Scott McIntosh @swmcintosh Twitter profile

Last Seen Profiles

@TeterasMendoza

@ChrifAbout

@GDWrightWrites

@taylors1989vs

@w_in6er

@bokeplokalmalam

@MoraBouche84315

@KiraGaillard

@EagleForaMedia

@chiclairs

$DWG Infraco Ltd$

@DWGUK

@yuukixx_vrc

@JonnyPerham1

@Gaceta_UNAM

@BlainPlanes

@stw_pdg

@leh_arlen

@EC_Bretagne

@silvishah

@Kennedy_School

@US_HEMP

@Anisbel2023

@Papuaviral1

@Ismarev

@JoyHarrisAgency

@athulrajathul4

@Jamjust_

@Goc_Du_Idol

@Jackie_Arkle

@yo_kon_ngs

@InfinixNigeria

@Emmin

@Estnefo_M

@hakanygn2

@Researcher2016a

Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 years

Is this THE most insane #Eclipse2017 picture? Truly amazing!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

4 months

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Maybe a huge glitch in the matrix?

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Yes. It is. We anticipate another moderate jump before too long. #HaleCycle #Terminator #SunspotCycle25

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 months

Should I make a version for flares…….? #HaleCycle #Terminator #SunspotCycle25

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

This is just nuts…..

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

At least two monsters coming over the east limb, lots of transequatorial activity. More has developed on the far side!! Jan2023 should smash the records, but we’ll see. Minus risk of radio blackouts should be PRIMO for hams across the globe!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

5 months

Flares and eclipses are relatively rare (or not widely reported) ! Did anyone else notice?

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

Folks. It has been a ride watching the Hale Cycle that carried Sunspot Cycle 24 die. Long live cycle 25! The big step is imminent.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

Just look at my list of things to plot at……..here is the annual Ap/Kp averages since 1932…. Holy smoke #SunspotCycle25 is off to the races. More to this plot - and the data behind it - than meets the eye!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Updated yesterday for the February 23 numbers….

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

4 months

We need to see the WHOLE sun ALL of the time if we are to understand the physical processes driving this mad surge In activity. #DigitalTwin #HelioMeteorologyNow

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

4 months

It’s gonna be a long weekend

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

Updated Progress of #SunspotCycle25 for July 2023

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

So many media requests on the ‘polar vortex’ story! If only it was capable of some of the things being associated with it. #SpaceWeather #PolarCrownFilament #Liftoff #WhatsUpAt55

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

8 months

Have fun with wobbly sun……..

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

Back in the @NCAR_Science science castle for the first time in a long time. I had forgotten how spectacularly awesome the view was.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

#TerminatorWatch . Why has #SunspotCycle25 taken off.......? Well..... the #Terminator has arrived. In this thread we'll show some of the preliminary observations and discuss the implications for our forecast of #SunspotCycle25 strength.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Just incredible is our sun (and our magnetic field)

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

Folks, I go on and on about this book… I encourage as many of you as possible to read it. Peter was definitely onto something.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Lot of energy released in last nights flare…. Might not be the last we hear from that spot!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

14 days

Barring a collapse never before seen August 2024 will see a new peak SSN for #SunspotCycle25 . Not quite to the sustained levels of #SC23 . Are we near the local activity peak or will the growth sustain another few months? Those 2019 consensus forecasts are looking all the more

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

One year after the #HaleCycle #Terminator that ‘officially’ (in our eyes) launched #SunspotCycle25 is it ready to break out of its four month funk? Looks like we have good longitudinal coverage & both hemispheres firing up.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

Imagine what we would have learned about the Sun over the last 15 years if #NASA_Stereo had magnetographs? Seems like global observations of ☀️ are en essential #1 for #Helio_Decadal_22 . Retweet if you agree!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 months

The sun, GLOBALLY, is clearly stepping up its game and it doesn’t look like it’s done yet! #ThePushToMax #Longitude

Halo CME

@halocme

7 months

We are still waiting for LASCO data, which will show the CME that caused this spectacular global disturbance and M9 flare. I am enchanted by the scientific topic of how the CME is captured by coronal dimmings and EUV waves, and will present some results at IAU Symp. and COSPAR.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Wow - broke the 1,800 follower bar. I know it’s not much compared to juggernauts like @TamithaSkov but stoked many are here to learn a bit about our star while we are. Thanks!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

Say a few words for our friend the Sun! Looks like #SC25 will peak significantly higher than #SC24 watch as the narratives start to change. I also don’t think old Sol will wait for 2 more years to achieve max. If it continued to grow at this rate for 2 more years…..

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Happy #Carrington Day Everybody!

apple ciders biggest glazer

@multidoppler

2 years

#OTD In 1859: The strongest solar storm ever recorded hit earth, bringing vibrant aurora as far south as the Caribbean and the Central Pacific, as well as frying telegraph channels in the US and Europe.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 months

With a hint of sadness today I announced my retirement from @NCAR_Science on August 2, 2024 having accumulated almost 20 years of service. I start a new, very exciting, chapter in August. Stay tuned! #Forward

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

At this point we’re going to have to show original AND modified. #SunspotCycle25 continues to grow!!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 months

Beautiful illustration of scale/impact of a disturbance in a coupled system - WOULD LOVE to see this imaged with a CIS [Coronagraphic Imaging Spectropolarimeter]….. damn volcanoes and limited flight opportunities…….

Dr. Ryan French

@RyanJFrench

7 months

By plotting the ‘moving difference’, we can highlight the fast changing areas in the event. If you’ve got a good eye, you can see a wave of plasma propagating from the flare (bottom-right), across the Sun’s face (top-left)!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

Hold onto your hats July’s second bump is approaching from the east!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

That background is growing, but to what!! #SunspotCycle25

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

All-time favorite plot in the geosciences. We attribute this one to the incredible #JoanFeynman . 👀 the relationship between the geomagnetic indices and the upcoming sunspot cycle amplitude? Why? #HaleCycle holds the key! #Terminator #BewareOfImitations [multi-day Thread: 1/N]

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 month

Yeah, but it isn’t…. #HaleCycle #SunspotCycle25

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 months

Love this picture from 10 years ago… it’s very significant. Can anybody say why?

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

That’s a doozy - look at the curl on that bad boy!!!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

Everyone loves the "Granddaddy" prominence eruption from June 1945. Right at the start of Sunspot Cycle 18. Just look at the size of it compared to the diameter of the sun. #Yuge #SpaceWeather @NCAR_Science @HAOSunEarthLab

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

Brick By Brick…. #SunspotCycle25

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

I would argue that the massive recent increase of filament eruptions over the past 7-10 days are a result of the magnetic environment on the sun changing - so VERY close to #Terminator , start of polar reversal and path to solar max!!!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 month

So, finally I get to announce that I have joined @lynkertech in a new role as VP of Space Operations. We will be developing new and enhancing existing capabilities to support the national and global space weather ecosystem. Visit our website:

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

So incredible to see a timeline full of chatter about, images and movies of our star!!!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

4 months

Found this old gem. Covering the #HalloweenStorms . I find the quote of Tim Killeen poignant to this day we say ‘we are sixty years behind where the terrestrial meteorology community are’ I don’t think we’ve made ZERO progress in 20 years #SpaceWeather .

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

I do say that this growth looks ominous....... #SunspotCycle25 #Ascend

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Something sketchy this way comes….

Jorge Álvarez

@JAL495588

2 years

AR13191 👍🖖🧐🧐

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

28 days

The declining phase is where the fun is!!!!

Vincent Ledvina

@Vincent_Ledvina

28 days

Welcome to solar maximum! Oh, and we might not have even reached “the top,” yet. Who’s ready for a two or three more years of this kind of activity!? We are nowhere near being over, yet!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Looks like the South is going to counter…..

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

10 months

The Solar atmosphere is complex, but appears to simplify as we go ‘up.’ Over a decade ago we developed a measure to see how ‘open’ or ‘closed’ and structured the corona was - we called it the ‘magnetic range of influence.’ Dark colors are short distances, bright colors are long.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

4 months

Love seeing my feed rock with pictures and movies of an active sun! Reply with your best.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

The #Terminator has occurred. #SunspotCycle25 IS tracking > SC24. I'll be first to say that it has not yet hit third gear, but why? Follow this thread and we'll explore. Remember that we're observing this #Terminator event in real time with you.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

The ramp!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

5 years

Submitted: Overlapping Magnetic Activity Cycles and the Sunspot Number: Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude... #Newsflash #Terminator2020 #SunspotCycle25

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 months

Something threw a switch in late 2021……

Eelco Doornbos

@eelcodoornbos

7 months

Flare locations on the solar disk, as seen from Earth. Inspired by those Iceland volcano seismic activity animated maps. A future version should probably have solar imagery in the background.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

26 days

As anticipated. The sunspot cycle is not what it appears on the face of the Sun. In 2014 we published a paper discussing the genesis of #SunspotCycle25 and the #ExtendedSolar Cycle in 2019. Verifying - #SunspotCycle26 #HaleCycle #Terminator #LynkerSpace

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

My profile went kinda nuts yesterday. Welcome to new followers……the bulk of what I post is about the Sun and us TRYING to figure out how it works!! The polar cell evolution, including the recent spectacular events are part of how our star works - not the end of the world!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

wowzers

Dr. Erika Palmerio

@erikapal

2 years

Here's a full movie of the crazy eruption 📽 Do you see the prominence material in the very top left corner of the Solar Orbiter field of view? That's at almost 7 solar radii from the centre of the Sun 🤯 We had never seen prominences so far out at extreme UV wavelengths before!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

5 months

Those who’ve followed for a while will know that I am fascinated by the polar crown filament (the venerable PCF)! I can often be found asking: Why does the PCF loves ~55 degrees? Why does the PCF get triggered by the #Terminator , starting the #PolarReversal of the #HaleCycle ?

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 months

Zing!!!!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Nearing the end of April 2022 #SunspotCycle25 is doing its thing. How long until 120 [monthly SSN]?

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

4 months

Its a global surge, not just localized to a range of longitudes…… this is exactly WHY we need a global observing constellation. The physics of the system dictates it. #SpaceWeather #HaleCycle #RossbyWaves #LongitudeReallyMatters

Landon Moeller

@landon_wx

4 months

Another major X flare, but this time it’s not on the departing limb! Welcome, new X player!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

It’s not over yet…. the beatings….

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

Does #SunspotCycle25 follow its predecessors? This is a ‘terminator-keyed’ superposed epoch analysis. #Terminator #HaleCycle

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

If you thought the #Terminator was cool, wait until you get a load of the ???????. Spoiler: More #HaleCycle interaction awesomeness from @leamonrj coming soon!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 months

#SunspotCycle25 progress. #HaleCycle #Terminator #CycleClock #Skill #Forecast

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

Anyone for a Gleissberg flip? #SunspotCycle25 #Terminator @leamonrj @SpaceWxMike @TamithaSkov @hfsolar1 @artsy_sun @iamtony_97

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 months

Oooft, that looks ominous! #SpaceWeather

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

Our closing presentation to the (awesome) 2023 Space Weather Workshop on the topic of #SunspotCycle25 - featuring #HaleCycle and #Terminator . The presentation stimulated some great conversation. @leamonrj @rickyegeland

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 days

August 2024 numbers are in……. #SunspotCycle25 - and our f’cast is still cookin’ #HaleCycle @LynkerSpace

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

Looks like a beastie coming over the limb in a few days!!!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

4 months

It’s time for the climb!!!! May could break recent records in activity levels….

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 months

Looks like some of the regions that have been signaling us from the far side for the last week are approaching the east limb!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

6 months

@TrishBrewster1 @TamithaSkov Our @NCAR_Science @ncareol team supporting the #NSFFUNDED CAESAR (Cold Air Outbreak Experiment in the Sub-Arctic Region) field campaign in Kiruna are reporting dancing lights in the sky!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

It's just incredible that our Sun can oscillate in activity so wildly. This why it is still a topic of active research and not "done." Just one of many many stars but absolutely critical to our understanding of those stars.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Looks like the monthly average sunspot number for May 2022 will be in the ~95 range. #SunspotCycle25 continues on its upward path.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Will the x-ray background continue to rise to M-Class levels? Likely some X-rated fun to come!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

6 months

#SunspotCycle25 is icing its predecessor in the first 800 days (after the triggering #HaleCycle #Terminator )

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

So proud of the team @HAOSunEarthLab and their Chromospheric Magnetism Explorer (CMEx) that was just selected for a phase A mission study. Potentially game changing observations for the #Sun & #SpaceWeather CONGRATULATIONS @NCAR_Science

NASA Selects Four Small Explorer Mission Concept Studies - NASA

NASA has selected four small explorer missions to conduct concept studies.

www.nasa.gov

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 months

Thinking X10 scale and the biggest in a #HaleCycle (almost)

Halo CME

@halocme

7 months

Spectacular global coronal wave that accompanied the CME associated with the latest X3.3 flare in AR 13575. This is a scale-up version of the previous M5.1 and M4.0 events from the same region. This flare could have been ~X10 if not occulted by the limb.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 months

Let’s go even bigger….. seems like something is brewing from the #Global upturn

Dr. Ryan French

@RyanJFrench

7 months

Now THAT is what I call a #SolarFlare . No more of this recent X1-class nonsense, this X6.4-class flare is now the largest confirmed flare since September 2017. Follow for more info as it becomes available! #spaceweather

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

24 days

Excited that our X profile is now up, please help spread the word - we’re busy creating useful content and communications around space weather to share with you all. As a growing company we’d really appreciate your support!!!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Have not shared many of these before, but as the monthly #ROB / SILSO sunspot numbers come in we compile these synoptic 'butterfly' diagrams [ #sunspot location/latitude versus time]. #HaleCycle #terminators times marked as vertical dotted lines. Spot size -> size of the symbol.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

We don’t do much inquisitive science any more, but what the hell is happening above 45 degrees post #Terminator - some change in convection? Defo flux emergence. SDO highlights….

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 month

As July 2024 closes out and the monthly average SSN could breach 200 for the first time in two decades it’s worth noting that activity levels are almost a factor of two higher than those forecast. Enjoy the fun if you’re out capturing aurorae over the coming few days! #HaleCycle

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

4 years

Our Fall 2020 @theAGU ( @AGUSpWx ) presentation "Does the Sun Have a Polar Vortex?" - enjoy. Movies can be seen in full with the QR code on the last slide #Terminator2020 @leamonrj @rickyegeland

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

The closure of the polar coronal holes following #Terminator has progressed at pace - trajectory looks similar to SC23. Interestingly the two hemispheres seem to be synced - maybe only a slightly separated #SolarMaxima . <12 months!!!!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

#TerminatorWatch - narrowing band of longitudes in the northern hemisphere harbors the last embers of the SC24 Hale Cycle bands. Seems like the last couple of rotations before SC25 takes off, aka #Terminator - intensity on mid-latitude bands is notably growing, not yet unbridled.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

5 years

I don't think were ready for this jelly! #SunspotCycle25 #Terminator2020

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

4 months

Showing my north American bias, but since all big storms require a name - I’ll dub these storms the ‘Mother’s Day Storms’ nobody blessed me to do this and I have no power, but there you go! Enjoy the fireworks if you can!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

The paper discussing the Dec 2021 #HaleCycle #Terminator has been accepted for publication in @FrontAstroSpace . @rickyegeland , @leamonrj and I appreciate the input of @eelcodoornbos , @fcrameri and @L_A_Barnard on the color scales used in the figures.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

10 months

We have been tracking the 10.7cm radio flux resulting from #SunspotCycle25 using a #Terminator keyed superposed epoch analysis of the historical data since 1947 and our projected cycle amplitude. It’s such an interesting progression. #R2O #FirstOfItsKind @planet @capellaspace

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Beautiful - what a week for space weather watchers!!!!

Harlan Thomas

@theauroraguy

2 years

"When The Aurora Dances" South of Calgary along Highway 2, taken during the peak of the morning storm this beautiful auroral curtain, filled with rich greens, reds, pinks, mauve, and blue. #Aurora #Auroraborealis

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

Looking at the event that has stimulated the recent upturn in solar activity - the #Terminator - over the past months, years, and on the mission scale. It is not random - the Sun's global magnetism is strongly coupled! Almost time for April's #Terminator update!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

2 years

A new record average sunspot number incoming for #SunspotCycle25 . Seems unlikely that SC25 will be smaller than SC24 at this point / it’ll become clearer with time if we have a few consecutive months in the 125 - 150 range.

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 month

Very strong start for August - compared to the start of July - wow! Let’s go #SunspotCycle25

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

7 months

It’s entirely possible that the high latitude, ‘reversed polarity ’ regions could indeed be indicators that the bands that will become #SunspotCycle26 in the 2030s are brewing at 55° and getting ready to show themselves post max. #HaleCycle

Keith Strong

@drkstrong

7 months

ANOTHER VERY HIGH LATITUDE SUNSPOT REGION: A couple of days ago I complained that NOAA had not numbered a large high-latitude region in the south (now AR3575). It was important that it is was at 37S! Not to be outdone the N. Hemisphere has produced a high latitude region at 40N!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

wow - that must've been a whopper

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

‘we knew it was going to be bigger than cycle 24’ they said, did they? Well I guess it is. #SunspotCycle25 #Terminator #HaleCycle

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

1 year

This spring gives us a STUNNING look at a complete southern polar crown filament (PCF). The later in the year we’ll see the northern PCF. Part of the chain of events leading to #SolarMaximum and #SunspotCycle26 showing itself!

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Scott McIntosh

@swmcintosh

3 years

Why does the Sun look so smug? What is it hiding?

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