We’re seeing harmful populist policies proposed from both parties.
Usual big open letters of economists are signed in support/opposing a single candidate.
Would be great to have a big joint open letter against bad populist policies on all sides.
#EconTwitter
Price controls are bad, tariffs are bad, labor mobility restrictions are bad.
Minor, nitpicky caveats may be rarely considered once you understand the basic lesson
@MarioNawfal
In any honest analysis, you must compare IDF’s response w/ other militaries under similar circumstances.
If you look at all the actions IDF has taken to minimize casualties (dropping leaflets, escorting civilians etc), Israel compares favorably to most countries.
@MarioNawfal
It's important that we blame Hamas for creating this conflict.
If you want the bloodshed to stop, then call on Hamas to release the hostages and surrender.
My turn to learn the new
#DiD
literature.
I estimated tried as many relevant methods as I could find on two (simple) DGPs.
All
#STATA
code here:
#EconTwitter
what did I miss? (1/n)
Are you aware that
@amazon
has been hiring one of the largest teams of PhD economists in the world?
If economists are useless, why does
@amazon
(& other tech firms) keep hiring more of them?
Advice to a university president.
In ~40 years in finance I've never see anyone hire an economist. We hire electrical engineers, quants, physicists...
The MD heals patients, the engineer builds bridges, the economist writes papers (used by other economists to write papers).
Is there any “context” in which calling for the genocide of an entire people, whether Jews, Blacks, or gays is acceptable?
Of course not!
I can’t believe we’re even having this discussion…
One of the most insane video from the US since the war started…
Presidents of the University of Pennsylvania
@Penn
&
@Harvard
smilingly say that calling for genocide of Jews isn’t necessarily against their code against harassment & bullying on campus
For my 35th bday I made a video about my fav technique:
Synthetic Control Method in 15 minutes: how non-causal ML can improve causal inference
via
@YouTube
Yes I’m in Ukraine right now
Yes everyone warned me it’s dangerous
Yes I know it was stupid
Yes I’m a bit scared
Yes I love this country
Don’t ask why I’m here, you won’t understand
If Israel is trying to commit genocide, then why are they escorting the target of the genocide away from the place where said genocide is being committed?
Thousands of Palestinians are evacuating to the south of Gaza through a humanitarian corridor set up by Israel.
Anyone seen Hamas set up a humanitarian corridor for their people? Of course not.
Even Palestinian Authority leader Abbas says Hamas uses ambulances to escape fighting and hides under mosques.
Why don’t most demonstrators accuse Hamas of war crimes?
Hold on, forget about what
#Israel
said tonight. Focus on what the head of the Palestinian Authority said before: 'The
#Hamas
leaders – and I say this for the first time – fled
#Gaza
to the Sinai in ambulances, leaving their people behind.' Did he say that Hamas terrorists used
@BenSpielberg
1 Hamas controlled Gaza Health Ministry doesn’t distinguish between civilians & terrorists. How do you know any civilians were killed?
2 if you cared about Gaza civilians you’d blame Hamas for using them as human shields
Comparing terrorism with a military effort to stop it is like comparing poison (intended to harm) to medicine (harms as a side effect)!
Hamas intends to kill civilians.
Israel intends to kill Hamas.
Zero moral equivalence
Protesting is fine. Encouraging protest is fine.
It's just NOT genocide.
Genocide is an intentional Hamas led perversion of the word.
It IS war and it IS horrific and it IS war directly caused by Hamas terrorists attacking and raping and murdering 1,000+ and dragging 200
I wish the world understood this.
Hamas’ founding charter (article 7) calls for killing Jews everywhere.
Criticizing 🇮🇱 is fine.
But there is no path to peace if Hamas remains armed & in power.
Yes “both sides” are pursuing “maximalist” demands.
The Israelis demand Hamas stop killing Jews and return the ones they’ve taken.
Hamas demands all the Jews die.
The NYT folks.
My fam is from 🇺🇦 and my first language is 🇷🇺.
I’m devastated by Putin’s savage destruction.
I’m touched by the 🌍 support.
I strongly oppose boycotts of 🇷🇺 scholars. They are counterproductive.
If you boycott scholars bco their nationality/ethnicity then boycott me too.
Experts who advise the White House are serving their country, not the president.
We should want the president to have the best possible advisors, regardless if we disagree.
Regardless that presidents choose which advice to follow/ignore.
It is painfully embarrassing that
"The list of economists who've said they will willingly serve under Trump is the least impressive list of economists in history."
Trump's going to make up policy on the fly, and he doesn't have a remotely competent econ team. No serious Republican economist will work with him.
There is video evidence & multiple reports of Hamas refusing to allow civilians in northern Gaza to evacuate.
Why don’t pro-Palestine protesters blame Hamas for any of the Palestinian deaths?
Civilians with white flags trying evacuate from northern Gaza but are immediately fired upon by Hamas terrorists.
These are the people that are defended by those protesters out marching every Saturday in London, Berlin and Washington D.C.
Just tried the estimators on
@causalinf
@grant_mcdermott
etc "Baker.dta" & I get pretty much the same thing ... (PS: I didn't make the graphs pretty this time, gotta get better
@borusyak
event_plot...)
I can upload code on Github repo if there is a demand 1/n
Man I wrote this in basically one sitting. It took me like 2.5 hours, but I think it turned okay. I like the way it sounds. I'm pretty pleased. It's a nice companion I think to that earlier Sun and Abraham substack I did that had an interview w/ Sun
BREAKING:
Tanzania announces that 22-year-old Clemens Matanga, a Tanzanian citizen, has been found dead in Gaza by the Israeli Army
He’s the 4th hostage killed while kidnapped
He recently arrived in Israel to study agriculture at university. He wanted to help his family
🇹🇿🇮🇱
NEW: 13 federal judges say they will no longer hire clerks from Columbia Law School OR Columbia College after the university allowed an encampment on its lawn to spiral into a destructive occupation of a campus building.
This is the first clerkship boycott to hit undergrads.🧵
I said this when Russian scholars were being boycotted, I’ll repeat this as Israeli scholars are being boycotted.
If you boycott ANYONE because of their nationality or ethnicity, then boycott me too.
Here is a Penn faculty member promoting and supporting the Columbia terror-sympathisers. Once again, as much as the Axis of Evil wants to act United, the Allied Powers, beacons of truth, and protectors of American values are stronger than ever.
In Judaism, the tradition of lighting candles teaches us The Power of Light.
A small flame 🔥 has the power to light up a large dark room.
#PowerOfLight
Always a privilege to attend a talk by Tom Sargent!
“It is very hard to read, it is only in words” and “You should only read it after you are 5 years older than I am”, about the General Theory by Keynes.
.
@united
airlines lost my luggage BOTH WAYS from San Diego to Santiago.
Dear
@united
please do better!!!
Arriving on a ski trip without equipment or even a winter jacket, is a horrible way to start…
@joelpollak
@pearcort
@BreitbartNews
They’re not “pro-Palestinian”, if that were true they’d call for Hamas to release the hostages & surrender.
They just “anti-Israel”
Lucas’s project to reform macro was clearly a success b/c all the phd programs changed their macro syllabi to study models w/ micro foundations.
His main contribution was more about HOW we think about macro, not WHAT we think…
OK, something that isn't about the d*** c*******. Obituaries have acknowledged his brilliance and huge influence, all of which is true. But I think it's important to realize that his project to reform macroeconomics was a failure 1/
@timurkuran
Israel withdrew its military from Gaza.
Gazans responded by electing Hamas (by charter seeks the destruction of Israel AND Jews everywhere).
How can you honestly say Israel has a partner for peace?
The truth is you can’t.
But why did the British pledge to create a home for Jewish people in Mandatory Palestine?
Hint: it’s bco something that happened long before 1917.
Go to Israel & dig the soil, you will find coins & scrolls w/ Hebrew writing (and of course other languages & cultures)
A History Lesson
No, governor
@JoshShapiroPA
, the conflict has not been going for "thousands of years". It started theoretically in 1917 with a British Colonial promise and, practically, in the 1930s.
Why can’t more open letters be in solidarity with those who want to live in peace?
And against Hamas?
Instead of tribal/ideological solidarity with one side…
🧵1/5
Open Letter: The Responsible AI Community in Solidarity with Gaza and Palestine
Sign on and Share (list of signatories will be updated once a day):
Renana Jacob from Kibbutz Nir-Oz, whose two sons, Or (16) and Yagil (12), were kidnapped, created an animated short film that describes her last phone call with them. "Don't take me, I'm just a child", were the last words she heard them say to the Hamas terrorists who broke into
Housing is unaffordable bc we don’t have enough supply.
Housing subsidies will increase demand, but will NOT lower the cost of housing!
We need to BUILD MORE!!!!
Comparing
terrorism to
a military response to stop it
is like comparing
poison (intended to kill) to
medicine (intended to treat, but harms as a side effect)
I absolutely love this by Bob Lucas on schools of thought in economics:
"When you are in the middle of doing research it's a paper-by-paper, problem-by-problem kind of thing. You don't say 'I am a school and here is what my school is going to do'."
One reason I ‘retired’ from debating was the day that I had a winning argument that was -provably- true, but the proof was impossible to convey without 20 minutes and a whiteboard.
Observation:
My Liberal friends hate
@elonmusk
, but not enough to stop driving
@Tesla
My conservative friends love
@elonmusk
, but not enough to start driving
@Tesla
(1/n) I'm writing a
@JuliaLanguage
package that aims to implement as many
#SyntheticControl
models & inference methods as possible. Currently I have 8 methods. Please let me know what I missed. Here are 95% CIs from all 8 methods from a work in prog
Do you wanna learn how to make beautiful visualizations w/
#JuliaLang
?
Check out "Interactive Visualization and Plotting with Julia" by
@diegojavierzea
2:
#EconTwitter
why does the CDLZ stacked regression keep giving biased estimates? Did I miss some special option in the implemented command?
3:
@TDeryugina
here is a simulated data w/ negative
@agoodmanbacon
weights...
4: STATA code at repo:
@mattyglesias
I don’t like the way “Zionism” is used. Israel already exists. “Anti-Zionism” would’ve been relevant before 1948.
Now, if you oppose the existence of Israel, you are “Anti-Israel”. The only way that’s possible is a Genocide of Israeli Jews
I wish more ppl understood this paradigm that young people are being taught:
Ppl w/ less money/power/darker skin are automatically being oppressed
In this paradigm even the atrocities of Oct 7 are justified bc they were committed by “oppressed” against “oppressors”
NYT Columnist and Duke Professor Frank Bruni says that college students viewing the world through an oppressor vs. oppressed paradigm has led them to advocating for Hamas and not even stopping to learn about what happened in Israel on October 7.
"A lot of college students in
If we really care about Palestinian civilians & protecting Israel from Hamas why can’t the US pressure Egypt to make a temporary refugee camp for Gazans in the Sinai?
Two birds, one stone…
My trip to 🇺🇦 last week made me really appreciate life in 🇺🇸 without rocket sirens, blackouts, and bomb shelters.
Very easy to take living in peace for granted.
When we go sleep in Ukraine, we don’t know if we wake up
When we go to work in Ukraine, we don’t know if we come back
When we wake up to see another day in Ukraine, we know we are blessed
Russia is a terrorist that must be stopped