I covered Bangladesh and Hasina for the
@TheEconomist
for fifteen years. This is perhaps the most awful and fateful decision I have seen her take.
#Bangladesh
Extreme centralization is politically divisive and bad economics. In the words of someone outside Bangkok: “The Thai budget is an ice cream cone; when it reaches us the ice cream is gone”.
No sign that Bangladesh Army has even the semblance of control at this point. A correspondent in Dhaka: 18 people reported dead in a hotel owned by an Awami League loyalist after it was set on fire.
One of Bangladesh’s most shrewd observers,
@ZafarSobhan
, once told me: “Never underestimate the Awami League’s capacity to shoot itself in the foot.” What wasn’t clear to me at the time was that, in the end, this would occur by shooting dead young Bangladeshis.
#Bangladesh
The speed at which things are moving in
#Bangladesh
is truly extraordinary: The country’s president has ordered the release of jailed ex-prime minister Khaleda Zia.
#Bangladesh
INVESTIGATION — Bangladesh’s prime minister appointed Mohibul Hasan Chowdhury Nowfel to negotiate with the protesting students, but the education minister — responsible for the well-being of the nation’s students — was part of the problem.
You hear a lot about how the Thai economy — one of Asia’s most open — has miraculously turned the corner despite zero tourists and collapsing trade. Well it hasn’t. Imports fell 26% in July.
#WhatsHappeningToTheThaiEcoomy
It’s probably hard to overstate the magnitude of the power void in
#Bangladesh
following the Gen Z revolution & today’s military takeover: No political party with the capacity to govern, a military that seems reluctant to run the country, and no clear path to an election.
Interesting (& sobering)
@Asia_Foundation
survey of Thai economic conditions:
* Some 70% of SMEs make 1/2 or less of their pre-Covid-19 revenue.
* > 84% of Thais with only primary education have seen income fall by an average of 63%.
More here:
Today in
#Bangladesh
: Hasina chased into exile, military takes over, former PM Zia ordered released from jail, thousands to be freed, countless deaths in violence and reprisals across the country.
What autocracies do with their foes*.
• Bangladesh: jail them
• Myanmar: lock them away
• Thailand: exile them
• Laos: ban them to begin with
* Cambodia: put them on trial
* Vietnam: ban them in the first place
*select countries along the arc between India & Indonesia
Factoid: In January 1973, Dr. Edward Teller, the father of the hydrogen bomb, arrived in Bangkok to discuss whether it would be possible to cut a canal across the Kra Isthmus in southern Thailand by means of nuclear excavation. The New York Times
@a_nnaschneider
“Freedom makes a huge requirement of every human being. With freedom comes responsibility. For the person who is unwilling to grow up, the person who does not want to carry his own weight, this is a frightening prospect.”
Eleanor Roosevelt
Worth noting that these findings are from the lockdown era (survey data from May-Jun), published with a 2-3 month delay. Next survey (Aug-Sep) should be more telling.
In 1991, German Chancellor Helmut Kohl wanted to prevent the eastward expansion of NATO and Ukrainian independence, according to newly released files from the archive of the German Foreign Ministry. Was he trying to assuage Moscow?