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@pivotpointelect

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election analysis, and more, by @bluearrowmaps @zach_solomon1 and @alexmpastor

Joined September 2023
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
4 days
We've been paying for Pivot Point out of pocket for the past year. If you have liked the analysis we've been doing please consider a contribution. Anything helps and it would be incredibly appreciated!
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
FWIW our internal model gives Kamala a ~60% chance of winning the EC
@DrewSav
Drew Savicki 🦃
2 months
The 538 and Nate Silver models are now basically opposites of one another.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
11 months
100 followers isn't much, but it's the most we've ever had. Thank you! #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Race Call: Daniel McCaffrey (D) has won election to the PA Supreme Court.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
Across Alaska, Republicans are pulling out of races that voters have given them the ability to contest. To learn why we asked @alaskanrobby break it down for us and explain what Ranked Choice Voting has to do with it! #AKpol
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Introducing Pivot Point Analysis! Our first article, by native Kentuckian @bluearrowMaps , looks into the role Northern Kentucky will play in the upcoming gubernatorial race. #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
11 months
Bordering the two biggest countries in the world, the importance of Myanmar's civil war far outpaces the coverage in the West. @alexmpastor sought to learn #WhatsHappeninglnMyanmar in this Q&A with @nicholas6284 .
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
11 months
One man is reshaping two statewide races in Utah. @zach_solomon1 breaks down Tim Ballard's impact on the Senate and Attorney General's race from his meteoric rice to his seemingly inevitable fall. #ElectionTwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
8 months
@zach_solomon1 walks us through MI's Democratic primary tonight where "Uncommitted" may pick up delegates. MI has the largest Arab American population in the US and along with young voters are not happy with Pres. Biden's handling of the Israel/Gaza war.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
27 days
Updated Gubernatorial Ratings moving two races IN: Safe R to Likely R NC: Likely D to Safe D
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
30 days
Senate control could very well come down to a shootout in big sky country and right now we're seeing red. Pivot Point currently has the race at Lean R. #Montana #Senate
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
9 months
Our own resident Nevadan @zach_solomon1 writes about the impending chaos ensuing this week with the GOP primary on Tuesday and caucus on Thursday taking place in the "First in the West" state. Check out his article here. #wematter #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
Today is a great day to follow Pivot Point! #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
3 months
Are you tired of "analysis" by Chris Cillizza? Try @pivotpointelect
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Before Election Day read our article on Eastern Kentucky, the last in our series looking into the political dynamics of the state by @bluearrowMaps . #KYGov
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
9 months
THANK YOU to everyone that has helped us get to this stage as quickly as we have!! In addition to the whole crew at Pivot Point, a special shout out to all of the contributors we've had this far @GTCarfree @samshirazim @blockedfreq !! #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 month
Mark Robinson and North Carolina Republicans are reeling from his latest scandal. Find out where this leaves them with less than two months to go before election day. #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
5 months
Fox News and other recent polls have shown a close race in Virginia. @samshirazim helps us understand what's really going on in Virginia.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Race Call: Governor Andy Beshear (D) wins reelection in Kentucky #kygov
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
6 months
Presidential ratings now live on website.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
19 days
When we wrote about the #OHsen race last week Moreno was already trailing. It can't help that he's shown up in a data breach of a far-right website known to platform neo-nazis.
@Andrew03125
MassINC Polling Stan
19 days
BREAKING: Republican Ohio senate candidate Bernie Moreno has been proven to have ties with Epik, a far right website that platforms multiple neo Nazis. Bernie Moreno needs to explain himself and disavow these neo Nazi ties
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
10 months
A fiery debate broke out this week whether recent Dem success paints too rosey a picture about their chances in the 2024 election. Contributor @samshirazim looks into whether, as some say, Dems have issues with low propensity voters. #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
11 months
With last week's announcement, President Biden has brought America closer than ever (which is still pretty far away) to expanding High Speed Rail outside the Northeast Corridor. @GTCarfree breaks at all down here. (Links working now)
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
17 days
Are GOP aligned pollsters flooding the zone? It depends on who you ask. To some it's obviously true, to some it's a conspiracy theory and most will be blissfully unaware. Sam Shirazi lays out what it is and how not to drown.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
4 months
We spoke to @nicholas6284 again about the latest in the Myanmar civil war. Click below for the Q&A.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
10 months
Happy New Year! We're starting off 2024 strong with an interactive map of the 2023 rail announcements by our guest contributor @GTCarfree . #transit
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
10 months
We wrap up our series examining the @NCGOP gerrymander. @bluearrowMaps breaks down everything you need to know about the NC congressional maps. #ncpol
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
Will Senate Democrats continue outrunning the top of the ticket? Will Tester and Brown pull off another miracle? Click below to see the (second) biggest show in town! #Senate
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
29 days
We covered the Senate race in Montana in the wake of the debate this week. With one month left, Sheehy is skipping his own float at the MSU Homecoming Parade in Bozeman... where he lives.
@HannahRehm_
Hannah Rehm
29 days
Following reporting that he's going to "extreme lengths" to dodge press, this morning Tim Sheehy skipped the MSU Homecoming Parade in Bozeman. He couldn't even be bothered to show up to his own float. Guess who did show up? @jontester . #mtsen #mtpol
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
6 months
Today's hotly contested primary will determine who faces former Gov. Larry Hogan in the fall. Can Hogan play hero for Republicans? @JamesLNPol takes a look below.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
18 days
Few eyes are on Kentucky legislative races this year, but there are some interesting dynamics under the hood. @bluearrowMaps on his old Kentucky home... elections #KYpol
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
Wow 1000 followers!!!! Thanks to the team at Pivot Point @alexmpastor @bluearrowMaps @zach_solomon1 and all our contributors! But most of all, sincerely thank you to all 1000 followers!! We literally couldn't have done it without you
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
20 days
Democrats were almost euphoric in the early days of the Harris campaign. Now the vibes are full of doom and gloom. With the race in more or less the same place we dig in on what's causing this "vibecession"... Check it out!
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
Election nights can be stressful. In this article @bluearrowMaps gives a crash course on what counties to keep an eye on to get an early idea which way things are shaking out on Nov. 5.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 month
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@TylerEnglander
Tyler Englander
1 month
Breaking: A spokesperson for Governor Glenn Youngkin’s PAC says @GovernorVA will no longer support North Carolina Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson’s campaign for Governor.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Before tomorrow's election take a look at our article on the the Mississippi governor's race between Tate Reeves and Brandon Presley. #msgov
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
9 months
As Donald Trump turns to the longest general election ever, he has reason to be worried about his footing with independent voters. Contributor @samshirazim looks into Trump's potential issues with these voters this fall. #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
11 months
Pivot Point's deep dive into the North Carolina Republican's brutal gerrymander. @bluearrowMaps breaks it all down the state Senate maps in the first of our series.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 month
If you're tired of "analysis" that ages this poorly give Pivot Point a try.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
22 days
Early voting is down and if you want to see why click this article (ours not the one from the post)
@henryolsenEPPC
Henry Olsen
22 days
Early voting is down — and the numbers hold bad news for Democrats. My latest for ⁦ @nypost ⁩!
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
As @DjsokeSpeaking pointed out for Pivot Point, Democrat's VBM numbers won't look anything like 2020 at all. More will vote on Election day, and more will VBM later in the cycle.
@EricLDaugh
Eric Daugherty
2 months
🚨 In PENNSYLVANIA, "we're starting with a more Republican, less Democratic absentee [mail-in ballot] request list" for the 2024 election...
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
11 months
Stay tuned later this week for @bluearrowMaps second article in our North Carolina gerrymandering series #ncpol
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
11 months
Part II of our deep dive into the Republican gerrymander in North Carolina. This time @bluearrowMaps looks into the State House maps. #electiontwitter #ncpol
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
9 months
In an era of limited ticket splitting, Bob Casey consistently outruns his fellow Democrats. Contributor @blockedfreq looks into the emerging delta between the presidential and senatorial races in Pennsylvania this fall. #papol
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
@bluearrowMaps 3rd article in our series on the regions that will define next week's Kentucky election - this time Louisville and its collar counties. Then check out bonus HD93 coverage at the bottom of the article.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
4 months
Last year we spoke with @nicholas6284 about the civil war in #myanmar . We checked back in with him to see how this undercovered war is playing out.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
6 months
@bluearrowMaps take a look at the first 5 State Leg seats we're keeping an eye on. Let us know what you think!
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
11 months
👀 Thank you to everyone who helped us gain 450% in followers! Special thanks to @lxeagle17 , @admcrlsn , @DjsokeSpeaking and @Athenas_Son_V . We're forever grateful
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
11 months
100 followers isn't much, but it's the most we've ever had. Thank you! #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
3 months
A *ahem* in-depth look at the @KamalaHarris VP shortlist and more with great insight and analysis by @bluearrowMaps .
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
More State Legislative seats to keep an eye on now that we're in a full on sprint towards election day by @bluearrowMaps #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
3 months
We have a monster Beshear article coming, whether he's the pick or not. So stay tuned. #vp
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 month
Everything always happens seems like an apt description of this summer. In a two part series we are going to examine the anomaly that is 2024. In the first article we look at it from the perspective of the Harris campaign.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
30 days
FWIW our internal model gives Harris a 59% chance of winning with just over a month to go. Popular vote at Harris +3.25
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
We have Mississippi rated as likely Republican, but here is a quick guide to the counties we're watching tonight to see if Presley is able to flip. #MSGov #ElectionDay2023
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
3 months
Tim Walz has been the VP pick for about 24 hours. Read how we went from relatively unknown outside of Twitter and Minnesota to the top of Kamala's pick.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
9 months
It's primary day! Not to be confused with GOP caucus day (that's on Thursday) #wematter #Elections
@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
9 months
Our own resident Nevadan @zach_solomon1 writes about the impending chaos ensuing this week with the GOP primary on Tuesday and caucus on Thursday taking place in the "First in the West" state. Check out his article here. #wematter #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
8 months
As we enter this long general election season, @samshirazim shows us how to ride the "pollercoaster"!
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
3 months
@blockedfreq : "PA is going to see more GDP than a third world country shoveled into every street corner from Erie to King of Prussia." #papol
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
3 months
@blockedfreq wrote another article for us jam packed with PA insights. This one focused on how all that has happened in the last month shakes out in Pennsylvania.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
3 months
@bluearrowMaps looks at counties that have matched the popular vote in the 21st century and which will likely keep their streaks alive in 24.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 month
ICYMI: our article on the unfolding Mark Robinson situation™️
@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 month
The one with Mark Robinson: you made your bed, now lie in it
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
We review the current Senate landscape below. Take a look!
@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
Will Senate Democrats continue outrunning the top of the ticket? Will Tester and Brown pull off another miracle? Click below to see the (second) biggest show in town! #Senate
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Race Call: Kentucky Democrat Adrielle Camuel has won the special election for HD93.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 month
How and when American's vote this year will look strange if you're expecting a repeat of 2020. What Sam says here is pretty much right, but if you want a couple thousand more words on it check out @DjsokeSpeaking article for us -
@samshirazim
Sam Shirazi
1 month
Also trends I expect in Virginia and across much of the country compared to 2020 Mail: Less Dem and less of it In-Person Early: Less Dem and more of it Election Day: Less GOP and less of it But overall there will be be less polarization across voting methods
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
10 months
Thanks to you all. With our first year (almost) over/heading into our first full year, we're proud of what we've accomplished so far/and excited for what's next. 2024 will be a momentous year and we'll be there covering American elections without spin or pre-determined narrative.
@alexmpastor
Alex Pastor
10 months
Thankful for anyone who wrote for, appeared in, supported, followed and/or read @pivotpointelect . Especially @bluearrowMaps , @zach_solomon1 , @admcrlsn , @GTCarfree and @nicholas6284 . #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
5 months
Anytime!
@samshirazim
Sam Shirazi
5 months
Thanks for this opportunity to give my hot take on the Virginia polling discourse The TLDR version is below Still hoping for more polling here to get a better sense of exactly what’s going on
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Before the election Pivot Point published an article highlighting 10 counties to keep an eye on in the #msgov race. In this article we see how @BrandonPresley did in them. He flipped 5 of a possible 6.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Check out Pivot Point's second article continuing the trip around Kentucky. This time @bluearrowMaps explores the role western Kentucky will play in next month's election. #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
As ballot requests start streaming in now would be a good time to take a look at our recent article by @DjsokeSpeaking comparing early votes in 2020 vs what we're going to see in 2024 #electiontwitter
@WinWithJMC
John Couvillon
2 months
JMC'S EARLY VOTE TRACKER (9/10) 1. 70K more mail REQUESTS posted since yesterday from FL/GA/NC - new total is 802K requests 2. NC is the only state with statewide party data (for FL, only 5 counties are in). NC requests are 40-22-38% D/R/I. At this point in time in 2020, (1/3)
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 month
Once more, if you're tired of analysis like this from Chris Cillizza try Pivot Point.
@ChrisCillizza
Chris Cillizza
1 month
A friend recently texted me -- with an explanation for why non-true believers might vote for Trump. It's below. I also wrote about it in my latest newsletter. Read it for FREE. Subscribe via the link in my bio!
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
11 months
If you missed our article breaking down the Sean Reyes scandal and its connection to the Utah Senate race click this link. #utpol
@RobertGehrke
Robert Gehrke
11 months
Ahem. Attorney General Sean Reyes will announce tomorrow that he will not seek re-election next year, becoming the third consecutive AG whose tenure was tarnished by scandal. #utpol
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
6 months
Angela Alsobrooks will face off against former Gov. Larry Hogan in the fall. Click the tweet below to read our article from earlier today.
@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
6 months
Today's hotly contested primary will determine who faces former Gov. Larry Hogan in the fall. Can Hogan play hero for Republicans? @JamesLNPol takes a look below.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
11 months
ICYMI: Tim Ballard is the center of attention this fall in Utah. Two statewide primaries revolve around him as his star fades. #utsen #utag
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
Our article looking at Dem's chances in GA after their upset in 2020 if you missed it on Friday.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
24 days
We've got a race on our hands in Ohio! In this 2nd of 4-ish articles on the Senate "Majority Makers" we tackle the Buckeye state. We have this rated as a tossup, but right now you'd rather be Brown by a nose #OHpol #Senate
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
3 months
Could a sharper contrast between VP picks possibly be drawn?
@alexmpastor
Alex Pastor
3 months
Amirite?
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
Our contributors @GTCarfree @samshirazim @blockedfreq @jnewt_maps @davidsacc12345 @DjsokeSpeaking have helped us immensely over the last year. Please follow them all, you won't regret it. And a special thank you to @nicholas6284
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 month
@maxtmcc We kept it at likely, for now. But fully expect it can move quickly once polling comes in.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
21 days
Today is a great day to follow Pivot Point!
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
When we get an article from @blockedfreq we know it's going to be a doozy
@admcrlsn
Adam Carlson
2 months
I try not to put my blind faith in anyone. But you’d be a fool not to take Joshua seriously. No one knows Pennsylvania better than him. And he won’t sugarcoat it if things turn south for Harris in the next 49 days.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Pivot Point's look into the dynamics of the Mississippi governor's race and whether Brandon Presley has a chance by @alexmpastor . #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
With Louisiana uncontested Pivot Point's final ratings are #kygov - Lean Democrat #msgov - Likely Republican
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
2 months
Great thread by @alaskanrobby on his new article for Pivot Point!
@alaskanrobby
alaskanrobby📍
2 months
Peltola won in June 2022 partly because not enough Begich voters ranked Palin as their 2nd choice. Instead of trying to win 2nd choice voters, the AKGOP is avoid RCV altogether in most races. I wrote about this effort in-depth and “ballot exhaustion” for @pivotpointelect 👇
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Race Call: Celeste Maloy (R) wins the special election for #UT02
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Vote 3 ends with Jordan losing 25 votes. He could only afford to lose 5 members of the Republican caucus. #electiontwitter
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
4 months
The story the whole political world is on pins and needles over... @bluearrowMaps takes a look at the next 5 state leg. races to keep an eye on in this in-depth article.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
1 year
Here is the second in our series taking a look at the upcoming Kentucky gubernatorial election. This time we take a look at Western Kentucky.
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@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
24 days
Tomorrow morning we'll have an article on the Ohio Senate race, the second in our "Majority Makers" Senate series. To check out the first see the link to our Montana article below. #OHpol #MTpol #Senate
@pivotpointelect
Pivot Point Analysis
30 days
Senate control could very well come down to a shootout in big sky country and right now we're seeing red. Pivot Point currently has the race at Lean R. #Montana #Senate
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