Louie Mastrokostas @LMastro99 Twitter profile

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

4 months

@statmuse The stat padding out of Tatum to get this Finals MVP tonight is so funny to me (Brown also clearly wants it)

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

6 months

@Ether_Eesh @JayJtw1 @gamernisto_gwr @fadedinkyoto

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

14 days

lol who blew this one up

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

14 days

"Why are you guys called Novig???"

Novig

@novig_app

14 days

We've got a true No Vig market on game 3 of the NLDS with less than an hour till first pitch. Get around it 🔥

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

27 days

@RufusPeabody @PlusEVAnalytics @d_feustel tbf he's wrong almost half the time 🤏🏻

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

7 months

@sports_mediocre I agree with you broadly, but this appears overstated relative to the eye-test. What are the confounding variables driving the change from -9.02 to +4.95 NetRtg?

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

6 months

@FDSportsbook hiring entry traders as well for more than double:

Plus EV Analytics

@PlusEVAnalytics

6 months

Salary = 55k CAD

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@Underdog__NBA @kporzee

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

14 days

@ThePrimeagen

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

1 year

@The_BBall_Index How much more/less valuable is an A+ point of attack defender than an A+ mobile/anchor big though? 🤔

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

4 months

@Mario64874Luigi @SmokeTheBooks 🤔

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

1 year

@ScaifeBubs @The_BBall_Index WCF against Kobe as well

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

3 months

@LiorYasur @yuureisen_king @emollick Clear explanation here. Well said

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

16 days

@SmokeTheBooks I might have misunderstood, but I interpreted ‘Ignore limits’ to mean I wouldn’t face sportsbook limits on individual bets per account, rather than implying I am able to bet unlimited amounts without moving the line or first collecting funds. Given that, I’d prefer 20 bets with

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

10 days

@KirkEvans0 Yeah you tell 'em Kirk!! Let Woj know how easy it is! 💪🏻

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

1 month

"C’est la vie in French means that’s how things happen, in betting CLV means the same, when you understand it and appreciate it things start to happen." 💎

MySportsAI

@SmarterSig

1 month

How much Closing Line Value do we need ?

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@BigBuckHunterrr

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@BFawkes22 @FDSportsbook this wasn't me fwiw 😂

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

4 months

@CrumpledJumper For those curious about another all-time duo...

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

1 year

Finally found a name for this mathematical process!! “If you balance your bets such that you profit the same regardless of the result, this is nicknamed the Dutch scalp.” Conquering Risk: Attacking Vegas and Wall Street - @d_feustel

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

4 months

🐐🐐🐐

Mike Beuoy

@inpredict

4 months

Here's a link to the model evaluation spreadsheet. Note, to keep things simple, this uses forecasts at the party, not candidate level. 10/

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

1 year

@automaticnba @RyB_311 Patiently waiting on @ElGee35 to add him to the series

The 10 Best NBA peaks since 1977

Support at Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketballWho had the best peak in NBA history? Who was the best at his best? This video compares the gre...

www.youtube.com

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

4 months

@Chapperton @Gugabed @PlusEVAnalytics

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

3 months

@SmokeTheBooks Your answer to @jasontrost on the @BettingPod ?

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

6 months

@goldenpants013 @SmokeTheBooks @DataWiseBets GPT-4 can be queried from your IDE to generate boilerplate code for visualizing any data you have stylized by other examples. Check out:

From the ChatGPTPro community on Reddit: Use GPT-4 Vision to generate code from screenshots

Explore this post and more from the ChatGPTPro community

www.reddit.com

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

8 months

@235tri @JeffreyBenson12 @cda_jay @CircaSports found this via @a_kane47

From the sportsbook community on Reddit

Explore this post and more from the sportsbook community

www.reddit.com

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

4 months

@calvinridley73 @Flupnolide @KirkEvans0 Would make this trade 100/100 times. You nailed every single point here imo, especially 2) and 3)

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@HPbasketball @knarsu3 @SpecialPuppy1 @AndyGlockner @DeathbyCeltics @wheatonbrando Layman's ratings would say: - MIN vs DAL = 5.33 - MIN vs DEN = 3.33 You might estimate a ratings difference of ~2 and conclude BOS vs DEN G1 = ~4.25

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

4 months

@FlukaMagicMuse @kings_muse @ShamsCharania @TheAthletic @anthonyVslater 🤣🤣🤣

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

4 months

Put every fiber of my being into jinxing JT here to cash my FMVP ticket - Congratulations JB, well deserved!

Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

4 months

@statmuse The stat padding out of Tatum to get this Finals MVP tonight is so funny to me (Brown also clearly wants it)

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

8 months

@235tri @JeffreyBenson12 @cda_jay @CircaSports This older Reddit post explains why bookmakers would look to NOT balance handle 50/50 and simply rake their vig

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

12 days

@RASPicks we gotta stop meeting like this

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

12 days

@Mlewis8111 @PlusEVAnalytics When do you believe the "largest book in the U.S." first became aware of this points/threes miscorrelation?

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@BigBuckHunterrr @jonlerner 🚫🧖‍♂️🏃‍♂️

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@knarsu3 @SpecialPuppy1 @AndyGlockner @DeathbyCeltics @HPbasketball @wheatonbrando Consider this matchup as a bit of reference:

Celtics vs Nuggets Match Player Stats - Mar 07, 2024

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets NBA game box score for Mar 07, 2024.

www.covers.com

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

13 days

@Boston_Drinks There's quite a few sources for this information, but this screenshot in particular uses @UnabatedSports real-time odds screen

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

3 months

@inpredict I hear inpredictable has got a pretty good one 🤔

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@Aidan_johnson19 @JeffreyBenson12 🤝🏻

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

1 year

@stevejones20 I like the idea assuming they improve the roll man's timing to appear as a threat before screening for LaVine

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@AmericanNumbers @Barrakuda53 Can you help to explain your estimation of: - BOS win % @ neutral > @ home

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

3 months

@footballboymcs @inpredict How would you attempt to flesh this out in the data? Intuitively, I agree it's likely worth more than 50%, but in what ways would you attempt to tune that weight relative to self created points?

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@knarsu3 @AndyGlockner @SpecialPuppy1 @DeathbyCeltics @HPbasketball @wheatonbrando DAL hoping their defensive shell + peel switch is as effective vs. BOS drive and kick? C's have a very different willingness to shoot over defenses and make a play tho

Bowser2Bowser

@bowser2bowser

5 months

To recap: 1. SGA/JDub ISOs were often against 3 to 5 Mavs defenders in the paint 2. OKC teammates could rarely capitalize on advantages due to... a) reluctance to shoot 3s over closeouts b) reluctance to shoot pull-up 2s over peel switches c) good DAL scheme

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@Barrakuda53 @AmericanNumbers I’m also curious about the interpretation here. Is this a chart error? Previous iteration paints a different picture

StrictlyDataScience

@DataStrictly

2 years

NBA Finals 2022 pre game 1 projection. Assumes Full Ws roster. Assumes 22 minutes of Robert Williams. True coinflip. Ws at just over 50%. Cs in 6 or Ws in 7 basically even. Robert Williams is the key. More Rob? Cs win Less Rob? Ws win

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

4 months

@Flupnolide @calvinridley73 @KirkEvans0 As fake sharp as they come 🤫🤣

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

18 days

@KirkEvans0 Imagine the Knicks didn’t trade DDV and Randle for KAT… what’s the argument they’re better vs. the Celtics with those two?

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@inpredict

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

6 months

Tie it up! Guess I’m a hockey fan now

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

5 months

@CJMendenhall24 @Tim_NBA Why Hurley?*

Cranjis McBasketball

@Tim_NBA

5 months

Why Adelman? LA ran organized offense 55%+ of the time in 26% of games this year. 20-3 in those games. 87% win %. I’ve logged 12 DEN 2022-24 games. They went 55%+ in 11/12 games w/an avg % of 60%. He’s their offensive coordinator. It will translate & does fit LA’s personnel.

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

6 months

@vincet79 @TheeDegenBoosts I heard you fucked your girl, is it true? You getting money?

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

3 months

Credit where it's due!

Smoke the Books

@SmokeTheBooks

3 months

It didn't occur to me until I had posted this, but the concept and math was invented by @DoctorRazzWSOP . Genius stuff. Hope I didn't butcher my explanation!

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

3 months

@kjhogo @JoeyKnish22

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

21 days

@yElff_

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

3 months

@kjhogo @DeathbyCeltics @knarsu3 And yet I'm on the wrong side of the counter but he's pulling for billionaires? 🤣

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

3 months

@footballboymcs @inpredict I like where your head is at. This feels more aligned to the way I would attack the problem. What do you consider the major drawbacks to this approach?

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

1 month

@FuzzyLogicBrock @PlusEVAnalytics instant like for wayne 🐐

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

4 months

@propdude7 @Gino_BetOpenly @LilTunechi Wayne the goat and doesn’t even know his own lyrics. Give Gino a break…

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Louie Mastrokostas

@LMastro99

7 months

@ORL_Analytics @sports_mediocre Thanks for gathering this data, sharing it here, and adding all the right sorts of context. This is exactly the kind of reply I was hoping for!

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