Ryan Brune @BruneElections Twitter profile

Pinned Tweet

Ryan Brune

2 years

The Ohio Secretary of State has finally provided precinct results for the May primary. Here's a map of the gubernatorial primary, where Mike DeWine was held below a majority.

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Last Seen Profiles

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Abortion is going to instantaneously become illegal in these states.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

He lost, but OH-13 and OH-01 are because of him.

Tim Ryan

@TimRyan

2 years

We left it all on the field.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Looks like Warnock is the first Democrat in the modern era to win every single precinct in DeKalb.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Democrats have almost certainly flipped OH-01.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Another important factor of Democrats doing as well as they did in 2022 is that there is now basically zero chance Republicans get 60 Senate seats in 2024, even in a red wave.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Light red means Republican ripple. Dark red is Republican wave. Light blue is Democratic ripple, dark blue is Democratic wave.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

7 months

Pretty much 100% of the quote tweets on this are saying that this horrible. A war crime. Not justifiable. Buddy these people are indiscriminately attacking ships in the largest shipping lane on the planet. It would be insanity do nothing.

The Spectator Index

@spectatorindex

7 months

BREAKING: The Times reports the US and UK are set to carry out airstrikes against Houthis as early as tonight

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Worth noting that before Keystone XL pipeline canceled.. it was on track to be operation by... 2030.

Patrick Ruffini

@PatrickRuffini

2 years

Biden's worst mistake when it comes to the current situation was cancelling Keystone XL.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

9 months

Looks like Democrats got >90% of the vote in every college campus in Virginia - with the exception of Liberty where they got 5%.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Let's see... 2008: 1/50 states wrong 2012: 100% correct, 0/50 states wrong 2016: Gave Trump the best odds of any mainstream modeler. Still had the grace to eat humble pie. 2018: 1 Seat off in House model, 0.6% off in popular vote 2020: 2/50 states wrong

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

4 years

If Democrats were smart they'd argue in the GA elections that the only way to get additional stimulus is to vote for Ossoff/Warnock.

Erik Wasson

@elwasson

4 years

*TRUMP ADMIN SAID TO BE STEPPING BACK FROM STIMULUS NEGOTIATIONS

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Democrats have almost certainly won OH-13. Democrats should go from 12-4 in Ohio to 10-5. Note Ohio lost a seat.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

4 years

The fundamental problem for Republicans in Minnesota: Joe Biden netted more votes in one county (Hennepin) than Donald Trump netted in all the 74 counties he won.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

I'm sure there is no solid proof, but my guess is that Tuberville probably single-handedly did this.

Seung Min Kim

@seungminkim

1 year

WASHINGTON (AP) — Biden decides to keep Space Command in Colorado, overturning Trump decision to move it to Alabama, officials tell AP.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

Just a Schumer +11, Trump +92, Zeldin+94 precinct in Hasidic New York.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Honestly though, props to Politico. The scoop of the century?

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

This is the Midwest. You only live in the Midwest if you live in a green county.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Gun to my head predictions. Republicans win the house 220-215. Democrats win 50 Senate seats now, and a 51st in November.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Tbh Hochul may have cost Democrats the House. Not by failing to implement her gerrymander, but by running such an awful reelection campaign.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 months

Mildly surprised the Newsmax watching juror found him guilty.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

10 months

Tbh if Menendez does not decide to resign within a week the Senate should vote to expel.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

She is correct fwiw. Per the latest statistics there are ~26% more violent crimes per capita in Oklahoma compared to New York. ~3% more than California.

danny

@dabbs346

2 years

Finally, a Democrat calls out a Republican on the truth about crime rates -- violent crime rates are higher in Oklahoma than New York and Californa. This will be fact checked. #okgovdebate

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

Appeal to the UN incoming.

John Fritze

@jfritze

1 year

Statement from Alabama AG Steve Marshall: "Although the majority’s decision is disappointing, this case is not over."

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Colorado Republicans lost every plausibly competitive statehouse seat. The bluest seat they hold is Trump+8.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Kaptur is going to win by double digits I think.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

3 years

What should be made of this? (Virginia swing voters)

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Big Denver dump gets Bennet up to +14.3 and Polis up to +19.1.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

6 years

Democrats had not won a statewide race in Arizona since 2006. They just won four.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

6 months

Clinton actually won New York minus New York City by ~1.3%.

WNYT NewsChannel 13

@WNYT

8 years

Without New York City, Trump would be ahead in New York

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

Protasiewicz won the city of Waukesha 10,838 votes to 10,712. First Democrat/Liberal in a bazillion years to win the city.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Georgia turnout ended up being pretty trash. Democrats really need to do better getting out the Black vote outside of metro Atlanta.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Ohio in person early voting is a joke. Each county is only allowed 1 early vote location. Franklin County, population of greater than 1.3m, has the same number of early voting locations as Vinton County, whose population is a bit shy of 13k.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

The vibe seems like high turnout.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

4 years

The craziest part of the 2020 campaign is still how the Biden campaign went from being on life support to an unstoppable juggernaut in less than a week.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

The story across Kansas right now is all the same. All we have is early vote, which is quite biased in the liberal direction, but "NO" is exceeding its benchmarks by 20-30+ points everywhere. We need to see some Eday for a final determination.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Katie Hobbs ran a horrible campaign and is probably going to win. Really shows the craziness of Lake.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Bennett (tossup race lmao) is probably going to win by more than Schumer (electoral juggernaut).

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

7 months

(Germany and Hungary have the same birth rate)

End Wokeness

@EndWokeness

7 months

A tale of 2 European leaders: PM Viktor Orbán: 5 children with the same woman he married 37 years ago. Angela Merkel: No children, first marriage ends in bitter divorce. Orbán kept Hungary intact by promoting fertility and blocking immigration. Merkel destroyed Germany and

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

Honestly Hochul probably did cost Democrats at least 4 house seats.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Pretty sure Kelly is going to eek it.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

My guess is that Hobbs is declared the winner tomorrow. GOP winning the House probably declared Tuesdayish at this rate.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

The 2023 Democratic minority represents far more area than the 2019 Democratic majority.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Ironically if Laxalt loses (very likely imo) it will be the second time I picked him to win and the second time Ralston was right.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

11 months

One big criticism of the Obama Democratic party is that it went limp during non presidential elections. After 2014 the Democratic party was at its worst spot since the 1920s in terms of legislative control. As of 2023 Ds have the most trifeftas since 2009.

Ammar Moussa

@ammarmufasa

11 months

🚨🚨🚨NEWS >> At President Biden’s direction, the DNC is investing $1.5 MILLION into 2023 Virginia legislative races. It’s not just about electing Democrats to the federal level, it’s about electing Dems up and down the ticket.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

lol

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

toSsuP

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Underrated how unmitigatedly bad Democratic turnout this year was.

Political Pragmatist

@CautiousLefty

2 years

Milwaukee County turnout was lower this year than in 2014. By almost 20k...

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Not expanding medicaid is pretty much just a meme and a virtue signal that you're conservative. The federal government pays 90% of the costs. It's practically free for states to insure their sick and disabled but a surprising number just chose not to.

hazel☀️

@sodiumPen

2 years

wtf is going on in wisconsin

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Tbh the knives coming out for McConnell doesn't make a ton of sense. In reality they should probably take out Scott lol. Also what is this about Rubio and Johnson? Lmao.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

The collapse of the Colorado Republican party from 2004 to present is imo kind of similar in scale and scope to the collapse of the Arkansas Democratic party from 1996 to 2014.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Chase county Kansas (Fully Reported): Biden: 345 votes (23.1% of the vote) No: 527 votes (48.2% of the vote) This county cast 1491 votes for president in 2020. 1093 tonight. 73% of presidential turnout. Insane.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

This is pretty golden coming from a man who has probably done everything in his power to make sure Space Command didn't come to Alabama.

Andrew Solender

@AndrewSolender

1 year

Tuberville out with a furious statement on Biden's space command decision: "This is absolutely not over. I will continue to fight this as long as it takes to bring Space Command where it would be best served—Huntsville, Alabama."

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

I find it amusing not a single statewide Democrat won Orange county, but Democrats flipped control of the county government.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Well folks the Texas governor race is over. KXAN Texas had a focus group that was Abbott 40% - Beto 27% - Undecided 33%. After the debate it was Abbot 43% - Beto 50% - Undecided 7%.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

NYT House Polls Kansas 3rd: 55-41 Davids (D) NV 1: 47-47 Titus Tue NM-02: 48-47 Vasquez (D) PA-08: 50-44 Cartwright (D)

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

If he runs, God is clearly a Democrat.

POLITICO

@politico

1 year

Pennsylvania Republican Doug Mastriano said he is “praying” about whether to go forward with a potential Senate run in 2024. After God, his wife, Rebbie, will have the final word, he said.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

DeSantis+20 is so unhinged compared to all of the other results.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

3 months

This precinct in Columbus is pretty much just all of the sorority and frat houses of OSU. 2008: Obama +30 2012: ***Obama+11*** 2016 Senate: ***Strickland + 4*** 2016: Clinton+38 2018: Brown+61 2020: Biden+64 2022 Senate: Ryan+72

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Fetterman basically cyberbullied his way into a senate seat.

Julia Terruso

@JuliaTerruso

2 years

Breaking - crudités at the Fetterman party.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

I would lump the 6 conservative justices in 3 buckets. Bucket 1 - Altio and Thomas: Partisans who change their judicial philosophy to meet the desires of the conservative movement of the time. In favor of expansive executive powers during Bush... not so much with a Democrat.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

3 years

What does this map show?

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

9 months

Politics of vouchers pretty interesting: 1) Unpopular with resist libs - Most Rank and File Ds hate it 2) Surprisingly popular/break even in inner cities 3) 100% popularity with establishment type Rs 4) Pretty underwater with rural voters -literally a toxic issue in KY for Rs

L2 Data

@L2political

9 months

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and the Texas House are at an impasse over school vouchers. A coalition of Democrats and rural Republicans continue to oppose allowing families to use taxpayer money to send children to private schools. ” @texastribune

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

7 months

CNN

@CNN

7 months

Gas prices will fall again in 2024, according to GasBuddy projections, and Americans will spend $32 billion less

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

9 months

People hyping up Kentucky and Mississippi, but unambiguously Democrats had their best night in Pennsylvania.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Democrats did so well in Colorado they reverted back ancestral Democratic Las Animas county.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Peltola and Murkowski were leading before RCV.

Ben Domenech

@bdomenech

2 years

Ranked choice voting has once again resulted in an election outcome totally unrepresentative of Alaska sentiments, just as supporters wanted.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

My guess is that Democrats are barely barely barely going to lose OR-05 and in retrospect it was a horrible decision to triage the race 2 weeks ago.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

6 months

Even if you exclude 2020 (-9.3M) and reduce 9.3M off the Biden totals, he is still on track to beat the Trump number.

Bill Scher

@billscher

6 months

Annual net jobs OBAMA 2009 -5.4M 2010 1.0M 2011 2.1M 2012 2.2M 2013 2.3M 2014 3.0M 2015 2.7M 2016 2.3M TRUMP 2017 2.1M 2018 2.3M 2019 2.0M 2020 -9.3M BIDEN 2021 7.3M 2022 4.8M 2023 2.7M

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

Worst article of the 2022 cycle?

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

I do think there is a strong case that this year gubernatorial candidates DID have coattails. - DeSantis - Zeldin (even in loss) - Shapiro - Polis - Whitmer

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

4 years

Wrapping my head around the fact that Ossoff won GA-06.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

The TLDR of the British local elections: - Labour gaining probably slightly more than expected. - Conservatives having an even worse night than the horrid night most expected - Liberal Democrats doing obscenely well - shredding cons in their heartlands. 1/2

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

4 months

Mildy insane how much of a A+++ campaign Kim ran in New Jersey.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

Precinct 29-B is the first precinct to fully report in Franklin county. Was Biden+2 - now it is no+35.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Tbh I really like twitter and election twitter in particular. I will be mad if it dies.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

4 years

Just wait until Miami Dade dumps.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

I'm sorry. It's nice if the government can help, but there should be no expectation that the government will help you if you decide to put yourself in a small metal box 13 thousand feet underwater. All help is gravy at that point.

The Messenger

@TheMessenger

1 year

Diver who backed out of Titanic sub expedition joins search, calls out US officials for not moving fast enough

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

My PROPRIETARY house model. I assume the 2020 presidential to Alaska special swing is replicated in every district. I am 100% confident these will be the exact results. This is a very normal not unhinged post.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Honestly the result is probably going to be near NO+15/20 with ~70% of presidential turnout.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

4 years

Folks... applying the Dixville Notch swing to the nation as a whole...

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

2022 is the first midterm since 1986 where the party that controls the presidency makes net gubernatorial gains.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Henry county GA... 2012 pres: R+3 2014 sen: D+1 2016 pres: D+4 2018 gov: D+15 2020 pres: D+20 2021 runoff special: D+25 2022 senate runoff: D+32.5

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

10 months

Pro choice. Moderate on plenty of issues. But deeply wishes to see the world burn to the ground around her.

Drew Savicki

@DrewSav

10 months

Nancy Mace is a yes. Continues to be the most bizarre person in Congress.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

I think tonight and 2022 really gotta make us thing how truly horrible the environment was for Democrats in November 2021.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Like poop on him all you want, some of his Twitter takes are bit ???, but he has a solid track record.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

Washington had the highest GDP growth of any state under his tenure (2013-Now). Fun fact.

The Seattle Times

@seattletimes

1 year

BREAKING: Gov. Jay Inslee will not run for a fourth term, he announced Monday. @Jim_Brunner

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

4 years

May I present my latest masterpiece: Northwest Virginia.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

4 years

This NYT map (credit @charlie_smart_ ) is so interesting. Ossoff tanked in the placed where Clinton and Biden excelled (wealthy white areas), but just powered through with insane base mobilization.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

I am assuming this is a bait. All UC schools have race blind admission. Affirmative action is banned in California.

Peachy Keenan

@KeenanPeachy

1 year

College admission season update - From a friend: “Niece got 1450 SAT, 4.2 GPA, competitive athlete. She didn’t even get into her safety schools. Going to junior college this year and is very depressed. The POC kids in her class, C students at best, are all headed to Berkeley,

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Official 2022 results have dropped in Ohio. J.D. Vance defeated Tim Ryan by 6.1% in the U.S. Senate race. Here is a precinct map of the state I have put together.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

4 years

IA-02 is now a 3 vote race lol.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

We are laughing now but this country is fucked re: budget and debt limit.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

1 year

Labour losing Uxbridge and winning Selby would be the equivalent of Democrats losing a special Senate election in North Carolina, but winning in Idaho.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Now it's just up to the media to call it and see how Bolsanaro responds. Lula has won and this race is cooked.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

I think Warnock may have had the best ever performance in DeKalb county for a Democrat in a contested election where there actually was a Republican candidate.

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

If the Supreme court destroys the VRA and allows only legislatures to redistrict before the 2030 census we will truly nuclear maps from sides. Like 53D-0R California maps sort of shit. No Democratic seats in LA/AL/MS/SC...

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

It is literally laughable to think Hobbs only won Latino voters by 4%. I'm pretty sure she is up over 50 points AZ-03.

Josh Kraushaar

@JoshKraushaar

2 years

But Hobbs only won Latino voters by four points (51-47%), a huge dropoff from Sinema's 40-point margin of victory with Hispanics in 2018. (The AP/NORC exit poll doesn't show quite the dramatic dropoff, but it's still substantial -- Dem margin down 23 pts with Hispanics)

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Ryan Brune

@BruneElections

2 years

Doug LaFollette's (tiny) victory this year means he will have held this office for over 50 years at the end of this term.

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