Partner @ Slingshot Strategies, lead strategist
@blueprint_2024
, National Popular Vote, all things NY politics, formerly New Deal Strategies / States Project
How is Harris's foray into media interviews going? Very well!
@blueprint_2024
is out with a new poll:
✔️Every clip from Vice President Harris’s interviews with CNN and 6ABC is viewed positively by at least 6/10 voters
✔️Every clip moves support toward
This 33-year-old Democrat is betting that Texas voters are angry enough over last year's deadly blackouts to elect a Democrat statewide for the first time in three decades. # via
@HuffPostPol
Trump, per audio: “When you are Democrat, you start off essentially at 40 percent because you have civil service, you have the unions and you have welfare And don’t underestimate welfare. They get welfare to vote."
"Yang entered the night as the most experienced debater -- and it showed... Yang turned to Morales & asked if she thought direct financial aid to the poorest NYers was a good idea. It was a clever turn -- Morales said she did."
NYT headline is catchy, but this is something Andrew has talked himself. He saw firsthand that poverty is nearly unsurmountable barrier to job creation. Last yr, AY argued that direct cash relief could catalyze job/small biz creation. This yr, Stockton proved him right.
New Yorkers have a clear choice: Andrew Yang, a cash relief visionary, or Eric Adams, a gun-toting Republican celebrated by the likes of Tucker Carlson
Interesting that
@AndrewYang
didn't ask a question of
@ericadamsfornyc
. You would think he would go after the other front-runner. Clearly, the strategy here is to "stay above the fray," come out unscathed.
Backdrop to this poll...Congress passed a $1.9 B stimulus: it's most popular provision is a once "radical" idea Andrew mainstreamed and is now supported by over 70% of NYers
Had fun chatting Haley voters with
@danpfeiffer
. These voters are up for grabs. If we show them their more natural home in the D party, they vote with us, and we win
@Blueprint_2024
Pollercoaster: Can Biden Win Haley Voters? via
@YouTube
"Asians are seeing themselves in the news for the most painful of reasons. But with
@iammcjin
, you have an iconic Asian American hip hop artist showing optimism, vibrancy, and a path to the future." -
@AndrewYang
in an email to volunteers
I hope every member of
@NYCCouncil
takes a step outside today to see how city life is emanating from outdoor dining before they hand community boards veto power...
@AndrewYang
: "If the city cannot stop shootings in Times Square, one of the most policed neighborhoods in our city, what does that say about what’s happening in Black & brown communities throughout our city...hope begins with safety"
"The SoHo rezoning really shows that land-use politics are changing,” said William Thomas,
@OpenNYForAll
executive director. “Even just a few years go it was seen as politically impossible to rezone these very wealthy neighborhoods.”
"Yang, himself a public school parent, made school reopening a central issue & theme of his campaign and identified the obstacles standing in the way of a full reopening...with a refreshing honesty that resonated w/ frustrated parents"
NEW: 11:00 AM --
@AndrewYang
will address media regarding the targeted mass shooting in Atlanta last night that left 8 dead, including 6 Asian Americans. Times Square Steps.
The power of single issue voters in
@PatRyanUC
race:
-$1M raised in 6 weeks, 40% came in week following Dobbs
- 3 largest grassroots donor days all occurring post Dovbs
- & we did it all in 6 wks, outpacing
@marcmolinaro
9 month total
"Texans deserve a railroad commission that doesn’t compromise the health and well-being of people in its support of business interests, and
@LukeWarfordTX
offers an exciting vision to take care of people and keep Texas energy strong."
I'm old enough to remember last April, when the federal government gave Americans ~$4.60 a day ("stimulus check 1") and kept at least 12.5M people out of poverty.
.
@scottmstringer
jumped in to say he's "crunched the
#s
" on Yang's plan & it would be just $5/day, not enough for ppl to recover, calls it "very little money."
@AndrewYang
says that's easy for Stringer to say, but people living in poverty can really use a couple hundred $/month.
If it doesn’t build more housing, fast, New York will soon shut out young, working-class and middle-class people. Only the wealthiest will remain, along with NIMBY holdouts sprinkled across the city.
Here’s
@AndrewYang
‘s final pitch in the hard-to-read NYC Dem mayoral race. He’s the change guy.
Once the frontrunner, he’s fallen back a bit but with new ranked-choice voting system, he’s in the hunt.
Alison Esposito's campaign paid for parking by her Manhattan apartment - but she's running in
#NY18
in the Hudson Valley. The Republican's campaign said it'll reverse the charges. Dem Rep. Pat Ryan calls her "Upper East Side Alison."
We've been largely overlooked or minimized in the media coverage, but a reminder that two of the most senior voices on this campaign are women with long histories of fighting for progressive candidates and causes. I see you
@ahujie
.
Decision Desk HQ projects Pat Ryan (D) is the winner of the special election for U.S. House District 19 in New York, defeating Marc Molinaro (R)
#DecisionMade
: 11:32pm EDT
Follow more results here:
"They’re moving to places where they can save money on housing and those housing savings really dwarf any tax differential."
Housing costs drive New Yorkers out of state, report finds - Gothamist
"The appetite for big solutions to big problems feels especially acute right now...Post-pandemic New Yorkers are desperate for the city to reassert its indispensability and verve." Great story from
@AnnieLowrey
"In one of the most pro-choice districts in America, we need a fighter for our rights."
fantastic
@CarlinaRivera
interview with
@chelseynsanchez
On the other hand, NY10 can elect
@CarlinaRivera
, who created the country's first in the national municipal abortion fund and has made medical abortion free in NYC
"As an African-American woman who grew up on Long Island, New York’s decades-old housing crisis is deeply intertwined with my own life story." A must read op-ed from
@Asia_The_Truth
@OpenNYForAll
Albany pols are keeping their eyes closed, pretending the housing crisis isnt really happening.
@maragay
isn't letting them. Awesome piece that gives voice to the housing silent majority (yes, even in the ‘burbs) ready for actual solutions
1. too bad voters will miss
@benyt
smart/fresh column b/ of pull quote tweet tsunami. 2. Orrr be a vessel full of bullshit + make policy to comfort political pals, not improving lives? Is this better. DM me. 3) From our poll of likely D primary voters and the new tat on my neck.
In past
@Blueprint_2024
polling, we’ve found that the most effective attacks against Trump are those that paint him as serving the interests of corporations and the rich at the expense of the middle class. The best message, selected 66% of the time? “Donald Trump would let
CBS News asked the campaigns of the eight leading Dems if they'd accept the results of the election if the 1st round leader didn’t end up winning. Six said yes. McGuire and Adams did not respond.
Why are they silent on accepting a free and fair election?
FACT CHECK:
@AndrewYang
spoke for a total of 12 minutes and 31 seconds in
#NY1Debte
tonight and said the word "like" a mere five times. Hardly at all.
But in the
@nytopinion
interview he said "like" 86 times.
What was it people were saying about his verbal crutches @ NYT?
@PatRyanUC
: "This race is the first competitive Congressional election in a post-Roe world, and will be a national referendum on whether women have the right to control their own bodies." Good
@AndrewSolender
write up on the stakes - and oppty - in NY-19
As a NYer who spends a lot of time, personally and professionally, thinking about how to solve a housing crisis that is holding back our city and almost everyone I know, I am truly giddy at the prospect of sending unabashed pro-housing champions to Albany like
@ryderkessler
.
Today, as the SoHo/NoHo rezoning passes the City Council, we would like to take a moment to thank all our members and friends who helped us break so decisively with the past, along with
@CMCarlinaRivera
,
@CM_MargaretChin
, and
@VickiBeen
, who deserve special credit.
New York would be the first state to explicitly provide protection in the State Constitution against sex discrimination for a person's pregnancy, pregnancy outcome, and reproductive autonomy, as well as their access to reproductive health care.
Exhibit number “I’ve lost count at this point” that we need to build more housing. We can start by making federal funds contingent on changing zoning laws.
"There's a broad consensus that we have a really big problem on our hands, right?"
@annemariegray
said. "So it comes down to exactly which solutions we can really pass soon."
New York’s Suburbs Now Have Better Transit. So How About Some More Housing?
Republicans have been running this ad since Harris got into the race. This new one is just an updated version. There are very good ways D ad makers can respond:
SCOOP: Republicans are planning to spend heavily to promote a clip of Vice President Harris saying on ABC's "The View" that there's "not a thing" she would have done differently over the past four years than President Biden.
This is fantastic politics from the Harris campaign. Back in June,
@Blueprint_2024
tested a very similar idea, and it was a homerun. Which makes sense as the issue most frequently seen as “most important” to addressing inflation was bringing down grocery prices (55% of voters
@CarlinaRivera
: "This is a very highly-engaged district...they look at their congressional members, their representatives, as very local positions. They want someone who is going to understand what's going on in their streets and on their block."
Truly fantastic piece
@MaraGay
details the predictable outrage from the suburbs to more "housing".
@OpenNYForAll
's new Westchester chapter is taking on this fight against those opposed to progress.
Whoa. A NJ political consultant hired people to murder a guy. Ray Lesniak, whom Caddle worked for a lot, said he talked to Caddle earlier today. He didn't mention he was about to plead guilty to murder for hire.
"This change in New York politics is part of a nascent but promising movement. As rents rise, the anti-development sentiment that once dominated Democratic politics is giving way to calls to build more housing, fast."
Some professional news:
I’m excited to join the talented team at Slingshot Strategies along with
@Jeff___Coote
. I’ll continue to post bad, inscrutable clunkers on here during this new chapter.
Best ad overall was a contrast spot on reproductive freedom. This ad moves overall voter preference by 3.5 points toward Harris and 9.2 points with independents.
With independents, contrast ads and positive Harris ads can move the horse race by nearly 11 points in Harris’s favor. This contrast healthcare spot had a +10.7 preference effect) with these voters
In my first race, my opponent had millions to spend — just like Carlina's does now.
But deep community ties are worth more. That's what our grassroots movement is built on, and what
#TeamCarlina
exemplifies.
Missed the
#Cami
ónDeCarlina? There's time to join the team!
#CR10in10
Anyone who's spent +3 preps thinking about NYCs overlapping crises knows: when these radical activists say "more community input" they really mean "freeze NY in time"
NYC, we simply don't have time for politicians empowering a clear minority committed to unworkable status quo
“Whatever happened to that nice
@AndrewYang
? The guy riding rollercoasters and stuff,”
@ericadamsfornyc
says at this rally. “You’re going to see these candidates, show who they really are”
Siri... google "momentum"
"A new poll of the 10th Congressional District from progressive firm
@DataProgress
has New York City Council Member Carlina Rivera leading the Democratic primary field with 17% of likely voters’ support."
"Political violence is rising across the country, and Colin Schmitt has proven that he will not stand up against it,”
@chriswalsh1754
said"
New York GOP House candidates Rep. Nicole Malliotakis and Colin Schmitt have ties to Jan. 6 rally attendees