Three decades in equity markets. Watching global financial markets & sharing general gyan. Comments on stocks are not recommendations. RTs not an endorsement.
I generally refrain from specific recommendations or outrightly advocate an investment opportunity. I would like everyone to read & learn. Once we educate ourselves & are convinced about a company/sector, only then can we enjoy the investment journey & make it profitable. 🙏
Can someone from Nagpur or any other location get me her account details or phone number. Want to get her a new shop or whatever she needs to step up her enterprise. God bless and Respect 🙏
Unbelievable! Was cleaning up the library at home. Came across a Time Magazine issue dated May 18, 2008. It has a mask on the cover....and titled
"Why You'll be Wearing Masks Again" (May 18, 2008)
RJ, I owe him big time. My first day in Bombay 23 years back was a visit to his office. Took his blessings & started an office. Looked up to him. Even a few weeks back he responded to my WhatsApp messages with humility & kindness.
A rare soul. Loved always and Lives forever🙏
Sat with a friend for a few hours. Together, zeroed in on 11 stocks after discussions (5 yr portfolio) with 2x-3x churn & investment in tranches. Did this after ages...
ITC
USL
HDFC
RIL
TaMo DVR
SBI
Bharti
HCL-T
Zee
HDFC Life
Ambuja
Note- Not a recommendation. Just for info.
Save this tweet. Next 5 years, SBI will outperform HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. Won't be surprised if the current price exceeds that of HDFC Bank...
Note - No investment and no positions....
Sushil, everyone is posting photographs of fancy Mercs, BMWs and some of the most expensive cars they acquired from Options trading. Yaar, hum toh kuch na kiye aaj tak. Sirf baal safed ho gaye analysis kar kar kay 😊
@sushilkedia
Some key points made by Deepak Parekh (HDFC) in his Webinar (post Covid-19 outbreak)
1. This is a Human Economic Financial (HEF) crisis. Completely different from 2008. Will take minimum 9 months to recover fully from it.
Must listen to what
@AnilSinghvi_
spoke on
@ZeeBusiness
today...Endorse his views and investors should position themselves...don't trade please, remain invested and find high conviction top quality companies....
Whatever criticism we may have, but must give credit to Indian Govt for setting up payment apps like BHIM and also many other domestic solutions like Rupay. We must encourage use of these.
This is a distressing image. As an Indian I am really upset and have no sympathy whatsoever for the farmers agitating. This image destroys the complete farmer agitation. Identify and lock-up all these vandals and goons.
Nykka offering at $7.2 billion is scary. More so, there is gossip of listing around $11-12 billion valuations. Old school value pickers like me balk at the idea of buying something at 25-30 times sales.
5 prospective 5x stocks in 5 years.
1. Welspun Corp
2. Sadbhav Eng
3. JSL
4. SpiceJet
5. Adani Gas
Very high risk. Can fall 30-50% before rising. Pls study & seek advise.
NOTE- Vested interest in recommendations. Can lose substantial/all your capital.
Brickbats welcome.
Friends, do remember, whatever I share is not theoretical reading. I have lost unimaginable amount of money and learnt the hard way. I speak with skin in the game and after lot of blood letting. Fought many battles within and outside in this 27 year investment journey.
*Elon Musk’s Starlink was trying to beat Jio in India*
*But Jio used its 1st mover’s advantage to stop them in their tracks*
*The SHOCKER? Indian Gov is changing a 138 year old law that will bring Starlink back in the game*
*Here’s how Elon is rethinking internet & can
Invested in HDFC Bank today. First deployment in the last 3 years. Was 1700 on April 4th, 2022 post-merger announcement. Trading at 1420 today and this is not a trade but a 5-year holding in place of a bank FD for me. Just for info and not a recommendation.
Spare some time and read the latest AR of United Spirits (USL)...
If you can't read the full report, do read 4 pages extract below...Indian alcohol market potential & USL positioning with brands etc..
Disclosure - Vested interest
That's my Mom, makes me proud and so happy. I have achieved nothing compared to where she is and what all she is made of. Fortitude. Wisdom. Patience and lots of love for everyone..
Your blessing always, Ma 🙏
Word! The mantra for investing & wealth creation in India is to just stay away from the Futures & Options market. If you manage that, 75% of your out performance and wealth creation task has already begun. Read, take advise and stay put in good stocks. Conviction and Patience.
Favourable risk reward PSU stocks for the next 2 years.
1. Coal India
2. PTC India
3. IOC
4. IRCON &
5. GAIL
(Please read annual reports, research notes and discuss with a professional adviser before investing. Just my personal view and I surely have vested interest in some.)
Likely outperformers in 2023:-
1. Oil & Gas marketing/infra companies.
2. Insurance sector. I like LIC.
3. Select FMCG, as input prices fall. My bet - ITC.
4. Metals & few Mining plays. Inclined towards non ferrous.
5. Select Autos like TaMo.
Disclosure - invested and biased
Post Air India, we now need to watch BPCL, Concor, SCI, and some metal PSU. The next six to nice months will be interesting for PSU stocks. The most difficult one is done. The others would be much easier.
Deepak Parekh: Real estate heading to best of times
Not just mortgage lenders & real estate companies, there are excellent proxy plays. Building material companies like HIL, Ceramic Tiles, Cement like Birla Corp etc.
Do your research & seek prof advise. Lots of opportunities.
Inside the chaos at Zomato
"Deepinder Goyal didn't like the message. Or more specifically, a snapshot of a conversation privately exchanged between two Zomato executives. One of them, a fairly senior product executive, had disagreed with something Goyal had said or done and
Vodafone Idea may have a strategic investor taking control.
Good possibility & will be a game changer for the telecom sector. Not only will Idea grow, the sector will change for the better...
Time to buy Bharti either way. Will be the biggest beneficiary
"....the flood of money being sucked into the start-up ecosystem is an unalloyed positive for the country. Even if all this new capital is burned, the cash burn will fund jobs, infrastructure and innovation. It will be money spent in India. This will be a huge growth multiplier."
"A tribute to RJ
Everything Rakesh foresaw for India will happen in the coming years. His legacy is indelible"
Well written piece by Akash Prakash in
@bsindia
In my sense, long-term investors can start investing and pick their stocks today. Many are at attractive prices. Each has to find his own high conviction ideas. I am looking at financials, manufacturing bets, media stocks, and non-ferrous metals.
Investment journey (PSU focus)
You can spend few hours this weekend reading about -
1. NMDC
2. IRCON
3. Coal India
4. PTC India
5. HPCL
Visit company website and most important, last three years annual reports.
A stock that's in stealth mode & I sense a big move in 2023 - > ITC.
Keep a watch, read about it and if convinced, use corrections to buy. Watch the charts too.
Disclosure - long and biased.
Even if your capital is 100 cr, and you are an "investor", never trade F&O markets. Derivatives are specialized instruments to be used primarily for hedging or traded by skilled & experienced traders. Not meant for investors as, over time, even your cash market shares get sold...
Keep the following themes on your radar:-
1. PSUs
2. Metals
3. Discretionary consumption
4. Engineering & Cap Goods
5. Old economy, asset rich cyclicals
Buying opportunity ahead in next few weeks/months. Identify 2-3 companies in each category with following attributes...
A seminal moment in Indian aviation history. Tatas get a great deal at 2700 cr cash and 15000 cr debt. This is going to be big for the Tata Group and undoubtedly a great signal to the investment community that Modi Govt is now on PSU reform and privatization.
For investors (small and HNI)....two big multi-baggers next few years ->
@varinder_bansal
&
@_anujsinghal
...
Listen to and read every word they say very carefully. Both are down earth, earnest and super knowledgeable assets...😊
3 sectors (kind of recession proof) come to mind as potential multi baggers next 5-7 yrs. Low sector mkt cap/total listed cap & obvious low GVA to total GVA of listed cos -
1. Healthcare (hospitals/diagnostics etc)
2. Liquour/Alchohol
3. Real estate
Even global comps are stark
Not heard anyone in the media or otherwise flagging the pump price of petrol at 72-77 a litre last 2 months while Brent has been 52-58. GOI sucking the consumers & complete silence at consumer end and media. Story needs to be done.
@ShereenBhan
@latha_venkatesh
@_anujsinghal
All serious investors in equities or beginners who want to buy safe & well-researched stocks, do subscribe to
@omkaracap
plans. An individual with a bright future as a portfolio manager & research pro is
@varinder_bansal
Known him for 15+ yrs & I also subscribe to his service.
30 cities under lockdown in China!
"Not just a shutdown, shutdown of every home...Whole city living on instant noodles..says, over 100,000 have probably died in last 3 months..."
How bad is it going to...
Putting in perspective. Just the content budget of Netflix for one year exceeds all the deals announced by Jio in the last few weeks (including the Rights issue of RIL)! US based OTT guys are in a different zone. See the list below.
True that! Likes of Nykaa, PayTM etc. really scare me. Can't fathom the multiples/valuations. What's more worrying is that 80-90% is OFS and not growth capital as money in.
Be positioned for a once in a decade valuation change/re-rating of top 5 PSU banks. Big time under ownership, business pick up and improving fundamentals.
Disclosure - Long PSU Banks. Long India.
Do read by Akash Prakash from
@bsindia
"We are entering a dangerous phase for the US economy and markets. There may still be a phase of sector rotation and higher markets ahead. Growth stocks could weaken and investors may move into value.....1/2
For me, a good investment now and on every decline - RIL ... Risk reward favourable ... (Closed at 2340/-)
Disclosure - Not a recommendation just a view. Please do your own study and seek professional advise.
I think, each one of us who has followed you, read your tweets and seen your videos, has travelled this insightful and emotional journey. You have brought a different reality of this pandemic to us. Courage, strength and many more miles ahead. 👍
IIFL Finance. This is one company that has a lot of potential in the long term. Managed by conservative and good promoters. Do read about it -
Disclosure - I am invested in IIFL Finance. Pls read and decide on yr own.
Equity markets appear set for a swift and deep cut. Watch your positions. Trade light. Risk reward is unfavorable in the short term. Keep tight stops.
Disclosure - vested interest always.
Sectors I am digging deeper into and looking for under-owned, reasonably priced, and good management/promoter to invest in for the next one to two years:-
1. Textiles
2. Pharma
3. Media
4. Cement
Suggestions welcome. Will be spending the next few weeks on this.
I would be buying Adani Ports and LIC today. These are 12-24 months investment bets.
Disclosure - Not a recommendation but just a view. Please do your research and seek advice from a RIA/professional.
Bet on auto ancillaries like - Gabriel, GNA, Jamna Auto, PPAP & Automotive Axles.
Disclosure - Vested interest. Please do your study and pick your stocks. Seek professional help also.
How Maruti is losing out- MG Astor is sold out for 2021, Skoda kushaq crosses 10,000 booking, Hyundai creta, Kia seltos, Mahindra xuV700 at 65000 bookings. Thar is on waiting
Prashant Jain positioning for next 5 years. His fund will make big money in select PSU Stocks including PSU Banks and others they are picking.....
"HDFC MF exited bluest of blue chips in April to lap up PSUs, insurers, auto stocks"
My Mutual Fund investment advisor shared this with me. Very useful to understand the tax implications for each fund category after the amendments yesterday.
Thank you
@PrableenBajpai
KOTAK BANK concalls takeaways -
1. Economic recovery seems more longish & drawn-out, about 6 to 9 months.
2. Some customers shifted from YES Bank to Kotak Bank.
3. Seen decent increase in saving deposits, marginal increase in current deposit & just stable term deposits...(1/4)
I mean even if we look like the mafiosi we are a hardy group of reporters on day 50 of an overwhelming journey through six states of India, having clocked 6000 plus kms. Meet Vinod & Prashanti, partners in passion for
@themojo_in
& of course the team that holds the Fort in Delhi
Just got this from one of the finest Portfolio Managers and SEBI RIA in India. He is also very well known on social media. I agree with him and wanted to share this with all investors who are genuinely worried today. Do read this before you take any decision.
Companies to read about during the long Holi weekend:-
1. GAIL
2. Hindustan Copper
3. Defence PSUs
4. Hemisphere Properties
5. Bank of Baroda
Looking for ideas that will move big before 2024 elections.
My tuppence, don't panic tomorrow when mkts open. What I see on the charts, talk to friends, social media etc., we shud hold 15900-16000 at close. Mid & small have already seen lots of damage. If you are an investor, keep nibbling. However, don't panic/exit good stocks....
(1/2)
Disagree Sir. Happiness, good health and your loved ones/relationships make or break life. Yes, one may accuse me of making this statement as I have enough money. However, trust me, not having anyone with you and being mentally disturbed breaks everything. 🙏
Any views, Sir
@PrannoyRoyNDTV
on freedom of speech, democracy & free markets in China? I hv never had the opportunity to visit China & neither 'am an academic or an economist. Do we have Google, Twitter, You Tube & pvt news broadcasting in China? 🤔 Wanting to learn/know more..
Quite right Uday. When we used to cover China for The World This Week 30 years ago, all we saw were lakhs of people in Mao tunics on bicycles. In every TWTW report yr-by-yr we saw massive transformation. Industry growth >15%.”India must awaken” 😳
@ZelenskyyUa
@PMOIndia
Our Honourable Prime Minister
@narendramodi
and
@PMOIndia
will play a key role in world peace. I sense a cease fire soon and thereafter both Russia and Ukraine engage in talks. No doubt India is a global leader in geopolitical issues and a peace loving democratic nation.
Is Vinod Adani The Mastermind Behind His Brother’s Empire?
Forbes unearthed dozens of offshore records that put the 74-year-old at the center multiple questionable transactions and uncovered his massive fortune of $9.8 billion, nearly all of it in shares
PM
@narendramodi
is the finest leader India has had in decades. We may criticize lot of his & Govt's decisions/inaction. However, do note, he is tackling over 6 decades of systemic rot & generally a non compliant population. PM needs time & our cooperation as citizens of India.
My own view: despite criticism on the handling of the lockdown and the migrant crisis, Prime Minister Modi remains a deeply popular leader. His supporters see him as a messaih, they will forgive many mistakes. And the fact that India has a weak opposition also plays into that
Some sectors/areas to read and find opportunities in for the next 12 to 24 months -
1. Manufacturing
2. Real Estate and construction plays.
3. Engineering and allied solution providers.
Will look up and suggest few specific (companies) names to read about over the weekend.
Prefer USL at the same EV. Diageo is the largest liquor company in the world with some crazy/most reputed brands. Jubilant has a top line of 4000 cr, EBIDTA 900 cr & mcap 48000 cr USL has a top line of 29000 cr, EBITDA 1400 & mcap of 47000 cr. (Disc-Invested)
Quote Tweet
Jubilant foodworks deserves to be re valued given Zomato valuations as
A) profitable
B) diversified beyond pizzas including jn Biryani, Chinese
C) has more user interface
D) has rights outside india
E) has a tested cash flow model
Yet at half of mkt cap
(Personal view)
I am of the view that many managements of listed companies coming on television are not being honest about the level of capacity utilisation and sales etc. Actual results may be worse. On ground checks are contradicting what most are talking.
Why Zomato IPO calls for a celebration..great point made by Swaminomic in
@timesofindia
"It denotes a new class of businesses with no great inherited wealth, connections to the political and social elite, dubious links with the mafia and corrupt politicians, or.....1/2
Have noticed over the last 3 decades that in India, smart money accumulates stocks (each his own favorite) during crises like these. Keeping the indices suppressed & buying side counters. Yes, it's not a one-day or one-week process. This happens over time and weak hands exit.