Dr. Liana Fix @LianaFix Twitter profile

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Dr. Liana Fix

11 months

Some shameless self-promotion: if you want to follow my work, sign up for my @CFR_org newsletter here (with more great options of colleagues / programs to follow) 👉

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Macron could not be clearer - and the even clearer parts were removed by Politico on the request of the Élysée. In his view, Taiwan is not Europe‘s problem, and Europe should not become „vassals“ of the United States. This brutally undermines his credibility as leader in Europe

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Strange - the new German defense minister Pistorius just said on German TV that “a linkage between German and US tanks is not something that I am aware of” while media reports say this is exactly what Scholz is saying in Davos. The saga continues.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

This is an astonishing & frustrating update on military, financial & humanitarian aid to Ukraine by @kielinstitute in € billion: „The U.S. is now committing nearly twice [!] as much as all EU countries and institutions combined“ 👉 #ukrainesupporttracker

Government support to Ukraine: By country group, € billion

*Other donor countries include the Anglosaxon Countries (except the United States), China, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Turkey, Norway and Switzerland,India...

app.23degrees.io

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

What’s curious about 🇩🇪 position: it’s almost an insult to its European allies. Out of fear of RUS retaliation, 🇩🇪 only moves if the US - nuclear power on par with RUS - moves. The signal to UK is: If you want to take the risk, go ahead but go it alone. We’re not with you on that

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

3 years

Pro-Russian autocorso in Berlin / Ostkreuz. Today, this makes me sick.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

1 year

This needs English subtitles. One of the best and strongest reactions and explanations of the situation in Israel, in Gaza, and the role of the Hamas that I have seen, not only in Germany, but also in Europe and internationally - by the Green Vice Chancellor and economics

Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz

@BMWK

1 year

Der Terrorangriff der Hamas auf #Israel ist jetzt bald vier Wochen her. Vieles ist seitdem passiert, die öffentliche Debatte aufgeheizt und verworren. Im Video deshalb einige Gedanken von Vizekanzler und Minister Robert #Habeck zur Einordnung und Differenzierung.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Irritierend pessimistischer und hoffnungsloser Kommentar zu einer beeindruckenden Reise von Zelensky nach Washington.

tagesthemen

@tagesthemen

2 years

"Diese Reise nach #Washington von #Selenskyj , sie ist ein Akt der Verzweiflung." Die Meinung von @gudrun_engel . (red)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

„We will not wait for a miracle. After all, we create it ourselves.“ Merry Christmas.

Christmas greetings of the President of Ukraine to Western Rite Orthodox Christians — Official...

We will celebrate our holidays! As always. We will smile and be happy. As always. The difference is one. We will not wait for a miracle. After all, we create it ourselves.

www.president.gov.ua

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Ganz ehrlich: es ist unglaublich, dass diese Argumente überhaupt ausgesprochen werden müssen. Putin überzieht die Ukraine mit brutalsten Krieg, bedroht unsere Gesellschaft u Wirtschaft mit totalem Energieentzug, und den Forderungen des Erpressers wird dann auch noch Raum gegeben

Wolfgang Ischinger

@ischinger

2 years

Wer mit dem Gedanken spielt, auf das vergiftete Putin-Angebot betr.NS2 einzugehen, hat geostrategisch nichts verstanden, sabotiert EU/Nato und damit die Grundfesten dt Sicherheitspolitik, und setzt den Rest an dt Reputation u Vertrauenswürdigkeit aufs Spiel. @Lambsdorff @ConStelz

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Finally someone is writing this down 👉 “There is just one problem with the assumption that Putin never backs down. It’s incorrect—part of the myth-making that the Russian president has successfully constructed around himself and all-too-easily swallowed”

Vladimir Putin Often Backs Down

The idea that Russia’s leader always fights to the finish is a myth.

foreignpolicy.com

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

3 years

THREAD🧵- What If Russia Wins in Ukraine? @mkimmage and I tried to think through this scenario and the consequences for Europe and the US for @ForeignAffairs - here are some points👇 @gmfus (1/11)

What If Russia Wins?

A Kremlin-controlled Ukraine would transform Europe.

www.foreignaffairs.com

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

This long Merkel portrait is worth your time and says a lot about the legacy she will be remembered for. Here are some interesting, concerning, and surprising points 🧵👇(1/14)

(S+) Ein Jahr mit Ex-Kanzlerin Angela Merkel: »Das Gefühl war ganz klar: Machtpolitisch bist du...

Nach 16 Jahren an der Spitze dachte sie: »Da muss mal jemand Neues ran.« Doch abgeschlossen hat Angela Merkel mit ihrer Amtszeit noch lange nicht. Fühlt sie sich schuldig? Und was hat sie nun vor?

www.spiegel.de

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

So, apparently the head of the German chancellery @W_Schmidt_ got into a very heated crosstalk with Lloyd Austin @SecDef over Leopards, reports Stefan Kornelius @SZ - which led to an angry „riot act“ call from Sullivan to Plötner. This is going great 👇

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

It’s not only about the tanks, although they matter a great deal. It’s the signal that Ukraine must and will go on the offensive this spring, and it will be equipped to do so. There is no war fatigue in the West, no „let’s just hold the line and focus on air defense“. (1/3)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

The US is leading the war effort, and Europeans - or better to say: Western Europeans - are leaning in. This is problematic on some many levels, not least with a view to the US midterm elections. The US continues to invest heavily, and EUropeans are falling more and more behind.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Incredible reporting by @SZ - vice chancellor Habeck received the evening before the invasion a confidential envelope from US reps that the war is about to start not knowing if others in government received it too. A story how Berlin stumbled into this war

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

What a picture.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

1 year

Das ist fehlgeleitetes Wunschdenken wie Bushs 1991 Chicken Kyiv Rede. Wir haben keinerlei Einfluss auf das, was passiert & sollten keine putinistische Scheinstabilität unterstützen. Auf Instabilität vorbereiten, ja, aber der imperiale Zerfall kann kommen, ob wir wollen oder nicht

Wolfgang Ischinger

@ischinger

1 year

Wolfgang Ischinger: „Russland darf nicht zerfallen“ via @DiePressecom

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

8 months

Russland nutzt leaks und andere Methoden der Desinformation gezielt, um Dtld innenpolitisch zu destabilisieren, Konflikte zu schüren - da können die Inhalte der leaks / Desinformation auch widersprüchlich zu Russlands Interessen scheinen. Das ist der Sinn der Taurus-leaks… (1/2)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

For the start of 2023, here is my optimistic take for @cfr_org why the doomsayers predicting that Europe would not get through the winter without folding on Ukraine were wrong. European democracies are much more resilient than expected: 👇 @shannonkoneil

Why European Democracies Are More Resilient Than Expected

As winter neared, many observers were concerned about the resilience of European democracies during Russia’s war against Ukraine. The triple pressures of economic downturn and inflation, energy crisi…

www.cfr.org

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

1 year

I have to strongly disagree with these not representative, web-based opinion polls on Germany‘s & France‘s views on Putin/the war by @leonidvolkov & mentioned by @anneapplebaum - they do not align at all with previous polling and should not be spread. @ConStelz @KleineBrockhoff

Anne Applebaum

@anneapplebaum

1 year

This is evidence that Russian propaganda has spread deeper and further in France and Germany than is widely understood. Read the whole thread:

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

It is common practice in Europe to have interviews „corrected“ by the interviewed - good for @politico to point this out, and how problematic it is.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

As always, it is not necessarily his analysis that is fully wrong - but the way he presents it and draws conclusions - the „equidistance“ touch to what he says - that makes everyone in Europe suspicious and results in his greatest weakness: the lack of followers in Europe

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

I still think it’s just a question of time until 🐆 arrive in 🇺🇦. I just hope that Poland & other allies will have the patience to wait. Going ahead without 🇩🇪’s approval as frustrating as it is, would do huge damage to mutual trust - perhaps more than Germany’s temporary refusal

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

. @KofmanMichael trifft den Nagel auf den Kopf 👉 „Die große Frage ist: Inwieweit wird die Ukraine unterstützt, um Gebiet zurückzuerobern, oder inwieweit wird sie unterstützt, nur um eine Pattsituation zu erreichen.“ via @derspiegel

(S+) US-Militärexperte Michael Kofman: »Die Ukraine steht vor einem Dilemma«

Kiew will zügig Erfolge vorweisen, um sich weitere Unterstützung des Westens zu sichern, glaubt Experte Michael Kofman. Doch was könnte es bedeuten, wenn die Ukraine bei einer Gegenoffensive im Süden...

www.spiegel.de

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

(I wonder if she realises how bad this part of the interview might reflect on her.) (6/14)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Hier mein Interview für den neuen @derspiegel 👉 „Es geht hier auch um ein Prinzip. Wenn es zum modus operandi 🇷🇺 Politik wird, Gebiete…durch Scheinreferenden für unberührbar zu erklären, hat das Folgen über die 🇺🇦 hinaus. Dann könnten bald andere, Moldau etwa, betroffen sein.“

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

One year after being sworn in as Chancellor of Germany, @Bundeskanzler Olaf Scholz explains in this long-read for @ForeignAffairs Germany's "Zeitenwende" and how to prevent a new Cold War. Here are the most important take-aways as thread👇🧵 @CFR_org (1/24)

The Global Zeitenwende

How to avoid a new cold war in a multipolar era.

www.foreignaffairs.com

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

These are striking survey results from Germany. I’ve argued before that Germany has a leadership problem in the Ukraine war - the new opinion poll from @KoerberIP confirms this, but there are also positive results on #China and other issues. A thread 🧵 👉

On the Ukraine War, Germany Has a Leadership Problem. Here’s Why.

Germany is providing critical weapon systems to Ukraine in the grinding war with Russia, but it remains reluctant to lead on European security.

www.cfr.org

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

„…This is a meagre showing for the bigger European countries, especially since many of their pledges are arriving in Ukraine with long delays. The low volume of new commitments in the summer now appears to be continuing systematically“ from @kielinstitute

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Some personal news: After five wonderful years @KoerberIP , I am delighted to have started a new position as Fellow for Europe @CFR_org in Washington DC, working on Germany & Europe, Europe’s relations with Russia and China, and transatlantic relations 👉

Liana Fix

Liana Fix is a fellow for Europe at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). She is a historian and political scientist, with expertise in German and European foreign and security policy, European sec…

www.cfr.org

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Thread 🧵 Wo ist deutsche Russlandpolitik falsch abgebogen? Meine Analyse für @DIEZEIT Online zur These „Es kann doch nicht alles falsch gewesen sein!“ Oder doch? Vier Punkte 👇 (1/9)

Deutsche Russlandpolitik: Als Deutschland falsch abgebogen ist

Deutsche Russlandpolitiker wollten missliche Wahrheiten wie die Radikalisierung des Putin-Regimes nicht sehen. Sie hätten auf die osteuropäischen Nachbarn hören sollen.

www.zeit.de

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

1 month

‼️ It‘s time for a wake up call. Europeans are sleepwalking into the biggest double threat they are facing from China so far. Together with @heidirediker , we argue in @ForeignAffairs that China has become a threat to Europe‘s security and prosperity - and outline what Europeans

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

10 months

Belated happy new year everyone! 🎇2024 brought a tiny new human being into our household. I‘ll be off for a bit - learning deterrence in a new way: (thank you for this gem, @EmmaMAshford !)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Now it‘s Germany‘s turn to send at least Marder, at best Leopards.

Sophie Pedder

@PedderSophie

2 years

Wow, France is really getting serious. According to an Elysée source, Macron has just spoken to Zelensky and 🇫🇷 is preparing to send Ukraine light combat tanks, thought to be the AMX-10 RC

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

“We have a saying in Russia, “to bomb Voronezh”-Voronezh is a Russian city not too far from the Ukrainian border. It refers to the Russian authorities’ perverse habit of retaliating against their own citizens in response to the actions of other governments”

Opinion | Russians Are Terrified and Have Nowhere to Turn (Published 2022)

For citizens who want to escape conscription, there simply aren’t many options.

www.nytimes.com

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

4 years

The proofs arrived! 📖 👩‍🏫

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Ukraine will put Putin’s new red lines (“this is not a bluff”) to the test soon. To accept the occupied territories as untouchable is impossible for Ukraine and the West.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

1 year

Now Obama gets the criticism that Merkel has received for months since Russia‘s invasion - and they respond with the same, unfortunately, weak coordinated response.

Bruno Maçães

@MacaesBruno

1 year

It’s extraordinary how someone who had a a front seat to events can be so ignorant about them. I am saying this because he seems to actually believe what he is saying

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Wow. Was für sexistische Abgründe auf @spiegelonline . Übelstes Niveau. Noch nicht einmal der Vorwand über Inhalte zu sprechen - direkt rein in die Wut über das eigene gestörte Frauenbild. Wahnsinn.

Carlo "Realism, Gedankenfetzen and Rants" Masala

@CarloMasala1

2 years

Hier kotzt sich mal wieder ein Mann über all die Kolleginnen (auch über Politikerinnen), die sich mit Sicherheits- und Verteidigungspolitik auskennen aus, weil sie aus seiner Sicht auf der falschen Seite stehen. Es wird langsam langweilig

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

6 months

The problem is - that it’s perhaps exactly the opposite. Not America is back, but the last breath of the old America, before the new America finally takes over. Europe needs to prepare for that possibility.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

👇 Welche Anzeichen für eine mögliche Instabilität von Putins Regimes sollten in den nächsten Wochen und Monaten beobachtet werden? @fa_burkhardt und ich haben uns Gedanken gemacht für @zeitonline - Ein Thread 🧵👇 (1/9)

ZEIT ONLINE

@zeitonline

2 years

Mit der Mobilmachung bricht Wladimir Putin mit einem fundamentalen Grundsatz autoritärer Herrschaft und geht damit ein hohes Risiko ein. @fa_burkhardt und @LianaFix über die Stabilität von Putins Regime

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

The confirmations are coming in - as expected, Germany will probably deliver Marder (not Leopards). But the door is open for more to come. The red line on Western tanks is gone. Ukraine can win. 👇

Jennifer Jacobs

@JenniferJJacobs

2 years

Scoop: US **and Germany** will send armored vehicles to Ukraine, a significant upgrade in firepower urgently sought by @ZelenskyyUa . US will send Bradleys; Germany to send Marders, sources tell @mcnienaber @PeterMartin_PCM & me. Biden to speak to @OlafScholz today, I’m told.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

5 years

1) THREAD: What to expect if the #US 🇺🇸withdraws from #NATO ? At the Körber #PolicyGame , we discussed this scenario w/ high-level officials and experts in coop w/ @IISS_org - here are the summarized results for the Twitterati community: (have mercy, it’s my first thread!)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

3 months

Biden awards Jens Stoltenberg the presidential medal of freedom - apologising to Stoltenberg‘s wife for keeping him in the job again and again.

Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

3 months

And announces more air defense for Ukraine to come.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

1 year

Must read: “Even if the lawsuit fails, he said, German tank deliveries could perhaps be delayed by a month or two.” - @the_ins_ru and @derspiegel on collaboration between AfD staffer and Moscow to delay Leopards 👉

The Kremlin's Friends in Germany: Secret Messages Document Moscow Contacts with Staffers of...

A pro-Russian activist who works for a politician from the far-right AfD party, sought support from Moscow for a lawsuit against the German government, DER SPIEGEL has learned. They aim of the legal...

www.spiegel.de

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

5 months

I usually think that nothing can surprise me when it comes to Austria and Russia. But this with new evidence… 👇

matthew karnitschnig

@MKarnitschnig

5 months

For this week’s @POLITICOEurope paper cover this week, a spy tale: “How Russia infiltrated Austria’s spy service — and is now gunning for its government”

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

She repeats again that her achievement was to have bought time for Ukraine to prepare for 2022 - with the context of the Netflix movie „Munich“, where Chamberlain is portrayed as having bought puffer time against Hitler (5/14)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

3 years

My main point here: Cutting Russian oil & gas revenues is a painful, but necessary investment in our own security. Otherwise we provide Russia with the financial means to rebuild its military after the war and pose a threat to Europe👇

Nurder Koch

@NurderK

3 years

„Seit Beginn des Krieges wurden 35 Milliarden Euro an Russland für Energie gezahlt, und eine Milliarde Euro direkt an militärische Hilfe für die Ukraine.“ @LianaFix im #Presseclub

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

The West is not falling for fake ceasefire talks, and for a frozen line of contact. Russia‘s new theory of victory - to wait and win - and to wear out Ukraine and the West is not working. It failed on exactly this day - visibly for everyone, also in Beijing. (2/3)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

SPIEGEL concludes that she is looking for her place in the story when she doesn’t seem to have - place in the current crisis anymore. (7/14)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

She says the public doesn’t want to be bothered with certain decisions or have those explained - such as the Bucharest 2008 decision against Ukraine / Georgia becoming NATO members which only „interested experts“ (4/14)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

11 months

Nochmal: dieser Zahlenvergleich ist kompletter Unsinn, die UN Zahlen für die Ukraine sind nur ein Bruchteil - wie die UN selbst sagt. Niemand der halbwegs seriös argumentiert oder auch nur beiläufig den Krieg in der Ukraine verfolgt hat würde diesen Vergleich anstellen.

Tarek Baé

@Tarek_Bae

11 months

Es gibt nun mehr zivile Todesopfer in Gaza als in der Ukraine. Seit Beginn des Krieges gegen die Ukraine 🇺🇦 wurden in 620 Tagen über 9.701 Zivilisten getötet, darunter 545 Kinder. In 30 Tagen Krieg gegen Gaza 🇵🇸 wurden über 10.000 Zivilisten getötet, darunter 4.104 Kinder.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

She repeats again that in her view, Minsk II was dead in 2021, but the only Plan B (instead of increased, perhaps also military support for Ukraine) she had in mind was a European dialogue with Putin, akin to the Biden-Putin dialogue - a non-starter with Europeans (2/14)

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@LianaFix

2 years

Für @zeitonline habe ich zum Jahrestag aufgeschrieben, warum der Westen eine Theorie des Sieges braucht, die Ukraine "gewinnen" kann, und die nächsten Monate entscheidend sein werden. Danke auch für die schoene Aufmachung! Ein Thread (1/7) 👇🧵

Russlands Krieg: Die kommenden Monate sind entscheidend

Der Westen kann den Krieg in der Ukraine beenden. Dafür braucht er eine Theorie des Sieges – wie sie Russland längst hat.

www.zeit.de

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@LianaFix

2 years

I always advocate for Transatlanticism in German FP. This is too much Transatlanticism, if you want to frame it that way - not going one step without the US.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

She does not want to apologise for their Russia politics - because perhaps history might still judge her favourably, speculates DER Spiegel. (10/14)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

She say that Obama seems more satisfied with his legacy - she is still searching - and thinks that American Presidents receive more respect in the aftermath than German chancellors (which indicates she is not happy about the criticism) (11/14)

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@LianaFix

2 years

And let’s see and wait if this really remains Germany’s position. But that would be the logical consequence of this thinking.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Bitterer Zynismus von der Seitenlinie.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

3 months

Yes. But at the same time, the Biden administration has not prepared Europeans for the storm to come, and lulled Europe into a false sense of stability and continuity - as if the good old nostalgic transatlantic ways were here to stay forever.

Wolfgang Ischinger

@ischinger

3 months

@JoeBiden Europeans should always remain grateful for what Joe Biden has done with and for Europe. I appreciate his decision, but I am deeply saddened to see him leave.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Deutschland würde sich politisch aus der westlichen Allianz katapultieren und zu einem de facto Vasallenstaat Russlands werden, sollte NS2 geöffnet werden. Das weiß auch jeder ernsthaft politisch Verantwortliche in Berlin. Deshalb wird das nie passieren. @Lambsdorff

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

7 months

This may be an unpopular opinion as everyone is so excited about Macron. But his new rhetoric, the squabbles with Berlin, are just political games Paris and Berlin are playing about leadership in Europe. There is little in it for Ukraine - or has Macron suddenly doubled support?

Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

7 months

@DrRadchenko These are words, less deeds so far. Berlin‘s rhetoric may not be that convincing, especially on Taurus, but in support for Ukraine it is far ahead of France.

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@LianaFix

2 years

It also suggests a new consensus in the West that this war should not be dragged out and become a long war, as Russia wants, but needs decisive action in 2023 - for Ukraine to regain as much territory as possible. 2024 will be a much more difficult year with US elections. (/end)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Biden has the broader goal in sight: Unity and Ukraine. 31 Abrams. Turning the page after the irritation of the last week, he praises German leadership and Olaf Scholz as a close friend. That‘s how leadership works. Be generous with your praise, and effective with your policy.

President Biden

@POTUS

2 years

Tune in as I deliver remarks on our continued support for Ukraine.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Merkel: „We should ask ourselves how world history functions. What are the laws. Otherwise we repeat the same mistakes“ - this to me sounds very much like Goethe‘s Faust - „was die Welt im innersten zusammenhält“ (8/14)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Well, war did beak out. In Georgia 2008, just after the Bucharest summit. And the compromise found with Bush - one day Ukraine and Georgia would become members - was the worst of both worlds. It encouraged Putin without giving any additional security to those countries. 👇

Ulrike Franke

@RikeFranke

2 years

Quite a controversial statement Heusgen makes here in passing. “If we had not used our veto when U.S. President George W. Bush wanted to admit Georgia and Ukraine to NATO in 2008, war would have broken out already then.” ?

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

THREAD 🧵 What if the War in #Ukraine does not end? Whose side is time on? @mkimmage and I have published a new piece in our series for @ForeignAffairs - here are the main points 👇 (1/8)

What If the War in Ukraine Doesn’t End?

The global consequences of a long conflict.

www.foreignaffairs.com

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

1 year

The embarrassing loopholes (via Kazakhstan) of the European sanctions regime and German sanctions enforcement - remarkable investigation by @derspiegel @istories_media and partners: 👇

Jörg Diehl

@diehljoerg

1 year

Unsere Recherche unter anderem mit @benjaminbidder @romanlehberger @katkoerth @marvinmilatz @rike_frieda @occrp @istories_eng @derspiegel (4/4)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Das ist dafür gedacht, dem Westen Angst zu machen. Es sollte -nichts- an der Unterstützung für ukrainische Gegenoffensive ändern. Wie sähe eine Welt aus, in der jedes Land einseitig (immer mehr!) Territorien “anerkennen” = i.e. annektieren könnte und damit erfolgreich abschreckt?

Andreas Kynast

@andikynast

2 years

Und plötzlich hat es Russland ganz eilig: Die Separatistenführung in Luhansk hat ein "Referendum" für den Beitritt zu Russland angesetzt: 23. - 27.9. Nach dieser "Abstimmung" dürfte Russland die Selbstverteidigung der Ukraine als Angriff auf eigenes Territorium bezeichnen.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

8 months

…unabhängig von der eigenen Position zu Taurus sollte niemand dieses Spiel mitmachen. Russland hofft auf Spaltung. Streit innenpolitisch, Streit mit Alliierten - es könnte aus Moskaus Sicht nichts besseres geben. (2/2)

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@LianaFix

2 years

From time to time, she talks via phone with Macron - interesting given the state of German-French relations - but seems not to be asked or doesn’t want to assume a role in Ukraine diplomacy (13/14)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

"Zelensky’s success as a wartime leader has relied on the fact that courage is contagious."

Volodymyr Zelensky Is TIME's 2022 Person of the Year

Volodymyr Zelensky’s success as a wartime leader has relied on the fact that courage is contagious

time.com

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

…the failure of this idea, she explains to herself, is because she was perceived as a lame duck, almost out of office - both in Europe and in Moscow. Putin did not meet her alone anymore (3/14)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

3 years

Some personal news: Very happy that I will join the @gmfus in DC next year as resident fellow from Jan-March while on sabbatical leave from @KoerberIP - great to work with @mkimmage @stevenckeil @JonDKatz et al on Transatlantic #Russia policy. Many things to do & friends to meet!

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

11 months

@noahbarkin Wow - so many flashbacks to Russia policy

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

If I were in the shoes of those in and around the Kremlin these days - I would despair. And in the trenches in the southeast of Ukraine - probably be frightened. (3/3)

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@LianaFix

2 years

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@LianaFix

1 year

This is unfortunately a weak explanation for a non-representative poll. It is highly unlikely that suddenly half of Germany‘s population changes its opinion who has started the war. Mixing AfD & Wagenknecht to an imaginary „40%“ pro-Putin bloc in Germany is entirely unserious.

Leonid Volkov

@leonidvolkov

1 year

@LianaFix @anneapplebaum @ConStelz @KleineBrockhoff I’m sorry, but this smells very much like “I don’t like the numbers, so I’ll try to discredit them” approach. You’re pointing to a June’22 (!) — which is clearly irrelevant — and to a recent Pew survey with entirely different topic and question. Meanwhile (and this makes we

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

3 years

German police warns: fake video in Russian on alleged attack by a group of Ukrainians and death (!) of teenager close to city of Euskirchen circulating on social media. Obvious attempt to divide German society & undermine solidarity with Ukrainian refugees. We have to be vigilant

Polizei NRW BN

@polizei_nrw_bn

3 years

WICHTIGE Info: Über das Internet wird derzeit ein Video verbreitet, in dem von einem Überfall auf einen 16-jährigen Jugendlichen im Bereich Euskirchen berichtet wird. Angeblich sei dieser von einer Gruppe Ukrainer zu Tode geprügelt worden. Die Sprache des Videos ist russisch. /1

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@LianaFix

2 years

Her book, it seems from this interview, will be as much about Europe’s (future) order as about herself. (14/14)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

👇👇🧵Hier ist mein neuer Gastbeitrag für @spiegelonline - Ein Weckruf für Europa, das sollten die US Midterm Elections sein. Statt sich auf der US Führungsrolle im Ukrainekrieg auszuruhen müssen die Europäer dringend mehr investieren @mathieuvonrohr (1/8)

Midterms in den USA: Was ein Sieg der Republikaner für Europa bedeuten würde

Die Midterms am kommenden Dienstag könnten über die Führungsrolle der USA im Ukrainekrieg entscheiden: Bei einem Sieg der Republikaner müsste auch Deutschland mehr Verantwortung übernehmen – und mehr...

www.spiegel.de

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Warum dann diese Debatte? Weil Narrative aus Moskau bewusst über Schröder ua gepflanzt werden - und dann als „provokativ“ in der dt Debatte eingebracht werden. Es ist ermüdend.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

The writings of Ivan Krastev and Stephen Holmes, Shakespeare and Schiller are quoted as helping her to understand what is happening - also to her (9/14)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

7 months

We need more of Pavel in Europe instead of useless debates about strategic ambiguity or Taurus sagas 👇 Money and ammunition is what matters now, nothing else.

Ulrich Speck

@ulrichspeck

7 months

Three European leaders: Macron is discussing ground troops. Scholz doesn't want to get into any trouble. Pavel is working hard to get artillery shells on the Ukrainian front.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

11 months

BILD reports that Germany is doubling its military spending for Ukraine in the next year from 4bn to 8bn, which reportedly would bring Germany to 2,1% of GDP defense spending 👇

Jan Claas Behrends

@jcbehrends

11 months

Endlich hat Berlin verstanden, dass die Ukraine mehr Waffen braucht. Und das darf noch nicht das Ende sein.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

4 years

Big and happy news: My book on „A New German Power?” in EU- #Russia relations is ready for pre-order w/ @Palgrave , due on May 17. Thank you for your kind endorsements @AngelaStent Hanns W. Maull @SabFis3 - looking forward to finally holding it in my hands!

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

„To take Russia seriously is not a sign of weakness but of strength“ she is quoted from an event about Helmut Kohl, who she argues, would have thought about the future with Russia already now (12/14)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

The US charming of Germany, out of hope to keep Zeitenwende going, is just remarkable.

Richard Walker

@rbsw

2 years

Blinken gushing praise for German hosts at Munich Security Conference: - Germany "absolutely extraordinary" in support for Ukraine - "Due to leadership of the chancellor and of my friend Annalena"

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

11 months

I found myself on this list of Germany‘s #40under40 by @capitalMagazin - thank you! A pleasure and in some good company 👇

Capital

@capitalMagazin

11 months

Unser Land steht vor großen Herausforderungen – jetzt kann sich die junge Generation beweisen. Capital zeichnet wieder die größten Talente aus Wirtschaft, Politik und Gesellschaft aus: die #top40unter40 #top40 Hier geht es zur gesamten Liste: (C+)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

7 months

Good to be back in the office after a wonderful parental leave - looking forward to being in touch again!

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

This is a most fascinating inside story of the run-up to the war by Boris Bondarev, the only Russian diplomat who quit his job and publicly criticized Moscow. Some take-outs in the thread below 👇 🧵

The Sources of Russian Misconduct

A diplomat defects from the Kremlin.

www.foreignaffairs.com

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

8 months

Out now! In this new @CFR_org publication, @MSnegovaya & I explore the possibility of leadership change in Russia. We argue that the US & its allies need to start preparing now for -three- possible scenarios. First of two threads🧵👉 @CFR_CPA (1/14) @CSIS

Leadership Change in Russia

Vladimir Putin’s grip on power in Russia does not appear as ironclad as it once did. Liana Fix and Maria Snegovaya recommend that the United States prepare for potential leadership change in Moscow...

www.cfr.org

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

3 years

Russian efforts at sowing disorder can be contrasted to Western efforts at restoring order. Wars that are won are never won forever. All too often countries defeat themselves over time by launching & then winning the wrong wars. END (11/11) @foreignaffairs

What If Russia Wins?

A Kremlin-controlled Ukraine would transform Europe.

www.foreignaffairs.com

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

1 year

With most of DC returning after labor day, I am delighted to start teaching a class on "A New Geopolitical Europe" & Russia's war against Ukraine at @Georgetown University this fall as adjunct faculty w/ a great group of students. Moving target, for sure.

Liana Fix - CGES

cges.georgetown.edu

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Interessant - kein “keep quiet” US Ansatz ggüber Deutschland mehr?

Andreas Püttmann

@Puettmann_Bonn

2 years

US-Botschafterin erklärt gerade bei @berlindirekt , dass ihre Erwartungen an den deutschen Beitrag für die #Ukraine "noch höher" seien als das, was wir derzeit schon leisten. Abwiegelnde Berufungen auf den Gleichschritt mit den Verbündeten passen dazu irgendwie nicht mehr.

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

11 months

Hier ist mein Beitrag für @zeitonline - warum es keine Zeit ist für Verhandlungen in der Ukraine und was die Europäer tun müssen, um ein Auslaufen der Unterstützung aus den USA zu verhindern👇

ZEIT ONLINE

@zeitonline

11 months

Die #Ukraine in Bedrängnis und #Russland optimistisch, das ist eben kein Grund, überstürzt Verhandlungen zu fordern. Der Westen muss endlich liefern – nicht nur Waffen, schreibt @LianaFix

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

3 years

If a domestic sore point diminishes the foreign policy efficacy of the US and its allies, it will be a weapon for Russian propaganda efforts and espionage. The holy grail will be the 2024 presidential election in the US. Europe’s future will depend on this election. (7/11)

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

2 years

Scholz, Macron, Draghi in Kiew - aber ohne Polen? Was das über die neue Ost-West-Spaltung in der EU sagt - mein Gastbeitrag für @derspiegel 👉 @Pawel_Tokarski @jgotkowska

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Dr. Liana Fix

@LianaFix

1 year

What is on the table for #Ukraine ahead of NATO's Vilnius summit? In a new piece for @SurvivalEditors , I argue that 🇺🇦 needs security guarantees now, not after victory. Without consensus on NATO membership, a security pact is the next best option @dana_allin @CFR_org (1/10) 🧵👇

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