Jacob L. Shapiro @JacobShap Twitter profile

Pinned Tweet

Jacob L. Shapiro

1 month

Starting reading about the horrors of the flooding in #ashevilleflooding and ending up writing a microgeopolitics piece.

Microgeopolitics: Asheville

The Land of the Sky is underwater.

jashap.substack.com

Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 month

"Asheville today is absolutely isolated from the outside world, is a city of darkness void of ordinary transportation facilities, and finds herself helpless in the grasp of the most terrible flood conditions ever known here." -- The Asheville Citizen, July 17, 1916.

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Last Seen Profiles

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@BinorRaja

Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

@SenMarkey Why is a US Senator weighing in on a conflict between foreign nations and about which there is little if any reliable information right now on how and who started it and what their aims are?

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

if you were wondering why China thinks the US is in secular decline... you've got your answer

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

I don't think a big enough deal is being made of Germany's foreign policy shift. Each time Germany has shifted like this, it changed the world. If *this* is Putin's legacy - to make an enemy of a unified + strong Germany for the first time since '45 - What a colossal mistake.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

I don't do this often -- but going to do a thread on Israel and Gaza and Hamas. This is the analysis that just got sent to all @CognitiveInvest clients via our Knowledge Platform so if it's valuable and you want access get in touch.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

What the spy balloon saw: Decrepit national infrastructure Embarrassment of energy and agricultural riches Rising homelessness, drug use, obesity, suicide rates, failing education, rampant inequality A nation more worried about an f’ing balloon than fixing its own problems

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

I’m never surprised anti semitism rears its head, it’s far more present than most care to admit But if what is happening in this video is true (and looks like it is) even for me that’s pretty f’ing disturbing

NEXTA

@nexta_tv

1 year

In #Dagestan , a crowd stormed the building of Makhachkala airport in search of Jews from a flight from Tel Aviv.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

6 years

The original one belt one road

Zora Hauser

@ZoraHauser

6 years

Roads to Rome

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

Russia might be having a coup and @CNN is still droning on about the f'ing submarine

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

Nancy Pelosi yesterday: "Today the world faces a choice between democracy and autocracy. America’s determination to preserve democracy here in Taiwan and around the world remains ironclad.” Also the US yesterday: Let's sell $3 billion worth of Patriot missiles to Saudi Arabia.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

On a plane. Across the aisle, very bro-y dude asks gentleman next to him, "What do you do?" He answers, "I'm a physicist." Bro's next question: "So what do you think man is the world round or flat?" Physicist: "Are you serious?" Bro: "Dead-ass!" Feel bad for the physicist.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

If China cut off the internet, dispatched PLA soldiers, imprisoned local leaders, imposed a curfew, and restricted freedom of assembly in Hong Kong, can you imagine the media reaction? I ask because India just did all that to Kashmir and all I'm hearing is crickets right now.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

Catching up this AM but my first reaction is idk what Hamas and whoever is backing Hamas is thinking. Just galvanized a very divided israel behind a weak govt against a shared enemy that it now has justification to go after for real.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

If I had known prigozhin was just gonna turn around I wouldn’t have skipped my Saturday AM basketball run. Jokes aside, this is all very weird and none of it bodes well for Russia.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

Beautiful end to week on the road in ND+MN. Here I am yest at headwaters of the Mississippi. I’ll be at other end of the river after flights home. Ice fishing was great but drinking this water was close as it gets to a religious moment for me. Go see the world! It’s beautiful.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

I thought a political resolution was the more likely outcome - on record saying 70 percent. The scenario I thought was more unlikely - full scale invasion - has unfolded instead. Russia won't stop until it removes the govt in Kyiv. Eating my humble pie and back to the grind.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

This will hurt Europe. But it will hurt Russia more.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

i love perspective maps like this -- they force you to reexamine what you thought you knew. getting ready for another @GPFutures webinar for club members to talk about #Turkey

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

You didn't think I was going to let you dive into Thanksgiving break without #geopolitical content did you? @BartosiakJacek joined @CognitiveInvest #podcast for a provocative and insightful Polish perspective on the #RussiaUkraineWar .

A Polish Perspective on War - The Rise of the Intermarium?

Podcast Episode · The Jacob Shapiro Podcast · 11/23/2022 · 59m

podcasts.apple.com

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

Latest @CognitiveInvest #podcast w/ incomparable @BartosiakJacek @StrategyFuture1 broke our record for most listens in first 24 hours. Glad y'all are enjoying, please remember to share with your friends and rate. Weekly update w/ Rob and @SimTack up next!

The Jacob Shapiro Podcast - Podcast Episodes Links - Plink

Podcast Episode smart links to listen to The Jacob Shapiro Podcast. Click to listen, free! 240 episodes in the Politics genre. Podcast links by Plink.

plinkhq.com

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

i can't keep track of the last 48 hours yall might be a Turkish-Greek-French war in the Mediterranean (the end of NATO?) Israel-UAE normalization US keeping tariffs on Airbus/EU goods Chinese military exercises near Taiwan and artillery tests in the Himalayas shit's gettin real

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

Pakistan is a major importer of Russian+Ukrainian cereals. Food insecurity isn't the primary motivator of the political chaos unfolding - but it's def a part of it, and an example of why I am watching political stability in all major food importers in the months ahead

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

This is why I stay on Twitter

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

I have lived many places now and been all over the world but the nostalgia of your childhood home always hits different, doesn’t it?

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

If you are a #USA citizen and you don't know what the US did in #Chile in from 1963-1973, consider the #referendum for a new #constitution on Sunday an opportunity to educate yourself.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

6 years

i could say that i'm happy to be back from my honeymoon but that'd be lying. married the love of my life on april 13 and turned off my devices for two weeks - finding the world is still here + exactly the same is both comforting and disturbing. in any case...back to work!

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

6 years

The #US has already lost the competition for #5G . If US really wants to compete with #China , it needs to devote huge resources to developing the best tech in the world. Telling countries not to use Chinese tech bc the US doesn’t approve won’t work. #geopolitics

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

Couldn’t disagree more with the idea that a “decline in liberal arts degrees” — from both a quantitative and qualitative perspective (I would add the latter as the real issue) — is good for society. This is celebrating ignorance as Rome burns.

Katherine Boyle

@KTmBoyle

1 year

The decline in liberal arts degrees bodes well for society on almost every dimension. College students now know that majoring in Book Club won’t get you a great job. This is progress.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

haven't seen confirmation of this, but have been saying for a few weeks now: the longer this drags on in Ukraine for Russia, the more we should be watching Caucasus, Central Asia, and even the Far East. Russia is just not strong enough to handle all 4 of these regions.

Neil Hauer

@NeilPHauer

3 years

Really serious situation in Karabakh now, with Azerbaijani troops crossing the line of contact. Head of Khramort village also confirmed they are on alert and women/children have been evacuated.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

*If* U.S. assassinated Soleimani... It's a sign of institutional and moral decay in US politics. This could start a war - which Congress is supposed to have sole power to declare. A straight line from Truman to Trump, Russell to Rubio, our grandparents to us. All responsible.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

“Above all, beware the crowd! The crowd only feels; it has no mind of its own which can plan. The crowd is credulous, it destroys, it consumes, it hates, and it dreams — but it never builds.” (Herbert Hoover)

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

Assuming the reports on Prigozhin are true, it is the first thing to happen in Russia that makes sense to me in months. Also: Anyone who peddled the narrative about a staged mutiny who is not offering a mea culpa is not someone to trust in the future.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

As someone who worked 12+ hour days for a good chunk of his 20s - this is nonsense. My career started taking off when I took time to develop myself personally - via building relationships, reading, working out, etc - and married that with hard work in more efficient bursts.

Eric Tarczynski

@etarczynski

2 years

If you’re in your 20s and ambitious but aren’t working 12+ hour days, you’re doing it wrong.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

lol but not nuclear

Germany to use more coal amid gas reduction

As Russia reduces its supply of natural gas, Economy Minister Robert Habeck has said Germany must curb its usage. Otherwise, things "could get tight in winter," he said.

www.dw.com

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

If you want to understand why New Orleans is such an important geopolitical city, an early AM flight on a clear day is a good way to see why. One day when I have enough free time (lolz) I'll write a book about the world's most imp geopolitical cities.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

6 years

"Truth is handsomer than the affectation of love. Your goodness must have some edge to it, else it is none." (Emerson)

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

Emergency @CognitiveInvest solo podcast is up on what I'm calling the First Israeli-Palestinian war. Lining up more guests this week to talk about Iran's role, hopefully some on the ground perspectives from both sides, and the history of the conflict.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

6 years

I’m sad Venezuela’s people are suffering. That isn’t the point. No one can help them if they can’t help themselves. And no one will die for what Venezuelans won’t die for themselves. Revolutions engineered by foreigners have abysmally low success rates.

Gustavo Rojas-Matute

@gusrojasmatute

6 years

@JacobShap @ianbremmer @Juliess31 You should see people crossing the boarder walking. That is not going to stop unless some help us. People are not going to risk their lives trying to defeat Maduro’s regimen.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

"North America accounts for 52% of the planet’s truly permanent water resources but has just 5% of the human population. In contrast Asia, with 60% of the human population, has only 9% of the truly permanent water." (World Atlas of Desertification 2018)

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

it is hard to exaggerate just how stupid and short-sighted US treatment of the UK has been during the Trump administration great reporting as usual from @KimDozier

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

We can produce enough food to feed the world. We probably won't produce enough (or, more accurately, send enough) to feed Somalia *this year.* The doom&gloom/Malthusian narrative detracts attention from real crises, and it is always the developing world that gets screwed.

Peter Zeihan

@PeterZeihan

2 years

If you've read my latest book, The End of the World Is Just the Beginning, you know what question keeps me up at night: how long will we be able to feed the world's population? China is a scary example of how all this can play out... My Latest:

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

While #IranUS is happening, remember #Turkey is moving troops to Libya, Khaftar's forces taken most of Sirte, Turkish FM in #Algeria today for meetings, #Putin due in Istanbul tomorrow to discuss #Libya and #Idlib with #Erdogan ... Any other week the Libya story would be huge !

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

well it finally happened someone referred to me as a "seasoned" analyst guess i'm getting old

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

The thought that has been bothering me all day and is keeping me up tonight: If israel invades Gaza, Iran (via proxies) has indicated they will attack. That leaves three possibilities I can figure: 1) Iran (and HZ and Syria) is bluffing. Call the bluff.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

I may be wrong about Russia/Ukraine. Don't think I am, but it's possible. But for the folks claiming a Russian invasion is imminent, I'd challenge you to answer a strategic rather than tactical question: What would Russia achieve if it did? Haven't seen a good answer yet.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

probably the most important thing happening in the world right now

Jeff Masters

@DrJeffMasters

3 years

Global food prices in Jan rose 1.1% from Dec, the FAO said Feb. 3 (). Inflation-adjusted food prices highest in 48 years, making us vulnerable to extreme weather shocks in 2022. Corn export prices rose 3.8% from Dec, mostly from drought in Argentina/Brazil.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

Every once in a while I am rendered speechless "Call me a ‘Putinist’ if you will, but we, Uganda shall send soldiers to defend Moscow if it’s ever threatened by the Imperialists!”

Uganda's 'first son' vows to send troops to defend Moscow

Muhoozi is notorious for his often erratic Twitter outbursts on all manner of issues.

www.theeastafrican.co.ke

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

fascinating

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

don't do drugs, kids

ian bremmer

@ianbremmer

5 years

Big winner of Trump’s Syria withdrawal: Russia.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

“Be very careful if you are certain” — 💯💯💯for all times but esp these next few weeks.

Santiago Capital

@SantiagoAuFund

3 years

I don't know how this is all going to play out (if anyone tells you they do...run the other way). But what I do know is that the point made in original post above is very far from as simple and automatic as many are making it out to be. Be very careful if you are certain. /8

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

“More than one-third of all stores that opened in the US in 2021 and 2022 were dollar stores. Dollar General alone opened 2,060 locations during those years, far more than any retailer.” (NY Times) Ladies and gentlemen, I give you the richest country in the world!

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

The US budget deficit for the first 11 months of the fiscal year now exceeds $1 *trillion*... And that spending is happening during the longest economic expansion in recorded US history. It is hard to characterize that as anything but irresponsible.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

@mtmalinen @MarinSanna @nyuniversity Happy to invite you for a debate on her premiership on the @CognitiveInvest podcast. I’ll take the opposite side of your argument.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 months

I rebranded the podcast bc someone claimed they had Cognitive Dissidents. Fair play. Who better to inaugurate the rebrand than someone with the greatest name in the world.

The Jacob Shapiro Podcast

Politics Podcast · 2 Seasons · Updated Biweekly

podcasts.apple.com

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

I've joined @CognitiveInvest as Director of #Geopolitical Analysis. Check out our White Paper on investing + geopolitics, which builds on an article I first wrote at @thelykeion and explains why we think understanding geopolitics is mandatory for investors

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

6 years

This may be the most important piece I write this year. Tl;dr: Don't get trapped into thinking Turkey's lira crisis is an isolated incident. US dollar denominated debt in the world is $11.5 trillion and the dollar is getting stronger.

The Currency Crisis of 2018? - Geopolitical Futures

It’s not too early to consider whether what’s happening in Turkey is simply a Turkish matter.

geopoliticalfutures.com

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

And @FoxNews is focusing on Hunter f'ing Biden, can't believe these networks make money

Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

Russia might be having a coup and @CNN is still droning on about the f'ing submarine

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

Watch this and food security in several African nations dependent on grain imports

Monica Marks

@MonicaLMarks

3 years

Tunisia imports 50-60% of its wheat from Ukraine. It was struggling to pay for wheat shipments, facing protests from desperate bakeries & even rationing wheat-based products (on which Tunisian diet chiefly depends) *before* the Ukraine invasion. Extremely precarious situation.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

6 years

Today marks three years to the day that @GPFutures started publishing. I can't wait to see how we grow in the next three. My humble thanks to our loyal and intelligent readers -- it's an honor and a pleasure to work for you.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 month

Wow for 2 days in a row. The implications of this for global supply chain security etc is absolutely huge -- I have a foreboding feeling that Israel has opened Pandora's box here, and for what?

Charles Lister

@Charles_Lister

1 month

Two-way radios & more pagers appear to have just been detonated in areas of #Beirut , the #Bekaa & elsewhere in #Lebanon -- all about 20mins ago. Multiple cars alight, apartments on fire -- more injuries. Hospitals filling up again.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

To all who have checked in, thanks so much. Still without power but safe and healthy, so I can't complain too much. Relocating later today to get back online as there is no concrete timeline for restoration of power and I know y'all can't live without my hot takes. ✌️

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

6 years

The US literally said today it will have an indefinite military presence in Syria -- where it already has 2k soldiers as "advisers." And what's trending is #2Kday , #ElonMusk , and #NationalBeerLoversDay . Beer is awesome but wake up y'all, how is that #1 on your mind right now

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

@cchukudebelu I have been thinking a lot about this question recently, and I think the answer is ultimately: because African nations are weak. Economically, politically, socially, militarily weak. And bc of that overall weakness, Africa's riches become a curse.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

💯💯💯

Ivo Daalder

@IvoHDaalder

1 year

Can someone pls explain why 5 missing people on an undersea adventure are worth more resources and news coverage than 800 migrants seeking a way out of despair when their vessels were in trouble? There’s something seriously wrong with these priorities.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

Thank you to @KamranBokhari @NewlinesInst and @nitzandfux for coming on the podcast the last two days. These were such great episodes -- not just for listeners, but for me as an analyst as well. We will continue to pump out content. Plz share widely.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

it's the most wonderful time of the year!

Marco Leofrigio

@marcoleofrigio

3 years

E il nostro Virgilio ILARI presidente della SISM interverrà sabato con @JacobShap e @dlfabbri --> ore 18: La Grande Incognita. La potenza che non vediamo, ma sarà @giuseppetamba @Svagaia @RMasini_WLOG @robyleofrigio

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

remember when India was bragging it was going to save the world by exporting food? yikes

Global Food and Ag

@GlobalAgDev

2 years

India has banned broken rice exports and imposed a 20% duty on other grades, triggering global price increases. Major rice importers fear stresses on #FoodSecurity , which could also cause increases in the price of corn and wheat, reports @Reuters .

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

7 months

I’d be a lot more worried if Iran hadn’t warned everyone ahead of time what it was doing I’d call this a token retaliation and perhaps a way for Iran to signal increased capabilities to Israel Aka important but not so much that I’m interrupting my dinner plans for this 😂

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

The content I’m actually here for

Nature is Amazing ☘️

@AMAZlNGNATURE

1 year

This video of pandas just being pandas while a zookeeper desperately tries to rake leaves is the best video on the internet

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

I won't be commenting on John Bolton. That's intellectual junk food. He has done tremendous damage to the US and the world. That a man of his caliber had power or influence is an indictment of our system. Others will give him a platform but I will ignore him and y'all should too.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

Irony is that by doing all this, Russia is breathing new life into NATO, which was basically on life-support the last few years bc it had no strategic focus.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

Thanks for having me on @AndreasSteno and @MacroAlf - it was a great conversation, and hopefully I can return the invite onto Cognitive Dissidents before the end of the year!

Andreas Steno Larsen

@AndreasSteno

2 years

Podcast Sunday! 🍾 The World Cup is now LIVE, but if you want a trip around the world of Geopolitics, you better listen to "The Macro Trading Floor" this Sunday as well. We are guested by the TREMENDOUS @JacobShap for a discussion on how to play a multipolar world.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

I tweet a lot about lack of consistency of US foreign policy — great example is US reaction to North Korea test firing “projectiles” v. Iran test firing missiles. Makes it hard for countries to gauge how US will react, which in turn makes it hard for US to change their behavior.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

I don’t understand this take — 1) It is not worse than ‘73 — not even close 2) How bad it is will depend a lot on what happens next in the retaliation 3) It will be a formative event for an Israeli generation that hasn’t endured this before but the 9/11 metaphor doesn’t work

ian bremmer

@ianbremmer

1 year

this is israel’s 9/11. worse intelligence failure than in 1973, given balance of power. hopefully israeli response will be less misguided then the us war on terror.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

The future of the world will be determined by the changes happening in global fertilizer markets and grain markets right now. I'm not f'ing around. @thelykeion

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

Still wondering what Biden got out of his trip to Saudi Arabia

Prof. Michael Tanchum

@michaeltanchum

2 years

"Oil producer group OPEC+ surprises energy markets with a small production cut" ➡️Biden has no friends in OPEC

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

Sitting up a little straighter in my chair this morning

China to inspect ships in Taiwan Strait, Taiwan says won't cooperate

Fujian maritime safety administration launched a three-day special joint patrol and inspection operation in central and northern parts of the Taiwan Strait that includes moves to board ships.

www.reuters.com

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

7 months

Yikes. The gap between the idea of India v the reality of India

India pharma quality lapses force U.S. to look to China for vital drugs

Toxic medications, burned records, analog systems dim prospects for world's third largest pharmacy

asia.nikkei.com

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

Buongiorno e grazie to @dlfabbri from @limesonline for joining me on the @PerchSpectives #podcast to discuss #Italy , the future of the #EU , Italy- #China relations, and more. You can listen or check out the transcript ! 🙏🇮🇹

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

If you decry China’s appalling abuse of Uighurs and aren’t also: Ashamed at US treatment of illegal immigrant families Troubled by US opioid and suicide epidemics Disturbed by how the US mass murdered natives and enslaved blacks (To name a few) Maybe be quiet

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

So in the next decade South Korea wants to: build its own Iron-Dome style missile defense system acquire an air craft carrier produce a homegrown fighter jet Welcome to the 2020s y'all

(LEAD) S. Korea to develop Iron Dome-like interceptor system against N.K. long-range artillery |...

(ATTN: ADDS quote, more info in paras 4, 11; UPDATES with minor edits)By Choi Soo-hyang ...

en.yna.co.kr

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

6 years

Been thinking about this. I genuinely find this incoherent. I don't understand how patriotism is the "opposite" of nationalism. Some nations have had abysmal "moral" values. Liberal democracy doesn't exist without the nation. These are clever-sounding words which mean nothing.

Emmanuel Macron

@EmmanuelMacron

6 years

Patriotism is the exact opposite of nationalism. Nationalism is a betrayal of patriotism. By putting our own interests first, with no regard for others, we erase the very thing that a nation holds dearest, and the thing that keeps it alive: its moral values.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

6 years

Radio Poland reported today that 21 percent of Polish companies hire Ukrainian workers. A sign of things to come, and explained more in depth in this piece I wrote last week on Poland. Tl;dr: Poland will get more diverse as it becomes more important in Europe.

Geopolitical Futures

@GPFutures

6 years

Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, #Poland ’s status as an independent nation-state has been cemented, and its #economy has soared. But high economic growth will only take the country so far. Sign in for this week's Deep Dive by @JacobShap

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

i'm two pages into the national security council's new "western hemispheric strategic framework" and can already report that it is one of the most tone-deaf, historically ignorant, and hypocritical pieces of policy writing i've ever read.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

Reminder: I write a weekly report for @CognitiveInvest on the top geopolitical developments of the week. You can sign up for it here:

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

Not ashamed to say I have no earthly clue what happened with NS1 and NS2 -- and I haven't seen a theory out here yet that makes sense to me.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

That division is gone. All the Jewish opposition parties have already come out and literally said “there is no opposition, no coalition, at times like these.” Bibi is commander in chief and he has the full support of the Jewish population of Israel behind him now.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

We ended up posting the latest @CognitiveInvest #podcast with @Geo_papic first thing this AM... Here's the link for your listening pleasure/edification

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

Just recorded a podcast on what’s happening in Peru which is being largely ignored in most media, hope to have it out tomorrow

Steve Hanke

@steve_hanke

3 years

Tuesday, in Lima, Peru, people were protesting fuel and fertilizer price hikes in San Martin Square. Take a look.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

We are not a serious country

Jake Sherman

@JakeSherman

3 years

PELOSI says she will read a poem by Bono about Ukraine at the lunch today.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

12 days

@dieworkwear You're my new favorite follow. It's a long shot but I would *love* to host you on my podcast to talk about the intersection of geopolitics and style. On the off chance you see this and are interested let me know! Otherwise thanks for your content!

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

1 year

Happy Tuesday evening from the view on my run to yours

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

They will be ruled by Beijing. This was already a fait accompli. The question is what will happen to Taiwan.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

I just read a study on what could happen if the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam were to fail due to earthquake or soil degradation etc...and it was legit one of the most terrifying scenarios I've read in over a decade of doing political analysis. Srsly. Scary as frack.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

3 years

The geopolitics of the USA in a picture

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

6 years

This was a hard article for me to write. I tried to be v careful about what is possible versus likely. Ukraine is under a lot of pressure, and you won't understand that by focusing on Russia. Bigger problems here. Shout out to our graphics team on this one too. #geopolitics

Geopolitical Futures

@GPFutures

6 years

#Ukraine lost part of its territory nearly five years ago. Was that just the beginning? As @JacobShap explains, the country is in danger of experiencing disintegration similar to what Poland endured in the 18th century.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

...as opposed to growing up under the shadow of stagflation, OPEC oil embargo, Black Monday, HIV, Iran-Contra and Iranian revolution? Or the shadow of Vietnam, JFK assassination, MLK and Malcolm X assassinations, and kent state? What is the point here? Every gen has their shit

Jeet Heer

@HeerJeet

5 years

If you are an American and under 37, your entire adult life has been under the shadow of the Forever Wars, the Great recession, a pandemic, and, it looks like, another recession. This is what is shaping the generational divide on politics.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

2 years

Rant: That anyone gives ppl like Bolton and Kissinger a platform in 20fracking22 is mind boggling / indicative of the low quality of policy makers + our media ecosystem. These hypocritical geriatric failed “statesmen” should be on the street selling pencils from a cup.

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

4 years

It's been a roller coaster of a year and just want to say despite all the craziness 2020 has thrown our way, I am so thankful and appreciate for the folks who have helped me and the team @PerchSpectives launch our business this year. Let's show 2021 what we've got!

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Jacob L. Shapiro

@JacobShap

5 years

Trump supporters: socialism is evil!! AOC is a socialist witch!! Bernie — he is a commie! We CANNOT afford his health care and education plans. ::President Trump increases govt spending by $1 trillion:: Trump supporters: ALL HAIL THE DEAR LEADER, AMERICA IS GR8

Heath Mayo

@HeathMayo

5 years

“In just four years under this president, spending will be up $850 billion, or 21 percent.” #PrinciplesLast

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