Hamidreza Azizi @HamidRezaAz Twitter profile

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Hamidreza Azizi

18 days

My latest for @ForeignAffairs on #Iran ’s new naval ambitions: I argue that over the past four years, Tehran has been working on a Maritime Forward Defense strategy, in line with its traditional “forward defense” doctrine ⬇️

Iran’s New Naval Ambitions

As Tehran’s maritime power rises, Washington must step up to secure the seas.

www.foreignaffairs.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

29 days

چرا معتقدم که ریاست‌جمهوری سعید جلیلی در راستای منافع روسیه است؟ 👇

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 months

What if #Raisi is confirmed dead? A few thoughts: Under Article 131 of #Iran 's Constitution, First VP Mohammad Mokhber will temporarily assume Raisi's duties with the Supreme Leader's approval. A council must organize a new presidential election within 50 days/1

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

دوستان «فارس» متاسفانه کم‌کاری می‌کنند؛ به تصرف خیابان‌های «اروپا» توسط زامبی‌ها اشاره نکرده‌اند! همین خود بنده هر روز افراد بسیاری را ملاقات میکنم که خواستار مهاجرت به ایران، روسیه و چین هستند. این‌ها مواردی است که می‌بایست درباره آنها اطلاع‌رسانی و شفاف‌سازی شود…

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

#Israel targeted the Iranian consulate in Damascus, marking a significant escalation in tensions. The attack resulted in the death of Brig. Gen.Mohammad Reza Zahedi, a senior commander of the Quds Force, and his deputy. Some initial thoughts:

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

3 years

کاش یک نفر به ایشان یاد می‌داد تعارف در زبان دیپلماتیک جایی ندارد! عین این عبارت «در خدمت شما هستیم» را روسها ترجمه کرده‌اند (Я к Вашим услугам) و در گزارش رسمی سایت ریاست‌جمهوری #روسیه هم قرار گرفته است! 👇

tabatabaei

@tabanejad

3 years

در خدمت شما هستیم 😕

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

3 months

A few points on #Isfahan attack As customary with security incidents in #Iran , reliable information about the exact nature of the attack & its damages cannot be obtained from official Iranian media. However, the extent of the attack seems to be less than initially speculated/1

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 months

Delighted to announce that I signed a contract with @politybooks to write a book on the "Axis of Resistance." The book will detail how the Axis, initially a proxy network, has transformed into a significant regional bloc & its implications for #Iran & the region. Stay tuned!

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

همیشه، به خصوص‌ در موارد ذیل: قطعنامه ۱۶۹۶ قطعنامه ۱۷۳۷ قطعنامه ۱۷۴۷ قطعنامه ۱۸۰۳ قطعنامه ۱۹۲۹

Chang Hua

@AmbChangHua

2 years

#چین و #ایران همیشه از یکدیگر حمایت کرده اند

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

#Iran and #Russia agreed to use national currencies for settlement of trade and energy payments. They signed MoUs on joint projects in the upstream and downstream of their oil and gas sectors.

Iran, Russia Sign Energy, Banking MoUs

Iranian and Russian officials signed three memoranda of understanding (MoU) to broaden energy and banking relations. The MoUs were signed on Wednesday during a meeting in Tehran attended by Iran’s...

www.eurasiareview.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

بر فرض که راست میگویید - که‌ نمیگویید - و #مهسا_امینی سکته کرده است؛ چرا باید نیروی به اصطلاح «انتظامی» شما چنان وحشتی در دل یک شهروند بیگناه ایجاد کند که کارش به سکته بکشد؟! عذر بدتر از گناه می‌آورید؟!

خبرگزاری ایرنا

@IRNA_1313

2 years

🎥 فیلم دوربین‌های مدار بسته از لحظه سکته #مهسا_امینی

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

“The United States agrees with British and French assessments that #Iran supplying drones to #Russia would violate a UN Security Council resolution that endorsed the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and six powers“

Reuters Iran

@ReutersIran

2 years

U.S. says Iran supplying drones to Russia violates U.N. resolution

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 months

Overall, the implications of Raisi's death would not be fundamental or a decisive blow to the system. It will impact intra-hardliner competition but not the strategic direction of the Islamic Republic in foreign or domestic politics/END

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

Is it necessary to involve #Iran in every single American dispute? It‘s a shortcoming of your own…it‘s among yourselves…face it! And yes, there‘s a lot of problems in Iran that we the Iranians know much better than you, but you‘re not helping solve them this way!

Gavi Begtrup

@GaviBegtrup

2 years

A 10-year-old girl is raped. The State forces her to remain pregnant and tells her to consider it an “opportunity.” This isn’t Iran. This isn’t Gilead. This isn’t hypothetical. This happened today in Ohio.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

Tonight is the official end of "shadow war" between #Iran & #Israel . There's nothing "shadowy" or any "grey zone" left between the two sides. The only question now is how far this new stage of confrontation will go...

Siavash Ardalan

@BBCArdalan

4 months

Iran's state TV just announced and confirmed news of 'IRGC's extensive drone attack' on Israel.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

#Iran will increase natural gas supplies to #Armenia under a memorandum of understanding signed at the 17th joint session of the Armenian-Iranian intergovernmental commission in Yerevan on Wednesday

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

I’m starting an exciting cooperation with @Clingendaelorg as a Research Associate. Many thanks to @ErwinVeen for this opportunity and very much looking forward to joint projects/publications with the great team of experts working on the Middle East 🙂

Erwin van Veen

@ErwinVeen

2 years

I'm glad to say the renown @HamidRezaAz has joined our #MiddleEast research team @Clingendaelorg - Expect great things ;-)

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

1 year

#Iran ‘s MoD says the blast was caused by an“unsuccessful“ drone attack. There‘s quite a few interesting points here: 1- In similar incidents, IR would often start with denying any attack, mentioning“technical issues“, etc. This time they confirm right away…

Reuters Iran

@ReutersIran

1 year

Blast heard at military plant in Iran's central city of Isfahan

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

“In Tehran they are thinking there might be a war in a few weeks if they respond, or there will definitely be a war in a year if they don’t respond.” #Iran #Israel

Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

Told @theipaper that from Tehran's perspective, the risk of further escalation is preferable to a scenario where after a few months, #Israel would feel emboldened to target infrastructures within #Iran , which would absolutely result in a war ⬇️

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

It would be a miscalculation to think that #IranProtests2022 have made “unification“ with Azerbaijan any more attractive for #Iran ‘s Azeris. Iranian Azeris, like others in the country, struggle for freedom, not to replace an authoritarian rule with another

Azerbaijan to protect all Azerbaijanis, including those in Iran: President

‘We'll do our best to protect secular lifestyle of Azerbaijan and Azerbaijanis around world, including Azerbaijanis in Iran,’ says Ilham Aliyev - Anadolu Ajansı

www.aa.com.tr

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

3 years

Thrilled to see that my latest peer-reviewed article is published online in Small Wars & Insurgencies 👇 Integration of #Iran -backed armed groups into the Iraqi and Syrian armed forces: implications for stability in #Iraq and #Syria

Integration of Iran-backed armed groups into the Iraqi and Syrian armed forces: implications for...

Since 2018, an increasing number of Iran-backed armed groups have started to be integrated into the Syrian and Iraqi official armed forces. The integration of armed groups allows Tehran to enjoy a ...

www.tandfonline.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

3 months

This is significant for two reasons: 1- First time a sitting offical (not a former offical or expert) speaks of potential change in nuclear doctrine. 2- It comes from an IRGC, i.e. military official.

Saeed Azimi

@SaeedAzimi1772

3 months

Commander of Iran's nuclear sites' security service says if Israel plans to use the threat of striking Iran's nuclear site, Iran might re-evaluate its nuclear doctrine and cross the red lines announced. This is, again, a hardliners' push to go full-nuke.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

In this piece for @MiddleEastInst I explain how #Turkey ‘s plan for a new military operation in #Syria is seen in #Iran and why it may lead to a colflict between Tehran and Ankara

How Iran sees Turkey’s plan for a new military operation in Syria

As the threat of a new Turkish military incursion into northern Syria looms, other international stakeholders in the Syrian crisis continue to voice their concerns over Ankara's ambitions. At odds...

www.mei.edu

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

11 months

In this issue brief for @ME_Council I discuss how #Iran 's "Look East" strategy has evolved under three presidents, Ahmadinejad, Rouhani, and now Raisi. Key takeaways in the thread below ⬇️

Iran’s “Look East” Strategy: Continuity and Change under Raisi

Iran’s “Look East” policy is generally understood as a strategy aimed at fostering stronger political, economic, and strategic connections with countries in the Eastern hemisphere, particularly in...

mecouncil.org

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 months

Domestic implications aside, Iran's foreign policy will likely remain consistent. Strategic decisions are set by the Supreme Leader and the IRGC, not the president. Expect continued rigidity in US relations and regional policies/7

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

1- This attack is viewed by some in Iran as a declaration of war by #Israel against #Iran . It represents a shift from previous engagements, directly hitting Iranian soil represented by its consulate in Syria - as opposed to targeting IRGC officers in Syrian sites.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

6 months

Considering potential longterm implications for #Iran ‘s deterrence & security, striking #Pakistan was probably one of the biggest strategic mistakes in the history of the Islamic Republic ⬇️

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

برای همه آنها که از #ایران رفتند، اما ایران از دلشان نرفت… #مهسا_امینی

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

3- Some sources claim the attack was a response to an assault on an Israeli ship last night at the port of Eilat, attributed to Iraqi militias. This suggests another new rule of engagement by Israel: direct retaliation against Iran for any attacks by its proxies.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

Klinsmann was one my childhood legends…until I watched this! So annoying, so dissapointing… #WorldCup #WorldCup2022

Andrew Hammond

@Hammonda1

2 years

"that's their culture" - host of BBC's #WorldcupQatar2022 prompts Klinsmann, star of the melodramatic in his time, to accuse Iran of using sinister oriental ways in beating Wales they even go after the Guatemalan referee NB: how many teams does the UK have again?

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

10 months

Thread 🧵 The way I see it, if #Iran and its allies decide to escalate, it will come from the #Syria front, not #Lebanon , although Hezbollah will still be a key player in any case ⬇️

Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

10 months

IRGC Quds Force commander Esmail Qaani is reportedly in #Syria & has put #Iran -backed militias on full alert. 3 days ago he met with Iraqi militia commanders as well to coordinate potential troop deployment against #Israel 👇

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

#Iran is preparing to send approximately 1,000 additional weapons, including surface-to-surface short range ballistic missiles and more attack drones, to #Russia to use in its war against #Ukraine , officials from a western country told CNN.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 months

Mokhber's ties to the IRGC's core leadership will guarantee that the IRGC's role in #Iran 's administration will remain intact and even intensify. His interim presidency may pave the way for even more overt IRGC control over administrative policies/2

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 months

Raisi’s death intensifies internal power struggles. Already, factions within the hardline camp were competing for the Speaker of Parliament role. Now, this rivalry will extend to the presidency, with different factions vying for dominance/3

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

1 year

امروز مطلع شدم ترجمه کتاب «روسیه در برابر دیگران» بالاخره منتشر شده است. کار ترجمه کتاب حدود ۴ سال پیش، زمانی که هنوز ایران بودم به پایان رسید اما انتشارش به دلایل مختلف به تعویق افتاد. مطالعه کتاب می‌تواند برای فهم بهتر ریشه‌های تقابل روسیه و غرب بسیار مفید باشد.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

9 months

My latest for @WarOnTheRocks : How Iran and Its Allies Hope to Save #Hamas I explore the responses by #Iran and its allies in the “axis of resistance” to the war in #Gaza & explain the division of labor within the axis ⬇️

How Iran and Its Allies Hope to Save Hamas - War on the Rocks

“We kiss the foreheads and the arms of the shrewd and astute planners and the courageous Palestinian youth.” On Oct. 10, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah

warontherocks.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 months

The new presidential election will come amid historic low public participation. Only 8% of eligible voters participated in recent Tehran parliamentary elections. Mobilizing voters within 50 days poses a significant challenge/4

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

6 months

Let‘s elaborate a bit: 🔹 #Iran conducts strikes in #Pakistan to deter a terror group that killed 11 IR soldiers 🔹The terror group, apparently not deterred, strikes back, this time killing a colonel. 🔹Pakistan, irritated by the breach of its soveregnty, also strikes back.

Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

6 months

Considering potential longterm implications for #Iran ‘s deterrence & security, striking #Pakistan was probably one of the biggest strategic mistakes in the history of the Islamic Republic ⬇️

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

I had the pleasure to contribute to this joint @SWPBerlin / @FESonline publication on scenarios for #Syria in the 2030 perspective. My chapter deals with the future of #Iran ‘s role in Syria Link here 👇

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

My observation is that there‘s not so many foreign policy-specific issues in #IranProtests2022 . Almost none of popular slogans has anything to do with foreihn policy demands. This is another difference compared with big protest movements in the past ⬇️

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

6 months

In this @ForeignAffairs piece, @HannaNotte and I explain how the wars in Ukraine & Gaza have helped #Russia consolidate its ties with the #Iran -backed “Axis of Resistance.” We also discuss how RU might react to an expanded war between the axis & #Israel ⬇️

Russia’s Dangerous New Friends

How Moscow is partnering with the axis of resistance.

www.foreignaffairs.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 months

Although debates about Raisi being a potential candidate for the next Supreme Leader were highly exaggerated, his position as president would have given him and the faction of hardliners he represents strong influence over the succession process once Khamenei dies/6

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

خاطرم هست بعد #برجام حسین شریعتمداری و رفقا استدلال می‌کردند #ایران نباید با صدور گاز به اروپا #روسیه را آزرده‌خاطر سازد (قریب به مضمون). تجربه الجزایر مثال خوبی است از اینکه منافع ملی چگونه بر روابط با ابرقدرت‌ها - و البته به موازات آن - ارجحیت دارد…

Siavash Fallahpour

@SFallahpour

2 years

سوناتراک(شرکت نفت و گاز الجزائر) اعلام کرد در صورت قطع صادرات گاز روسیه آماده است زیرساخت افزایش صادرات به کشورهای اروپایی را در سریع‌ترین زمان ممکن فراهم کند الجزائر از نزدیک‌ترین کشورهای عربی به روسیه خریدار بزرگ تسلیحات روسی و دومین شریک تجاری مسکو در جهان عرب پس از مصر است/۱

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

1 year

My latest for @FESonline / @fes_mena : Close but complicated: #Iran - #Russia Relations in the Middle East Amid the War in #Ukraine

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

این از آن دست مصاحبه‌هایی است که حتی دهه‌ها بعد در کتاب‌های تاریخ روابط خارجی #ایران به عنوان یک منبع دست اول به آن استناد خواهد شد. احسنت به تیم سیاست خارجی اعتماد!

Sara Massoumi

@SaraMassoumi

2 years

🧵لوان جاگاريان در گفت‌وگو با @EtemadDaily : @zzgraph @MrMim24 ❌ما از هیچکس نمی‌ترسیم،قدرت‌هسته‌ای هستیم. ❌تا به هدف خود نرسیم، به عملیات نظامی ادامه می‌دهیم. ❌پوتين واضح توضيح داد كه اوكراين يك كشور ساختگي بود.اين آقاي لنين بود كه اوكراين را درست كرد/1

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

I have the pleasure to attend and speak at @SharqYouth international conference. It‘s also always nice to be in Istanbul 😊 #alsharqconf

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 months

To boost turnout, the regime might consider allowing moderate figures like Rouhani or Larijani to run. However, with Supreme Leader succession looming, this seems unlikely. Expect a tightly controlled election instead/5

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

5- Iran faces a critical decision in responding. A failure to react could significantly diminish its standing among the resistance axis and expose its forces and commanders to further attacks. However, any response risks broadening the conflict.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

1 year

It‘s a great pleasure to join @ME_Council ‘s esteemed team of experts as a nonresident fellow. I very much look forward to a fruitful collaboration

Middle East Council on Global Affairs

@ME_Council

1 year

We are delighted to welcome Hamidreza Azizi as nonresident fellow at #MECouncil . @HamidRezaAz is an expert in security and geopolitical issues in the #MiddleEast & Central Eurasia, as well as #Iran 's foreign & security policy, and Iran #Russia relations.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

8- Other important questions to consider: Was the US aware of the Israeli plan for the attack, as some claim it was? How will Russia react?

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

2- In fact, the rules of engagement btwn IR and Israel has been changing. In earlier stages, Israel would refrain from targeting IRGC officers - only proxies & arms shipments. Since the Gaza war, a shift was already there to target high ranking Iranian commanders

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

7- Obviously, this time Iran cannot target Erbil, etc, and claim that it has taken the revenge. To save its credibility, Iran feels the need for a direct response. But how and where it would be, is the main question!

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

29 days

It was a long night at @bbcpersian commenting on #Iran ‘s presidential election results ☕️

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

Was just thinking that for the second time in three months, #Iran has attacked the territory of a nuclear-armed state! Crazy times to be an International Relations expert, for sure...

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 months

In this @ForeignPolicy piece, @AliVaez & I discuss how the recent escalation between #Iran and #Israel impacts IR’s strategic thinking. Tehran believes that a regional reordering is underway. The death of #Raisi & his foreign minister won’t change that.

Why Iran Believes It’s Winning Against Israel

Tehran has concluded that a regional reordering is underway. The death of the president and foreign minister won’t change that.

foreignpolicy.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

6- Iran would partly justify the lack of response to prior attacks to the fact that the targets were "Syrian" & Damascus had no intention to respond. Now, the justification doesn't work, as a purely Iranian target has been hit.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

1 year

My latest for @TheNatlInterest : The Rise of an Authoritarian Order in the Middle East Some key arguments in the thread below ⬇️

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

3 months

A bitter joke being circulated in Persian-language social media: For over four dacades, dozens of countries tried to medite between #Iran & the #US . Now, it‘s the US trying to mediate between IR & #Israel !

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

In diesen Tagen sehe ich mir die Videos aus dem Iran an und denke mir: @GolinehAtai hat recht, die Freiheit ist weiblich! #Mahsa_Amini

Golineh Atai

@GolinehAtai

2 years

Die Illustratorin meines Buchs “Iran - die Freiheit ist weiblich” lebt in Iran. Sie hat in diesen Tagen dargestellt, wie Frauen im Lauf der Jahre gegen die Zwangsverschleierung gekämpft haben. Ihre Zeichnung fand sich Stunden später auf einer Wand in Schiraz wieder. #Mahsa_Amini

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

4- The strike on the consulate and the killing of high-ranking officials like Zahedi is also seen as a message to both Iran and Assad's regime in #Syria : Israel's capability and willingness to escalate its response to the presence of Iranian forces in Syria.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

4 months

Told @theipaper that from Tehran's perspective, the risk of further escalation is preferable to a scenario where after a few months, #Israel would feel emboldened to target infrastructures within #Iran , which would absolutely result in a war ⬇️

Iran and Israel 'closer to war than ever' as US predicts missile blitz in hours

'Tehran might be a target,' said an Israeli former national security official

inews.co.uk

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

My latest peer-reviewed article, co-authored with Dr. Amir Hossein Vazirian is now published in Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies⬇️ The Role of Armed Non-State Actors in #Iran ’s #Syria Strategy: A Case Study of Fatemiyoun and Zainabiyoun Brigades

The Role of Armed Non-State Actors in Iran’s Syria Strategy: A Case Study of Fatemiyoun and...

Over the past two decades, there has been a growing tendency among Middle Eastern states to use armed non-state actors (ANSAs) as proxies, making them a constant feature of regional conflicts. Fate...

www.tandfonline.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

20 days

My analysis for @ME_Council on how Masoud #Pezeshkian managed to win #Iran ‘s presidential election and what it means for the country‘s internal political dynamics and foreign policy 👇

The Unlikely Election of Another Reformist in Iran - Middle East Council on Global Affairs

Amid deep public apathy that should have made victory nearly impossible, a snap election has brought to power the not-well-known politician Masoud Pezeshkian. How did it happen?

mecouncil.org

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

یک نفر عزیزان «ارزشی» را توجیه کند آن کشور مسلمان شمال آفریقا که دوست جمهوری اسلامی است، الجزایر است. این مراکش که سنگش را به سینه می‌زنید از سال ۹۷ روابطش را با ایران قطع کرده و از قضا روابط خوبی هم با اسرائیل برقرار کرده است. صرفا جهت اطلاع!

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

So, #Iran finally acknowledges providing #Russia with drones, but still claims that those were only “a few“ and it happened “months before“ the war in #Ukraine . From “no drone at all“ to “no drone to be used in Ukraine“ & now this. I‘m wondeing what‘s next!

Mohammad lotfollahi || محمد لطف‌الهی

@MrMim24

2 years

📽امیرعبداللهیان: این هیاهویی که برخی از کشورهای غربی به راه انداختند که ایران برای کمک به جنگ اوکراین موشک و پهپاد در اختیار روسیه قرار داده؛ 🔻بخش موشکش کاملا غلط است. 🔻بخش پهپادش درست است و ما مقدار معدودی پهپاد، ماه‌ها قبل از جنگ اوکراین در اختیار روسیه قرار دادیم.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

سه سال بعد از انتشار، بالاخره یک نسخه از این کتاب به دستم رسید… «زمینه‌ها، عامل‌ها و پیامدهای تحول در سیاست خاورمیانه‌ای #روسیه»

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

#Iran recently established a drone factory in #Tajikistan . If the Tajiks start using them against #Kyrgyzstan , it would be the second front after #Ukraine where Iranian & Turkish drones are used by opposing parties

Yeghia Tashjian /يغيا/ Եղիա Թաշճեան 🇱🇧🇦🇲

@yeghig

2 years

Turkish Bayraktar operating by #Kyrgyzstan against a military vehicle in #Tajikistan

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

3 months

Joined @BBCWorld ‘s The World Today to discuss #Israel ‘s attack in #Isfahan and the reactions in Tehran ⬇️

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

Iranian Arab singer Mina Deris supports #IranProtests by removing her hijab and singing a famous song by Tunisian singer Lotfi Bouchnak called“Ana Mowaten,“ i.e. I‘m a citizen…

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

It was a pleasure to attend #DOT2022 at @FU_Berlin , where I presented our joint paper with @NilouBaghernia on #Iran - #China partnership and its regional implications. Many thanks to @AFathollahNejad for organizing & moderating the panel!

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

In my latest for @amwajmedia I explain how #Russia ‘s new naval doctrine may impact its relations with #Iran , focusing on three main theatres: #Syria , the Caspian Sea, and the Persian Gulf

Will Russia’s new naval doctrine transform cooperation with Iran?

Russian President Vladimir Putin has approved a new naval doctrine, elaborating Moscow’s maritime strategy. The move was made on July 31, marked as Navy Day in the Russian calendar. The new doctrine...

amwaj.media

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

3 months

Highlights from Khamenei's meeting with military commanders: “The focus on number of missiles fired or those that hit the target… is a secondary and minor issue. The main issue is the emergence of the power and will of the Iranian nation & its armed forces on global stage.”/1

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

6 months

Initial takes on the #IRGC strikes 👇 After the assassination of Rezi Mousavi in #Syria & terrorist attack in Kerman, pressure was mounting on IR to respond, including from within the regime's supporters. Tonight’s dual attacks are claimed to be responses to both incidents ⬇️

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

Iraqi FM says #SaudiArabia & #Iran reached a 10-point MoU during the latest meeting held in Baghdad. “It was agreed to hold the next round of dialogue at the diplomatic level... The Saudi-Iranian dialogue discussed the continuation of ceasefire in #Yemen “

Iraqi FM reveals Iran-Saudi Arabia agreed on a 10-point MoU

Baghdad (IraqiNews.com) – Iraqi Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein revealed today that the Saudi and Iranian sides reached an agreement on a 10-point memorandum of understanding (MoU), during the latest...

www.iraqinews.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

1 year

That moment when you realize you need to think of another job 😅

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

1 year

از عجایب سیاست در #ایران یکی هم این است که همان گروهی که هفت سال پیش با حمله به سفارت #عربستان_سعودی زمینه قطع روابط را فراهم کردند حالا و بعد از تحمیل این همه هزینه، توافق ازسرگیری روابط را شاهکار دیپلماتیک دولت هم‌فکر خود معرفی می‌کنند!

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

" #Iran is a neighbor forever, we cannot get rid of them and they cannot get rid of us," says MBS. He also says Saudi Arabia intends to continue "detailed talks" with Iran in order to reach a satisfactory agreement for both.

Saudi Arabia hopes to reach agreement with Iran - Crown Prince

Saudi Arabia intends to continue "detailed talks" with Iran in order to reach a satisfactory agreement for both, Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman said, while stressing the need for a strong nuclear...

www.reuters.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

3 months

This is significant! Such positions, alongside #Russia ‘s & #China ‘s support for #Iran at UNSC strengthens the belief among IR leaders that their “Look East“ strategy is successful!

Iran Nuances

@IranNuances

3 months

#Russia ’s President Putin: “What happened on the part of #Iran in response to this criminal act [by #Israel ] and in the shadow of the inaction of the UN Security Council, was the best way to punish the aggressor and a manifestation of the tact and rationality of Iran's leaders.”

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

Open competition between #Iran and #Turkey in the military drone market may become an important side-effect of the #Ukraine war

Ukraine's 'Bayraktar' Compared to Russia's New Iran-Supplied Drones

U.S. intelligence officials said last week that Iran might be giving Russia new drones as the U.S. and U.K. continue providing Ukraine military aid.

www.newsweek.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

In this @WarOnTheRocks piece, @NancyEzzeddine and I explore the evolution of #Iran 's "axis of resistance" since the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, taking into account recent developments in Iraq, Lebanon, Yemen & Syria

Iran’s Increasingly Decentralized Axis of Resistance - War on the Rocks

After Iran’s allies lost ground in recent elections in Lebanon and Iraq, international observers began asking whether Tehran’s regional influence was

warontherocks.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

رسانه‌های حکومتی که در رثای شیرین ابوعاقله فلسطینی گلو پاره می‌کردند حالا نظرشان درباره قتل #شیرین_علیزاده ایرانی چیست؟ به خدا که نه در قیل و قالتان صداقت دارید و نه در سکوتتان!

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

IRGC-affiliated Fars News cites Iraqi Sabereen News claiming that the targets in tonight‘s missile strike in #Erbil were“two advanved training centers belonging to #Israel ’s Mossad“…

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

10 months

In our new @SWPBerlin publication, Daria Isachenko and I discuss how the changing geopolitics of the South Caucasus impacts the relationship between #Iran and #Turkey as well as potential implications for the region and the EU ⬇️

Turkey-Iran Rivalry in the Changing Geopolitics of the South Caucasus

The South Caucasus has long been a theatre of Turkish and Iranian cooperation and rivalry. While these two regional powers have historically...

www.swp-berlin.org

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

3 months

It appears the attack was carried out using several drones, not missiles. But this is not necessarily good news for Iran. The use of drones suggests that the attack was likely launched from within #Iran or from the territory of a neighboring country/2

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

6 months

I don‘t see the incident as a deliberate escalation by #Iran . No sign to conclude that Tehran is less risk aversive (of war with US) than before. It‘s probably either a grave miscalculation or a retaliatory move by some #Iraqi militias recently targeted by the US ⬇️

Dalia Dassa Kaye

@dassakaye

6 months

bad news. there have been over 150 attacks on US forces in Iraq and Syria by Iranian backed militias since the start of the Gaza war but so far no deaths (though injuries). US retaliation likely.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

6 months

From Katai‘b Hezbollah‘s statement: “Our brothers In the axis [of resistance] especially in the Islamic Republic do not know how we do Jihad, and they often object to the pressure & escalation against the American occupation forces“ It clearly indicates pressure from #Iran

Steven Nabil

@thestevennabil

6 months

بيان كتائب حزب الله عن ايقاف عملياتها ضد القوات الاميركية: “بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم (كُتِبَ عَلَيْكُمُ الْقِتَالُ وَهُوَ كُرْهٌ لَّكُمْ وَعَسَىٰ أَن تَكْرَهُوا شَيْئًا وَهُوَ خَيْرٌ لَّكُمْ وَعَسَىٰ أَن تُحِبُّوا شَيْئًا وَهُوَ شَرٌّ لَّكُمْ وَاللَّهُ يَعْلَمُ وَأَنتُمْ لَا

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

#Syria ‘s President Bashar al-Assad met with #Iran 's supreme leader Ali Khamenei and President Ebrahim Raisi during a brief visit to Tehran ⬇️

Syria's Assad meets Iran's supreme leader, president

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad met with Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei and President Ebrahim Raisi during a brief visit to Tehran on Sunday, Iranian state television said.

www.france24.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

1 year

In our latest peer-reviewed article, published in @Medit_Politics , @Divsallar and I study the evolution of #Iran ’s approach toward security assistance (SA) since the 1979 Islamic revolution. DM us for free author copies, if you’re interested ⬇️

Towards a non-Western model of security assistance: How Iran assists militaries

With the 1979 revolution, Iran’s Security Assistance (SA) underwent a significant transformation, from fragmented and ideologically-driven support for Islamic movements in the early post-revolution...

www.tandfonline.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

The venue was important in terms of public/international messaging. It was his first reaction to #IranProrests2022 & he chose it to be among the armed forces. It‘s a clear message of IR‘s readiness for escalation ⬇️

Golnaz Esfandiari

@GEsfandiari

2 years

Khamenei made the comments at the graduation ceremony of armed forces where he looked very much alive despite recent rumors about his health.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 months

A few points on the list of candidates in #Iran ’s election 👇 🔹The list of candidates approved by the Guardian Council suggests that, as expected, the Islamic Republic doesn’t want to take even the slightest risk in the election that could potentially challenge the unified

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

It was a pleasure to be on @AlMonitor ‘s podcast “On The Middle East“ and discuss with @amberinzaman various aspects of #Iran ‘s role in #Syria , from its historical background to IR’s relations with #Russia , #Turkey & the Syrian Kurds

Iranian expert Hamidreza Azizi warns failure to revive nuclear deal could trigger escalation agai...

Iran is a longtime ally of Syria's President Bashar al-Assad and, alongside Russia, helped stave off his overthrow at the hands of Sunni rebels backed by Turkey. Little is known about Iran's presence...

www.al-monitor.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

A former IR ambassador to Moscow, Nematollah Izadi, says it appeared there had been no proper cooperation between the military and diplomatic wings of the #Iran |ian state [on delivering drones to #Russia ], possibly leaving the foreign ministry in the dark

Row brews in Iran over use of its drones in Ukraine war by Russia

Conservative cleric and a newspaper editor openly critical of government’s stance on weapons it supplied to Moscow

www.theguardian.com

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

Such a smart startegy! Giving the control of your strategic resources to your main competitor in the market 🤦🏻‍♂️

Abdolrasool Divsallar

@Divsallar

2 years

Iran signed a contract of $40b, the largest investment ever in Iran's oil & gas. Its doubtful if Russia can invest such money. But, Moscow gains control of Iranian resources, can delay return of Iran's oil to the market, & use it as part of energy war against the West.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

چون این موضوع امروز از جانب بیش از یک نفر مطرح شد لازم میدانم توضیح بدهم: من تحلیلگر هستم، نه فعال سیاسی. در مقام تحلیلگر وظیفه خودم میدانم رویکردهای ایدئولوژیک را وارد تحلیلم نکنم و «واقعیات» را تحلیل کنم. اینکه نتیجه کار مطلوب این طرف یا آن طرف باشد برایم هیچ اهمیتی ندارد ⬇️

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

My latest for @amwajmedia on how Muqtada al-Sadr‘s rise in #Iraq may impact #Iran ‘s plans in a wider regional context, including in #Syria

How Sadr’s rise in Iraq will impact Iran in Syria

Four months after Iraq’s parliamentary elections, Shiite cleric and politician Muqtada Al-Sadr is getting closer to his goal of forming a “national majority” government and thereby marginalizing...

amwaj.media

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

3 years

Happy #NewYear2022 from Berlin!

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

2 years

Today was the last day of my @AvHStiftung fellowship at @SWP_MEA . Although #COVID19 & I arrived around the same time in Germany and we all had to do home office for some time, it was an extremely fruitful 27 months. Thank you @AvHStiftung for this life-changing opportunity! ⬇️

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

10 months

IRGC Quds Force commander Esmail Qaani is reportedly in #Syria & has put #Iran -backed militias on full alert. 3 days ago he met with Iraqi militia commanders as well to coordinate potential troop deployment against #Israel 👇

Mostafa Najafi

@Mostafa_Najafii

10 months

سردار اسماعیل قاآنی فرمانده نیروی قدس در سوریه است و به همه گروه های مقاومت آماده باش کامل داده است.سه روز پیش نیز با فرماندهان چند گروه عراقی دیدار و درراستای گسیل نیروها هماهنگی صورت گرفت. اتاق عملیات مشترک در حال حاضر در سوریه در حال رصد تحرکات و آماده فرمان برای اقدام است.

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

1 year

In my latest for @amwajmedia I explore the reasons why #Iran , unlike #Russia & some ME states, does not form or employ PMCs. I point to both strategic rationales & practical reasons for this ⬇️

Why the Quds Force won’t give way to an ‘Iranian Wagner’

The Wagner Group, a Russian private military company (PMC), made headlines around the world in June when it rebelled against Moscow. Led by company chief Yevgeny Prigozhin, the short-lived revolt saw...

amwaj.media

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Hamidreza Azizi

@HamidRezaAz

22 days

Azerbaijan‘s president Aliyev was among the first to congratulate #Pezeshkian ‘s victory, inviting him to Baku. Pezeshkian is an ethnic Azeri and a long-time representative of Tabriz in #Iran ‘s parliament. Interesting to see if this can play a role in bilateral relations.

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