Next British Ambassador to Washington:
3/1 Anne Widdecombe
5/1 Kate Hoey
6/1 Raheem Kassam
8/1 Piers Morgan
10/1 Nigel Farage
16/1 Weatherspoons guy
66/1 Sadiq Khan
250/1 Theresa May
🇬🇧🇺🇸🇬🇧
2019 Political odds:
1/2 Theresa May replaced as PM
5/4 New EU Referendum
6/4 General Election
2/1 Corbyn replaced as Labour leader
3/1 UK leaves EU with NO DEAL before 1st April
3/1 Trump replaced as POTUS
4/1 Corbyn becomes PM
33/1 Two or more general elections
@PhilipProudfoot
@FreeNorthNow
Tricky to tie bets to particular seats in advance of boundary review, but could offer 50/1 for you to become a Westminster MP at or before the next general election.
Well I didn't think we'd be offering this market again...
Will Rishi Sunak lead the Tories at the next General Election (July 4th)?
Yes - 1/14
No - 6/1
Even if Biden squeezes out a narrow win here, this looks like a vindication for those who believe that betting markets can be as good as (or better) than polls at forecasting elections.