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Phil Syrpis Profile
Phil Syrpis

@syrpis

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Professor of EU law @bristolunilaw . Not sure there's time for much beyond #brexit , but here's hoping... Also @syrpis .bsky.social

Joined December 2015
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
This may well be nonsense (it was ever thus...); but PM Johnson seems to have a plan. It gives me no pleasure to say this, but it will be difficult to stop. 1/
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Phil Syrpis
2 years
Fair play to Liz Truss. She’s assembled a Cabinet without Johnson, Patel, Dorries (or Frost), and managed to make it even worse.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
You know how the Chancellor cut fuel duty by not 1p, not 2p, but *drum roll* 5p per litre? Since last year's Spring statement, petrol prices have risen by... not 1p, not 2p, but *drum roll* 40p per litre.
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Phil Syrpis
3 months
I have to say that I am struggling with this notion of a super-majority. I was brought up to believe that a 52:48 ratio gives the winning side free rein.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
I find it most peculiar that the 'underlying culture' in Downing St didn't seem to create problems for Theresa May.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
Why does it take tweets from Dominic Cummings to prompt the media to find the footage of the Govt saying that its policy in March was herd immunity? When Ministers deny it (why?), why doesn’t the media show them said footage?
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
The shortage of lorry drivers is, apparently, a global problem. And yet we can solve it, apparently, by a short-term visa fix. Any pretence at coherence has left the building.
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
The dismissal of (eg) John Major's comments, on the grounds that he is a remainer, is one more reminder of how the shadow of the Brexit vote still casts a shadow over our politics. 🧵 1/
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Phil Syrpis
2 years
This shouldn't need saying again, but in view of today's media coverage of the NI Protocol, perhaps it does. The problems are *not* caused by the NI Protocol, but by this particular form of hard Brexit. 🧵 1/12
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Phil Syrpis
2 years
Just logged onto twitter... to see that the Govt and Tory MPs are telling anyone who disagrees with their position (on legal, moral, economic, or practical grounds) to 'shut up or else'. It isn't new. And it isn't good.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
I have been reading and listening to a lot of analyses of the reshuffle. Pretty much all of them seem to me to be wide of the mark. THREAD 1/14
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
4 years
Various tweets from @LeaveHQ are getting a lot of attention today. To sum up: a) Brexit is not going well (agree); and b) this is remainers' fault for failing to compromise (strongly disagree). Thread. 1/13
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
So, supporting Kwarteng and Truss, and their economic gurus, Minford, Lyons and a (slightly half-hearted) Jessop; we have Hannan, Lilico and Ashcroft and some of the more obscure residents of Tufton St. They have a near 100% track record. Of being wrong. About everything. 1/4
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Phil Syrpis
1 year
Given that the Govt got all the big calls right and delivered a world beating COVID response, it’s baffling that they seem to be at pains to challenge the jurisdiction of the inquiry they (belatedly) called. 1/3
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
The debate about 'levelling up' prompts this 10-tweet summary of the Johnson Govt. 1/10
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
Is the person laying into Naomi Osaka in the Daily Mail the same person who stormed off his own TV show claiming that he didn’t have to listen to criticism?
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
4 years
I started jotting down the similarities I see between right wing arguments for Brexit, and right wing arguments for lifting the lockdown, and now have what is quite an alarming twitter thread. 1/20
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
Johnson's 'deep state' conspiracy theory has, quite rightly, attracted a lot of negative comment. This thread identifies some of the collisions his Govt has had with people and institutions who stand in its way. 🧵1/15
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
Semi-serious question. How do we know how many letters Graham Brady has received? Say he has received 60, but wasn't persuaded it was time to act... what would stop him claiming that we had not got to 54?
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
Piggy-backing on the unexpected success of this thread, this is what I have been arguing for (from a strongly remain perspective). If there is no good Brexit, we can, and should, revoke. Clearly, the various parties are still some way away...
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
@PippaCrerar What are the constraints on the Govt's power? Parliament (select committees, the Lords), the ministerial code, the media, the courts, the EU/ECHR, protest, elections. The Govt has targeted them all.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
Jury trials are the latest in a long list of things which have displeased the Govt. Its reaction looks like it is following a familiar - grim - pattern. THREAD 1/11
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
The easiest way to stop this plan is to prevent him from winning the GE. That depends on the opposition working together. Looking at the relationships between Corbyn, Sturgeon, Swinson and Lucas; Johnson might well calculate that he has nothing to fear. 12/12
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
1. Announce ludicrous, eye-catching, unworkable policy. 2. Denounce all criticism from the establishment (or, now, the woke). 3. Blame the predictable failure of the policy on the critics. It’s looking very familiar.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
In short: They say that they are doing fine things 'for you'. But look at the evidence. They have done a lot more for themselves than they have done for anybody else. 10/10
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
9 months
I’m seeing lots of Cabinet Ministers expressing outrage at @BristolUni . How dare they. I have it on good authority that the National Anthem isn’t played before Cabinet meetings. Are they ashamed to be British? Are they in thrall to woke ideology?
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
Can I add my name to the chorus of voices (eg @guitarmoog ) calling for the Lab and LD parties to work together. There should (in my view) be no promises of a coalition. But there should be a shared commitment to stop Johnson's agenda (on Brexit and beyond). 1/4
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
Turns out that it is not just the judges who are enemies of the people. It’s the people too.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
This is a Govt, and a Prime Minister, who is fixated on power. His interest is short-term; to weather the latest crisis, and to survive. 1/4
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
4 years
The BBC is framing this as 'the day the UK stops following EU rules'. Can't help but to think that doesn't tell the full story.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
The thing that gets me more than anything else about Partygate is the attempts that are, and have been, made to justify the PM's (and Downing Street's) conduct. 🧵1/12
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
At the risk of repeating myself... the opposition parties are messing up this General Election. They will hand PM Johnson a 5-year mandate. Seen through a Brexit lens, things are very straightforward. But the opposition has simply failed to meet the GE challenge. Thread. 1/
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
A BBC journalist used 'deceitful' methods to secure 1995 interview. Wow. Have the 'outraged' press forgotten about phone hacking? Has the 'outraged' government forgotten about its relationship with the truth?
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
Was reminded of this today. Name the speech… ‘But today, too many people in positions of power behave as though they have more in common with international elites than with the people down the road, the people they employ, the people they pass in the street.’ 1/
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
There was, for some optimistic souls, a flicker of hope with the removal of PM Johnson. Perhaps things would change, and at least some measure of integrity and seriousness would be restored to UK politics. But no. 🧵 1/7
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
2022. Whether the Govt likes it or not, Brexit is still very much a live issue. What we are seeing (and I predict we will see a lot more of it) is a fracturing of support for the Govt's approach. THREAD. 1/17
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
1 year
After yesterday's intervention on net-zero, it's time for an assessment of Rishi Sunak. TL;DR: he's doomed.🧵1/11
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
These Downing Street parties. How come we know lots of detail re games, numbers, timings etc and yet don’t know who was there? Even though attendees have, it’s said, been speaking to journalists?
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
Funny how, for many Tory MPs, Sue Gray’s political links make her report and investigation partial and unreliable; while Richard Sharp’s make him a suitable man to uphold the independence of the BBC.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
If only the Northern Ireland Protocol had been as newsworthy as the Duke of Edinburgh Funeral Protocol...
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
The double-standards and hypocrisy of the Govt and its outriders - on almost all fronts - is dizzying. I get that it is a deliberate strategy, but really struggle to understand how so many people are taken in. Just a few examples... 1/7
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
As COVID restrictions are lifted, it is becoming more and more difficult to resist the conclusion that Brexit is having a profound effect on our economy, and its ability to recover. 1/6
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
The way he approaches Brexit should not be seen as cakeist and naive. In policy terms it is: but the thing is that his Brexit plan is not intended to succeed. Instead, it is only intended to create the narrative around which a GE can be won. 3/
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
4 years
#Marr Can someone please show the PM and Cabinet some graphs about what will happen to the economy in January after Brexit?
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
4 years
Unpopular opinion coming up... The stories about how slow the Govt was to react to the coronavirus tell us that the Govt does not plan properly, has a casual attitude to risk, and a strong belief in British exceptionalism. For those following Brexit, that is not news. 1/5
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
4 years
In policy terms, what’s the difference between ‘use your common sense’, and ‘do whatever you like’? 1/2
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
4 years
One of the root causes of the Govt's Brexit difficulties is that it has overpromised. We can, it is said, reclaim our sovereignty, with the freedom to make our own rules, and, at the same time, retain many of the advantages of EU membership. 1/14
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
But the plan is not to leave without a deal in October. That, as he knows, would cause huge disruption, and would not augur well for him as PM. The plan is to be ready to leave... but then to be thwarted by public enemy number two, the remainer Parliament. 6/
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
When you've lost the support of royalists at St Paul's, mumsnet, the red wall, the blue wall, the police and the civil service, business, David Davis, Steve Baker, Jeremy Hunt and Tobias Ellwood... 1/3
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Phil Syrpis
2 years
I was late to this, but it is excellent. 'We... admire politicians who show flair in the accumulation [of power]. But ability to acquire power has never entailed an ability to exercise it.' 1/2
Tweet media one
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
@supertanskiii It is insane - but worth listening to, in order to see how some people see the world. If only he hadn't fallen into a woke globalist elite trap, he could have been more like Trump. And now the UK is vulnerable to 'leftists'.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
The plan is not what some might expect. He is more interested in power than in Brexit. His aim (so I argue here) is to fight, and win, a GE, and to obtain a mandate for the next five years. 2/
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
Looking at UK politics, the start of the war of Ukraine crisis has unsettling echoes of the start of the COVID pandemic (more or less exactly 2 years ago). 🧵 1/10
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
4 years
There are a lot of Brexiters in the media this week making points about sovereignty, and about how the EU has not come to terms with the UK's independence. I have some questions, which it might well be fruitful to ask them. 1/9
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
1 year
Surely the diaries, notebooks and WhatsApps are packed with relevant material from which we can all learn lessons about how a closely-knit, laser-focused leadership team functions in times of crisis? 3/3
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
He is not interested in policy, let alone policy detail. I struggle to understand how many seem to think he has any convictions about (eg) Brexit, climate change, levelling up, culture wars, etc. 5/
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
He wants to be able to fight a general election, as the man who is standing up for the British people; against the twin evils of the EU and the remain establishment. Vote Leave (and Dom Cummings) have, remember, done this unexpectedly successfully once before. 8/
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
4 years
This has been retweeted a lot today, and it deserves to be.
@Haggis_UK
Haggis_UK 🇬🇧 🇪🇺
4 years
RIP John Hume. "The EU is the best example in the history of the world of conflict resolution."
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
Let's look beyond partygate. It's what the Conservative Party seems to want us to do. If we do, we see that Party's problems go far beyond party problems and the persona of the PM. 🧵 1/10
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
So... All that happened yesterday was the removal of the least popular members of his team. I see next to no prospect of a change in policy direction... unless (as before) there is a strong enough sense that the popular will is shifting. 14/14
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
4 years
'DO NOT PANIC BUY!' is not the reassuring message that some seem to think it is.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
First, he will go 'our EU friends', appealing to their economic self-interest, demanding things he knows he cannot get. He will present himself as a 'can-do dealer'... whose plan has only been thwarted by intransigence in Brussels. 4/
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
I've been reading a lot on here about what might happen now that Liz Truss has replaced Lord Frost. There's one aspect which has received insufficient attention; the position of the ERG wing. Thread. 1/11
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
Watch for the sharp shift in tone (which will come when the time is judged to be right). Erstwhile friends in the EU will become public enemy number one. The UK will be strong and confident. In extremis, we go it alone, and leave without a deal. 5/
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
It’s my 50th birthday today. The highlight is that I’m going to the pub for lunch. Can’t wait...
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
Much of the coverage of the latest scandal engulfing the Govt is cast in terms of 'sleaze'. It may just be me, but I don't think that is the right framing. 1/6
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
It uses its patronage and power to dominate the media. Cronyism and corruption are rife (and in the COVID crisis, have cost many thousands of lives). 7/10
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Phil Syrpis
4 years
10 mins in front of the news was enough to drive me to intense frustration. The Tory party 'line to take' today is that the unbridgeable divide is the result of the failure of the EU to recognise that the UK is an independent sovereign state. It is nonsense. THREAD. 1/11
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
In the mind of the PM, what matters is the pursuit of power. He is, as I have written several times, single-minded in the pursuit of power, and does all he can to resist constraints on that power. 4/
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
Behind the rhetoric, one might hope for some substance, and for at least the beginnings of a coherent policy agenda. And yet - be it the relationship with the EU or the wider world, COVID or tackling inequality - there is *nothing*. 3/10
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Phil Syrpis
1 year
Scrolling through twitter… it’s difficult to know whether to give more credence to the accounts claiming that the 29-year-old woman given a peerage is one of Johnson’s many children or one of his many sexual conquests. They can’t all be right, surely?
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
It is difficult to keep track of the shape-shifting arguments of the UK Govt on the NI Protocol (I've been listening to Frost, Kwarteng and Burns). There are several strands which come up. The Govt is all too rarely interrogated about the detail. 1/13 🧵
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
‘We’re going to move heaven and earth’ joins ‘we’re working night and day’, ‘ramping up our efforts’ and ‘straining every sinew’.
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
3 years
The Johnson Govt excels at 'sloganeering populism'. 'Get Brexit Done', 'Global Britain', 'Freedom Day'... and now 'Levelling up'. The rhetoric projects energy and is meant to show a Govt devoted to 'the people's priorities'. 2/10
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
Last night, I found myself thinking about #Partygate again. And not just because I have questions about what the Met Police have been up to. I was thinking about #Partygate in the context of hubris and nemesis, and the Tory Party response to the Ukraine crisis. 🧵 1/12
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
He transparently does not. He doesn't care one way or another how policy develops. All he cares about is how policy plays with first the Tory Party and its supporters, and second the voters. 6/
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
As sites of accountability disappear, the only constraint on its power is the popular vote. The FPTP system is already in its favour. And, it is taking steps (eg on voter ID, the FTPA and constituency boundaries) to load it still further. 8/10
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
4 years
The blame for that lies with successive Conservative Governments; not with those who have been pointing out that what they have been promising is impossible and undeliverable. 13/13
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
2 years
'Ripping up the protocol', on the other hand, does *nothing* to solve the underlying problem. It only succeeds in further eroding what's left of the reputation of the UK Govt. 12/12
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Phil Syrpis
2 years
Let's fast forward to November 2022. The new Tory leader has been in place for a couple of months. Let me make a couple of predictions. 1/6
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
The fact that Johnson may yet survive partygate is a damning indictment (well, more a reminder) of how far standards have fallen. There are at least 3 dimensions to the scandal. 1/7
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
He will provoke the moderate Tories. He probably knows that they require quite a lot of provoking. He will not seek to undermine the confidence of the Labour Party and the Lib Dems. But he will starve the Brexit Party of political space. 7/
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@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
All this points, as I said a couple of days ago, to an Autumn general election. It is consistent with the UK's inability to concretise Brexit - both his 'new deal' and his 'no deal' will remain stubbornly undefined until after the GE. 10/
@syrpis
Phil Syrpis
5 years
Let me join the mugs' prediction game. My best guess is that we are heading towards an autumn general election. A thread on why. 1/
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
The 'sloganeering populism' is intended to do the rest. That is now coupled with a relentless culture war - a 'stoking of division'. This strategy works (in electoral terms) so long as the minority which supports the Govt is 'large enough'. 9/10
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Phil Syrpis
5 years
To win, he needs to neuter the Brexit Party (I suspect that the jury is out on whether to offer some sort of pact or to opt for a more aggressive strategy), and bank on the fact that the 'remain' opposition will remain disunited. 9/
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Phil Syrpis
2 years
OK: here goes with a Johnson/future of the Tory Party thread. In short, once Johnson goes, don't expect anything much to change. 🧵1/
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Phil Syrpis
11 months
If this year’s Tory Party conference has achieved one thing, it has been to give pause for thought to those who claim that there is no real difference between the Tories and the Labour Party. 1/3
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Phil Syrpis
2 years
He assured Unionists that there would be no border checks. I'm sure people remember the clip. It simply wasn't true. But, they believed him. 6/
@tigresseleanor
Tigress
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Phil Syrpis
2 years
The ‘energy bills crisis’ affects households and business. But I haven’t seen anything about the impact on hospitals, schools, universities and the rest of the public sector: surely their budgets (and ability to provide services) will be seriously hit too?
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
On each of these issues, the Govt has shown itself to be unable to make choices. It seems paralysed. Whenever it moves in one direction, it backtracks. The Tory Party (and in this it is not alone...) is internally divided and devoid of ideas. 4/10
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
It is a profoundly dangerous time. There is little in the constitution which can withstand a Govt determinedly acting in this sort of way. For better or worse, public opinion, and public action, is the key. 11/11
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Phil Syrpis
3 months
I wonder how many people will have seen this yesterday… and how many will have seen the coverage of Farage? Newsworthiness is a difficult topic. But if you want to show politics in a good light, and combat cynicism, then maybe show more of this sort of thing?
@ITVNewsPolitics
ITV News Politics
3 months
'One of my biggest fears in life is what happens to him when I'm gone.' Speaking on @ITVTonight , Sir Ed Davey opened up about juggling responsibilities as Liberal Democrat leader and caring for his disabled teenage son | @rachyoungeritv reports
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Phil Syrpis
4 years
Liam Fox (today): We've got to get beyond abstract political principles in order to get a deal. Also Liam Fox (today): The EU has a problem understanding that the UK is a sovereign state.
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Phil Syrpis
4 years
For the benefit of Bernard Jenkin and others - a recap. This thread is on the Withdrawal Agreement (WA), and its relationship with any future relationship deal the UK and the EU might strike. 1/13
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Phil Syrpis
2 years
The problem, it strikes me, is that they are making their case only to each other and to the Tory members. And they seem to be much more interested in forthright low-tax high-sovereignty Conservative rhetoric than in answers to difficult questions. 6/6
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Phil Syrpis
1 year
We know, do we not, that they were working day and night, straining every sinew, always following the science? 2/
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Phil Syrpis
1 year
We know that the plans of governments are often derailed by 'events'... and we know that, in recent years, COVID and the war in Ukraine have been hugely significant and disruptive. But I'm becoming increasingly annoyed by the Govt's use of 'events' as an excuse. 🧵1/6
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Phil Syrpis
3 years
That won't make for coherent policy. It won't be easy. But Michael Gove may have the requisite skill set - telling people what they want to hear, and shamelessly denying the contradictions inherent in the message. 11/
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