Not sure what to buy your Brexit-hating or Brexit-loving friends and relatives for Xmas? Look no further than the updated edition of my book "Brexit Unfolded. How no one got what they wanted (and why they were never going to)", published by
@BitebackPub
:
So in 2016, despite having no detail on what Brexit meant, people knew exactly what they were voting for. But in 2019, despite having a detailed Withdrawal Agreement, MPs didn't know what they were voting for.
Whilst the UK wants to have a good trade relationship with the EU as a sovereign state, the EU has different ideas. They want our money and they want to stop us being a competitor. The Withdrawal Agreement (WA) we signed last year sadly helps them. (1/3)
Beyond belief. Really. This MP - the MP for Dover of all places - seems genuinely not to understand that it was EU membership that got rid of the bureaucracy she complains of, and Brexit which re-instated it.
Raising Doverโs M20/A20 traffic queues at PMQs today. Setting out the need for roads investment along with tackling Brussels bureaucracy & red tape.
#KeepDoverClear
Truly astonishing that a long item on
@BBCRadio4
PM just now about the Dover/ Kent traffic queues didn't even mention of Brexit as one aspect. I'm very far from a BBC basher - quite the contrary - but this is just woeful.
When did it become a thing that there's something inherently unlikely about a young, single man being an asylum seeker? I can think of many reasons why they would be. I very rarely write about personal stuff on Twitter, but here is the brief story of my late father-in-law. 1/15
I respect
@ChrisMasonBBC
, but he shouldn't keep calling this a "new" govt. It's not: the PM is new, not the govt hence no GE. This isn't pedantry: part of LT's political strategy is to disown the last 3 years precisely by claiming to be a new govt. It's not for BBC to endorse it.
Lots of people bemoan Labour's silence about Brexit in this GE, but the far, far bigger story is the Tories' silence about it. In GE19, their flagship promise was to 'get Brexit done', so surely they should now be celebrating its success. Why aren't they? 1/3
Me: "Can we have a debate on the impact of Brexit and a region by region report?"
Rees-Mogg: "Brexit prayer...Brexit song...Gloria in excelsis Deo...happy fish."
This is the level of debate I've come to expect from this Government ๐คฆโโ๏ธ
@BestForBritain
@Femi_Sorry
@Scientists4EU
Late to commenting on this but the dismissive, scornful, almost amused tone Johnson uses to talk about people literally begging for their lives isn't just distasteful: it's depraved and sociopathic in a way I don't think we've seen from any leading politician in the UK before.
Johnson: Are you the guys inundated with all the emails from everywhere in the world saying, please help my son, mother in Afghanistan? I've had a few of those
Raab: It was extraordinary that they all stayed after the
#KabulAiport
attack
Johnson: Amazing, amazing
#Newsnight
Watching this latest TV debate, the blindingly obvious truth is that none of them is remotely up to the job. That's not even a political point. I can't imagine any of them being appointed on merit to any senior position outside politics.
This is heart-breaking, but the call to "get it sorted" is misplaced. It's not happening because of sortable glitches in Brexit but because what Brexit does by design is to erect barriers with the EU. Those who warned of the consequences were called fearmongers. Now it's too late
I'm genuinely puzzled by the emergence of 'the motorist' as a political identity, as if people who drive cars have distinct set of priorities and values.
Populism is based on the trick of a self-evident elite purporting to speak for 'the people' *against* 'the elite'. So it's always vulnerable to its leaders being exposed as not of the people and, even, contemptuous of them. That vulnerability is exposed fairly starkly just now.
Barnier is quite right to highlight this. Johnson signed the PD and either didn't do so in good faith or didn't bother to understand it. Either is reprehensible. It wasn't some newspaper article to be disowned, it was the agreed basis for the UK's future with a crucial partner.
โIn all areas, the UK continues to backtrack on the commitments it has undertakenโ
EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier says UK doesnโt want to talk about โcooperation on foreign policy, development and defenceโฆ I still donโt understand whyโ
I can see the case for it, but there's something perverse about a national televised debate amongst candidates in an election almost no members of the public can vote in.
I think historians will wonder how Baker and those few other MPs who are in all three of the ERG, CRG and this NZSG, and who constantly act as a party in a party, came to wield such disproportionate & damaging influence, getting 'all the big calls' wrong.
How can we have โmoved onโ from Brexit when we still havenโt fully implemented it? And if we have โmoved onโ from Brexit then why is Lord Frost still trying to renegotiate it? Just asking.
So when people talk as if it is axiomatic that young, single men who seek asylum are making bogus claims, maybe they could remember my father-in-law's story, and all the other real human beings whose lives lie behind the statistics & the prejudices of the 'migrant crisis'. 15/15
The entirety of Johnson's bizarre finances whilst in public office, with his need for apparently endless huge loans & lavish gifts in kind, needs to be the subject of a single over-arching investigation to establish what direct or indirect favours they may have been bound up with
A lot of discussion of staff shortages (air travel, GPs) on
@BBCRadio4
PM but, unless I missed it, not a single mention of Brexit as a (that's "a", not "the") reason. There can't be an honest conversation about the UK economy, including staffing, whilst Brexit is a taboo topic.
What I like about
@susie_dent
's words of the day is that they often have an obvious target who, or whose supporters, could only contest its applicability by tacitly admitting the word did, indeed, apply.
The outrage is a clear sign of the failure of Brexit. Had it been a success, or anything close to a success, the EU flags might still have been waved but easily dismissed, even laughed at, as an irrelevant eccentricity. The anger, and the call to ban, tell a different story.
This would be the Irish Sea Border that ... checks notes ... the British government signed up to and proclaimed as a triumph of Johnson's negotiating skills ....
I think this is about the most depressing thing about UK politics I've ever read. Not because it tells us anything we didn't know or suspect, but because it confirms everything we knew or suspected.
What is fascinating is this persistent sense of victimhood. Conservatives have been in power in the UK for 10 years, have achieved Brexit, have the support of much of the media, and Grimes himself isn't exactly absent from our screens. Yet, still, they claim to be marginalised.
It's the dishonesty which has motivated me to do all my Brexit comment over the last 6 years. If Brexiters had said truthfully what it would mean, and won on the back of that, I'd have shrugged my shoulders and got on with life. But the lies then and since will always disgust me.
There's no way out of the mess that Brexit is creating - for NI, trade, regulation, labour market, security co-op, etc. - until UK politicians start being honest, and start listening to evidence. Yet even today Brexiter MPs ... 1/2
I'm so sick of this government's endless lies. It sounds like a naive thing to say, but I'm not a starry-eyed idealist and I get that all govts sometimes lie & sometimes have to. But this one lies incontinently and when, as here, it's about such human misery it becomes obscene.
Home Secretary Priti Patel says the UK has set up a visa application centre near Calais.
But No 10 says there isn't one there though Govt will "keep it under review".
And now my colleague
@andylines
in Calais finds this ๐
Apparently forgotten now are the inquiries into Priti Patel's behaviour and, from even longer ago, the Darroch leaks. And publication of the report into alleged Russian interference into UK democracy. Are any of these things ever going to happen?
Cummings is a type, very familiar in business but rarer in politics: smart, but not as smart as they think; geek-macho; too impressed by pop-science/business/history books; going from job to job leaving a trail of destruction for which they never have to take responsibility.
Eight years on, and Rees-Mogg still doesn't grasp that leaving the institutions that remove the bureaucracy of borders = re-creating the bureaucracy of borders. It's truly pitiful in itself, and tragic that dolts like this achieved a policy they didn't even understand.
Just in this short 2 minute clip, there is so much revealed or illustrated about Brexit. Most obviously, Rees-Mogg, from a position of total ignorance, loftily trying to school an actual expert, rather than listening & learning. 1/5
Ludicrous doesn't even begin to cover this ๐
@Jacob_Rees_Mogg
telling an actual wine importer whose livelihood is collapsing because of Brexit that since Brexit it's much easier to import wine
They lied to get their Brexit - their lies are even more barefaced about its damage๐
So Brexit 'ends' as it began, with demonstrably absurd lies. It might have been possible to respect Brexit had it ever been presented honestly. But, of course, had it been presented honestly it would never have happened.
"Nando's said the shortages were not affecting any of their outlets in Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland."
The reason, presumably, being the thing we don't mention any more because we've moved on.
I know this isn't a valid legal comparison, but I can't help wondering how Brexiters would have reacted if the ECJ had ruled that the UK, when it was still a member, could not choose to hold a referendum on whether or not to leave the EU.
Just heard
@spectator
are planning to run a story on me tomorrow about how I have benefitted commercially in the last 18 monthsโฆTo clarify, I donโt need to partner with brands. I partner because I want to progress the work I do off the pitch andโฆ(1)
It's the stupidity that still gets to me. It's not that people like Swayne advocated a policy I disagree with. It's that they didn't even understand what they were advocating, that even after all these years they still don't, & that they don't even want to
The real concern is the way that Farage is acting, and more importantly being treated, as if he were a party leader or a candidate when in fact he's neither of these, and Reform itself isn't a party in the normal sense of the word. I'm not sure there's any precedent for this. 1/2
The fatal flaw in Johnson's sub-Churchillian address was to blame people for breaking the rules whilst nodding to his "spiritual" aversion to imposing them, thus effectively dog-whistling further breaches. A reflection of how his whole persona is totally unsuited to this crisis.
We are now in a strangely Orwellian landscape where:
The Will of the People is to do what people don't want
And:
Having a democratic vote would be a betrayal of democracy
The will of the people has changed - a majority now want to remain in the EU.
Yet
@theresa_may
refused to acknowledge that people are capable of changing their minds and dismissed my call for a
#PeoplesVote
at
#PMQs
.
Our Prime Minister isn't listening to the people.
I suppose no one should be shocked any more, but I find it shocking that Johnson is talking of there being no Irish Sea barriers when he negotiated exactly that, proclaimed it a triumph, and signed the agreement. It's just beyond belief.
Boris Johnson has vowed to "do everything we need to do" - including an attempt to override post-Brexit arrangements with the EU - in order to "ensure there is no barrier down the Irish Sea"
It's one thing for government to makes mistakes. In so complex and unprecedented a crisis that's almost inevitable. But it's the constant, ludicrous spin and disinformation which is unforgivable.
Britain only made a formal request to Turkey over a consignment of personal protective equipment on Sunday 19 April - the day after a cabinet minister announced the "very significant additional shipment" was already heading to the UK
Iron Maiden frontman Bruce Dickinson is frustrated by the impact of
#Brexit
on UK artists performing abroad, and feels the government can do more to help.
#KayBurley
UF
Brexit hasn't given many laughs, but one is the spectacle of economists and politicians who have dedicated their lives to extolling the virtues of free trade performing contortions to show how erecting trade barriers with your biggest & nearest trade partner is good for trade.
There's barely a sentence in this that isn't wrong or misleading, but it would take an essay on each one to show it. It's alarming that the hardline Brexiters have created a parallel universe so convoluted & deep-rooted that it's hard to even discuss it.
Post-Brexit Britain is going rotten. New post on my Brexit & Beyond Blog. The moral rot of Johnson's conduct is part and parcel of a deeper malaise in which Brexit and 'Brexit Covid' have created a country that is literally and metaphorically rotting away:
I think expecting a decisive moment of realisation about Brexit is mistaken. The slow burn of damage will continue & gradually a received commonsense (cf Suez) that it was a huge mistake will emerge, by when BJ etc will be long gone. But no transformative moment & no 'reckoning'.
We plan to temporarily extend cabotage rights in the UK so foreign hauliers can make unlimited journeys for 2 weeks whilst here๐ It'll mean 1000s more deliveries and comes in addition to the 24 steps we've already taken to help industry tackle the global lorry driver shortageโ
This would normally appear in the right-wing press as: 'Unemployed man with SEVEN kids takes SECOND luxury foreign holiday in a fortnight. Neighbours say he also has a wide-screen TV and the latest smartphone. WHEN will PM crackdown on work-shy layabouts living at YOUR expense?'
Boris Johnson takes second foreign holiday in a fortnight
It comes amid claims Prime Minister is 'missing in action' and presiding over 'zombie government' during mounting cost-of-living crisis
๐งตโฌ๏ธ
A major contradiction in Brexiter position. For months they've said technology can solve NI border. If so, no reason for backstop to be used/for long. So their current outrage that UK could be permanently 'trapped' in backstop suggests they know technology *can't* solve NI border
Prediction: this is going to be a horrible week for Brexit news/ analysis, and it will be (more than usually) difficult to disentangle the threads of what's true, half-true, inadvertently untrue, and deliberately untrue.
There are 26.6M refugees & 4.4M asylum seekers in the world. That's a global crisis & an individual crisis for each of them. But that 24.5K crossed the Channel isn't a crisis, it's a small chance to help. How did 'Global Britain' become so spiteful?
Perhaps a good day to recall how, as late as January 2018, Nadine Dorries, ERG member & vociferous 'hard Brexiter' - amid hurling accusations of 'treachery' at those who disagreed - didn't know actually what the Customs Union was: . 1/5
Whatever your views of Boris Johnson, ejecting from Parliament the man responsible for the Government's current majority is a victory for the Blob that stains our democracy.
There's no greater evidence of the total intellectual & moral bankruptcy of Brexit than one of the leading advocates of the UK leaving the EU and SM/CU now blaming EU 'inflexibility' for the effects of the UK leaving the EU and SM/CU
All these Tory Party leadership contenders putting forward their economic plans without any serious mention of Brexit are not contenders to be serious leaders of the country.
Brexiter MPs 2016-20: the people knew exactly what they were voting for in the referendum that didn't specify what Brexit meant.
Brexiter MPs 2021: we didn't know what we were voting for in the parliamentary legislation that specified what Brexit meant.
Sigh.
โWe are being stitched up by the European Unionโ
Conservative MP Andrew Bridgen says the Northern Ireland Protocol has led to Arlene Foster standing down as NI First Minister
#PoliticsLive
The significance of this goes well beyond the loss of the EMA from London. It spells the end of UK leadership in the global bio-medical industry, which is strategically central to UK economic strategy. Whatever happens now with Brexit, massive, irreversible damage has been done.
Losing the European Medicines Agency HQ is a significant loss for London & for the UK. No longer even being a member of the EMA after
#Brexit
will be worse...
Of the many things to say about this, one is to note the absurd and dishonest idea - but one central to NatCon populism - that the 2016 referendum vote gave a mandate to all kinds of things apart from leaving the EU. It didn't. Its mandate was fully discharged on January 31 2020.
The obvious response to this is that nothing remainers did was against the law. But there's a deeper myth on display here in the idea that parliament tried to overturn Brexit. It has become entrenched, but the facts don't support it. 1/4
Julia calls out people in the UK who โhave the cheekโ to condemn Donald Trump following his latest indictment but still wonโt respect the Brexit result.
โItโs a bit darn rich for people saying: โthis is outrageous' when they spent 3+ years trying to overturn Brexit!โ
@JuliaHB1
The reason for this is straightforward. We have a government selected solely on the basis of loyalty to, and lying about, Brexit, rather than competence or honesty. So it's totally unable to deal with CV-19, where the former is irrelevant and the latter vital.
Before: Brexit will be easy, the EU will give us a great deal. This proves Brexit is a good idea.
After: Brexit is difficult, the EU won't give us a great deal. This proves Brexit is a good idea.
"The EU is still more interested in teaching the British a lesson than in the prosperity of its own citizens. And people wonder why we left," writes
@DanielJHannan
Brexit was delivered in both name and fact: we left the EU. Anything and everything done since - and, surely, this was the central argument for Brexit? - is the decision of the sovereign British parliament. The 2016 17.4M don't have a permanent stranglehold on post-Brexit policy.
I am not really sure why I'm trending on X but it appears some folk don't like being reminded that 17.4million people voted for Brexit and would quite like to see it delivered in more than name. Is that so hard to hear?
The idea that satirical mocking of Brexit shows a terrible bias (see also Private Eye letters) illustrates the inability of Brexiters to accept that, having won, they are now 'the Establishment' and, therefore, legitimate targets for satirical mockery. TL:DR You won, get over it.
A friend at Parliament Square is telling me the atmosphere is not very pleasant and that there's a group of people protesting that Johnson's Brexit isn't proper Brexit.
There is something deeply disgraceful and also dangerous in the way
@DavidGHFrost
has conducted himself since resigning ministerial office, which today reached a new low in insulting as "ignorant" a very senior politician of the UK's closest ally: 1/6
Six year of failure. New post on my Brexit & Beyond Blog. It's now abundantly clear that Brexit is failing, and that the Protocol that 'got Brexit done' was based on wicked dishonesty. But this Brexit government has no viable ideas of what to do about it:
I'm sometimes asked (including by myself) why I go on, week-in and week-out, year after year, churning out analysis of Brexit. The answer is that the sheer outrage at what is being done to our country keeps being replenished by fatuous, jeering, know-nothings like O'Sullivan.
The incredible idiocy that brought us Brexit continuesโฆ
An expert in their field warns of the looming threat to British farming
While a paid-for-puppet shouts at her to โshow a bit of independent spiritโ
The state of it.
Farage's political re-entry means he's at last getting some scrutiny, & it's showing a wider audience that he's an apologist for Russia & no friend of NATO & can't be trusted with UK security. The press & the Tories should be going for him on this as hard as they did for Corbyn.
This has been on the cards for days. But a) in itself it may not help much - temp visas isn't FoM b) if there's case for HGV then why not other sectors in crisis e.g. social care? c) at what point do we admit ending FoM, a central reason for Brexit, was a terrible mistake?
"The government is on the brink of a U-turn."
Ministers will meet for urgent talks on how to address the shortage of lorry drivers.
@SamCoatesSky
says they are likely to sign off on temporary visas for HGV drivers to "avoid a full blown crisis."
I also noticed Andrew Bridgen, when interviewed on C4 News yesterday, began to say that it was a good deal for NI as would mean less economic damage there, and then quickly stopped himself - presumably realising the implications of what he was about to say.
Very revealing.....Dominic Raab hails a โcracking dealโ for Northern Ireland because it will keep โfrictionless access to the single marketโ
Thatโs EXACTLY why the rest of the UK will be left poorer, of course
Though this attack on 'woke capitalism' isn't new, and is riding on the back of the Farage-Coutts thing, it's gaining traction because of the failure of the Brexit promises. Brexit, remember, was going to boost the UK economically & in every way by unshackling it from the EU. 1/4
Increasingly vexed by 'no deal' Brexit being called 'hard Brexit'. It isn't. Hard Brexit = no SM/CU but transition to FTA = bad. No deal Brexit = no transition, planes grounded, food rationing, drugs shortages = catastrophe. Shifting language matters: normalises the abnormal.
There may well be complexities in this that I don't understand but, given that this deadline was known since the Doha Agreement of Feb 2020, why didn't we start pulling people out so as to be finished by 31/8?
Someone waking from a 3 year coma to news of stockpiling, troop deployments, flight restrictions etc would ask: what terrible trauma has been forced on the UK? And be told: oh, no, this is what we decided to do to ourselves. And would conclude: you've gone completely bonkers.
Having v narrowly won in 2016, the onus was on Brexiters to show their compatriots it could work & allay their concerns. From the start they signally failed to show they had any idea how to make it work & insulted or ignored remainers. Now it's failed, it's everyone else's fault.
You had a referendum and you lost
@acgrayling
. One of biggest domestic causes of economic instability in the UK is you lot refusing to accept the result. You deliberately try to cause instability and to obstruct progress so you can falsely blame Brexit.
The same spiteful nonsense Rees-Mogg has been peddling since 2016: demanding impossible or unrealistic things, then blaming the civil service when they can't be done, or go wrong. And never reflecting that this, more than anything else, is 'inefficiency'.
Six year of failure. New post on my Brexit & Beyond Blog. It's now abundantly clear that Brexit is failing, and that the Protocol that 'got Brexit done' was based on wicked dishonesty. But this Brexit government has no viable ideas of what to do about it:
The reason why Brexit is falling apart in microcosm. Absurd claims about being bullied. Silly nationalistic rhetoric. Ridiculous implicit invocations of WW2. Zero understanding of, or engagement with, practicalities.
The EU have shown they just don't understand the British psyche. Our history shows we do not give in to bullies. We are at our best when we face threats to our democracy. We are prepared to stand alone. Their actions this week will strengthen our resolve. Great statement from PM.
This is a good example of one aspect of 'Brexitism'. The 2016 vote was never about pulling the UK out of all international conventions, yet it is being used as if it did. It's nonsense, but it's dangerous nonsense.
7 years after Brexit vote, the ability of parliament to โtake back controlโ is still frustrated by international conventions. Thereโs a body of opinion in Westminster that believes opinions of international judges are superior to laws made by parliament. We must resolve this ๐
Very well said by
@chrischirp
, one of the heroines of pandemic analysis. The rewriting (= falsification) of history of Covid is as bad as with Brexit (& often from the same people). But in both cases this history is recent, remembered & documented: it won't easily be falsified.
SHORT THREAD: Was just on
@BBCNews
responding to the comments made by Sunak & backed by Truss saying scientists had too much power, lockdowns were a mistake etc
1. They are rewriting what happened - the situation pre vaccine was very very scary with 150K dying pre wide vax. 1/7
It try to be polite on Twitter but, really, there's no way to describe this than utterly cretinous, first & foremost because the reason the EU haven't 'taken on trust' our shellfish exports since 1st Jan is because that's when we left SM/CU, which is exactly Bridgen wanted 1/2
This is an open admission that the UK simply can't afford the form of Brexit it negotiated and which Johnson called a triumph. At the same time, it isn't cost-free, creating an asymmetry between EU & UK exporters and risks of sub-standard imports.
It's remarkable how many of the MPs who insisted that leave voters knew exactly what they were voting for in the referendum of 2016 don't know what they voted for in parliament in 2019.
The UK does not need a delay in EU bans on GB trade with Northern Ireland : we need to take full control of GB to Northern Ireland trade so there is no EU threat to it. The EU agreed the UK internal market matters and we make the rules for it.
Watching/ reading news this week, it's striking that it has become completely uncontroversial to call Johnson a liar. It seems not to even be a partisan point any more, just an accepted fact on all sides. I don't think that has been the case for any other PM in modern times.
Gradually seeing the Brexiter narrative shifting from 'Brexit damage won't happen, that's just Project Fear' to 'the damage warned of is happening, but it's got nothing whatsoever to do with Brexit'. It's a hermetically sealed argument, immune to any evidence or rational debate.
Quite something to outrage the mildest of centrists, hardest of socialists & most orthodox of conservatives, & to alienate a chunk of your voter coalition & the Speaker. Maybe too early to say 'worst government ever', but 'worst first week in government ever' isn't a stretch.
Those now talking about 'walking away' were the same ones promising a quick, easy, good deal based on German car industry, UK being 5th largest economy & UK trade deficit. There's a link and, to be brutal, it's this: they haven't got a clue what they are talking about.
Well, there's some good news at last. Apparently, "Truss is the Brexiteersโ last hope. If she canโt deliver on the benefits of Leave, we may end up rejoining." That seems to suggest Brexit is a very fragile egg being put in an even more fragile basket.