchool of Public Policy at @Georgetown . Non-Resident Senior Associate @CSIS . Life Member @CFR_org

Philadelphia, PA

https://t.co/onsH06bV3M

Joined February 2016

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

6 months

New Publication! My latest @jepp_journal article provides a broad overview of the EU's response to the emergence of autocratic member govts & explains why we shouldn't expect the EU to escape its "autocracy trap" anytime soon. First 50 copies free 👇

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

1. So many stories coming out revealing that Brexiteers sold Brexit on lies and that reality of Brexit is turning out - just as experts had warned - to be a fiasco and an enormous act of economic self-harm for UK. I’ll keep track of some in this Brexit reality thread🧵 👇

@lizzzburden

Lizzy Burden

4 years

Small UK businesses are drowning in post-Brexit red tape to trade with the EU. "There's so much complexity," @BCCAdam says. "It's like an onion. The more you peel, the more you cry"🧅 With @lucy_meakin , @DeirdreHipwell , @Joe_Mayes & @_DavidGoodman 👇

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

#BrexitReality As I said when I started this 🧵, Brexit was sold on lies & the reality of Brexit is turning out - just as experts had warned - to be a fiasco and an enormous act of economic self-harm for UK. Behold 1000 examples of #BrexitReality 👇 @threadreaderapp unroll

@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

1. So many stories coming out revealing that Brexiteers sold Brexit on lies and that reality of Brexit is turning out - just as experts had warned - to be a fiasco and an enormous act of economic self-harm for UK. I’ll keep track of some in this Brexit reality thread🧵 👇

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

Though Brexit will continue to damage the UK economy for years to come, I will end this #BrexitReality 🧵 on the economic self-harm caused by Brexit when it reaches 1000 entries. Only 50 more to go! Please spread the word about it so more people can follow the final countdown

@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

950. #BrexitReality “Shortages of lorry drivers that have beset supply chains are primarily the result of a lack of EU workers due to Covid and Brexit, according to official statistics.”

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

More accurate to say the Republican Party is the only major party in an advanced democracy to be politicizing mask wearing in the middle of a pandemic.

@ianbremmer

ian bremmer

4 years

The US is the world’s only advanced democracy politicizing mask wearing in the middle of a pandemic.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

“Taking back control” - by establishing border checks within our own country, if the EU gives us permission. 🤣🤣🤣

@BBCNewsNI

BBC News NI

4 years

The UK government has submitted applications to the EU to create Border Control Posts at Northern Ireland's ports.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

2. Brexit reality: Scottish fish 🐟 exports 👇

@LBC

LBC

4 years

A Scottish fisherman has told LBC the "shambolic" post-Brexit arrangements are leading to lorries full of seafood being rejected by EU clients.

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

Remember: the Brexiteers told Britons Brexit would be easy and have no economic downsides. They lied. @BorisJohnson & @DavidGHFrost continue to lie about it. Below see 1000 stories on costs of #BrexitReality 👇

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

#BrexitReality As I said when I started this 🧵, Brexit was sold on lies & the reality of Brexit is turning out - just as experts had warned - to be a fiasco and an enormous act of economic self-harm for UK. Behold 1000 examples of #BrexitReality 👇 @threadreaderapp unroll

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

Just out in @jepp_journal - "The European Union's authoritarian equilibrium" - my article explaining why autocratic member governments like Orbán's can endure so comfortably within the EU. Warning to fellow Europhiles: it is a very depressing read 1/12

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The European Union's authoritarian equilibrium

While the European Union (EU) professes a commitment to liberal democracy, in recent years it has allowed some member governments to backslide toward competitive authoritarianism. The EU has become...

www.tandfonline.com

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

11. #BrexitReality 🧵: the interesting thing here is the @BBCNews headline. They claim these are 'surprising' consequences of Brexit, when in fact experts warned for years of exactly these sorts of disruptions

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Brexit: Five surprising consequences

Confiscated ham sandwiches, delayed Scottish salmon and other fallout from the new regime.

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

3. #BrexitReality 🧵: first food shortages

@DavidHenigUK

David Henig 🇺🇦

4 years

Today, in "predicted consequences of Brexit turn out to be right", our first entry is some shortages of fresh fruit and veg...

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

12. #BrexitReality 🧵: great video emphasizing how @BorisJohnson lies about introducing checks on BG-NI trade & how @BBCNews fails to call out Gove on that

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

2 years

The corrupt autocrat Orbán makes fun of @Europarl_EN for its corruption scandal involving @EvaKaili . The difference of course is that she has been arrested and suspended whereas since he controls the public prosecutor & judiciary in Hungary, his corruption goes unpunished

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

6. #BrexitReality 🧵: massive new costs for food and drink sector due to Brexit red tape

@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

2016 2021 How it started How it’s going

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

OMG. This speech by Belgian PM @alexanderdecroo on the rule of law crisis is 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 Listen to every word. He says it all. Perfectly. 👇

@alexanderdecroo

Alexander De Croo 🇧🇪🇪🇺

@alexanderdecroo

3 years

The recent attack on the European Court of Justice is unacceptable. The European Union is a union of values, not a cash machine. You cannot pocket the money but refuse the values. #OpeningCeremony2021 @collegeofeurope

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

4. #BrexitReality 🧵: sometimes no lines mean no trade is happening h/t @DavidHenigUK

@DavidHenigUK

David Henig 🇺🇦

4 years

No it isn't a good sign that instead of queues we have so few lorries heading to France. That's trade not happening.

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

largest culling of healthy pigs in the history of British farming. So how did we get here? Short answer: Brexit

@SkyNews

Sky News

3 years

Every farmers' worst nightmare is coming to pass. The mass culling of healthy animals because there simply aren't enough butchers to process them and get them off farms. It's the largest culling of healthy pigs in the history of British farming. So how did we get here?

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

5. #BrexitReality 🧵: rotting oranges due to delays on GB-NI trade with new border on Irish Sea

@SJAMcBride

Sam McBride

4 years

A Tesco employee has sent me this picture of rotting oranges at Tesco's fresh warehouse in Belfast today. He says that they took so long to arrive in Northern Ireland that by the time they got here they were out of date & went straight to the bin.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

8 years

Editors of @Telegraph might want to ask (fired) colleagues in Hungary or Turkey what its like to run a paper in country w/o rule of law.

@SkyNews

Sky News

8 years

TELEGRAPH FRONT PAGE: ‘The judges versus the people’ #skypapers

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

With the Brexit Trilemma back in the news - and with Boris Johnson furiously denying what he agreed to in the Withdrawal Agreement & threatening to renege on it - I thought it time to update my Brexit Trilemma Venn diagram. Behold the 2020 edition👇

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@BBCPolitics

BBC Politics

4 years

"I think the government is putting the integrity of the United Kingdom at risk" Former PM Theresa May says the ministers' willingness to "renege" on parts of the Brexit agreement could result in a loss of trust that could threaten the integrity of the UK

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

13. #BrexitReality 🧵: Let's not forget that a key promise of lying Brexiteer referendum campaign was that Brexit would free UK of EU red tape. Instead UK business is now being strangled by new Brexit red tape.

@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

Brexit and “red tape”: how it started (during 2016 referendum campaign) vs. how it is going (actual Brexit in 2021)

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

2 years

@Europarl_EN formally acknowledges that Hungary is no longer a democracy- making it the first EU institution to do so. This is a huge deal with potentially explosive implications. Quick 🧵

@ShonaMurray_

Shona Murray

2 years

Vote in European Parliament declaring Hungary as ‘no longer a democracy’ passes substantially. 433 in favour 123 against

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

This is not a spoof apparently. That is an actual video of Frost saying this. These Brexiteers… 🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️

@ImIncorrigible

I Am Incorrigible also on Bluesky, threads & masto

@ImIncorrigible

3 years

This morning David Frost was asked what he has learned about the EU. His answer? - "It's different negotiating as a member state than as a 3rd party... One of the problems with the process was that we hadn't fully internalised that difference" 🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️ #BrexitReality #bbcpm

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

8 months

The Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth is calling from the 18th century and would like to have a word with the EU about the dangers of the liberum veto.

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

5 years

@IanDunt Trump is far worse than Brexit, but Brexit is forever

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

348. #BrexitReality Nice video from @PeterStefanovi2 reminding everyone that @BorisJohnson said "There will be no non-tariff barriers to trade" with Brexit, and that that was a complete lie.

@PeterStefanovi2

Peter Stefanovic

@PeterStefanovi2

3 years

With British food & drink sales to Europe having collapsed following #Brexit why is UK media not reminding Johnson he sold his trade deal to Parliament on the promise of “NO non-tariff barriers to trade” IT WAS A BAREFACED LIE! Where is accountability?

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

Polish regime to EU: Keep funding our autocracy or we'll blow up your union! Law enforcement authorities advise not to pay off extortionists, as it will only lead them to demand more. EU has enormous leverage over the autocrats in HU & PL. It should use it & call their bluff.

@ftbrussels

FT Europe

3 years

Poland’s prime minister accuses EU of making demands with ‘gun to our head’

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

1 year

Professional News: I am thrilled to share that I will be joining the faculty of @Georgetown ’s @McCourtSchool this fall as the newest McCourt Chair! I look forward to working with the amazing faculty and students at McCourt! #HoyaSaxa

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McCourt School welcomes Dan Kelemen as a McCourt Chair - McCourt School of Public Policy

Dr. Kelemen brings to the McCourt School deep expertise in comparative politics and public policy.

mccourt.georgetown.edu

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

6 years

This is how coups happen in EU member states these days... no guns, just illegal takeover of judiciary as precursor to autocratic consolidation of power. Next come attacks on private media & oppo parties & NGOs. Then rigging electoral system before next parliamentary elections

@notesfrompoland

Notes from Poland 🇵🇱

@notesfrompoland

6 years

President Duda appoints 27 new Supreme Court judges despite the court itself, and the Supreme Administrative Court, ordering nominations suspended. It also preempts an ECJ ruling and attempt by @EU_Commission to have the law suspended until the ECJ rules

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

7. More on the new Brexit border on the Irish Sea and the empty shelves in Northern Ireland from the great @hayward_katy

@hayward_katy

Katy Hayward

4 years

First, why the calls for it? Well. #Brexit means change to UK-EU trade, & the #Protocol means that that is taking effect down the Irish Sea. There was too little time & too little info to prepare. There are [wholly predictable] consequences. 🛃 2/11

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

9. #BrexitReality 🧵: cars become more expensive thanks to Brexit! (h/t @Alex__Mircea )

@kitbradshaw

Kit Bradshaw

4 years

Ford has raised the UK list prices of some of its models, blaming post-Brexit 'rules of origin' tariffs. @Autocar reports that the Fiesta ST Edition went up by £1,695 between Dec and Jan, with Puma ST getting £1,920 more expensive.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

10. #BrexitReality 🧵: and of course no such thread could ignore the episode of the confiscated ham sandwich

@AnnaJerzewska

Dr Anna Jerzewska

4 years

"Welcome to the Brexit sir, I'm sorry" The most iconic line from the Dutch Border Force

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

6 years

My father Peter Tibor Kelemen died a year ago today. I miss him dearly. I'd like to share a thread about his amazing life, which spanned 3 continents and saw him survive the Holocaust, escape communism, become an engineer, pilot, polyglot, husband, father, grandfather & more 1/n

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

6 years

Since @simonjhix mentioned my take on May's N. Ireland Trilemma when posting his excellent new chart, I thought I'd clean up and re-post the chart I presented @DCU_Brexit_Inst in January. Which promise will she break?

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

6 years

To my many Remainer friends: I understand your desperation to keep your country in the EU, as leaving will be a disaster for UK. But since you care about the EU also, have you considered what a problematic member state the UK will become if you stay after this debacle?

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

14. #BrexitReality 🧵: Scottish shellfish can't get to EU market. "We are fighting for survival here just like every other exporter around Scotland. Get it sorted and get it sorted now."

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

Epic gaslighting from the fundamentally dishonest Boris Johnson government. Johnson chooses an Irish Sea border to resolve Brexit Trilemma, then lies and says EU is forcing the Sea border.

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

8. #BrexitReality 🧵"Hauliers say N. Ireland's supply chain could collapse within days." Thank the lying Tory Brexiteers! (h/t @Arnold_Platon for this one. Please tweeps send more of these, I'll add them to the thread)

@vanmaneuro

ciaran the euro courier 🇪🇺🇮🇪

4 years

Hauliers say Northern Ireland’s supply chain could collapse within days -

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

18. #BrexitReality 🧵: "On 4 January billions of euros of business left the UK for the EU"... "Britain is now losing its very strong position in trading of European equities in London”

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How the City of London got screwed by Brexit in week one

Boris Johnson has told us that the City of London will ‘adapt and prosper mightily’ after Brexit. But the industry itself is rather less confident, reports Ben Chu

www.independent.co.uk

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

20 #BrexitReality 🧵: Music orgs "had been repeatedly reassured that a Brexit deal would protect touring performers... in an industry worth £5.8bn a year to the UK economy." But instead UK rejected EU offer to allow visa free tour for musicians...

@DaveKeating

Dave Keating

4 years

Finally, after 4 day of denying it, the UK government has admitted that it did indeed turn down the EU's offer to exempt performers from work visa rules. They won't say why, but it's reportedly because they didn't want European performers coming into UK.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

16. #BrexitReality 🧵: and the damage to financial services in the UK is already beginning to show: “London lost 6.3 billion euros ($7.7 billion) in daily stock trades to EU venues on Jan. 4, the first business day after the transition period.”

@BloombergUK

Bloomberg UK

4 years

The City of London is coming to a realization about its post-Brexit future: a financial services accord with the EU may be too little, too late to protect its dominant position

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

500. #BrexitReality 🚚 “An exodus of EU lorry drivers from the UK since Brexit has left the British haulage & logistics industry facing an acute staff shortage & a looming crisis for industrial & retail deliveries.” Another excellent piece from @pmdfoster

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Exodus of EU truckers leaves UK hauliers facing acute driver shortages

Problem compounded by backlog of driving tests due to pandemic and tax reforms

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

With Brexiteers continuing to deny reality, it seems a good day recall - for the umpteenth time- that the Brexit Trilemma is inescapable & that it was @BorisJohnson who chose to resolve it by putting a trade border in the Irish Sea. The rest is noise.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

695. #BrexitReality "The government is set to spend twice as much on Brexit administration as its flagship Levelling-up Fund."

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Brexit admin costs dwarf Levelling Up Fund

Departments had to tap the Treasury for no-deal preparations, even though agreement was secured

www.independent.co.uk

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

5 years

With Johnson taking over for May, he inherits her Brexit Trilemma, so I've made a slightly revised version of venn diagram I shared last year. Like her, he has made 3 incompatible promises. UK can only have 2 of the 3. Anyone who says UK can have all 3 is either deluded or lying.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

183. #BrexitReality @SamuelJohnsnon just alerted me to this "Digby Jones Index -The index of jobs lost through Brexit that Lord Digby Jones said we wouldn’t lose" published by @YorksBylines tracking stories of Brexit woes similar to those in my THREAD👇

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

Lots of smoke & mirrors in fight over rule of law. Here's my take in @POLITICOEurope on what's really going on: "If European leaders want to escape this autocracy trap, they must begin by standing up forcefully to regimes that try to hold the EU hostage"🧵

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Time to call Hungary and Poland’s bluff

Budapest and Warsaw are playing a weak hand in pledging to veto EU budget and recovery plan.

www.politico.eu

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

737. #BrexitReality “A leading North East business group has urged Prime Minister Boris Johnson to acknowledge that his Brexit deal is causing major difficulties for firms in the region.”

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Business leaders call on PM to 'take ownership' of Brexit problems

North East England Chamber of Commerce says Brexit-related problems are "wide-ranging and complex” and not just “teething problems”

www.business-live.co.uk

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

17. #BrexitReality 🧵: Ireland-Wales trade down 70%

@AndyBounds

Andrew Bounds

4 years

Ireland-Wales trade down 70% year on year as @StenaLine shifts towards Ireland-France direct routes because of #Brexit with @ArthurBeesley via @financialtimes

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

15. #BrexitReality 🧵: oops!

@pmdfoster

Peter Foster

4 years

In other #Brexit news German logistics giant @DBSchenker has suspended shipments from EU to UK until further notice - following @DPDgroup_news last week. /1

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

950. #BrexitReality “Shortages of lorry drivers that have beset supply chains are primarily the result of a lack of EU workers due to Covid and Brexit, according to official statistics.”

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ONS confirms: Lorry driver shortage triggered by lack of EU workers

One in four businesses are struggling to fill roles as a result of a sharp reduction in the supply of labour.

www.thelondoneconomic.com

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

1. A long 🧵 on what is going on & what is at stake in dispute between @EUCourtPress & @EU_Commission & German @BVerfG . It is a showdown over question of "Kompetenz Kompetenz", & the survival of EU legal order is at stake. The ECJ is right & BVerfG's position is untenable

@MamerEric

Eric Mamer

4 years

Statement by President von der Leyen on the ruling of the German Constitutional Court ruling of 4 May.

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

As my #BrexitReality thread hits #500 , let’s pause to recall that Brexit was sold on lies. Some people continue to claim it isn’t causing economic damage to the UK or destabilizing the union with Scotland & N. Ireland. Seems to me like rejecting evidence of your eyes and ears...

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

500. #BrexitReality 🚚 “An exodus of EU lorry drivers from the UK since Brexit has left the British haulage & logistics industry facing an acute staff shortage & a looming crisis for industrial & retail deliveries.” Another excellent piece from @pmdfoster

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

Sociopath Jr.

@therecount

The Recount

4 years

Donald Trump Jr. is holding a packed indoor event in Florida.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

19. #BrexitReality 🧵: More on trucking backups...

@TOrynski

Tomasz Oryński

4 years

Polish trucking magazine reports: A Polish truck driver entered Kent on Monday with valid Kent permit. He turned up at Ashford when they told him that his documents need to be double-checked, so he was sent to a different truck park to wait. 1/4

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

31. #BrexitReality @LSEnews study predicts UK exports to EU will drop by more than one-third & total UK trade will drop by 13%, & per capita income will fall by 6% because of hard Brexit trade deal 👇

@euromove

European Movement UK

4 years

Total UK trade will nosedive by 13%, "making a mockery of the government’s claims of a buccaneering “Global Britain” outside the bloc." Worse: Britons like you and me will feel the pain, with income-per-head forecast to fall by 6%. #BrexitReality

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

My #BrexitReality 🧵just hit its 400th entry. Thanks to all who have shared it. Over 2 million views of the 🧵 by now. Wherever one stood on Brexit before the referendum, it is important to see its actual economic consequences - and to recognize that Brexiteers lied👇

@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

400. #BrexitReality And coming in at #400 in this 🧵, a great summary of latest stories on economic consequences of Brexit in @chrisgreybrexit ‘s latest blog 👇

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

21. #BrexitReality : Will become more expensive to down Brexit related sorrows:

@BestForBritain

Best for Britain

@BestForBritain

4 years

Wine can be facing a 'brexit tax' of up to £1.50

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

6 years

My piece on @freedomhouse downgrading of Hungary. “This year, [Hungary] was downgraded to the status of “partly free” — along with countries such as Pakistan, Singapore, Ukraine, and Zimbabwe. This is deeply embarrassing for the European Union.”

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Analysis | Hungary’s democracy just got a failing grade

Democracy is withering in Hungary, but the European Union is likely to do nothing.

www.washingtonpost.com

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

2 years

What should we make of deal today in @EUCouncil on 🇪🇺 funding for Orbán autocracy? In short, while the €6.3bn suspended (only around 18% of what Hungary gets from EU budget) is far less than what was legally justified, the fact anything was suspended is a victory. Quick🧵👇

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

25. #BrexitReality : @guardian piece on Brexit damage to British entrepreneurs: “companies like ours in the UK are not going to be able to do ‘end sales’ to customers in the EU any more. Particularly, small orders for anything under £100 will be completely impossible,” says Paul”

@JenniferMerode

Jennifer Rankin

@JenniferMerode

4 years

“Jobs lost will be lost here, that is the Brexit reality.” Whenever I read stories like these I can’t help thinking of Michael Gove’s claim in 2016 that Brexit Britain would be in an Iceland to Turkey free trade zone. What does he think about that now?

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

28. #BrexitReality “it is stupid but it is Brexit” . Sounds like a new motto for the whole mess. 👇

@lisaocarroll

Lisa O'Carroll

4 years

NEW: - EU logistics company says it is making loads of money from Brexit as UK importers now “paying” for empty trucks to go back to EU to avoid hold ups in Kent. “It is stupid but it is Brexit” . 500 euro for empty truck worth it (tho not for environment)

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

23. #BrexitReality £50 an hour for truckers to park as they wait for new Brexit customs red tape before they can access ports for crossing to EU

@rolandmcs

Roland Smith

4 years

Telegraph unusually quiet on Brexit today. News section silent and one opinion piece saying "yah boo sucks to Brussels" re vaccinations. But this piece sneaks into the business section.....

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

30. #BrexitReality Peterhead fish market turned ghost town

@JamesRWithers

James Withers

4 years

What a sad sight. Europe’s biggest fish market in Peterhead like a ghost town. Built to deal with 10,000 boxes/day but with a few hundred. Boats tied up, exporters crippled. No Brexit image of lorry queues, it’s the sight of trade that isn’t moving at all. Pics via @will051266

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

It is a pretty standard move for autocrats the world over to use troops from rural provinces to quell protests in the capital.

@GarrettHaake

Garrett Haake

4 years

Another shift change in DC tonight: on the line across 16th street right now are Utah national guardsmen (who identified themselves when I asked)

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

This is not a a spoof, apparently

@10DowningStreet

UK Prime Minister

@10DowningStreet

3 years

We’ll harness space technology to solve problems on Earth, creating jobs and levelling up across the UK. Find out more about our new National Space Strategy: #SpaceStrategyUK

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

I always thought Brexit would lead to a reduction of UK environmental standards, but I didn’t think it would happen so quickly or be because they couldn’t get imports of chemicals needed to treat sewage

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

911. #BrexitReality 💩🏊‍♂️ 🤢UK environment agency sets up process to allow polluters to “discharge effluent without meeting the conditions in your permit” if they can’t get needed chemicals due to Brexit & other supply chain issues. H/t @mwarhurst

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

24. #BrexitReality : long 🧵 from a wine importer in Wales explaining how Brexit is strangling his business with red tape and will lead to price increases for consumers 👇

@DanielLambert29

Daniel Lambert (Wines). 🇪🇺🇫🇷🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🍇🥂

@DanielLambert29

4 years

Over the past 15 days I have not only been running my company as normal but I have been faced with largest threat to its future since it began in 1992. This is #Brexit & here is my thread on just how bad things are getting. 1/26

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

22. #BrexitReality good thread and article here by @Joe_Mayes & @lizzzburden on how new Brexit red tape is strangling UK-EU trade

@Joe_Mayes

Joe Mayes

4 years

It's been another torrid week at the border - inundated customs agents, goods stuck for days, companies buckling under the paperwork 1/ w/ @lizzzburden

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

2 years

This was precisely the point of Brexit for many anti-EU regulation Tory Brexiteers. Predictable and predicted. #BrexitReality

@BBCSussex

BBC Sussex

2 years

Beaches in #Bexhill , #NormansBay and #Hastings remain closed after raw sewage is pumped into the sea

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

27. #BrexitReality more on fishing woes- stuck in port... (h/t @ChamonMerijn )

@jude5456

Jude 🇪🇺

4 years

Sunday Times. "A boat responsible for catching a tenth of the fish in Britain's fish and chip shops has been stuck in port in Hull since Dec 5th" "A fisherman since he was 16, Waddy supported Brexit but has changed his mind: I think it's the wrong decision, yes." @BorisJohnson

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

Best news on EU’s rule of law crisis in past decade 👇

@mycielski

Martin/Marcin Mycielski 🇪🇺🇵🇱🇺🇦

3 years

🔴Official: European Commission blocks the Polish National Recovery Plan on the basis of #RuleOfLaw concerns. Bluffs by PM @MorawieckiM that 🇵🇱 respects ECJ & attempts real improvements utterly failed.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

26. #BrexitReality - business travel headaches 👇

@Mij_Europe

Mujtaba Rahman

4 years

“British travellers will have to get used to carrying proof of hotel bookings, evidence they can support themselves, and return tickets. This has long been standard practice for travellers coming into the EU from the outside”

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

Time for another Trilemma Diagram. This time not the Brexit Trilemma but the Scottish Independence Trilemma

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@Political_AlanS

Alan Smith

@Political_AlanS

3 years

“Nobody in the SNP wants to see a border between Scotland and England” Nicola Sturgeon is asked about comments made by Emma Harper in her interview with @ITVBorderRB The SNP candidate told @GregoryHoare “jobs can be created if a border is created”

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

7 years

"They use the language of democracy to dismantle democracy. That is the stark reality of Brexit."

@IanDunt

Ian Dunt

7 years

Repeal bill analysis: This is the just the start of the Brexit attack on democracy

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

Chance Hungary or Poland leave the EU = 0. Massive public support for membership in both countries & economies in both countries depend on EU funds & investment. This is a bluff from autocrats who want to remain EU members and take EU funds while ignoring EU rules

@JenniferMerode

Jennifer Rankin

@JenniferMerode

3 years

First Hungary's ruling party. Now Poland's government is openly talking about leaving the EU. "Illegal diktats of the ECJ" aka supremacy of EU law that Poland signed up for, although it doesn't apply to social policy.

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

Guess what? Money talks 👏👏👏👏

@RemyBonny

Rémy Bonny

3 years

🏳️‍🌈BREAKING 🇵🇱4 out of 5 Polish regions have now repealed the ‘LGBT Free Zone’-resolutions - after the EU threatened to take away 126 million Euro from the COVID-19 Recovery Fund and possibly a few billion of the Cohesion Fund. There’s no place for discrimination in the EU!🇪🇺✊

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

29. #BrexitReality : good 🧵from @ColdChainShane on declines in UK-EU trade 👇

@ColdChainShane

Shane Brennan

@ColdChainShane

4 years

The big worry here is that ‘not-trading’becomes a habit. We can’t/won’t carry on at half the volumes of before, but as volumes claw back we may only reach something like 80% of previous volumes and that is a disaster for a food industry already battered by a recession.

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

Wow. Does this make @JJansaSDS the second @EPP leader of an EU member state (after Orbán) to endorse Trump? He is an aspiring authoritarian in the Orbán mold. Another pet autocrat of the @EPP . Guess they are afraid a Biden administration will stand up for democracy 👇

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

2 years

Orban is cheating, just as he did in 2018. Attn: @osce_odihr

@panyiszabolcs

Szabolcs Panyi

2 years

‼️👀Bags of partly burnt mail ballots for the Hungarian election were found in Romania near a motorway on Wednesday. Some ballots show support for the opposition. Orbán granted voting rights to the neighbouring Hungarian diaspora. They can vote by mail.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

951. #BrexitReality “UK fruit and vegetable growers are cutting their planting for 2022 after unprecedented labour shortages led to widespread wastage of produce, with hundreds of tonnes of crops from broccoli to raspberries left to rot in the fields.”

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Britain’s fruit and veg farmers cut 2022 planting after widespread waste

Unprecedented labour shortages have left hundreds of tonnes of produce rotting in the fields

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

5 years

1.Setting the record straight on #EUTopJobs & why #Spitzenkandidaten @ManfredWeber @TimmermansEU and @vestager were blocked for @EU_Commission President. Lots of spin out there that needs to be countered, so here is a THREAD. 👇

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

#BrexitReality Thread hits 900 👇 How it started. How it’s going

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

1. So many stories coming out revealing that Brexiteers sold Brexit on lies and that reality of Brexit is turning out - just as experts had warned - to be a fiasco and an enormous act of economic self-harm for UK. I’ll keep track of some in this Brexit reality thread🧵 👇

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

5 years

UK won’t “align” with EU regulations? That’s fine, but then it won’t export goods to EU

@Telegraph

The Telegraph

5 years

The Prime Minister refuses to align with Brussels as first shots are exchanged over trade talks

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

Today marks the 4th anniversary of my father’s death. I have many new followers here who wouldn’t have seen this, so I thought I’d reshare this thread about his amazing and inspiring life story.👇

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

6 years

My father Peter Tibor Kelemen died a year ago today. I miss him dearly. I'd like to share a thread about his amazing life, which spanned 3 continents and saw him survive the Holocaust, escape communism, become an engineer, pilot, polyglot, husband, father, grandfather & more 1/n

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

1. Very proud to have coauthored this report on the legal case for activating the rule of law conditionality Regulation against Hungary with Kim Scheppele and @JMorijn , at the request of @daniel_freund & @GreensEFA . Quick 🧵below & here is the report 👉

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

Never felt prouder of my wonderful city, Philadelphia. The birthplace of American democracy helped knock out the despicable wannabe autocrat today. Lived here 20 years and have never seen such mobilization. @m_orenstein & I had a great time doing our bit getting out the vote!

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

The #BrexitTrilemma abides, and the deluded Brexiteer Mr Frost is its latest victim. You can promise the impossible, but you can’t deliver it

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@AntonSpisak

Anton Spisak

3 years

Lord Frost has resigned over the inevitable capitulation over the Northern Irish Protocol that will come soon. It’s his own fault; he has set the bar too high in the July Command Paper, pledging to remove all EU law from the Protocol. An impossible ask which has backfired on him.

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

5 years

Unable to resolve the Brexit Trilemma, May resigns

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@10DowningStreet

UK Prime Minister

@10DowningStreet

5 years

PM @Theresa_May makes a statement in Downing Street

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

With his corona coup, Orbán abandoned any pretense of being a democratic leader. Given that his electoral autocracy was already secure, why did he risk inflaming tensions with the EU by moving to outright dictatorship? My take in @monkeycageblog + a 🧵 👇

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Analysis | Hungary just became a coronavirus autocracy

Will Europe respond to Orban’s power-grab?

www.washingtonpost.com

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

6 years

He was a very loving father, and he taught me so much: to be a Mensch, to love learning, to work hard, to laugh a lot and enjoy life. I also owe my career to him (reading this thread, you'll understand why I study European politics). I miss him every day - especially today. 21/21

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

A momentous day as Orbán leaves the @EPPGroup that has defended & empowered him for a decade as he built the EU’s first autocracy. Having written articles & given interviews on the topic for years, I’m feeling a bit like this 👇 today. 🧵to follow shortly on the whole saga. 1/n

@tom_nuttall

Tom Nuttall

3 years

BOOM. Fidesz quits the EPP, after the centre-right group amends its rules to make ejection easier. Orban jumps before he is pushed.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

Brexiteer liars are waging a war on reality. They are losing.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

4 years

Coronavirus crisis provides Orbán with the perfect justification to dispense with the pretense that his regime is democratic. Seems he may now move from electoral autocracy to full authoritarian rule with little chance that the EU -or Hungarian opposition- will try to stop him.

@balazscseko

Balazs Csekö

4 years

Hungarian Justice Min. @JuditVarga_EU sends bill to Parliament: - State of emergency til end of 2020 - Rule by decree - Parliament suspended - No snap elections/referendums - Spreading fake news and rumors punishable with up to 5 years in prison #COVID19

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

2 years

Lots of talk today about Hungary “blackmailing” the EU. This gets things wrong and misses the point. The EU has all the leverage and Hungary can only blackmail EU leaders if they are willing to be blackmailed. I discuss it in a forthcoming article in @JEI_Publication . An excerpt:

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

2 years

Incredible and embarrassing for @BBCNews that it makes no mention of #Brexit in a story about huge queues for travelers in Dover caused by Brexit. #BrexitReality

Dover traffic: Eurotunnel rejects French explanation for Dover delays

Eurotunnel rejects French explanation after Port declares "critical incident".

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

2 years

So much for the PiS autocrats in Poland being big friends of Ukraine. All they ultimately care about is keeping the flow of EU funds coming to them even as they persecute judges and destroy the rule of law

@POLITICOEurope

POLITICOEurope

@POLITICOEurope

2 years

Poland has refused to back an €18 billion EU aid package for Ukraine and two unrelated but linked decisions on Hungary over concerns about a separate minimum corporate tax rate plan.

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

345. #BrexitReality 🪴 💐 Brexit hits gardening “Almost all house plants sold in the UK are grown in Holland or Belgium.” Gardening tools and watering equipment also tends to come from Europe. “Those are also subject to further delays and increased costs”

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All is not rosy for UK gardens as Brexit hits supplies and Covid hikes demand

Red tape and a labour shortage leave retailers and millions of lockdown gardeners with scant pickings

www.theguardian.com

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

8 years

Now we have it: intelligence agencies report Russia's goals were to promote Trump, harm Clinton & undermine faith in US democratic process

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R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

As my #BrexitReality 🧵 hits 700 entries, it is a good moment to remember that Brexiteers sold Brexit on a pack of lies.

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@rdanielkelemen

R. Daniel Kelemen

@rdanielkelemen

3 years

700. #BrexitReality “‘I’m getting out’: Britain’s antiques dealers hit by Brexit New regulations are forcing some dealers who relied on easy access to French markets to abandon the business”

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