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Vijay Gokhale Profile
Vijay Gokhale

@VGokhale59

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China Watcher, Non-Res Senior Fellow @CarnegieIndia ; teaching Symbiosis Pune, Author of 4 books. latest book: Crosswinds: (Jan 2024); ex-diplomat

Joined January 2020
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
My advance copy has arrived. In bookstores later this week.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
1 year
Three years ago, today, I completed public service and started a new innings. 3 books on China, and…1/2
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Those who wish to understand the origins of the current state-of-play should be read this book by Avatar Bhasin
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
My copy arrived in advance. The book is an easy read for everybody who wishes to have an interesting account about how India & China interact.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
An essay worth reading as insight into what is happening in today’s China.
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Vijay Gokhale
2 years
Chinese FM gives boilerplate reply to question on India- China relations. Suggests that another power is creating the rift, and implying that India is not able to make independent decisions.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
2 months
Please exercise your right to vote in our country’s general election.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Deeply grieved at tragic demise of Gen. Bipin Rawat. Worked closely with him. A fine and decent public figure. Heartfelt condolences to his family. Om Shanti.
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@VGokhale59
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7 months
My piece in today’s Times of India on what the Kra project might mean for India.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
2 years
Got advance copy of new book. Explores how China’s leaders navigated the end of the Cold War and the unipolar world to silently rise through the international order
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
A perspective on why India China relations may have deteriorated and the core issue of mismatched identity perceptions that needs addressing. Thank you Carnegie India for publishing.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
My second book will be in bookstores from 19 July. Thanks @PenguinIndia . It may be preordered at
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
1 month
Well crafted and data-rich long piece by @antaragsingh on the current state of Chinese companies in the Indian market, the challenges they face post-Galwan, and why they have still not given up on the Indian market. Must-read piece.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 months
Delighted and honoured to receive prestigious Ramnath Goenka Award for Excellence in Journalism (Non-fiction Book) for my book ‘The Long Game: How the Chinese Negotiate with India’ at ceremony in New Delhi today. Award was presented by Shri Nitin Gadkari. Published @PenguinIndia
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
10 months
My four long form papers on India- China dynamics published by @CarnegieIndia along with Hindi and Marathi translations can be accessed through this link. 👇
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
The book is 360 degree view of 1970s when China set out on path to becoming a major power, and about the inner party struggle for China’s soul. Here is link to pre order. Out in bookstores on 7 May.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
2 years
Important speech by Chinese Vice FM. Draws parallel between NATO in Europe and ‘small circles’ in Indo-Pacific. Warns that it cannot go unchecked.
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2 years
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@VGokhale59
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2 years
My new book ‘After Tiananmen:The Rise of China’ published by @HarperCollinsIN will be released shortly. It can be preordered here👇.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
5 months
A must-read essay by @mcgregorrichard on China’s future growth and prospects. A slowing economy is not tantamount to a collapse.
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@VGokhale59
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3 years
My piece on Indian Ocean for an online platform run by students of National Law School, Bengaluru.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
6 months
Delighted to announce my new book published by @PenguinIndia narrating the story of India’s relations with China and U.S. in the early years through prism of four major events in Indo-Pacific. Preorder now at this link 👇 In bookstores after 22 January.
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3 years
One view of what China’s economic interests might be in Taliban run Afghanistan
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Vijay Gokhale
2 years
One of the most educative books on contemporary China by @yuenyuenang . Recommended read.
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Tanvi Madan’s short and sharp primer on the QUAD:
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1 year
My new long form paper on a key question - ‘What Should India do before the Next Taiwan Strait Crisis?’ Thank you @CarnegieIndia for publishing it 1/5
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
4 years
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Vijay Gokhale
2 years
Excellent graphic on why major German companies still need China’s market.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
4 months
My piece in today’s Times of India about India-China relations.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
First print sold out. Thank you to all my readers. Into reprint. Can be ordered here
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
I would highly recommend reading this article. The situation bears watching closely.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
2 years
Chinese Vice FM Le Yucheng makes important speech on 6 May to spell out Xi Jinping’s new idea - Global Security Initiative. Points worth noting: 1. GSI shows China acts like responsible and rules- bound power; 2. Re-defines what China meant by ‘no limits’ and ‘no forbidden areas’
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Vijay Gokhale
1 year
Three Working Papers on China available on website @CarnegieIndia
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Vijay Gokhale
4 years
My piece in Foreign Policy on the nature of the challenge that China poses to democracies and what they need to do about it
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
1 year
Recent talk on India China relations by leading Chinese scholar Liu Zongyi, shared by @thomasgdgeddes Main point: India-China ties will be defined by confrontation and competition in the short, medium and possibly long term.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
The Financial Times (London) mentions my new book The Long Game, as part of three book review. Says author “uses his book to set forth a fascinating deconstruction of China’s negotiating techniques in high-stakes situations”. Read here
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
China’s leading Communist Party journal, QIU SHI, lists the Ten Core Principles for diplomacy under Xi Jinping. The order of listing is significant
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7 months
1/3 My new working paper for @CarnegieIndia examines why existing CBMs may not have worked, and options for India to build back a framework for peace and tranquility in border regions.
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2 years
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Vijay Gokhale
7 months
My piece for the Indian Express on Henry Kissinger.
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Vijay Gokhale
2 years
Visuals of protests from Chinese cities bears watching. First pan-city protests since 1989, and universities seem to be a part of them.
@EmilyZFeng
Emily Feng 冯哲芸
2 years
Seemingly spontaneous protest converging again at Urumqi Road in Shanghai, despite heavy police presence. People are shouting “let them go 放人!” 😮 Apparently in reference to those arrested at previous protests.
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Says India is focused on building South Asia as strategic foundation with India at the centre, in order to control Indian Ocean. Claims that India’s core strategy is to use ‘Kashmir, Nepal, Bhutan, Sikkim and Arunachal as internal lines of defence.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
5 months
My interview with @ananthkrishnan in today’s The Hindu, on my new book ‘Crosswinds’ and other things. The complete interview may be accessed online.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
2 years
The @the_hindu @ananthkrishnan highlights key message from Chinese FM’s presser: ‘From Five Eyes and Quad to AUKUS,” he said, “the U.S. is staging a ‘54321’ formation in the Asia Pacific. It is by no means a blessing but a sinister move.’ He is making connections & drawing lines
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
The CASI translation of PLA Academy of Military Sciences (2013) document contains valuable insights into Chinese military thinking. Do read.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
6 months
Brilliant essay by China scholar @yuenyuenang about the how and the why if Chinese modernisation, and the perils of following top-down policy approach.
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Vijay Gokhale
2 years
Leading Chinese expert Yan Xuetong on China’s big problem, it’s inability to convince neighbours that it is not a threat.
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
A piece on how the Chinese Communist Party is making the case that its political system is superior
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Vijay Gokhale
4 years
Ananth Krishnan’s decision to write a Newsletter on China will provide a much needed Indian perspective on what’s going on in China. Recommended reading for China watchers.
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Vijay Gokhale
2 years
Former NSA Menon’s paper on internal dynamics of Xi’s China and its implications for rest of world, is precise and relevant to understanding Chinese behaviour. Recommended reading
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Former US Dy NSA Matt Pottinger’s essay on China in Foreign Affairs. China, he says, claims its moves are defensive but is, in reality, playing offence. Worth reading.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
5 months
For a concise understanding of the Chinese political system, see this excellent two page primer by US Congressional Research Service
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
China’s government cannot be understood without a proper comprehension of the culture and ideology of the Communist Party. Greg Sheridan’s piece in the Weekend Australian .
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Indian Ambassador’s message to China at Track 2 meeting - don’t shift goalposts, respect for sensitivities has to be mutual, and treat us as equals. On point.
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Article in Foreign Policy on the underlying implications of Wolf Warrior diplomacy for China and the rest of world.
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Vijay Gokhale
2 years
The release of my new book ‘After Tiananmen: The Rise of China’ by ⁦ @CarnegieIndia ⁩ yesterday in the company of Evan Feigenbaum, Ashley Tellis, Samantha Hoffman, Srinath Raghavan.
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Vijay Gokhale
2 years
Recommended reading on China’s political economy by @yuenyuenang
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
My new working paper @CarnegieIndia on China and Nepal, brings historical perspective to 21st century issue, and suggests possible options for India going forward.
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Jeff Smith’s well articulated piece in Foreign Policy on India’s interest in QUAD also outlines reasons for residual concern and vulnerabilities.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
10 months
My review of Bethany Allen’s new book ‘Beijing Rules: China’s Quest for Global Influence’. Recommended reading for those interested in how China uses economic coercion to influence the policies of others.
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Vijay Gokhale
4 years
Jabin Jacob’s piece on how the non Western world might look at China is worth reading to get the other side of the debate on Wolf Warrior diplomacy.
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Chinese FM’s annual foreign policy review is mostly routine with little that is tangibly new. But few things need to be noted.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
6 months
How did India decide to recognise communist China? Why did India not heed America’s advice? What role did Britain play in India’s decision? In my book. Can be preordered:
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Important new Paper by Carnegie India @DeepPal_ on China’s influence activities in 4 South Asian states, brings up important facts. Must read
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
A perceptive piece in Nikkei on internal dynamics in Chinese communist party, is worth reading.
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Vijay Gokhale
2 years
An interesting graph on population dynamics in China. When introducing One Child policy, communist party did not anticipate this.
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
A sober Chinese analysis of prospects for Afghanistan, which also acknowledges how much India’s aid mattered. (Chinese text)
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Vijay Gokhale
8 months
Thought provoking piece by @HalBrands on 5 possible Chinese strategies to regain Taiwan - passive coercion, seizing offshore islands, blockade, bombardment and war, and the attendant risks for President Xi.
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Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Essay by Blanchette and Maderios on the Future of China’s Communist Party under Xi, is a brilliant read for anyone wanting an overview of where it stands in 2021.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Veteran Hongkong journalist Willy Wo Lap Lam has unparalleled knowledge of Chinese politics. His latest piece:
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Read Blake Herziger’s piece comparing Sino-Soviet clash on Bear Island with the India-China clash in Galwan, in Foreign Policy
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
#MissionVayu . I made my small contribution to PPCR initiative. Punekars please give what you can to help MCCIA’s initiative to fight COVID. @SidShirole @Manojpochat @Girbane @sudhirmehtapune
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
6 months
My new book ‘Crosswinds’ has details of Krishna Menon’s interesting conversations with Zhou Enlai of China and John Foster Dulles of the US, that shaped US-China-India dynamics at a critical time in our diplomacy. Can be preordered here:
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
10 months
Analytical piece at @CarnegieIndia by Saheb Singh Chaddha on the limits to possibility of detente between India & China in current circumstances.
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Vijay Gokhale
3 months
Former US Deputy NSA Matt Pottinger and Mike Gallagher lay out the case for a tough China policy. Must read.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
10 months
Text of my interview with Georgetown Journal for Asian Affairs. I talk about China, India, the Indo-Pacific and democracy.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
4 months
Piece in @ForeignPolicy by @am_i_t_kumar on state of China’s economy well worth reading. Negative inflation, low fixed gross capital formation, sluggish property sector and not enough consumption is a worrying long term problem.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Read Walter Mead’s piece about betting on the rise of Others as a US strategy to counter China
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
2 years
One Chinese scholar’s view on what China should do on Ukraine crisis. Worth a quick read.
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3 years
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Recommend reading this interview by Andrew Small and Bonnie Glaser on what China can offer Taliban and ask in return. @ajwsmall analysis worth paying attention to
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Jeff Smith’s sober and realistic analysis of China, QUAD and Indo-Pacific is a must-read for perspective.
@Heritage
Heritage Foundation
3 years
China’s Rise and Balancing in the Indo-Pacific: Taking Stock in 2021 @Cold_Peace_
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Vijay Gokhale
6 months
Former FS Shyam Saran’s review of my new book ‘Crosswinds’ in Business Standard. “Outstanding piece of contemporary history writing…laying bare the complex interplay of interests, attitudes and changing perceptions’ of 4 major countries in evolving post WWII Indo Pacific order.”
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
Sergey Radchenko’s perceptive essay on Sino-Russian relations is worth reading, especially why he thinks America will not succeed in driving a wedge between them. This is a new type of Relationship, he writes
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
2 years
Today’s PLA Daily mirrors Chinese VFM’s talk, saying that US is creating ‘gangs’ in Indo Pacific to build a NATO-like structure. Describes QUAD as part of it. Chinese text. Different parts of Chinese system aligning on this issue.
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@VGokhale59
Vijay Gokhale
3 years
A useful read on how the Chinese think about commonly understood terms in international diplomacy.
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