Eva Vivalt @evavivalt Twitter profile

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Eva Vivalt

3 years

A thread to highlight some features of the Social Science Prediction Platform that may not be obvious: 🧵👇 @socscipredict @sdellavi

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

Yikes. The World Bank's Doing Business Report was engaging in specification searching, encouraged by those at very high levels, to boost or reduce certain countries' scores. Some quotes from the doc that just landed today. 🧵 1/n

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

1 year

Some professional news: I am taking leave from the University of Toronto to serve as the Director of the Global Priorities Institute at the University of Oxford. 1/

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Big personal news: Gabriel and I are moving to the University of Toronto! I'll be an assistant professor in the econ department. I'll miss my colleagues at ANU but am very excited for this new chapter. I feel incredibly lucky, especially given the pandemic.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

Yay! We won a ~$2.5 mil NIH grant to look at the impact of income on child health and well-being. @smilleralert @AlexBartik

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

I haven't known how to share this story, but I do want to get it off my chest, so here goes. It's a story of discrimination. I'm sure everyone has one. Thread:

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

First day officially at the University of Toronto! I'd like to try something new to help provide advice and mentoring (and also manage requests). "Open office hours": An hour where anyone anywhere in the world can sign up for a twenty minute slot to chat about research.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

1 year

Happy to share that my paper with @AidanCoville , "How Do Policymakers Update Their Beliefs?", is accepted at the JDE! We leverage World Bank and IDB workshops to examine how policymakers, practitioners and researchers respond to #evidence . Here is what we find: 🧵

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

I've been trying to avoid Twitter, but briefly here to share some #COVID19 #data that could be helpful to other people (in no particular order). Feel free to add other resources! #EconTwitter 1/n

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Discrimination isn't always blatant. Sometimes, it's as simple as not inviting someone into the room.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

"How Much Can We Generalize From Impact Evaluations" is out at JEEA! Here's a thread with the key takeaways.... 1/

JEEA

@JEEA_News

4 years

Forthcoming article by @evavivalt @UofT “How Much Can We Generalize From Impact Evaluations?” @EEANews @OUPEconomics

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

Great news! I just got awarded $174,921 from the Russell Sage Foundation for a (solo) project on unclaimed property. This was the last piece I needed, so now I can get started!

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

2 years

With all that's going on, I didn't celebrate yet: I won a large research grant from the Spencer Foundation for work on the impact of cash transfers on #education , with @AlexBartik , @smilleralert & Elizabeth Rhodes. We have been cleaning up this year! NIH, NSF, now this. Go team!

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

2 years

Looking forward to our session at #ASSA2023 on evidence use in policymaking! Featuring work by Shaoda Wang & @david_yang ; myself & @AidanCoville ; @sdellavi , Woojin Kim & @ElizabethLinos ; @mrsultan713 , Shaheen Naseer & @Daniel_L_Chen ; and @mattietoma & Elizabeth Bell. Stop by!

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Striking. Bear in mind the conclusion: "Does this mean pandemics are good for health? No. Instead it means that the way our economies operate absent pandemics has massive hidden health costs, and it takes a pandemic to help see that."

Marshall Burke

@MarshallBBurke

4 years

Reductions in air pollution due to COVID-19 in China have probably saved 20x the number of lives than have so far been lost to the virus. Does not mean pandemics are good, but rather that our economies absent pandemics are bad for health (Thread 1/n)

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

2 years

A lot of good news recently: an R&R and two grants worth almost $1 mil together... bringing the total grants in the past year (including collaborations) to $4.86 mil (can I call that "almost 5"?).

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

6 years

100 women in the House. That's still not enough, but it's a damn fine start. For reference, here is a plot of women in the House over time.* (1/n) #100women #ElectionNight

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

8 months

So, now that a verdict is in, I feel like sharing that back in 2019/2020 when I was into arbitrage, I looked into using FTX as a platform and did not because it looked too much like a scam. I was put off by several things: 🧵

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 months

Had a great time presenting on cash transfers at my alma mater. Bonus: random snowstorm.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Human. Challenge. Trials. Hopefully, next time people will remember this experience.

Caleb Watney

@calebwatney

4 years

One of the most insane details of our current ordeal is that the Moderna vaccine was actually designed in two days. In January.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

1 year

Hiring a research assistant / pre-doc for the Social Science Prediction Platform! Work with @sdellavi and me to analyze data on forecast accuracy. Details: @socscipredict @econ_ra

Research Assistant / Pre-Doc Position | Eva Vivalt

Location: Toronto, Canada Job description: The Social Science Prediction Platform is an online platform that enables researchers to collect ex ante forecasts of what their studies will find. These...

evavivalt.com

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

Very important paper by Travis Baseler: young people in rural areas in Kenya mispredict wages in cities (migrants from rural areas have incentive to misreport back home), and providing accurate info can increase migration.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

A couple of years later, they also manipulated the data for Saudi Arabia, at the expense of Jordan. This is all really bad. Full report here: 8/8

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Happy to announce the new and improved Social Science Prediction Platform is now open with three initial studies to forecast! Follow @socscipredict for updates as more studies are added in the coming weeks. I've blogged about the launch here:

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

2 years

When people say they can't imagine how the future could get much better, my knee-jerk impulse is to think they haven't yet experienced back pain or other physical deterioration.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

Ever wonder "Were those results p-hacked?" Brodeur et al. propose a useful new check ("speccheck" on Stata. R/etc. coming soon). #ASSA2020

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

Surprised this hasn't gotten more attention! There is now a Patient Philanthropy Fund which invests and grows your donations while constantly monitoring whether there are any exceptionally good opportunities that would motivate disbursing it. 1/ 🧵

Vox

@voxdotcom

3 years

Would you donate to a charity that won’t pay out for centuries?

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

10 months

Happy to share that our team studying the impact of large, sustained unconditional cash transfers won a SSHRC Insight Grant and a second NIH grant! @AlexBartik @smilleralert @elizabethrds

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

7 months

FYI for those for whom it is relevant: There will soon be a new database of harmonized, cross-checked RCT results in international #development , put together by a consortium of global institutions led by the @WorldBank . I'm really excited about this. #EconTwitter

AidGrade

@AidGrade

7 months

Thrilled to announce a collaboration with the @WorldBank on the Impact Data and Evidence Aggregation Library (IDEAL)! IDEAL will provide an open repository of impact evaluation results that could be used for meta-analysis and policy. Learn more here:

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

My article "Specification Searching and Significance Inflation Across Time, Methods and Disciplines" is now published on Early View:

Specification Searching and Significance Inflation Across Time, Methods and Disciplines

This paper examines how significance inflation has varied across time, methods and disciplines. Leveraging a unique data set of impact evaluations on 20 kinds of development programmes, I find that...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

So happy to be with this guy.

Eva Vivalt, Gabriel Carroll (Published 2019)

The couple initially met when both were prospective doctoral students in economics at Berkeley, then met again years later on OkCupid.

www.nytimes.com

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

6 months

I track my time. I worked more hours in 2023 than I ever have in my life, and I kind of think 2024 will be similar. But I've no regrets. It was a tiring blast. Happy New Year!

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

1 year

Reran a discrete choice experiment with @AidanCoville and @sampskc in which policy professionals were asked to pick between different studies - but we also had them forecast the effects of different programs. 1/

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Department holiday party on Zoom had a game, organized by the grad students, where you saw photos of faculty members from early childhood and had to guess who was who. My pic:

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

The bank was looking to get funds from China, and China wasn't going to be happy with its placement. 2/n

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

One of the best feelings is when a former RA who's a really good fit for it gets into a PhD program.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

Really sympathetic audience at Northwestern... I wonder how departments develop their norms around how nice to be.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

6 months

This #ASSA2024 , I had the distinction of being the first presenter in the first session of the first day and the last discussant of the last paper of the last session of the last day. 😂

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

Finalist for a large grant! Super-excited.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

With COVID, we've been fixing things that break at home ourselves. Yesterday, I fixed the kitchen faucet. Today, Gabriel fixed the toilet. I joked that we should go into plumbing, and he replied that Esther Duflo would be so proud of us. 🤣

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Just attended an online conference using Gather during the breaks. It has rooms, and you can move your avatar up to other people to video chat them and mingle. A little creepy, but mostly cool! Here's me before I went to find other people.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

2 years

Two job postings: 1. OpenResearch is hiring a Data Associate for its basic income RCT. You would work with them, but also interact with @AlexBartik , @dbroockman , @smilleralert and I on the project. Great opportunity for recent grads! @econ_ra 1/2

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

It's really beautiful to see everyone around the world celebrating. Shows what a really big impact they have had.

Dina D. Pomeranz 🟣

@DinaPomeranz

5 years

Our research team at @econ_uzh is celebrating today's Nobel prize by our mentors and inspirations in development economics

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

How do you think policy-makers and others weigh impact evaluation results? Aidan Coville and I asked researchers to forecast findings from a discrete choice experiment through the Social Science Prediction Platform. A thread. 👇 1/

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

They thought about trying to boost China's ranking by merging its data with Taiwan's or Hong Kong's! Or to try to change the methodology for all countries in a way that would be favourable to China. 3/n

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Happy to say we won a grant from J-PAL North America! This grant, with @AlexBartik , @smilleralert , Elizabeth Rhodes, and part of a larger project with @dbroockman , focuses on the impact of monthly unconditional cash transfers on consumption in the US. 1/2

The Impact of Unconditional Cash Transfers on Consumption: Evidence from the United States | The...

www.povertyactionlab.org

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

Yep. I use Covid as an example when talking about how life expectancy is calculated in my devt econ class. After showing the general calculation, I ask: how is it that something that has killed ~0.1% of the population (depending where you are) reduces life expectancy by >1 year?

Justin Sandefur

@JustinSandefur

3 years

i know i'm missing the point, but this really highlights the weird way we (inevitably have to) calculate life expectancy at birth at a given point in time.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

Wow, @RohanAlexander is amazing! 1,288 people so far signed up for the Toronto Data Workshop on Reproducibility next week that he's organizing (where @minebocek , @rianaminocher and I will be giving keynotes). (Register: Details: )

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

2 years

I should wait until a reasonable time of day to advertise this, but it's too exciting: announcing new incentives for forecasting on @socscipredict !

Social Science Prediction Platform

Predict research results, improve social science.

socialscienceprediction.org

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

2 years

I'm tremendously excited to be joining the Patient Philanthropy Fund's Management Committee! It's a relatively small time commitment but potentially huge impact and I'm completely honoured to be a part of it. You can read more about the fund here:

Patient Philanthropy Fund

www.founderspledge.com

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 months

Seeking a Summer RA on the OpenResearch Unconditional income Study! Come work with us! @econ_ra #EconTwitter

OpenResearch

Job openings at OpenResearch

jobs.lever.co

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 months

Excited to be presenting on cash transfers at UChicago tomorrow. I'll be visiting BFI for a few days after that so please do let me know if you're around!

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

1 year

GPI focuses on academic research that informs decision-makers on how to do good more effectively. This is an area where economists could have a lot to say, and as the first director who is an economist, one of my goals is to build up the economics side of the institute. 2/

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

@michael_wiebe @Kweku_OA @economeager Not at all, but there's actually no evidence RCTs are *systematically* worse wrt external validity. Check out Table 6:

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Too many economist suicides. I wish people in despair could try something radically different. Easier said than done. But quit your job, go on leave. The world is huge.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

2 years

Seeking a pre-doc fellow/RA to work with me and @sdellavi on @socscipredict ! This position would be ideal for someone interested in econ grad school. It is based at @UofT and will require work authorization in Canada. Details: Deadline July 26. @econ_ra

Hiring for the Social Science Prediction Platform | Eva Vivalt

The Social Science Prediction Platform is hiring for a pre-doctoral fellow and a full-stack developer. Please see the job adverts below. Pre-Doctoral Fellowship (filled) Job description: The Social...

evavivalt.com

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

I was so mad, *so* *mad*, that I have to say it was motivating. That year, three of the people in my grade were invited back. I was. He wasn't.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

While every day doesn't feel like enough, zoom out and maybe there's progress. Left: a piggy bank with hearts on it (is that EA or what?). Right: presenting at EA Global. #EffectiveAltruism How it started How it's going

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

Now available: updated paper on how policymakers revise their beliefs in light of new evidence. New results suggest maybe we should try giving 99% or 90% confidence intervals, not just 95%.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

For the first time ever, there will be a session on the Economics of Animal Welfare at SITE!

Zach Freitas-Groff

@zdgroff

3 years

BOOM! Psyched for this session at the annual Stanford summer conferences on the economics of animal welfare: ( #EconTwitter )

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

Miss the @Oxford_CSAE workshop on meta-analysis? Not to worry, the presentations are here: Learn the basics of meta-analysis, how to estimate a fully Bayesian hierarchical model, and what that buys us.

Mind & Behaviour Research Group

www.youtube.com

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

Science piece with @sdellavi and @Devin_G_Pope , discussing the benefits of predicting ex ante forecasts of research results and introducing the Social Science Prediction Platform ().

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

1 year

Have you ever wondered if you are a superforecaster? Here's your chance to prove it! The Social Science Prediction Platform has launched a Superforecaster Panel. You can get $1,000 for participating! Details: #forecasting #econtwitter

Social Science Prediction Platform

Predict research results, improve social science.

socialscienceprediction.org

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

11 months

This is a travesty. We were briefly in touch about the economics of animal welfare and moral values. She was a pioneer in both areas. I am devastated that people who do so much for the world keep dying. (Marty Weitzman is another example that comes to mind.) 1/3

Florian Ederer

@florianederer

11 months

I am very sad to hear of the passing of Nora Szech who was an excellent behavioral economist and theorist.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

This is similar to the story of my paper on asymmetric optimism among policymakers, practitioners and researchers. Have "good news"? Great! "Bad news"? You should try another 100 specifications - for robustness, you know.

Jack Wilkinson

@jd_wilko

4 years

People are very happy to adopt treatments without proper RCTs. But when an RCT suggests a treatment they use does not work, they suddenly become very interested in methodological rigour.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

6 years

This @80000Hours podcast also has some discussion of the #basicincome study I am working on with Y Combinator Research:

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

1 year

Gabriel recently turned 40, so to celebrate midlife I got him something red that goes fast. With the snow, we finally got to try it out last weekend.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

Clutch quote on specification searching: "The [then-] Senior Director for DEC wrote to CEO Georgieva: 'In light of the fact that we have considered several alternatives to recasting the data, and found none of them satisfactory, I suggest we go back to Plan A....'" 4/n

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Excited by the progress of ! In only 3 weeks we've gotten to over 1,100 users and have quite a few new studies to be forecast in the pipeline.

Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Happy to announce the new and improved Social Science Prediction Platform is now open with three initial studies to forecast! Follow @socscipredict for updates as more studies are added in the coming weeks. I've blogged about the launch here:

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

A reason for the Social Science Prediction Platform: you can use expert forecasts as the null. @socscipredict

David Powell

@thedavidpowell

3 years

Why is your null hypothesis always zero? Believe in something.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

1 year

Need to get this page updated, but just want to say @GPIOxford 's pre-doc placement is pretty great! This year, GPI's econ pre-docs who applied to PhD programs are going to MIT and Chicago. (One didn't apply.)

Predoctoral Research Fellowship in Economics - Global Priorities Institute

Predoctoral Research Fellows are members of GPI’s growing economics research team. While GPI sits formally within the Faculty of Philosophy, Predoctoral Research Fellows engage closely with Oxford...

globalprioritiesinstitute.org

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Cool! @MFleurbaey and Van der Linden have a forthcoming paper in AEJ: Micro about incorporating concern for animals into welfare economics. Nice that concern for animals & related research is growing. @Treich13 @LisaKramer @zdgroff #effectivealtruism

Fair Social Ordering, Egalitarianism, and Animal Welfare

(November 2021) - We study fairness in economies where humans consume one private good and one public good representing the welfare of other species. We show that a social evaluator cannot be...

www.aeaweb.org

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

Absolutely stunning progress this year. The sheer magnitude of the impact... this will save millions of lives!

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

A defense of giving later:

Give Later | Eva Vivalt

One of the more important things I’ve changed my mind about recently is the best cause to donate to. I now put the most credence on the possibility that the best option is donating to a fund that...

evavivalt.com

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

New NBER working paper, "Forecasting the Results of Experiments: Piloting an Elicitation Strategy", with @sdellavi and Nick Otis.

Forecasting the Results of Experiments: Piloting an Elicitation Strategy

www.nber.org

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

2 months

I neglected to tweet about my really fun visit to UCSD (pic has the view from dinner). Today: Stanford. A lot of good memories here!

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

2 years

"Every simple problem splinters, on closer examination, into dozens of sub-problems with their own complexities.... "The value I would want to impart is this one: an appetite for these details, however tedious they may seem." @KelseyTuoc 's piece is 🔥!

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

While things turned out well, it makes me angry that in some respects I never had the foggiest chance to even make a good try, with systematic barriers at every level: parents, teachers, friends.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Late to the party, but I finally received my copy of this book on RCTs, edited by Bédécarrats, Guérin, and Roubaud, in which I have a chapter on the use of priors in experimental design. There's an interesting-looking interviews section which I look forward to reading!

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

This podcast was a lot of fun - the hosts asked great questions about my work on measuring external validity, the problems with scaling up NGO pilots, and predicting social science results. There's a blog post style summary of the issues, too!

Hear This Idea

@hearthisidea

3 years

If an intervention works in one part of the world, can we be sure it'll work elsewhere 🌍? How do policymakers actually deal with empirical evidence? And can we predict the outcomes of social science experiments 🔮? Listen to @evavivalt –

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Cheesy but everyone seems to be doing it: my article on how specification searching has changed over time, by method and discipline, was among the most downloaded at the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics! Read it here: #metascience #EconTwitter

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

. @tylercowen 's post () on Paul Milgrom mentions Paul met his wife while seated next to her at a previous Nobel Prize dinner. The full story, as I heard them recount once, is pretty great: 1/

Paul Milgrom, Nobel Laureate - Marginal REVOLUTION

Most of all this is a game theory prize and an economics of information prize, including game theory and asymmetric information. Much of the work has had applications to auctions and finance. ...

marginalrevolution.com

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

Another nice write-up of the benefits of collecting ex ante forecasts of research results as @sdellavi , @Devin_G_Pope , @deankarlan , myself and others propose:

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

Someone once asked me at CSAE, when I was on a closing plenary, how to encourage students from low-income countries, minorities, women, and I said start young. This is what I was thinking about.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

2 years

I didn't know anything shady about SBF or FTX, and what is coming out is horrible. Never imagined there was outright fraud, as now seems to be the case. Absolutely terrible.

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

6 years

Proposal video! We opted for a donation to @Give_Directly rather than a ring. #flashmob #effectivealtruism

An Altruistic Proposal | Eva Vivalt

I recently proposed to Gabriel Carroll. Some friends helped out, and here is the video! (Song starts at 2:51.) Apparently, we each separately had the same idea that rather than a ring we would make a...

evavivalt.com

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

1 year

In discussion at the very interesting external validity conference organized by @mikedenly and @SylvainCF , I made a suggestion: Given that there is often information that is really valuable from a policy perspective but not reported in studies... 1/

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

1 year

I signed this simple statement. More importantly, so did many working on AI. You don't need to think the risks are very high to think people should be taking them seriously. Full list of signatories here:

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31

Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

Had a fantastic time presenting on forecasting to the data science team at Number 10 today! Absolutely a great group of people.

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32

Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

6 months

Discussing in this interesting session tomorrow. I hope some people will stick around to the bitter end of #ASSA2024 . The session features @RDMetcalfe , @francesco_ago , @sdellavi and @Econ_4_Everyone !

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

And this surprise home visit to pick up a loose copy was not irregular at all.... 7/n

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5

31

Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

@Econ_Sandy @lkatz42 @HilaryHoynes I was lucky to have @tedmiguel as my advisor in grad school. Whenever I want to be particularly inclusive and supportive, I end up channeling Ted.

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32

Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

1 year

Finally, one of my hopes is to expand the network of people doing rigorous work in this area. If you have any ideas for research we should be doing or would like to explore areas of common interest, please get in touch: 6/6

Expressions of interest - Global Priorities Institute

GPI welcomes expressions of interest from persons interested in global priorities research. Use this from to submit an expression of interest.

globalprioritiesinstitute.org

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

A break in the clouds for the team: "A small group of Doing Business leaders searched for data points for which there could be some 'reasonable question' justifying a shift and that would cause the 'least damage' to other data in the report if changed...." 5/n

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

9 months

Really excited to be at the Forecasting in the Social Sciences workshop at UC Berkeley! Keynote speaker Anna Dreber kicks it off: @socscipredict @sdellavi

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

But life is long, and a perk of not having fit people's expectations is that I was free to think more for myself about what was important. I think in the long run that has been invaluable.

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29

Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

3 years

Altering the data boosted China's ranking to 78, the same rank as it had had the year before. 6/n

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Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

4 years

The deaths:cases ratio gives some idea of how much coronavirus is out of control in a country. It used to be that Iran was the worst on this metric - way fewer reported cases than the # of deaths would imply. Now the U.S. has more than double Iran's ratio. Yikes.

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30

Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

5 years

Slightly different question: what are your favourite examples of *unpublished* papers with null results in economics?