Growth + Value Investor | My Investing journal | NISM Cert. Research Analyst | Equity Markets | Fundamental Analysis | Views are personal | SRCC alum | DMs 🤗 |
Real Estate Sector - Sector for next 1-2 Years🟢
Many of the players will do extremely well🔥
Do not miss this golden opportunity of the real estate upcycle🌆
4 Stocks, Important Metrics, Valuations - Everything covered in detail
Bookmark 🔖 for future reference
🔸Sunteck
Cheat Code for Multi bagger :-
- Starting valuations: 15-25 P/E
Lower the valuations higher the upside.
- Revenue growth: At least 25%
This means 2x revenue in 3 years.
- Levers for margin expansion
Operating leverage must play out.
PAT growth > REV growth.
If revenue
How to Track " Super Investors " using Screener ?
This has helped me a lot in my investing journey
Screened a lot of Multi baggers through tracking portfolios💹
A Thread🧵
VALUATIONS Simplified💹
Find Multi-Baggers 💸
Topics covered:👇
- P/E
- EV/EBITDA
- P/B
- Mcap/Sales
- EV/OCF, FCF
- PEG Ratio
- Forward Valuations
The most important concept
(Everything you need to know, Bookmark🔖)
A Thread🧵
Valuations ~ Simplified
Guys, I am working on a detailed thread where we will be discussing each valuation ratio:
- P/E
- PEG Ratio (P/E / Growth)
- EV/EBITDA
- P/B
- Mcap/Sales
- EV/OCF / EV/FCF
In detail, we will try to cover everything around it. Are you excited about it?
LIST OF 110+ Companies🟢
Management have guided to deliver 15-200 % Growth🔥
All stocks must be on radar
Bookmark 🔖 for future reference
🔸Indo count Industries
- REV Guidance: 20-25%
- Double the Revenue in the Next 3-4 Years
- Margin : 16 - 18%
- Volume guidance:
How P/E Expansion Works💹
Understand this for spotting future multibaggers💸
This is the main reason why stocks give multibagger returns:🔖👇
P/E Ratio = Share Price / EPS
Initial
- Share Price - 100
- P/E - 10
- EPS - 10
1⃣Now imagine P/E expanding to 20, EPS doubling in
Anant Raj: More Than Just a Data Centre Player
- Other growth levers which are rarely discussed.
- Differentiating factors that set Anant Raj apart from other real estate players.
- Massive land bank parcel ~ 300 Acres at prime locations
- Integrated development on Golf
Here are 5 high-growth stocks on my watchlist:
Growth Guidance 40-50 %💹
Will look to add during corrections.
1. Zaggle
- Double revenue in the next 2 years, >40 % CAGR.
- Looking for inorganic acquisitions.
- Long-term margin guidance: 15-16%.
2. Ganesha Eco
-
Entire Textile Sector Covered (20 + Companies)
Textile Players across the Value Chain
Valuations look attractive
Lot of players Trading sub 20 P/E on fwd basis
Many of the players will do well if the time horizon is 1 year+.
Centre plans to bring T-shirts and innerwear under
Semiconductors
The Indian Semiconductor market is expected to grow 20-25 % over the next 10 years.
Allied sectors will benefit from the semiconductor ecosystem.
The first major fab in India is being set up by Tata Electronics in Gujarat.
Key companies in this area include
One of my favourite fund house ~ Abbakus
One of the best GARP investors
"Growth + Value Investors"
Their main forte is not to overpay, but to find hidden gems at attractive valuations.
Make money from both :
"P/E Re-rating" + "EPS Growth"
Top winners in last 2 years:
- Stylam
My favorite fund house ~ Valuequest Investment Advisers
Top winners:
- Kaynes: 5x
- Kirloskar: 3x
They were early identifiers of many themes and have identified a lot of multibaggers.
Last 2 Year Transactions.
- Kirloskar Pneumatic: 1343 (463)
- Kaynes Tech: 3986 (764)
-
10 High Potential Smallcaps on my radar ✅
Growth Guidance: 30-100%💹
Differentiated Business Models Across 10 Sectors🟢
Star Housing
- AUM Guidance: 35-40%
- 2000 Cr AUM in the next few years
Suraj Est
- Pre-sales up 76% to 850 Cr
- Residential: 650 Cr
- Commercial: 200
Top Companies on my radar which I will always look to add during corrections🟢
EPS Growth > 25-100 %🔥
- Poonawalla Fin
- Zaggle
- Tejas Network
- Samhi Hotel
- IndiaMart
- Newgen Software
- Force Motors
- Venus Pipes
- MOFSL
- Nuvama
- Pricol
- PGEL
- Associated Alc
- SJS
-
Antony Waste
Management interview
Mcap - 1700 Cr
Order Book of 8300 Cr
Guidance of 20-25% revenue CAGR over the next 5 years
Expected EBITDA margin of 22–23% and PAT margin of approximately 10%
#antonywaste
#stockmarketsindia
Make the Most Out of the P/E Ratio💹
Find Multi-Baggers Using P/E Ratio💸
The most important concept
(Everything you need to know, Bookmark🔖)
Topics covered:👇
A Thread🧵
My Favourite fund house "Abakkus"
Post the entry of Abakkus Fund
After their entry:
- Shriram Pistons: 1100 --> 1957
- LT Foods: 162 --> 257
The most important part is that both of them were available at a 10 P/E.
- LT Foods re-rated from 10 P/E to ~15 P/E
- Shriram Pistons
🎯Spot Multibaggers💸
Entry/Exit P/E is the most important criterion that decides the future return potential of a stock💹
Let me highlight with an example:🔖
P/E Ratio = Share Price / EPS
Company Name: Studio
- P/E: 200
- EPS: 10
- Share Price: 2000
Case 1:
Earnings
Paras Defence (Bubble)🙃
P/E - 201x
P/Sales - 24x
EV/EBITDA - 103
Negative cash flows
Single-digit return ratios
Even if it falls by 80%, it will still remain expensive
Re Rated to unimaginable levels
#PARAS
Make 100 Cr by Investing 10 Lakhs🚀
💹The Best of Ramesh Damani -:
🔸Best Stocks in the world - Liquor & Tobacco
🔸Philip Morris up 2,000,000 times in $ terms
📊Markets have 2 kinds of people:
🔸Those with experience
🔸Those with money
📉At the end of a bull market:
🔸People
VALUATIONS Discussed in Detail📊:-
Most Common Metrics for Valuations:
- P/E
- EV/EBITDA
- Mcap/Sales
- EV/OCF, FCF
- PEG Ratio - (P/E / Growth)
(One of the best metrics)
Valuation Metrics for Different Sectors
REAL ESTATE:
- Mcap/Pre Sales
- Mcap/Embedded EBITDA
- Mcap/OCF
I like to buy companies that keep on beating their guidance, focusing on "Under Promise and Over Deliver" rather than "Over Promise and Under Deliver."
- KPIT Tech
- Anand Rathi
- Indian hotels
- Bajaj Finance
- Cholamandalam Finance
- Titan
- Kalyan
- Senco
- Max
- VBL
- Uno
Good Results Today, Long list👇
Must be on radar⭐️
Blockbuster
- PG Electroplast
- Sona BLW
- IEX
- Aurion Pro
- Bikaji
- TIPS
- V Guard
- Epigral
- KPIT
- CG Power
Good
- LT
- HFCL
- MAS Fin
- Shriram Pistons
- SBI Life
- Welspun Liv
- Petronet
Add👇if missed
#stockmarkets
Strong hands buying, weak hands exiting
23 companies where:
🔸Promoter, FII, and DII increased their shareholding
🔸Public shareholding decreased in the last quarter
Good mental model to screen stocks
#investing
#stockmarkets
Bloodbath in Semi Conductor Stocks
US is contemplating stricter trade rules to curb China's chip industry.
49% of ASML REV contributed by China
ASML makes the machines that are required to manufacture the most advanced chips in the world.
Manufactures photolithography
10 Stocks that I would have loved to add to my Portfolio
- Trent
- KPIT Tech
- Action Construction
- VBL
- Dixon Tech
- BSE
- Zomato
- RateGain Travel
- C.E. Infosystems
- Sona BLW
but what's stopping me
It's Valuations 😔
All in my watchlist, any day I get an opportunity in
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala increased his net worth by 7x on Budget Day, from ₹3 Cr ~ ₹20 Cr in just 3 hours.
This video always comes to my mind on Budget Day.
Please never take mindless leverage.
There is only one Rakesh Jhunjhunwala👑
#Budget2024
List of 30+ Companies🟢
Management have guided to deliver 15-40 % Growth🔥
All stocks must be on radar
Bookmark 🔖 for future reference
🔸Indo count Industries
- REV Guidance: 20-25%
- Double the Revenue in the Next 3-4 Years
- Margin : 16 - 18%
- Volume guidance: 110-115
Companies that delivered Blockbuster
#Q1FY25
Operating Leverage in Play💸
Delivered PAT Growth🔼30 - 100 %💹
I will look to add during a major dip🔖
A Thread🧵
Top Companies on my radar which I will always look to add during corrections🟢
Growing > 30-100 %🔥
Available at Decent valuations, PEG < 1-1.5 💹
- Venus Pipes
- Hariom Pipes
- Nuvama Wealth
- CDSL
- AngelOne
- Motilal Oswal
- India Shelter Finance
- Kalyan Jewellers
- Senco
Textile Export FY30 Targets ~ $100 Bn💹
Key Beneficiaries👇
🛏️Home Textile Players
- Welspun Living
- Indo Count
- Himatsingka Seide
- Faze Three
🔸Upcoming free trade agreements with the UK and Europe remains a key trigger.
🔸"China-plus-one" strategy is gaining momentum.
Entire Housing Finance Sector Covered🌇
Why Housing Finance ?
- Huge Tailwinds in the sector
- Beneficiary of the Real Estate upcycle
- Rate cut will boost the demand going ahead
Some are trading below 1 P/B for a reason
- No Growth in AUM
- Legacy Asset Quality Issues
- Single
Results Season has started with a bang🔥
Many companies are reporting 40-100% growth💹
Here is a way to track results effectively
Find Multi-Baggers Using Screener💸
A Thread🧵
👕TEXTILE SECTOR ~ Poised for Growth in FY25💹
Home Textile Players🛏️
- Welspun India
- Indo Count
- Himatsingka Seide
- Faze Three
- Trident
~ "China-plus-one" strategy is gaining momentum as brands diversify away from China.
~ Bangladesh and Vietnam gained market share
Entire Textile Sector Covered (20 + Companies)
Textile Players across the Value Chain
Valuations look attractive
Lot of players Trading sub 20 P/E on fwd basis
Many of the players will do well if the time horizon is 1 year+.
Centre plans to bring T-shirts and innerwear under
List of 30 Smallcaps🟢
Available at >🔻25% Correction
Which ones look like value buys, and which ones would you like to consider adding?
Angel One
Arman Financial
C.E. Info System
Credo Brands
D B Corp
Datamatics
Dreamfolks
EMS
Gabriel India
GMM Pfaudler
Hariom Pipe
IFGL
Nalanda Guys are extremely smart
They added Thermax in 2020
Made approx 7 X on their investment
Today Sold 15 L shares @ 5100
Kudos 👏 to them
Still they hold approx 66 L shares
They bought it when no one was interested in the capital goods theme
Today SBI mutual fund bought
No one was interested in Amara Raja and Exide when they were available at such attractive valuations in 2022-23.
Amara Raja was quoting below 15 P/E.
Exide was quoting near 20 P/E.
Now it seems everyone is getting bullish when the multiples have already been elevated.
Amara
Both Exide and Amaraja were written off
Now both towards their 52 week highs
Now for Exide Valuations seems little high as compared to Amaraja
Amaraja looks much better in terms of risk reward
Trades at 17 P/e v/s Exide at 30 P/e
New business scaling quite well and it is
Lot of themes look very attractive:
♻️ Waste Management
🖥️ Data Centres
🛡️ Defence
🚆 Railways
🌿 Renewables
🚢 Shipbuilding
⚡ Power - T & D
🏭 Capital Goods
💧 Water
But not at current valuations.
No doubt, about the growth, Runway is huge.
The best time to enter a theme is
👕 Textile Players across the Value Chain
Textile Export FY30 Targets ~ $100 Bn 💹
TEXTILE SECTOR ~ Poised for Growth in FY25
Many players trading below 20 P/E on a Fwd basis.
Now, the government's focus has shifted here, which is positive for the sector.
The center plans to
List of 30+ Companies🟢
Management have guided to deliver 15-40 % Growth🔥
All stocks must be on radar
Bookmark 🔖 for future reference
(Part ~ 3)
🔸Fino Payments
- E FY25 : 25% Growth
- Profit growth will be higher due to operating leverage
- SFB License - huge
List of 30+ Companies🟢
Management have guided to deliver 15-40 % Growth🔥
All stocks must be on radar
Bookmark 🔖 for future reference
(Part ~ 2)
🔸Anand Rathi:
~ 20-25 % AUM growth for the next few years
~ 30 % PAT Margins
🔸L&TFH:
~ Retail 25 % AUM Growth
~ >95 %
Top Companies on my radar which I will always look to add during corrections🟢
Growing > 25-100 %🔥
Available at Decent valuations, PEG < 2 💹
- Phoenix Mills
- Sobha
- Venus Pipes
- Hariom Pipes
- Nuvama Wealth
- AngelOne
- Motilal Oswal
- India Shelter Finance
- Home First
This is Huge 🟢
Ashish Kacholia Sir Bought 9.1 L Shares worth 40 Cr in SG Mart
SG Mart – Tech Enabled B2B marketplace for Construction Materials
E REV FY27: 18,000 Cr
FY24:
REV: 2683 Cr
PAT: 61 Cr
OCF: 32 Cr
Covered 👇
#SGMART
#SGmart
SG Mart - Huge potential🟢
SG Mart – Tech-Enabled B2B marketplace for Construction Materials
Total Revenue Potential FY27: 18,000 Cr
B2B construction material industry
Addressable market - Rs 6 Lakh Cr
FY24: Solid🔥
REV: 2683 Cr
PAT: 61 Cr
OCF: 32 Cr
ROCE : 43%
Net Cash:
Watch the legend during peak pessimistic situations
SENSEX
- Jan 2008 : 21,200 Peak
- Oct 2008 : 7,700 bottom
Drawdown ~ 64%
By 🐐 Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
"Now is the best time to buy the riskiest assets
Greatest returns over the next 2 years"
When markets price in pessimism,
👕 Textile Players across the Value Chain
Textile Export FY30 Targets ~ $100 Bn 💹
TEXTILE SECTOR ~ Poised for Growth in FY25
Many players trading below 20 P/E on a Fwd basis.
Now, the government's focus has shifted here, which is positive for the sector.
The center plans to
EMS Industry
Electronic manufacturing is likely to double in the next 5 years to ~ $250 Bn.
Current electronic exports: $125-130 Bn
Currently, 25 lakh people are employed, with a target to double employment in the next 5 years.
The EMS industry is set for rapid growth in the
Todays Crash was a buying opportunity....
I tried to deploy as much as I could.
I'm still holding some dry powder.
I couldn't imagine so many of them were frozen in the Lower Circuit.
Prestige, Vaibhav, Goodluck, Angel, Nuvama and many more
This was a great sale in
List of 50+ Companies🟢
Management have guided to deliver > 20 % Growth🔥
All stocks must be on radar
Bookmark 🔖 for future reference
🔸Home First Finance:
~ AUM Growth > 30 %
~ Disbursement 20-25 % Growth
~ ROA 3.5% to 3.6%
~ Leverage will increase to > 5 X in next 2
Two Dhamaka Results 🔥
Both sub 1000 Cr Mcap
- Lotus Chocolate
(After the acquisition of Reliance Retail, reported blockbuster results)
- Ratnaveer Precision
Top Companies on my radar which I will always look to add during corrections🟢
Growing Min > 25-100 %🔥
Available at Decent valuations, PEG < 1-1.5 💹
- Beta Drugs
- Phoenix Mills
- RateGain
- AurionPro
- Signature Global
- Sobha
- Sanghvi Movers
- Medi Assist
- Venus Pipes
-
CDSL🔥
Amazing journey till now💹
5 X PAT in 5 Years✅
From 16 P/E Re Rated to ~ 53 P/E
5 Year Stock CAGR : 68 % (up 12 X in 5 years)🔥
Solid Cash generation with > 30 % RoE
5 Year Sales CAGR : 33 %
5 Year Profit CAGR : 30 %
FY20
- PAT : 107 Cr
FY25
- PAT : 500 Cr ARR
Massively Undervalued Hold Co.
Assets Value Exceeds > 10,000 Cr (3-4x Opportunity)
RPSG Ventures (MCAP ~ 2500 Cr)
RPSG Ventures is a diversified conglomerate with various assets.
~ RPSG holds a 53.66% stake in FSL
(Market Cap 16,800 Cr)
~ Brand portfolio - Too Yum,
1 st SmallCap High Potential Stock - RPSG Ventures
RPSG Ventures Ltd is a diversified conglomerate in various sectors such as IT, FMCG, Sports, Realestate
All of its businesses are carried out through various subsidiary companies except of its IT services business
RPSG Ventures
Zudio ~ Growth Engine for Trent
Zudio's store count grew at a 60% CAGR over the last 3 years, SSG ~ 10-12%, RoE ~ 30%
An amazing growth story, played out very well
The question is, at a 200 P/E, does it make any sense to hold it?
Awesome explanation by Marcellus.
Regret
10 Interesting Smallcaps on my radar ✅
Growth at Reasonable Price (GARP)🟢
Fwd PEG < 1 , P/E < 20 x🔥
Growth Guidance: 20-40 %💹
🔸MAS Financials (P/B ~ 2.7)
- 20-25 % for next few years
- NIM's 6.75-7.25 %
- Leverage 4-4.5 X
Raised 500 Cr QIP to support the growth journey
REAL ESTATE ~ 12+ Companies Covered✅
Valuations + Guidance + Checklist List💹
Everything you need to know🌇👇
Leader of Current Bull Market, still lot of upside potential left
(Must be on radar)
🔸Suraj Estates : FY25
- Pre Sales 🔼76% - 850 Cr
- Residential: 650 Cr,
Currently Markets have become expensive❗️
Still there are lot of Interesting Opportunities in the Smallcap Space💸
Trading below 20 P/E on a fwd basis, PEG < 1💹
6 opportunities, Across diversified sectors👇
A thread🧵
Dollar Industries🟢
FY25 Guidance
- 12-13 % Growth
- 100 bps margin expansion
FY26
- REV 2000 Cr
- 13-14 % EBITDA Margins
EPS growth will be high due to Operating Leverage
One of the outperformers in the hosiery space
- Signs Mahesh Babu as Brand Ambassador
- Aims 50 % REV
6 + Videos Related to the Stock Market & Investing to watch this weekend by Market Veterans
(Must Watch Videos)
- Samir Vartak
- S Naren
- Ridham Desai
- Manish Chokhani
& Many more
Market Outlook, Way Ahead, Sectors Positioning
🧵👇
14 Companies that demonstrated Operating Leverage
EPS Growth > Revenue Growth💹
Delivered Blockbuster
#Q1FY25
🔥
EPS Growth > 40 %
⭐Valuations on higher side for most of them, any dip can be a good opportunity
#investing
#stockmarkets
My favourite sector ;)
Even
@VijayKedia1
sir likes it, huge validation🔥
Exciting space with huge runway of growth
Capital Market Segment
AMC/Wealth Management/RTA/Brokers/Depositories/Exchanges
AMC - HDFC/NAM/ABSL/UTI
Wealth Management - Nuvama/360 ONE/Anand Rathi
RTA -
One of the next big & promising sector is AMC & Broking Firms.
Disc: Invested in Motilal Oswal Financial Services at 525 - 550 levels & jio Fin 200 levels (incl free shares).
List of NBFC Stocks
This space have not done well relatively
Overhang of RBI regulation
Valuations have come down
Growth guidance of 20-40 %
PFC, IREDA, IRFC stands out among all in terms of returns, as it is PSU related
Bajaj Finance/Cholamandalam/IREDA remains the highest
Cochin Shipyard
Power of Re Rating✅
" Buying at lower multiples is the key to make multibagger returns "⭐
Re Rated 7 P/E ~ 90 P/E (12 X)🔥
1 Year Returns : 9 X
3 Year Returns : 14 X , Crazy
Returns are entirely led by valuation expansion
3 & 5 Year Profit Growth : 10 % &
Sector Rotation in Bull Market🎯
Every sector has a timing :
- IT
- FMCG
- API
played out well in 2020-21
- Real Estate
- Energy Storage Manufacturers (Amara Raja, Exide)
- Capital Market related ~ AMC's, RTA, Brokers
playing out in 2023-24
Identify the right sector
Hold
How to Choose a Stock?⏬
~ By RAKESH JHUNJHUNWALA💹
"Beauty lies in the eye of the beholder"
- Opportunity size
- Addressable opportunity
- Business model
- Earnings growth
- P/E expansion
- Patience
- Exit should be an independent decision
- Sell the flowers and water the
Sanghvi Movers - Solid🔥
Received 2 work orders ~ 180 Cr✅
Both To be executed in FY25💹
- First order: Turnkey customized solution for an eminent Independent Power Producer (IPP) in the renewable energy sector.
Duration: 10 months; >95% to be executed in FY 25.
- Second