It really is notable now how poor, or at least unmodern, a lot of the UK feels compared to countries you visit.
Even somewhere like Krakow, traditionally a spot people head for cheap lads holidays and seen as 'poor', feels considerably more modern than, say, Bristol.
Middle income families do not use private schools for the absolute love of God. The average household income is less than the annual fee of Sunak's old school.
The lack of focus on the Liberal Democrats taking 60, conservative-held, seats is particularly bizarre.
The Tories can't win a majority without the South-West and they've lost it to a party who:
a) sit to their left
b) dig in brilliantly
c) aren't in govt so v.hard to attack
The main opponents Conservatives need to defeat to win back seats are Labour (Con second to Lab in 219 seats) and Lib Dems (Con second to Lib Dems in 64 seats)
So naturally many in the party are arguing for an all out focus on Reform (Con second to Reform in…2 seats)
Ed Davy wakes. He rolls out of bed and pulls on the crumbled suit. In the corner the bright yellow helmet awaits. Breakfast. Trepedation. Mentally he curses the comms team.
He stumbles off the bus, helmet in hand. Ahead, the cannon and the 6 foot high blue wall awaits
Labour party have, in under 2 weeks in office:
- Approved 3 massive solar farms
- Removed the ban on onshore wind
- Committed to banning new petrol cars from 2030
With more to come in the Kings speech.
The Greens do pretty graphics. Labour does practical action.
.... this is HS2. It's literally the proposal for HS2.
Which we should absolutely finish and build Northern Powerhouse Rail as well (and a high speed line to Plymouth/Cardiff + connect Bristol to Brum)
Andy Burnham, "I have been talking to ministers about it.. It's not about going back to HS2.. It's about having an alternative to the West Coast mainline when the HS2 trains go from London to Birmingham"
"The idea that they can go on the existing West Coast mainline, it just
This is very smart, targeted politics: anyone who has done some knocking (or just spent time in) some smaller towns in England will know what a high profile issue with some this has become.
And the comments just dismissing it 😂
While I'm not a fan of it, the Tories have been doing this sort of thing for years.
They have absolutely no moral ground to stand on.
Sliding into? Remember *your literal leader using Saville smears just 2 years ago?*
Is this where UK politics is sliding to?
Belittling your opponent rather than promoting your own policies?
If it’s not addressed
👉 the electorate will disengage
👉 good people will not stand
👉 And our int’l standing will fall
Time for a code of conduct to keep the bar high.
I swear the anti 'VAT on private schools' people are now in competition to find the least sympathetic case study.
It's like they're trying to build support of the policy
.... this is HS2. It's literally the proposal for HS2.
Which we should absolutely finish and build Northern Powerhouse Rail as well (and a high speed line to Plymouth/Cardiff + connect Bristol to Brum)
Genuinely the weirdest attempt to make a culture war.
Yes, of course, I support the idea of having everything I need within 15 minutes walk and a livable neighborhood. Because I'm not a weirdo.
Why the hell would you need a mandate from those 'whose house values are expected to plummet'.
Nationally important infrastructure shouldn't be held hostage to a few local people.
This is just straight-up vandalism - and those involved should be arrested and charged.
Can you imagine the outrage if, say, Just Stop Oil did the same?
Locals in Hillingdon take down a traffic light with a ULEZ camera on it in their West London neighbourhood.
This is in protest of Sadiq Khan's policy where drivers are charged £12.50 for driving within London with a non-ULEZ compliant car. Police are forced to turn up at the
Genuinely, the UK seems to be actively trying to make young people leave at this point.
If we're going to bring in these sorts of measures they should be applying to older drivers - many of whom clearly shouldn't be on the road.
But attacking young people is easier.
@kimleadbeater
's Graduate Driving License bill will have its second reading on May 17th.
I fully support this bill and
@owe65332
with her petition to push for Graduate Driving Licenses.
You can find the petition below:
One advantage of the Greens basically being a vibe and not really focusing on policy is that it obscures the fact that much of their policy is, to put it frankly, mad.
The great Sunak shaming: please stop this human sacrifice. Spot on by
@camillalong
on the anger and fury of contemporary politics. As
@matthewsyed
also says in
@thetimes
something similar will consume the next government too.
This is it
The Labour manifesto has been so well briefed over years that it doesn't look incredibly ambitious - but there is a lot of radical stuff in it which we've managed to normalise
Its the apotheosis of Starmer's reassurance strategy. Radical stuff in a reassuring package
If today was the first time Labour was announcing GB Energy, rail nationalisation and a new industrial strategy, the manifesto might be regarded as bold so the fact that these are pre-announced and familiar doesn’t diminish their ambition.
Words cannot describe how much I hate these 'progressive' takes on national teams in sport.
It basically just denies that players from minority backgrounds are 'truly' french or 'truly' English. Just reinforcing far-right narratives.
They're French.
I hate to say it mate, but when the bloke making the statement *is literally the co-leader of your party* that kind of makes it your stance.
It's how politics works. You can't just go 'our leader thinks this but we don't.'
@DuncanStott
You are... But his stance is not the same as the parties stance. That is the slippage I object to. On a personal level, I also disagree with him.
It's appointed a cabinet, cancelled Rwanda, started talks with the junior doctors, had a cabinet meeting and begun to sort the country.
Pretty good for less than 24 hours.
The government has been in office for less than 24 hours and hasn’t done anything - but yet according to Marr, “for the first time in many of our lives” the country already resembles a “haven of peace and stability”. This is not analysis.
Green Party co-leader Adrian Ramsay confirms he’s opposing new electricity pylons needed to link green energy to the grid in his East Anglian constituency. Says the route is not popular locally and he’s a ‘constituency MP’ first
It's astonishing. They've somehow managed to make a bill that was intended to extend the rights of tenants one which further protects landlords.
Jokers. Can't wait till we get rid of them all.
Lobbying by landlords on renters reform has worked. Govt will:
-Extend period by which a tenant can end a tenancy from 2 months to 6 months, giving landlords more protection
-Delay abolishing Section 21 while Lord Chancellor writes an assessment of the 'readiness of the courts'
Insane stat from Dylan down the thread: that the Tories are losing roughly 23k votes p/m through natural turnover (deaths + new voters) and that, assuming demographics hold, delaying from May -> October will cost them 0.5% of their support.
Good grief
Polls currently imply a record 15½-point swing to Labour. But where is this swing coming from and can it be undone?
The largest component is Tory defections to Labour (around a third of the swing), but losses to Reform and Don't Know/Not Voting are also big parts of the story.
The UK equivalent if that campaign intern? A 74 year old woman called Margaret whose being doing this for years but hates smartphones and still uses WARP sheets
Americans can't grasp the complete differance in resources between US/UK politics. Which is why they'd fail here
People still falling for the old 'talk centre, govern left' trick.
Labour are promising a huge expansion of state intervention in the economy, renationalising railways, taxing private schools, industrial strategy, and extending workers rights. Definately Conservative policies.
👀 David Cameron pops up in The Hill on US funding for Ukraine ... "I am going to drop all diplomatic niceties. I urge Congress to pass it."
"I do not want us to show the weakness displayed against Hitler in the 1930s."
Angela Rayners favourability rating is roughly higher than any other politician in the UK.
The weird obsession the right has with her being some sort of bogeyman is a very good tell of how disconnected they are from reality.
As soon as Starmer steps into No. 10, it’s clear who’ll be clawing at the door.
He won’t last 18 months.
Only Reform can give this country the opposition it will desperately need.
The Tories were very happy to monster Brown, Miliband and Corbyn. They've tried to do the same to Starmer - remember the Saville stuff?
They were happy when the electoral system delivered them disproportionate victories.
But now the boots on the other foot and they can't deal.
The great Sunak shaming: please stop this human sacrifice. Spot on by
@camillalong
on the anger and fury of contemporary politics. As
@matthewsyed
also says in
@thetimes
something similar will consume the next government too.
Good grief. In which case this has gone from 'bad policy decision' to 'wilful act of national vandalism' which is designed to stop Labour restarting the project.
Utterly shameful.
Still stunned that the Tories are apparently genuinely planning, as a plan not a emergency measure, to make 'not building HS2 to Manchester, but building it to London' the part of Rishi's speech tomorrow.
In a railway building in Manchester.
But you have fantastic modern infrastructure: excellent active travel stuff, trams, good bus network, the public realm is in decent nick and, while its still full of stag dos and cheapish for beer, it's also got a very high end side
Does feel were being caught and falling behind
Remember when we were in a climate emergency? Needing radical action to reach net zero?
Well, apparently, we should piss about for years considering slower, more expensive and more difficult options which have already been thought about. Because, really, it's not that urgent
This is why I'm very skeptical of the idea that simply adding infra or 'building beautiful' will resolve/placate Nimbyism
Fundamentally, Nimbyism is driven by opposition to change. It's deeply conservative. Most of the 'reasons' found to oppose a development are post-hoc
Having a few responses from racists: no, the UKs failure to invest in infrastructure and local govt for over a decade isn't the fault of immigrants or multiculturalism.
That's one of our great strengths. You guys have, and will continue, to lose. Toodles.
For referance, Diane, last year the rural community I grew up in held a 'It's a Sin' draft night raising money for the Terrance Higgins Trust in the town hall.
It sold out and was supported by the entire community.
Rural communities are not full of anti-gay bigots.
This isn't even a gaffe really. It's a very standard photocall, distinguished only by being in Cannock - a seat that you're only visiting if you fear wipeout.
But the narrative is now set. Everything is a gaffe. And so this is.
One of the things that always strikes me about arriving to and being in central Manchester is how it feels like you're in a major Place.
IMO no other major UK city (aside from London) feels like that. Not Leeds or Birmingham. Manchester feels like a metropolis.
Just about as pure a distillation of nimbyism as you could get: supporting the roll out of pylons, but not in their backyard.
But that is who the Greens are: hypocrites who care more for the colour green than the environment.
Green Party MP Carla Denyer says it is in her party's "DNA" to push for "more rapid rollout" of renewable energy, while at the same time trying to explain why her co-leader is actively campaigning to slow down the rapid rollout of just such a project in his own constituency.
I'm really struggling to see how Sunak is more able than Brown, Cameron or May. Hell, while he's more competent than Johnson he's a far worse politican.
It's vibes over achievement.
Genuinely amazing people are trying to treat Labour having its highest share of the vote at a LE since 1997, gaining 600+ councillors and key targets as some sort of defeat and crisis for Starmer. Remarkable.
✍️ 'I’m all for more homes being built, but dismissing those who love our green and pleasant land is just insulting,' | writes
@JudithWoods
Read the full comment👇
The fact that the apparent lead political analysis story is the (3%) Reform surge and not, say, the 20% Labour lead says a lot about why we're in the situation we're in.
Just no curiosity at all about Labour or how it's got to this position
People are *massively* underestimating just how radical Labour's 2024 manifesto is looking
With this, the Green New Deal and decarbonising energy by 2030 you've got some very transformative and ambitious policies
The rhetoric is downplaying it but don't be fooled; its big shit
Exclusive:
Keir Starmer to announce generation of new towns as he sets out plans for a 'decade of renewal'
He will pledge to build Georgian-style townhouses in urban areas
Labour will release low-quality green belt for housing - he calls it grey belt
Well, yes. That's kind of the point.
Given this is what is on the site presently I'd say it'll be an improvement.
Cities shouldn't be preserved in sepia
4.3 million children are in relative poverty. 3.6 million in absolute poverty.
Politics is about priorities. If we're spending £10.5bn I know what I'd prioritise. It's not people who were given 15 years notice of a pension change.
Don't quite understand why Labour is tying itself in knots over
#WASPI
compensation this AM...
Surely line to take is:
Opening: "The government should honour the PHSO report and compensate these women now"
Would Labour if the Tories don't? "Yes, Govt has a duty to these women"
The dynamic within Labour of Starmer being more radical than many members of his inner cabinet, and in particular Reeves, is going to be a fascinating one to watch going forward
NEW: I understand that some senior Shadow Cabinet ministers (including Rachel Reeves) are 'uneasy' about Labour's plan to lower the voting age to 16, approved at Friday's manifesto meeting.
Starmer, however, is personally adamantly in favour of the change, and pushed it through.
Of the last 7 PMs 4 have been of strong religious faith. Our present PM is a devout Hindu. The other candidate for SNP leadership is a practicing Muslim.
The idea this is 'barring people of faith' from public office is for the birds.
Kate Forbes argues on Today that there's a risk of Scotland moving into "very dangerous days"
Questions if want people of faith "barred" from high office
Repeats she wouldn't have voted for gay marriage because she backs "mainstream Christian teaching"
Liz Truss has written for Fox News ahead of her CPAC speech tomorrow. Says the "administrative state and the deep state" "sabotaged my efforts in Britain to cut taxes, reduce the size of government and restore democratic accountability"
It's genuinely fascinating to watch what Labour are willing to get more aggressive on - and what they're backing off.
I'll admit that planning/NIMBYism isn't something I'd expected us to go big on... but I'm very glad we are.
I'd guess the answer here is 1) - Blair feels ignored and is now going public.
Starmerism, such as it is is, is far more rooted in class, place and doesn't really do the big visions Blair is fond of. In many ways its a rejection of Blairism, despite links.
Blair is pushing back
I’m not sure whether this implies either (1) Blair doesn’t feel his advice is getting the attention it warrants behind the scenes, (2) that Blair is incapable of handing over he spotlight, or both. But this doesn’t reflect well on him.
'I want a proper options assessment!'
'Okay, and if that shows that pylons are the best option you'll back it?'
'....'
Remember: this is the Green's co-leader. It's very clear what they stand for - and its not tackling climate change
Also: Krakow is lovely, Poland is great and I'm going to have to visit here at some point when I'm not on a very traditional stag whose main aim is drinking
Yeah, this.
I don't particularly like it or her. She isn't fit to be a Labour candidate.
But it's entirely the right political move: the Tories wanted to fight the GE on immigration, Rwanda and small boats. She neuters that.
She's basically just a human shield for any attacks on immigration during the election campaign, a one line answer that Starmer can drop in to diffuse any criticism/scepticism.
As always McDonnell is one of the most intelligent and far-sighted members of the far-left - I suspect this is correct.
The first 2 years or so of Labour's time in office is going to be incredibly tough - there will definitely a opportunity to push for greater radicalism then
I can't put into words just how much I abhor this.
The right to strike is incredibly hard won and workers only real weapon against abusive employers like this government.
To remove it is a huge, awful step and we must fight it every step of the way.
EXCLUSIVE:
Rishi Sunak is poised to announce minimum strike legislation as soon as tomorrow
It will enable employers to sue unions and sack employees if they refuse to accept
Hearing six sectors covered - NHS, schools, rail, borders, fire, nuclear
How the hell do the Greens think they are going to push for more radical action to tackle the climate emergency when they can't even stand up to a small group of Nimby constituents?
Green Party co-leader Adrian Ramsay confirms he’s opposing new electricity pylons needed to link green energy to the grid in his East Anglian constituency. Says the route is not popular locally and he’s a ‘constituency MP’ first
Still find it amazing thay the Prime Minister, in a fight to prevent his party facing a existential wipeout, has spent 7/23 days of the campaign thus far just... not campaigning
It's genuinely remarkable how no one in the govt or commentariat seems to have noted that they delivered very similar tax cuts just 5 months ago *with no political impact.*
Why do they think it'll work this time?
It needs to be restated, over and over again, that this is a crisis caused by central government, with cuts mandated by central govt.
And it can only be solved by central govt. Which refuses to do so.
And children will suffer as a result.
A fantastic example of the British planning system in action - and a disgrace
Brownfield site, not far from town, desperately needs redevelopment. 820 potential homes
Blocked for another 2 years by local Nimbys
Meanwhile, average rent in Bristol has increased by 41% in 5 years
Good example of how the Tories play politics on easy mode.
The govt is only able to afford these tax cuts because of undeliverable spending cuts. But almost no attention on what those will be.
As compared to the opposition being expected to have detailed plans within hours.
Keir Starmer derides Budget as the 'last desperate act of a party that has failed'...
But Labour can't identify a single measure they oppose/wd reverse if they win power
Party faces huge headache now Hunt has nicked policies on non-doms & windfall tax
This is literally what we need to be building in centres like Peckham.
We have a housing crisis. If we are going to address it, without losing huge amounts of green space, we need to build densely.
Places like this, with excellent transport links, should be first up.
This is entirely shameless and shows a huge amount of disrespect for those who voted for Sian to be a list assembly member.
Just treating the seat as a toy to be passed around among the party elite.
NEW:
Green Party London Assembly Member Sian Berry has resigned her seat just 3 days after winning it.
She is also the Green Party's candidate for Brighton Pavilion in the General Election.
BBC verify on the recession numbers - which show mildest start to a recession for 50 years 👇
That means economy not shrinking by as much. And recession not expected to last as long.
via
@BBCNews
Labour didn't plough 'infinity money' into the NHS up to 2010 and yet we got very high public satisfaction and decent outcomes.
The story of the NHS since is one of mismanagement, lack of capital investment and failed reform. That's on the Tories.
So I joined the
@LibDems
- making the same journey my parents did 30 odd years ago when they left
@UKLabour
to join the Social Democratic Party.
This got me thinking about the parallels between the two journeys. Funny how history repeats...
2 days.
2 days and they're heading to reset.
And they only reset what, 2 weeks ago?
Good grief. You don't just leave a weekend day of campaigning free for the opposition to dominate unless things are really bad
🚨 BREAKING: Rishi Sunak will take a day off campaigning tomorrow to regroup with his aides in a highly unusual move so early on in the election campaign
[
@guardian
]
The point here is not that the Tories haven't tried to be small state; it's that they have done it really badly
Demographic pressures means state spending is naturally rising. The Tories salami slicing approach has just led to the enshittification of services not a smaller state
I think you must have been AWOL for the past decade or so if you think that’s what Tory policy has been. The tax burden is now the highest for 70 years. State spending as a share of GDP is the highest since the 1970s, when your approach to the economy took us to the brink of
Speaking as someone who is (just about still) a young person and would like kids at some point I'd quite like a 3 bed house.
Pretty sure the same applies to a lot of younger people, even those in (gasp) living wage jobs
We need three million new social rent, one bedroom flats across England and Wales. Elderly people and young people in living wage jobs do not need or want 3 bedrooms houses. They need a nice, safe & secure home. Capitalism has wreaked the fabric of society
Or you could... just give them better pay and working conditions?
Not a huge amount of point in 'forcing' doctors and nurses to stay a few extra years if... they just leave immediately after that. You're just delaying the issue.
More than 15,000 NHS doctors left Britain last year.
It can cost up to £400,000 to train them.
It’s only fair on the taxpayer that new doctors and nurses should stay here for a given period of time.
'I support building on brownfield'
'No! Not like that!'
Properly astonishing, rejecting a dilapidated small house being replaced by some pretty nice medium density homes in an area of high housing need.
Notably, everywhere he suggests they're built are outside his constituency
I am pleased that a plan to demolish a family home on Riddlesdown Road, Purley and replace it with a large block of flats has been refused. New homes are needed but the right place for new flats is Croydon town centre, central London and brownfield sites.
My radical view is that if you don't believe supply/demand applies to housing, and oppose new housing on environmental grounds, your home should be knocked down and the land returned to nature.
After all, it'll have no impact on prices so you'll find a new place easily, right?
Personally I would be happy to cut off any town or village from the national grid where the majority had objected to pylons. They could be reconnected later for a reasonable fee and dropping the objection.
There’s a reason I haven’t sought elected office.
I've said this before: but my Grandad is in his mid-80s, lives in a marginal, was a working class builder who set up his own firm and did very well and is socially conservative
He's the Tories dream voter
And he thinks they're incompetent and hate old people. He's voting Reform
One big problem the Tories have is they've ended up pursuing only one type of voter - retired authoritarians - who, by nature, are often not hugely grateful and deeply suspicious.
Or, you know, proportional representation. The thing that
A) the Lib Dems properly believe in
B) has relatively little political baggage
C) has strong Labour support (outside of the leadership)
D) would make the single biggest difference to their long term prospects as a party
Lot of speculation this morning about what Ed Davey would want in return for propping up Starmer. If he’s got half a brain the thing that should be top of his list is the abolition of tuition fees.
It's hard not to conclude, after the past few days, that something isn't pretty fundimentally broken in British journalism. Totally detached from reality.
Thing is... it doesn't even help the Tories. They're killing them through kindness
'Your council has gone bust, you can't see a doctor and your mortgage has gone up by £500. And we plan to cut public services by another 13% next year...
... but we'll abolish this tax you won't pay for 35 years so vote for us'
IMO this largely applies to older British people. Younger ones (-40 for example) have a very realistic view of where we stand and the trajectory.
Because, you know, we're actually in work and aren't protected from it by asset wealth.
Once again I want to say that this is a insane way to run and reform local government in the UK.
Really hoping Labour take a proper look at governing structures when we're in and do something to fix this utter mess
Houchen may be joined by new Conservative mayors in 2025 with elections in Greater Lincolnshire, Suffolk and Hull and East Yorkshire and Norfolk.
Norfolk delayed its election from May 2024 to May 2025.
The
@JonnElledge
bubble again.
Genuinely, you've lost 1/2 your councillors. Had a huge, 26% swing against you in a by election. Seen basically every target marginal swing massively to the opposition. Lost North Yorkshire.
And you're saying they're mixed results?!?
— the play against Sunak is to show that without a change of leader Reform will destroy the Tories
— warning of possibility Reform will crossover in polls if Farage returns
— in that scenario people like Gove, Rees-Mogg could lose seats
Very much struggling to take seriously people who voted for, and lauded, the 2017 manifesto who have suddenly found a huge point of principle on the benefit cap.
Labour should get rid of it, but it's very transparent what the game is.