Here are my suggested actions for
#Michael
. If you're in the red region, don't delay and listen to authorities TODAY. Orange areas need to consider action by tomorrow. Yellow areas - you still need to watch this closely.
#flwx
Slight shift north: The highly credible
@BaronWeather
Future Spin model suggests the corridor from
#Weatherford
to
#Guthrie
to
#Tulsa
is now in line for a potential long-track violent tornado from 6 to 10 pm this evening.
#OKwx
This was likely the tornado that went over Monte Sano on the east side of
#Huntsville
. The lightning strike at the very beginning of the video reveals the western edge of the vortex. It’s unknown, though if this was the tornado or just the edge of the wall cloud.
#HunWx
#ALwx
@MarcWeinbergWX
Thank you for emphasizing the other ways of getting your life-saving messages out
@MarcWeinbergWX
. I wanted to sharing thoughts on this from a few weeks ago.
This is one of those situations where a single graphic (like NWS severe risk for 24 hr period) doesn't cut it. So I annotated...
Black circle: Evening outbreak, with violent tornadoes possible.
#IAwx
#WIwx
#ILwx
Red circle: Dangerous after midnight tornado risk!!!
#MOwx
#ARwx
When the land is almost like water (e.g.
#SoFla
near The Everglades), hurricanes will not lose their intensity very quickly if atmospheric conditions are still supportive.
There was a lot of confusion & frustration today with
#Ian
. Maybe this graphic can help: A major hurricane will be approaching a densely populated coastline at an oblique angle. The risk changes dramatically with a subtle shift or wobble. (1/2)
#FLwx
In my current job, I watch a lot of severe weather coverage. This is one of the best explanations I've seen on why we should still find our safe place for just "radar-indicated" tornado warnings. Credit:
@SteveTempleton
of
@KMOV
in
#STL
.
#MOwx
#SevereWeather
IMPORTANT words from
@NHC_Atlantic
tonight:
- It is becoming "increasingly likely"
#Idalia
will be a MAJOR (115 mph+) hurricane at landfall.
- Rapid intensification is possible.
Explosive t-storm development near the center of
#Idalia
this evening justifies the increase.
#FLwx
We might have just had twin tornadoes develop on the supercell north of
#Memphis
! I'm using
@BaronWeather
shear rate to focus on just the rotating couplets on the storm. Notice the yellow & red areas split in two.
#TNwx
Floridians: PLEASE don't freak out! A cone is coming from
@NHC_Atlantic
that might look like it's pointed toward us. *IF* this becomes a significant storm, confidence is still VERY low on where it might track early next week. Let's watch it carefully, stay calm, and...
“It’s time for a construction rating scale of homes. We have it for cars, for cholesterol, etc...”
-
@LCHenderson
of
@FederalAlliance
speaking at
#NDRC18
, advocating for current & future homeowners to make better decisions.
She adds, “We have
#CarFax
, why not HomeFax?”
You've seen the risk. Now there's a Tornado Watch. And here's a more detailed look at the credible
@BaronWeather
model where long-track tornadoes may develop. If you live anywhere close to those dark red swaths, stay vigilant this evening!
#ARwx
#MSwx
#TNwx
#LAwx
#ALwx
“I will never give up on people that won’t leave”.
@NWSNHC
Director Ken Graham pledging to listen to the social science research.
#NDRC18
“Even if that means changing the cone and other web products available to the public,” he adds.
High-res visible satellite animation revealing multiple mesovortices inside the eye of Hurricane
#Ian
as it approaches the
#SWFla
coastline as an extremely dangerous Category 4 storm.
According to this decision-makers guide (), it's far "too soon" to make decisions.
Long-range models are certainly picking up on something. And we all know when it enters the
#Gulf
, it almost always has an impact. But for now, let's stay calm & credible.
We're hearing from residents that some of the state evacuation lists are becoming overwhelmed. Try using the county links here as an alternative. Email info
@flash
.org if you have updated links and we'll add them. …
#Idalia
#HurricaneStrong
#evacuation
Dangerous storm with a confirmed "large and extremely dangerous" tornado crossing Mississippi River and headed toward the north side of
#Memphis
metro.
Left: NWS radar w/warnings
Right:
@BaronWeather
spin detector with ETA's.
#ARwx
#TNwx
Finished my home studio set up today JUST IN CASE we get a major event (like an early hurricane) and don’t feel safe to be at work by then. This was actually a lot of fun! What do you think?
#wfhlife
#wfh
#safeathome
If you're a home or business owner along Florida's Gulf Coast, there is limited time to prepare for
#Idalia
. This is a real threat, and the "worst case" needs to be considered in your plan! More tips at .
#FLwx
A slight nudge west by the
@BaronWeather
model on the axis of heaviest rain could be a HUGE deal for the
#LA
basin. Even though it was downgraded to a tropical storm (as expected), there is no shortage of tropical moisture yet to come.
#CAwx
I really wish this was just another joke about
#2020ing
. All bets are off on what may happen with
#Eta
in the
#Gulf
this week. Confidence is extremely low.
BIG ANNOUNCEMENT: Peta Sheerwood is OFFICIALLY our new weekend morning meteorologist! She’s MAKING HISTORY as
@WRAL
1st black meteorologist. So proud of her 🌟⭐️
Props to good journalism for the greater good. This is an extremely informative story on how we can collectively “flatten the curve”.
#COVID19
#coronavirus
To those that unfortunately chose to stay in
#CapeCoral
#Sanibel
area, you have about 3 hrs to find highest ground possible and items to protect your head. The eye wall is only about 30 mi away, and this will coincide with a dramatic increase in wind and water levels.
#Ian
#FLwx
June was wild! Severe weather was rampant from the Southern Plains to the Southeast. Whereas in most years, it shifts farther north this time of year.
All the numbers and reports are at .
The most important stat from the newly formed Tropical Storm
#Bret
is that even *IF* it were to survive all the wind shear in the
#Caribbean
, it would still be at least 8 days away.
#FLwx
#ALwx
#GAwx
#SCwx
Our
@BaronWeather
model is one of the best, and I believed that before I worked here! Unfortunately, this could be a sad generational event for some Oklahomans.
#OKwx
Storm with a history of tornado warnings aimed at south metro
#STL
, including
#Fenton
and
#Arnold
areas just after 6 pm. Plan now for what you would do if this spins up a tornado. It certainly has that "look".
#MOwx
So focused on preparing with my team, I haven’t opened Twitter all day (those RT’s don’t count)...
If I did have the time to break down all the science and range of possibilities, this is pretty much what I would draw. Nicely done Jack.
Looking for some context regarding the latest EPS data? Here's today's annotated spaghetti map with a rough idea of what we know, what we don't, and what you should be doing depending on where you are. With so many questions, it's important you keep checking in for latest info!
@capitalweather
I’ve yet to see meaningful benefit to the other, other than the “I don’t like Elon” tribalisms. It’s also too early to compare the two from a performance and features standpoint.
The moderate tornado risk has been shifted north to include
#Gainesville
and
#Ocala
today. This is my single biggest concern for inland residents from
#Alberto
. Make sure you have a way to stay informed.
#flwx
Dangerous line of storms headed for
#Florida
Thursday night and Friday. They will probably *not* weaken much and the ENTIRE state is at risk for damaging wind or a tornado.
Left panel - radar now
Middle panel -
@BaronWeather
model noon Thursday
Right panel - " " noon Friday.
March went out like the proverbial lion Friday, with more than 900 accounts of damage from tornadoes, wind, and hail. Here's a look at the reports as they came in from the powerful spring storm moving across the
#Midwest
and
#South
.
Latest forecast models are in!
Let's just chill and trust the process. The situation in the Atlantic will become clearer with time. There's a reason why the
@NHC_Atlantic
doesn't issue a forecast beyond five days. That's because the models look like this...
#flwx
#scwx
#ncwx
You've likely seen the projections for an active hurricane season. If you're looking for some tips on your business response plan,
@BaronWeather
has a handy guide for that!
What I saw today in Mexico Beach doesn't come to close to what I heard.
The people of the "Forgotten Coast" just want to talk. They want to share *their* story. Of survival. Rebirth. And for many, it's a story of frustration. Helplessness. (full story in thread)
One thing
#COVID19
has revealed to me is how many people (I follow) seem to be incapable of sharing ANYTHING positive during this challenging time. I understand the importance of facts, but c’mon! Don’t forget that your followers are human. And they might be desperate for hope.
Here’s a quick update based on the 11 pm ET Advisory from the NHC on
#Ian
. This movie also includes exclusive modeling from
@BaronWeather
on winds, spin (where tornadoes may form) and rainfall accumulations.
#FLwx
Answer this trivia question for a chance to win 4 tickets to tomorrows football game!
Who did
@gatorsfb
beat for Homecoming in 2019?
Comment below your answer for a chance to win 🎟⤵️
#GoGators
Using tools from
@BaronWeather
, I was able to underlay the "spaghetti" with official cone. I also categorized the lines to showcase the more reliable (red) ones. Notice how the NHC went 'down the middle' of two potential outcomes shared here >> .
#FLwx
Attention
@garthbrooks
fans
@UF
- A brief shower can't be ruled out between 4 and 6 pm, but it there will be no "thunder rollin" except for what comes from the stage tonight. Just grab a jacket and hold on to those hats on your way in.
#WeatherTogether
#Garth
#GarthBrooks
Early look at the
#Fireworks
forecast tomorrow night. Only trouble spots may be along the immediate coast from
#Tampa
to
#Naples
, but even those storm should end quickly in the 9:00 hour.
#flwx
It's been a historic month in
#Gainesville
.
8 record daily highs
1 record daily warm low
But most impressive? The all-time record high for February was broken on 2/18, then shattered again just FIVE DAYS LATER!
#flwx
.
@UF
today announced that
@HarrisonHove
, College of Journalism and Communications Journalism lecturer, has been named the 2020-21 Teacher of the Year. Hove is the second UFCJC faculty member in a row to win the prestigious award, and sixth in 15 years.