gelbrat @jonahbgelbach Twitter profile

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

I used to have like 6000 followers. I felt like The Man. But with this account, not even 1K. I. Am. INDY

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

I was on the Econ job market in 1997-98. The chair of a hiring committee and I were trying to schedule my interview at the meetings. I mentioned one time that would work and he said, we could do that, but the department chair would have to miss it… 1/x

Malcolm Harris

@BigMeanInternet

3 months

What's something in the world you know you're directly responsible for but if you were to claim credit you'd sound crazy?

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Entry-level salaries took off very soon after that. Of course it could’ve been the dot com boom or some other set of causes. But it might’ve been At least partly because of one loose-lipped hiring chair, me, and an FTC official in January 1998. 8/fin

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

A year or two later, I heard that the chairs no longer had such meetings, and I have a vague recollection of having heard that there was heat from the government. 7/x

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

When I got to the part about salary setting, his eyes got wide and he asked me something like are you serious? When I confirmed that, I got the distinct sense from him that some enforcement was about to happen. 6/x

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

… Because he will be at the meeting with other chairs, where they collude to set salaries For new assistant professors. (That’s a paraphrase, but it was in substance exactly what he said.) 2/c

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

At the end, I said, I do have one question about an unrelated matter. He listened as I told him about the conversation I had had with the hiring chair I mentioned above (I did not name, names or institutions). 5/x

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

The meetings roll around. One of my first interviews was with the FTC. The interview was just me and the head of the division or whatever the unit is called. 3/x

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

It was a very nice, affirming interview (More than most to be clear). 4/x

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@jonahbgelbach

1 month

@Andrew___Baker yikes who hasn't found that in their code preferably before circulating results i know you hate stata, but for those who use it: this is why it's good to always define a "touse" variable eg . gen touse = x1!=. & x2!=. and only then do . replace x3 = (x1!=0 | x2!=0) if touse

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

4 months

And anyone who calls Catherine Fisk or Erwin Chemerinsky a white supremacist is a clown who should be ignored. 2/x

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@jonahbgelbach

4 months

The video provided is Short, so the usual proviso applies. That said, I recognize the house in question And and it’s quite clear that the woman with the Microphone was Behaving awfully. 1/x

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

And a huge fraction of them have the same phone

Eyal Yakoby

@EYakoby

3 months

The tents are identical at every single school. Either, they all coincidentally ordered the same tent OR a single source is paying for all of this to happen.

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

@Andrew___Baker started reading book of why A few months ago. got to part where he claims nobody understood causality until he created do notation. Tbc I see how the notation is useful. But mainly, I was glad that he had released me from any expectation that I should read the rest of the book

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

4 months

There are many places to protest. The home of a person who has invited you to dinner should not be one of them. This is a sad event for the Berkeley Law community. /fin

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

A reasonable reaction to this thread is, “Wow isn’t it crazy that economists were foiling competitive forces in their own field!” Now consider the fact that Econ journals do not allow authors to submit papers simultaneously to other Econ journals …

gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

I was on the Econ job market in 1997-98. The chair of a hiring committee and I were trying to schedule my interview at the meetings. I mentioned one time that would work and he said, we could do that, but the department chair would have to miss it… 1/x

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Can someone at Columbia ask Mike Johnson tomorrow what his view is about what will happen to Jews at the rapture?

Reese Gorman

@reesejgorman

3 months

Inbox: Speaker Johnson will travel to Columbia University tomorrow to “Deliver Remarks and Hold Press Conference on Antisemitism at Columbia University.”

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Hello Twitter we are in Paris to see @taylorswift13 Thanks to @LeahLitman for the shirts! #GetawayCar #VigilanteShit

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

1 month

Famously, the set of cases that get to the Supreme Court are a random draw from the set of all disputes

Jason Willick

@jawillick

1 month

9-0 for abortion drugs, 8-1 for gun control, 6-3 for Biden social media censorship pressure. Is this court as big a threat to progressive governance as Democrats have made it out to be? Or just a modest check on worst abuses? The latter.

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Definitely no due process problem with terminating a student's access to campus on the basis of an arrest on whose prob cause the University virtually defaults

Lily Kepner

@lilykepner

3 months

New protest rules form today: @UTAustin says those who have previously been arrested for trespassing aren’t allowed on campus. I asked if it matters if charges were dropped, a UT spokesperson said it doesn’t. @statesman

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@jonahbgelbach

1 month

What a catastrophe the conservative legal movement has been for America. I know that I have friends who disagree. With no less personal love and care for them, I regret it, but I am sorry: they are wrong. Look where they and their champions have brought us as a nation.

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@jonahbgelbach

14 days

@JakeMGrumbach Make him spend it all

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@jonahbgelbach

2 months

@asymmetricinfo Kind of need to stipulate that Biden is a career criminal for the comparison to make any sense. But while we’re at it, which Democrats have gone nuts about the prosecution of Hunter Biden (During his father’s admin!)

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

4 months

I will say, as I have said many times, that I am repulsed by Israel’s conduct of its war. I will say again that I have disagreements with my Dean about his views on Israel and antisemitism. But I am appalled at this conduct by people he invited into his home. 4/x

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

5 months

@BMMillsy I think there’s value in demonstrating that within roughly equivalent classes of schools, there is a lot of randomness. In other words, such tweets are informative, even leaving aside whether someone overcame some shit.

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Jason Kelce is a remarkably clear thinker

Jason Kelce

@JasonKelce

3 months

@jayprivman I understand, I dont take offense at all. what I’m saying is that it’s completely reasonable to think I have CTE. Even though there is no test to see if I currently have CTE, The evidence suggests I probably do. Just like the reality that a lot, if not most of the high level

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

5 months

@joshchafetz Do you think they are trying to sink him, or get him nominated for the Supreme Court?

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

@florianederer Had actually forgotten about it until I saw the OP I RTd. AMA.

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

A reminder that he called a Georgia official in furtherance of an attempt at massive cheating

Aaron Rupar

@atrupar

3 months

WELKER: Will you accept the results of the 2024 election no matter who wins? LINDSEY GRAHAM: Yeah, I'll accept them if there's no massive cheating

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

4 months

For Dean Chemerinsky’s description of the event, which occurred at a dinner for Berkeley Law. Students held at his home, see this link. 3/x

Statement from Dean Erwin Chemerinsky

I have spent my career staunchly defending freedom of speech. I have spent my years as a dean trying hard to create a warm, inclusive community. I am deeply saddened by these events.

www.law.berkeley.edu

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

Having Andrew as a junior colleague, I can definitely empathize with the mama bear

Nature is Amazing ☘️

@AMAZlNGNATURE

2 months

the little bear is distracted by a balloon instead of crossing. mama bear comes back for him

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

Napoli!

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

@asymmetricinfo 1 you’re confusing Bragg with James (civil case) 2 I mean if you want to call hunter Bidens charges victimless crimes I wouldn’t argue with you Megan 3 you’re changing the subject

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

15 days

At Wrigley for first time in my life With my son It’s great Bye

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

I’ve lost two family members to GBMs, one at 69 and one at 29. (This is the kind of tumor that killed Teddy Kennedy and John McCain as well.) I know the sample sizes are low. Still. Just amazing to imagine that an effective treatment might be on the horizon.

Sar Haribhakti

@sarthakgh

3 months

“"In a first-ever human clinical trial of four adult patients, an mRNA cancer vaccine developed at the University of Florida quickly reprogrammed the immune system to attack glioblastoma, the most aggressive and lethal brain tumor." Stunning

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Har har isn’t threatening police brutality so funny

Christopher J. Scalia

@cjscalia

3 months

If you need me I'll be writing my new country song, "Try That at a Large Public University in a Red State."

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

1 month

I knew him when

UC Berkeley Law

@BerkeleyLaw

1 month

Tweet by Prof. @OrinKerr quoted in @VanityFair : “I don't know if Trump is going to be reelected in 2024. But I know that, if he is, he's going to preface every blatantly illegal thing he does by saying, 'Official act, this is an official act.'”

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

4 months

Disgusting & repugnant. Anyone who follows me knows that I am repulsed by Israel's conduct of the war in Gaza. I disagree strongly with some of my Dean's views about Israel & antisemitism. Like my Dean, I believe fervently in free expression. And: What's below is disgraceful.

Jennifer Taub

@jentaub

4 months

💯 Antisemitism on full display at Berkeley Law School. I cherish freedom of speech because, I like to hear what people think to learn from them and sometimes to avoid them. Or, to know what we are up against.

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

1 month

@Josh_Merfeld In fairness, you absolutely cannot estimate OLS because OLS is an estimator rather than an estimand.

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

Sitting in a starbucks, working, with a slight hangover. They have EDM on the hifi system, and it is cranked and this is great, just like what grad-student jonah expected would happen if he made it to 52

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

12 days

AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH

Jesse Rodriguez

@JesseRodriguez

12 days

Elon Musk backs down from $45 million a month pledge to Trump, says he doesn’t ‘subscribe to cult of personality’

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

4 months

Dear law professors, Why few people read your work outside of academia is because you have TOO MANY DAMN FOOTNOTES

julia🦄

@KamerynJW

4 months

Dear mathematicians, Why few people read your work outside of academia is because you intentionally phrase things in a way that is exclusive to academia. Few on the outside understand, or care to understand symbolic logic. Either change it or accept the cult label.

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@jonahbgelbach

1 month

I’ve disagreed w/people who wanted to replace Biden, & I’ve thought most suggestions he’s confused were based on distortions. I don’t think I was wrong given information Available, but that’s beside the point. The information available now is much different. He should step aside

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

@CAndrewFrank OMG!! Thank you for this, brought a huge smile to my face. Keep in touch

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

@steve_vladeck @JoeDudekJD You see Steve, he is not bound by it except when he chooses to be. In this case he has chosen to be bound, so it is out of his hands. You are welcome.

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

11 days

So glad this man was our wedding photographer

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

Breakfast in Naples

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

4 months

Grad school exam, i was unable to answer most of the actual questions. I wrote a note to the professor explaining that for that reason, I was going to write what I *had* learned. He circled the most egregious part and wrote “THIS is what you learned??”

The PhD Place

@ThePhDPlace

4 months

What’s the most memorable feedback you’ve received on your work?

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

4 months

Solid performance for one week, losing 1/3 of your value

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

@whstancil Agree that they are too timid. In general there’s a problem with Trump outrages that there are so many that it can be hard to settle on clear themes. But “he’s been convicted of 34 felonies over a scheme to keep voters in the dark” seems like an easy enough nail to hammer.

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@jonahbgelbach

4 months

@MaxKennerly Even the current restrictions are really onerous for people who need these drugs. It's so hard when you can't get your kid's meds and have to go without, or with random-draw maybe-it'll-work alternatives that happen to be available.

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Back to London for some dumplings & sriracha brisket bao bun, and a rhubarb gin and tonic at the Mayfair Mercato

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Sorry to report that even at age 52, reduced drinking, enough sleep, & morning exercise makes me feel good (Was hoping that I would grow into my bad habits but ofc no)

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

@jadler1969 I agree that it’s good This case came out this way. But we are talking about a subterranean bar. Not impressive to high jump over it…. you just have to avoid accidentally falling through a locked hatch into the basement.

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

If your view is syllogistically "Arrest/expel/suspend the protesters b/c they're breaking the rules," do you feel the same way about in-dorm use of alcohol? About edibles? Postering where not allowed? Jaywalking? Etc.

gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Quite. Tbc, how to handle encampments/building takeovers strikes me as a context-dependent question. But the simple just-enforce-the-law position simply does not survive first contact with the many ways in which prosecutorial discretion (necessarily) operates in our society.

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@jonahbgelbach

2 months

Actual footage of Econ Department life in the 1990s @KhoaVuUmn

Nature is Amazing ☘️

@AMAZlNGNATURE

2 months

i have so many questions

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@jonahbgelbach

2 months

Ciao Amalfi!

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Valuable perspective from one of the most thoughtful and fair-minded commentators I have seen on Twitter (I realize the bar is low, but this person would make it over a much higher one).

Ahmed Fouad Alkhatib

@afalkhatib

3 months

I went to the UCLA campus last night and spent a few hours there before the police dispersed the encampment. I wanted to see the pro-Palestine student protests for myself and get a sense of the atmosphere, energy, and students, as well as the movement's focus and the desired

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

I hope professor Fohlin sues. ludicrous degree of force, and I’m just talking about the first assaulter. These people should not be police.

Natasha Barnes

@UICProfWatch

3 months

@MiddleEastEye Here’s @EmoryUniversity economics professor Caroline Fohlin knocked to the ground with her head on the concrete. Her glasses are thrown off. She shouts “I’m a professor” #Gaza #Protesters

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@jonahbgelbach

20 days

So impressed by the FedSoc judges. Definitely not Driven by policy or politics. Congrats.

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@jonahbgelbach

4 months

Taking an actual day off of work today. Like, not going to do any. Can’t remember the last one. Went to my kid’s 10u game. Heading to a minor-league game tonight. Could get used to this.

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@jonahbgelbach

4 months

Orin Kerr is a treasure. We disagree about lots of things, but (in addition to being a fine colleague and friend) he is the best example I know of someone willing to call BS across the ideological spectrum.

Orin Kerr

@OrinKerr

4 months

@realChrisBrunet Maybe say more on how this "killed" VDARE? According to the post, they were served subpoenas, legal challenges were made to it, the subpoenas were modified, and VDARE hasn't yet complied. They're being fined $250 a day until they comply. Fines stop when they comply.

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

The parts of this thread that involve IRB and acknowledgments are pretty much clownish. However, this tweet, and the next one in the thread appear At first glance to involve substantively serious instances of plagiarism. Partisans w/poor judgment can make good points.

Aaron Sibarium

@aaronsibarium

3 months

Anderson, who served as the diversity czar for MIT's computer science college until last year, when she left to become Boston Beer Company's inclusion and belonging program manager, likewise copied copious material from other scholars.

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@jonahbgelbach

26 days

Going to try to take a break from here for a while. Let me just say: 1 I think running Biden is a mistake bc it seems likely that all the risk is downside, which is not true of Harris. 2 I desperately hope that I am wrong and that he wins & we win the House & keep the Senate.

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@jonahbgelbach

1 month

@ben_golub Supreme Court

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

😍

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@jonahbgelbach

29 days

This is so true. Biden’s clear incapacity to run a real campaign, especially an energetic negative one against a guy who is apparently leading him, is a critical reason why he is the wrong person for this job.

Matthew Yglesias

@mattyglesias

29 days

I think a lot of people, including those who’ve been severely critical of Biden, are underrating how much upside there would be to having a nominee who was regularly appearing on television / podcasts / YouTube shows delivering crisp anti-Trump talking points.

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@jonahbgelbach

4 months

This guy is totally right, because teachers and schools definitely know each student’s career trajectory

Mark Palmer

@MarketPalmer_

4 months

I'm 31. I've still never needed to use calculus, write in cursive, fire up a bunsen burner, or dissect a frog. Spent a lot of time on those things in school, and minimal time on the things that DO impact our everyday lives. It might be time to revisit education standards.

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@jonahbgelbach

2 months

This app still below-market priced

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@jonahbgelbach

2 months

Suppose 1 X is ethical for person P do 2 Not-X is ethical for person P to do. Then without a good reason having to do with the nature of X, I think it should be reasonable to assume that randomizing between doing X and not-X is ethical for P to do. 1/x

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@jonahbgelbach

23 days

This is the fundamental issue. He is not running a real campaign, much less an aggressive one. And what he needs to do is run an aggressive campaign that reminds voters of what a catastrophe Donald Trump is. That’s the minimum Bar here, and no one thinks he can do it.

Matthew Yglesias

@mattyglesias

23 days

Since the press conference was so impressive, he’s going to start doing these regularly right? Use them as a chance to drive the anti-Trump message and win the election?

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@jonahbgelbach

4 months

@kevinbaum013 That spot is between the backyard and the door to the house. There are probably 100 students trying to eat at tables in the backyard. Respectfully, given the actual facts of the situation, I think your solution likely was infeasible. Some situations are no-win.

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

“Fighting a biased judge” ==> from A person who wanted to testify as to the law.

Brad Smith

@CommishSmith

3 months

/2 fighting a biased judge in a forum where the jury is probably stacked against them; I'm sure they get almost no sleep, they're lucky to grab a slice of pizza in the courthouse for lunch, they have a client who, I'm guessing, is not the kind to say "whatever you want to do..."

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@jonahbgelbach

2 months

😍❤️🥰🍦🐶🐕🍕

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@jonahbgelbach

16 days

GELBACH: BIDEN CAMPAIGN CHAIR HAS LOTS TO LOSE IF NOT AND SO IS NOT A CREDIBLE SOURCE AT THIS PARTICULAR MOMENT

NewsWire

@NewsWire_US

16 days

BIDEN CAMPAIGN CHAIR: BIDEN WILL BE BACK ON CAMPAIGN TRAIL NEXT WEEK

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Utterly repulsive.

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

@andreamatranga I think that point got desk-rejected

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Quite. Tbc, how to handle encampments/building takeovers strikes me as a context-dependent question. But the simple just-enforce-the-law position simply does not survive first contact with the many ways in which prosecutorial discretion (necessarily) operates in our society.

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@jonahbgelbach

5 months

Trolling Lindsey Graham, and making fun of his own age in the same moment is just perfect

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@jonahbgelbach

3 months

I gather appendicitis pain can come and go. I hope it’s not too interesting of a weekend. But for now he’s asleep and happily so. Horrible to see and hear your child in agony. Fin.

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@jonahbgelbach

2 months

@jenniferdoleac In case you're serious (not prejudging!), IMO: 1 It's fine to do the thread as long as you think it's fine to have whatever impact you do 2 Whatever the ethical issues of the experimental paper are, they have to do with the ethics of *experiments* rather than ethics of *RTs*😀

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@jonahbgelbach

1 month

Can federal agencies just say that their rules will not apply in the northern district of Texas or in Louisiana?

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@jonahbgelbach

1 month

Texshmualism is alive and well

Eric Segall

@espinsegall

1 month

Text:

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

4 months

@JeffreyASachs This is that moment when, #asajew , I ask: Suppose a University had deplatformed a Jewish valedictorian because of unexplained "security concerns". The rest of the script is obvious.

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@jonahbgelbach

2 months

Surprised to see people on Twitter taking maximalist positions on ethical questions without seeming to have reflected on the underlying issues

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@jonahbgelbach

1 month

@Andrew___Baker Now when he says “normally”

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@jonahbgelbach

5 months

@littmath @Josh_Merfeld Yeah, I’m thinking on reflection that Josh’s results are probably within reasonable sampling variation of small win for HT

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@jonahbgelbach

1 month

A key here is the phrase “the work of”: to “praise the work of a scholar” is not “to praise the scholar” as a person. Further, to cite is not necessarily to praise.

Mark Joseph Stern

@mjs_DC

1 month

@nicholas_bagley I’m pretty sure you wouldn’t praise the work of a scholar who, say, advocates for the imprisonment of people in an interracial marriage. There is a line. You just don’t think Vermeule’s extreme homophobia crosses it. And that says something about the hierarchy of your own values!

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@jonahbgelbach

2 months

This has been one of my top six questions for a long time

Nature is Amazing ☘️

@AMAZlNGNATURE

2 months

Why bear soft if not to pet 🤨

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

The @ColumLRev site is back up. The piece by @RabeaEghbariah whose censorship was achieved via the Board of Director’s disabling of the website is published at 1/x

TOWARD NAKBA AS A LEGAL CONCEPT - Columbia Law Review

“This is a unique colonialism that we’ve been subjected to where they have no use for us. The best Palestinian for them is either dead or gone. It’s not that they want to exploit us, or that they...

columbialawreview.org

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Off to London Try not to go any farther off the rails, America

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Nowhere better, given Les constraints

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

Would you believe, “manual lasso”?

Michael Wiebe

@michael_wiebe

1 year

@AdrienMatray How is this an unintentional error? You're directly shrinking the pre-treatment coefficients to hide evidence of pretrends.

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

3 months

Guarding the house from red State Governors

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

5 months

Extremely important development, fantastic news.

United States Courts

@uscourts

5 months

The Judicial Conference of the United States today strengthened the policy governing random case assignment to limit the practice of “judge shopping,” when litigants strategically choose where to file cases in hopes of being assigned a certain judge.

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

1 month

I get the sense the dam is about to break

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

1 month

Points for "vassal of horror" as well as "I am at every disadvantage," as well as "and I wholeheartedly believe the bug is aware of this". Beautiful writing! I hope the student makes it.

Stephanie Sezen

@stelifanie

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

2 months

The little-known embedded federal question pardon

Vivek Ramaswamy

@VivekGRamaswamy

2 months

Can Trump be pardoned by the President for the conviction in NY? Answer: YES. Here’s why: the New York felony charges directly relied on claims that Trump violated federal law. New York prosecuted Trump based on the novel legal theory that he committed a misdemeanor (falsifying

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gelbrat

@jonahbgelbach

4 months

@AnnMLipton His quitting seems like a Pareto efficient result

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@jonahbgelbach

1 month

Biden not disowning his son is one thing. This is a totally different, entirely unacceptable thing.

Ken Dilanian

@KenDilanianNBC

1 month

Hunter Biden has joined meetings with President Biden and his top aides this week at the White House, four people familiar with the matter tell my colleagues, who are told the reaction from some senior White House staff has been, “What the hell is happening?”

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@jonahbgelbach

14 days

He’s back!!!

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