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Vineet Jain Profile
Vineet Jain

@vineetjain1101

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Obsessed with equities | FMS Delhi | Tata Administrative Services | Ex Ministry of Jal Shakti, Govt of India

New York, USA
Joined July 2015
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 days
PF update for August 24. Two additions, minor performance and valuation based rebalancing, no exits. 12-15% 3B BlackBio Techno Electric Sunteck 10% Caplin Point 5-8% PDS Ltd Geekay Ducol Osia HOEC 2-4% Ugro Godawari Power Capacite Infra Jyoti Structures
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
1 month
PF update for July 24. Almost zero churn. Made a very minor adjustment at the end of the month. The position sizes are as per present value. >15% Techno Electric (700) 12-15% 3B Black Bio (410) Sunteck (260) 7-8% Caplin (580) PDS (360) Ducol (115) 4-6% Ugro (175)
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
@cricketkit @ThePollLady The name is irrelevant, Kit. Headley had an English name but a Pakistani perantage. It was a lesson for India to be a lot more careful in reviewing the backgrounds of citizens of any country and with any name, if they have Pakistani parentage. This is fairly routine and not
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
@WaitReborn @CricCrazyNIKS @harbhajan_singh Haha got to love Bhajji!! Sticking it up to the world before it became cool
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Took a position in Osia Hypermart today, 2.5% of PF. Still studying it and building conviction for a larger bet. A profitable and fast growing retail chain at 0.3 times price to sales, operating in an asset light FOCO model. Extremely compelling risk reward IMO. Ofcourse there
@Vedansh_Ag
Vedansh Agarwal
4 months
This is going to be a very big company in future, Research Done Channel Check Done Financials Analysis Done Management Interview Done Ground Report Done Customer Interview Done Franchisee Owner Interview Done Ex-Employee Interview Done DYDD | NO RECOMMENDATION
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
@tommyshahlby @cricketkit @ThePollLady It's a standard operating procedure buddy. If you have a Pakistani parentage, irrespective of where you were born or what your nationality is, the indian visa process takes longer. This is a well known fact and the England management is at fault for not handling the documentation
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
@paulvanmeekeren All the best for the world cup my friend
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
2 months
I'm surprised that so many investors are surprised with the rise in capital gains. As any sane person, I want to pay lower taxes, but still, I find this budget pragmatic, responsible and growth oriented and I think it is good for the markets in the long run. 1. Pragmatic
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
5 months
Proud to be a member of the core team that designed this amazing program at the Ministry of Drinking Water and Sanitation. Never landed up investing in any pipe or water infra company though. As they say, it's the folks who live closest to the station who miss the train ๐Ÿ™„
@soicfinance
Intrinsic Compounding
5 months
Tap water supply in 2019 vs 2024 JAL Jeevan Mission has done wonders. Water Sectoral analysis coming on our YT channel this Sunday
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
Techno Electric is among India's best power EPC company by capabilities, having market leadership in 765Kv transmission, and a very good standing in smart meters, FGDs and other power EPC. But it's their data center business plans that I am most excited about! High level story:
@technodcindia
Techno Data Center
6 months
Ever wondered what exactly is inside a #hyperscale data center? From advanced cooling systems to robust security measures, hyperscale data centres house thousands of servers that enables seamless #connectivity and data storage on an unprecedented scale.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
11 months
Life update: I've moved to the US, following my wife who moved here a couple of months back with PepsiCo. I'm still at my India job with Tata Consumer for a few months, but will be looking for opportunities here in New York. May be on and off on market tweets for a while, but
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
1 year
Armchair finfluencers ๐Ÿ˜€ No dearth of entertainment on X (no pun intended)
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
Thank you Ashish for calling this out. Few (even among many well educated folks) understand where we started from as a country and how far we've come. The fact that we are still ONE country and a democracy is a massive achievement for our size, diversity, complexity and lack of
@LuckyInvest_ARK
Ashish Kacholia
4 months
@dmuthuk India went through many challenging times such as wars, droughts, oil crisis etc post independence All the roaring PSUs of today, the IITs, IIMs, RECs, AIIMS, ISRO, BARC, BHEL, ICICI, HDFC, TCS, Infosys etc etc were started in those 40 so called lost years. The fact that India
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
Terrific video by @ravidharamshi77 on opportunities in energy transition. Underscores the importance of finding concentrated profit pools in this theme that many call a oncein a lifetime opportunity. Go after the parts where companies have a right to win.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
1 year
I've been getting a lot of questions on why I have such a high allocation (over 20%) in an illiquid, BSE only stock like Kilpest. Here's a short thread my reasons. Please do not treat this as advice. I could go wrong, or may sell anytime. Please RT for reach :)
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
17 days
350cr mcap company announced a fund raise of 700cr through preferential and warrants :) Diluted mcap will be 1150cr plus with around 700cr cash on books for growth. Quite stunning if this goes through! Invested, biased and excited.
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Took a position in Osia Hypermart today, 2.5% of PF. Still studying it and building conviction for a larger bet. A profitable and fast growing retail chain at 0.3 times price to sales, operating in an asset light FOCO model. Extremely compelling risk reward IMO. Ofcourse there
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
PF update for May 24 >15% Techno Electric 10-12% 3B Black Bio Sunteck 6-8% Caplin PDS Kalyani Cast Ugro 4-5% Swelect HOEC Ducol GPIL 2-4% Osia Hyper Geekay Neuland Jyoti Structures PF is at an all time high at the end of May 24. The month has largely
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
PF update for April 24 >10% Techno Electric Sunteck 8-9% 3B BlackBio Neuland Caplin Point Kalyani Cast 5-7% PDS Geekay Ugro Swelect HOEC Ducol 3-4% Godawari Power Phantom <2% Kanchi Kapooram Jyoti Structures April was the lowest churn for me in a long
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
2 months
PF update for June 24. Have been asked by a lot of folks so adding approx average buy prices in brackets. >15% Techno Electric (700) 12-15% 3B Black Bio (410) Sunteck (260) 8-10% Caplin (580) PDS (360) Ducol (115) 5-6% Ugro (175) Kalyani Cast (425) 3-4%
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
PF update for May 24 >15% Techno Electric 10-12% 3B Black Bio Sunteck 6-8% Caplin PDS Kalyani Cast Ugro 4-5% Swelect HOEC Ducol GPIL 2-4% Osia Hyper Geekay Neuland Jyoti Structures PF is at an all time high at the end of May 24. The month has largely
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
1 year
Terrific session by @soicfinance today in Mumbai. The power of networking in investing can not be overstated. Met a lot of very knowledgble folks. Learnings compound even faster than wealth. Thanks @ishmohit1 for making this happen! Let's catch up when I'm in Delhi next :)
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
PF update for April 24 >10% Techno Electric Sunteck 8-9% 3B BlackBio Neuland Caplin Point Kalyani Cast 5-7% PDS Geekay Ugro Swelect HOEC Ducol 3-4% Godawari Power Phantom <2% Kanchi Kapooram Jyoti Structures April was the lowest churn for me in a long
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
5 months
PF udate for March 24 >10% Sunteck Techno Electric 3B Black Bio 7-9% Caplin Point Kalyani Cast Tech PDS Neuland Ugro 4-6% Geekay HOEC Ducol Godawari Power 2-3% Phantom Fx Sterling & Wilson <1% Swelect Fun month? Lots of opportunities to add to
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
9 months
Such ignorance. Can only come from someone who has never run a business or managed a team before.
@shome_rajarshi
Rajarshi Shome
9 months
It is funny that people go for a 9-5 job and expect to be heard, respected and admired. Dude, you are given a salary to get the work done. So shut the f up and do your job. Your masters are paying you to get the job done. They do not care about your feelings. They do not care
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
Used the money to buy Bajel Projects at 125. Forced selling has brought this Bajaj group Power Infra and EPC company down by almost 40% since demerger. I find the risk-reward compelling given the tailwinds in the sector. Small position at the moment, as I'm interested in
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
And this has doubled in two weeks! What a crazy market we are in. Taking profits and moving to better risk reward trades for now. Definitely a buyer on large dips.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
2 years
Genuinely surprised that most of my holdings are posting solid numbers ๐Ÿ˜€ PDS Vadilal Neuland Caplin Kilpest Ugro Apollo Finvest IDFC Equitas Aurum Proptech Gati Sunteck Newgen inline, Valiant disappointed. Waiting for Strides, Globus, Ibullreal, Blackrose, ArvindF
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
PF update for Jan 2024 While the bull market keeps doing bull market things, the core of my PF remains almost intact, but almost the entire sub 5% portfolio churned, and some more! 10%+ Sunteck Realty Caplin Point 3B Black Bio 7-8% PDS Ltd Neuland Labs Ugro Capital 5-6%
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
Like most people, I've been lucky to have an awesome year in the markets. Portfolio is about 2.5x of what it was at the start of the year. This pace is obviously unsustainable, but got to dance while the music is on! Closing positions and weights: 10%+ Caplin Kilpest
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
We may be at the beginning of a dogfight for deposits in the Indian banking landscape, led by the big dog, HDFC Bank. Here's a short thread on the potential second order ramifications on the banking sector, HDFC stock and other banking stocks.
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
Extremely interesting. My biggest take away: While HDFC Bank's 9MFY24 deposit growth has dropped, but their market share of incremental deposits for same period has gone up!! What does this tell is about the deposit growth of other banks? You do the math. Deposit growth of
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
5 months
PF udate for March 24 >10% Sunteck Techno Electric 3B Black Bio 7-9% Caplin Point Kalyani Cast Tech PDS Neuland Ugro 4-6% Geekay HOEC Ducol Godawari Power 2-3% Phantom Fx Sterling & Wilson <1% Swelect Fun month? Lots of opportunities to add to
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
PF update for Feb 2024 Finally the much awaited volatility has arrived. I've tried to use this to deploy some cash flows that I had recently. Expecting some more cash flows in March and April. Lucky timing I guess! I continue to concentrate my top 7-8 holdings with over 70%
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
Shrimp sector is hated + Equador has started to struggle + Indian export numbers are increasing. Confluence of factors may lead to big winners. Definitely worth studying for anyone wanting to play turnarounds. Disclosure: Invested in Coastal and Avanti
@Manojeet_Das
Manojeet Das
8 months
Which sectors are currently hated by the market?
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Markets are starting to get to that stage where many of us start believing that we are specially gifted investors. I'm guilty of feeling that way too when I see the portfolio hitting all time highs regularly. But I try to quickly remind myself that this is less me and more the
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
2 years
I'm lazy to write investing threads. Hell, I'm lazy to read long investing threads too. So I'll try to write short 5 point thesis threads for companies I hold or am tracking, starting today ๐Ÿ˜€ Here's the first one on an iconic logistics giant which is turning around: Gati Ltd
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
The toughest decision to take in markets is to take less decisions. Doing nothing is underrated ๐Ÿ˜€
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
11 days
Bubbles usually don't burst, but inflate further, when everyone cries bubble. Just saying.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
This is still a text book bull market correction. Sharp and swift, cleaning excess liquidity. Will likely reverse without warning too. My system is to buy more of my top conviction bets, bit by bit. Cash rich, high RoE business with growth triggers at reasonable valuations.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
1 year
As my friend @ishmohit1 says, sizing is khaas, baaki sab bakwaas. Top 5 are now 60% of PF. No recos 20%+ Kilpest(436) 8-10% Caplin(516) Sunteck(237) Ugro(163) PDS(351) 5-7% Equitas Neuland Satin Gati 3-4% Marine Geekay Snowman 1-2% Homesfy Apollo Finvest <1% Bansal roofing
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
1 year
Big PF changes last two weeks. Buy price for large holdings() No recos! Markets have been kind. Now hold 10% in cash 15%+ Kilpest(436) 9-12% Ugro(163) Caplin(516) Sunteck(237) 5-7% Neuland Equitas PDS Shyam 4-5% Satin Spandana Gati 3-4% Marine Geekay Snowman Sub 2% Homesfy
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
People wondering why Rain Industries is rallying today - here is the reason. They were unable to import enough raw per coke which is a key raw material for their main product calcinated pet coke (CPC) due to a government cap. They've had capacity utilization under 50% for years
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
Bought Hindustan Oil Exploration today. Here's the thesis in four pictures ๐Ÿ™ƒ Not a reco. I don't understand the business completely myself and an still studying it.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Individual multibaggers are vanity, portfolio level returns are sanity, position sizing is reality! Top 3 positions now hit 40% of my PF. Highest probability of success with lowest downside potential = highest allocation
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
Sold half of my Neuland position today after an interesting concall. Made well over 4x in a year and a half on it. They have categorically mentioned that they expect revenue growth to taper and margins to reduce from present levels for FY25. They have always maintained that
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
Generally solid set by Neuland. The numbers will remain lumpy QoQ. The market may react negatively on Monday though. At 30 times trailing, seems fairly valued and I don't see too much scope for rerating. Disclosure: Invested from under 1500. Not buying. Not selling.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
5 months
This another 72cr annual revenue for Sunteck - takes the total rental yield to around 140cr per year already. This will go to around 300cr by FY26. Even at a conservative 10% rental yield, the value of just the commercial properties should already be around 1400cr and will be
@EquityInsightss
Equity Insights Elite
5 months
Sunteck Realty expands its commercial portfolio๐ŸŸข - Second building at BKC junction leased to Bennett, Coleman & Co Ltd. for a long-term tenure. - Total area at 2 L sqft leased at 300 sqft/month. - Total revenue to be generated of 2000 Cr over the tenure of 29 years. - Last
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
Took a position in IZMO Ltd yesterday at 260. It's a bit speculative as I don't understand the business well enough yet, but the risk reward looks very good to me on first principles with a lot of margin of safety. Thanks @RahulArya7 for this idea. It's quite a unique and
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
26 days
57% growth in EPS YoY for 3B Blackbio on a 35% growth in sales. Cash rish, no debt, high margin, high growth. Safe to call it a 'quality' business now?
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
3b Black Bio keeps moving along like clockwork! Excellent numbers again. One of those unique businesses that is in an emerging area that is not yet attracting a lot of attention, is net cash high margin, doesn't require much capital to scale and is available cheap. Peak risk
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
Valuing real estate companies is not straightforward. Especially when some companies follow the project completion method. Sunteck Realty in its Q3 results has .adequate it a bit more intuitive by introducing the concept of Embeded Ebitda, in addition to pre-sales. Here's how it
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
Valuing real estate companies is tricky. This is one way to do it. Sunteck will likely make a cash surplus of 2.5x their present market cap over the next five years. Reminds me of Buffet's 'Getting hit by a 2ร—4' analogy on realizing when something is cheap
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
Companies are raising funds left, right and centre, and markets are cheering many of these QIPs much like many private companies cheer fund raises. Rookie mistake. Remember that when a company you own raises funds, it dilutes its equity, your ownership in it, and it's EPS. If a
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
Like most people, I've been lucky to have an awesome year in the markets. Portfolio is about 2.5x of what it was at the start of the year. This pace is obviously unsustainable, but got to dance while the music is on! Closing positions and weights: 10%+ Caplin Kilpest
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
10 months
Some churn at the bottom quartile of the portfolio since the last update. None of what I do/share is a reco 15% Kilpest 9-11% Sunteck Caplin PDS Ugro 6-7% Neuland Equitas Marine Geekay 3-4% Bharat Bijlee Moldtek Tech Homesfy Phantom Ducol 1-2% Bansal roofing Apollo Finvest
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
PF update for Feb 2024 Finally the much awaited volatility has arrived. I've tried to use this to deploy some cash flows that I had recently. Expecting some more cash flows in March and April. Lucky timing I guess! I continue to concentrate my top 7-8 holdings with over 70%
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
PF update for Jan 2024 While the bull market keeps doing bull market things, the core of my PF remains almost intact, but almost the entire sub 5% portfolio churned, and some more! 10%+ Sunteck Realty Caplin Point 3B Black Bio 7-8% PDS Ltd Neuland Labs Ugro Capital 5-6%
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
@TH161_ @tommyshahlby @cricketkit @ThePollLady Let me explain the process in simple terms: 1. You apply for a visa with all the documentation 2. If you have Pakistani parentage, it takes longer, but it eventually gets approved 3. You get your visa stamped on your passport at the Indian embassy in your home country From
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
25 days
Trimmed 20% of my Techno Electric holding at 1625. No longer my largest position, still in the top 3. It's been an amazing run since March. A lot of the future growth seems priced in already, and there is little room for error. Q1 was decent in a seasonally weak quarter. No reco
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
Techno Electric is among India's best power EPC company by capabilities, having market leadership in 765Kv transmission, and a very good standing in smart meters, FGDs and other power EPC. But it's their data center business plans that I am most excited about! High level story:
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
9 months
Merry 'White' Christmas friends ๐Ÿ˜€
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
@gurjota Seems a pretty loose and speculative statement tbh, not grounded in any data, deeply rooted in bias. You may be right, you may not be. But the certainty in your statement, when what you're actually doing is pure guesswork, is the anti-thesis of rationality and common sense.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
@MarkHoward03 @gilly381 @BrianLara @FoxCricket The great BC Lara is so happy, and Gilly is so happy for him! Beautiful scenes. Big day for test cricket
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
Extremely interesting. My biggest take away: While HDFC Bank's 9MFY24 deposit growth has dropped, but their market share of incremental deposits for same period has gone up!! What does this tell is about the deposit growth of other banks? You do the math. Deposit growth of
@gurjota
Gurjot Ahluwalia
8 months
Note from Marcellus on HDFC Bank's Q3 results and stock price reaction In my view, the key monitorable going forward is the deposit mobilization which has been very volatile and hard to assess in the past few quarters. 9MFY24 retail deposits have seen a 15% degrowth YoY, which
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
20 days
Bought back Capacite Infra today after an excellent quarter and concall (among the best I've heard this season). Rock solid execution in Q4 and now Q1. Large tailwinds, good execution, low debt, expanding margins and reasonable valuations = good risk reward. 2.5% of the PF for
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
9 months
I don't usually like EPC companies, but took the position at market open in Capicat'e Infraprojects as it fits a confluence of factors on my risk-reward assessment. 1. Order book is over 10k crore, and Mcap is under 2k crore, so there is certainty of multi-year revenues
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
5 months
5000 friends on this beautiful platform :)
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
With Sora creating ripples in the hearts of VFX investors, this article by BBC makes a bold prediction: "At the moment around 250,000 people work in the VFX and animation industry according to the Animation, Visual Effects, Gaming and Comic (AVGC) Task Force. But it estimates
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
Watched 12th Fail last night, and I'm still tearing up! What an amazing story, and what a poignant rendition. Determiniation is, in my view, the most beautiful emotion. Manoj Sharma's journey will serve as a reminder for me any time I feel like quitting something I care about.
@ManojSharmaIPS
Manoj Sharma
8 months
เคถเคพเคฆเฅ€ เค•เฅ‡ เค•เฅเค› เคฆเคฟเคจ เคฌเคพเคฆ เค•เคพ เคเค• เคซเคผเฅ‹เคŸเฅ‹ เคฎเคฟเคฒเคพ เค†เคœ โ€ฆ.๐Ÿ™
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Cheap starting valuations, good unit economics and a sunrise sector allow one to take large bets as downside is protected. Then it's a matter of waiting long enough to get lucky. 3B Blackbio hits 4 digits today, and some more! Now 3x for me now on a large allocation
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
3b Black Bio keeps moving along like clockwork! Excellent numbers again. One of those unique businesses that is in an emerging area that is not yet attracting a lot of attention, is net cash high margin, doesn't require much capital to scale and is available cheap. Peak risk
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
1 month
The most important and toughest skill as an investor is the ability to say no. No to ideas that don't fit your system, style and temperament, even if they come from trusted and competent sources. It's very difficult to practice in a fomo laden environment like we are in now.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
2 months
Just got back to the US after a short trip to India. Spent five days in NCR on work and two days with family and close friends in Mumbai. When I was leaving for here last year, the overriding emotion was excitement of moving to a different country. This time I felt a touch of
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
Haven't seen a better first investor ppt than Shilchar's this quarter! Seedhi baat, no bakwas ๐Ÿคฃ
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@SureshKBN
Suresh K
7 months
Shilchar technologies investors PPT - This is what u need and this is what we r doing
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
10 months
Once Hardik is fit, I'd play: Rohit, Gill, Virat, Rahul, Hardik, Surya, Jadeja, Shardul, Shami, Bumrah, Kuldeep Come the semis at small grounds like Wankhede/Eden, IMO Surya adds a lot more value at 6 than Shreyas at 4, and Hardik is good enough to bat at 5. Thoughts?
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
24 days
Last quarter was 750% YoY rise in revenue. This quarter is 345% YoY rise. Suddenly everyone is bullish on Sunteck ๐Ÿ˜€ Ignore P&Ls for real estate companies. Focus on the pre sales and collection growth which are 30% and 19% respectively, extremely healthy! A new project announced
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Maine bola tha :) 750%+ rise in revenues in Q4 FY24 for Sunteck, but very much on expected lines for anyone who understands real estate accounting. Fund raising is a good omen - they are getting more aggressive to execute faster and rightly so. Let's see how the market
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Techno Electric's concall was quite delightful. If you are interested in power and data center themes, do give the quoted message a read if you haven't already, and do listen to the concall. @GanatraNandan bhai has summarized the key takeaways already for those of us who are
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
Techno Electric is among India's best power EPC company by capabilities, having market leadership in 765Kv transmission, and a very good standing in smart meters, FGDs and other power EPC. But it's their data center business plans that I am most excited about! High level story:
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Sunteck hits and all time high today on massive volumes. If the move sustains, it will be a multi-year break out. These usually don't stop in a hurry ๐Ÿคž I have written extensively about Sunteck over the past year. None of it is a reco. Please do your own research.
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Maine bola tha :) 750%+ rise in revenues in Q4 FY24 for Sunteck, but very much on expected lines for anyone who understands real estate accounting. Fund raising is a good omen - they are getting more aggressive to execute faster and rightly so. Let's see how the market
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 years
Conversely, a great honour and privilege to serve under Mr Iyer these last 4.5 years. Has been an amazing journey. More than nostalgia, today I feel satisfaction on looking back at what we've been able to achieve with the Swachh Bharat Mission. The end of an era.
@paramiyer_
Param Iyer
4 years
A great honour and privilege to serve under Honโ€™ble PM @narendramodi these last 4.5 years. His stunning announcement of the @swachhbharat mission on Aug 15, 2014 blew us away as we watched on TV in Hanoi. So lucky to get this job. He was kind enough to meet Indira and me today.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
Adding largely the same positions again Techno, Sunteck, Godawari, PDS. Also added Neuland, HOEC and Geekay today. That's essentially half of my portfolio stocks. The sale is on, and I want to keep nibbling. No reco.
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
My risk management strategy in volatile markets is to take profits from smaller, lower conviction positions and consolidate top positions, the ones where I will be happy to add if there are big dips. Just took profits from Shilchar and sold Izmo at cost. Using the proceeds to
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
19 days
Just got told off by a dude on a WhatsApp group that cash flow is only a concept taught in business school. Everyone is a professor these days ๐Ÿ˜€
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Whether you are happy with the election results or not, you've got to admit that this proves India's democracy is far from dead as many 'intellectuals' were voicing! This also shows just how much of an echo chamber many people on this platform have been living in, quite far
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
@ishmohit1 I missed out on the entire pipes sector in spite of designing the Nal Se Jal program for GoI! It's the people closest to the station that miss the train most often
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
2 years
The curious case of Vadilal Industries I was very excited when I found a fast growing FMCG business trading at commodity valuations. Recently, it has also become a potential special situation. But even though it seems a no-brainer on first principles, there are many blind spots.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
One of the biggest biases for us humans is that we tend to think more by correlation and less by first principles. We tend to force fit patterns for everything, even when they may not actually exist. Always, always think from first principles.
@investor_vineet
Vineet Bhatia
6 months
Get ready for liquidity crush in market, people scrambling to liquidate SMEs and small caps, It's all 2017-18 written over it :)
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
1000 and counting for Techno Electric!! Position sizing is khaas, baaki sab bakwaas :)
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
Techno Electric is among India's best power EPC company by capabilities, having market leadership in 765Kv transmission, and a very good standing in smart meters, FGDs and other power EPC. But it's their data center business plans that I am most excited about! High level story:
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
PDS delivered a weak flat quarter, largely owing to macro factors. But the concall was extremely interesting, especially around the development of the US business. Some key takeaways for me: 1. PDS has been empanneled as a vendor with Target, which is among the largest
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
11 months
On a day like today, PDS Ltd was up 10% and kept my portfolio afloat to end slightly in the green. Do study it. This video is an excellent resource to start. This is not advice to buy. I am invested and extremely biased, and have been wrong several times before.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Maine bola tha :) 750%+ rise in revenues in Q4 FY24 for Sunteck, but very much on expected lines for anyone who understands real estate accounting. Fund raising is a good omen - they are getting more aggressive to execute faster and rightly so. Let's see how the market
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
Valuing real estate companies is not straightforward. Especially when some companies follow the project completion method. Sunteck Realty in its Q3 results has .adequate it a bit more intuitive by introducing the concept of Embeded Ebitda, in addition to pre-sales. Here's how it
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
2 years
I love finding great managements at the bottom of a bad business cycle, and on the cusp of a turnaround. These situations offer excellent risk adjusted rewards. A short thread on one such great management - Arun Kumar and Strides Pharma.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
5 months
Looking for gyaan on investing in US equities. Want to start off with index funds, and slowly venture into direct equities after I understand the market better. Anyone with US investing experience and willing to chat, please put your hand up
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
1 month
Didn't imagine this would make me look so foolish so soon ๐Ÿ˜ Bull market lessons
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
Sold half of my Neuland position today after an interesting concall. Made well over 4x in a year and a half on it. They have categorically mentioned that they expect revenue growth to taper and margins to reduce from present levels for FY25. They have always maintained that
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
11 months
Was pretty lame watching @imVkohli refusing easy runs to get to 100. This blatant individual milestone chasing in a world cup, no matter what the match situation, is just unacceptable. Hearing Mankrekar jizz all over is cringe. Umpire doesn't call an obvious wide out of @BCCI
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
PDS sees stong QoQ growth like they had promised last quarter. Walking the talk. Very interesting concall where they reiterated that their investments are made from the P&L, which ot only means they are expensed off and will lead to very high RoCEs in the future, but also that
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
PDS delivered a weak flat quarter, largely owing to macro factors. But the concall was extremely interesting, especially around the development of the US business. Some key takeaways for me: 1. PDS has been empanneled as a vendor with Target, which is among the largest
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
As the market breadth weakens, buying into names with earnings momentum and triggers + decent valuations + cash generating businwss models becomes even more important. This is where the inherent risk management in one's portfolio will come through. I am slowly adding to my
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
6 months
Interesting take. I have not tracked the solar module manufacturing sector at all. Seems like the ALMM empanneled players have a big opportunity here, but there are way too many moving parts. For starters, the big three of Tata, Reliance and Adani are coming up with large
@Investindia6
Investindia
6 months
As per Ministry of Renewable Energy, they want to Install 500GW of renewable energy by 2030. Let's see hone kya vaala hai, because panel manufacturer margins are going to explode thru the roof. Solar capacity by 2030:270GW(out of 500) Solar capacity Jan 24: 73 GW(70 maan lo)
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
11 months
@Adityaxyz25 Largely agree, though I think it should be more your wedding your choice. In our case, our parents obviously wanted to spend their money and do a big wedding. We didn't want a big wedding, and didn't want our parents spending their savings.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
10 months
@ishmohit1 ~4x: Neuland Labs, Geekay Wires ~2x: Kilpest, Caplin Point Labs, PDS Ltd, Ugro Capital, Marine Electricals Learning: Improving fundamentals with flat stock prices is the best positioning. Take the bet. If it walks like a duck, if it quacks like a duck, it's probably a duck!
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
New position in NR Agarwal. 3% of PF for now. Have traded this in the past, and now with their new capex in paper boards is likely going live this quarter, and big earnings bump is likely in FY25. Presently trading at 6 times trailing cash flows. They've guided for 2500cr
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Decent umpire at our local cricket league game this morning in New York. No, he did not give bad LBW calls
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
5 months
Rail freight is an industry with huge tailwinds and not too much competition. The share of rail in overall freight is set to increase significantly with: 1. More freight trains 2. More freight per train The dedicated freight corridors are the biggest driver of point 1. The
@rahuja671
Rohit Ahuja
5 months
BSE SME companies lot size revision list Cosmic CRF PNGS Gargi Kaylani Cast Amic Forging Bondada Engineering Waaree Tech Rudra Gas etc. #noreco #SME #BSE
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
So here's the high level growth thesis, and big risks with Hindustan Oil Exploration. Valuations are super cheap anyway so no getting into them here. Thesis: Their total offtake (in MMBTUs, oil+gas) could increase by 3 times by 2026: This is largely due to: 1. Their north
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
Bought Hindustan Oil Exploration today. Here's the thesis in four pictures ๐Ÿ™ƒ Not a reco. I don't understand the business completely myself and an still studying it.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
@GemsOfCricket Only world cup winners should be in the team. Adam Gilchrist (wk) Sachin Tendulkar Ricky Posting (C) Viv Richards Aravinda DeSilva Yuvraj Singh Wasim Akram Shane Warne Mitchell Starc Glenn McGrath Mattiah Muralidharan
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
1 month
PF update for July 24. Almost zero churn. Made a very minor adjustment at the end of the month. The position sizes are as per present value. >15% Techno Electric (700) 12-15% 3B Black Bio (410) Sunteck (260) 7-8% Caplin (580) PDS (360) Ducol (115) 4-6% Ugro (175)
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
2 months
PF update for June 24. Have been asked by a lot of folks so adding approx average buy prices in brackets. >15% Techno Electric (700) 12-15% 3B Black Bio (410) Sunteck (260) 8-10% Caplin (580) PDS (360) Ducol (115) 5-6% Ugro (175) Kalyani Cast (425) 3-4%
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
1 month
Just took a tracking position (little over 1% of PF) in Samhi hotels. The only purpose of the purchase is to study the company and the sector. Been hearing about it from a lot of investors and friends I respect a lot. Top line thesis is supply gap in business hotels, big
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
During my time at the Ministry of Jal Shakti, we jokingly referred to folks who constantly nit picked at the Swachh Bharat and Nal Se Jal missions as "The Glass Half Empty Wallas". My friend here is being one. India is massive, and our problems are massive. That doesn't mean we
@abadjate
A.
7 months
Har Ghar mein Nal se Jal is a wonderful initiative by PM Modi. However, when the taps start running dry (just one bad monsoon season), what happens then? Focusing on creating the pipeline without figuring out sustainable supply is one of the worst ways to deploy capital
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
Modiji >>> Philip Kotler The comments section of this post reflects the genius of the man. Most people are fighting in favour of higher taxes :)
@NDTVProfitIndia
NDTV Profit
4 months
Over taxed, over priced! #BajajAuto MD Rajiv Bajaj slams government policies. Also read:
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
10 months
In addition to Gati, I also sold out of Snowman at market opening. Maybe my reading of the competitive landscape in the logistics sector was not completely accurate. Margin expansion is way harder than I had imagined. Managed to get out with 5% and 10% profit respectively. I've
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
4 months
India is underprenetrated in everything. The capex cycle is creating large tailwinds in many sectors. And so my focus as an investor is usually on the supply side. Where is competition the least, where are profit pools concentrated? T&D is one such theme in the power ecosystem.
@GanatraNandan
Health & Wealth
4 months
#TECHNOELECTRIC Received orders of 4063 Cr - that's huge ๐Ÿ’ช Probably biggest orders in its history Transmission : 2201 Cr Distribution: 1862 Cr I told you, Transmission & Distribution is powerful theme :)
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
11 months
The number of shareholders here has reduced by 60% in 15 months, while the stock has gone up with large volumes and high delivery percentages. Stock is up 2x in the time frame, mainly in the left three months. Strong hands accumulated? Technicals are not just charts.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
7 months
Amazingly honest interview by Amitabh Chaudhry, MD of Axis Bank to @latha_venkatesh on the deposit war among banks and its consequences. TLDR: Not looking good for banks. Scenario: 1. Fiscal consolidation going on 2. Monetary tightening still there 3. Exports slowing 4.
@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
We may be at the beginning of a dogfight for deposits in the Indian banking landscape, led by the big dog, HDFC Bank. Here's a short thread on the potential second order ramifications on the banking sector, HDFC stock and other banking stocks.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
3 months
Complacency in investing can be injurious to returns! While I'm happy with my portfolio stocks, I've been lazy off late and am not working hard enough to find new ideas. Not healthy. Suggestions on what I should study? Looking for high growth potential at cheap valuations
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
8 months
@tommyshahlby @RyanSen8998 @cricketkit @ThePollLady Relax. You seem to be shooting of the hip without reading previous messages on the thread. It has all the answers in reasonable detail.
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
9 months
1. Rail freight is the highest priority for GoI 2. These guys make specialized patent protected containers 3. They are CFO positive unlike many others in the segment 4. The promotor is a celebrated ex-railway officer 5. China has a near monopoly presently Super tempted. No reco
@equityayush
๐”ธ๐•ช๐•ฆ๐•ค๐•™ ๐”พ๐• ๐•ช๐•’๐•
9 months
Kalyani Cast-Tech Ltd This is not just another wagon manufacturer. It is something much more Incorporated in 2012, Kalyani Cast Tech Ltd is engaged in the casting business with an in-house & machining facility Stay with the thread ๐Ÿงต Like & Repost #Kalyani #StockMarketindia #SME
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@vineetjain1101
Vineet Jain
10 months
Heard moldtek tech's Q2 concall. This is quite a unique business and will be interesting to study. Intuitively the impending showdown in the US should impact them. But the management is confident of 40% bottom line growth. Took a tracking position.
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