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Dave Schmerler Profile
Dave Schmerler

@DaveSchmerler

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Senior Research Associate, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies @MIIS - Satellite imagery of all things WMD.

Washington, DC
Joined December 2012
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
So Iran tried and failed to launch a satellite today -
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
Images from Kim Jong Un's visit to the Sohae launch facility
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
Iran's space program really does have some issues. @Maxar picked up an image from February 27th showing the results of what is "very likely" a failed space launch attempt.....again 1/2
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 years
Mad props to the anonymous genius who made this
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
"North Korean hacking groups erased your student loans"
@unrooolie
UnRooolie ❼
5 years
What would someone have to whisper in your ear for this to happen?
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
Probable launch location for the recent Hwasong-17 launch
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
New shots of what the North Koreans are calling (Pukgukseong-3) are wild
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 months
Full KCNA image set from the HwasongPho-16 (화성포-16나) 1/5
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
1 year
Some pictures from the recent North Korean cruise missile and underwater "vessel" test - 1/2
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
We didn't get anything as epic as this gem from 2019 but you can see the charring around the pad where the space launcher used to be. Since the Iranians didn't comment on the launch I think its safe to say what the results were
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
seriously
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
For those interested - @wslafoy and I geolocated Kim's visit to 39.957415°, 127.556191° - we feel pretty solid about this one
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
The ultimate take your daughter to work day flex
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
Geolocation for the Iranian missile launch -
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
Fun observation for the day: South Korea moved their rocket launch barge back to its launch location between the 5th - 16th of August. The last time we saw this thing here was on March 30th when they test launched a solid fuel 'space launch vehicle' 6 days after a NK ICBM test
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
I'm just going to point out my image was in color...
@realDonaldTrump
Donald J. Trump
5 years
The United States of America was not involved in the catastrophic accident during final launch preparations for the Safir SLV Launch at Semnan Launch Site One in Iran. I wish Iran best wishes and good luck in determining what happened at Site One.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 years
I caught a really interesting image signature this week that might indicate solid fuel motor testing at North Korea's test stand at Magun-po. These two images are from the 18th and 22nd of September and show a very specific vegetation change oppose the test stand (1/7)
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
. @Joshua_Pollack - the rumor about North Korea's anthrax ICBM wasn't wrong... we were wrong to assume which anthrax
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
I was joking earlier but I guess you can't stop Kim from lighting up...even around solid fuel...
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
Using NIR to confirm the launch location of North Korea's most recent missile test out of Kaechon
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
So Planet just grabbed their first hi-res shot of the Pyongsan uranium mill and it reveals an interesting detail that is helping to better understand the layout of the complex - for more check out this short write up
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 years
New SLBM pics just dropped
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
1 year
Images of Kim Jong Un inspecting the new satellite are in:
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
How was this not done yet
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 years
The South Korean hypersonic looks awfully familiar - much like Carcinisation I wonder BrahMosisation is a trend that will pick up.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
for your viewing pleasure
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
KCNA statement on the test Kim Jong Un just observed
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
11 months
TEL me more about Kim's recent visit to a weapons plant
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
So North Korea just published images of a solid fuel motor test at the Sohae Satellite Launch Complex. The motor is noticeably larger than the only other image of a solid test that they've publish - which occurred on the country's east coast at Magun-po. 1/x
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
New images just dropped of North Korea's recent series of missile tests 1/2 -
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
In what has to be my favorite project since entering this field - I am working on reviewing what we know and can possibly discern about North Korea's uranium mill at Pyongsan - 1/9
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
6 years
For anyone who is curious about what the WS51200 (North Korea's ICBM TEL) looks like at 3 meter res. (date: 04/15/2017)
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
These new Avengers posters are wild
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
11 months
We got an amazing shot of the North Korean military parade from @umbraspace taken at 13:16 UTC! You can see the formations of people in Kim Il Sung Square and the missiles and other weapon systems arrayed along the road to the North. 1/2
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
@GeorgeWHerbert @DerekL1963 @NuclearAnthro @ArmsControlWonk @mhanham for those who don't have time to read the article - I simplified it
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
1 year
North Korea's Towed Underwater Launch Platform (TULP) at Nampo is finally back in the water. 1/6
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
10 months
Doing this on my phone but it sorta looks like they have four larger doors up front with 6 smaller ones in the back - so maybe they're going to use this sub for two different SLBM systems (initial thoughts)
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 months
New missile pic just dropped
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
Great preview for the upcoming parade next week in North Korea (1/2)
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
Pukgukseong-3 likely launched from underwater barge based on this pic -
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
Launch location - 40.611208°, 126.425743°
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
Here is a link to all 42 images posted by KCNA -
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
Here is a link to all 25 images from the Hwasong-12 launch -
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 years
In this weeks episode of adventures at Sinpo, @JosephHDempsey and I figure out where the new North Korean SSB is being built - - featuring a huge hat tip to @ISNJH , two Kim Jong Uns, and outdated construction hall.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
10 images from KCNA on the recent missile, rocket, and artillery test (1/3)
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 years
I was reviewing some missile related sites a while back and stumbled upon what might be another missile engine or motor test stand that we've somehow missed since its construction in 2014 - short write up here
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
11 months
Images from Kim Jong Un's recent round of missile related plant visits 1/3
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
6 years
"baby come back.....you can blame it all on Xi"
@realDonaldTrump
Donald J. Trump
6 years
...Secretary Pompeo looks forward to going to North Korea in the near future, most likely after our Trading relationship with China is resolved. In the meantime I would like to send my warmest regards and respect to Chairman Kim. I look forward to seeing him soon!
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 years
This new test stand burn signature at Shahrud (occurring between 8-16 march 2021) might explain all of the burn pit activity we've seen as of late @ArmsControlWonk @gbrumfiel #PlanetStories
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
6 years
Next time on Storage Wars: Benjamin Netanyahu finds Iran's secret nuclear stuff and a kick ass cd collection
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
Now the question is...who has the better underground missile fortress
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
So it would seem that the North Koreans have been a bit busy at the Kusong Tank Plant as of late - 1/3
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
. @planetlabs just got a hi-res image of the massive construction activity taking place at the Kusong tank factory (where North Korea builds tracked missile launchers) for more info check out:
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
6 years
North Korea is building a monument at the launch site used for the November 28th Hwasong-15 test - and that's not the only place -
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
The resolution on this... 🤩🤩🤩
@realDonaldTrump
Donald J. Trump
5 years
The United States of America was not involved in the catastrophic accident during final launch preparations for the Safir SLV Launch at Semnan Launch Site One in Iran. I wish Iran best wishes and good luck in determining what happened at Site One.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
Solid fuel srbm. That's actually a lot bigger that what we were speculating about.
@aldin_aba
Aldin 🇧🇦
5 years
#NorthKorea released images of tactical ballistic missile tested yesterday.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 years
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
I'm going to dinner (to do normal human things) but before I go this is my best guess so far for the Hyunmoo-too tracked edition. 40.029678, 125.227326
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
9 months
Some interesting activity spotted in connection to North Korea's Experimental Light Water Reactor (ELWR). Planet Labs imagery caught a lot of water discharge on the 12th from an additional discharge location, right next to where discharge was observed sporadically this year. 1/3
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
Question: is the McDollar a early predecessor of Crypto or an NFT? Thanks for the help!
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 years
@AthertonKD
Kelsey D. Atherton
3 years
who called it open source analysis and not the decentralized intelligence agency
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
1 year
Launch location: 35.230957°, 54.033961° (about 7.6 km east of the big pad at IKSLC) Reference video: Working on processing a recent SkySat to proof the back view shots which I'll add via comment to this post.
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@inbarspace
Tal Inbar
1 year
Iran unveiled "Khoramshahr-4" ballistic missile, with a range of 2000 km and warhead weight of 1500 kg. Note the fins at the base of the missile - ad not on the RV as previously seen. The missile is liquid propelled, and is another variant of the North Korean HS-10.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
Pictures from the Hwasong-12 launch are out -
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
Scene from the Pentagon briefing room looks wild
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
Quick look at the imagery on screen looks pretty similar to 39.641219°, 125.678303° (which would be near Anju)
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@alistaircoleman
Alistair Coleman
2 years
And here come the higher def images. Note the ashtray and packet of cigs for the respected General Secretary.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
Fun fact - you can ID the barge used in the recent Hyunmoo-2 missile test if you look up the IMO# seen in the video - 1/2
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
So @ArmsControlWonk and I spotted some interesting construction activity at North Korea's main space launcher center as of late.
@NPR
NPR
4 years
North Korea appears to be expanding a key rocket launch facility it once pledged to dismantle, according to new satellite imagery shared exclusively with NPR.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
1 year
6 days later...the speed at which North Korea can build something, when they really want to, always amazes me
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
1 year
In addition to the work observed at the Sohae launch pad - they have also built a large concrete pad 2.65km to the southeast of the primary launch site - its still a bit early to say its another launch pad but at the present I don't have a better alternative explanation. 1/2
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
We made a great video on #NorthKorea 's SLBM activity at Sinpo - - possibly unrelated but for context
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
As @ArmsControlWonk says: We’re practicing invading them; they are practicing nuking us. 5/5
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
I guess you're famous now @ArmsControlWonk
@Tasnimnews_Fa
خبرگزاری تسنیم 🇮🇷
4 years
جفری لوئیس پژوهشگر آمریکایی: هدف ایران خطا نرفت، این ساختمان‌ها به درستی و بادقت مورد هدف قرار گرفته شده‌اند #IranAttacks
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
I've got an idea 1/2
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
This is the absurd value of daily satellite imagery!
@ArmsControlWonk
Dr. Jeffrey Lewis
5 years
Our friends at @planetlabs got a shot of a North Korean short-range ballistic missile just after launch at 10:54 am local time. @DaveSchmerler found it.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
Looks like North Korea finally got around to finishing work on the submarine training center - short write up here:
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
Fun fact: The recent South Korean missile test location is right next to a driving range and golf course - 37.753594°, 128.966159°
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 months
Huge congrats to @var_ya_da_yok for being the first to ID the general location of the new space launch center Iran is building near Chabahar. The image presented of the hangar (or check out building) is at the location they labeled as #2 (1/3)
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@var_ya_da_yok
Ersin
2 months
• Batı Asya'nın en büyük uzay üssü olacak Çabahar Uzay merkezinin konumu ve son durumu Uzun arayışlar sonucu inşa aşamasında olan Çabahar uzay üssünün yerini saptayabildim. (Google henüz bölgenin uydu görüntüsünü güncellemediği için Sentinel düşük çözünürlük kullanıldı.)
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
Will talk more about this tomorrow but North Korea has been building a new concealment structure at their SLBM site on their east coast (Sinpo)
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
Illinois...so bad it can't even go to hell
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
1 year
Geolocation for North Korea's latest SRBM test ( 38.875223°, 125.926715°) Video -
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 years
Yongbyon seems to be pretty active lately. All of this on top of signatures of activity at the U02 production building starting yesterday and visible today.
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@ArmsControlWonk
Dr. Jeffrey Lewis
3 years
North Korea appears to be expanding the size of the uranium enrichment plant at Yongbyon by about 25 percent. @DaveSchmerler , @Joshua_Pollack and I think this may relate to growing weapons requirements for highly-enriched uranium.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
It's a party bus!...get it...signing off now
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
If you are interested in learning more about the Hwasong-12 @NTI_WMD has a great 3D model here
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
Holy fucking shit .... This is beyond absurd.... Unacceptable and totally bullshit!
@BillGertz
Bill Gertz
5 years
@mhanham Melissa, please tell me something that is not the view from inside your rectum.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
@WebSorber @TheWarOfNow @GreatPoppo Saw this last night - they are talking about this site - 39.142246°, 125.766713° - we Geolocated a Kim visit there
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
"...a caterpillar self-propelled launching pad vehicle and ballistic rocket with the precision control guidance system."Sounds familiar👇
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
Hwasong-15?
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
1 year
An interesting observation about this North Korean missile silo reveal (of sorts) is the way they staged Kim's walk through the woods on his way to inspect the silo. They never showed the silo, but I want to walk through it for those that missed it. 1/7
@dex_eve
Decker Eveleth
1 year
North Korea has launched an SRBM from a recently dug silo at the Sohae Space Launch Center. Some important implications:
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
@A_raefipur @ArmsControlWonk @fab_hinz @nktpnd That image you posted is from 2019....as it says in the image. This image is Feb 27, as its annotated in the image...
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
3 years
Interested in some possible missile test forecasting for your afternoon read? I have some thoughts on a strange looking boat "recently" parked at Mayang-do -
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
1 year
Launch location - 38.90725° N, 125.43990° E
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@nknewsorg
NK NEWS
1 year
BREAKING: Kim Jong Un's daughter joined him for the "Hwasong Artillery" launches as well, which appeared in photos released by state media Friday to involve the launch of at least 6 short range ballistic missiles at once. More @nknewsorg soon.
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
1 year
2/2
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
The recent space launch by South Korea was done off of a Jack-up barge @ArmsControlWonk and I ID'd in 2017. Its been camped next to Tol-som since early this month (here is an image from the 6th at its launch location) -
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
North Korean missile test pics are up on Rodong 1/3
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
5 years
Little Thread on North Korea's recent construction activity at the Sinpo South Naval Shipyard
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
Oh my
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
2 years
geolocation for the recent NK ICBM test (39.22168° N, 125.67428° E)
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@GalloVOA
William Gallo
2 years
North Korean state media pictures of Kim Jong Un attending Friday's launch of the Hwasong-17 ICBM:
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
4 years
No...
@JerryFalwellJr
Jerry Falwell
4 years
Could COVID-19 be the “Christmas Gift” North Korea's leadership promised America back in December?
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@DaveSchmerler
Dave Schmerler
7 years
The full KCNA statement in English is finally up -
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