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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

NCAA’s Best Shooter by Zone (min 6 games charted)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Who Takes Good Shots And Who Has Good Shooters: The NCAA landscape of shot selection & shooting ability Representative teams from each "quadrant" - @ZagMBB , @IndianaMBB , @NUMensBball , & 😬 @KentuckyMBB (and yeah... I 👀 you @umichbball )

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Who takes the deepest 3’s in college basketball? Here are the country’s top long-range bombers, plotted by long attempts per game v. % of their 3’s that are long

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Who Takes Good Shots And Who Has Good Shooters? (updated bc there were no charted games yesterday) Representatives: @ZagMBB , @IndianaMBB , @GTMBB , @KentuckyMBB Welcome to the #ChartParty (tm @jon_bois ) @RamblersMBB !!! I'm working on an opponent-adjusted version of this too...

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

7 months

The big debate is over the 4th 1-seed: How do @Vol_Hoops and @UNC_Basketball stack up? If we go beyond the poorly-constructed Quad system & look at how hard the games actually are, UNC has a slight edge in the hardest games (<40%) and all games <60% Work w/ @dadgumboxscores

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

2 years

Who is your Pool Picking? 🚨FINAL Update🚨 Comparing ESPN Tourney Challenge data w/ "true" odds reveals the best teams to leverage in your bracket picks! In the first round Creighton, Utah St, & Boise St are values IU, TCU, & NC State are over-picked 🧵continues below...

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

5 years

Which teams take the best shots? And which have the best shooters? Here are the best shooting teams across both metrics, gleaned from #ncaahoopR shot location data

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

NCAA rivalry top-25 matchups all-time, in plot form Tomorrow UNC-NCState will move back into their long-occupied 2nd place (cc @TheRealJaiKumar and thanks to @awaytoworthy for the original stat!) *I don’t know who is 4th/5th but these others seemed relevant

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

7 months

It is time to talk about Team Resume v. Strength A stronger team would be favored in a neutral court matchup, a team with a better resume will likely get a better seed In #MarchMadness2024 you want your team to face over-seeded teams (above the line) work w/ @dadgumboxscores

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Who To Avoid In #MarchMadness ? The bracket is seeded by résumé not strength, here is a guide for the worst matchups by seed using @kenpomeroy adjEM: Gonzaga, Houston, & Loyola are to be dodged; Kansas, Mizzou, OK St, & Oregon St targeted (seeds via @totally_t_bomb )

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

Coby White had another excellent "hair back" game as @UNC_Basketball ran past @GTMBB , here's an updated Hair Chart As whimsical as this chart is, I think it clearly shows progress; almost all of his "hair back" games are better shooting than the "hair out" ones #CobyCoif

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

@MDKnight2016 @jasonrmcintyre these numbers aren't in a vacuum - Michigan's got one of the country's lowest foul (committed) rates (37th - 25.3) and one of FSU's prior opponents, UNCG, has the 333rd foul drawn rate (23.7) UM's defense is based on not fouling, and FSU's 1st rd opponent doesn't draw fouls 🤷

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

2 years

The 2023 @UNC_Basketball offense (diamond) is the best-performing Carolina offense to shoot this poorly from 3 since 2008 - doing it by limiting TO's & generating FT's If the 3pt shooting comes online, things could really 🚀 (h/t @totally_t_bomb 's site for the chart)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

The 5th Factor All-Big 12 Shooters Here are the best Value*Volume Big 12 shooters (so, uh, yeah, sup Bears): @BaylorMBB Jared Butler (SOY) Bears' MaCio Teague Bears' Davion Mitchell @OSUMBB Cade Cunningham

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

2 years

Headed into Charlottesville tonight, RJ Davis has found his shooting form for @UNC_Basketball In the last 3 games he's 5/6 at the rim and 9/18 from 3 (favoring the elbows), adding 4.1 points per game over an average shooter

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

3 years

Who do you want to see across the bracket? ***UPDATED Sunday PM*** The committee seeds by resume, not strength so on #SelectionSunday you want to be facing teams below the line (AdjEM via @kenpomeroy ) Watch out for the Bruins, Cougs, Catamounts, & Islanders!

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

2 years

How Bad are Quadrants? - 2023 Edition @SethBurn has calculated the odds of a bubble team win for each of the 155 Q1 & Q2 opportunities almost HALF of the "Q1 wins" are easier than a game at Villanova (Q2) & OVER half of the Q2 wins are harder than beating ORU (Q1)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

5 years

Why Are Quadrants Bad? 1) Almost *HALF* of Q2 games are harder than the easiest Q1 game (home/away only), same for Q3>Q2 2) These biases aren’t random, based on the Feb 21 NET the Big East gets to fatten up on very easy Q2 games (thx @SethBurn for data sharing & win odds)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

3 years

It’s OK to admit you’re just writing a story for the clicks.

For The Win

@ForTheWin

3 years

It's OK to admit you're secretly rooting for Coach K to win it all in his final season.

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

There's been an upset on every seed line, except #1 2 Ohio State 3 Texas 4 UVA/Purdue 5 Tenn 6 BYU/SDSU 7 Clemson/UConn 8 UNC

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

UNC has missed 16 shots UNC has 14 offensive rebounds 88%OR

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

2 years

You may be hearing a lot about this "WAB"... what is it exactly?!? Here's my attempted explainer, I hope folks find it useful, and apologies in advance for the math on a Friday afternoon 🤓 (also - h/t to @totally_t_bomb 's site where I got the data)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

2 years

Who do you want to see across the bracket? The bracket is seeded by resume so there is usually imbalance - you want to avoid teams above the line & face ones below it Combining @kenpomeroy 's AdjEM & data here's a final look at "Seed Strength"

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

It is no secret that Coby White has been @UNC_Basketball 's most pleasant surprise this season, his skill & energy on the court have been off the charts His hair isn't bad either and in today's #PreWeekendPlot I break down his season by hairstyle, visually of course #CobyCoif

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

2 years

The ACC is Down, Bad The ACC's bracketology problem is coming at both ends: no legit contender on top & the bottom of the league is real bad Compared to 2014-2019 averages this year's top ACC team (blue line) would be 7th, the 10th team (green): 14th (h/t @totally_t_bomb #'s)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Biscuits?

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Who Takes Good Shots And Who Has Good Shooters? (with logos!) Representatives: @ZagMBB , @SMUBasketball , @WVUhoops , @KentuckyMBB Zags really leading the pack here, with other offensively inclined teams ( @BluejayMBB , @BaylorMBB & @umichbball ) showing similar shooting patterns

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

@dadgumboxscores @kenpomeroy I keep harping on this, but Duke & UNC are staring down the barrel of a Final Four/Nat'l Champ-level pair of games (if UVA wins) It is highly likely that the teams that make the Final Four won't have played a single game as hard as the ACC Semis/Finals, much less 2 in 2 days

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

How many points is a shot worth? Broken down by 1'x1' square, for every shot I've tracked the last two years (n = 103,078)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

3 years

If you wanna get DEEP into the X's & O's of the @UNC_Basketball / @MarquetteMBB First Round matchup I *cannot* recommend @bgeis_bird 's write-up for @ACCSports highly enough Great video clips as always and spot-on takes 👏👏👏

Scouting Report: How will UNC defend Marquette & Justin Lewis? - ACCSports.com

UNC gets set to take on Marquette, one of the best defensive teams in the country, led by star combo forward and NBA prospect Justin Lewis

accsports.com

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

A la @kirkgoldsberry , here’s the most prolific college scorer by zone (per game), dots are attempts and color is FG% relative to NCAA avg It is limited to mostly high major players since the data is via ESPN Thanks to @andrewgeorge47 for bouncing ideas around and plot help!

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Walker Kessler was 9-10 (the data says he missed once, but I don't remember it 😂) adding 6 pts of value over average shooting - impressive considering he didn't take any 3's @UNC_Basketball woke up in the second half in time to storm to a comeback win over @FSUHoops

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

3 years

Who do you want to see across the bracket? West Region revealed with Gonzaga & Vermont both considerably over-seeded #MarchMadness is seeded by resume, not strength so you want to be facing teams below the line - AdjEM via @kenpomeroy

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

5 years

Breaking it down for the Heels ( @UNC_Basketball ): -when Keeling shoots he shoots early -Cole takes the late shots -the bigs are right in the middle presumably from called post-ups (slower to develop) & offensive boards (:20 mark) #ncaaHoopR

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

8 months

How Tough Is a Q1 Win? ...depends - @dadgumboxscores & I have been exploring WAB & the odds a bubble team wins each Q1/Q2 game 36% of Q1 games are easier than a game at Ole Miss 68% of Q2 games are harder than beating Indiana St So, dig deeper before you trust a Quad 1 record

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Avery Anderson led a huge comeback win for @OSUMBB over @WVUhoops Anderson went 10-12 from 2 and 1-2 from 3, picking up the slack in Cade's absence The Pokes have a really strong resume and are peaking at the right time, really excited to see what they can do in Kansas City

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

2 years

More praise for RJ Davis, who is keeping the @UNC_Basketball offense afloat He's adding almost 6 points per game over the average shooter over the last 4 UNC outings

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

3 years

Who is Everyone Picking? Of course there is more than one prediction system and @EvanMiya runs one of the best -- sim your own bracket at Evan's numbers suggest there is value in: 1st Round? Jackrabbits & Catamounts F4? Nova, Purdue Champ? KU

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

Just for you @ACCSports , here are the best ACC scorers by zone, shocker - Tyus Battle is king of floaters! Caveats abound (small sample size, etc), and with a 2 game minimum no NCSt, Miami, or Wake players qualify Reply w/comment if you want to know stats for specific players!

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

For the afternoon crowd - Duke’s interior defense was really, really bad last night *Duke Defense (vACC/vUNC)* Shots AtRim 30.6 / 38 FG% AtRim 55.9 / 76.3 Pts AtRim 34.2 / 58 UNC was +10% over *their own* season avg AtRim I’m interested to see how Duke adapts

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

7 months

#MarchMadness2024 Bracket Odds! Using Yahoo! this season, which is favorite heavy (comparing w/ @totally_t_bomb 's odds) Tough decision? Might as well lean towards making headway in your pool! Bigger pool? Pick a rare champ to increase your chances! Work w/ @dadgumboxscores

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

The RJ Davis game? 4-7 from 3 and dropped an icy long-2, yeah, that sounds about right - h/t @BrendanRMarks & Heels fans everywhere @HokiesMBB was one tough Mutt to crack, but @UNC_Basketball is moving on

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

5 years

Here are the NCAA’s highest volume scorers by zone (pts/game) - notable names include @DaytonMBB ’s Jalen Crutcher, @MarquetteMBB ’s Markus Howard, & @IowaHoops ’s Luka Garza (also represented - @NDMBB , @UHCougarMBK , @LSUBasketball , @APlayersProgram , @PackMensBball , & @OSUMBB )

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

NCAA Leading Scorers By Zone measured in Pts/Game thresholds: 6 game = 37 teams, 4 game = 55 teams

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

7 months

Who is peaking at the right time? This plot shows recent streaks (see @dadgumboxscores ' table) & season-long volatility Duke & Pitt are 🔥, Houston & Utah 🥶 Volatility is a good thing in an underdog, but not ideal for a contender 🙏 @totally_t_bomb for Game Scores

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

5 years

Who takes good shots and who has good shooters? (updated) The landscape of shot selection & shooting ability now including a deeper look at some teams that exemplify each “quadrant” - @UNC_Basketball , @DaytonMBB , @AuburnMBB & @APlayersProgram

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

As Valentine’s Day approaches, maybe you’ve been asking yourself - is my favorite shooter in love with long 2’s? And more importantly, should he be? Here’s who is head over heels for leaving their feet on the line:

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

Lol, come on @FiveThirtyEight : "North Carolina’s offense depends on turning every play into a fast break" Someone hasn't visited @SynergySST all season...

Your Guide To The 2019 NCAA Men’s Tournament

The favorites, the Cinderellas and the teams to avoid when filling out your bracket.

fivethirtyeight.com

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Who leads the NCAA in Scoring by Zone? The leader in points/game plotted across 14 zones with a 5 & 3 charted game requirement (33 & 57 teams, respectively) @IowaHoops inside-out, @TexasTechMBB 's Mac w/long 2s, @OhioStateHoops ' Liddell at the baseline... What else do you see?

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Best NCAA Scorer by Zone (min 8 games charted)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

5 years

Who leads the #ACC in zone-by-zone shooting? (min 0.8 shots/game/zone) On this plot you can see Markell, CJ Bryce, and Tre Jones pull-ups; Vernon Carey’s lefty finishing; Cole’s distance+drive; Diakite’s touch; and some dangerous deep snipers h/t to @bgeis_bird for the analysis

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

2 years

NET & KenPom Rank, Dec to March 85% of teams w/NET > 100 in Dec improved in NET (25% in KP) 74% of teams w/NET < 30 in Dec declined in NET (57% in KP) NET is rewarding bad teams & punishing good ones This is a follow-up of @dadgumboxscores ' post:

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

2 years

It's the offense, y'all: @UNC_Basketball is shooting 45.7% eFG in the last 7 games (51.9% before) and the offense (blue line) has suffered The defense (red line) has improved over the same span, Adj DE of 92.3 during the stretch (98.3 before) (h/t @totally_t_bomb for stats)

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@5th_Factor

3 years

Who do you want to see across the bracket? No matter where you start you've gotta win 6 games... but the committee seeds by resume and not strength On #SelectionSunday if you're facing a team above the line 😬 but 🥳 if you draw someone below (AdjEM via @kenpomeroy )

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

8 months

The ACC's Top 4 schedules (sorted by WAB/difficulty - another @dadgumboxscores collab), gray games are upcoming @WakeMBB heads into Cameron tonight looking to for their first quality W UNC & UVA also head to Durham while Duke still has trips to FSU, Miami, & Wake on the slate

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Who To Avoid In #MarchMadness ? Mostly done - awaiting a few bubble decisions

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

5 years

Updating the best college scorers Not surprised to see @DaytonMBB ’s Obi Toppin way up… top (w/Crutcher close by) @IowaHoops Garza also adds plenty of value & @MarquetteMBB ’s Howard leads the pack in shots Others of note: Nwora, Manek, Richards, Ballock & Azubuike

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

Last night @UVAMensHoops used some lukewarm shooting to dispatch @Cuse_MBB (and I had heard domes were bad for shooting…) Focusing in on Kyle Guy - he scored 13.8 more points than an average shooter would have taking the same shots! A new season high for 10 shot games in my DB

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

5 years

Here's how NCAA shot selection & FG% varies as the shot clock winds down (first shot only, no ORB) Early offense is good offense, especially transition rim looks Late in the clock the long 2's get filled in, and even % at the rim is worse

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

3 years

Time for your annual reminder that quadrants are garbage - thanks to @SethBurn for crunching the numbers Quadrants: 1) Lump together games of wildly different difficulties (at-Duke = hosting USC?) 2) Incorrectly sort the games themselves (at-Vermont is tougher than at-Rutgers?)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

Down in Tallahassee this weekend Cam Reddish found his form to hold off Phil Cofer and the ‘Noles Not only did Reddish hit the game-winner, he had what was his best shooting game of the year, one that was head and shoulders above his other performances against elite competition

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

Pre- #UVAUNC here’s the latest #HairAnalytics Coby White had his best game of the season on Saturday, perhaps powered by the #CobyCoif ? His only outings that efficient were both hair-out games!

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

8 months

Who is "Cheating" the Quad System? 😏 Teams by how hard their Q1 & Q2 schedule *actually* is, data/viz w/ @dadgumboxscores , difficulty via by WAB Big East has soft Q2 games, SEC playing legit Q1s (is this what y'all were looking for @oneshiningpod , @tatefrazier , @T_Oglesby22 ?)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

5 years

Finally made it to 1,000 followers!!! To celebrate (quickly... before anyone unfollows) here are the current leaders in scoring from each of my shooting zones - and a thread about several of them

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Over the past few games, @UNC_Basketball 's shot selection has vastly improved, their last 3 games were their 3 best by my metric How have they done it? Mostly by cutting back on long 2's & shots in the extended post (~5-10') Shots inside 5' >>> jumpers from 10'

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

5 years

Here's a fun one, best college basketball performers at the rim (inside 5 feet, minimum 10 shots tracked) @IowaHoops 's Luka Garza out in front of the pack with almost 13 attempts per game @KUHoops 's Udoka Azubuike & @DaytonMBB 's Obi Toppin maximizing usage and efficiency

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Here's a breakdown of the six "major" conferences by Shot Selection & Shooting Ability (a bit like @CrumpledJumper , @presidual & @jacklich10 's grid plots) Logos are all the same size here - the metrics for some teams are based on less data others

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@5th_Factor

4 years

@jessenewell i got you 😁

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@5th_Factor

2 years

Who Is Your Pool Picking? 🌅Monday AM Update🌅 First Round favorites came down to earth Curious where the States Utah & Boise end up -- analytics have them as faves but they're mid-30% in pools Houston is again the value pick (good call @statsbywill ), some value in Texas

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

7 months

An early look at #MarchMadness2024 First Round Bracket Odds Using Yahoo! this season & they're generally lining up with "true" odds (via @totally_t_bomb ) If you've got a tough bracket decision, might as well lean towards making headway in your pool! Work w/ @dadgumboxscores

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@5th_Factor

4 years

Good Morning Y'all! Took a beat, but we're back - only missed <rubs eyes> 33 games 😳 Here's the whole batch, I'll drop a few here and there over the next few days... though there is that one that stands out @ZagMBB 's Corey Kispert absolutely TORCHED UVA back on Boxing Day

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@5th_Factor

6 years

If you’re here for college bball insight, you can do a lot (lot lot lot) worse than watching @hoopvision68 ’s vids Great UNC-Duke breakdown

How UNC Shrank the Floor Against Duke

With Zion Williamson going out on the first play of the game with an injury, UNC beat Duke 88-72. This video is a breakdown of the game, including how UNC sa...

www.youtube.com

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

7 months

Team Resume v. Strength entering Championship Week -The top 3 continue to lap the field -Indiana State isn't as *good* as NM, Wake, or Nova -- but they have an undeniably better resume -UNC/Tennesee/Zona for the final 1-seed is a battle! work w/ @dadgumboxscores

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Worked w/ @jgtrends on a combo post looking at 3 point contest, pass/dribble, and shot results Shooting off the pass works for Walton Smart is able to score off the bounce Trice scores despite defenders If you like my stuff & don't follow him... what are you waiting for?!?

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

What’s in a 1 seed? Here’s the top 4 seed lines, broken down by Team Strength (higher = better) and projected seed (left = 1 seeds) If Duke or UNC is a 2, they’ll avoid each other (likely be UK’s 2) Benefit of a 1 is largely about NOT drawing a 💪 3-seed (Purdue or Texas Tech)

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@5th_Factor

3 years

Final Seed Strength Plot, #NCAATournament Teams only Teams above the line are better than their seed, teams below it are worse (based on KenPom AdjEM) Look for some chaos in the East with strong 4 (UCLA), 6 (Texas), 10 (USF), & 11 (VT) seeds

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@5th_Factor

5 years

How college shooters perform at each 1 sq ft of the court (from >26k shots, this season) The rim is, as usual, where its at; transparency reflects lack of attempts - so you can see long 2s are somewhat ( rightfully) being ignored

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@5th_Factor

7 months

Updating this w/only one game left for @UNC_Basketball - who gets the 1-seed? UNC now has 2 more wins & 3 fewer losses than @Vol_Hoops against the toughest segment of their schedules, games with WP < 60% UNC has cleaned up in the toughest end of Quad2 Work w/ @dadgumboxscores

Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

7 months

The big debate is over the 4th 1-seed: How do @Vol_Hoops and @UNC_Basketball stack up? If we go beyond the poorly-constructed Quad system & look at how hard the games actually are, UNC has a slight edge in the hardest games (<40%) and all games <60% Work w/ @dadgumboxscores

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@5th_Factor

6 years

Coby White & Seventh Woods are both efficient but provide different transition looks at PG White pushes the ball while Woods seems to get more from the secondary break, Sev is out-assisting Coby at the rim ~4:1, while Coby finishes at the rim much better thanks transition layups

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@5th_Factor

6 years

@dadgumboxscores Zion is super hard to ref, Shaq-level difficulty because of what he can do Throw Jamie Luckie in there, and you've got yourself a mess

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@5th_Factor

6 years

. @UNC_Basketball ’s offensive explosion is also thanks to Luke Maye taking it upon himself to score the ball Last two games: 7 unassisted paint buckets (50%) Previous seven games: 3 unassisted paint buckets (16%)

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@5th_Factor

5 years

A @DaytonMBB game was shot-charted!!! And what a game it was - Crutcher, Toppin, and Watson all shot the ball well to propel the Flyers past @SaintLouisMBB in OT

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@5th_Factor

4 years

I've never heard Jay Bilas complain about the refs like this

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

The 5th Factor Approved All-SEC Shooters Here are the best Value*Volume SEC shooters (no shock to see 'Bama here) @AlabamaMBB John Petty Jr (SOY) @GatorsMBK Noah Locke @MizzouHoops Xavier Pinson @RazorbackMBB Jalen Tate

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

This is how they end up up there in "Good Shots" land

Matt Norlander

@MattNorlander

4 years

Alabama’s practices include highly competitive scrimmages to 8 or 12 points. This is how Oats has broken mid-range shooting habits. The breakdown: 1 point: mid-range/long 2 2 points: at-the-rim 2 3 points: college 3 4 points: Steph/Dame-land Here’s what the court looks like.

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

For your Bubble arguments - Resume (WAB) v. Strength (Barthag, all stats from @totally_t_bomb ) Clearly correlated & shows why UNC-G is compelling - they have an #NCAAT resume but aren't as *good* as other teams What matters: strength (how good you are) or resume (who you beat)?

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

All the @UNC_Basketball dots 📈 All the @LouisvilleMBB dots 📉 UNC's outside shots were hitting (see Walton, Kerwin), which opened up their inside game Carolina got live ball turnovers ➡️ run out dunks For 30 minutes literally everything was coming up Tar Heels in a true rout

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Best NCAA Shooter By Zone (min 12 games, updated March 3rd)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Ok, now you can be mad at the schedule @UNC_Basketball fans If you estimate win% from a 28-game full round robin*, UNC would be the 4th in the #ACCT & Duke would move up to 8th seed from 10th Shocker - VT would be the 6 seed, down from third *corrected - not the WCC method

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

7 months

OK, OK, final Seed Strength This one (probably) has every possible tournament team per @bracketproject 's Matrix Still dangerous WKU & S Dakota St, still overrated SCar & UT St. Some high level Dayton games incoming thanks to bid thieves! Work w/ @dadgumboxscores

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Caleb Love was the shooting story for a @UNC_Basketball - @DukeMBB game played at a much higher level than expected (game went over by 33 points) After a below-average to poor shooting season, the freshman found his rhythm to help the Heels dispatch the Devils

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

8 months

Introducing #WABStick a collab with @dadgumboxscores WABStick is a plot that visualizes a team's resume, by showing the WAB gained or lost in each game Generate your own and compare team resumes here:

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

And, oh my @UHCougarMBK ... DeJon Jarreau and Quentin Grimes were feelin' it, the defense was hot, the Cougars really opened one up on @USFMBB

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

5 years

I was able to get team offense and defense plots rolling, here's an interesting one (green = opponent shooting below average = good) Going left against @DukeMBB is where shots go to die... Any thoughts @AdamRoweTDD , @ACCSports , @ShaneRyanHere , @ari_eily ?

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

@totally_t_bomb asked and answered? 😂😂😂

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Via ESPN’s site, @UNC_Basketball is at 23 offensive rebounds on 30 misses 77% OR

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Jay Huff was on fire (6-10, including 3-5 from 3) as @UVAMensHoops got out to an early lead @UNC_Basketball couldn't overcome Only 3 Tar Heels shot above NCAA Average, which includes the single basket made in garbage time by Creighton Lebo (UNC's top shooter by value +1.32 pts)

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

6 years

Great recap pod from @hoopvision68 & @HalfCourtHoops Here you can see that UVA limited Duke's inside touches and if each team had shot their average UVA would have won by 15 #ItsAboutMakingShots 2/3

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

@cwdarney #fixedit

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Fifth Factor Plots

@5th_Factor

4 years

Just How Bad are Quadrants?!? Each year I work w/ @SethBurn to show how terrible it is to shoehorn resumés into quadrants... There are Q1 games that are easier than Q3 ones 🤷 & Q2 is a real mixed bag By conference a Q2 Big10 game is much harder than a Q2 Pac12 or MWC game

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