Peachorino @Peachorino Twitter profile | Pikagi

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Peachorino

@Peachorino

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Political/cultural analysis, along with various other personal musings. All views are my own.

Joined June 2016

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

22 days

Here is the October update to the "All Polls Aggregated" model, which is a rolling average that builds over the course of a campaign cycle by including all polls conducted within said cycle, instead of just during specific dates. The idea is that more data points = more accuracy,

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 months

@lporiginalg The fact that she refers to her significant other as her "partner" is all you need to know.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

22 days

@ComradeDoyIe Story of my fucking life, low I.Q. retards despise competence.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@counterNWOsquad 4chan is the 2022 Wikileaks.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 months

@chartdata @AmyAllenMusic So she's like the Shellback of 2020's pop music, and Jack Antonoff is becoming the Max Martin. Dr. Luke is still just Dr. Luke.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

8 months

@revenant_MMXX It's actually part of a larger trend of what I'm calling the RW e-girl "response" to the manosphere/Andrew Tate. There's a lot of radfems masquerading as wholesome TradCath e-girls, and there's just overall a push to integrate 2010's-style radical feminism into the RW sphere.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@WalrusIsBack @Timcast Shall not be infringed.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@camrynbaylee Just think that *at least* 3 people had access to the diary, and instead of you know... leaking the whole thing onto 4chan, they decided to sit on it until the FBI came and stole it back.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

9 months

@lporiginalg So we've gotten to a point now where being slightly introverted makes a dude "icky" and automatically an incel? Does she realize that most younger people these days are introverted and awkward? The public square doesn't exist these days like it did in the 90's.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@Peoples_Pundit Let's be honest, Finstad could be outperformng Trump by +10% in these counties and people like Wasserman would still be claiming that it's a good result for Dems.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 months

@DrSlushee @lporiginalg It's deeper than that, young women have become so far-left that it's even seeping into religious/pro-life movements. A lot of these modern "Christian", "conservative" young women are actually just superstitious leftists.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

BREAKING: After the release of the St. Anselm poll showing Don Bolduc up by 1, RCP is now projecting NH senate as a Republican pickup.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@IAPolls2022 Might just be the thing that gets him over the line.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

3 years

@BananaJamaLlama @ElectionWiz The police should be able to break into your house every day and strip search you. If you aren't doing anything you illegal you shouldn't have to worry, correct?

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@FahadMAlam @LokiJulianus *Popular Twitter election analyst states exactly how many late mail-ins a specific candidate needs to win* *Magical batch of late mail-ins arrive out of nowhere, with just the right amount to put specific candidate over the edge* Well, who wudda thunk' it?

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@SigurdRagnarsn @crabcrawler1 In the dozens of threads and hundreds upon hundreds of posts that he's made for nearly a year, that you obviously will keep ignoring until the cows come home.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@chartdata @pinkpantheress2 @icespicee_ This right here is evidence as to why the remixing tactic can be GREAT, as long as it's a new/unknown artist collaborating and it actually works with the song. This needs a pop radio push IMMEDIATELY.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

3 months

@theandysofbravo @NewsWire_US "The will of the people" - lol. You mean like... 37% of them?

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@disclosetv Looks like they're getting ready to perform a massive cover-up of the failed rescue effort. Expect the rising casualty numbers to mysteriously drop off in the next week or so, when we all know that they're probably in the 6-digit range.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@PollProjectUSA @FandMPoll Um, yeah no. Even if the Oz number is slightly more believable, the Shapiro +22 is absolutely not.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@crypto_passion @IAPolls2022 Oz in PA as well. Fetterwoman is collapsing as we speak.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

4 months

@ThisIsMeTanking @lippredicts Music videos just aren't as relevant as they were even 5 years ago, and good ones are quite costly, especially for an up-and-coming artist like Chappel.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

4 months

@Trust_Lion_ What's up with RW/adjacent influencers and their recent obsession with comparing everything to high school social dynamics? It's like they can only view the world through the lens of 80's teen comedies, and it's incredibly immature and insufferable.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

19 days

@cheeseheadlucy @Redistrict The way that one guy votes doesn't dictate the voting preference of a million. Florida is a safe red state now, get over it. It'll be called less than 30 minutes after poll closing, probably even sooner.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@gdmullins @LucasFoxNews @JonahDispatch Hyper-centralized government spending, along with communistic lockdowns for 2 years, is what caused this economic crisis. Not mUh CaPiTaLisM or MuH GrEeDy CoRpOrAtIoNs. Plus, businesses HAVE to raise prices adjust for rising shipping costs and materials, or else they'd fall.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

10 days

@Fearless_FP @PpollingNumbers @ABC This shows a 4-point swing to Trump from September, so under your own logic, it apparently *did* make a difference.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

1 month

@yowasgehtso @PpollingNumbers The state voted 4% to the right of the nation in 2020, it's quite literally the easiest flip for Trump of the Rustbelt 3.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 months

@QPollsandnews Good pollsters are showing a dead-heat in the NPV. The usual suspects are showing what they wanted to show with Biden for a year but couldn't.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

9 days

@VoteHubUS God, these replies are littered with mathematically illiterate morons. This state is going to cast around 10M ballots when all is said and done, there is almost NOTHING to be gleamed from such a small sample of votes.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

8 months

@revenant_MMXX They're all for modesty and conservative values, up until you mention a girl's current/past dating habits and/or body count.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@crabcrawler1 If he still gets off after this, then there truly is no justice in this world.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@AbakiBurns @TKOdarkshadow_ @Internet_TLCM Well that's because your nation is a degenerate commie shithole.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

6 months

@bizlet7 LOL, that comments section - oh my goodness. Apparently having the balls to approach a woman cold-turkey and telling her she's beautiful makes a guy "socially-behind" in the amazing year of our lord 2024. And they wonder why young men aren't dating...

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

25 days

@TheCalvinCooli1 They're just spawn camping at this point.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

11 months

@USRadioUpdater @theweeknd Actually happy to see this one potentially becoming a big hit, the main melody is super strong and gives me gothic 2000's vibes.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@EmersonPolling @thehill @DrOz @JohnFetterman LMAO lib ET types about to be RIPPING through the crosstabs.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@disclosetv Hopefully it's the foreshock.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

1 month

@chriswithans If past trends hold, it points something within the ballpark of Trump +11-13%.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@IAPolls2022 Apparently it's gonna take them up to 21 days to count the late ballots, so I'm sure they'll "find" enough votes for Kelly to squeak by.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

7 days

@TemplarsTOR @DanODonnellShow WI usually votes in parity with PA, or even slightly to the right of it. If they're having problems in PA, they're DEFINITELY having problems in WI.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@thebias_news Let me guess, they are A.) preparing to fortify the upcoming election in multiple ways, notably a massive increase in political censorship, and B). setting up the narrative that Russia rigged/stole the election when they inevitably lose.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

9 months

@ScottMGreer It's come to a point on RW relationship Twitter where any man having any attractiveness standards for women at all makes him gay.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

5 months

@theantiherokate BAPism has caused alot of men on the "dissident right" to essentially become glorified Dave Portnoy-style "Barstool Conservatives" who have no problem with the pornified excesses of post-sexual revolution society, as long as it's contained within a MANLY GOOD OL' BOY framework.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 months

@donaldjwl @Kotaku People who don't really watch movies - which is why it'll fail of course.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

7 months

@lippredicts Just Billboard being biased against Hip-hip and in favor of Nashville, nothing new unfortunately.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@DeAngelisCorey C'mon Herschel, you can do it!

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@PollProjectUSA @QuinnipiacPoll 2022, ladies and gentleman. Blue Alaska and Oklahoma, red New York and Oregon.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

11 days

@QuantusInsights So, she's vastly underperforming both Biden & Clinton among nearly all demographics, and by large margins, but is supposedly +3 nationally and in a good position to carry the EC. Something tells me that we're in for another sizeable polling error...

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

29 days

@NewsWire_US Yeah, the last mainline presidential candidate to receive less than 45% of the vote was... Bob Dole back in 1996. The lowest Republican share since then was John McCain in 2008. That fact that Trump (who got 46% in 2016 and 47% in 2020) is only at 40% is just proof that this poll

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

6 months

@USRadioUpdater @laineywilson @SabrinaAnnLynn @Hozier @sza Sabrina having 2 songs heavily pushed at once is very surprising since radio has become very hesitant to push multiple songs from the same artist in recent years, I mean even heavy hitters like Ariana and Dua Lipa have been struggling with this.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@IAPolls2022 He's wwwaayyy outperforming McSally so far, and remember that the final aggregate in 2020 overestimated Kelly's support by over 3%.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@CheneyStan @NewsWire_US He just made it legal for the executive branch to spy on American citizens.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@Styx666Official Vote counts in all of these races froze up at the exact same time, some have been stuck for nearly an hour. Not good!

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

7 months

@chriswithans Biden up = Most amazing and accurate pollster ever. Trump up = Worst pollster ever, should be banned from polling.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@AJCarey29 @Breaking911 Found one of the escapees, time to get back on the shortbus buddy.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

5 months

@AllTheWayToDC1 @ahshhshddbb Um, it was you guys who were claiming that Biden was going to win 413 EV's. Georgia was a bit unexpected, but Trump largely outperformed his polling everywhere else. This narrative that Biden overperformed is one that you just made up, and everyone knows it.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

8 months

@revenant_MMXX Oh, and did I forget to mention all of the "TradCath" male pickme dating coaches that are *totally* trying to help men, and not just throw them under the bus to satiate the group I mentioned above?

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@IAPolls2022 Republicans winning all of the important historical metrics by double-digits, yet somehow the end result is still D+5. Shenanigans definitely afoot.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@IAPolls2022 All I can say is... ouch!

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

8 months

@USRadioUpdater @Beyonce @bensonboone @SophieEB @theweeknd @CalvinHarris Honestly, "Texas Hold 'Em" has the chance to be a cultural-reset type of song if it continues to dominate. I could see tons of other pop stars dipping their toes into various forms of country-influenced music.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

7 months

@revenant_MMXX @SydneyLWatson There's a massive trend on Youtube right now that's basically "slightly left-of-center radfem with obviously promiscuous past talks about art and culture", so all of these "conservative" female commentators are basically just trying to get a slice of that pie by becoming radfems.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

1 month

@chriswithans No way PA votes to the left of the nation, this isn't the 2000's.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

4 months

@PopDataMusic @Drake Whether his fans admit to it or not, the beef damaged his reputation forever - liking/listening to Drake is now considered extremely uncool, and the kids hate being considered uncool.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

9 months

@Philosophi_Cat I call it "Boot up your ass" conservatism, it is *very, very* prominent in Boomers and GenXers. It's incredibly cringey, along with being extremely unhelpful and overall just needs to die out.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@Idejder @sahilkapur Supporting the eviction of economically disadvantaged people (in a housing crisis!) to own Walker and the conservatives. How kind & caring of you!

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@BruneElections You just described like 99% of the Republican senate campaigns in competitive states.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 months

@lippredicts Ehh, I don't know - could go either way, but I'm betting on an underperformance. Big-name "aesthetic" collaborations like this were all the rage back in the peak stan culture days, but the times have changed, and music consumption is being driven less and less by old-guard meme

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@MerlinLynn75 @EmersonPolling @RonJohnsonWI @TheOtherMandela Siena was one of the worst pollsters in 2020, Emerson one of the better but not best. Barnes is toast, my guy.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@rolypoly15924 @Styx666Official Yeah, a bunch of "late early" ballots. You know, the ones that flipped multiple swing states to Biden in the 11th hour.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@JoeyMauro1 @tencor_7144 Yeah, even Kemp lost more ground in the ATL metro. Georgia republicans are absolutely screwed in the long run.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

25 days

@RedEaglePatriot These people don't understand that specific regions can trend independently - not all suburbs have the same demographics.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@IAPolls2022 Been noticing that alot of these polls since late August seem to have the downballot Democrats stuck at 44% - matching their current ceiling in the GCB. Not great news for them at all.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

15 days

@BronzeAdidas @IAPolls2022 Biden was ahead by like 7 points at this time in 2020, plus the margin of error is a thing. Oh, and it's also one poll.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

9 months

@tencor_7144 Right, almost all of these recent "Trump down single digits in deep blue state" polls don't show him gaining anything since 2020, just Biden's support not fully consolidated.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

8 months

@USRadioUpdater @Beyonce @natesmithsongs @ChrisYoungMusic @gwenstefani @blakeshelton Oh wow, Nashville radio is actually embracing Beyonce? Guess I needed to see it to believe it. Nashville really is the future of the music industry, there's a reason that so many artists are dipping their toes into the country sphere.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

5 months

@PresidentBlumph This is what these Lib ET types don't understand, elections are essentially just MATH, real people casting real votes, or stating their preference to a pollster. It isn't just moving some numbers on a slider; you actually have to influence the opinions/behavior of real people.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@ChartEssentials @ItsBennyBlanco @BTS_twt @SnoopDogg 2 years ago this song would've been in contention for the top 3, thankfully that can no longer happen thanks to Billboard's new sales filtering.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

9 months

@PandasAndVidya This "women are happier single & alone" narrative seems to be being pushed really hard again in feminist circles. Que the stats on single women and their correlation with alcohol and prescription drug usage...

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

5 months

@IAPolls2022 Trump winning the "preserving democracy" issue, AND only 2 points behind Biden on abortion, AND it's Quinnipiac? Yeah, Biden is absolutely cooked in Georgia.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@SethTaylor1991 @RobertCahaly @trafalgar_group Wow, people that alreadu voted Democratic by 100 points will now vote Democratic by 101 points. The bluementum is real, baby!

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

7 months

@DustBowlPatriot @Brick_Suit @BNONews You can tell they tried to reverse as a last-ditch maneuver (watch the stern start to swing out), but the ship's forward momentum was too much and it ended up shredding the front-right corner on the support.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@PopDataMusic Imo, pretty apparent that she's going the Rihanna/Beyonce/etc route of most abandoning music for acting and other business ventures. The music industry just doesn't bring in the money like it used to.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@Joyce_Karam C'MON BRO IT'S NOT A REAL CUT BRO NOTHING IS FINALIZED BRO GAS PRICES WON'T RISE BRO BIDEN AND THE DEMS DEFINITELY AREN'T SCREWED BRO

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

3 years

@Bagofbread2 @philthatremains By "actual history", you mean some dumb 5 minute Youtube video created by a fat leftoid like yourself, correct?

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@politicsrea @tencor_7144 If anything, the far left will just be even more emboldened.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 months

@chartdata @TheChainsmokers @halsey It was a big moment for sure, but god has this song aged terribly, along with all of the other crappy mid-2010's "pop-drop" EDM.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@ChartEssentials @taylorswift13 Let's be honest, the only reason they were probably playing it in the first place was due to peer-pressure from the song's initial virality. They've probably been desperate to dump the thing since the very beginning, though it's not all all Joji's fault.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@TexRex1512 @IAPolls2022 Masters.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

23 days

Final result will probably be something like Trump 51, Harris 47. If you want decimals, Trump 50.6, Harris 46.8.

@of_lyon68642

Jejune the Destroyer

23 days

Sorry to break it to you, but we are winning General election poll - North Carolina 🔴 Trump 49% (+2) 🔵 Harris 47% Last poll (8/28) - 🔴 Trump +1

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

8 months

@lippredicts It's coming to a point on the Hot 100 where you essentially have to be a vestigial A-lister with a massively hardened fanbase and deep industry backing to reach #1 , since having great streaming alone just doesn't do it anymore and radio takes half a damned year to get on board.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@Quicktake @entomos_ch I will not live in the pod. I will not eat the bugs.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@overmann47 @tencor_7144 coughTilliscough coughToomeycough coughRonJohnson2016cough coughSusanCollins2020cough

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@spectatorindex Not even counting the 10s of thousands still trapped under the rubble that will unfortunately die in the next week.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

1 year

@RRHElections GOP performed exceptionally well, the map is just really, really difficult to overcome.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@BruneElections Urban vs Rural/College vs Non-college polarization increasing at an unprecedented pace, with Dobbs most likely adding fuel to the fire.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

1 month

@revenant_MMXX Why does everyone still associate the broccoli hair with modern Zoomers? That was a pandemic-era trend - they all look like Benson Boone now.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@USRadioUpdater @MileyCyrus Looks like Miley has a full-fledged hit on her hands, her first in over half a decade. I'm happy to see it!

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

8 days

@QuantusInsights D+7, absolutely laughable. They're trying to drag the aggregates back in Harris' direction, it's quite obvious.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

2 years

@IAPolls2022 Literally the last major pollster in the last month to show CCM with a lead. Ah, never change, Suffolk...

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

4 months

@ConservBlue2020 @PpollingNumbers Siena is literally one of the best, they nailed 2022 when others struggled.

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@Peachorino

Peachorino

4 months

@pipercat55 @umichvoter Um, no. 8% and 18% aren't the same number last time I knew.

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