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Ajay Sharma Profile
Ajay Sharma

@G2GAjaySharma

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67
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Wealth With Wisdom - Investor - Startup Founder - Hedge Fund Manager - PRESIDENT: EDELWEISS, IIM Ahmedabad, IIT Varanasi

Singapore & India
Joined October 2022
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
8 days
“USA today, India Tomorrow” in financial services? Private Credit in India ! Future leadership tenets in the world of AI. In-depth discussion with my mentor @rasheshshah , @EdelweissFin , a visionary leader who has built multiple successful businesses
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
#AdaniFPO #adani #ADANIENT What next for Adani group? A very respected entrepreneur once told me: If I trust you Ajay, you don’t have to explain. But if I don’t trust you, any amount of explanation is useless.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
8 months
A superb, in-depth analysis of India ; through simple stories, fun anecdotes and data from my dear friend Neelkanth Mishra @neelkanthmishra . Journey from 2024 and 2053: do we get RICH before we get OLD? RICH Valuations ? PSU resurgence !
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
@vivbajaj this is for you, what you are doing with @elearnmarkets is commendable. Few lines from Haidar Ali Aatish are dedicated to you and your team's unwavering purpose. jo ālā-zarf hote haiñ hamesha jhuk ke milte haiñ surāhī sar-nigūñ ho kar bharā kartī hai paimāna
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Byju's OYO Rivigo and other startups...Billions Raised, still in trouble, why? A simple story about a LEAN and MEAN horse and its new RICH owner !! @vivbajaj
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
It takes thousands of decisions to make it BIG in life in terms of RANK or FORTUNE. But we are just ONE DECISION away from RUIN, especially one taken during Chemical Locha: often Anger! I am not the first one to find the song Aadmi jo Kehta hai... so relevant in today's time!
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
8 months
Part 2 of the superb, in-depth analysis of India ; through simple stories, fun anecdotes and data from my dear friend Neelkanth Mishra @neelkanthmishra . PSU resurgence ! Growth, Expensive Valuations and more...
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
First 1000+ The beginning !!! Welcome to the family and get Ajayfyed !!!
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
1 year
India's infrastructure growth. Is it REAL? NASA pictures from 2012 to 2023 reveal a lot. How did USA develop its roads? What about China? Can India repeat their success? This video analyses the India Infra Story from NASA pics.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
#ChatGPT & #midjourney have re-kindled debate around the future of jobs, skills needed in the future to succeed and the concentration of wealth. I created a simple visual framework on the issue to encourage discourse with friends...here it goes
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
From the Slums of Varanasi to Inspiring Leaders Award by ET, what a journey !! Congratulations Sumit and Vikas, the co-founders of
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
#adani #adanifpo #bonds #nseindia Polarisation in Adani companies performance has started and this thread looks at simple Stock and Bond Price action, The two bonds of Adani Green also show dispersion
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
I don’t own any equity or bonds of Adani and I don’t invest in Infrastructure related businesses. Being an Institutional investor, and seen many short sell sagas: e.g. Herbalife in US, Sino-Forest in China to Olam In Singapore, the Adani episode is important for Indian markets
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
14 days
PIPES, TILES or PLYWOOD? SMALL CAP or LARGE CAP? CHINA IMPORT RISK? Many questions answered by Sneha Talreja in this Masterclass on Building Materials
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Thx Vivek
@vivbajaj
Learner Vivek Bajaj
2 years
Stocks are like Cows !! The valuation techniques are similar. Let's welcome my mentor @AjayFYSharma into the world of @Twitter Give him a follow for amazing wisdoms.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
During 2008 crisis, even a reputed bank like Goldman Sachs had to get Mr. Buffet to bring credibility back. Goldman paid Mr. Buffet 10% assured dividend yield (you read that right, 10%) on his $5bn investment. That was a vote of confidence from the world’s savviest investor.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
AI in action 1 My Voice generated by AI (just 2 minutes of sample) 2 A school pic speaks with just a text inputs Will banks allow Voice Logs in future transactions? Do we need voice artists for dubbing movies? #AI #ChatGPT The full video is here
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Our world of finance moves on Trust and Trust ONLY and Capital Always Follows Trust. Trust takes years to build and gets destroyed in seconds. For leveraged businesses, this matters a lot more than unlevered businesses.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
6 months
At JITO Nashik, we were asked, Can India build a FAANG? Facebook, Apple or Google? Paagal hi Paagal ko samajhata hai !
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Pigeons provide an amazing metaphor for my (investor) behavior! A poem on markets Mandee (मंडी) mein kabootar Dheere Dheere, Ek Ek karke aaye kabootar Irshya Laalach se Bharmaye Kabootar Mandee (मंडी) mein jab aaya mandi (मंदी) ka dar Jhatpat saare saath urd jaaye kabootar
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Mr. Adani may have to bring in one “NAME” on his cap table aka Goldman-Buffet. For the immediate future, some of the hyper-growth plans will have to be curtailed. He will have to first ring-fence the current projects (re-financing etc.) before taking on any new ambitious ones.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
7 months
A Superb, in-depth analysis of India in HINDI; from my dear friend Mahesh Nandurkar @mahnandurkar (25 years in the Markets and is among the best minds) We deal with Valuations , PSU re-rating, Real Estate cycle, Volatility, Foreign Flows and much more.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Mr. Adani needs large institutions with deep pockets to build his dreams…after all infra projects are capital intensive and need billions of dollars. This money can come from large Institutions ONLY. But, Institutions don’t want to deal with any “grey” in today’s world.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Any emergence of reputation risk, leads to re-financing risk, leads to liquidity risk and then it creates solvency risk.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
But this is no more about cash flows, bond yields etc. Mr. Adani is at cross-roads here. No Amount of Money is more important that a person’s reputation. He has been building businesses for several decades and he understands this more than anyone else.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Currently there is no refinancing risk (corporate bonds are due for refinancing only after 12 or 18 months), neither a liquidity risk with the Adani group, nor is there a solvency risk.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
I think pulling the FPO was the right thing to do, but much more is needed I think a Goldman-Buffet type deal will be needed now to repair some of the damage.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 months
Cheaper! Faster & Efficient : amazing analysis of the IT services industry, outperformance of mid cap IT, future margins and the potential impact of AI. Vibhor Singhal is an alum of IIT Kanpur and has deep expertise in understanding technological trends.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
1 month
US recession impact? Bubble in Indian Stocks? AI revolution? So much liquidity ? Small caps ? @NeerajCNBC from @CNBC_Awaaz hits the nail on the head with sharp questions in this interaction. Goes live at 7:57 pm on CNBC Awaaz today Sep 13th
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Thank you dear Vivek
@vivbajaj
Learner Vivek Bajaj
2 years
I am so glad to see this growing. 10,000 subscribers getting empowered from my mentor @AjayFYSharma He is a life saver !!!
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
3 months
An in-depth discussion about consumer sector, post-election government focus, emerging trends, fight for marketshare at the cost of margins and many more questions answered; by Tejas Shah, a dear friend, a highly reputed and award winning Analyst
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
~12,000 cr Ebidta .. so ~2x debt coverage at market value and ~3x at face value . I don’t think Adani Ports debt is at risk.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Very rough numbers of underlying businesses (from a smart friend) Adani ports - ~40k cr debt at face value, ~25k cr at market value .. 100% bonds , zero or close to zero with onshore banks . ~25k cr used to acquire bonafide assets from sellers like Israel , Larsen etc ..
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
The balance sheet can be easily repaired by: •asset sale to ease the pain at parent •dividends •Strategic partners in the assets A short-term solution to sell partial stake in the cement business, but that is like putting band aid when surgery is needed.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Adani Green : 50k cr debt.. part of it is corporate level debt including one bond .. rest against solar assets .. 6000 cr Ebidta.. Riskiest Adani Entity from a debt perspective
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
The key issue is Debt at the parent Adani Enterprises level which has been used for the cement acquisition. The FPO was needed to reduce leverage at the parent level. The parent balance sheet is shaky, but the underlying assets are fine. They are real assets as discussed above
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
A basic balance sheet analysis which I have borrowed from a very smart friend of mine is given at the end looking at individual businesses. These are very rough numbers. At individual company level, the balance sheet and cash flows are actually ok
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
1 year
Vow, this is really overwhelming. Thank you so so much for this affection. All because of @vivbajaj 's push and motivation.
@vivbajaj
Learner Vivek Bajaj
1 year
@AjayFYSharma ⁩ bhaiya This is for you from Pune!! You are becoming universal mentor now.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Indian banks should be fine in general and there is no systemic banking risk here.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
7 months
Amritkaal without half of India's participation? Indepth analysis of woman's participation in the economy & empowerment, through stories and data; by my guru and dear friend Anridhua Dutta @DuttaAnirudha ; an amazing thought leader, analyst and author.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
4 months
Can India de-couple? Dollar's future vs Gold? Why China still is gaining manufacturing share globally? One of the best, in-depth interactions on market history and impact on global economy and India; with Kapil Gupta , my dear friend from Nuvama.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Adani Power : 45k cr debt , 13k cr ebidta.. very high leverage, but manageable and not life threatening or something to worry about
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
But, not as well covered as Ports in debt to ebidta , but assets are fixed return so again debt should be fine and a bulk of debt is asset level debt escrowed , not corporate level
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
SEBI data on F&O... 40 lacs of us are kabootars losing 45,000 crores Only 5000 garudas who make real money!!! Who r u? A follow up to the PIGEONS VIDEO...
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Adani Transmission : ~30k cr debt , half of it is bonds ( approximating ) .. ~6000 cr ebidta .. backed by regulated power transmission assets and Mumbai electricity supply concession ..
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
1 year
#DussheraSpecial 10 Rules on Investing with @NeerajCNBC Had a lovely conversation. Must watch for everyone. Coming tomorrow on @CNBC_Awaaz at 8PM. Set your reminders. Stay tuned.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
For those interested in a video (In Hindi) on this issue.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Indian Paints industry will go from a GREAT industry to a GOOD industry over the next 5 years; leading to industry turmoil and massive de-rating. Peaceful oligopoly with juicy returns will be over !!! This video analyses the same. Thread coming soon too..
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
6 months
Is AI an immature child like Baby Hanuman ( whose superpowers were curtailed 1) till he was an "adult" : RIGHT TIME 2) till those superpowers were "needed" !! RIGHT CAUSE We need Jambavans today ? The DHARMA & Ethics of AI before it's too late?
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
6 months
When INSIDERS @mustafasuleyman , @MGawdat , start raising alarm bells about what they help build, AI, we need to notice. JOBS, NATION STATES at risk. FEW Winners, BILLIONS of losers! The coming Tsunami, What should INDIA do? COOPERATE or PERISH !!
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Hey all, I'm thrilled to announce that I’ll be joining the 3rd edition of #Face2Face Conclave by ⁦ @elearnmarkets ⁩ this March. Looking forward to interacting with you. To book your tickets, register at See you! #NetworkIsNetworth #Face2FaceGoa @vivbajaj
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
29 days
Doing Good and Making Money while Doing Good, that defines my dear friend and guru, @Raivineet @AavishkaarVC A masterclass in Impact Investing, Microfinance, AI, Climate change. Invested in 110 startups & created more than 40,000 crores ($5bn+) in Value
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Big fish in a small pond or small fish in a big pond? Which type of companies should we Invest in? Find out 👉
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
1 year
Who makes more money ? An Active Trader or A Patient Investor? A look at the GREATEST TRADER : Jim Simons vs the GREATEST INVESTOR : Warren Buffet
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Animals with high heart rates have lower life spans! Humans evolved from being Hunter Gatherers to Farmers! Survival of the fittest ! Do these laws of nature and evolution apply to our world of Trading & Investing? Watch 👉
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
A 2 by 2 on the Loops of Trials and Failures before we Achieve: You Dream, then you are scared of Failure! Overcome Fear, you are halfway there, then just DO IT !! To know more, watch 👉
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Does the Wealth pyramid get skewed completely ? Just some thoughts to ponder on for now. I have been thinking on these lines . What skills do my 9 and 16 year old daughters need in this new world order?
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
4 months
Emotions and Money-making: How to manage the vice of ENVY, handle stress of losses and urge to BUY more? Why is there a hurry to ACT? How do super investors like Buffet and traders like Jim Simmons handle emotions?
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Scared Bystander, Surface Snorkeller or a Deep Diver ! What's the best way to explore new oceans? And how many oceans can we explore? How many subjects can we become experts of? Watch 👉
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
A 2 by 2 on - What reaction do you get when u enter the room? Smile or Anger? What happens behind your back? Praise or Gossip? What makes a great leader in today's context? Watch the video to find out what happens in the room!! 👉🏼
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
5 months
G2G philosophy playing out? Paints went from GOOD to GREAT with a peaceful & juicy industry structure. PAINTS-WAR is here, Birla wants share from Asian Paints, Berger! What are paint dealers doing? Margins? Will the industry go from GREAT to GOOD?
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Mr. Adani has atleast a year to bring back credibility before these 2024 bonds mature and need re-financing and he has enough options : stake sale, asset monetisation, equity etc Getting a few marquee names (aka Goldman-Buffet 2008) could be the best option for the longer term
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
1 year
What's common to the Ambassador Car, Kodak and Brahma Vishnu Mahesh philosophy ? How can 120 years of Monopoly and Dominance be destroyed in JUST 10 years ? This G2G series video analyses my First Principle when investing in Good-to-Great companies...
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
1 year
Excited to share that I'll be speaking on Good Investing to Great Investing: Balancing Strategy and Self-Mastery at this webinar on Sunday! Can't wait to share my insights with you all! Join me by becoming a part of the StockEdge Club at
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
4 months
FRAUD or NOT? A company bought a plane? Will you BUY or SELL the shares? This video deals with several questions in investing and a satire (poem) on accounting frauds.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
The Big-Tech AI owners will be very few at the top of the pyramid. This time the "automation" will not be democratic like physical machines. Does that squeeze the middle ?
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Price action after stock price correction in Adani names. Ports & Asset-Backed Green bonds have recovered to ~90 cents, clearly showing that bond holders are confident to get their money back in these names. These are not panic prices ! But Vanilla Green is still in panic mode!
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
FPO Optimism kicks in, the riskiest Adani Green Vanilla bond rallies.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
7 months
Another amazing Q&A with the witty Neeraj Vajpai @NeerajCNBC at CNBC Azaaz. Should we be LAZY or CLEVER? Does AGE MATTER for being an entrepreneur? 10 bagger ideas? Capital Goods sector and many probing questions (Extracts from the discussion)
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
When investing we often have to make choices among A Good and Another Good opportunity. Sometimes what we pass on turns out be a "profitable" missed opportunity OR what we buy, we regret not having bought enough!! Watch 👉
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
What's the connection between Charles Darwin, the Indian cricket team of 1983, 2011 and 2022 ... and what has this got to do with investing the easy way... Index ETF? Watch -
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
One upon a time there were 4 types of jobs. 1st was Manual labour which was routine and repetitive
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Now the Stock Price Action (AFTER 30-50% fall). Three names closed positive last Friday (Ports, ACC, Ambuja). Enterprise (Yellow) was flat and the other names were in lower circuit (Red). I have given the same colour codes to the names in the chart below, as per price action.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
What happens when a company makes the same mistake 20 years apart? Lupin !! From Rakesh Jhunjhunwala to the founder Dr. D B Gupta ... my 20 years looking at the company... will they turn things around ? G2G video Good or Great ?
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
The price action before the FPO optimism of the three bonds. Adani Ports & SEZ is Blue Adani Green Asset Backed is Green Adani Green vanilla is Red. Not much differentiation ... trading between 92 to 97 cents
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
I think Solar assets have a finite life (25 years typically) and have zero terminal value while Ports and Cement have some terminal value. Current market caps could lead to more pain in the Red names
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
But in the new world order with AI Automation, a new class is emerging ...FEW ELITE BIG-TECH
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
4th of course were jobs which needed creativity and the brain i.e. cognitive non-repetitive : doctors, sales , CEOs etc. Usually people with higher levels of education and most of us on Twitter I assume...
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
@pawanaroraleo Thank you Pawan
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
What happens now? Most of us on Twitter have cognitive jobs/careers. With automation cognitive repetitive (BLUE) jobs have stagnated for 30 years. With AI, do Cognitive Creative (GREEN) jobs also go the same way? Will Humans AND/OR AI become the future normal? #chatgpt
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
First, the bonds... I looked at three bonds, all maturing next year. Adani Ports (ADSEZ 3 ⅜ 07/24/24) and Two bonds of the same company Adani Green (one restricted with certain assets : ADGREG 6 ¼ 12/10/24), other vanilla (ADANIG 4 ⅜ 09/08/24)
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Now we compare the number of people in each job type in a developing country like India. It is clearly bottom heavy...
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Stock price dispersion has started. But absolute market caps of Green, Transmission and Gas are around ~$20bn USD each. While combined M Cap of cash flow generating Ports, ACC and Ambuja is ~$25bn.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
This is one of the best data-points I found to show this job migration over the past 40 years. In the US, in 1983 there were about 3m jobs from the red, blue and green boxes. But by 2014, Cognitive, non repetitive jobs had doubled, while two others stayed flat.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Non-repetitive , non-routine jobs have seen growth over the past few decades
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
2nd was Manual but non-repetitive. e.g. dancer, yoga teacher. For simplicity I am counting these are manual although they have a cognitive component as well.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
There is an error in the above: It should read: The issue is Debt at the parent Adani level which has been used for the cement acquisition.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
3rd was Cognitive-repetitive jobs include tasks done by secretaries, bookkeepers, filing clerks or bank tellers
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
While a developed country sees job growth at the top because of higher levels of education, higher mechanisation and higher contribution to services in GDP
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Mechanisation has led to reduction in Manual Repetitive jobs for hundred of years
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
When the world was mechanising, the machine makers were distributed across the world and the growth was more democratic. e.g. farm equipment, cars etc. were made in Americas, Europe and in Asia. The Mechanisation/automation was not concentrated with a few...
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Hardware, Software and outsourcing together have automated/reduce Cognitive Repetitive jobs
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
@vivbajaj @Twitter Glad to be here
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Now, lets talk about the wealth pyramid in developing nations for the 4 type of jobs. There is a large skew towards the top and the inequality is getting worse
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
1 year
Sorry for the mis-information. Coming today at 8PM only on @CNBC_Awaaz
@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
1 year
#DussheraSpecial 10 Rules on Investing with @NeerajCNBC Had a lovely conversation. Must watch for everyone. Coming tomorrow on @CNBC_Awaaz at 8PM. Set your reminders. Stay tuned.
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
We had a basic 2 by 2 with broad classification of the jobs and it gets interesting from here....
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@G2GAjaySharma
Ajay Sharma
2 years
Attention all traders and investors! This is your final call to attend the Face2Face Conclave in Goa! Get ready to gain valuable insights, maximize your earnings, & expand your network. But hurry, bookings are closing in a few hours!⌛️ 🔗 #Face2FaceGoa
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