15 minute pressure altimeter change via ASOS NWS/MADIS 5 minute interval data. Shows the shockwave from the
#Tongaeruption
, feel free to use as you wish.
With the 1 minute interval ASOS data now available, I tried a dataviz idea showing sparklines for each station's 15 minute pressure altimeter. Thoughts? seems to nicely show the smaller wave action after the initial passage.
#Tongaeruption
15 minute pressure altimeter change via ASOS NWS/MADIS 5 minute interval data. Shows the shockwave from the
#Tongaeruption
, feel free to use as you wish.
NWS Omaha's warning product generation this afternoon was nothing short of heroic. As of 7:45 PM
164 SVS (followup to TOR,SVR warnings)
102 LSR (Local Storm Reports)
42 Tornado Warnings
25 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
Those SVS and LSR counts take extreme levels of effort.
The record number is now 1,517 zones simultaneously under a Dense Fog Advisory at 1315z this morning. Top 4 dates are now
2024-01-25 | 1,517
2024-01-24 | 1,341
2024-01-23 | 1,107
2023-01-02 | 926
This record did not last long, as I presently have the zone count under Dense Fog Advisories at 1,338 (and climbing as I already had to edit this tweet once)
I think it is fascinating that the HRRR includes code to account for the eclipse. This is instantaneous surface shortwave down every 15 minutes with anything less than 1 W m-2 plotted in white. Note some white specs underneath the thicker clouds outside of the totality path.
The 1 minute data from Sunday is now available and shows the east to west wave from the
#Tongaeruption
. This wave traveled the long way around the globe to arrive on the east coast. The scaling is the same from the first-wave lapse posted yesterday.
#Free2Use
With the 1 minute interval ASOS data now available, I tried a dataviz idea showing sparklines for each station's 15 minute pressure altimeter. Thoughts? seems to nicely show the smaller wave action after the initial passage.
#Tongaeruption
FWIW, a lapse of NEXRAD L3 data receipt latencies + active storm based warnings for the overnight NWS network outage. Caveats, including am unsure if local offices could still see their own RADARs during the outage. Painful for overnight WFO folks to deal with for sure.
#Derecho
timelapse of NEXRAD, SVR+TOR warnings, and thunderstorm wind reports (LSR: TSTM WND GST). Bottom axes is an attempt to show the time coverage of the reports with each bar being 5 minutes wide, so no gaps until ~11 PM. Can iterate if folks have ideas.
What week of winter weather in Iowa! Thank you snow plow drivers and others! Lapse combines
@iowadot
track-a-plow locations, DOT/DPS Road conditions, and NWS RADAR since 12 AM last Monday. Re-use as you wish.
#iawx
🙏 for the hard work of the
@iowadot
for the recent
#iawx
Blizzard. This lapse from Wednesday to now combines winter road conditions, track-a-plow locations, and NWS RADAR mosaic. Depressing to see the next wave of snow arriving now after most of the state just got cleared!
My unofficial database had 1,177 zones under at Dense Fog Advisory 830 UTC this morning. This is the largest count of this advisory type since Oct 2005. Second highest (1,045) was yesterday and third highest (965) on 1 Jan 2023.
A lapse showing my crude CONUS NEXRAD mosaic +/- 6 hours around 46 hurricane landfalls 1997-2022. Was interested to see how quiet things are over the CONUS when these events happen. NB: Lili omitted due to lack of data.
Prelim NWS tornado track, an illustration of along-track warning lead time of "Polk-Story Tornado" on 21 May 2024. This was challenging event as NWS Des Moines was sheltering-in-place during first warning, there were many other storms, and 👀 ~71 MPH storm motion.
#iawx
Yesterday, my Twitter app lost access to v1.1 API and the associated "elevated" API limits. This forced a migration to v2 API for tweeting, which has the insanely low rate limits.
So IEMBot is dead, until hopefully one of the back channels on this yields fruit. Sigh.
📢🚨 All of my iembot API requests to Twitter are currently failing. Unsure what to do other than scream into the void here. Will try some evasive maneuvers!
As of 6 PM, my unofficial archives (since ~1986) have today as the largest NWS Tornado Warning total for a July date.
2024-07-08 | 90
2005-07-06 | 67
2014-07-27 | 49
2005-07-20 | 47
1995-07-27 | 46
2021-07-08 | 45
1997-07-02 | 44
2010-07-22 | 43
2003-07-09 | 42
1995-07-04 | 41
Map showing the difference between the coldest wind chill and warmest air temperature over the past few days. Plenty of Iowa with 100+ degree difference!
FWIW, since ~1986, largest simultaneous NWS Tornado Warning counts during March
34: Mar 2, 2012
20: Mar 12, 2006
19: Mar 31, 2023
17: Mar 28, 2007
17: Mar 13, 1990
17: Mar 1, 2007
16: Mar 14, 2024 ⭐️
16: Mar 13, 2006
16: Mar 3, 2019
Alright, here's an autoplot that allows you get generate SPC outlooks back to 1987 on demand. I am curious if you find ugly line work or missing events. Please let me know and I will audit it... Feedback always welcome!
Hoping to release 1987-2002 SPC outlook shapefiles/services soonish... Here's a plot for 24 May 1989 showing the illusive "High Risk" in its natural habitat, fully engulfing Iowa.
Hoping to release 1987-2002 SPC outlook shapefiles/services soonish... Here's a plot for 24 May 1989 showing the illusive "High Risk" in its natural habitat, fully engulfing Iowa.
🚀 900 GB of this is currently enroute for my liberation help to the Internets. Teaser tweet to get you as excited as I am on this slow news night. Hope to have something for you to chew on by Monday. Stay Tuned!
Eulogizing NWSChat1.0/NWSBot. I heard its cries for help during the failures, but there wasn't much I could do. I guess the amount of money/FTEs thrown at v2.0 is a testament to the importance. Eh, we had a decent run.
🙏 to Darone, Shane, Brad, and Carlos.
#RIP
2005-2023
My unofficial data has 141 Tornado Warnings issued by the
@NWS
for the 12z to 12z (7 AM CDT) period ending this morning (13 April 2020). This is the largest number of warnings since 285 on 2-3 March 2012. 27-28 Apr 2011 is largest on record at 450.
🚨 The machine room's subfloor where the IEM computational resources are housed is currently under 4 inches of water. I may been shutting everything down shortly. Thanks for your upcoming patience, this will get very ugly soon I am afraid. 🙏🙏
Using the unofficial watch polygons, what I compute for a year to date
#SPC
tornado watch climatology, 2024 total, and difference between the two heat map grids. FWIW
I am backfilling my NWS Text data archives back to 1983 thanks to some files from NCEI :) Found this gem, a PNS from
@NWSDesMoines
on 1 August 1983 showing July precip totals as an ASCII Map! This needs to be made a thing again!
My database indicates this is the first two polygon day 2 moderate risk since 10 November 1998! This may not be an apples to apples comparison as categorical risk thresholds have been tweaked over the years. You concur
@evan_bentley
?
12:59am CDT
#SPC
Day2 Outlook Moderate Risk: across eastern Iowa into northwest Illinois, and across northeast Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel, extreme western Kentucky, western Tennessee, and far northwest Mississippi...
For 12z to 12z "day" periods, the top 5 days during December, January, February for tornado warning count.
1. 2008-02-05 211
2. 1999-01-21 184
3. 2021-12-10 146 ✅
4. 1999-01-22 114
5. 2013-01-29 113
Reliable archives back to 2001, less reliable back to 1986.
Folks seemed to like my timelapse of NEXRAD + road conditions, so let us do a
#remix
with
@iowadot
tracked plow activity included (purple dots) and have the lapse include up until now.
Tremendous work being put in by NWS Omaha now. 52 Local Storm Reports issued so far, ~7 minute average difference between LSR report timestamp and product issuance, 25 of those reports less than 2 minutes.
Attempted calculation showing departure from average of number of hours with at least 100°F heat index so far this year. All heat index reports are considered (ie when less than air temp). X's denote stations with max values this year vs 1973-2021.
Time lapse from
@KCRG_FirstAlert
webcam in Iowa City showing epic amounts of convection, tons of great cloud details, back-shear anvil poof, and a moon rising! Will finalize something to youtube later once the light ends! Been a while since I got this good of a lapse.
#iawx
This record did not last long, as I presently have the zone count under Dense Fog Advisories at 1,338 (and climbing as I already had to edit this tweet once)
My unofficial database had 1,177 zones under at Dense Fog Advisory 830 UTC this morning. This is the largest count of this advisory type since Oct 2005. Second highest (1,045) was yesterday and third highest (965) on 1 Jan 2023.
🚀 900 GB of this is currently enroute for my liberation help to the Internets. Teaser tweet to get you as excited as I am on this slow news night. Hope to have something for you to chew on by Monday. Stay Tuned!
Two aircraft reconnaissance missions (US Air Force & NOAA) sampled the inner core of Hurricane Beryl this morning as it rapidly intensified into a category 4 hurricane - here's a loop of their paths and flight-level wind measurements:
Here's a plot of the Greenfield Tornado. Complex warning situation for this track with another tornado just west of this track. Continuing to think about having automation for these, but my cartographic skills will need improvements!
Prelim NWS tornado track, an illustration of along-track warning lead time of "Polk-Story Tornado" on 21 May 2024. This was challenging event as NWS Des Moines was sheltering-in-place during first warning, there were many other storms, and 👀 ~71 MPH storm motion.
#iawx
NWS Severe Thunderstorm Warnings issued so far this year departure from average (left: std σ, right: count). Always fun to see clear patterns show up in idiosyncratic data. Generation autoplot link:
My
@iembot_spc
bot got suspended last night for violating the TOS (no details given on how). The appeal was already denied and the permanent suspension appeal was already denied. Automation is so awesome. Will back channel this and see if magic can happen once more to restore.
My unofficial accounting has 97 Tornado Warnings issued today, the largest daily (central timezone) total since 106 issued on 24 Feb 2016. Highest total all of 2018 was 64 on 14 Apr 2018.
Folks, if you need more proof that these AWOS dewpoints are bad, the KAIO Atlantic AWOS was just visited by a tech and had its temp probe replaced.
12:15 PM Ob: 91/91
12:35 PM Ob: 93/75
KAIO 231715Z AUTO 21010KT 9SM CLR 33/33 A2999 KAIO 231735Z AUTO 21010KT 10SM CLR 34/24 A2999
Denison, IA currently reporting 90 over 88 and a heat index of 124, sigh. It is going to be a long week upcoming for invalid AWOS dewpoints in Iowa and beyond.
Time lapse showing Iowa DOT snow plow activity, reported road conditions, and NEXRAD mosaic for our recent winter storm. The truck data feed had a brief dropout early in the lapse.
#iawx
Previous tweets have hinted to this, but my website now has NWS Text Products back to ~1983. I wrote a blurb on what was done, sources involved, and caveats.
Enjoy and please let me know of any help you need finding old products. This is a goldmine!
I think it would be nice if iembot could come back to X for an active weather day, like today. Unfortunately, I have not found a means to contact X to let iembot come back! I've done everything this posts asks, shrug.
Calling all emergency apps built on X via API! 🚨
Emergency and public utility developer use-cases are vital to our X platform and serving humanity.
We are transforming our API platform to new modern systems and are in the process of migrating all developers to our new X API v2
Still upset over this :( To reiterate, this was a national NWS issue and not something within the control of NWS Omaha/Des Moines. I am sick that the local offices had to deal with this and what implications it may have had for those in the path of the tornadoes yesterday.
With reliable data back to 2002, here what I have for Top 10
@NWS
warnings issued by "convective day" (12-12 UTC, ~7AM-7AM CDT). Yesterday's event was top 10 for TORs only and SVR+TORs combined. First date on either top 10 since 2012!
Time lapse of
@iowadot
road conditions + NEXRAD since Saturday afternoon. Thanks to the many folks working long shifts to get the roadways open again for travel.
The data that goes into that map is so convoluted and complex, that there is only one person insane enough to attempt to curate downloadable archives of it (me). The pain is unrelenting. Hopefully I don't get hit by a bus.
added IEM autoplot 201 for your feedback / comments / bug finding! Generates a calendar of
@NWSSPC
outlooks by WFO or state font sizes need some help, but perhaps usable now.
📢 Initial website is ready
✅ Verbatim zip archives
✅ All extracted PDFs provided individually
My first goal was to allow others to easily download for their processing ideas, so this all isn't too friendly yet.
🛠️ Ideas/help out? akrherz
@iastate
.edu
🚀 900 GB of this is currently enroute for my liberation help to the Internets. Teaser tweet to get you as excited as I am on this slow news night. Hope to have something for you to chew on by Monday. Stay Tuned!
That's a remarkable sounding from Omaha. The -46.7C dew point at 925hPa is the second coldest/driest value I have on record for the site. -50.5C on 0z 29 Feb 2010 was the driest on record (since ~1958)
We did it, Joe. Another day over 100 Tornado Warnings. 5th such day this year. To list out the 2011 dates+counts:
2011-04-27 463
2011-05-25 289
2011-04-26 218
2011-04-15 206
2011-05-24 126
2011-04-25 125
2011-04-28 123
2011-04-16 121
2011-04-19 116
2011-09-05 99
2011-05-22 97
My database shows 103 Tornado Warnings issued today, which makes for the fourth day this year with over 100 such warnings issued. Here's what I have for the most such days per year since 1986. Caveats with warning methodology changes over the years and pre ~2001 data quality...
🚨 NWSChat Update 🚨
I had some positive interactions with the NWS IT folks since the Friday night failures and they have this morning implemented a configuration change which I believe should greatly stabilize NWSChat for today's usage.
🙏🙏 So far, things look promising.
With the iembots alive again and still working (knock on wood), it is a good time to update the follower counts.
@iembot_phi
has the WFO lead and
@iembot_spc
is tops overall.
This is one of the geographically largest mesoscale discussions I can remember! There are at least 9 states that are partially contained within this discussion.
While a lot of focus is on the Texas severe threat today (rightfully so), should not ignore the SUPER RARE significant hail threat for Florida today. Today's hail risk vs. hail climatology. This could be a major story later.
#FLwx
Sadly, many of my iembot twitter accounts were suspended again on Monday by
@TwitterSupport
even though they were on an internal list to avoid such suspensions.
Thankfully, I have an advocate at Twitter who is kindly helping to get them back online, just am unsure of timeline :(
📢🚨 All of my iembot API requests to Twitter are currently failing. Unsure what to do other than scream into the void here. Will try some evasive maneuvers!
I have 24 PDS Tornado Watches touching Iowa on record. This one has the largest amount of Iowa covered. 👀 on second and third largest
31 March 2023 (Keota)
25 May 2008 (Parkersburg)
Was looking at largest CONUS February temperature range so far and come up with Valentine, Nebraska at 103 degrees. International Falls. MN comes in at 87 degrees and it's plot is too pretty not to share.
I continue to offer my free help and advice to the
@NWS
on how to fix NWSChat via every mechanism I can think of. Frustrating to watch the constant failures. Offering free help can't be excepted by the government they say. Charging 20 bucks an hour was too much though to.
This is the first TOR-FFW(E) I have since 1 Sep 2021 (OKX/New York). My database has 259 events back to 2009...
I only have two TOR(E)-FFW(E)
PHI/Mount Holly 1 Sep 2021
JKL/JacksonKY 2 Mar 2012
Simultaneous tornado and flash flood (emergency) - known as a TORFF - unfolding in the Fort Lauderdale area
Warning protocols/communication can be very difficult in these circumstances because the recommended protective actions can be contradictory
"Ant Track" lapse showing the combination of
@iowadot
plows (purple dots) and reported road condition. Can see them out pre-treating roads today and then dealing with the snow that fell moving SE this afternoon. cc:
@RunnealsGIS
,
@EricAbramsGIS
@MarkMcCartGIS
No idea how folks can think a 90°F dew point in Iowa is possible... Afix meteorology thinking hat and try to figure out how moisture can be conserved and where said moisture would even go after peak heating. Is the field flooding with condensed water from dew? Good grief.
Here's a plot of the Greenfield Tornado. Complex warning situation for this track with another tornado just west of this track. Continuing to think about having automation for these, but my cartographic skills will need improvements!
I've updated the SPC outlook calendar autoplot to allow plotting the hail, tornado, or wind probabilities. Days with significant/hatched risk are flagged with a "H". please let me know of any bugs you see.
Neighbors have their downspouts buried and presently shows a very illustrative impact with the ongoing drought. I am amazed by the length and width of greenness. Last significant rain, 0.30" on August 5th.
For those wondering when the last time a day 3 ENH upgrade came during the afternoon, only need to look back to 7 January 2024 :)
I find 4 other events on record, with this happening.
I'm joining the cool kids and am now in the population + weather metrics game :) What are folks needs? Would an info-graphic like so be useful for an auto-tweet by some bot? If this reporting metric is already out there, I need not replicate it! :)
#feedbackplease
Plots showing the yearly average number of minutes that a given county was under a tornado warning. Concurrent polygon warnings for the same county *do not* double count for this analysis. One plot has funky units as being normalized by county size.
With Florida having a Tornado Watch into the early morning hours, I was curious about the percentage of tornado watches for each county that were active/valid at 3 AM CDT (8 UTC). Some local blips are due to small sample sizes, but there's interesting patterns to be seen.
Incredibly bad timing for an outage as folks visit and find no updated information since 4 PM. 6.5 hours into the outage and I have yet to see any status message as to what is going on, outside of something bad happened at College Park data center.