โWaqt hi sab kuch hai , Waqt hi banaata hai aur waqt hi bigaadta haiโ|| 2024 to 2026 End expect one of the worst BEAR market in History of Financial Markets !!
Self Explanatory!
Refer Chart
For the ones who wants a detailed review read below
--------------------------------------------
June 2022 FOMC - BOTTOM
75 BPS hike
Biggest Single Hike Vs 25 50 bps in previous 2 Fomc meetings in March(First hike amid russia war) & May 2022
Shree Krishna last ditch attempt for Peace before Mahabharat Warโฆ
80s to mid 90s kids may remember !
This scene probably has got more life lessons than any other on how EGO can destroy even the mightiest โฆmore relevant today than ever โฆ
Must watch โฆ๐
@Cine_vichaar
๐ ๐๐ rather than accepting mistake goes on denial mode and lifting fingers !
Typical human behavior ki main galat nahi ho sakta ๐๐
Is Greed and Fear real ?
@AnilSinghvi_
ko darr lag raha tha LC ka at 16900
@_anujsinghal
ko 2023 bahaut hi difficult
Off last 13 sessions 7 sessions FIIs have been net sellers
Only one +5k crores session off 9k+ that was msci day
Ppl who at 16800 feared a massive fall
After having been on the right side of the market from
18500 to 15700 from October 21 to May 22 stop being 18700
15400 to 18000 from June 2022 to sept 22 stop being 15200 clb
and
again 16800 to 18900 from sept 2022 to Dec 22 stop being 16666
But
failing miserably for
8th March 2022
BN Low 32155
Nifty Low 15671
A quarter Later 100 days after a full quarter of accumaltion
17th June 2022
BN Low 32290 (Higher Low)
Nifty Low 15183 (3.21% lower)๐ฅ
Start of a New BULL MARKET
------------------------------------------
6 Quarters
Indian Benchmark Index
Nifty in dollar terms
Self explanatory
if 2020 was a GLITCH
then 2024 will likely be full fledged
chart shows a drawdown of 50% ahead
CMP 21731!
Bhai log itna tension na lo !!!
DMs dekh dekh ke toh aisa lag raha hai jaise CRASH HO CHUKA MARKET KA !!! Aur 12K is coming next week itself !
Nasdaq - the leader of the rally at just 25% of the whole upmove
Dow at 38.2% of the entire upmove
Spx at 200dma only
Nifty has
Inevitable!
As per this path 22-24k followed by 15-16k then followed by the final multi year top at 34-35k !
Like it loath it or discard it โฆthis will likely play out !
Like had mentioned before
Into 1990 JAPAN was the darling of the world
Into 2010 CHINA was the
Here it is sharing the outlook on NIFTY IT and itโs two kings TCS & Infosys
Got a lot of DM with regards to the same so just presenting it without bias !
My base case of the character of the Indian market - Bull Market
&
Nifty IT index stays above 26100 + or - 2%
Cmp 28342
Next wk cleansing of Adani Saga Led GANDAGI to START
Reversal week !Danke ki chot peโ
Rarely do I use this wordโฆLast time amid freak show in mid June 2022 at 15300 used it last !
โLaziz Biryani aur Hamaari Nifty BN rani dono pakaati hai magar swaad pura deke jaati haiโ
Utha utha ke maal liya jaa raha hai โฆโฆ aur market upar chalta jaa raha hai !
Climaxes of such UP-LEGs tend to be really WILD โฆโฆ.
Not comfy with Longsโฆ. thatโs absolutely fine โฆ.but at any cost avoid shorts in this market until u have a plan thatโs bigger than the pocket
Dear Bears ,
Troll me as much as you want :
but on Monday i am
Expecting bottom in the first 1st hour In indian markets
or
Expecting a flat opening and Rally on monday
or
Expecting a Green aka gap up open on Monday
in either or the above cases expect the Market to
21801.45
Cmp 21740
High on 28th December 2023 is a likely a MAJOR TOP & May not be breached for weeks and months ahead !
This conclusion is based on a number of parameters available at disposal !
PS:
I could be completely wrong , but putting out in open there to avoid
50 days are complete today from the October low!!!!
N man watte a move it has been ! ๐
Stellar !!! ๐๐๐๐
Irrespective of us (myself at least) missing the 2nd half the entire move in last 15 days - HAVE TO GIVE it to the BULLS hands down โฆ.for having played it outta the
To all the participants who are always desperate to short the market & make quick bucks !!!!!!!!!
Kindly listen to this small clip before plunging yourself into short selling business !
Remember this !
Somewhere I had read โฆโฆMr.RK Damani once informally reminiscing the
12000 ka mazaak bahaut hua!
If 22297.50 was "THE TOP(๐โโ๏ธ)then get ready for d following levels going ahead in Chart 1 !
&
if one thinks it's impossible & will or cannot happen then look at
Chart 2
Chart 3
once before concluding
"Markets ain't a normal Leashed ANIMAL"
Small cap index has formed a double top against the nifty while massess are watching nifty running and outperforming driven by the laggards large caps running relentlessly citing elections !
Exit gampa Gutha total small and mid cap stocks
Strictly avoid fresh longs in mid and
Stop 21220 DCB
Target 20400 20100 19600
Cmp 20920
R:R favorable
Risk 300
Rewards 520/800/1300
Technical set up +
Theme
Global Sell off on China & market getting ahead of itself on pricing in rate cuts
&
Unwinding of state elections exuberanceโฆ
Will review as
Galti ho gayi aap logon se bhalu log !
Maaf kijiyega!
Kal high lagwaate toh ek mahina mandi main hum bhi aate aapke saath , magar swing low lagwa rahe ho aap toh !
Saransh yeh hai
Market ko bahaut jaldi Support par la diya aap logo ne ๐ฏ
Maaf kijiyega magar Kal ka ek din
We may be in uncharted territories in spot market but in derivatives market we ainโt in uncharted territories !
Thatโs really what guides the punters !
Do try
Pehchaan kaun ? ๐
Dear Bears,
I hereby invite you to Pls take as many as shorts you want too !
Becho jitna bhi GMD hai becho
Next 7 weeks you ll experience what a Mad BULL can do when he goes BESERK !!!
Trade wise for our Bulls
Stop remains same 19333 for longs!
Target - ab kitne baar
One of the most beautiful charts !
Do read the highlights I loved writing it hope u ll like reading it too ๐
In brief what Indian Market have been through since Sept of 2021 till date !
& we are sitting Here โฆ.
Sep - Oct 21
Maniac rally n top
Nov - Dec 21
Omnicron New
Update:
As per the global + local set up taking into account dollar index + central bankers sensitivities(rbi & fed) + softening data + China involving in the Ukraine conflict + inter market data
One HUGE PROBABLITY outcome of the RALLY SINCE MARCH END TILL THIS WEEK Post the
Target achieved !!!
Bulls control ur greed and take exit imho !!!
Let market close above 18134/201 16th Feb high and Adani Saga high for fresh longs !
Let it prove itself !
When captured both legs from 16900 to 17800 then again 17600 to 18070
80-125 points ainโt worth
Remains one of the Best Deepawali MAHURAT day till date !
We crashed into just one day before the festival on the back of GFC in 2008 marking the bottom at 2253 Vs 6300 in Jan 2008, before trading sideways into march 2009 followed by rockets launched thereafter !!!
Mahurat
This week is so so crucial for the Markets !
That if the market doesnโt stop this week & breaks out above 19100-200 while sustaining above it then you are going to see one of the most quickest fastest and SUPER DUPER SE BHI UPAR WAALI TEZZI TILL DECEMBER OF 2023 !!!!!!
Warning
Good to see now Voices rising against the nonsense of everyday expiry by greedy indian exchanges
@NSEIndia
@BSEIndia
Hope more influencers and big names join in to stop this nonsense before it gets too late and the damage done is beyond repair !!!
Watchdogs need to create a
โฆ.. and itโs done โฆ.
Dow !
Hits 36k โฆ ๐ฅ
3000 points a 9-10% move โฆ. Big move yes โฆ.. n that too within a month!!
All interim targets have been hit locally and globally imho for now !
Time for some quick chai pani break ahead in the days ahead on some context or
Bank Nifty 32000 in months ahead !
Triggers are all there !
Am not calling for a crash as it will only be considered a normal correction till 32k!!
Only below that the CRASH SCENARIO ACTIVATES
NONETHELESS
Stay away from banks !
If you are so used to seeing on screen going up in the last 9-10 months
and
unable to detach urself from things going up
and
unable to comprehend that market can come down
and
loath the term BEAR MARKET โฆโฆ
You can still call it a BULL MARKET n participate in things
Rallies in stocks since last mid month
Large caps - +10-15%
Mid cap - +25-30%
Small caps - +40-50%
Index from 18060 to 18740
Bear is short , Bulls have missed it
Now both want market to fall โฆ.
Market not obliging !
A couple of sessions more and run away MAD RALLY
Bulls remain in full & total control Till 18k protected โฆ..18060 precisely is protected on clb !
Anything that is happening above it is the drama being staged by the โBulls themselvesโ to set up slaughter house for another fresh round of short sellersโฆโฆ.
โฆ. after having
Icici bank 27% of Bank Nifty
RIL + ICICI Bank 18% of Nifty
Market wanted to consolidate last week so we got infosys numbers last week -
& everything got digested +money switched within Monday candle of Market
Market wants to go higher next week so we got icici bank +
Somethings don't change ever !
2008 US was imploding and India kept going up against the Wind and then suddenly in one week collapsed 25% in a week !
2024 China is imploding and india has been going against the wind since last 6 weeks !
lets see what record is set this time
From the Bloomberg article on the โsense of panic [that] gripped Chinese investors on Friday.โ
ย
This financial volatility amplifies the economic challenges facing China, including efforts both (i) to pivot to a higher โquality growthโ policy stance and (ii) to manage and deflate
Market chaahe Aasman chu jaaye ya Pataal main hi kyon na Ghuss jaaye ๐
Masti Mazaak main kabhi koi Dip ya recession na aaye
Dua yahi ke , jo dost hai apne yahaan unka samay ke saath saath Portfolio /Trading account ATH Pe ATH maarta chala jaaye !!
"Mitrta Divas Ki
If weekly expiries are just deleted from the market !
The markets smoothness will Increase by many folds as well as the retail gambling den with 90% of options in weekly will also shut!
Exchanges and Watch dogs are culpable of encouraging gambling in the Indian stock market
From 19443- 19853
Still no shorts at least for another couple of sessions!
Call writers have been taken to cleaners !
Well deserved๐๐คฃ๐ฅ
@Anirudhj12
as discussed the day before ๐
Warren Buffett slashes Stake in Apple along with other holdings adding a massive $88 Billion to its cash stock pile taking it to $ 277 billion Vs $ 189 Billion last quarter.
"Cash is King" for next couple of years when this same cash holdings will be able to buy assets at dirt
Congratulations to our PM
@narendramodi
& team for yet again successfully winning a sweeping mandate!
Since 2019 apart from UP (Mar
2022) and Gujarat(Dec 2022) this is the first state polls when BJP has swept with large mandates !
Kudos to public for avoiding the fractured
Below 19223 on closing basis signifies BTFD should stop at least until this level is recaptured now !
Outlook wise 20459 remains mid November target
Trade wise will only buy above 20233 closing basis !
This is probably the first time in last 7 months since march 2023 where
Highest close in Indian Vix since the last day of March 2023 Expiry !
29th March Wednesday expiry 13.62
(30th March Thursday was holiday)
Nifty
Close 17080.70
Low 20th march 16828.35
18th December Monday close 13.90
Nifty
Close 21418.65
High 15th Dec 21492.30
Something
The Biggest Corporate in india is doing this , Then the other sme msme must be growing even faster !!!!
India on a growth Trajectory that has never been seen Before !!!
SUPER BULLISH !!!!!!!!
Trend breached & Retest done !
4th time Bounced of the Moving Average since a day before January 2024 expiry
One close below 21939 & it will be a fast & furious Move towards below targets !
For bearish engulfing week need to close below 22224 !
for 3 weeks engulfing
One good thing to observe is that in central bankers globally only
@DasShaktikanta
is the only one who highlights the geopolitical risks again and again in his policy statements !!
Inpressive !
#RBIPolicy
!!!
Ppl attempting to disregard todays market reaction to HDFC BANK results saying over reaction n not justified !! May be yes โฆ
But the same ppl forget they never asked as to why the big GAP UP AND RUN AWAY after state elections result in December 2023 despite the market rallying
@MrSinha_
Dear IT cell !
Donโt screw around with women Honor matters !
Stop making fun of it all !
Ramayana & Mahabharata are the two epics in our history that teach us messing around with women Honor have been the reason for the bringing down the mightiest of rulers n kingdoms !
Today seems TV experts have finally woken up to the reality of never again doing the mistake of taking the Indian Electro for granted !!!
"Verdict ain't against Modi
but against BJPs Absolute Power"๐
Jo kal apan keh rahe the
Aaj TV waale bhi saath de rahe hai
@bd8304
"Ghar ka bhedi Lanka dhaaye"
Is Sensex - The Vibhishan of this Lanka .....
&
Is Bank Nifty - The KumbhKarna of this Lanka ....
Will know in a few days from now .. ๐
@suchetadalal
Mam yeh speculative theories chodhiyeโฆ. Aur scam with evidence and support market main aur paper main public ke saamne rakhiye โฆ same like harshad mehta โฆ conspiracy theories wonโt work until supported with hard evidence .. let an investigation be launched all d best
Dear Trolls,
With all due respect ๐
Yes we remain short at 20920 with the stop mentioned as before !
N for the ones who are trolling in DM for missing out
Kindly read this & avoid trolling !
โWe trade to make bucks
And not
to give trollers any
Yes ! Indeed ..
Infact now Itโs a confirmed signal that the upcoming swing up will be the last and the most ferocious one marking the final top of this ongoing run!!
Before the final leg up the market maker leaves some footprints to give indications that the final move may be
When we see so many out there going gaga over Mr.Rakesh Jhunjhunwala & RadhaKrishna Damani for their Bullish stance on INDIA and dream of becoming like them !!!
Almost all forget , they Made their biggest Fortune when they called out the EPIC BULLSHIT that was going on in 1992
'It is better to have tried and failed than to have never tried at all!'
Remembering ace investor, late Rakesh Jhunjhunwala on his death anniversary. Here are some of the best television moments of the Big Bull who always championed the India story.
#rakeshjhunjhunwala
Back down there 19180 was our stop it was hit
was mocked n trolled๐
few days later same set of ppl shocked n ripped apart !
this time our stop 22126 is hit !
Tomorrow or Thursday should be it !
"The Bulls don't know it yet but they are dancing in the Bear territory"
CLB 22126 Stop hit
Will review back tomor or thursday !
will wait for a couple of days before fresh entry !
ideally would be looking to make fresh entry in shorts tomorrow at close or Thursday !
Next week has a 99.99% possibility to be remembered for Years to come ahead in time !
Protect yourself in February with the most solid Protection Gear available !
-Fomc
-Budget
i may be 100% wrong !
but if if this does go wrong ...
the cost of same would nothing infront
29th May 2023
โ Bank Nifty Hit Fresh ATH
21st June 2023
โ Sensex hits Fresh ATH 9.58 am
28th June 2023
โ Nifty Hits Fresh ATH
Well played Bulls โฆโฆ ๐๐
But it is now the real TEST begins of sustainability โฆ.have had enuf of hide and seek games around the 18600-18900
EUPHORIA in markets ๐? ?????
Anyone to contest this statement now / anyone ????????
Given the reality has been stated by the one witnessing it all in his back office u think u might be knowing better ????
Did anyone think or tweet till now ?โฆโฆ.. that May be just May be
Markets are back at all-time highs, but it doesn't feel like a bull run because retail activity isn't picking up.
Active clients on NSE, Google & social media trends are way below all-time highs. Unlikely that activity will pick up given the higher interest rate environment 1/3
@AskAnshul
This is nothin , imagine when a 4month baby dies due to the carelessness of the mother during anti CAA protests she says Shahid for her daughter. this not surprising at all ..desh main chahe kitne bhi ho aise brainwashed shaitaan par rahega mera bharath mahaan ..๐ฎ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ณ
India Rising.... ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ณ
Go Out and Vote 2024 elections and push as many as possible to Vote !
For India's Future !
For Our Future !
Jai Hind ๐ฎ๐ณ
ATH Done guys ๐ฅ
20270 ๐
Congratulations to all the daring optimists and brave Realists BULLS out there ๐๐
Much more to come in the weeks and months ahead ,..
Personally out on the sidelines since 20070-100 until at least mid next week !
Host of events lined up would
RBI is fearful about systemic risk
SEBI is fearful about Retail Bubble
FM is fearful about economy
Companies fearful about Profits
Politicians fearful about stability
Public is fearful about jobs
FII are fearfull about all of the above
.....But Indian VIX wants
Chinese markets are likely to crash in next few sessions forcing liquidation in GOLD !
Critical supports broken THERE !
IN hindsight BY January may seem like final capitulation!!!
Trigger not aware but set up says so !
Will revisit by 20th December
๐ Thank you โฆ
Hope have been able to add value & enable friends here understand the markets with whatever limited knowledge I have & have imparted during this journey !!
Is Safar main agar Mere wajah se
Kabhi kuch galat hua toh shama Kardena ๐
Aur
Kuch achcha hua ho
Low risk set up below 19650 for risk takers !
Mark todays lows in NIFTY !
With stop of todays low during the session today !
Target for 20250+ between 16-20th October !
Todays low will be the point of reference whatever it might be during the day today !
So either
Kuch Nahi Hoga !
Likh lo jahaan likhna hai ......
Indian Market will again GAP UP like last monday and end the day at its highest point and hit a New ATH next week !!!
Itihaas gawa hai hindustan main jitne bade scams honge utne unchaaiyon par market jaayega !!!
Valuations
Dear Bears ,
Troll me as much as you want :
but on Monday i am
Expecting bottom in the first 1st hour In indian markets
or
Expecting a flat opening and Rally on monday
or
Expecting a Green aka gap up open on Monday
in either or the above cases expect the Market to
November mid target 19600/800
Stop remains same
16666 positional on closing basis
Donโt troll act with risk defined and position apni limits main๐
Yesterday into weekend move has many guessing what was it jobs + SVB winding up etc etc
Putting forth my reading of the same
Thatโs
Dxy , Dow , US10Y, Gold , XLF etf
Once jobs data hit the wires at 7pm IST , dollar sold off sharply and so did 10Y while xlf Dow and gold
Do Read & Watch !
The Great Mystery of Rising Unsecured Loan Books in the Indian banking system yet falling private consumption !!
@DasShaktikanta
@RBI
------------------------------------------
PS: Compiled and Presented from the articles from Various Financial Reports
A must watch Interview !
Talks about facts no sugar coating !!!
Kharati bhai log aap bhi sun lena kuch padh likh samajh jaane main koi harz nahi hai !!
@G2GAjaySharma
Yesterday while discussing on a Query why market behaving like this since Election verdict..... had mentioned the large inventory dumping by insiders happen in a climbing market not in a falling market ....
The higher the force of the dump underway the more vertical and baffling
Donโt know what makes ppl bearish
Funda โ
Chart set ups โ
Recession fear recede
Growth only picking up
Hikes 0 to 4.75%
A simple zoomed out structure gives a powerful set up of 18.9 -15.2= 3700
18900+3700= 23600 at least in 2023
21212.12 is passรฉ
23232.32 is inn