Eric Hacke @ehacke Twitter profile

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@maja_ver

@FelixArratia

Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@golub It's really crazy how if he just shut up years ago, he and his companies would be worth far far more. But he just can't stop himself.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@KyivPost If the US is going to continue giving restrictions to Ukraine, they should at least give them to Russia too: "Stop hitting Ukrainian cities with long range missiles and drones NOW, or we give Ukraine the weapons, permission, and targetting info to hit any of your bases."

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@jurgen_nauditt South Korea is likely better armed than Russia at this stage.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@sentdefender As a Dem supporter, those 33% are lying to themselves.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@jurgen_nauditt There is a portion of right wing voters (probably majority) that would support Ukraine far more aggressively than the center or left has. Unfortunately almost all right wing parties globally seem to want Putins money more than they want to listen to their own voters.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@secretsqrl123 If Sweden provides many aircraft, this year, with no targeting restrictions, it messes up the US and German plan of drip-dripping F16s.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

1 month

@ColbyBadhwar These kinds of statements also make it very embarrassing for them when they do eventually change their policy. They spend 6 months saying it's impossible, then they do it and pretend it was all consistent reasoning. Then again, there is also the possibility they've decided

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA "Strike Russian aircraft stationed on the ground." This is particularly stupid if true.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@ColbyBadhwar @karentravers A journalist should ask: "You state you support Ukrainian victory. How can they be expected to win if Russia is allowed to strike their territory with no fear of return fire."

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@PhillipsPOBrien There is absolutely no reason to think Trump will support Ukraine. And tons of evidence from Trump and Vance that they'll dump Ukraine ASAP. But Pro-Ukraine conservatives refuse to acknowledge reality, because it would mean acknowledging they shouldn't support Trump.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

1 month

@rynkrynk I fear that unless Europe breaks with the US and decides to set it's own agenda for Ukrainian success, the US will manage to freeze the current lines. There are more signs that Europe is willing to do this, but I think they are waiting until after the US election to make a call.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA The crazy part about this, is at some point this policy will absolutely change. And nothing bad will happen. And no one will try to hold these people accountable for the politically-focused delays that cost hundreds or thousands of lives.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 years

@dhh Algorithms based on historical data will encode historical prejudice along with everything else. Status quo as code.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@secupp Our willingness to discuss and critique our own leadership should be viewed as positive compared to the nearly religious reverence that the GOP seem to have going on.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@ralakbar It sounds like he's implying that it's Ukraine's fault for not having sufficiently redundant power infrastructure. After 2.5 years of Russia pounding it. And US protecting Russia from retaliation. The obvious solution is to let Ukraine hit back. Anything else is appeasement.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@atrupar @RichardHaass This is basically the current policy if we're being honest. Ukraine isn't even allowed to hit Russian targets in Russia. You're proposing to unilaterally pull back even more, and hope that helps? Why wouldn't Russia just push farther?

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@sentdefender Far from overreacting, I think that we're actually underestimating how bad a Trump presidency would be for the US and the world.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@ColbyBadhwar @StateDeputySpox It is becoming increasingly untenable and immoral to continue this policy. It also seems that Sullivan is perhaps the only one standing in the way. With Austin laughing at it, and other countries breaking ranks. Are we going to let Sumy fall too just to preserve Sulivans rule?

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@jurgen_nauditt The US and Germany want to increase pressure on Ukraine to agree to some sort of deal ASAP. Just reprehensible.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@RonFilipkowski I don't get the attempts to frame Harris as "far-left". She's a federal prosecutor? She is nowhere near the left wing of the Dem party AFAIK. She's basically running on platform of returning to 2008 policies that already existed. The Right thinks that's extreme?

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@RALee85 The ridiculous part is that this is still extremely incremental. My guess is that they don't include airbases in this area. Or at least not as many as would be useful. We aren't going to turn the tide of the war by giving Russia sanctuary. They only stop when forced.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@jurgen_nauditt This puts Biden in the position of either backing down and allowing strikes (which I think is more an ego issue than a policy one), or being seen to publicly hamper a successful offensive by Ukraine.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@ColbyBadhwar Also, they've repeatedly said that Ukraine knows best how to use these weapons to achieve their goals. That's the line whenever they want to permit but distance themselves from Ukrainian actions. Now suddenly they know better? And enough to place hard restrictions on use?

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@EHunterChristie They don't want to turn the tide, they are trying to keep the tide where it is. Unfortunately they don't realize that tides don't work like that.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@jurgen_nauditt Glad the attitude seems to have changed, but I'm kind of pissed that they are pretending like this was always the case. The first incursions with a handful of Western vehicles led to public panicked screaming from Washington and Berlin. Now they pretend this was always fine.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@wartranslated I wish that NATO and the US were even half as ambitious as the Russians fear that they are.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@RALee85 25% still seems like a lot. If you could degrade enemy logistics by 25% in one shot, I feel like that's a good deal. The way the Ukrainians have been backpeddling on this lately makes me think the US and/or others forced them to agree to not hit it again. Due to "escalation".

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@SpaghettiKozak Ridiculous how passively pro-Russian most of the West is, even now They don't really like Russia. But there is still a belief that it is a massive and reveered powerhouse, deserving of its "sphere of influence" Not a poverty-stricken, mob-run gas station with the GDP of Italy

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@HeerJeet Trump's evil, but people vote for him because he makes strong statements and tries to make tough (also immoral and stupid) changes The Dems may be the only real option, but they are also doing their best to prove true, all the rumors about them being indecisive and condescending

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@ColbyBadhwar The equation in Sulivans mind is: << We told Russia we would allow deep strikes if they expanded the front. This doesn't expand the front, so we can't allow deep strikes. >> But all Putin hears is that he has a greenlight for anything that isn't expanding the front.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@KyivIndependent @ralakbar He and others need to repeat this loudly and often. The only way this changes is with public pressure and pressure from the allies that want a true Ukrainian victory.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@Marekwalkuski @PR24_pl Next time that this response is given, someone needs to directly ask how they expect Ukraine to win if they are consistently prevented from reaching or exceeding parity of force against Russia. How can they win if the US refuses to let them be better than the Russians.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@JayinKyiv Without a new Dem candidate, Ukraine will have to rely entirely on Europe for support in 2025. No more ATACMS or GMLRS or F16s. Trump will freeze it all. Poland and the Baltics will have to move in troops to stop Russia.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@secretsqrl123 They have to treat this as if Trump has already won and pulled out of Europe and NATO. Because that seems extremely likely at this point. And he explicitly did not deny it on national television when he had the chance.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@KyivIndependent You wish, Scholz.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

1 month

@DougJBalloon @SpaghettiKozak The crazy part is that the difference has become more stark between the candidates, but the criticism of Trump has decreased. Trump is talking about eating cats, and the media is saying we need deeper economic policy from Harris or she'll fail.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

1 month

@ColbyBadhwar Maddening, but not surprising. Beyond the Iran missiles, there are other side deals the Biden admin wants to prevent. Russian support to the Houthis for example. So Biden is trading Ukrainian lives and territory for Russian promises. Promises they will inevitably break.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@LisaDNews The Biden response to this issue is precisely why Dem support was so weak to begin with. Rather than engaging with a problem, the Biden WH denies it, tries half-assed solutions, throws blame elsewhere, and generally acts condecendingly and entitled. Just do the right thing.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@GavinNewsom @JoeBiden No one cares who has whose back. It's not about loyalty. It's about having a presidental candidate that can form a sentence in a debate.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@HeerJeet Not a Harris fan, but anything else would be too much additional chaos and would introduce all kinds of issues with existing donors. Not perfect, but a relatively smooth alternative to Biden. Get creative with the new VP if you want some new direction.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@tshevcom This is obvious from repeated statements by Biden He's repeatedly said "Putin has already lost" as thousands more Ukrainians die due to US/German hesitency and restrictions If a victim is horribly assaulted and maimed, that doesn't count as a win because they weren't murdered

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@jakluge Also, reminder that this was an extremely good strategic move by Ukraine, even if it makes Scholz sad.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@ColbyBadhwar Incredible that they can go to D Day, the peace summit, and then say this with a straight face.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@RonFilipkowski His approach is just to try things at random until something sticks. But in this case nothing has yet, and I think all the things he'd like to say, he knows won't land. And you can tell he's sort of paralyzed by not having a line to repeat. Keeps him from moving forward.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@NOELreports Didn't a high Russian government official release a statement calling for the complete, unconditional surrender of Ukraine yesterday? These are not serious people. Russia should only enter these negotiations under duress. Until then it's all lies and stalling tactics.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@secretsqrl123 They passed a law banning him from allocating funding to pull out of NATO. But he completely has the power to just stop all actions involved in NATO. Congress can't do anything about it. The executive has complete authority in foreign policy. Congress just controls the money.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

1 month

@michaeldweiss This has to be the worst example of strategic military decision-making I can recall in recent history. This painfully public agonizing about the decision deters no one, and in fact does the opposite. And the extremely protracted process just ensures it has far less impact.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@KyivIndependent This is why the Gripen was paused too. The US does not want Ukraine to have airpower. They are trying to run out the clock so that these only appear in number once the conflict is over.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

21 days

@Faytuks @markomihkelson Another great example of how Biden's constant impotent attempts at escalation management do not work. If your enemy knows you won't use the force needed to stop them, then why should they stop?

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA It's clear that the eastern flank of NATO is getting irritated with the US and Germany on their constant restrictions.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

21 days

@jurgen_nauditt They have already said: 1. This won't be delivered for many weeks. Maybe months? 2. They cannot use these stand-off weapons to hit Russia. The US continues to protect Russia and obstruct true Ukrainian victory.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA Actually glad that Putin is sticking to his plan of wiping out Ukraine entirely. The US and Germany can't force a fake ceasefire in this case. It makes negoitation impossible. Rather than distracting the West with a fake ceasefire, he's making them push him out by force.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@KyivIndependent This panic was the same the first time a Leopard blew up, or Adrams. War will result in material being destroyed for all kinds of reasons. That's why they need more than 6 F-16s.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@FRHoffmann1 In terms of cost-benefit, Scholz has clearly thought for a long time, that he doesn't want to alienate Russia completely to support Ukraine. He very clearly wants to be the closest ally of Russia within Europe, after this is over.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@JayinKyiv The extremely specific phrasing makes me think there are still a lot of restrictions here and they are doing the bare minimum. Can they use Patriots to target aircraft over Russia? Can they hit military facilities that don't fire missiles? Can they hit facilities at any range?

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@KyivIndependent By purposefully drawing out this conflict, instead of ending it in the summer 2022 with overwhelming support, the US and Germany have made things far far worse for everyone. Appeasement and cowardice don't win wars.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@saintjavelin Don't get too excited. As usual, he's providing the absolute bare minimum and then doing a victory lap. So infuriating. Just let Ukraine hit what they need to in order to win.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA @EHunterChristie They are willing to give rare build-slots to Israel to prioritize new F18s, but somehow it's impossible for the entirety of Western forces to train more than a token number of F16 pilots.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA Explicitly no mention of territory. The US does not see a restoration of territory as desirable from their perspective. They are too worried about if that would offend Putin.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@AndrewPerpetua Then why are other US allies free to use US weapons at their discretion outside their borders? Israel does this constantly.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@ChristopherJM @FT It's going to turn out that these folks are much closer to Russia, or more invested in Russia, than has been previously discussed. That's the only explanation for them constantly doing whatever they can to help Russia against the consensus of their people and parties.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@JayinKyiv Combine this with seizing NATO territory at sea, and launching nukes into space, and it's clear that Russia is not hedging, they are going full-steam into controntation. The longer the West pretends everything is fine, the worse this will get when we finally deal with it.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@ruth_deyermond @john_sipher Irrespective of precise reasoning, the cumulative impact of Biden policy has been to only arm Ukraine enough to freeze the conflict but not win. They are deliberately aiming for a partial Russian win, rather than full defeat. Which is naive, ineffective, and profoundly immoral.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@JayinKyiv This needs to be run on every news network in the US. They will only change if they are shed publicly and have to worry about losing the election as a result.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@KyivPost Of course Russia will not do it. Obviously. But at least it's a morally and strategically sensible position from which to justify expanding deep strikes into Russia. This conflict will not end by letting Russia continue to act with impunity and hope it gets tired.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@Teoyaomiquu When they finally provided ATACMS it was denied up until the missiles landed. Hope and wish that was the case here, but it doesn't feel the same. Feels like they have zero intention of changing this policy. From the way Zelensky talked about it, it's because of the election.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@JayinKyiv At some point it becomes clear that the US does not want to enable Ukraine to retake it's terriory. Only stay alive. And the deathes of thousands of Ukrainian's while the Biden admin waits for stalemate, is apparently fine.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@JayinKyiv Makes me think the US is onboard, but haven't announced it yet. Possibily as a surprise-ish for Russia. Canada and Germany would not have the guts to contradict the US. And this seems way too coordinated across all allies to be accidental.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

1 month

@Kasparov63 Simultaneously under-arming Ukraine, apply restrictions, and asking for a ceasefire, is logically equivalent to asking Ukraine to give up. That's it. They're asking Ukraine to accept losing. Unless you are fully willing to arm Ukraine to win, you are siding with Russia.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@nickschifrin @JakeSullivan46 This is still so completely ridiculous. No one has won war by being purely defensive against a foe with far larger numbers. Ukraine will win. But by restricting their targeting in any way, you're just drawing it out and increasing causalties.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

1 month

@MBielieskov Fan of Obama at the time, but this seems accurate retroactively.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@randymot4 I think the trajectory is clear now, and it doesn't involve Nikki in any way, or any rational thought. Probably will be MTG for Sec of State or something. Or maybe they'll skip the intermediary and just make it Putin directly.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@jurgen_nauditt He needs to go one step further and publicly state that all the reasons provided by Scholz so far are disingenuous and just excuses without a basis in fact. The only real reason is fear of irritating Russia. And he needs to get over that for the sake of Europe and Germany.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@shashj Pretty sure Poland and Netherlands as well. The "no" list is shorter. - US - Germany - Italy

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@ColbyBadhwar They are going to immediately deny this of course. And there are probably many more factors. But it's very clear from US actions, that irrespective of the precise motivation, they want to stall the conflict and normalize things rather than help Ukraine fully win.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@agraybee It's because GOP/Trump supporters long ago stopped caring about any of his failings or any of his issues. It's a religious reverence now that only wants him for the pain they hope he'll inflict on others. We're trying to avoid turning Biden into that same kind of cult leader.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@bayraktar_1love I hope Macron tells Biden where he can stick it, if he asks to stop, like he did with Gripen.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

1 month

@juliegraceb My guess is that many restrictions will remain: - no strkes on refineries and similar - no strikes on the Kerch bridge - no strkes on power infrastructure Probably more. It's possible they'll even restrict it to only military bases and active staging areas.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@LianaFix To be fair, the writing has been on the wall for a decade. At what point do we decide to hold European leaders responsible for their own actions instead of constantly blaming the US. The EU has over 100 million more people than the US. They should act like it.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@JayinKyiv I keep hoping that during one of these attacks, Ukraine is able to launch long range anti-air missiles from UAVs, and take out a few of these bombers. It would be such a surprise and forced av change in Russian tactics. I don't think they are there yet, but some day.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

1 month

@Mylovanov The Biden admin let hundreds of Ukrainians die, and allowed Russia to move it's aircraft out of range. All trying to "deescalate" Iran away from providing missles. Then it happens anyways, as it was always going to. And the US now provides consent when it's far less useful.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@JayinKyiv We can't even get permission for Ukraine to return fire because we don't want to hurt Russia. Does anyone really think we'd actually defend Taiwan by engaging China? And risk everything we get from China? 2yrs of this appeasement has been a green light for Taiwan invasion.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@EHunterChristie All of the countries that supported strikes within Russia should immediately come back and say that this is not enough. This is yet another half-measure that ensures Russia doesn't actually lose.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@NOELreports I get the impression at this point that they are mostly just insulted that they are being questioned on their judgement. Like, how dare you question their grand plans.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

3 months

@noclador Won't happen right away. But after the forced collapse of Ukraine sovereignty, I think they'll have to wake up. If Trump is elected the US will become a borderline adversary.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@MariaJagcat @EHunterChristie It's because their "realist" policy is inhuman and amoral, and they know it. They would rather it end sooner with concessions from Ukraine, than risk it extending or intensifying to restore Ukraine's borders and full sovereignty. Ukraine's desire for justice is inconvenient.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@GloOouD I'm sure it's a coincidence that all of these strikes on shipping are forcing ammunition and fuel to cross the Kerch bridge more frequently. Just coincidence.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@wartranslated It's going to become the case that the only people in the world that are against this will be Sullivan, Biden, and Putin.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

7 years

It's widely reported that Javascript is the most popular programming language, but I think the answer is really Excel. Excel is the programming language for people who don't know they are doing programming.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 years

Q: Do they sleep along the foot of the bed all in a row, in order from largest to smallest, left to right? A: They do this as naturally as if God had sorted them by volume. It is good, and it is three.

Daniel M. Lavery

@daniel_m_lavery

2 years

Q: Mr. Wilson — does he remember how to go down a single stair? A: He can do this 50% of the time. Questions People Have Had For Me Now That A Third Dog Is Here

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@PhillipsPOBrien @DavidSacks Most conservatives are willully ignoring the red flags from Trump, and things they'd clearly reject if they made this decision honestly From either a traditional conservative, or libertarian viewpoint, Trump is a disaster and threat. But they just can't get past the tribalism.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@jurgen_nauditt This is inconsistent with other statements. But makes more sense at least. In that it's easier to say "you can use everything but ATACMS", then try to draw new arbitrary borders on the ground. Still, I want to hear Sullivan or Blinken say "anything but ATACMS".

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@ColbyBadhwar Previously they said "maybe", but that was a way to seem nice and stall the conversation. This Kursk incursion has killed the US/German plans to force a stalemate, and they aren't pretending ATAMCS might happen anymore. There will be no more changes until Biden leaves office.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@WarMonitor3 To be fair, thanks to Western restrictions on weapons use, they haven't had to do anything at all for a long time.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

6 months

@ColbyBadhwar Despite the obvious fit, it seems unlikely that this would work out. Israel has been been pretty hesitant to support Ukraine in any substaintial way so far. Feels like they'd continue that pattern. Though I hope not.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

2 months

@ColbyBadhwar @SecDef @rustem_umerov Sounds more and more like they have some kind of understanding with Putin, and this is increasingly violating it with time. They were fine with raids, but as the offensive successfully expands, and Ukraine show no signs of leaving, it threatens whatever objective the US has.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

1 month

@ralakbar Similar to the initial ATACMS strikes. There were strong rumours. Then "discussion". Then explicit denial. And a week or two later the missiles started landing. Then confirmed. It may be that they have decided to lift it, and are now transferring the weapons in silence. Hope so

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

5 months

@CarloMasala1 Only in extremely limited areas. Not far enough to actually hit the bases that the aircraft and Russian forces use to assault Ukraine. Basically, they can return fire if attacked now. But this won't change anything strategically. Russia still has it's safe-space.

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

4 months

@KyivIndependent @ChrisO_wiki Sounds like Putin made a phone call

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Eric Hacke

@ehacke

8 months

@EHunterChristie @ChrisO_wiki Trump doesn't actually care how much they spend themselves. As he sees it, it's a protection racket and they should be paying the US or him.

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